Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Yonghui Supermarket [1][3]. Core Views - Yonghui Supermarket is undergoing significant adjustments, including store closures and supply chain reforms, leading to fluctuations in revenue and net profit. The company is committed to the "Fat Donglai" strategy, which, combined with support from Fat Donglai and investment from Miniso, is expected to enhance its product offerings in the daily necessities category. The long-term outlook for the company's quality retail strategy is promising [1][7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 78,642 million, with a year-on-year decline of 13%. The revenue is expected to decrease further to 67,574 million in 2024, followed by a slight recovery in 2026 and 2027 with projected revenues of 78,680 million and 97,091 million respectively [2][10]. - The company is expected to report a net profit of -1,329 million in 2023, with a forecasted improvement to 727 million by 2026 and 1,521 million by 2027 [2][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be -0.15 in 2023, improving to 0.08 in 2026 and 0.17 in 2027 [2][10]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to be -33.9 in 2023, improving to 29.7 by 2027 [2][10]. Operational Performance - In the first half of 2025, Yonghui Supermarket reported a revenue of 29,948 million, a decrease of 20.73% year-on-year, and a net profit of -241 million, compared to 275 million in the same period last year. The decline in revenue is attributed to the closure of underperforming stores and the impact of supply chain upgrades [7]. - The company has closed 227 old stores and has signed contracts for 79 new stores that have yet to open. As of the report's end, there are 124 stores undergoing adjustments [7]. - Online sales accounted for 18.33% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, with self-operated home delivery sales reaching 3,140 million [7]. Supply Chain and Product Strategy - Yonghui Supermarket is enhancing its supply chain efficiency by signing contracts with 2,860 suppliers under a direct procurement model, reducing the number of suppliers by approximately 50%. The sourcing ratio for fresh products has increased to over 60% [7]. - The company is also focusing on product innovation, launching customized products such as Yili's fresh milk and redefining its private label strategy to offer high-quality products at competitive prices [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for the consumer electronics sector, emphasizing the focus on AI edge innovation and the potential for investment opportunities in the supply chain related to Apple and Android products [6][26]. Core Insights - The report highlights the upcoming autumn product launches and the importance of AI innovations, particularly with the release of GPT-5, which is expected to drive commercial applications [1][2]. - It notes that Apple's Q3 revenue guidance indicates high single-digit growth, supported by a significant $100 billion investment in the U.S. and potential tariff exemptions [1][13]. - The report emphasizes the growth in various segments, including smartphones, PCs, wearables, and automotive, while also tracking the impact of tariffs and AI innovations on sales [1][11][29]. Summary by Sections Terminal Trends and Innovation Tracking - **Smartphones**: Q2 global smartphone shipments grew by 1%, with a notable decline in China at -4%. The report anticipates that the iPhone 17, with enhanced AI features, will boost sales in Q3 [2][32]. - **PCs/Tablets**: Q2 PC shipments increased by 6.5%, but growth is expected to slow in H2 due to inventory adjustments and reduced demand [3][32]. - **Wearables**: AI/AR glasses saw a significant increase in shipments, up 87% year-on-year, driven by Meta's products [4][32]. - **Smart Home**: TV shipments are expected to see a slight increase, while demand for the Nintendo Switch remains strong [5][32]. - **Automotive**: The domestic automotive market saw a 13% increase in H1 sales, with a focus on the development of intelligent driving technologies [11][32]. - **Robotics**: Companies like Zhiyuan and Yushun have secured commercial orders, indicating growth in the robotics sector [12][32]. Industry Chain Tracking - **Brand Companies**: Apple has announced a $100 billion investment in the U.S., while Xiaomi reported record Q2 performance, highlighting the importance of smartphone market dynamics [13][32]. - **Assembly**: The upcoming product season is expected to drive demand, with a focus on AI innovations in cloud and edge computing [14][32]. - **Main Chips**: The domestic AIoT SoC industry is performing well, with a focus on AI applications in the second half of the year [15][32]. - **Optics**: The report emphasizes the importance of innovations in optical components, particularly in relation to intelligent driving technologies [18][32]. - **Displays**: TV panel prices have started to decline, with a slight increase in shipments in H1 [19][32]. - **Passive Components**: Domestic companies are expected to see continued growth, driven by AI applications [24][32]. - **Equipment**: The report highlights the potential for domestic equipment manufacturers to benefit from PCB expansion and 3D printing innovations [25][32]. Investment Recommendations - **Apple Supply Chain**: The report suggests focusing on the Apple supply chain due to low valuations and frequent catalysts, with companies like Luxshare Precision and GoerTek highlighted as key beneficiaries [26][28]. - **Android Supply Chain**: It recommends monitoring AI innovations and subsidy policies that could enhance sales for domestic brands like Xiaomi and Transsion [27][28]. - **AI Terminal Applications**: The report sees significant investment opportunities in the AI terminal application space, particularly in smartphones, PCs, wearables, and robotics [28][29].

证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2025 年 08 月 21 日 云天化（600096.SH） 上半年利润保持稳定，全年业绩有望超预期增长 周期/化工 事件：公司发布 2025 年半年报，公司 2025 年上半年实现营收 249.92 亿元， 同比下降 21.88%，归母净利润 27.61 亿元，同比下降 2.81%，扣非归母净利润 26.96 亿元，同比下降 3.38%。其中二季度单季度实现营收 119.88 亿元，同比 下降 33.9%，归母净利润 14.72 亿，同比增长 6.52%。 ❑ 风险提示：原材料价格波动风险、项目进度不及预期风险、市场需求风险 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 69060 | 61537 | 62152 | 65260 | 68523 | | 同比增长 | -8% | -11% | 1% | 5% | 5% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 6825 | 7138 | 7393 | 8031 | 8 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 12.35 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 251.0%, and a net profit of 2.27 billion RMB, up 285.8% year-on-year [7]. - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 9.59 RMB per share and aims to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of 50% of the accumulated undistributed profits each year [7]. - The company is experiencing significant growth across all channels, with offline store revenue increasing by 243.2% year-on-year and online platform revenue rising by 313.3% [7]. - The company has rapidly expanded its membership base, reaching 480,000 loyal members, which enhances its high-end brand positioning [7]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.545 billion, 6.348 billion, and 8.422 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 209%, 40%, and 33% respectively [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - The total revenue for the company is projected to reach 25.214 billion RMB in 2025, with a gross profit margin of 40.5% [10][11]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 78.6% in 2025, indicating strong profitability [11]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to be 26.5 in 2025, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to its growth prospects [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for several key companies in the military industry, including 中航西飞, 中航光电, 航天彩虹, 中科海讯, and 中航沈飞, among others [8]. Core Insights - The military industry has entered a phase of intensive commercial space launches, with significant advancements in satellite manufacturing and rocket launches [20][21]. - The ground equipment sub-industry has shown strong performance, with a year-to-date increase of 97.5%, driven by increased orders and mergers [14][12]. - The upcoming military parade on September 3 will highlight underwater combat capabilities, showcasing new technologies and equipment [25][26]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW National Defense and Military Index decreased by 0.15% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.22 percentage points. However, it has increased by 21.74% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 14.94 percentage points [12][18]. - The ground equipment sub-industry led the military sectors with a weekly increase of 2.27% [14]. Key Events Recap - The commercial space sector is experiencing a surge in satellite launches, with three successful launches in August alone. Notable advancements include the successful deployment of multiple satellite constellations [20][21]. - The report highlights the increasing capabilities in satellite manufacturing and the launch of new commercial rockets, with a total of 39 launches by private companies from 2021 to mid-2025 [20]. Catalysts Outlook - The military parade scheduled for September 3 will feature new combat capabilities, particularly in underwater operations, reflecting advancements in military technology [25][26]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic and military trade demand, which is expected to enhance pricing power and profitability for leading companies in the sector [25].

证券研究报告 | 策略定期报告 2025 年 08 月 20 日 7 月社零同比增幅收窄，金属切削机床产量同比增幅扩大 ——行业景气观察（0820） 本周景气度改善的方向主要在部分中游制造、信息技术和金融地产领域。上游资 源品中，水泥价格上涨；中游制造领域，7 月主要企业工程机械销售当月同比多 数改善，金属切削机床、包装专用设备产量同比增幅扩大。信息技术中，7 月集 成电路进、出口金额同比增幅扩大，智能手机产量三个月滚动同比增幅扩大。消 费服务领域，空冰洗彩零售额四周滚动同比转负。7 月社会消费品零售总额当月 同比增幅收窄，家电、家具、通讯器材零售维持较高增长。推荐景气较高或有改 善的建材、工程机械、通用设备、光伏、半导体、非银等。 ❑【本周关注】7 月社会消费品零售总额当月同比增幅收窄，低于市场预期，扩消 费政策效应仍在，家电、家具、通讯器材零售维持较高增长。具体来看：1）一线 城市仍是社零修复的主要拖累，消费驱动力在三线和五线城市；2）必选消费表现 分化，粮油食品类需求刚性，稳健增长，饮料、烟酒同比转正，服装纺织同比放 缓；3）"以旧换新"政策提振作用仍在，家电、家具、通讯器材维持较高增长， 仍是拉动 7 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target valuation of 21.00 - 24.00 CNY, while the current stock price is 18.05 CNY [3]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 3.727 billion CNY and a net profit of 330 million CNY, representing year-on-year growth of 21.59% and 99% respectively [7][11]. - The battery business has shown significant recovery, with a shipment of approximately 310 million units in the first half of 2025, and a 70% year-on-year increase in Q2 shipments [11][12]. - The company is expanding its market presence in new applications such as BBU modules and AI robotics, which are expected to enhance profitability [12][13]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 5.222 billion CNY in 2023, 6.756 billion CNY in 2024, and an estimated 8.201 billion CNY in 2025, with respective year-on-year growth rates of -17%, 29%, and 21% [2][17]. - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve, with estimates of 21% in 2025, up from 12.8% in 2023 [17]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 9.0% in the trailing twelve months to 16.0% by 2027 [3][21]. Business Analysis - The battery segment is expected to contribute significantly to profits, with estimated profits of over 1 billion CNY in Q2 2025, driven by increased production rates and price adjustments [11][12]. - The LED and metal logistics segments are also contributing positively, with the LED business alone contributing over 500 million CNY in Q2 2025 [12][13]. - The company is actively pursuing new customer segments in the electric tool market, with overseas customer contributions expected to exceed 50% [11][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) with a target price of HKD 515.00, indicating a potential upside of 17% from the current price of HKD 441.2 [2][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights that HKEX achieved record half-year results in H1 2025, with total revenue of HKD 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 8.5 billion, up 39% year-on-year [1][5]. - The report emphasizes strong trading activity in both the cash and derivatives markets, contributing to the revenue and profit growth [5][8]. - The report projects continued growth in net profit for HKEX, estimating HKD 16.6 billion, HKD 18.1 billion, and HKD 19.5 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 9%, and 7% respectively [8]. Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 financial highlights include: - Total revenue: HKD 14.1 billion, +33% YoY - Net profit: HKD 8.5 billion, +39% YoY - EBITDA: HKD 10.9 billion, +43% YoY, with an EBITDA margin of 79%, up 6 percentage points YoY [1][5][8]. - Revenue breakdown by business segment for H1 2025: - Cash market: HKD 6.7 billion, +62% YoY - Equity securities and financial derivatives: HKD 3.55 billion, +15% YoY - Other segments also showed positive growth [5][8]. Market Activity - The report notes that the cash market saw record trading volumes, with average daily turnover (ADT) reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122% increase YoY [5][6]. - The primary market experienced a strong momentum with 44 new listings in H1 2025, raising HKD 109.4 billion, which is more than eight times the amount raised in H1 2024 [8][34]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides projected financial metrics for HKEX: - Revenue growth forecast for 2025: HKD 27.8 billion, +24% YoY - Projected PE ratio for 2025: 22.23 [7][33]. - The report indicates a strong return on equity (ROE) of 25.1% and a book value per share of HKD 41.0 [2][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the renal denervation (RDN) sector [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights the significant burden of hypertension in China, with an estimated 245 million individuals affected, emphasizing the need for innovative treatment options beyond traditional medication [2][16]. - RDN is presented as a groundbreaking therapy for hypertension, demonstrating effective and safe long-term blood pressure control through various techniques, primarily radiofrequency and ultrasound ablation [3][33]. - The approval of RDN devices by the FDA marks a pivotal moment for the commercialization of this therapy, with multiple products already approved in China, indicating a growing market potential [4][37]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Hypertension and RDN - Hypertension is a leading risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, with a rising prevalence due to aging and lifestyle factors [2][16]. - Current pharmacological treatments face adherence issues and limited efficacy for resistant hypertension, necessitating new therapeutic approaches [26][22]. Section 2: Breakthroughs in RDN Therapy - RDN has evolved from initial surgical techniques to a minimally invasive procedure, with significant clinical trials validating its effectiveness [37][38]. - The report discusses the challenges faced in earlier trials, such as the SYMPLICITY HTN-3 study, and the subsequent improvements in trial design and device technology [42][43]. Section 3: Market Development and Competition - The report outlines the competitive landscape, noting that several RDN products have received regulatory approval, with domestic companies innovating to differentiate their offerings [4][9]. - The potential for market expansion is underscored by the increasing number of approved RDN devices and the anticipated growth in patient numbers requiring treatment [4][9]. Section 4: Related Investment Targets - Key investment targets include companies like 百心安, which is noted as a leading domestic RDN manufacturer, and 微电生理, which offers advanced visualization solutions for RDN procedures [9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company leverages shipping resources from its major shareholder to enhance port and shipping synergy, while expanding its global asset layout, particularly moving from the Northern Hemisphere to the Southern Hemisphere [1][6] - The company operates and manages 375 berths across 39 ports globally, with a total throughput of 140 million TEU in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [6][19] - The company has a strong focus on high-margin mature assets in domestic markets, contributing over 80% of total profits [30][61] Summary by Sections 1. Global Layout and Asset Acquisition - The company is a core platform for global port operations under the COSCO Shipping Group, focusing on building a comprehensive network of coastal and overseas hub ports [12] - The company has established long-term partnerships in key domestic regions and is expanding its overseas strategic layout in Europe, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America [12][19] 2. Domestic High-Margin Asset Focus - The company’s domestic operations are concentrated in the Bohai Rim and Pearl River Delta regions, with significant contributions from investments in Qingdao International and Tianjin Container Terminal [58][61] - The domestic port assets maintain a higher gross margin compared to overseas assets, with the gross margin for domestic terminals at 35.8% in Q1 2025 [39][61] 3. Global Expansion and Shipping Resource Empowerment - The company has rich experience in overseas acquisitions, primarily focusing on European hub ports and greenfield projects in the Middle East, with plans to expand into emerging markets in South America and Southeast Asia [6][22] - The proportion of container volume from Ocean Alliance customers has increased from 51.8% in 2017 to 54.6% in 2024, indicating a strengthening of global partnerships [6][22] 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company’s revenue is projected to grow steadily, with total revenue expected to reach 11.36 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5% [7] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.44 billion, 2.64 billion, and 2.83 billion RMB respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 8.9x for 2025 [7][6]