Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in hydropower, thermal power, nuclear power, green energy, and gas companies [11][13]. Core Insights - The mechanism electricity pricing results across multiple regions are approaching their upper limits, indicating strong demand and government support for renewable energy projects [4][7]. - Natural gas prices in Europe are declining, while U.S. gas prices have reached a new high for 2023, driven by increased heating demand due to cold weather [13][20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of operational efficiency in renewable energy projects, as profitability varies significantly across different regions [10][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Pricing - Recent mechanism electricity pricing results show that several regions, including Hebei and Ningxia, have prices close to the upper limits, reflecting strong demand and sufficient mechanism electricity indicators [4][8]. - The competitive pricing results indicate a disparity based on local consumption capacity and policy direction, with some provinces achieving significantly lower prices due to weaker demand [9][10]. 2. Natural Gas Market - U.S. Henry Hub spot prices reached $5.19/mmBtu, marking a 12.91% increase week-on-week, while European gas prices, such as the TTF, have seen a decline [13][20]. - The report notes a 1.3% year-on-year decrease in China's natural gas consumption in October, with expectations for growth in the upcoming winter months due to heating demand [30][32]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Favorable conditions for winter and spring generation, with recommendations for companies like Yangtze Power and Guodian Power [11]. - Thermal Power: Companies with diversified income sources are recommended, including Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian [11]. - Nuclear Power: Continued growth expected with new approvals, suggesting a focus on China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [11]. - Green Energy: Increased stability in project returns with recommendations for companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [11]. - Gas Companies: Recommendations include Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, benefiting from cost reductions and improved profitability [32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [5][6]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic recovery, with Brent crude oil expected to remain in the range of $55-70 per barrel [5][6]. - Price increases have been observed in light stabilizers, pyrethroids, and certain coal chemical products, with significant price adjustments of around 10% noted for light stabilizers [5][6]. - The report highlights a positive trend in the chemical sector, driven by supply-demand dynamics and price adjustments across various sub-sectors [5][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is constrained due to OPEC+ production delays, while demand is stabilizing with an expected increase in oil prices [6]. - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas export facilities in the U.S. are anticipated to accelerate, potentially lowering import costs [6]. Price Trends - Light stabilizers are projected to see a demand increase to 162,400 tons in 2024, with a market size of 7.925 billion yuan, growing to 173,000 tons and 8.148 billion yuan in 2025 [5]. - The price of high-efficiency chlorofluorocarbons has risen to 110,000 yuan/ton, and other coal chemical products have also seen significant price increases [5]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from the recovery in demand, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals [5]. - Key companies to watch include Lianlong, Yunnian Chemical, and Hualu Hengsheng, among others, across various sub-sectors [5][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the engineering machinery industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1]. Core Insights - November sales of excavators reached 20,027 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, with domestic sales at 9,842 units (up 9.11%) and exports at 10,185 units (up 18.8%) [1]. - For the first eleven months of 2025, total excavator sales were 212,162 units, reflecting a 16.7% year-on-year growth, with domestic sales at 108,187 units (up 18.6%) and exports at 103,975 units (up 14.9%) [1]. - The average working hours for major engineering machinery products in November 2025 were 84.2 hours, a decrease of 13% year-on-year, while the operating rate was 56.5%, down 12.1 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - Infrastructure investment in China showed stability, with a slight decline of 0.1% year-on-year from January to October 2025, while real estate fixed asset investment dropped by 14.7% [4]. - The global engineering machinery market is expected to see a rebound in 2026, supported by a decline in interest rates and sustained high mineral prices [4]. - Key companies to watch in the sector include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Shantui, with component manufacturers like Hengli Hydraulic and Aidi Precision also highlighted [4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - November excavator sales reached 20,027 units, with domestic and export sales showing significant growth [1]. - Year-to-date sales for 2025 indicate a strong upward trend in the market [1]. Market Conditions - Domestic construction activity remains subdued, as indicated by lower working hours and operating rates for machinery [4]. - Infrastructure investment is stable, while real estate construction demand shows signs of bottoming out [4]. Future Outlook - The engineering machinery sector is expected to benefit from a favorable global market environment in 2026 [4]. - Key players in the industry are positioned for growth, with specific companies identified for potential investment opportunities [4].

宏 观 研 究 中央政治局会议学习理解 国 内 经 济 相关研究 证券分析师 赵伟 A0230524070010 zhaowei@swsresearch.com 贾东旭 A0230522100003 jiadx@swsresearch.com 侯倩楠 A0230524080006 houqn@swsresearch.com 联系人 贾东旭 A0230522100003 jiadx@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 2025 年 12 月 08 日 实现"十五五"良好开局 —— 12 月中央政治局会议学习理解 事件：12 月 8 日，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究 2026 年经济工作，审议《中国共产党 领导全面依法治国工作条例》。 政治局会议在基调上有何亮点？统筹经济工作和经贸斗争、重视政策效果和经济增长 会议重提 2025 年 4 月政治局会议首提的"更好统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争"，凸显对 外部环境不确定性的关注与内部发展稳定性的重视。这一表述在 2024 年 12 月会议"更好 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the public utility and environmental sectors, particularly in electricity and natural gas [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant regional differences in mechanism electricity pricing, with recent auction results approaching upper limits across multiple provinces, indicating strong demand and government support for renewable energy projects [4][10]. - Natural gas prices in Europe continue to decline, while U.S. prices have reached a new high for 2023, driven by increased heating demand due to cold weather [14][21]. - The report emphasizes the importance of refined operational strategies for power stations, as profitability varies significantly across regions and projects [11][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity - Recent mechanism electricity auction results show prices close to upper limits in regions like Hebei and Ningxia, with significant volumes of wind and solar energy being auctioned [8][9]. - The report notes that the differences in mechanism electricity pricing reflect local consumption capabilities and policy directions [10][11]. 2. Natural Gas - U.S. Henry Hub spot prices reached $5.19/mmBtu, a 12.91% increase week-on-week, while European gas prices, such as TTF and NBP, have seen declines of 5.57% and 9.96% respectively [14][15]. - The report indicates a 1.3% year-on-year decline in China's apparent natural gas consumption in October, with expectations for growth in Q4 due to seasonal heating demands [31][33]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommendations include investing in hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guodian Power, as well as coal-fired power companies such as Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian [12]. - For natural gas, the report suggests focusing on integrated companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, which are expected to benefit from cost reductions and improved profitability [33][34].

Group 1 - The core view of the report highlights the competitive strength of Tian Su Measurement in the metrology calibration industry, indicating potential for growth amid the industry's Matthew effect [6][7][12] - The company has established itself as a national, comprehensive independent third-party metrology testing service provider, with 1,417 metrology calibration project capabilities across various sectors, including biotechnology, new energy vehicles, and semiconductor integrated circuits [6][7] - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenue of approximately 686 million yuan in the metrology calibration segment, capturing over 5% market share [7][12] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the company's focus on the battery testing industry, which has become a significant growth driver, with revenue contribution from testing services increasing from 9% to 14% between 2022 and 2024 [12][13] - The company has developed extensive battery testing capabilities, including over 2,000 testing channels for battery cells, modules, and packs, and has established partnerships with notable clients such as CATL and Huawei Digital Energy [12][13] - The growth in lithium battery and energy storage battery shipments is projected to provide substantial incremental space for the company's battery testing business, with the lithium battery market expected to reach nearly 1,500 GWh by 2025 [16][12] Group 3 - Compared to peer companies, Tian Su Measurement has shown rapid revenue growth, with revenues of 597 million, 726 million, and 800 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, while maintaining a stable gross margin slightly above the industry average [19][21] - The company's R&D expense ratio is lower than that of comparable companies, reflecting a focused R&D direction and a streamlined team structure [21] - Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, with a net cash ratio above 1, and the company's debt-to-asset ratio has decreased to 24.90% by the end of 2024 [24][25] Group 4 - The report outlines the company's fundraising plans, which include projects aimed at enhancing metrology testing capabilities, establishing regional laboratories, and building a digital center to improve management efficiency [28][29] - The total investment for the Shenzhen headquarters metrology testing capability enhancement project is estimated at 127.66 million yuan, with an internal rate of return of 20.80% [29] - The establishment of 19 regional laboratories across various regions is intended to further enhance the company's metrology testing capabilities [28][29]

2025 年 12 月 08 日 再提"实现量的合理增长" ——2025 年 12 月政治局会议点评 联系人 程翔 A0230518080007 chengxiang@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 相关研究 程翔 A0230518080007 chengxiang@swsresearch.com 傅静涛 A0230516110001 fujt@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com A 股 策 略 - 证券分析师 ⚫ 本次政治局会议工作基调与年中保持一致，重点强调"坚持稳中求进工作总基调，统筹发 展和安全"的同时提出了"增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性，持续扩大内需、优化供给，做 优增量、盘活存量" 。结构方面再次强调"因地制宜发展新质生产力，纵深推进全国统 一大市场建设，持续防范化解重点领域风险"。细节方面可以看到，2025 年连续两次政 治局会议提及"实现量的合理增长"，时隔半年政治局会议再提"更好统 ...

新股分析 2025 年 12 月 08 日 锡华科技:风电齿轮铸件优 绑定龙头客户二十余载 注册制新股纵览 20251208 本期投资提示: 证券分析师 彭文玉 A0230517080001 pengwy@swsresearch.com 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 任奕璇 A0230525050002 renyx2@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈榕杰 (8621)23297818× chenrj@swsresearch.com 由万宏源研究微信服务 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 剔除流动性溢价因素后，锡华科技 2.34 分，位于总分的 31.8%分位。锡华科技于 2025 年 12 月 4 日招股,将在主板上市。剔除、考虑流动性溢价因素后,我们测算锡华科技 AHP 得分分别为 2.34 分、2.13 分，分别位于非科创体系 AHP 模型总分的 31.8%、38.0%分位, 分别处于上游偏下、中游偏上水平。假设以 95%入围率计，中性预期情形下，锡华科技网 下 A、B 两类配售对象的配售比例分别是：0.0170%、0.0147%。 ...

农林学文 主 2025 年 12 月 08 日 站玩人分出品 申万宏源研究微信服务号 猪价继续震荡走弱, 亏损 能去化提速 – 农林牧渔周观点（2025.12.1-2025.12.7） 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 研究支持 朱珺逸 A0230521080004 zhujy@swsresearch.com 胡静航 A0230524090002 hujh@swsresearch.com 联系人 盛瀚 A0230522080006 shenghan@swsresearch.com 证券分析师 盛瀚 A0230522080006 shenghan@swsresearch.com 看好 相关研究 本周申万农林牧渔指数下跌 1.5%，沪深 300 上涨 1.3%。个股涨幅前五名：好当家 ● (16.2%)、平潭发展 (10.6%)、西王食品 (10.3%)、生物股份 (9.7%)、福建金森 (9.4%)，跌幅前五名：绿康生化（-10.1%）、ST 天山（-8.9%）、*ST 傲农（-6.5%） 中水 渔业 (-6.5%)、益生股份 (-5.3%)。 投资分析意见：行业亏损加剧，产能加速去化 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the defense and military industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [26]. Core Insights - The defense and military sector has shown strong performance, with the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rising by 2.82%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [3][6]. - The report highlights the acceleration of task deliveries in Q4, with expectations for improved performance as orders from the 14th Five-Year Plan are anticipated to be issued by the end of the year [5]. - Geopolitical uncertainties are driving increased demand for military equipment, particularly in the Middle East and Asia, suggesting significant investment opportunities in military trade and technology [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of commercial aerospace development, particularly in the context of military technology advancements, and suggests focusing on high-value segments of commercial rockets and satellite manufacturing [5]. - The military trade landscape is evolving, with a strong resonance between supply and demand, indicating a robust future for China's military trade [5]. Market Review - The Shenwan Defense and Military Index outperformed other indices, ranking third among 31 sectors with a 2.82% increase [6]. - The average increase for the civil-military integration index was 4.7%, indicating strong performance in this segment [6]. - Top-performing stocks in the defense sector included Aerospace Development (up 52.26%), Aerospace Electromechanical (up 46.77%), and Shanghai Hanxun (up 24.98%) [14]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Defense and Military sector is 79.95, indicating it is in a historically high valuation range [15][19]. - The report notes a divergence in valuations among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment showing relatively high PE valuations since 2020 [15][19]. Key Investment Targets - The report suggests focusing on high-end combat capabilities and new-generation equipment, as well as unmanned and anti-unmanned weaponry, which are expected to see rapid growth starting in 2025 [5]. - Recommended stocks include high-end combat combinations such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600316.SH) and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (600768.SH), among others [5].