1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In October 2025, the net financing of urban investment bonds turned positive again, with 27 new bond - issuing entities mostly achieving new financing. The net financing scale of urban investment bonds was 150 million yuan, an increase of 440 million yuan compared to August but lower than 688 million yuan in the same period last year. The exchange - issued urban investment bonds shifted from net repayment to net financing of 473 million yuan, while the net repayment scale of the association further expanded to 323 million yuan. [4][8] - The proportion of borrowing new to repay old in urban investment bond issuance in October decreased slightly, and the number of new financing entities in the association was lower than that in the exchange. The proportion of borrowing new to repay old decreased by 4.3 pct to 77.2%, and the proportions of repaying interest - bearing debts, supplementing working capital, project construction, and equity investment rebounded. [26] - In October, 23 new urban investment platforms declared themselves as market - oriented operating entities, and the spreads between entities inside and outside the list showed no differentiation. The spreads between market - oriented operating entities and those without such a declaration remained undifferentiated. [5] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 10 - month Urban Investment Bonds Re - turned to Net Financing, and Most of the 27 New Bond - Issuing Entities Achieved New Financing - **Net Financing Scale**: The net financing scale of urban investment bonds in October was 150 million yuan, an increase of 440 million yuan compared to August but lower than 688 million yuan in the same period last year. The exchange - issued urban investment bonds shifted from net repayment to net financing of 473 million yuan, while the net repayment scale of the association further expanded to 323 million yuan. [4][8] - **Regional Distribution**: In October, 14 provinces and municipalities such as Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Shandong had positive net financing of urban investment bonds, while 12 provinces and municipalities such as Chongqing and Jiangxi had net repayment. In the past year, the net repayment of urban investment bonds was 6.29 billion yuan, with a slightly narrowed decline compared to the previous year. Most provinces had an increase in net financing scale year - on - year, but 11 provinces and municipalities still had net repayment. [4][11] - **Early Repayment**: The actual early repayment scale of urban investment bonds in October decreased by 70 million yuan compared to September to 770 million yuan, but the scale of announced early repayment and cash tender offer repurchase increased month - on - month. The number and scale of termination approvals on the exchange in October both decreased. [4] - **First - Time Bond - Issuing Entities**: In October, there were 27 first - time bond - issuing entities, an increase of 4 compared to September, and the total bond - issuing scale rose to 1.354 billion yuan. These entities mainly issued bonds through private placement bonds on the exchange. The first - time bond - issuing platforms were mainly distributed in relatively economically developed regions such as Guangdong, Shandong, and Zhejiang. [4][22] 3.2 In October, the Proportion of Borrowing New to Repay Old in Urban Investment Bond Issuance Slightly Decreased, and the Number of New Financing Entities in the Association was Lower than that in the Exchange - **Proportion of Borrowing New to Repay Old**: The proportion of borrowing new to repay old in urban investment bond issuance in October decreased by 4.3 pct to 77.2%, and the proportions of repaying interest - bearing debts, supplementing working capital, project construction, and equity investment rebounded. [26] - **Regional Differences**: In October, the borrowing - new - to - repay - old ratios in Guizhou and Xinjiang remained at 100%. The borrowing - new - to - repay - old ratios in 11 provinces and municipalities such as Yunnan, Tianjin, and Ningxia increased, while those in 12 provinces and municipalities such as Hubei, Hunan, and Zhejiang decreased. [26][27] - **New Financing Entities**: In October, the association issued 36 products involving 25 entities, with a total issuance scale of 3.4677 billion yuan. The exchange issued 62 new - financing bonds involving 51 entities, with a total issuance scale of 4.5659 billion yuan. [28][29] 3.3 In October, 23 New Market - Oriented Declaration Entities were Added, and the Spreads between Entities Inside and Outside the List Showed No Differentiation - **Accumulated Market - Oriented Declaration Entities**: As of the end of October, a total of 525 urban investment entities declared themselves as market - oriented operating entities when issuing bonds. [36] - **October's Issuance Situation**: In October, 78 entities that declared market - oriented operation in the association issued 113 association bonds, with a total issuance scale of 6.8348 billion yuan. Five entities that declared market - oriented operation in the exchange issued exchange products in October, among which Hefei Construction Investment achieved new financing. [5][39] - **Spread Analysis**: The spreads between market - oriented operating entities and those without such a declaration remained undifferentiated. For AA - rated and AA(2) - rated urban investment bonds, the spreads in most regions converged, and there was no significant differentiation between market - oriented and non - market - oriented entities. [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for ZTO Express (2057.HK) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that ZTO Express achieved a year-on-year growth of 9.8% in parcel volume for Q3 2025, driven by a strong performance in the bulk parcel segment, which saw nearly 50% growth year-on-year [3][6] - The company adjusted its full-year parcel volume growth target down to 12.3% to 13.8%, reflecting a more cautious outlook while emphasizing quality and market share expansion [5] - The report suggests that the express delivery industry still has significant growth potential, particularly in the context of e-commerce and the ongoing "anti-involution" trend, which shifts focus from quantity to quality [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, ZTO Express reported total revenue of 34.588 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, with adjusted net profit of 6.818 billion yuan, down 8.1% year-on-year [2] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.865 billion yuan, up 11.1% year-on-year, and adjusted net profit of 2.506 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year [2] Operational Metrics - In Q3 2025, ZTO Express handled 9.573 billion parcels, marking a 9.8% increase year-on-year, with a market share of approximately 19.4%, maintaining the leading position in the industry [3] - The average revenue per parcel in Q3 was 1.15 yuan, reflecting a 2.3% increase year-on-year, attributed to improved pricing dynamics due to the "anti-involution" trend [3] Cost and Profitability - The cost per parcel in Q3 was approximately 0.59 yuan, down 8.5% year-on-year, with significant reductions in line-haul and sorting costs [4] - The adjusted net profit per parcel was 0.262 yuan, down 4.3% year-on-year, but up 25.6% quarter-on-quarter, indicating improved profitability trends [4] Future Outlook - The report projects adjusted net profits for ZTO Express to be 9.870 billion yuan in 2025, with growth rates of -2.08%, 14.21%, and 11.11% for the following years [7] - The company is expected to leverage its scale and operational efficiencies to achieve stable growth in both parcel volume and profitability [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - International oil prices have declined due to geopolitical factors, with Brent and WTI prices at $62.56 and $58.06 per barrel respectively as of November 21, 2025 [9][22] - The oil and petrochemical sector has seen a decrease of 2.99% in the past week, while the broader market (CSI 300) fell by 3.77% [10][12] - The report highlights a potential restart of peace talks between the US and Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict, which may impact oil prices [9] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $62.56 per barrel, down $1.83 (-2.84%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures fell to $58.06, down $2.03 (-3.38%) [22] - The report notes that geopolitical tensions, including US sanctions on Russian oil, have influenced market dynamics [9] Offshore Drilling Services - As of November 17, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs was 365, a decrease of 5 from the previous week [25] Oil Supply - US crude oil production was reported at 13.834 million barrels per day as of November 14, 2025, a decrease of 28,000 barrels from the previous week [36] - The number of active drilling rigs in the US increased by 2 to 419 as of November 21, 2025 [36] Oil Demand - US refinery crude processing increased to 16.232 million barrels per day as of November 14, 2025, up by 259,000 barrels from the previous week [46] Oil Inventory - As of November 14, 2025, total US crude oil inventory was 835 million barrels, a decrease of 2.893 million barrels (-0.35%) [56] - Strategic oil inventory increased by 533,000 barrels (+0.13%) to 411 million barrels [56] Refined Oil Prices - In North America, average prices for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel were $107.63, $81.99, and $98.74 per barrel respectively as of November 21, 2025 [78]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electronic industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The electronic sub-industry experienced a pullback this week, with the Shenwan electronic secondary index showing year-to-date changes: semiconductors (+32.19%), other electronics II (+33.80%), components (+75.60%), optical optoelectronics (+0.31%), consumer electronics (+34.36%), and electronic chemicals II (+32.97%). This week, the changes were: semiconductors (-6.09%), other electronics II (-11.95%), components (-5.36%), optical optoelectronics (-4.96%), consumer electronics (-5.62%), and electronic chemicals II (-3.71%) [3][10] - Nvidia's FY26Q3 revenue reached $57 billion, a year-over-year increase of 62% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 22%, exceeding market expectations of $54.9 billion. The company also provided guidance for FY26Q4 revenue of $65 billion (±2%), surpassing market expectations of $61.7 billion [3][24] - Google released its latest models, Gemini 3 and Nano Banana Pro, which further strengthen the Scaling Law, indicating significant advancements in AI capabilities [3][4] Summary by Sections Electronic Industry Overview - The electronic sub-industry has shown a significant pullback this week, with various segments experiencing declines in their year-to-date performance [3][10] Key Company Performance - Nvidia's FY26Q3 performance included a revenue of $57 billion, a gross margin of 73.6%, and a net income of $31.8 billion, reflecting strong growth in its data center business, which generated $51.2 billion in revenue, a 66% year-over-year increase [3][24][26] - The company indicated that its cloud GPUs are sold out, highlighting strong demand for its products [3] New Product Releases - Google introduced Gemini 3 and Nano Banana Pro, which are expected to enhance AI search capabilities and redefine front-end development by integrating agents with user interfaces [3][4] Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch include: for overseas AI - Industrial Fulian, Huadian Co., Pengding Holdings, Shenghong Technology, and Shengyi Technology; for domestic AI - Cambricon, Chipone, Haiguang Information, SMIC, and Shenzhen South Circuit [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the coal industry is at the beginning of a new upward cycle, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal stocks on dips [12][13] - The report highlights a tight supply situation, with coal prices stabilizing at a new platform, and emphasizes the high profitability, cash flow, and dividend yield of quality coal companies [12][13] - The report suggests that the coal sector is undervalued and has potential for valuation enhancement, with a focus on high dividend yields and cyclical elasticity [12][13] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of November 22, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 827 RMB/ton, unchanged from the previous week [28] - The price for thermal coal from Shanxi at the pit head is 780 RMB/ton, up by 15 RMB/ton week-on-week [28] - International thermal coal prices have seen slight increases, with Newcastle thermal coal at 86.5 USD/ton, up by 1.5 USD/ton [28] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 91.5%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points week-on-week [46] - Daily coal consumption in 17 inland provinces has increased by 14.7 thousand tons/day, a rise of 4.37% week-on-week [12] - The report notes that the daily coal consumption in 8 coastal provinces has also risen by 7.5 thousand tons/day, up by 4.18% week-on-week [12] Coal Inventory Situation - Coal inventories in coastal provinces increased by 25.5 thousand tons week-on-week, while inland provinces saw an increase of 89.1 thousand tons [12] - The report indicates a decrease in available days of coal supply in both coastal and inland regions [12] Company Performance - The report emphasizes the strong performance of companies like China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and others, which are expected to maintain stable operations and robust earnings [13] - It also highlights companies with higher elasticity such as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and others, suggesting they are worth monitoring [13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The A-share automotive sector underperformed the market this week, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index declining by 3.77% and the automotive sector falling by 4.89%, ranking 16th among A-share industries [2][8] - Key news includes the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announcing mandatory national standards for intelligent connected vehicles, and Huawei's launch of two new models, "Yijing" and "Qijing," set to debut next year [21][22] - The report suggests focusing on companies such as BYD, Geely, Great Wall Motors, and others in the passenger vehicle segment, while recommending attention to commercial vehicle manufacturers like China National Heavy Duty Truck and FAW Liberation [2] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The automotive sector's performance this week saw a decline of 4.89%, placing it 16th among A-share industries [8][11] - The passenger vehicle segment experienced a drop of 5.94%, with Jianghuai Automobile and GAC Group leading the decline [5][17] - The commercial vehicle segment fell by 3.04%, with *ST Yaxing and Weichai Power showing the most significant gains [5][19] - The automotive parts sector decreased by 4.87%, with Daway Co. and Tianpu Co. leading the gains [5][20] Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has publicized mandatory national standards for intelligent connected vehicles, focusing on safety requirements for autonomous driving systems [21] - Huawei's new models, "Yijing" and "Qijing," are set to launch next year, with plans for annual new model releases [21] - The report highlights various collaborations and innovations in the industry, including support for battery swap models and local production plans in Europe by Magna with GAC and Xpeng [21][22] Upstream Data Tracking - The report includes tracking of key material prices such as steel, aluminum, and lithium carbonate, which are crucial for automotive manufacturing [24]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The steel sector experienced a decline of 7.02% this week, underperforming the broader market, with specific segments such as long products down by 9.67% and flat products down by 7.38% [2][10] - Despite current supply-demand challenges and overall profit decline, the steel demand is expected to stabilize or slightly increase due to government policies aimed at economic growth, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [3][2] - The report suggests that the steel industry is likely to maintain a balanced supply-demand situation, with a focus on high-margin specialty steel companies and leading firms with strong cost control [3][2] Supply Situation - As of November 21, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces among sample steel companies is 88.6%, a decrease of 0.22 percentage points week-on-week [2][25] - The production of five major steel products reached 7.412 million tons, an increase of 2.08% week-on-week [2][25] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products was 8.942 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3.90% [2][30] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 100,000 tons, a slight increase of 0.24% week-on-week [2][35] Inventory Situation - Social inventory of five major steel products decreased by 3.01% week-on-week to 10.294 million tons, while factory inventory also saw a decline of 2.95% to 4.037 million tons [2][43] Steel Prices & Profits - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel was 3,438.3 CNY/ton, a week-on-week increase of 0.47% [2][49] - The profit for rebar produced in blast furnaces was -30 CNY/ton, while the profit for electric arc furnace-produced construction steel was -112 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 27.74% [2][55] Raw Material Situation - The spot price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) was 793 CNY/ton, up by 0.89% week-on-week [2][72] - The price for coking coal at the main stockpile in Jingtang Port was 1,790 CNY/ton, down by 40 CNY/ton week-on-week [2][72] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on regional leaders with advanced equipment and environmental standards, as well as companies benefiting from the new energy cycle and those with strong competitive advantages in raw material supply [3][2]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the oil refining industry. Core Insights - The report highlights that spring orders are beginning to be released in certain regions, and the profitability of polyester filament continues to improve [1]. Summary by Sections Domestic and International Refining Project Price Differentials - As of November 21, 2025, the domestic key refining project price differential is 2389.69 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 52.43 CNY/ton (+2.24%). The international key refining project price differential is 1446.16 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 6.66 CNY/ton (+0.46%) [2][3]. Refining Sector - The report notes that the end of the U.S. government shutdown is expected to boost demand. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the attack on the Russian port of Novorossiysk, raise concerns about supply disruptions from Russia. The Brent and WTI crude oil prices as of November 21, 2025, are 62.56 USD/barrel and 58.06 USD/barrel, respectively, reflecting decreases of 1.83 USD and 2.03 USD from the previous week [2][15]. Chemical Sector - The chemical price differentials are showing a fluctuating trend. Polyethylene prices are stable, while polypropylene demand remains weak, leading to price declines. The report indicates that the price of pure benzene remains stable, with a slight increase in its price differential [2][57]. Polyester & Nylon Sector - Demand for polyester filament is gradually being released, with product prices and profits showing slight increases. The report mentions that two new production facilities have been commissioned, although they have not yet started production. The prices of nylon fiber products have slightly increased, while the price differential has significantly decreased [2][57]. Stock Performance of Major Refining Companies - As of November 21, 2025, the stock price changes for six major private refining companies over the past week are as follows: Rongsheng Petrochemical (-9.17%), Hengli Petrochemical (-5.29%), Dongfang Shenghong (-3.44%), Hengyi Petrochemical (-3.01%), Tongkun Co. (-6.04%), and Xin Fengming (-9.63%). Over the past month, stock price changes are: Rongsheng Petrochemical (+4.58%), Hengli Petrochemical (+14.38%), Dongfang Shenghong (+7.91%), Hengyi Petrochemical (+10.44%), Tongkun Co. (+11.55%), and Xin Fengming (+7.98%) [2].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The central bank's current policy attitude is similar to that in Q4 2023, with a reduced desire to promote the growth of M2 and social financing. However, the current situation is due to the decline in government bond net financing, and the central bank has no intention to tighten liquidity actively but lacks the willingness to relax it. With the approaching of year - end important meetings, the policy's demand for stable growth may become clearer, and attention should be paid to whether the monetary policy attitude will change [24]. - The funds rate center this week was higher than expected. If the central bank's policy framework remains unchanged, the funds price may loosen marginally at the end of November and next week [28][49]. - The market's attention to the winning bid rate of the repurchase - type reverse repurchase has increased. The central bank may not intentionally raise the winning bid rate, but a significant decline may still require a policy rate cut [20][21]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs I. Money Market 1.1 This Week's Funds Review - The central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net injection of 554 billion yuan this week, and an 80 - billion - yuan 6 - month repurchase - type reverse repurchase operation was carried out on Monday. The monthly net injection of the repurchase - type reverse repurchase increased by 100 billion yuan to 500 billion yuan compared with October. Affected by tax payments and government bond payments, the funds tightened in the first half of the week and then loosened. DR001 reached 1.53% at one point and fell to 1.32% on Friday [3][7]. - The trading volume of pledged repurchase first decreased and then increased, with the average daily trading volume decreasing by 0.15 trillion yuan to 7.29 trillion yuan compared with last week. The net lending of large - scale banks first decreased and then increased, returning to 4 trillion yuan on Friday. The net lending of joint - stock banks and city commercial banks increased after Tuesday, but the net lending of joint - stock banks decreased again on Friday. The new - caliber funds gap index reached - 398 on Tuesday and then fell to - 4117 on Friday, lower than - 1918 last Friday [14]. - As of Friday, the cross - month progress of inter - bank institutions was at the lowest level in recent years, and the cross - month progress of the exchange was only higher than that in 2024. The overall cross - month progress of the market was 9.6%, 4.4 percentage points lower than the average from 2020 - 2024 [18]. - After the "Financial Times" mentioned "fund idling", the market's attention to the winning bid rate of the repurchase - type reverse repurchase increased. The 6 - month repurchase - type reverse repurchase injection in November reached 800 billion yuan, with a net injection of 500 billion yuan, reflecting the central bank's intention to maintain sufficient liquidity. However, due to the large maturity of certificates of deposit and banks' high demand for medium - term liquidity across the Spring Festival, the winning bid rate may be affected. The central bank may not intentionally raise the winning bid rate, but a significant decline may require a policy rate cut [20][21]. 1.2 Next Week's Funds Outlook - The expected government bond payment scale next week is 557.3 billion yuan, with a net payment of 308.8 billion yuan, a decrease from this week. It is estimated that the government bond issuance scale in November is 1.94 trillion yuan, with a net financing of 1.25 trillion yuan, an increase of about 720 billion yuan compared with October. It is estimated that the government bond issuance scale in December is about 2.28 trillion yuan, with a net financing of about 670 billion yuan [31][38][40]. - The maturity scale of the 7 - day reverse repurchase next week will increase from 1.122 trillion yuan to 1.676 trillion yuan, and there will also be a 900 - billion - yuan MLF maturity on Tuesday. Although the increase in reverse repurchase maturity, government bond payment pressure, and institutions' cross - month funds demand may disturb the funds, the central bank's MLF is expected to be renewed in excess, and the year - end fiscal expenditure may hedge the impact. If the central bank's policy framework remains unchanged, the funds rate may decline next week [49]. II. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - The 1 - year Shibor rate remained unchanged at 1.65% this week. The net repayment scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit increased by 36.97 billion yuan to 38.71 billion yuan compared with last week. The net financing scales of state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks were - 195.9 billion yuan, - 162.7 billion yuan, - 26.7 billion yuan, and - 13.7 billion yuan respectively. The issuance proportion of 1 - year certificates of deposit increased to 39%. The maturity scale of certificates of deposit next week is about 775.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 145.8 billion yuan compared with this week [50][52]. - The issuance success rates of rural commercial banks, joint - stock banks, and city commercial banks decreased compared with last week, while that of state - owned banks increased. The issuance spread between city commercial banks and joint - stock banks for 1 - year certificates of deposit narrowed. Affected by the increased funds fluctuations, fund companies tended to reduce their holdings of certificates of deposit, the willingness of money market funds to increase their holdings declined significantly, the demand of wealth management products and other products was relatively stable, and joint - stock banks tended to increase their holdings. The relative strength index of supply and demand for certificates of deposit continued to decline, falling by 4.1 percentage points to 37.7% on Friday, still in a relatively strong range. The supply - demand index of 6 - month certificates of deposit increased, while that of other maturities decreased slightly [53][65]. III. Bill Market - The bill rate continued to rise after Tuesday this week. The 3 - month and 6 - month national bill rates increased by 18BP and 14BP respectively compared with November 14th, reaching 0.58% and 0.77% [70]. IV. Bond Trading Sentiment Tracking - The bond market continued to fluctuate narrowly this week, and the credit and secondary - tier perpetual bond spreads were relatively stable. The willingness of large - scale banks to increase their bond holdings decreased slightly, mainly due to the significant weakening of the willingness to increase their holdings of certificates of deposit, a slight decrease in the willingness to increase their holdings of short - term treasury bonds, and an increase in the willingness to reduce their holdings of medium - term notes. Trading - type institutions' willingness to increase their bond holdings increased slightly, while allocation - type institutions' willingness to increase their bond holdings decreased [73].

10 月份全国全社会用电量同比增长 10.4%，国际气价周环比上涨 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 11 月 23 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 公用事业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 化工行业： 唐婵玉 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500525050001 邮 箱：tangchanyu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 10 月份全国全社会用电量同比增长 10.4%，国际气 价周环比上涨 2025 年 11 月 23 日 本期内容提 ...