Core Insights - The approval of the first provincial UHV project in Zhejiang and accelerated progress in controllable nuclear fusion commercialization are significant developments in the power equipment sector [2][63] - The total investment for the Zhejiang UHV AC ring network project is 29.3 billion RMB, marking it as the highest investment and largest single project in China's UHV AC engineering history [63] - The report recommends companies such as Pinggao Electric, Shunhua Electric, and Huaming Equipment in the power equipment sector, while suggesting attention to Tebian Electric [2] - For controllable nuclear fusion, Xuch Electric is recommended, with additional focus on companies like New Wind Power, Saijing Technology, Guoguang Electric, Hailu Heavy Industry, and Yongding Co [2] Industry Developments - The global opening of the ITER organization's core simulation tool IMAS is expected to accelerate the commercialization of fusion energy [2] - Huadian Energy has released new regulations for wind and solar investment mergers, requiring a minimum internal rate of return of 6.5% for capital in domestic and foreign wind and solar projects [3] - The energy storage sector saw a significant year-on-year increase of over 80% in procurement capacity in November, with a total scale of 11.5 GW/33.5 GWh [3] - The establishment of a photovoltaic storage platform company aims to regulate the photovoltaic industry by storing approximately 1 million tons of outdated capacity [4] Market Trends - In November, the sales of new energy vehicles in ten major European countries increased by 38.8% month-on-month, with a total of 290,000 units sold [25] - The report highlights the stable pricing of polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules, indicating a steady market despite fluctuations in demand [10][11][14] - The report notes that the prices of lithium salts and ternary materials have shown mixed changes, with battery-grade lithium carbonate prices rising to 94,500 RMB per ton [47]

Core Conclusions - The overall valuation of A-shares has contracted this week, with the communication industry leading the gains. The U.S. has allowed Nvidia to export H200 chips to China, which is expected to drive incremental demand for communication equipment. The domestic GPU leader, Moore Threads, has gone public, boosting sentiment in the computing power sector. Currently, the overall dynamic PE of the communication industry is at the historical 36.6% percentile, while the communication equipment sector's dynamic PE is at the historical 97.9% percentile, indicating high profit growth expectations [1][8][10]. A-share Valuation Overview - The overall PE (TTM) of A-shares decreased from 22.14 times last week to 21.74 times this week, while the PB (LF) fell from 2.15 times to 1.77 times [10][12]. - The PE (TTM) of the ChiNext board decreased from 79.84 times to 72.27 times, and the PB (LF) dropped from 4.74 times to 4.27 times [18][20]. - The PE (TTM) of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board decreased from 255.36 times to 210.87 times, and the PB (LF) fell from 6.29 times to 5.17 times [22][24]. Relative Valuation Expansion in Computing Power Infrastructure - The relative PE (TTM) of computing power infrastructure, excluding operators and resource sectors, increased from 4.24 times last week to 4.47 times this week, while the relative PB (LF) rose from 4.42 times to 4.66 times [24][26]. Major Sector Valuation Levels - From a static PE (TTM) perspective, sectors such as consumer discretionary, consumer staples, midstream manufacturing, cyclical, and midstream materials have absolute and relative valuations above the historical median, with consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and midstream manufacturing exceeding the historical 90th percentile. Conversely, essential consumer sectors have absolute and relative valuations below the historical median, with financial services, essential consumer, and services sectors below the historical 10th percentile [28][29]. - In terms of PB (LF), resource, TMT, cyclical, and midstream manufacturing sectors have absolute and relative valuations above the historical median, while consumer discretionary, midstream materials, financial services, services, consumer staples, and essential consumer sectors have absolute and relative valuations below the historical median, with consumer staples and essential consumer sectors below the historical 10th percentile [28][29]. Industry Performance and Profitability - Current industries such as agriculture, public utilities, and oil and petrochemicals exhibit characteristics of low valuation and high profitability [54]. - Industries like building materials, power equipment, media, defense, and basic chemicals show both low valuations and high performance growth [57]. ERP and Equity-Debt Yield Spread - The non-financial ERP of A-shares increased from 0.83% last week to 0.87% this week, while the equity-debt yield spread improved from -0.15% to -0.12% [58][62].

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes a demand-driven approach, with a focus on domestic consumption as the primary economic driver for 2026[1] - The economic growth target for 2026 is set at approximately 5%[1] - The general budget deficit ratio is expected to remain around 4% in 2026, with an increase in the scale of government financing compared to 2025[1] Group 2: Policy Measures - A more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented in 2026, with expected reductions in open market operation rates and LPR by about 10 basis points[1] - The conference outlines eight key tasks for 2026, prioritizing the stabilization of the real estate market and enhancing social welfare[1][8] - Measures to stabilize employment and improve living standards are highlighted as essential for boosting domestic demand[11] Group 3: Market Trends - Industrial demand remains weak, with significant declines in prices for coking coal and coke due to reduced demand from downstream steel mills and increased imports[12] - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to between 3.5% and 3.75%, impacting market volatility[12] - The domestic economic environment is in a moderate recovery phase, but the foundation still needs strengthening[12]

行业周报 | 有色金属 2026 经济开局定调+美联储降息扩表，看好有色景气上行 证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 14 日 有色金属行业周报（2025.12.8 -2025.12.14） 核心结论 本周核心关注一：政治局会议定调明年经济工作，实施更加积极有为的宏观 政策 2026 年经济工作的政策基调已经明确，会议指出，做好明年经济 工作，要实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，增强政策前瞻性针对性协 同性，持续扩大内需、优化供给，做优增量、盘活存量，因地制宜 发展新质生产力，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，持续防范化解重 点领域风险，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，推动经济实 现质的有效提升和量的合理增长，保持社会和谐稳定，实现"十五 五"良好开局。2026 年是"十五五"开局之年，政策取向将直接 影响未来五年经济发展的节奏与质量。政策基调将更为积极，重点 解决经济运行中的结构性矛盾，通过更加精准有效的政策组合拳， 激发经济增长新动能。 本周核心关注二：美联储继续降息，同时重启扩表 12 月 11 日凌晨，美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调 0.25 个百分点至 3.5%-3.75%，符合市场预期。其中声明新 ...

- The report provides weekly performance statistics for quantitative public funds, showing that the average excess return of CSI 300 enhanced index funds was 0.21%, with 71.62% of funds achieving positive excess returns, while CSI A500 enhanced index funds had an average excess return of -0.04%, with 45.59% of funds achieving positive excess returns[1][8] - Monthly performance data indicates that as of December 12, 2025, the average excess return of CSI 300 enhanced index funds was 0.33%, with 75.34% of funds achieving positive excess returns, while CSI 1000 enhanced index funds had an average excess return of 0.25%, with 65.22% of funds achieving positive excess returns[2][8] - Year-to-date (YTD) performance data shows that as of December 12, 2025, the average excess return of CSI 1000 enhanced index funds was 7.52%, with 89.13% of funds achieving positive excess returns, while active quantitative funds had an average return of 26.64%, with 97.51% of funds achieving positive returns[3][8] - The report includes detailed performance distribution and scatter plots for quantitative public funds, highlighting the absolute and excess performance of various fund categories over the past year[9][12][19] - The cumulative net value trends of quantitative public fund portfolios, including enhanced index funds and active quantitative products, are presented for the current year and the past two years, showing the performance dynamics over time[17][20][26]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Hangya Technology (688510.SH), with a target price of 31.2 yuan based on a 40x valuation for 2026 [2][4][15]. Core Insights - Hangya Technology focuses on precision forging technology, specializing in key components for aircraft engines and medical orthopedic implants. The company has established a strong position in the aircraft engine parts sector since its listing on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board in 2020 [1][4][17]. - The company reported revenues of 530 million yuan and a net profit of 78 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.95% in revenue but a decrease of 16.04% in net profit [1][31]. - The demand for international commercial aircraft engines is increasing, and Hangya Technology has positioned itself advantageously to meet this demand by becoming a reliable supplier for major players like CFM [1][39][44]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Hangya Technology is centered on precision forging technology, focusing on critical components for aircraft engines and medical implants. The company has made significant advancements in manufacturing techniques since its establishment in 2013 [1][17][20]. 2. Market Demand and Positioning - The international commercial aircraft engine market is characterized by a few dominant players, with CFM leading in delivery volumes. Hangya Technology has successfully positioned itself as a key supplier amid supply chain disruptions [1][39][44]. - CFM is actively seeking domestic suppliers to alleviate supply chain pressures, which presents opportunities for Hangya Technology to expand its market share [1][45][47]. 3. Growth Drivers - The company is experiencing growth across multiple sectors, including domestic aircraft engines, gas turbines, and medical products. Collaborations with major clients like GE and domestic aerospace firms are expected to drive future revenue growth [1][2][11][57]. - The domestic aviation market is projected to grow significantly, with increasing demand for new aircraft, which will benefit Hangya Technology's operations [1][57][59]. 4. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Hangya Technology indicate growth from 817 million yuan in 2025 to 1.512 billion yuan by 2027, with corresponding net profits expected to rise from 130 million yuan to 290 million yuan during the same period [2][15][31]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.51 yuan in 2025 to 1.13 yuan by 2027, reflecting strong growth potential [2][15]. 5. Strategic Collaborations - Hangya Technology has established strategic partnerships with key industry players, enhancing its production capabilities and market reach. The collaboration with CFM and other international clients is expected to solidify its position in the market [1][49][54].

Core Conclusions - The report highlights significant breakthroughs in domestic AI large models, particularly with DeepSeek, which led to a notable independent rally in the computer industry in early 2025, outperforming the market [5][12] - The computer sector experienced a rapid recovery in revenue growth and profit margins during the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 832.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.50%, and net profit increasing by 47.77% [17][21] - Public fund holdings in the computer sector decreased to 2.6% in Q3 2025, indicating a low allocation but potential for future increases as AI technology continues to develop [25][29] 2025 Review - The computer industry saw a significant performance recovery, with a cumulative increase of 14.05% by December 11, 2025, ranking 17th among 31 primary industries [13][12] - The emergence of DeepSeek's R1 model marked a milestone in domestic AI, significantly lowering deployment barriers and accelerating AI application [32][38] - The overall gross margin for the computer industry was 20.73%, reflecting a slight decline, but cost control measures were effective, reducing the combined expense ratio by 2.08 percentage points [21][24] 2026 Outlook - Continued growth in capital expenditures (CapEx) from major domestic and international companies is expected, with a focus on AI computing power [113][114] - The report anticipates a significant increase in the adoption of enterprise-level AI applications, driven by top-level policies and the proliferation of AI agents [8][9] - The development of multi-modal capabilities in large models is expected to expand their application range significantly, moving beyond text to physical world interactions [7][8]

Group 1: Economic Policy Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized a coordinated approach to internal and external economic challenges, highlighting the need to strengthen domestic capabilities to address external risks[1] - The macroeconomic policy maintains a consistent tone with previous years, focusing on necessary fiscal deficits, total debt scale, and expenditure, reflecting a commitment to stabilize the economy and expectations[2] - The conference adopted a problem-oriented approach, addressing issues such as stabilizing investment and new birth rates, indicating a strong resolve to tackle existing challenges[2] Group 2: Real Estate and Market Development - The report reiterates the need to "reduce inventory" in the real estate sector, a continuation of previous policies aimed at addressing excess inventory, particularly in third and fourth-tier cities[3] - Future policies are expected to include the establishment of a unified national market and energy development plans, indicating a strategic focus on long-term market stability[3] - Risks include potential geopolitical disruptions and the possibility that policy implementation may not meet expectations, which could affect market confidence[4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [9] Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the restaurant industry is expected to benefit significantly from ongoing service consumption policies aimed at boosting overall domestic demand [12][15] - The restaurant sector's revenue is projected to account for 12% of total social retail sales by 2024, showing a higher growth elasticity compared to the overall retail sector [12][28] - Japanese restaurant valuations are experiencing a premium, with a focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements alongside multi-format integration [12][79] Summary by Sections 1. Service Consumption Policies - The report highlights that service consumption policies are being reinforced, with specific measures targeting the restaurant sector as a core component of consumption stimulation [15][19] - Various regions are expanding the issuance of dining vouchers, which are expected to enhance consumer spending in the restaurant industry [15][19] 2. Restaurant Sector Performance - The restaurant sector is showing a recovery in its fundamentals, with a notable increase in revenue share within the social retail sector [28] - The growth rates for restaurant revenue are forecasted at 20% for 2023 and 5% for 2024, outpacing the overall retail sector growth [28][12] 3. Japanese Restaurant Valuations - The report notes that the Japanese restaurant sector is characterized by high valuation premiums, with leading companies achieving significant stock price increases [79][80] - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for top Japanese restaurant companies is above 25X, indicating strong market confidence [80] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong operational capabilities that can navigate through economic cycles, such as Yum China and Haidilao, as well as those in expansion phases like Xiaocaiyuan [12][79]

Group 1: Pharmaceutical Industry Insights - The 2026 pharmaceutical industry strategy report highlights a reversal in the market, driven by innovative drugs, with significant gains across various secondary sectors, particularly in Hong Kong where innovative drugs saw an increase of over 80% year-to-date [6][8] - Key catalysts for innovative drugs include policy support and successful business development (BD) transactions, with notable deals exceeding $1 billion validating the international competitiveness of Chinese innovative drugs [6][7] - A significant policy reform in October 2025 initiated a dual-track system for medical insurance, addressing the high-value innovative drugs' inclusion challenges, which is expected to guide commercial insurance to cover these gaps [6] Group 2: Company-Specific Updates - Yixin Group (2858.HK) has been included in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Technology 100 Index, which is expected to enhance liquidity, and has renewed a strategic cooperation agreement for used car services, reflecting confidence in the growing demand for this segment [10][11] - The company reported a robust Q3 performance with a total of 235,000 auto financing transactions, a year-on-year increase of 22.6%, outperforming the market growth rate of approximately 11% [11] - Yixin Group's financial technology business has shown significant growth, with financing facilitated through its platform reaching approximately 114 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 102% [11] Group 3: Electronic Sector Developments - Fuzhicheng Technology (002222.SZ) has exceeded revenue expectations, with a projected revenue growth to 11.15 billion yuan in 2025, and net profit expected to reach 3.02 billion yuan [15] - The company maintains a strong position in the ultra-precision optics sector, with its subsidiary achieving significant advancements and a revenue increase of 73.66% in H1 2025 [14] - Naxin Microelectronics (688052.SH) has successfully completed its H-share IPO, marking a critical step in its internationalization, with projected revenues of 33.01 billion yuan in 2025 [19]