1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - On September 22, steel futures such as rebar and hot-rolled coil showed rebounds with narrowed gains. The steel spot market prices generally rose, and the futures technical indicators showed different trends. Considering policies and production - consumption situations, the steel market is expected to rebound again after consolidation from late September to early October [6][9] - The steel industry is facing challenges such as declining demand, low profitability, and strict environmental protection requirements. However, there are also opportunities in green transformation and policy support [11] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Outlook 3.1.1 Futures Market - On September 22, the rebar futures main contract 2601 hit a new high since early September with a 0.85% increase, and the hot - rolled coil futures main contract 2601 rebounded for two consecutive days with a 0.54% increase. The stainless - steel futures main contract 2511 rose 0.31%. The trading volume and position changes varied among different contracts, and there was capital outflow in general [5] - The long - short position comparison and deviation degree of black - series futures showed different situations. For example, the long - short deviation degree of RB2601 was 1.40%, and that of HC2601 was - 1.21% [7] 3.1.2 Spot Market - On September 22, the prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil in the spot market generally rose. Rebar prices in most markets increased by 10 - 40 yuan/ton, and hot - rolled coil prices in most markets increased by 10 - 20 yuan/ton [8] 3.1.3 Technical Indicators - The daily KDJ indicators of the rebar 2601 contract showed a differentiated trend, with the J - value turning down and the K - value and D - value continuing to rise. For the hot - rolled coil 2601 contract, the J - value and K - value turned up, and the D - value continued to fall. The daily MACD red column of the rebar 2601 contract enlarged for four consecutive days, and the daily MACD green column of the hot - rolled coil 2601 contract turned to a slight enlargement [8] 3.1.4 Outlook - The blast furnace capacity utilization rate has rebounded significantly, but the weekly output of the five major steel products has declined for three consecutive weeks. The demand has only slightly recovered recently, and the social inventory of the five major steel products has reached a new high since late April. In the raw material market, steel mills have replenished stocks, and the iron ore shipping volume from Australia and Brazil has dropped significantly [9] - Considering policies and production - consumption situations, the steel market is expected to rebound again after consolidation from late September to early October. Attention should be paid to the recovery rhythm of finished product profits and the willingness of steel mills and coking plants to replenish raw material inventories [9] 3.2 Industry News - The People's Bank of China issued the 7th central bank bill in 2025 on September 22, with a issuance volume of 60 billion yuan, a term of 6 months, and a winning bid rate of 1.72% [10] - The Minister of Ecology and Environment emphasized the implementation of the autumn - winter air pollution prevention and control action and the scientific planning of air pollution prevention work in the 14th Five - Year Plan and the 15th Five - Year Plan [10] - Multiple ministries issued the "Steel Industry Stable Growth Work Plan (2025 - 2026)", which aims to promote green and low - carbon transformation in the steel industry, including ultra - low emission transformation, energy - efficiency improvement, and low - carbon technology research [11] - From September 15 to 21, the transportation volume of national railways, highway trucks, ports, civil aviation, and postal express delivery all showed growth to varying degrees [11] - The preliminary construction section of the Yining - Aksu Railway started on September 20, with a total investment of about 37.7 billion yuan, aiming to shorten the railway transportation distance and time between southern and northern Xinjiang [11] - A 120MW/240MWh user - side energy storage project in the steel industry in Jiangsu was officially put into operation, which can increase green power consumption and reduce carbon dioxide emissions [12] - Ningxia issued a plan for the winter - spring air pollution prevention and control action, requiring steel and coking enterprises to complete ultra - low emission transformation tasks [12] - India imposed anti - dumping duties on Chinese cold - rolled non - oriented electrical steel, and postponed the plan to increase the export tariff on low - grade iron ore and pellets [12] 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the spot prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil in major markets, the weekly output and inventory of the five major steel products, the blast furnace and electric furnace operating rates, the daily average pig iron output, and the apparent consumption of the five major steel products, etc. All data sources are from Mysteel and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [14][20][24]

Report Information - Report Title: Nickel Daily Report [1] - Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - Nickel supply and demand changed little. The price rose slightly during the day and then fell back. The main contract 2510 closed at 121,400, up 0.07% from the previous day. The average premium of Jinchuan nickel remained flat at 2,350 compared with the previous day, and the premium and discount of domestic electrowon nickel were reported at -100 - 200. The average price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron remained flat at 954.5 yuan per nickel point compared with the previous day, and the average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate continued to rise by 30 to 28,150 yuan per ton. Indonesia will start the approval work for 2026 in October, and the adjustment of the RKAB approval cycle may still disrupt the mine supply in the second half of the year. The nickel ore price has limited room to fall, and the support from the mine end has emerged again. NPI remains strong under the support of cost and the expectation of demand recovery, but the improvement space of the stainless - steel terminal is limited, and the subsequent upward space is restricted. The nickel salt price rebounded due to the decline in production and low inventory, and is expected to remain stable in the short term. Overall, the surplus pressure of refined nickel in the primary nickel supply structure is still significant, which puts pressure on the nickel price. However, at the current position, it is also difficult to fall deeply due to the support of nickel ore and cost. It is expected to fluctuate mainly following the macro - sentiment, and the main operating range can be referred to 119,000 - 125,000 [8]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Nickel price trends: The main contract 2510 of nickel rose 0.07% to 121,400. The average premium of Jinchuan nickel was flat at 2,350, and the premium and discount of domestic electrowon nickel were -100 - 200. The average price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron was flat at 954.5 yuan per nickel point, and the average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate rose 30 to 28,150 yuan per ton [8]. - Supply analysis: Indonesia's RKAB approval cycle adjustment may disrupt mine supply in the second half of the year, and nickel ore has limited room to fall. The surplus pressure of refined nickel in the primary nickel supply structure is significant [8]. - Demand analysis: NPI is strong due to cost support and demand recovery expectations, but the improvement space of the stainless - steel terminal is limited. Nickel salt price rebounded due to low production and inventory [8]. - Price forecast: The nickel price is expected to fluctuate with macro - sentiment, mainly in the range of 119,000 - 125,000 [8]. 2. Industry News - India's strategy: India can alleviate the supply shortage of key minerals such as nickel through three paths: strengthening local mining and processing, recycling associated products from existing mining processes, and promoting "urban mining" from e - waste. The Indian government and enterprises are working together, and the e - waste recycling potential is huge. India launched the National Critical Minerals Mission (NCMM) in January this year with a total budget of 163 billion rupees and plans to attract state - owned enterprise investment of 180 billion rupees to reduce dependence on Chinese supply [9][10]. - Indonesia's action: Indonesia's forest law enforcement working group will conduct a centralized rectification of mines. It has previously taken similar actions in the palm oil industry. The action aims to regain national control of forests, and enterprises need to return illegal profits. Some cases may enter criminal investigations, and the seized mines will be temporarily managed by the state - owned enterprise department. Indonesia is a major producer of coal, nickel, tin, and copper and the largest exporter of palm oil [11]. - FPX Nickel's initiative: FPX Nickel participated in two important sustainable development initiatives in 2025. It joined the Mining Association of Canada (MAC) and committed to follow its "Towards Sustainable Mining (TSM)" framework, and also signed the United Nations Global Compact, which reflects its long - standing values of environmental protection, transparency, and responsibility [11].

1. Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] 2. Market Review - Futures Market: The Shanghai zinc futures market opened lower and rebounded, with the main contract switching to ZN2511, closing at 22,090 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan or 0.14%. The trading volume increased, and the open interest rose by 68,581 lots to 130,425 lots. LME zinc inventory decreased by 1,000 tons to 46,825 tons, and the overseas spot premium widened. The domestic processing fee had limited upward momentum, and the SMM zinc concentrate domestic monthly TC was 3,850 yuan/metal ton, while the SMM imported zinc concentrate index rose by 2 US dollars/dry ton to 98.25 US dollars/dry ton. The by - product sulfuric acid price was stable with a slight decline. Due to more smelter overhauls in September and supply shortages in some secondary zinc enterprises, the monthly output was expected to decline by 1 - 20,000 tons to around 600,000 tons, and the supply remained generally loose. On the demand side, the operating rates of galvanizing and zinc oxide increased slightly, but overall consumption in the peak season was not ideal. The inventory was expected to continue to decline this week, and the zinc price would continue to fluctuate between 21,800 - 22,500 yuan [7]. 3. Industry News - On September 22, 2025, the mainstream transaction prices of 0 zinc were concentrated between 19,100 - 22,065 yuan/ton, and different brands had different price ranges and premium/discount situations in different trading periods and regions such as Shanghai, Ningbo, Tianjin, and Guangdong [8][17] 4. Data Overview - There are figures showing the weekly inventory of SMM seven - region zinc ingots, LME zinc inventory, the price trends of zinc in two markets, and SHFE monthly spreads, with data sources including Wind and SMM, and the research and development department of Jianxin Futures [11][14]

Report Overview - Report Type: Iron Ore Daily Review [1] - Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Black Metal Research Team [3] - Researchers: Zhai Hepan, Nie Jiayi, Feng Zeren [3] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - The Fed's interest rate cut and domestic policy expectations have boosted market sentiment. Considering the resumption of steel mills' production and restocking demand before the National Day holiday, iron ore prices are expected to fluctuate strongly in the near term [10][11] 3. Summary by Relevant Sections 3.1 Market Review - On September 22, the main 2601 contract of iron ore futures fluctuated strongly, opening higher, then oscillating lower, and finally closing at 808.5 yuan/ton, up 0.37% [7] - The prices of major iron ore varieties in the spot market remained flat compared with the previous trading day [8] 3.2 Technical Analysis - The KDJ indicator of the daily line of the iron ore 2601 contract is moving downward, with the K and J values turning down, and the D value continuing to decline. The red column of the MACD indicator of the daily line has been expanding for two consecutive trading days [9] 3.3 Market Outlook - The Fed cut interest rates by 25bp, and two more cuts are expected this year, but Powell's post - meeting statement was hawkish. The domestic policy expectations have resurfaced, which will boost market sentiment [10] - Last week, the shipments from Australia and Brazil decreased, while the arrivals increased. The total shipments from Australia and Brazil in the past four weeks increased by 3.56% compared with the previous four weeks. Considering the shipping time, the future arrivals are expected to further recover, showing a pattern of low in the front and high in the back [10][11] - On the demand side, last week, the molten iron output, blast furnace start - up rate, and blast furnace capacity utilization rate rebounded again. The demand recovered significantly after the September 3 restrictions, but the continuous decline in the profitability of downstream steel enterprises will limit the growth of demand to some extent [11] - As the National Day holiday in October approaches, steel mills have started to restock, which will support the demand for iron ore before the holiday [11] 3.4 Industry News - On September 22, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the achievements of the financial industry during the "14th Five - Year Plan" period [12] - On September 18, 2025, Vietnam's Trade Defense Bureau officially accepted an anti - circumvention investigation application filed by Vietnamese producers on September 10 against hot - rolled coil products originating from China [12] 3.5 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts related to iron ore, including prices, spreads, shipments, arrivals, inventory, and production capacity utilization rates, with data sources from Mysteel and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [14][18][21]

021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 行业 国债日报 日期 2025 年 9 月 23 日 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | 表1：国债期货9月22日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 （%） | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | TL2512 | 114.880 | 114.900 | 115.130 | 115.090 | 0.250 | 0.22 | ...

1. Report Information - Report Name: Aluminum Daily Report [1] - Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Non - ferrous Metals Research Team [3] - Researchers: Yu Feifei, Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin [3] 2. Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 3. Core Viewpoints - The Fed's rate - cut decision has been made, but China's 5 - year LPR remained unchanged on Monday. The A - share market weakened, and the Shanghai aluminum futures showed a pattern of rising first and then falling, continuing the adjustment trend. The main contract 2511 closed down 0.36% at 20,745 yuan. The spread between October and November contracts turned to a premium of 5 yuan, and the far - month contracts showed a slight contango structure. The import window remained closed, and the spot import loss widened to - 1,780 yuan/ton [7]. - The production of domestic bauxite in the north has not resumed, and the probability of resuming production this year is low. There is upward pressure on the price of northern bauxite, but the downstream alumina spot price is falling, and the willingness to suppress prices is increasing. The price of imported bauxite has not changed much in the short term and is still oscillating at the bottom. Attention should be paid to the changes in the mining rights policy before the Guinea election [7]. - The fundamentals of alumina remain weak, but at the current price, some manufacturers are on the verge of profit and loss again, and cost support is gradually emerging. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [7]. - The trend of cast aluminum alloy continues to follow Shanghai aluminum. With the peak season and the termination of the tax refund policy in the scrap aluminum industry, attention should be paid to the strategy of going long on AD and short on AL [7]. - The operating capacity of electrolytic aluminum remains at a high level. Although it has entered the traditional peak season of "Golden September", the inventory inflection point has not appeared. As the absolute price falls and aluminum processing enterprises have pre - holiday stocking demand, the inventory pressure is expected to ease. Shanghai aluminum is expected to fluctuate at a high level before the holiday, and the back structure may deepen [7]. 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Market Performance: Shanghai aluminum futures showed an upward - then - downward trend, with the main contract 2511 closing down 0.36% at 20,745 yuan. The spread between October and November contracts turned to a premium of 5 yuan, and the far - month contracts showed a slight contango structure. The import window remained closed, and the spot import loss widened to - 1,780 yuan/ton [7]. - Bauxite Situation: The production of domestic bauxite in the north has not resumed, and the probability of resuming production this year is low. There is upward pressure on the price of northern bauxite, but the downstream alumina spot price is falling, and the willingness to suppress prices is increasing. The price of imported bauxite has not changed much in the short term and is still oscillating at the bottom. Attention should be paid to the changes in the mining rights policy before the Guinea election [7]. - Alumina Suggestion: The fundamentals of alumina are weak, but at the current price, some manufacturers are on the verge of profit and loss again, and cost support is emerging. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [7]. - Cast Aluminum Alloy Strategy: The trend of cast aluminum alloy follows Shanghai aluminum. With the peak season and the termination of the tax refund policy in the scrap aluminum industry, attention should be paid to the strategy of going long on AD and short on AL [7]. - Electrolytic Aluminum Outlook: The operating capacity of electrolytic aluminum remains high. Although it has entered the peak season, the inventory inflection point has not appeared. As the price falls and there is pre - holiday stocking demand, the inventory pressure is expected to ease. Shanghai aluminum is expected to fluctuate at a high level before the holiday, and the back structure may deepen [7]. 4.2 Industry News - Policy Issuance: On September 4, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation issued the "Stable Growth Action Plan for the Electronic Information Manufacturing Industry from 2025 - 2026", aiming to promote high - quality development in areas such as photovoltaics and guide the orderly layout of related industries [8][10]. - Project Delay: India's Federal Ministry of Environment has postponed the approval of Vedanta's Sijimali bauxite project in Odisha. The project has an estimated reserve of 311 million tons. The Forest Advisory Committee (FAC) pointed out that the report submitted by the Odisha government did not address issues such as community consent, compensatory afforestation, and ecological risks. The project will remain on hold until these issues are resolved [10]. - Mining Right Change: The mining right of the Dataoyuan bauxite mine in Shanzhou District, Sanmenxia Jinjiang Mining Co., Ltd., has been changed, with a validity period from June 4, 2025, to April 3, 2030. The designed production scale is 500,000 tons/year [10].

1. Report Information - Report Title: "集运指数日报" [1] - Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] 2. Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided. 3. Core Viewpoints - The SCFIS has dropped below 1300 points for ten consecutive weeks, and the freight rates in October have been further reduced. The spot freight rates show a smooth downward trend in the off - season with an expanding decline. Attention should be paid to whether the rate of freight rate reduction can slow down and whether the bottom of the freight rate can be formed. The tense situation in the Middle East may support the far - month contracts. There may be low - buying opportunities in December, and the October contract is recommended to be short - allocated on rallies [8]. 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - This week, the SCFIS fell below 1300 points for ten consecutive weeks. The freight rates in October were further reduced, with the opening price in the first half of October dropping to a minimum of $1400/FEU. Taking the Shanghai - Rotterdam route as an example, Maersk's quotes for the first and second weeks of October were $1400 and $1470 respectively, about $200 lower than the late - September quotes. Other airlines followed suit, with the quotes of major airlines concentrated between $1435 - $1500, also about $200 lower than before. The 12 - month contract may have low - buying opportunities, and the 10 - month contract is recommended to be short - allocated on rallies [8]. 4.2 Industry News - From September 15th to 19th, the demand for China's export container transportation was weak, the market freight rates on ocean routes continued to adjust, and the decline of the composite index widened. The year - on - year growth rate of the added value of large - scale industries nationwide was 5.2%, showing strong resilience. On September 19th, the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) was 1198.21 points, a 14.3% drop from the previous period. In the European route, Germany's economic situation was still sluggish. The freight rates in the spot market continued to decline. In the Mediterranean route, the supply - demand fundamentals were weak, and the market freight rates continued to adjust. In the North American route, the consumer confidence index in the United States dropped to a new low since May this year, and the freight rates in the spot market dropped significantly. There were also reports on the tense situation in the Middle East, including the US veto of the Gaza cease - fire resolution and the Israeli military's actions in Gaza [9][10]. 4.3 Data Overview 4.3.1 Spot Freight Rates for Container Shipping - The SCFIS for the European route (basic ports) on September 22, 2025, was 1254.92 points, a 12.9% drop from September 15th. The SCFIS for the US - West route (basic ports) was 1193.64 points, an 11.6% drop from September 15th [12]. 4.3.2 Futures Quotes of Container Shipping Index (European Route) - Trading data for September 22nd showed that different contracts of container shipping futures (European route) had different price changes, trading volumes, and open interests. For example, the EC2510 contract had a closing price of 1,093.7, a settlement price of 1,102.0, a rise of 21.4, and a rise rate of 2.00%, with a trading volume of 44,939 and an open interest of 46,030 [6]. 4.3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - Various charts related to shipping data were provided, including the Shanghai Export Containerized Settlement Freight Index, European container ship capacity, global container ship orders on hand, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rates, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [13][17][22]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Crude Oil Daily [1] - Report Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 3: Core View - The increase in US crude oil exports has led to a significant reduction in crude oil inventories, but the weekly export volume fluctuates greatly. Refinery crude oil input has started to decline, and refineries will enter the maintenance season, resulting in a phased decline in demand. Distillate inventories have been increasing since July, and diesel consumption is weak. EIA and IEA have raised global crude oil supply expectations, and oil prices will continue to be under pressure in the medium term. Adopt a short - selling strategy and short on rallies [6] Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review | Futures | Opening Price ($/barrel) | Closing Price ($/barrel) | High Price ($/barrel) | Low Price ($/barrel) | Change (%) | Trading Volume (10,000 lots) | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | WTI | 63.28 | 62.36 | 63.35 | 62.2 | -1.42 | 24.97 | | Brent | 66.94 | 66.05 | 67.05 | 65.85 | -1.3 | 32.86 | | SC (Yuan/barrel) | 485.2 | 483 | 487.4 | 481.8 | -1.67 | 9.61 | [6] Operation Suggestions - Oil prices are under medium - term pressure. Adopt a short - selling strategy and short on rallies [6] Group 5: Industry News - Kuwait's oil minister: Kuwait will increase oil production to 2.559 million barrels per day in October 2025 according to the OPEC+ agreement. OPEC+ production increases since April have improved the supply - demand balance, and the production increase can be suspended or reversed. Global oil demand is recovering as inventories fall below the five - year average. Kuwait's crude oil production capacity is 3.2 million barrels per day [7] - Trump pressured European countries to stop buying Russian oil [7] - French President Macron: Europe imports very little oil and gas from Russia [7] Group 6: Data Overview - The report provides figures on global high - frequency crude oil inventories, EIA crude oil inventories, US crude oil production growth rate, Dtd Brent price, WTI spot price, Oman spot price, US gasoline consumption, and US diesel consumption, with data sources from EIA, Bloomberg, Wind, and Jianxin Futures Research and Development Department [10][11][14][21]

1. Report Information - Report Title: Sugar Daily Report [1] - Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] 2. Market Review and Operation Suggestions Futures Market Quotes | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Change Rate | Open Interest | Increase/Decrease | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SR601 | 5452 yuan/ton | -8 yuan | -0.15% | 456830 lots | 6523 lots | | SR605 | 5432 yuan/ton | -11 yuan | -0.20% | 58239 lots | 1083 lots | | US Sugar 10 | 15.50 cents/lb | 0.12 cents | 0.78% | 112092 lots | -10332 lots | | US Sugar 03 | 16.18 cents/lb | 0.08 cents | 0.50% | 452014 lots | 3167 lots | [7] Market Performance - On Friday, the New York raw sugar futures fluctuated and rebounded. The主力 March contract closed up 0.5% at 16.18 cents/lb. The London ICE white sugar futures主力 December contract closed up 0.2% at $455.70/ton. The Brazilian sugar industry organization UNICA's report for the second half of August showed that sugarcane crushing volume and sugar production continued to rise, while the sugar production ratio decreased month-on-month but increased year-on-year. The raw sugar price is at a low level, and further decline is difficult [7]. - Yesterday, the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar weakened. The 01 contract closed at 5452 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan or 0.15%, with an increase of 6523 lots in positions. The spot prices in domestic producing areas dropped significantly. The price of Nanning sugar was 5870 yuan, and that of Kunming sugar was 5730 yuan. Today, the rhythm of Zhengzhou sugar was contrary to that of raw sugar, showing an obvious weakening trend, mainly due to the price cut of the remaining inventory of southern sugar mills to clear the stock, which led to a sharp drop in the spot price. After the market, speculative short sellers continued to increase their positions and push down the price, and the large open interest is worthy of attention [8]. 3. Industry News Dairy and Beverage Production - In August 2025, China's dairy product output was 2.555 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3%. From January to August 2025, the cumulative dairy product output was 19.134 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1%. In August 2025, China's beverage output was 17.758 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%. From January to August 2025, the cumulative beverage output was 128.761 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [9]. Import of Syrup and Premixed Powder - In August 2025, China's total imports of syrup and premixed powder were 115,500 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 155,700 tons. From January to August 2025, the total imports were 737,800 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 713,300 tons. As of the end of August in the 24/25 sugar season, the total imports were 1.3769 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 490,500 tons [9]. Brazilian Sugarcane Industry - According to data from the Brazilian Sugarcane Industry Association (Unica), in the second half of August, the sugarcane crushing volume in the central-southern region of Brazil was 50.061 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 10.68%. There were 257 factories in operation during this period, including 237 sugarcane processing plants, 10 corn ethanol plants, and 10 flexible plants, compared with 261 factories in the same period last year (241 sugarcane processing plants, 9 corn ethanol plants, and 11 flexible plants). The sugar production of sugar mills in the second half of August was 3.872 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 18.21%. The ethanol production decreased by 1.85% year-on-year to 2.42 billion liters. The sugar production ratio of sugar mills was 54.2%, compared with 48.78% in the same period of the previous sugar season. The sugar yield per ton of sugarcane (ATR) decreased by 3.87% year-on-year to 149.79 kg/ton. As of August 31 in the 25/26 sugar season (April 2025 - March 2026), the cumulative sugarcane crushing volume in the central-southern region was 403.942 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.78%. The cumulative sugar production was 26.758 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.92%. The cumulative ethanol production was 18.482 billion liters, a year-on-year decrease of 10.05%. The sugar production ratio of sugar mills was 52.76%, compared with 49.09% in the same period of the previous sugar season [9]. 4. Data Overview - The report includes various data charts, such as the spot price trend, basis of the 2509 contract, SR9 - 1 spread, Brazilian raw sugar import profit, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange warehouse receipts, Brazilian real exchange rate, and the trading and position data of the top 20 seats of the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar [11][15][18]

Group 1: General Information - Reported industry: Eggs [1] - Report date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Research team: Agricultural products research team, including researchers Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, and Liu Youran [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Today, the national egg price declined. The average price in the main producing areas was 3.65 yuan/jin, down 0.03 yuan/jin from yesterday; the average price in the main consuming areas was 3.84 yuan/jin, down 0.08 yuan/jin from yesterday. The 11 - contract dropped 1.51%. [7] - For egg contracts: the 2510 contract closed at 2982, down 56 (-1.84%); the 2511 contract closed at 3075, down 47 (-1.51%); the 2512 contract closed at 3201, down 58 (-1.78%). [7] Core View - After the weakest summer peak season in recent years, the spot market has gradually stabilized and rebounded. The supply pressure has eased due to accelerated culling from August to September, and there is still demand support from Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day stocking in September. However, the spot peak - season rise is expected to end soon. [8] - In the futures market, contracts in the fourth quarter fell sharply earlier and rose significantly last Monday. The previous weak market sentiment and short - dominated market led to a rise in the basis. The strong spot market caused the futures market to make up for the increase. [8] - The supply pressure is difficult to relieve in the short term. After the price increase, there may be fluctuations. If there are profits from long positions, it is advisable to take profits at high prices. The near - month 10 contract may enter the delivery month with a high discount. The rebound space should not be overestimated. [8] Operation Suggestions - Future contract operations need to continuously monitor culling and replenishment data. The fundamental inflection point may appear in the later part of the fourth quarter at the earliest. There may be adjustment space in the short - to - medium term after the spot market encounters resistance. [8] Group 3: Industry News - The inventory of laying hens is on an upward trend. As of the end of August, the national monthly inventory of laying hens was about 1.365 billion, with a month - on - month increase of 0.7% and a year - on - year increase of 6.0%. [9] - The monthly output of layer chicks in sample enterprises in August was about 39.81 million, slightly less than 39.98 million in July and significantly less than 43.95 million in the same period in 2024. The low breeding profits in the past two months have started to change farmers' expansion mindset. [9][10] - From the weekly data, as of September 18, the national culling volume in the previous three weeks was 17.61 million, 17.48 million, and 17.89 million respectively. The culling volume has been rising since August, and the current absolute value is slightly higher than the average of the previous three years. As of September 18, the average culling age was 497 days, 2 days later than last week and 9 days earlier than last month. [10] Group 4: Data Overview - The report includes data charts such as the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, layer breeding profits, the average price in the main egg - producing areas, the 10 - contract basis of eggs, the 12 - 02 spread of eggs, and the 10 - contract seasonal trend of eggs, with data sources from Wind, Zhuochuang Information, and Trading Famen. [13][17][20]