Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The PX market price has rebounded recently due to multiple factors. Although some planned maintenance has ended and production capacity is gradually recovering, PX output is still limited. This is mainly driven by two key factors: the soaring gasoline profit margin, which prompts refineries to reduce raw material input in aromatic units and increase gasoline production, and the low benzene price, which leads refineries to lower the load of reforming and STDP units to limit benzene output and thus PX supply [2]. - The supply side of PTA has slightly shrunk, while the polyester operation remains stable with a load of over 90%. Domestic polyester exports are still optimistic. Although the "Golden September and Silver October" period is over, the downstream weaving industry performs well, and export demand may improve. The costs of bottle chips and short fibers follow these trends [2]. Group 3: Summary Based on Related Catalogs Price and Index Changes - PTA spot price remained unchanged at 4630 from November 24 to November 25, 2025; MEG inner - market price increased by 30 to 3920; PTA closing price decreased by 24 to 4656; MEG closing price decreased by 11 to 3873; 1.4D direct - spinning polyester staple fiber price increased by 35 to 6385; short - fiber basis decreased by 4 to 121; 12 - 1 spread decreased by 8 to 60; polyester staple fiber cash flow increased by 6 to 246; 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber price remained at 5400; the price difference between 1.4D direct - spinning and imitation large - chemical fiber increased by 35 to 985; East China water bottle chip price increased by 2 to 5711; hot - filling polyester bottle chip price increased by 2 to 5711; carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip price increased by 2 to 5811; outer - market water bottle chip price remained at 760; bottle chip spot processing fee decreased by 8 to 439; T32S pure polyester yarn price remained at 10300; T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee decreased by 35 to 3915; polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained at 16300; cotton 328 price increased by 45 to 14475; polyester - cotton yarn profit decreased by 40 to 1595; primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) price remained at 7080; hollow short - fiber 6 - 15D cash flow decreased by 10 to 608; primary low - melting - point short - fiber price remained at 7580 [2]. Market Conditions - Short - fiber: The main futures of polyester staple fiber rose 26 to 6234. The spot market saw stable prices from production factories and slightly increased prices from traders. Downstream buyers purchased as needed, and factory sales were limited. The price of 1.56dtex*38mm semi - bright natural white (1.4D) polyester staple fiber in the East China market was 6170 - 6460 for cash on delivery, tax - included self - pick - up; in the North China market, it was 6290 - 6580 for cash on delivery, tax - included delivery; in the Fujian market, it was 6210 - 6350 for cash on delivery, tax - included delivery [2]. - Bottle chips: Raw materials provided strong support, and the processing fee on the futures market had been compressed to around 380 yuan/ton. The market center of polyester bottle chips rose, but downstream buyers were reluctant to chase the rising prices, and the trading was deadlocked. It was reported that the prices of November - December supplies were 5670 - 5740 or at a premium of 30 to 80 over the futures contract 2601, with stable basis. Some holders faced pressure to sell, and the prices of this month's supplies in the South China market were relatively low [2]. Load and Production and Sales Rates - The direct - spinning short - fiber load (weekly) increased by 0.95% to 89.32% [3]. - The polyester staple fiber production and sales rate increased by 3% to 71% [3]. - The polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) remained unchanged at 66% [3]. - The recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) remained unchanged at 51.1% [3].

80% 0.2 70% 60% 0.15 50% 0.1 40% 30% 0.05 20% 0 10% 2025-07-09 2025-09-09 2025-10-09 2025-11-09 2025-08-09 0% HV5 HV20 HV60 5日 20日 40日 60日 120日 波动率微笑曲线 上证50下月平值隐波 0.28 2512 2511 0.26 0.24 0000000000円円円円円11円 NW$010×4000×100×400 0.22 0.2 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.1 2325 2475 2400 2600 沪深300波动率分析 沪深300历史波动率 历史波动率锥 0.25 最小值 ·30%分位值 10%分位值 最大值 当前值 90%分位值 ·60%分位值 0.2 100% 90% 0.15 80% 70% 0.1 60% 50% 0.05 40% 30% 20% 0 10% 2025-07-09 2025-08-09 2025-09-09 2025-10-09 2025-11-09 0% HV5 - HV20 HV60 5日 20日 40日 60日 120日 波 ...

ITG 国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 玉米系数据日报 国贸期货研究院 农产品研究中心 黄向岚 投资咨询号:Z0021658 从业资格号:F03110419 2025/11/25 整体来说,短期基层借售,东北物流紧张,下游低库存等因素带来阶段性供应紧张,现货价格坚挺,盘面跟随反弹。卖压预期后置,供应 压力未充分释放前建议谨慎看多,关注农户售粮节奏变化和物流情况。 玉米主力合约基差(锦州港平舱价) 玉米淀粉主力合约基差 数据来源:WIND、钢联 ttp://19/20 ===== 19/20 ====== 20/21 ===== 21/22 ===== 22/23 ===== 22/23 ===== 23/24 = ======21/22 ==========22/23 == == first and the state of the succession war in the of the province of the may AX x with ! 2 : Milling 200 H -200 -200 400 -400 02/21 08/26 09/26 10/27 11/27 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Short - term focus on China's purchase of US soybeans, which may support US soybean prices. Without obvious weather issues, the market is expected to shift to trading the supply pressure of South American new crops from December to January. The new - crop discount trend may drag down the soybean meal futures pricing. It is recommended to short M05 on rallies [7]. 3. Summary by Related Content Supply - CONB predicts that Brazil's new - crop soybean output in the 25/26 season will reach 177.6 million tons. As of November 15, the soybean sowing rate in Brazil was 69.0% (compared to 58.4% last week, 73.8% in the same period last year, and a five - year average of 67.2%). As of November 13, the soybean planting rate in Argentina for the 2025/26 season was 15% (7% last week and 25% last year). There is a risk of relatively dry weather in southern Brazil and northern Argentina in the next few weeks, and the impact of the weak La Nina weather pattern should be monitored. Domestic soybean meal is expected to see inventory reduction from November to December, but the supply in the fourth quarter is still expected to be loose. The purchasing progress for December - January shipments is slow, and the supply gap in the first quarter of next year is uncertain [6]. Demand - Livestock and poultry are expected to maintain high inventory levels in the short term, which supports feed demand. However, current breeding profits are in the red, and national policies tend to control pig inventory and weight, which may affect future supply. Soybean meal has relatively high cost - effectiveness, and recent downstream long - term contracts for soybean meal have seen high trading volumes with good提货 performance [7]. Inventory - Domestic soybean and soybean meal inventories are at historically high levels for the same period and are expected to decline from November to December. The number of days of soybean meal inventory for feed enterprises has dropped to a low level [7]. Price and Spread - On November 24, the basis of the soybean meal main contract in Zhangjiagang was 79. The spot basis of 43% soybean meal in Tianjin, Rizhao, Zhangjiagang, Dongguan, Zhanjiang, and Fangcheng was 49, - 11, - 11, - 21, - 21, - 31 respectively. The spot basis of rapeseed meal in Guangdong was 10, with a change of 6. The M1 - M5 spread was 196, down 13. The RM1 - 5 spread was 1500, down 3. The spot spread between soybean meal and rapeseed meal in Guangdong was 300, and the spread of the main contract was 531, down 20 and 16 respectively [4][5]. Other Data - The US dollar - RMB exchange rate was 7.1056, and the Brazilian soybean CNF premium was 145 cents per bushel, with no change. The domestic port and major oil - mill soybean inventories, major oil - mill soybean meal inventories, feed enterprise soybean meal inventory days, major oil - mill operating rates, and major oil - mill soybean crushing volumes are presented in the form of historical data trends [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The overall shipping derivatives market shows a mixed trend. The Shanghai and China export container freight rates have different changes, with some routes experiencing declines and others increases. The EC market is expected to be in a weak - oscillating pattern, and short - term observation is recommended, focusing on the actual implementation of December freight rates and the effectiveness of January price increase letters [5][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Shanghai and China Export Container Freight Rates - **Current and Previous Values and Changes**: The current values of the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) and the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) are 1394 and 1123 respectively, with the previous values being 1451 and 1094, showing a - 3.98% and 2.63% change. For different routes, SCFI - US West has a current value of 1645, a previous value of 1823, and a - 9.76% change; SCFIS - US West has a current value of 1107, a previous value of 1238, and a - 10.58% change; SCFI - US East has a current value of 2384, a previous value of 2600, and a - 8.31% change; SCFI - Northwest Europe has a current value of 1367, a previous value of 1417, and a - 3.53% change; SCFIS - Northwest Europe has a current value of 1357, a previous value of 1504, and a - 9.77% change; SCFI - Mediterranean has a current value of 2055, a previous value of 2029, and a 1.28% change [5]. 3.2 EC Contracts - **Current and Previous Values and Changes**: For EC contracts, the current values of EC2506, EC2608, EC2610, EC2512, EC2602, and EC2604 are 1358.2, 1488.1, 1110.0, 1779.7, 1568.6, and 1142.1 respectively, with corresponding previous values being 1350.0, 1474.3, 1099.1, 1773.9, 1556.1, and 1133.2, showing changes of 0.61%, 0.94%, 0.99%, 0.33%, 0.80%, and 0.79% [5]. - **Position Changes**: The current positions of EC2606, EC2608, EC2610, EC2512, EC2602, and EC2604 are 1534, 1325, 2491, 6862, 43333, and 16096 respectively, with the previous positions being 1565, 1324, 2597, 7323, 43433, and 15961, showing changes of - 31, 1, - 106, - 461, - 100, and 135 [5]. - **Monthly Spread Changes**: The current monthly spreads of 12 - 02, 12 - 04, and 02 - 04 are 211.1, 637.6, and 426.5 respectively, with the previous values being 217.8, 640.7, and 422.9, showing changes of - 6.7, - 3.1, and 3.6 [5]. 3.3 Market Outlook and Strategy - **Market Outlook**: The EC market is expected to be in a weak - oscillating pattern. The core driving factors include the implementation of December freight rates, the execution of January price increase letters, and the seasonal change of cargo volume. In the short - term, it is recommended to wait and see, focusing on the actual implementation of December freight rates and the effectiveness of January price increase letters. If the December freight rates are implemented at a 20% discount, the EC2602 contract may test the 1500 - 1700 point range; if the price - holding is successful, the 02 contract may oscillate upwards to the 1800 - 1900 point range [7]. - **Strategy**: It is recommended to wait and see, as the 12 - contract is gradually losing trading value [8].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints - The current macro - level is in a relative vacuum period. The A - share market lacks a clear upward main line, and trading volume remains low. Short - term market differences are expected to be gradually digested during the index's shock adjustment, waiting for a new driving main line to push the index higher [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy are favorable for bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned of interest - rate risks, suppressing the upward space [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Equity Index - The A - share market lacks a clear upward main line, with low trading volume. Short - term market differences will be digested in the index's shock adjustment, and a new driving main line is awaited for further upward movement [1]. Bonds - Asset shortage and weak economy are good for bond futures, but short - term central bank's interest - rate risk warning restricts the rise [1]. Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: Market sentiment is volatile recently, and copper prices may fluctuate [1]. - Aluminum: With limited industrial drivers and volatile macro sentiment, aluminum prices are oscillating at a high level [1]. - Alumina: Domestic alumina production capacity continues to be released. Production and inventory are both increasing, and the fundamentals are weak. Prices are oscillating around the cost line [1]. - Zinc: The Fed has large internal differences, and the macro sentiment is expected to be volatile. Although there are short - term improvement signs in the domestic fundamentals, the oversupply pattern remains. Zinc prices are expected to fluctuate [1]. - Nickel: The Fed has large internal differences, and the macro sentiment has improved in the short term after the China - US presidential call. Indonesia restricts nickel - related smelting project approvals. With a planned monthly production cut of about 6,000 metric tons in Indonesian intermediate products, nickel prices have a repair expectation if the macro sentiment improves. It is recommended to focus on short - term operations, consider a light - position long - nickel and short - stainless - steel strategy. In the long - term, the primary nickel market remains oversupplied [1]. - Stainless Steel: The Fed has large internal differences, and the macro sentiment has improved in the short term. The price of raw material nickel - iron has weakened again, and the social inventory of stainless steel has increased. Steel mills' production cuts in November are limited. Stainless - steel futures are looking for a bottom in oscillation. It is recommended to focus on short - term operations, consider a light - position long - nickel and short - stainless - steel strategy, and pay attention to short - selling hedging opportunities at high prices [1]. - Tin: The Fed's differences are increasing, and the macro situation is volatile. Indonesia's tin exports have declined significantly. Considering the un - repaired tin - ore supply and terminal demand expectations, tin is still regarded as bullish in the long term [1]. Precious Metals and New Energy - Precious Metals: There are still differences regarding a December interest - rate cut. Precious - metal prices may fluctuate, and attention should be paid to US economic data [1]. - Industrial Silicon: Northwest production capacity is continuously resuming, and the start - up in the southwest is weaker than in previous years. The impact of the dry season is weakening. Polysilicon production in November has decreased, and there is a joint production cut in the organic - silicon industry [1]. - Polysilicon: There is an expectation of production - capacity reduction in the long term. Terminal installations will increase marginally in the fourth quarter. The anti - involution policy has not been implemented for a long time, and market sentiment has faded [1]. - Carbonate Lithium: The traditional peak season for new energy vehicles is approaching, energy - storage demand is strong, and the supply side is resuming production. However, there are concerns about potential weakening of industrial demand in the off - season [1]. Steel and Iron - Rebar: In the off - season, there are concerns about potential weakening of industrial demand. During the short - term macro vacuum period, although the valuation is low, the price increase space is limited. The virtual value accumulation strategy can be appropriately participated in [1]. - Hot - Rolled Coil: The off - season effect is not obvious, but the industrial structure is still loose. During the short - term macro vacuum period, the basis is acceptable. The spot - futures positive arbitrage can be appropriately participated in, or option strategies can be used to optimize costs or sales profits [1]. - Iron Ore: The near - month contracts are restricted by production cuts, but the commodity sentiment is good, and the far - month contracts still have upward opportunities [1]. - Ferroalloy: Short - term production profits are poor, cost support is strengthening, direct demand is acceptable, but supply is high, and the downstream is under pressure. The price rebound is limited [1]. Chemicals - Soda Ash: It follows the glass market, but supply and demand are average, and there is significant upward resistance [1]. - Coke and Coking Coal: From a valuation perspective, the current decline of coke and coking coal is close to the end. From a driving perspective, downstream replenishment is expected to start around mid - December. For now, a short - term trading strategy is recommended for single - side trading, and a wait - and - see attitude is advisable for the long - term [1]. Agricultural Products - Soybean Oil: The rumor that "the US delays the implementation of preferential cuts for imported bio - fuel raw materials" has been refuted, which has a positive impact on US soybeans and soybean oil. Domestic soybean - oil basis may be stable or weak under high - pressure crushing. It is recommended to wait and see [1]. - Rapeseed Oil: The industry is optimistic about the supply of Australian rapeseed and imported crude rapeseed oil. It is recommended to wait and see [1]. - Cotton: There is a strong expectation of a domestic new - crop harvest, and the purchase price of seed cotton supports the cost of lint. Downstream start - up remains low, but spinning mills' inventory is not high, with rigid replenishment demand. The cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driver" [1]. - Sugar: The global sugar supply has shifted from shortage to surplus, and raw - sugar prices are under pressure. The supply pressure of the domestic new crop has increased year - on - year, and Zhengzhou sugar is expected to follow the decline of raw sugar [1]. - Corn: Short - term supply is tight due to farmers' reluctance to sell, logistics tensions in the Northeast, and low downstream inventory. The spot price is firm, and the futures price has rebounded. It is recommended to be cautious about going long before the supply pressure is fully released [1]. - Bean Meal: Short - term attention should be paid to China's purchase of US soybeans, which may support the US soybean market. Without obvious weather problems, the market is expected to shift to trading the abundant supply of South American new crops from December to January. It is recommended to short MO5 on rallies [1]. Pulp and Logs - Pulp: The pulp - futures price has risen above the registration - warehouse - receipt cost of most coniferous - pulp delivery products. After new warehouse - receipt registration, a 1 - 3 reverse arbitrage can be considered [1]. - Logs: The fundamentals of logs have weakened, but this has been priced into the market. After a sharp decline in the futures price, the risk - return ratio of short - selling is low. It is recommended to wait and see [1]. Livestock - Pig: The current spot price is gradually stabilizing. Supported by demand and with the weight of pigs for slaughter not fully reduced, the production capacity still needs to be further released [1]. Energy - Crude Oil: OPEC + plans to continue a small - scale production increase in December, the Russia - Ukraine peace agreement is being promoted, and the US has increased a new round of sanctions against Russia [1]. - Fuel Oil: Short - term supply - demand contradictions are not prominent, and it follows the crude - oil market [1]. - Asphalt: The "14th Five - Year Plan" rush - work demand is likely to be falsified, and the supply of Ma Rui crude oil is sufficient. The asphalt profit is high [1]. - Natural Rubber (HK): The raw - material cost has strong support, the spot - futures price difference is at a low level, and the number of RU盘 - face warehouse receipts is low after the cancellation of old - rubber warehouse receipts [1]. - BR Rubber: The cost support of butadiene is insufficient, the supply of synthetic rubber is abundant, high - start - up and high - inventory have not yet suppressed the price. There are signs of price stabilization, and the subsequent rebound amplitude should be noted [1]. Petrochemicals - PTA: Gasoline profit and low benzene price support PX. Overseas and some domestic device malfunctions have led to a decline in the load of aromatics - production devices. Domestic large - scale PTA devices are under rotational inspection, and domestic PTA production has decreased [1]. - Ethylene Glycol: The decline in crude - oil prices has led to a fall in ethylene - glycol prices. The increase in coal prices has slightly strengthened the cost support of domestic ethylene glycol. The strong expectation of domestic device commissioning suppresses the increase in ethylene - glycol prices [1]. - Short - Fiber: Gasoline profit and low benzene price support PX. The PTA price has rebounded, and the short - fiber basis has strengthened. Short - fiber prices continue to closely follow the cost [1]. - Styrene: The Asian benzene price is still weak, and the operating rates of STDP and reforming units have decreased. The price of pure benzene in the US Gulf has increased by 30 US dollars, and some US devices have reduced their loads. The benzene - blending logic in the US has promoted the price increase of pure benzene [1]. Plastics - PE: Export sentiment has eased, but domestic demand is insufficient. There is support from anti - involution and the cost side [1]. - PP: The supply pressure is large due to high operating rates and relatively low downstream improvement and expectations. The high price of propylene monomers provides strong cost support [1]. - PVC: The futures price is returning to fundamentals. With fewer subsequent overhauls and new - capacity release, supply pressure is increasing, while demand is weakening and orders are poor [1]. Others - Caustic Soda: Some alumina plants' delivery schedules have slowed down. There are fewer subsequent overhauls, and there is inventory - accumulation pressure in Shandong. The price of liquid chlorine is high, and the absolute price is low. There is a risk of short - squeeze in near - month contracts due to limited warehouse receipts [1]. - LPG: The international oil and gas fundamentals are continuously loose, and CP/FEI prices are weakening. The PG price has repaired its valuation, combustion demand is gradually restarting, and the domestic spot fundamentals are stable with chemical - industry rigid demand support [1]. - Shipping: The macro - positive sentiment has been gradually digested, the peak - season price - increase expectation has been priced in advance, and the shipping - capacity supply in November is relatively loose [1].

投资咨询业务资格:证监详可【2012】31号 宏观金融数据日报 对于股指来说,预计年内市场分歧将在股指震荡调整中逐步消化,待 新的驱动主线带来股指进一步上行。同时,中央汇金的托底功能为指数提 供了缓冲,下行风险预计可控。短期可重点关注海外流动性变化信号,以 及国内政策会否提前发力。 | | 项目 | 当月合约 | 下月合约 | 当季合约 | 下季合约 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | H | IF升贴水 | 4.22% | 4.44% | 2.97% | 3.41% | | 贴 | IH升贴水 | 3.05% | 2.09% | 0.98% | 1.11% | | 水 | IC升贴水 | 8.79% | 9.16% | 9.26% | 10.43% | | 情 况 | IM升贴水 | 12.49% | 12.18% | 11.89% | 12.18% | 注:括号里的数值为年化计算后的升贴水率(标绿为升水,标红为贴水）。 数据来源:wind 本报告中的信息均源于公开可获得的资料,国贸期货力求准确可靠,但不对上述信息的准确 性及完整性做任何保证。本报告不构成个人 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - PX prices are rebounding due to limited production despite the end of some planned maintenance and capacity recovery, driven by high gasoline profit margins and low pure benzene prices. PTA supply has slightly shrunk, polyester production remains stable with a load above 90%, and domestic polyester exports are still optimistic. The downstream weaving industry is performing well and export demand may improve [2]. - The inventory of ethylene glycol in East China ports has increased significantly compared to last week, with an increase of 120,000 tons. The ethylene price cannot support the strengthening of the ethylene glycol price, and new device startups are pressuring the price. The coal price increase does not provide strong cost support, and the profit of coal - based ethylene glycol has been repaired. The reduction of tariffs after the Sino - US trade negotiation may increase textile and clothing export demand [2]. Summary by Directory Market Data - INE crude oil price increased from 447.4 yuan/barrel on November 21, 2025, to 447.9 yuan/barrel on November 24, 2025, with a change of 0.5 yuan/barrel [2]. - PTA - SC spread increased from 1414.7 yuan/ton to 1425.1 yuan/ton, with a change of 10.37 yuan/ton; PTA/SC ratio increased from 1.4351 to 1.4378, with a change of 0.0027 [2]. - CFR China PX price increased from 824 to 826, with a change of 2; PX - naphtha spread increased from 262 to 264, with a change of 2 [2]. - PTA main contract futures price increased from 4666 yuan/ton to 4680 yuan/ton, with a change of 14 yuan/ton; PTA spot price increased from 4615 yuan/ton to 4630 yuan/ton, with a change of 15 yuan/ton [2]. - PTA spot processing fee increased from 191 yuan/ton to 212 yuan/ton, with a change of 21 yuan/ton; PTA futures processing fee increased from 257 yuan/ton to 262 yuan/ton, with a change of 5 yuan/ton [2]. - PTA main contract basis increased from - 63 to - 49, with a change of 14; PTA warehouse receipt quantity increased from 117,192 to 117,828, with a change of 636 [2]. - MEG main contract futures price increased from 3808 yuan/ton to 3884 yuan/ton, with a change of 76 yuan/ton; MEG - naphtha spread decreased from - 151.12 yuan/ton to - 151.31 yuan/ton, with a change of - 0.2 yuan/ton [2]. - MEG domestic price increased from 3852 yuan/ton to 3890 yuan/ton, with a change of 38 yuan/ton; MEG main contract basis decreased from 35 to 33, with a change of - 2 [2]. Industry Chain Start - up Situation - PX start - up rate remained at 87.39% [2]. - PTA start - up rate remained at 72.11% [2]. - MEG start - up rate increased from 60.14% to 60.33%, with a change of 0.19% [2]. - Polyester load remained at 89.19% [2]. Polyester Product Data - POY150D/48F price decreased from 6580 yuan/ton to 6545 yuan/ton, with a change of - 35 yuan/ton; POY cash flow decreased from 94 to 33, with a change of - 61 [2]. - FDY150D/96F price remained at 6825 yuan/ton; FDY cash flow decreased from - 161 to - 187, with a change of - 26 [2]. - DTY150D/48F price remained at 7865 yuan/ton; DTY cash flow decreased from 179 to 153, with a change of - 26 [2]. - Long - filament sales rate increased from 39% to 43%, with a change of 4% [2]. - 1.4D direct - spinning polyester staple fiber price increased from 6340 yuan/ton to 6350 yuan/ton, with a change of 10 yuan/ton; polyester staple fiber cash flow decreased from 204 to 188, with a change of - 16 [2]. - Polyester staple fiber sales rate increased from 31% to 65%, with a change of 34% [2]. - Semi - bright chip price increased from 5540 yuan/ton to 5545 yuan/ton, with a change of 5 yuan/ton; chip cash flow decreased from - 46 to - 67, with a change of - 21 [2]. - Chip sales rate decreased from 75% to 60%, with a change of - 15% [2]. Device Maintenance - A 2.5 - million - ton PTA device in East China is currently restarting and is expected to produce products soon, having stopped for maintenance around November 17 [2]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Recently, the PX market has shown a rebound due to multiple factors. Despite the end of some planned maintenance and the gradual recovery of production capacity, PX output is still limited. The main drivers are the soaring gasoline profit margins, which prompt refineries to reduce raw material input in aromatic units and increase gasoline production, and the drop of benzene prices to a near - three - year low, leading refineries to lower the load of reforming and STDP units to suppress benzene output and thus limit PX supply [2]. - The PTA supply side has slightly shrunk, while polyester operation remains stable with a load above 90%. Domestic polyester exports are still optimistic. Although the "Golden Nine and Silver Ten" period has ended, downstream weaving has performed well, and export demand may improve. The costs of bottle chips and short fibers follow these trends [2]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Price and Index Changes - PTA spot price increased from 4615 to 4630, a change of 15; MEG inner - market price rose from 3852 to 3890, a change of 38; PTA closing price went up from 4666 to 4680, a change of 14; MEG closing price increased from 3808 to 3884, a change of 76 [2]. - 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price increased from 6340 to 6350, a change of 10; short - fiber basis decreased from 126 to 125, a change of - 1; 12 - 1 spread decreased from 50 to 68, a change of - 18; polyester short - fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246, a change of 6 [2]. - 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber price remained unchanged at 5400; the price difference between 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber increased from 940 to 950, a change of 10 [2]. - East China water bottle chip price increased from 5682 to 5709, a change of 27; hot - filling polyester bottle chip price increased from 5682 to 5709, a change of 27; carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip price increased from 5782 to 5809, a change of 27; outer - market water bottle chip price increased from 755 to 760, a change of 5; bottle chip spot processing fee increased from 446 to 447, a change of 1 [2]. - T32S pure polyester yarn price remained unchanged at 10300; T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee decreased from 3960 to 3950, a change of - 10; polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained unchanged at 16300; polyester - cotton yarn profit decreased from 1678 to 1635, a change of - 43 [2]. - The price of cotton 328 increased from 14335 to 14430, a change of 95; the price of primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) remained unchanged at 7080; the cash flow of hollow short - fiber 6 - 15D decreased from 644 to 618, a change of - 26; the price of primary low - melting - point short - fiber remained unchanged at 7580 [2]. 2. Market Conditions - In the short - fiber market, the price of polyester short - fiber production plants is stable, and the price of traders is warm. Customers purchase on demand, and the plant's production and sales are average. The price of 1.56dtex*38mm semi - bright natural white (1.4D) polyester short - fiber in the East China market is 6140 - 6460 yuan for cash on delivery, tax - included self - pick - up; in the North China market, it is 6260 - 6580 yuan for cash on delivery, tax - included delivery; in the Fujian market, it is 6190 - 6350 yuan for cash on delivery, tax - included delivery [2]. - In the bottle - chip market, the mainstream negotiation price of polyester bottle chips in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets is 5670 - 5780 yuan/ton, with the average price rising by 5 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day. PTA and bottle - chip futures fluctuate narrowly. Most supply - side offers are temporarily stable, the market trading atmosphere is average, downstream terminal purchases are mainly for rigid demand, and market sentiment is cautious [2]. 3. Load and Production - Sales Rates - The direct - spun short - fiber load (weekly) increased from 88.37% to 89.32%, a change of 0.95% [3]. - The polyester short - fiber production - sales rate increased from 35.00% to 68.00%, a change of 33.00% [3]. - The polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) remained unchanged at 66.00% [3]. - The recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) remained unchanged at 51.10% [3].

LL 500 - K - 国贸期货有限公司 流的衍生品综合服务商 司不少年 国贸期货研究院 投资咨询号:Z0015194 从业资格号:F3042528 农产品研究中心 杨璐琳 纸浆价格数据 | | | 2025年11月24日 | 日环比 | 周环比 | | | 2025年11月24日 | 日环比 | 周环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货价格 | SP2601 | 5220 | -0. 15% | -4. 64% | 现货价格 | 针叶浆银星 | 5400 | -0.92% | -2. 70% | | (元/吨) | SP2512 | 4712 | 0. 17% | -3. 84% | (元/吨) | 针叶浆俄针 | 5170 | -0. 58% | -4. 26% | | | SP2605 | 5278 | -0. 15% | -3.55% | | 阔叶浆金鱼 | 4400 | 0.00% | 0.00% | | | | 本期价格 | 上期价格 | 月环比 | | | 本期价格 | 上期价格 | 月环比 ...