证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 05 月 18 日 [Table_Title] 周专题： 4 月清洁电器增长强劲，中美同步大幅降低双边 关税 [Table_Title2] 家电行业周报 [Table_Summary] ► 周专题： 4 月清洁电器景气延续，量价齐升。根据奥维云网数据， 2025 年 4 月扫地机线上销额 10 亿元，同比+81%，线上销量 30 万台，同比+74%，线上均价 3340 元/台，同比+3.5%； 2025 年 4 月洗地机线上销额 6.9 亿元，同比+82%，线上销量 34 万台，同比+82%，线上均价 2043 元/台，同比+0.1%。 分品牌来看，科沃斯、石头表现亮眼，份额稳居前列。根据 奥维云网数据，2025 年 4 月，科沃斯、石头扫地机线上销额 分别同比+98%、+72%，市占率分别为 25%、26%；添可、石头 洗地机线上销额分别同比+39%、+1065%，市占率分别为 31%、19%。 北京时间 5 月 12 日，《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》 （下称《联合声明》）公布。根据《联合声明》，中美双方 承诺将于 2025 年 5 月 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Views - The recent US-China Geneva talks have led to a positive consensus, with expectations for the export chain to recover as both sides agree to reduce tariffs significantly [1][21] - The 2025 "618" mid-year shopping festival has commenced, with major e-commerce platforms implementing strategies to stimulate consumer spending through simplified rules and increased subsidies [2][21] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - The US has committed to canceling 91% of tariffs on Chinese goods and modifying 34% of reciprocal tariffs, while China will suspend or cancel corresponding tariffs on US goods [1][21] - The 618 shopping festival has seen platforms like Tmall and JD.com launching pre-sales and promotional strategies to attract consumers, with domestic brands showing strong growth [2][21] - Key investment themes include the return of offline traffic, AI technology upgrades, and the increasing willingness of consumers to pay for emotional value [3][64] Investment Recommendations - Focus on five investment themes: 1. Traditional retail sectors revitalizing due to returning foot traffic, with beneficiaries including Yonghui Supermarket and Kidswant [3][64] 2. Continuous upgrades in AI technology benefiting companies like Focus Technology and Aosheng Technology [3][64] 3. High-performing new retail sectors, with companies like Miniso and Pop Mart expected to outperform [3][64] 4. Cyclical sectors recovering from low levels, with companies like Mixue and Haidilao as potential beneficiaries [3][64] 5. Opportunities in overseas consumption, with support for domestic brands expanding internationally, focusing on companies like Miaow Exhibition and Anker Innovations [3][64] Macro & Industry Data - In March, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.9% year-on-year, indicating a stable and improving consumption market [40][41] - Online retail sales accounted for 24.0% of total retail sales, with a year-on-year increase of 0.7 percentage points [41][41] - The jewelry sector saw a decline in gold consumption, with a total of 985.31 tons consumed in 2024, reflecting a 9.58% decrease year-on-year [57][57]

证券研究报告|行业点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 05 月 18 日 [Table_Title] 持续推动 5G-A 与 AI 网络连接 随着 5G-A 商用进程的加速与 AI 技术的普惠，以 AI 为中心网 络有望助力运营商从"流量经营"单一模式向"差异化体验经 营"多维模式跨越，深度释放网络连接潜能。 2、投资建议 1）针对 5.5G 网络商用，在应用催化下，5G-A 建设有望带来上游 元器件催化，相关上游核心部件包括天线、滤波器、高阶 PCB、 光模块等有望受益。 相关受益标的包括灿勤科技、通宇通信、盛路通信、武汉凡谷、 普天科技等。 2）在应用方面，持续关注 RedCap 模组、通感一体、卫星以及 XR 等领域，相关市场空间有望释放。 RedCap 模组相关受益标的包括移远通信、美格智能等； [Table_Title2] 通信行业 [Table_Summary] 1、5G-A 与 AI 技术持续推进，深度释放网络连接潜能 5 月 17 日，工信部副部长、中国通信学会理事长张云明表示， 加速推进 5G-A、6G 技术研发、产业培育和应用发展，赋能现 代化产业体系建设。 活动期间，三大运 ...

Trade Relations and Economic Indicators - The significant reduction in tariffs between China and the U.S. has improved trade expectations, with the U.S. comprehensive tariff rate on China remaining around 40%[2] - April export data exceeded expectations, but PPI showed a year-on-year decline of 2.7%, indicating underlying economic weaknesses[2] - New loan issuance in April was below expectations, with cumulative new household loans in the first four months at a near ten-year low[2] Market Trends and Monetary Policy - The bond market has entered a defensive phase, with yields generally rising; the 10-year government bond yield increased to 1.68% (+5bp) and the 30-year yield to 1.88% (+4bp)[11] - Market sentiment is shifting towards a "trend over volatility" approach, delaying expectations for further interest rate cuts until after Q2 data is released in July[2] - The likelihood of a return to a tight funding environment similar to Q1 is low due to several factors, including stable bank liabilities and a supportive central bank stance[3] Investment Strategy and Bond Valuation - The bond market is expected to experience a period of volatility, with the 10-year yield fluctuating between 1.6% and 1.7%[26] - In the short-term, the focus should be on evaluating price-performance ratios, particularly in the 1-3 year bond segment, which currently shows a high liquidity advantage[26] - For mid-term bonds (5-7 years), the pricing uncertainty is moderate, while the 10-year agricultural development bonds offer attractive spreads[6] Financial Products and Risk Assessment - The total scale of wealth management products decreased by 771 billion yuan to 31.49 trillion yuan, reflecting a seasonal decline[32] - The proportion of wealth management products with negative returns has slightly increased to 1.96%, but remains relatively low compared to historical levels[38] - The overall performance of wealth management products not meeting expectations has decreased to 17.4%, indicating improved performance across various institutions[44]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 05 月 18 日 [Table_Title] 投资者保护再迎新规 [Table_Title2] 非银金融周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: 本周（2025. 5.11-2025. 5.17）A 股日均交易额 12,4 76 亿元，环比减少 7.8%，同比增加 44 .4%。20 25 年二季度至今 日均成交额 12,5 66 亿元,较 2024 年二季度日均交易额增加 51.7%。202 5 年至今日均成交额 14,31 7 亿元,较 2024 年日均 交易额增加 64.3 %。投行：本周无新股发行；本周上市新股 3 家，募集资金 13.0 亿元。2025 年至今，A 股 I PO 上市 40 家，募集金额 260. 5 亿元。2024 年，A 股 IPO 上市 10 0 家， 募集金额 673 .5 亿元。两融：截至 202 5 年 5 月 15 日，两市 两融余额 18, 084.9 7 亿元，环比减少 0.01 %，较 202 4 年日均 水平增加 15. 41%。两市融券余额 117.68 亿元，占两融比例为 0.65 ...

Market Review - From May 12 to 16, the Wande All A index closed at 5107.73, up 0.72% from May 9, while the China Convertible Bond Index rose 0.32%[9] - The significant reduction in tariffs and the "fund reallocation" narrative drove market performance, particularly in the shipping sector, which saw the Wande Shipping Index and Port Index increase by 7.64% and 4.62%, respectively[12][15] - The U.S. and China agreed to significantly lower tariffs, with China's tariffs on U.S. imports dropping from 125% to 10% and the U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports decreasing from 145% to 30%[12] Global Insights - The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions boosted global risk appetite, leading to a substantial rise in U.S. stock markets, with the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones increasing by 7.15%, 5.27%, and 3.41%, respectively[32] - Gold prices fell by 4.7% to $3187.2 per ounce, nearing pre-tariff levels, while U.S. Treasury yields rose, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards riskier assets[32][34] Strategy Recommendations - The market is expected to adopt a defensive posture, focusing on dividend stocks and sectors like consumption and technology, as volatility remains low[36][40] - The consumer sector is gaining traction, with a moderate increase in trading volume, while the technology sector is currently underperforming but may present mid-term opportunities[42][43] Convertible Bond Insights - Convertible bonds have seen a decline in valuation, particularly in equity-linked bonds, as the market remains focused on large-cap stocks[25] - The valuation for convertible bonds at an 80 yuan parity is 46.27%, while at 100 yuan parity, it is 26.09%, reflecting a slight decrease in market confidence[25][30]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,367.46 points, up 0.76%[1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,179.60 points, up 0.52%[1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2,039.45 points, up 1.38%[1] - The large-cap index rose by 1.15% to 3,458.7 points, while the small-cap index fell by 0.27% to 4,416.64 points, resulting in a small-cap to large-cap index ratio of 1.28[1] Overseas Market Trends - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 42,654.74 points, up 3.41%[2] - The S&P 500 Index closed at 5,958.38 points, up 5.27%[2] - The Nasdaq Index closed at 19,211.10 points, up 7.15%[2] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,345.05 points, up 2.08%[2] Industry Highlights - The low-altitude economy is gaining momentum with the establishment of the International Low Altitude Economy Cooperation Alliance on May 16[3] - The central air traffic management committee has issued special measures to support the low-altitude economy, indicating new opportunities for development[6] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Yingboer, which has integrated chip technology suitable for eVTOL systems and has established partnerships with leading companies in the low-altitude economy[6] - Other sectors to watch include military trade potential, low-altitude infrastructure, and composite materials[7][8] Risk Factors - Potential risks include macroeconomic downturns, underperformance of new industries, and exchange rate fluctuations[10]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 5 月 17 日 海内外 AI 共振，坚定看好算力 [Table_Title2] 计算机行业周报 [Table_Summary] 本周观点: 大厂一季度财报发布，AI 资本支出上升 5 月 15 日晚间，阿里巴巴发布了 2025 财年第四财季（截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日止季度）及全年财报，全年收入 2364.54 亿元，略低 于市场预估的 2379.1 亿元；淘天集团来自中国零售商业的收入同 比增长 8%，客户管理收入同比增长 12%，变现率显著提升；阿里巴 巴云智能集团季度收入同比增长 18%，达到 301.27 亿元，创下三 年来的最快增速。一季度阿里提升 AI 资本性支出，因此我们看好 国产算力租赁。 5 月 14 日，腾讯公布最新业绩，第一季度营收和利润同比上涨， 主要得益于其主要游戏业务的加速增长一季报显示，第一季度营 收为 1,800.2 亿元人民币，同比增长 13%，预估为 1,756 亿元人民 币；第一季度公司权益持有人应占盈利（净利润）为 478.2 亿元人 民币，同比增长 14%，预估为 516.9 亿元人民币； ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The year-on-year growth rate of second-hand housing has significantly slowed down, and the new housing market has also shown a downward trend [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Second-hand Housing Market - **Overall Performance**: In the week of May 9 - 15, the transaction area of 15 cities was 2.45 million square meters, a decrease of about 9.5% compared with the week before the holiday. The year-on-year growth rate also slowed down, with a 3.1% increase this week, significantly lower than 20% in April and 38% in March [1]. - **City - Level Analysis**: The second - hand housing in first, second, and third - tier cities all declined month - on - month, with first - tier cities having a relatively smaller decline. First, second, and third - tier cities decreased by 6.2%, 11.2%, and 13.6% respectively. Among first - tier cities, Beijing and Shanghai decreased by 12% and 5% respectively, while Shenzhen increased by 6%. Among second - tier cities, Suzhou had a large decline of 27%, and the declines of Qingdao, Xiamen, Chengdu, and Nanning were between 6% - 15%, and Hangzhou remained basically flat [1]. - **Year - on - Year Analysis by City Level**: This week, first - tier cities increased by 16%, with the growth rate significantly narrowing compared with 45% in March and 31% in April. Second - tier cities decreased by 1%, turning from growth to decline, having grown 36% and 11% in March and April respectively. Third - tier cities decreased by 13%, also turning from growth to decline, having grown 25% and 21% in March and April respectively [2]. New Housing Market - **Overall Performance**: In the week of May 9 - 15, the transaction area of 38 cities was 2.73 million square meters, a decrease of about 15% compared with the week before the holiday. The year - on - year decline was 12%, similar to the 13% decline in April, and there was a slight 1% increase in March [2]. - **City - Level Analysis**: The new housing transactions in first, second, and third - tier cities all declined month - on - month, with first - tier cities having a larger decline. First, second, and third - tier cities decreased by 32%, 16%, and 11% respectively. Among first - tier cities, Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen decreased by 28%, 33%, and 34% respectively. Among second - tier cities, Suzhou and Wuhan had large declines of 32% and 33% respectively [2]. - **Year - on - Year Analysis by City Level**: This week, first - tier cities decreased by 10.5%, with the decline similar to the 12.5% decline in April. Second - tier cities decreased by 22.9%, with the decline significantly expanding compared with the 10.1% decline in April. Third - tier cities decreased by 8.6%, with the decline narrowing compared with the 17.4% decline in April [2]. Key City Observations - **Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen**: For second - hand housing from May 9 - 15, the weekly transaction area decreased by 6% compared with the week before the holiday. Beijing and Shanghai decreased by 12% and 5% respectively, while Shenzhen increased by 6%. Compared with the high point last year, Shanghai was at 81%, Beijing was at 72%, and Shenzhen was at 64%. For new housing, the weekly transaction area decreased by 32% compared with the week before the holiday, with Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen decreasing by 28%, 33%, and 34% respectively. Compared with the high point last year, they were between 24% - 45% [14]. - **Hangzhou**: The second - hand housing weekly transaction area remained flat compared with the week before the holiday, and the new housing weekly transaction area decreased by 31%, equivalent to 68% and 18% of the 2024 high point respectively [15]. - **Chengdu**: The second - hand housing weekly transaction area decreased by 6% compared with the week before the holiday, and the new housing weekly transaction area decreased by 15%, equivalent to 70% and 56% of the 2024 high point respectively [15]. Housing Price Observation - In the week of May 5 - 11, the weekly listing prices of second - hand housing in Beijing and Shenzhen decreased by 0.39% and 0.55% respectively, while that in Shanghai increased by 0.47%. Compared with the week before the "924" policy last year, the second - hand housing listing prices in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen still decreased, with declines of 4.8%, 0.7%, and 3.2% respectively [39].

Market Overview - From May 12 to 16, the overall A-share index closed at 5107.73, up 0.72% from May 9, while the convertible bond index rose 0.32%[9] - Year-to-date, the overall A-share index has increased by 1.71%, and the convertible bond index has risen by 3.44%[9] Trade Relations and Market Sentiment - The recent U.S.-China trade agreement led to significant tariff reductions, with China's tariffs on U.S. imports dropping from 125% to 10%, and U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods decreasing from 145% to 30%[12] - Following the trade agreement, the shipping sector saw a surge, with the shipping index and port index rising by 7.64% and 4.62%, respectively[16] Investment Strategy - The market is expected to focus on fundamental factors and domestic demand policies, with a defensive stance recommended in the current environment[39] - The consumer sector is gaining attention, while the technology sector is currently underperforming but may present mid-term opportunities[48] Convertible Bonds - The valuation of equity-linked convertible bonds has seen a decline, with the valuation center for bonds priced at 130 yuan dropping to 7.46%[27] - The market for convertible bonds is experiencing increased trading activity, with a notable rise in the number of new issues in 2025[8] Risk Factors - Potential volatility in the U.S. stock market remains a concern, particularly with the possibility of renewed tariff discussions and economic downturn risks in the latter half of the year[2] - The rapid rotation of market styles and unexpected adjustments in convertible bond market rules could pose additional risks[4]