Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - No information provided Summary by Relevant Catalogs Option Trading Volume - On October 15, 2025, the trading volume of SSE 50 ETF options was 1.8713 million contracts; the trading volume of CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market) was 2.4432 million contracts; the trading volume of CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai market) was 2.9055 million contracts; the trading volume of Shenzhen 100 ETF options was 0.1309 million contracts; the trading volume of ChiNext ETF options was 2.4848 million contracts; the trading volume of SSE 50 index options was 0.0843 million contracts; the trading volume of CSI 300 index options was 0.2510 million contracts; the total trading volume of CSI 1000 options was 0.4212 million contracts [1] - The call trading volume, put trading volume, and total trading volume of various index ETF options on the previous day are presented in a table, including specific figures for SSE 50 ETF options, CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market), etc [21] Option PCR - The turnover PCR of SSE 50 ETF options was reported at 0.74, with a month - on - month change of - 0.24; the open interest PCR was reported at 0.74, with a month - on - month change of - 0.01. Similar data for other types of options are also provided, including CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market), CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai market), etc [2] - A table shows the turnover PCR, month - on - month change, open interest PCR, and month - on - month change of various index ETF options on the previous day [37] Option VIX - The VIX of SSE 50 ETF options was reported at 19.83%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.08%; the VIX of CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market) was reported at 20.93%, with a month - on - month change of + 0.37%. Similar data for other types of options are also provided, including CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai market), Shenzhen 100 ETF options, etc [3] - A table presents the VIX and month - on - month change values of various index ETF options on the previous day [51]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - In September 2025, the year-on-year decline of PPI was 2.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, and remaining flat for two consecutive months on a month-on-month basis, indicating a continuous easing of the downward pressure on industrial product prices. The prices in the midstream manufacturing industry improved, and the prices in industries such as coal and ferrous metals continued to rise; in the industries related to external demand, the prices of electronics and aircraft manufacturing maintained growth. Structurally, there were differentiation characteristics: on the one hand, the prices of new quality productivity industries such as photovoltaic equipment rebounded, and the prices of consumer upgrade products increased significantly; on the other hand, affected by the decline in international oil prices, the prices of domestic oil-related products weakened. Overall, the current recovery of PPI is mainly driven by the low-base effect and policy expectations, but the recovery of downstream demand is still uneven, and the subsequent trend of industrial product prices still needs to focus on the substantial improvement of the demand side [4]. - In September 2025, the year-on-year decline of CPI was 0.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, and the month-on-month change turned from flat to an increase of 0.1%. The core CPI increased by 1.0% year-on-year, with the increase expanding for 5 consecutive months, and it returned to above 1% for the first time in nearly 19 months. Food prices decreased by 4.4% year-on-year, and the prices of major food items such as fresh vegetables and pork were still in the downward range; non-food prices increased by 0.7% year-on-year, among which the increases of industrial consumer goods such as gold jewelry and household appliances were obvious; service prices maintained stable growth. Overall, the continuous recovery of core CPI shows that domestic consumer demand is steadily recovering with policy support, but the drag of food prices still exists, and the improvement of CPI in the fourth quarter may be limited [5]. Summary by Directory 1. Macro Events - On October 15th, the National Bureau of Statistics released data showing that in September 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year. Among them, the CPI in urban areas decreased by 0.2%, and that in rural areas decreased by 0.5%; food prices decreased by 4.4%, and non-food prices increased by 0.7%; consumer goods prices decreased by 0.8%, and service prices increased by 0.6%. From January to September, the average national consumer price decreased by 0.1% compared with the same period of the previous year. - In September 2025, the national producer price index (PPI) for industrial products decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, and remaining flat on a month-on-month basis. The purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 3.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous month, and increasing by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis. From January to September, the average producer price index for industrial products decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of the previous year, and the purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 3.2% [3]. 2. 9 - Month Inflation Decline Convergence - PPI - The decline of PPI continued to narrow. In September 2025, PPI decreased by 2.3% year-on-year (with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month), and remained flat for two consecutive months on a month-on-month basis; the purchase price for industrial producers decreased by 3.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous month, and increasing by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis. - The price pressure in the midstream manufacturing industry eased. The prices in the midstream processing industry improved. The prices of coal mining and washing increased by 2.5% month-on-month, and the prices of coal processing increased by 3.8% month-on-month, both rising for two consecutive months. The prices of ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing increased by 0.2% month-on-month; the prices of non-metallic mineral products decreased by 0.4% month-on-month, but the decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month. - Some improvements were seen in the external demand industries. Driven by the construction of a modern industrial system, the prices of electronic special material manufacturing increased by 1.2% year-on-year. In the field of intelligent unmanned aerial vehicle manufacturing, the prices of aircraft manufacturing increased by 1.4% year-on-year. - The impact of international input was differentiated. The decline in international oil prices led to a 2.7% month-on-month decrease in domestic oil extraction prices and a 1.5% month-on-month decrease in refined petroleum product manufacturing prices. - The new quality productivity industries maintained growth. The new driving forces for development grew steadily, and the prices of related industries rebounded year-on-year. The prices of photovoltaic equipment and component manufacturing turned from a decline to an increase, with a growth rate of 0.8%; the prices of waste resource comprehensive utilization industries increased by 0.9% year-on-year. - Consumer demand continued to provide support. The demand for upgraded consumption continued to increase. The prices of arts and crafts and ceremonial supplies manufacturing increased by 14.7%, the prices of sports ball manufacturing increased by 4.0%, and the prices of nutritional food manufacturing increased by 1.8%. - Overall, the year-on-year recovery of PPI in the third quarter was mainly affected by the low-base effect and anti-involution market expectations. By industry, non-ferrous metal prices were relatively strong, while ferrous metal prices were relatively weak due to slow recovery of downstream demand and inventory accumulation; in September, international crude oil prices were weak due to geopolitical factors, and the ex-factory prices of related petrochemical products also declined. As the steady growth plans for various industries are gradually implemented and the effects of anti-involution policies are further manifested, the subsequent industrial product prices will follow the demand trend. Attention should be paid to whether there will be incremental policy promotion in the fourth quarter, and industrial product prices may maintain a weak pattern [9][10]. 3. 9 - Month Inflation Decline Convergence - CPI - CPI turned from flat to an increase on a month-on-month basis, and the year-on-year decline narrowed. In September, CPI decreased by 0.3% year-on-year (with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month), and turned from flat to an increase of 0.1% on a month-on-month basis. The core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 1.0% year-on-year, with the increase expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, expanding for the 5th consecutive month, and it returned to above 1% for the first time in nearly 19 months. From January to September, the average CPI decreased by 0.1% compared with the same period of the previous year. - The year-on-year decline of food prices slightly expanded. Food prices decreased by 4.4% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month. Among them, the prices of pork, fresh vegetables, and eggs decreased by 17.0%, 13.7%, and 13.5% respectively year-on-year; the prices of fresh fruits decreased by 4.2% year-on-year. On a month-on-month basis, food prices increased by 0.7% in September, among which the prices of fresh vegetables, eggs, and fresh fruits all showed seasonal increases. - The increase of non-food prices expanded. Non-food prices increased by 0.7% year-on-year. Among industrial consumer goods, the prices of gold jewelry and platinum jewelry increased by 42.1% and 33.6% respectively year-on-year; the prices of household appliances and household daily sundries increased by 5.5% and 3.2% respectively year-on-year. - Service consumption maintained stable growth. Service prices increased by 0.6% year-on-year. Among them, the prices of medical services and household services increased by 1.9% and 1.6% respectively year-on-year; affected by factors such as the end of the summer vacation and the misaligned Mid-Autumn Festival, the prices of airplane tickets and hotel accommodation decreased by 1.7% and 1.5% respectively year-on-year. - The year-on-year decline of CPI in September narrowed marginally to -0.3%, mainly due to the carry-over effect. The continuous expansion of the core CPI increase and its return to above 1% indicate that domestic consumer demand continues to recover under the support of macro policies. In the short term, food prices continue to decline, and durable goods prices face downward pressure, so the improvement of CPI in the fourth quarter may be weak [26][27]. 4. Appendix: CPI and PPI Data for September 2025 - In September 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year. Among them, the CPI in urban areas decreased by 0.2%, and that in rural areas decreased by 0.5%; food prices decreased by 4.4%, and non-food prices increased by 0.7%; consumer goods prices decreased by 0.8%, and service prices increased by 0.6%. From January to September, the average national consumer price decreased by 0.1% compared with the same period of the previous year. In September, the national consumer price index increased by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis. Among them, the CPI in urban areas remained flat, and that in rural areas increased by 0.2%; food prices increased by 0.7%, and non-food prices decreased by 0.1%; consumer goods prices increased by 0.3%, and service prices decreased by 0.3%. - In September, the prices of food, tobacco, and alcohol decreased by 2.6% year-on-year, affecting the CPI (consumer price index) to decrease by about 0.74 percentage points. Among food items, the prices of fresh vegetables decreased by 13.7%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.35 percentage points; the prices of eggs decreased by 11.9%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.08 percentage points; the prices of livestock and meat decreased by 8.4%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.27 percentage points, among which the prices of pork decreased by 17.0%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.26 percentage points; the prices of fresh fruits decreased by 4.2%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.09 percentage points; the prices of grains decreased by 0.7%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.01 percentage points; the prices of aquatic products increased by 0.9%, affecting the CPI to increase by about 0.02 percentage points. The prices of the other seven major categories increased in six and decreased in one. Among them, the prices of other supplies and services, household supplies and services, and clothing increased by 9.9%, 2.2%, and 1.7% respectively, and the prices of medical care, education, culture, and entertainment, and housing increased by 1.1%, 0.8%, and 0.1% respectively; the prices of transportation and communication decreased by 2.0%. - In September, the prices of food, tobacco, and alcohol increased by 0.5% on a month-on-month basis, affecting the CPI to increase by about 0.13 percentage points. Among food items, the prices of fresh vegetables increased by 6.1%, affecting the CPI to increase by about 0.13 percentage points; the prices of eggs increased by 2.7%, affecting the CPI to increase by about 0.02 percentage points; the prices of fresh fruits increased by 1.7%, affecting the CPI to increase by about 0.03 percentage points; the prices of aquatic products decreased by 1.8%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.04 percentage points; the prices of pork decreased by 0.7%, affecting the CPI to decrease by about 0.01 percentage points. The prices of the other seven major categories increased in four, remained flat in one, and decreased in two. Among them, the prices of other supplies and services and clothing increased by 1.3% and 0.7% respectively, and the prices of household supplies and services and medical care increased by 0.3% and 0.2% respectively; the prices of housing remained flat; the prices of transportation and communication and education, culture, and entertainment decreased by 0.9% and 0.4% respectively. - In September 2025, the national producer price index (PPI) for industrial products decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, and remaining flat on a month-on-month basis. The purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 3.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous month, and increasing by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis. From January to September, the average producer price index for industrial products decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of the previous year, and the purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 3.2%. - In September, among the producer prices for industrial products, the prices of means of production decreased by 2.4%, affecting the total level of producer prices for industrial products to decrease by about 1.81 percentage points. Among them, the prices of the mining industry decreased by 9.0%, the prices of the raw material industry decreased by 2.9%, and the prices of the processing industry decreased by 1.7%. The prices of means of subsistence decreased by 1.7%, affecting the total level of producer prices for industrial products to decrease by about 0.45 percentage points. Among them, the prices of food decreased by 1.7%, the prices of clothing decreased by 0.3%, the prices of general daily necessities increased by 0.7%, and the prices of durable consumer goods decreased by 3.9%. - Among the purchase prices for industrial producers, the prices of fuel and power decreased by 8.1%, the prices of chemical raw materials decreased by 5.5%, the prices of agricultural and sideline products decreased by 5.4%, the prices of building materials and non-metals decreased by 4.5%, the prices of ferrous metal materials decreased by 2.9%, the prices of textile raw materials decreased by 1.7%; the prices of non-ferrous metal materials and wires increased by 6.6%. - In September, among the producer prices for industrial products, the prices of means of production remained flat. Among them, the prices of the mining industry increased by 1.2%, the prices of the raw material industry remained flat, and the prices of the processing industry decreased by 0.1%. The prices of means of subsistence decreased by 0.2%, affecting the total level of producer prices for industrial products to decrease by about 0.04 percentage points. Among them, the prices of food decreased by 0.1%, the prices of clothing remained flat, the prices of general daily necessities increased by 0.2%, and the prices of durable consumer goods decreased by 0.4%. - Among the purchase prices for industrial producers, the prices of non-ferrous metal materials and wires increased by 1.2%, the prices of fuel and power increased by 0.5%, the prices of ferrous metal materials increased by 0.4%; the prices of building materials and non-metals decreased by 0.6%, the prices of chemical raw materials decreased by 0.4%, the prices of agricultural and sideline products decreased by 0.2%, the prices of textile raw materials decreased by 0.1% [41][43][45]. 5. National Bureau of Statistics Urban Department Chief Statistician Dong Lijuan's Interpretation of CPI and PPI Data for September 2025 - In September, the consumer market generally operated smoothly. The consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis and decreased by 0.3% year-on-year. The core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 1.0% year-on-year, with the increase expanding for the 5th consecutive month. The in-depth promotion of the construction of a unified national market and the continuous optimization of the market competition order led to the producer price index (PPI) for industrial products remaining flat on a month-on-month basis; it decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month. - CPI turned from flat to an increase on a month-on-month basis, and the core CPI year-on-year increase rebounded to 1%. CPI increased on a month-on-month basis, turning from flat to an increase of 0.1%. Among them, food prices increased by 0.7% on a month-on-month basis, with the increase expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, affecting CPI to increase by about 0.13 percentage points on a month-on-month basis. Among food items, the prices of fresh vegetables, eggs, fresh fruits, mutton, and beef all showed seasonal increases, with the increase ranging from 0.9% to 6.1%; the supply of pork and aquatic products was sufficient, and the prices decreased by 0.7% and 1.8% respectively. The prices of industrial consumer goods excluding energy increased by 0.5%, affecting CPI to increase by about 0.12 percentage points on a month-on-month basis. Among them, affected by the increase in international gold prices, domestic gold jewelry prices increased by 6.5%; with the new autumn clothing season, clothing prices increased by 0.8%; the prices of cultural and entertainment durable consumer goods, household appliances, and household daily sundries increased by 0

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The six - department plan aims to double the charging service capacity by the end of 2027, with 28 million charging facilities, over 300 million kilowatts of public charging capacity, and meeting the charging needs of over 80 million electric vehicles [1]. - In Q3 2025, the social financing scale increased strongly, with a cumulative increase of 30.09 trillion yuan, 4.42 trillion yuan more than the same period last year. As of the end of September, M2, RMB loans, and other financial data showed certain growth trends [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Macro - economic and Policy - On October 15, six departments including the National Development and Reform Commission issued the "Three - year Doubling Action Plan for the Service Capacity of Electric Vehicle Charging Facilities (2025 - 2027)" [1]. - On October 15, the central bank released September financial data. As of the end of September 2025, the stock of social financing scale was 437.08 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.7% [1]. 3.2 Upstream Industry - Non - ferrous metals: Copper and zinc prices continued to rise. On October 15, the spot price of copper was 85,410 yuan/ton, a year - on - year increase of 2.73%; the spot price of zinc was 22,000 yuan/ton, a year - on - year increase of 0.81% [2][35]. - Agriculture: The prices of eggs, palm oil, and corn declined. On October 15, the spot price of eggs was 5.9 yuan/kg, a year - on - year decrease of 6.79%; the spot price of palm oil was 9,362 yuan/ton, a year - on - year decrease of 2.46%; the spot price of corn was 2,185.7 yuan/ton, a year - on - year decrease of 2.30% [2][35]. 3.3 Mid - stream Industry - Chemical industry: The polyester start - up rate declined slightly, and the PTA start - up rate and other relevant data were also presented in the figures [2][3]. - Infrastructure: The asphalt start - up rate was at a three - year high [2]. 3.4 Downstream Industry - Real estate: The sales of commercial housing in second - and third - tier cities showed a slight recovery [2]. - Service industry: The number of domestic flights decreased slightly [2].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The steel industry is facing shrinking profit margins and falling prices due to high costs and low steel prices, with an expected increase in steel production cuts [1]. - The iron ore market is weak, with prices oscillating downward. The expected increase in long - term supply and the rising number of loss - making steel mills are factors to watch [3]. - The coking coal and coke market is experiencing weakening demand expectations, with prices oscillating. The supply and demand dynamics of both are affected by factors such as steel mill profits and production levels [5][6]. - The thermal coal market has seen a short - term price increase due to demand boost, but the long - term supply remains loose [8]. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel - **Market Analysis**: Yesterday, the rebar futures main contract closed at 3034 yuan/ton, and the hot - rolled coil main contract closed at 3212 yuan/ton. The spot steel trading volume was average, with the national building materials trading volume at 9.14 tons, a daily decrease of 3.37% and a weekly decrease of 23.79% [1]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: Steel supply is driven by fundamentals. High costs and falling steel prices have squeezed profit margins, and some steel mills' rebar businesses are in the red. High production and inventory levels have increased the expectation of production cuts [1]. - **Strategy**: The unilateral strategy is to expect prices to oscillate weakly [2]. Iron Ore - **Market Analysis**: Yesterday, the iron ore futures price weakened. The main 2601 contract closed at 776.5 yuan/ton, down 0.7%. The spot price in Tangshan ports declined, and trading volume was down 33.08% to 124.4 tons. The forward - looking spot trading volume increased by 90.65% to 173.5 tons [3]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: This week, iron ore arrivals increased, iron - water production remained high, and port inventory rose slightly. Due to the high probability of increased long - term supply and high price valuations, attention should be paid to the negative impact of steel mill profit changes and steel production cuts [3]. - **Strategy**: The unilateral strategy is to expect prices to oscillate weakly [4]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Analysis**: Yesterday, the coking coal and coke futures main contracts oscillated. The coal price in the main production areas continued to rise, and some terminal demand for restocking was released. The import market was strong [5]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: Coking enterprise profits are near the break - even point. High iron - water production provides short - term support for coke prices, but the demand outlook is weak. After the holiday, coking coal production has recovered, and demand remains resilient [6]. - **Strategy**: Coking coal and coke prices are expected to oscillate [7]. Thermal Coal - **Market Analysis**: In the production areas, coal prices continued to rise due to increased demand from metallurgical and chemical industries, restocking demand, and rising prices from large groups. In ports, the market sentiment was positive, and prices increased. The import market was stable to strong, and prices were more competitive [8]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: Short - term prices will oscillate due to demand boost, but the long - term supply is abundant. Attention should be paid to non - power coal consumption and restocking [8]. - **Strategy**: Not provided [8]

航运日报 | 2025-10-16 10月下半月运价小幅调整，近期关注11月下半月涨价函是否 推出 市场分析 线上报价方面。 Gemini Cooperation：马士基上海-鹿特丹43周报价1095/1830，44周报价1140/1920；HPL -SPOT 10月下半月价格 1185/1935；11月上半月价格1535/2535，11月下半月船期报价1735/2835。HPL发布最新涨价函，10月15日之后运价 涨至1200/2000；马士基发布11月份涨价函，11月3日之后价格涨至1625/2500. MSC+Premier Alliance：MSC 10月下半月价格涨至1245/2065,11月上半月船期报价1545/2565；ONE 10月下半月价 格 1175/1835 ； HMM 上 海 - 鹿特丹 10 月 下 半 月 价 格 1118/1806; YML 10/26-10/31 报 价 FE3/FE4/FE5/FE6: USD925/1550/1550FP22528BD:USD875/1450/1450。MSC发布11/1-11/15日涨价函 1620/2700。 Ocean Allianc ...

流动性日报 | 2025-10-16 2025-10-15，股指板块成交11275.59亿元，较上一交易日变动+16.88%；持仓金额14028.33亿元，较上一交易日变动 -0.30%；成交持仓比为78.80%。 国债板块成交5007.37亿元，较上一交易日变动+24.47%；持仓金额8090.90亿元，较上一交易日变动+4.00%；成交 持仓比为62.94%。 基本金属板块成交4911.76亿元，较上一交易日变动-13.52%；持仓金额5222.40亿元，较上一交易日变动-0.18%；成 交持仓比为87.10%。 市场流动性概况 贵金属板块成交13830.07亿元，较上一交易日变动+32.59%；持仓金额5297.51亿元，较上一交易日变动+0.88%；成 交持仓比为365.88%。 能源化工板块成交4076.75亿元，较上一交易日变动-13.90%；持仓金额4403.08亿元，较上一交易日变动+1.09%； 成交持仓比为82.44%。 农产品板块成交3337.85亿元，较上一交易日变动+2.99%；持仓金额5471.11亿元，较上一交易日变动+0.97%；成交 持仓比为59.63%。 黑色建材板块成交2 ...

FICC日报 | 2025-10-16 国内强预期弱现实割裂加剧。国内8月经济压力边际增加，一是中国8月经济数据有所转弱，显现"工业缓、投资弱、 消费淡"等特征；另一方面是外部关税压力有所增加，美国以及墨西哥、印度等国家纷纷加征关税。为了应对边际 增加的外部压力，国内近期频提稳增长政策。国家发改委表示，经济运行仍存挑战，将适时加力实施宏观政策， 新型政策性金融工具规模共5000亿元。关注政策预期，以及当下旺季不旺预期的修正可能。中国9月以美元计价出 口同比增长8.3%，进口同比增7.4%，均超预期。中国9月末M2同比增8.4%，M1同比增7.2%，M1-M2剪刀差收窄至 -1.2%，显示出实体活性改善与需求回暖；中国9月新增社融3.53万亿元，增速下降至8.7%，要受政府债融资放缓影 响；9月人民币贷款同比增长6.6%，居民短贷疲软成主要拖累。中国9月CPI同比下降0.3%，主要是翘尾影响所致， 降幅较上月收窄0.1个百分点，核心CPI近19个月首次回到1%；低基数叠加反内卷政策发力，中国9月PPI同比降幅 收窄至2.3%，高于市场预期。近期经济形势专家和企业家座谈会强调持续用力扩大内需、不断形成扩内需的新增 ...

化工日报 | 2025-10-16 库存回升，EG偏弱运行 核心观点 市场分析 期现货方面：昨日EG主力合约收盘价4057元/吨（较前一交易日变动-4元/吨，幅度-0.10%），EG华东市场现货价4122 元/吨（较前一交易日变动-28元/吨，幅度-0.67%），EG华东现货基差（基于2509合约）65元/吨（环比-3元/吨）。早 间受已有船舶加征港务费消息影响，乙二醇盘面小幅抬升，随后市场维持窄幅震荡。 生产利润方面：乙烯制EG生产利润为-67美元/吨（环比-6美元/吨），煤制合成气制EG生产利润为-474元/吨（环比 -43元/吨）。 库存方面：根据 CCF 每周一发布的数据，MEG 华东主港库存为54.1万吨（环比+3.4万吨）；根据隆众每周四发布 的数据， MEG 华东主港库存为44.3万吨（环比+4.3万吨）。据CCF数据，10.9~10.12主港实际到货总数8.7万吨，港 口库存继续累库；本周华东主港计划到港总数10.2万吨，中性，副港计划到港量2.5万吨，库存或延续累库。 整体基本面供需逻辑：供应端，国内乙二醇负荷高位运行，海外乙二醇海外供应损失依旧较多，沙特仍有两套以 上装置处于停车或低负荷运 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Neutral, suggesting short - term observation [2] - Inter - period: None [2] - Inter - variety: None [2] - Futures - spot: None [2] - Options: None [2] Core View - The PG futures market shows signs of stabilization after continuous declines, but the rebound is limited. The spot prices in domestic regions generally continued to fall. The LPG supply - demand pattern remains loose, with abundant overseas supply and weak downstream demand elasticity. Market pressure persists, but potential support may come from improved chemical profits and raw material switching in cracking units. Due to the uncertainty of US tariff threats, short - term caution is advised [1] Market Analysis Summary Regional Spot Prices on October 15 - Shandong market: 4310 - 4370 yuan/ton [1] - Northeast market: 3910 - 4310 yuan/ton [1] - North China market: 4300 - 4550 yuan/ton [1] - East China market: 4200 - 4360 yuan/ton [1] - Yangtze River market: 4670 - 4860 yuan/ton [1] - Northwest market: 4200 - 4300 yuan/ton [1] - South China market: 4498 - 4550 yuan/ton [1] November 2025 First - half Import Prices - East China frozen cargo arrival price: Propane at 537 dollars/ton (up 7 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4197 yuan/ton (up 53 yuan/ton); Butane at 542 dollars/ton (up 32 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4236 yuan/ton (up 248 yuan/ton) [1] - South China frozen cargo arrival price: Propane at 531 dollars/ton (up 7 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4150 yuan/ton (up 53 yuan/ton); Butane at 536 dollars/ton (up 32 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4189 yuan/ton (up 248 yuan/ton) [1] Market Conditions - The East China civil LPG market's mainstream transaction price decreased compared to the previous working day, with weak transactions and some price concessions. The mainstream transaction price of ether - post carbon four remained stable, with general demand and a cautious wait - and - see attitude [1] - The overall LPG supply - demand pattern is loose, with high exports from the Middle East and North America and potential for further growth. Downstream demand elasticity is weaker than supply due to profit factors [1] - If prices continue to fall, it may drive chemical profit repair and increased buying, forming new support. The low LPG - to - naphtha price difference may lead to raw material switching in cracking units, providing some support to the LPG market [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Cautiously bullish. - Arbitrage: Neutral. [5] 2. Core View of the Report - After the National Day holiday, the zinc ingot export window has been continuously open. Although the LME inventory has not significantly rebounded and is still below 40,000 tons, it takes time for the goods to be delivered. The domestic concentrate TC and imported TC continue to diverge, with the domestic concentrate TC declining and the domestic smelting profit narrowing, but it does not affect the smelting enthusiasm for the time being, and the domestic supply pressure remains. Although there has been no significant change in the domestic supply side, in addition to the marginal change in the domestic concentrate TC, the opening of the export window has also reversed the original short - allocation logic marginally. This will make the later Shanghai zinc price more sensitive to the overseas macro - positive factors, and the internal - external linkage will strengthen. There are unlikely to be further unexpected negative factors in the later stage. With the long - term interest rate cut expectation unchanged, there is no need to be overly pessimistic about the impact of tariffs under the background of consumption resilience and re - inflation. [4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Important Data - **Spot**: The LME zinc spot premium is $87.22 per ton. The SMM Shanghai zinc spot price is 22,010 yuan per ton, a decrease of 200 yuan per ton from the previous trading day, with a spot premium of - 50 yuan per ton; the SMM Guangdong zinc spot price is 22,000 yuan per ton, a decrease of 210 yuan per ton from the previous trading day, with a spot premium of - 60 yuan per ton; the Tianjin zinc spot price is 22,040 yuan per ton, a decrease of 180 yuan per ton from the previous trading day, with a spot premium of - 20 yuan per ton. [1] - **Futures**: On October 15, 2025, the Shanghai zinc main contract opened at 22,020 yuan per ton and closed at 22,015 yuan per ton, a decrease of 260 yuan per ton from the previous trading day. The trading volume for the whole trading day was 124,266 lots, and the positions were 89,912 lots. The highest price during the day reached 22,070 yuan per ton, and the lowest price reached 21,915 yuan per ton. [2] - **Inventory**: As of October 15, 2025, the total inventory of zinc ingots in seven regions monitored by SMM was 163,100 tons, a change of 12,900 tons from the previous period. As of October 15, 2025, the LME zinc inventory was 38,350 tons, a change of - 250 tons from the previous trading day. [3] Strategy - Unilateral: Cautiously bullish. - Arbitrage: Neutral. [5]