Yin He Qi Huo

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聚酯产业链期货日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The prices of PX, PTA, MEG, short - fiber, and bottle - chip futures have shown upward trends recently. The main reasons include increased gasoline demand leading to higher naphtha demand, multiple device overhauls in the industry, improved macro - atmosphere due to the mutual tariff reduction between China and the US, and changes in supply - demand relationships in different segments of the polyester industry chain. In the short term, these products are expected to fluctuate with a strong bias [6][7][9]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Basic Data - **Futures Closing Prices**: From May 9th to May 12th, 2025, most futures contracts in the polyester industry chain showed price increases. For example, the 2506 contract of PX rose from 6626 to 6806, with an increase of 180 and a growth rate of 2.72%. The 2506 contract of PTA increased from 4684 to 4836, with an increase of 152 and a growth rate of 3.25% [5]. - **Spot Prices**: Spot prices also generally increased. For instance, the PTA spot price rose from 4301 to 4400, with a growth rate of 2.30%. The PF (1.4D) spot price increased from 6440 to 6525, with a growth rate of 1.32% [5]. - **Basis**: The basis of some products changed significantly. The PTA09 main - port basis increased from 149 to 175, with a growth rate of 17.45%. The MEG09 spot basis rose from 78 to 128, with a growth rate of 64.10% [5]. - **Monthly Spread**: There were also changes in monthly spreads. The TA9 - 1 monthly spread decreased from 72 to 71, with a decline rate of 5.56%, while the EG9 - 1 monthly spread increased from 3 to 23, with a growth rate of 666.67% [5]. - **Industrial Chain Price Differences and Profits**: Some price differences and profits in the industrial chain changed. The PTA - PX (09 futures contract) price difference increased from 343 to 352, with a growth rate of 2.56%. The PF06 contract processing fee increased from 881 to 1220, with a growth rate of 38.49% [5]. 3.2 Product Analysis - **PX**: The PX futures price continued to rise. Due to increased gasoline demand, the demand for naphtha for gasoline blending increased. Multiple PX device overhauls were planned, and the market atmosphere improved. The PX - naphtha price difference recovered, and PX valuation was upward - repaired. In the short term, PX is expected to fluctuate with a strong bias [6]. - **PTA**: The PTA futures price continued to rise, and the basis strengthened. Multiple PTA device overhauls in May led to a significant decline in the operating rate and an upward repair of processing fees. After the May - Day holiday, the polyester operating rate continued to increase, expanding the PTA supply - demand gap. In the short term, PTA is expected to fluctuate with a strong bias [7]. - **MEG**: The MEG futures price increased. The port inventory decreased, and the domestic operating rate recovered due to the restart of multiple synthetic - gas - based MEG overhaul devices. The supply increased overall, and the inventory pressure was not large. The polyester operating rate remained high, and the supply - demand relationship was in a tight - balance pattern. In the short term, MEG is expected to fluctuate with a strong bias [8][9]. - **Short - fiber**: The prices of polyester raw material futures continued to strengthen, and short - fiber factory quotes increased. Downstream stocking sentiment improved, and the average sales rate reached 132%. After the holiday, both supply and demand increased, and the inventory changed little. Short - fiber prices followed the trend of raw materials [10]. - **Bottle - chip**: The prices of polyester raw material futures continued to strengthen, and the bottle - chip futures price increased. A bottle - chip device restarted, and the supply was stable. Although the downstream market atmosphere weakened, the export efficiency was good, and the overall demand was still supported. The current processing fee valuation was low, and the price followed the trend of raw materials [11].
银河期货航运日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:03
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **Container Shipping**: The outcome of the China-US tariff negotiation exceeded market expectations, and the subsequent market is expected to rebound. The spot freight rate bottom is gradually emerging, and the short - term market is expected to continue to rebound. However, the long - term outlook is still affected by the trade war [4][5][6]. - **Dry Bulk Shipping**: The overall demand in the international dry bulk shipping market was weak last week, and freight rates were under pressure. The substantial progress in the China - US economic and trade talks may have a positive impact on market sentiment and support the freight rate market [17][18]. - **Oil Shipping**: The BDTI is maintaining a volatile trend. OPEC+ increasing production may increase the global seaborne demand for crude oil. The concentrated outflow of goods in late April and early May supported the VLCC market, and the impact of the goods release rhythm on freight rates needs further attention [22]. 3. Summary by Directory Container Shipping - **Futures Market**: On May 12, 2025, all container shipping futures contracts except EC2604 reached the daily limit. For example, EC2506 closed at 1466.2 points, up 17.31% [2]. - **Price Difference Structure**: The price differences between different contracts showed various changes, such as EC06 - EC08 at - 328, down 48.8 [2]. - **Container Freight Rates**: SCFIS European Line was at 1302.62 points, down 5.54% week - on - week and 48.15% year - on - year; SCFIS US West Line was at 1455.31 points, up 10.19% week - on - week and down 41.97% year - on - year [2]. - **Fuel Costs**: WTI crude oil near - month was at $60.63 per barrel, up 1.05% week - on - week and down 23.33% year - on - year; Brent crude oil near - month was at $63.42 per barrel, up 1.10% week - on - week and down 24.1% year - on - year [2]. - **Trading Strategies**: For the short - term, adopt a long - at - dips strategy for the near - month contracts 06 and 08. Hold the 8 - 10 and 6 - 10 positive spreads and the 10 - 12 negative spread [6][7]. Dry Bulk Shipping - **Freight Rate Index**: On May 9, the BDI decreased by 1.29% to 1299 points, the BCI decreased by 2.45% to 1709 points, the BPI decreased by 0.73% to 1353 points, and the BSI increased by 0.10% to 969 points [15][16]. - **Spot Freight Rates**: On May 9, the freight rate of the Brazilian Tubarao - Qingdao iron ore route (BCI - C3) was $18.22 per ton, down 1.03% week - on - week; the freight rate of the Western Australia - Qingdao route (BCI - C5) was $7.49 per ton, down 2.60% week - on - week [17]. - **Industry News**: The substantial progress in the China - US economic and trade talks may support the market. The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills increased, and the Panama Canal will conduct maintenance work, affecting the transportation capacity of Panamax ships [18][19]. Oil Shipping - **Freight Rate Index**: On May 9, the BDTI was at 995, down 1% week - on - week and 13.48% year - on - year; the BCTI was at 573, up 0.35% week - on - week and down 43.55% year - on - year [20][22]. - **Average Earnings**: The average earnings of VLCCs were $44031 per day, down 13% week - on - week and 20.86% year - on - year; the average earnings of Suezmax tankers were $46548 per day, down 14.44% week - on - week and 9.39% year - on - year [20]. - **Industry News**: Trump's visit to the Middle East may not achieve the goal of normalizing Saudi - Israeli relations. Goldman Sachs expects non - US shale oil supply to increase, and Saudi Aramco's Q1 net income decreased [23][24]. Relevant Attachments The report provides multiple charts, including SCFIS and SCFI index charts, container shipping freight rate charts, dry bulk shipping index charts, oil shipping index charts, and tanker earnings charts, which visually display the historical trends of relevant data [28][30][38].
银河期货花生日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:02
Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - The supply of peanuts is still abundant due to the large production in 2024 and weak downstream demand, so the peanut price is expected to be relatively stable in the short term. The market is currently trading based on the oil mill purchase price and rhythm. Recently, the peanut price has remained stable, and the oil mill's theoretical profit from peanut crushing is in the black. The price of peanut 10 continues to rise, and there are still many uncertainties such as weather as it trades new crops, especially considering the recent drought in Henan and other places [5][9]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Data - **Futures Market**: PK504 closed at 8100, up 68 (0.84%) with a trading volume of 12 (up 33.33%) and an open interest of 42 (up 16.67%); PK510 closed at 8222, up 116 (1.41%) with a trading volume of 62,563 (up 96.51%) and an open interest of 87,229 (up 7.11%); PK601 closed at 8120, up 66 (0.81%) with a trading volume of 430 (up 175.64%) and an open interest of 2,584 (up 1.45%) [3]. - **Spot Market**: The price of peanuts in Henan slightly increased, while that in the Northeast remained stable. The price of 308 common peanuts in Fuyu, Jilin was 4.1 yuan/jin, and that in Changtu, Liaoning was also 4.1 yuan/jin. The price of Baisha common peanuts in Henan was 4.05 - 4.2 yuan/jin, up 0.05 yuan/jin. The price in Junan, Shandong was 3.95 yuan/jin. The price of imported Sudan refined peanuts was 7950 yuan/ton. The purchase price of peanut oil mills was stable, with the mainstream transaction price at 7350 - 7650 yuan/ton and the theoretical break - even price at 8110 yuan/ton. The price of domestic first - class ordinary peanut oil was stable at 15000 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan/ton, and the price of small - squeezed fragrant peanut oil was 17000 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan/ton [3][5]. - **By - product Market**: The spot price of Rizhao soybean meal decreased to 3030 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan/ton. The unit protein price difference between soybean meal and peanut meal was relatively high, and the short - term peanut meal was weak, with the 48 - protein peanut meal quoted at 3300 yuan/ton [8]. - **Import Price**: The price of imported Sudan peanuts was 7950 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [3]. - **Spread**: PK01 - PK04 spread was 20, down 2; PK04 - PK10 spread was - 122, down 48; PK10 - PK01 spread was 102, up 50 [3]. 2. Market Analysis - The price of peanuts in Henan slightly increased, and that in the Northeast remained stable. It is expected that the peanut spot will be relatively stable in the short term. The purchase price of peanut oil mills was stable, and the prices of peanut oil and soybean oil increased [5]. 3. Trading Strategies - **Single - side Strategy**: Short - term long on peanut 10 at low prices with a range - bound trading mindset [10]. - **Spread Strategy**: Take long positions in the peanut 10 - 1 spread at low prices [11]. - **Option Strategy**: Sell pk510 - p - 7800 [12]. 4. Related Diagrams - The report includes diagrams showing the price of Shandong peanut spot, peanut oil mill's crushing profit, peanut oil price, the basis between peanut spot and continuous contracts, the spread between peanut 10 - 1 contracts, and the spread between peanut 3 - 10 contracts [14][18][22].
银河期货沥青日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:02
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Demand has improved slightly on a month - on - month basis, supply remains at a low level, and the inventory accumulation speed of the industry chain has slowed down since the second quarter. Low inventory supports the near - end spot price and benefits the long - term peak - season expectations. Due to the US pressure on Chinese refineries during the sanctions on Iran, concerns about overseas crude oil supply and domestic asphalt supply have increased. Coupled with positive signals from China - US trade negotiations, oil prices are strong in the short term, and asphalt prices have risen accordingly. In the medium and long term, with the expected continuous production increase of OPEC, the upward space for oil prices is limited. Currently, the supply - demand situation of asphalt is neutral, and the unilateral price is expected to fluctuate at a high level, while the asphalt/crude oil spread will remain high. The operating range of the BU2506 contract is expected to be between 3300 and 3500 [7]. Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Related Data - **Futures Prices and Positions**: On May 12, 2025, the prices of BU2506 (the main contract), BU2507, and BU2508 increased by 0.81%, 0.99%, and 1.23% respectively compared to May 9. The prices of SC2506 and Brent first - line also rose by 2.10% and 2.47%. The main contract's position decreased by 2.27% to 10.8 million lots, and the trading volume decreased by 14.61% to 16.6 million lots. The number of warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 86,120 tons [2]. - **Basis and Spread**: The basis spreads of BU06 - 07, BU07 - 08, Shandong - main contract, and East China - main contract decreased by 30.00%, 29.63%, 29.06%, and 50.75% respectively. The South China - main contract basis decreased by 12.39%. The asphalt refinery profit decreased by 208.10% to - 112.88, and the refined oil comprehensive profit decreased by 20.18% to 342.09. The BU - SC cracking spread increased by 10.28% to - 452.65 [2]. - **Industrial Chain Spot Prices**: The low - end prices in Shandong and East China remained unchanged, while the low - end price in South China increased by 0.60% to 3340. The prices of Shandong gasoline, diesel, and petroleum coke decreased slightly, and the dilution asphalt discount remained unchanged. The exchange - rate mid - price decreased by 0.04% [2]. 2. Market Analysis - **Market Overview**: On May 12, the average domestic asphalt market price was 3669 yuan/ton, up 0.22% from the previous day. In the northern market, demand increased slightly, and the prices of Shandong's major refineries rose by 30 yuan/ton. In the southern market, driven by cost and controllable refinery inventories, prices in South China and the Yangtze River Delta rose by 20 - 30 yuan/ton [5]. - **Regional Markets**: In the Shandong market, the mainstream transaction price rose to 3600 - 3730 yuan/ton. In the Yangtze River Delta market, the mainstream transaction price rose to 3570 - 3570 yuan/ton. In the South China market, the mainstream transaction price rose to 3350 - 3460 yuan/ton [5][6]. - **Market Outlook**: In the short term, asphalt prices in Shandong will remain firm, those in the Yangtze River Delta and South China will remain stable. In the medium and long term, the unilateral price of asphalt is expected to fluctuate at a high level, and the asphalt/crude oil spread will remain high [5][6][7]. 3. Related Attachments - The report provides multiple charts, including the closing price and position of the BU main contract, the market prices of asphalt in East China and Shandong, and the prices of Shandong refinery gasoline and diesel [9][10][13]
燃料油日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:01
大宗商品研究所 燃料油研发报告 燃料油日报 2025 年 5 月 12 日 燃料油日报 第一部分 相关数据 | | 2025/5/12 | 2025/5/9 | 2025/4/30 | 2025/4/14 | Δ日 | Δ周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU主力 | 2996 | 2949 | 2913 | 2908 | 47 | 83 | | FU主力持仓(万手) | 14.3 | 14.9 | 14.5 | 22.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | | FU仓单(吨) | 44390 | 51120 | 51120 | 46170 | -6730 | -6730 | | LU主力 | 3518 | 3472 | 3394 | 3389 | 46 | 124 | | LU主力持仓(万手) | 6.4 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 5.0 | -0.2 | 4.1 | | LU仓单 | 26270 | 42250 | 42250 | 21250 | -15980 | -15980 | | FU7-9 | 164 | 176 | 146 | 13 ...
白糖日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:01
大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 白糖日报 2025 年 5 月 12 日 白糖日报 第一部分 数据分析 收盘价 涨跌 涨跌幅 成交量 增减幅 持仓量 增减幅 5,885 4 6 0.76% 189,669 29.10% 308,154 -2.82% 5,970 4 8 0.81% 23,237 26.75% 34,835 -4.33% 6,060 1 3 0.21% 777 -4.78% 7,207 -8.46% 柳州 昆明 湛江 南宁 鲅鱼圈 日照 西安 6220 6000 6190 6155 6300 6270 6550 1 0 1 5 0 2 0 0 -20 1 0 160 -60 130 9 5 240 210 490 SR05-SR07 价差 涨跌 SR05-SR09 价差 涨跌 SR07-SR09 价差 涨跌 -90 3 5 175 -33 8 5 2 国别 ICE主力 升贴水 运费 配额内价格 配额外价格 与柳州价差 与日照价差 与盘面价差 巴西进口 17.82 0.16 3 7 4733 6058 162 212.00 -88 泰国进口 17.82 0.8 1 8 4716 6036 184 ...
供应端变化有限,盘面震荡运行
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:01
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The international soybean market has limited near - term pressure, with good US soybean export performance and reduced selling pressure in Brazil. However, the long - term supply is expected to be relatively loose due to high projected US soybean ending stocks and continued pressure in the South American market. - In the domestic market, the recent tight supply situation is gradually improving as the oil mill operating rate increases and soybean arrivals become clearer. - The macro - environment has a complex and limited impact on soybean meal, as China still imposes tariffs on US soybeans. - The soybean meal futures market is expected to face some pressure, while the rapeseed meal market may see weakening demand and limited supply - side benefits[5][6][7]. 3. Summary by Related Content Market Quotes - The US soybean futures market showed a strong trend due to improved macro - conditions after China - US talks. The domestic futures market was mainly in shock, with soybean meal outperforming rapeseed meal. - For soybean meal futures, the contract 0105 closed at 2955, down 6; contract 09 at 2919, down 1. For rapeseed meal futures, contract 01 closed at 2330, down 15; contract 05 at 2485, up 1; contract 09 at 2563, down 2. - The basis of soybean meal in Tianjin was 420, up 40; in Dongguan, it was 220, down 130; in Zhangjiagang, it was 200, up 10; in Rizhao, it was 190, up 30. The basis of rapeseed meal in Nantong was - 63, up 42; in Guangdong, it was - 113, down 8; in Guangxi, it was - 123, down 8. - The 5 - 9 spread of soybean meal was - 132, up 28; the 9 - 1 spread was - 36, up 5; the 1 - 5 spread was 168, down 33. The 5 - 9 spread of rapeseed meal was - 78, up 3; the 9 - 1 spread was 233, up 13; the 1 - 5 spread was - 155, down 16. - The spread between soybean meal and rapeseed meal was 852, down 18; between soybean meal and sunflower meal was 1039, down 111; between rapeseed meal and sunflower meal was 117, down 3[4]. Fundamental Analysis - International: As of the week ending May 1, US soybean export sales were 376,700 tons. The March crushing data was average, but overall demand was good. Brazil's soybean harvest progress as of May 3 was 97.7%, higher than last year and the five - year average. The long - term US soybean ending stocks are expected to remain high due to large export pressure on new crops, and the South American market will continue to face pressure. - Domestic: As of May 9, the actual soybean crushing volume of oil mills was 1.846 million tons, with an operating rate of 51.89%. Soybean inventory was 5.3491 million tons, up 602,700 tons (12.7%) from last week and 1.1634 million tons (27.79%) from last year. Soybean meal inventory was 101,200 tons, up 19,100 tons (23.26%) from last week but down 458,000 tons (81.9%) from last year. The rapeseed crushing volume of coastal oil mills was 159,500 tons, with an operating rate of 42.51%. Rapeseed inventory was 200,000 tons, down 68,000 tons from last week, and rapeseed meal inventory was 36,000 tons, up 21,500 tons from last week[5][6]. Macro - environment The postponement and reduction of tariffs by China and the US have complex and limited impacts on soybean meal, as China still imposes tariffs on US soybeans[6]. Logic Analysis - Soybean meal: With the increase in the operating rate of domestic oil mills, the supply shortage is alleviated. The upcoming monthly supply - demand report may be a focus, but the pricing center is still in South America, so the market may face pressure. - Rapeseed meal: The market's focus is on future supply. With the decline in soybean meal prices, rapeseed meal demand may weaken, and supply - side benefits may be limited. The inter - monthly spreads of both soybean meal and rapeseed meal are expected to be volatile[7]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral trading: Hold a wait - and - see attitude. - Arbitrage: Hold a wait - and - see attitude. - Options: Adopt a strategy of selling wide straddles[8]. Soybean Crushing Profit - For soybeans from Argentina, the May shipment had a crushing profit of 75.10; June shipment, 11.48; July shipment, - 76.77. - For soybeans from Brazil, the June shipment had a crushing profit of 102.52; July shipment, 82.62; August shipment, 15.34[9].
玉米淀粉日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:01
大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 玉米淀粉日报 2025 年 5 月 12 日 玉米淀粉日报 期货从业证号: F03107370 投资咨询证号: 第一部分 数据 | 玉米&玉米淀粉数据日报 | | | | | | | | 2025/5/12 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | | 期货 | | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 增减幅 | 持仓量 | 增减幅 | | C2601 | | 2273 | -9 | -0.40% | 18,777 | 36.27% | 61,554 | -4.82% | | C2505 | | 2325 | -12 | -0.52% | 4,561 | 513.04% | 9,160 | 0.22% | | C2509 | | 2375 | -10 | -0.42% | 150,772 | 54.48% | 422,170 | 3.02% | | CS2601 | | 2710 | -6 | -0.22% | 836 | 9.42% | 4,4 ...
出栏略有改善,价格承压回落
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:01
大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 生猪日报 2025 年 5 月 12 日 研究员:陈界正 期货从业证号: F3045719 投资咨询证号: Z0015458 联系方式: chenjiezheng_qh@chinastock.c om.cn | | | | | 生猪价格日报 | | 2025/5/8 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 现货价格 | | | | | | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 河南(0) | 15.11 | 15.06 | 0.05 | 山 西 | 14.89 | 14.85 | 0.04 | | 湖北(0) | 14.61 | 14.53 | 0.08 | 辽 宁 | 14.58 | 14.54 | 0.04 | | 安徽(300) | 15.19 | 15.15 | 0.04 | 吉 林 | 14.51 | 14.42 | 0.09 | | 湖南(100) | 14.53 | 14.53 | 0.00 | 黑龙江 | 14.41 | 14.37 ...
银河期货苯乙烯期货日报-20250512
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 12:01
Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Styrene Futures Daily Report [2] - Date: May 12, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Sui Fei [3] - Futures Practitioner Certificate Number: F3019741 [3] - Investment Consulting Practitioner Certificate Number: Z0017025 [3] Group 2: Basic Data Futures Closing Prices - EB2506: Opened at 7005 on May 9, closed at 7320 on May 12, up 315 or 4.50% [4] - EB2507: Opened at 6887 on May 9, closed at 7205 on May 12, up 318 or 4.62% [4] - EB2508: Opened at 6816 on May 9, closed at 7130 on May 12, up 314 or 4.61% [4] - EB2509: Opened at 6767 on May 9, closed at 7068 on May 12, up 301 or 4.45% [4] Spot Prices - Jiangsu Spot: Opened at 7150 on May 9, closed at 7250 on May 12, up 100 or 1.40% [4] - South China Spot: Opened at 7200 on May 9, closed at 7300 on May 12, up 100 or 1.39% [4] - Shandong Spot: Opened at 7220 on May 9, closed at 7210 on May 12, down 10 or -0.14% [4] Basis - East China Spot (EB2506): Opened at 145 on May 9, closed at -70 on May 12, down 215 or -148.28% [4] - EB5 under (EB2506): Opened at 175 on May 9, closed at 200 on May 12, up 25 or 14.29% [4] Month Spread - EB2506 - EB2507: Opened at 118 on May 9, closed at 115 on May 12, down 3 or -2.54% [4] - EB2507 - EB2508: Opened at 71 on May 9, closed at 75 on May 12, up 4 or 5.63% [4] Price Difference - EB - BZ Spot East China: Opened at 1485 on May 9, closed at 1275 on May 12, down 210 or -14.14% [4] Spot Profit - EPS Ordinary Material: Opened at 500 on May 9, closed at 400 on May 12, down 100 or -20.00% [4] - GPPS: Opened at -199 on May 9, closed at -228 on May 12, down 29 or -14.61% [4] - ABS: Opened at 376 on May 9, closed at 168 on May 12, down 208 or -55.32% [4] Outer Market Prices - Ethylene (Northeast Asia): Opened at 790 on May 8, closed at 790 on May 9, unchanged [4] - Pure Benzene CFR China: Opened at 690 on May 9, closed at 740 on May 12, up 50 or 7.25% [4] Group 3: Logical Analysis - The styrene futures price rose, the basis strengthened, and the market trading volume increased [5] - As of May 12, the styrene inventory in the East China main port decreased by 1.18 tons to 5.67 tons compared with May 6, while the upstream pure benzene port inventory increased by 0.3 tons to 12.3 tons [5] - From mid - to late May to early June, multiple sets of equipment such as Jiujiang Petrochemical, Gaoqiao Petrochemical, and CNOOC Huizhou are planned to restart, and the supply of pure benzene is expected to increase [5] - The arbitrage window between Asia and America for pure benzene is closed, but the import volume of pure benzene remains high [5] - Recently, the supply of styrene has increased while the demand has decreased, the port inventory has decreased, and the price difference between styrene and pure benzene has continued to strengthen [5] - The mutual tariff reduction between China and the US has improved the market's pessimistic expectations for trade, and the macro - environment has improved. In the short term, styrene is expected to fluctuate strongly [5]