Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs BR (Butadiene Rubber) - **Contract Data**: The closing price of the main contract on August 18 was 11,800, a daily decrease of 15 and a weekly increase of 15; the position volume was 17,454, a daily decrease of 2,902 and a weekly decrease of 10,634; the trading volume was 57,039, a daily decrease of 6,226 and a weekly decrease of 81,276; the warrant quantity remained unchanged at 10,470; the virtual - real ratio was 8.34, a daily decrease of 1 and a weekly decrease of 5 [4]. - **Basis and Spread**: The butadiene - styrene basis was 550 on August 18, a daily increase of 165 and a weekly increase of 185; the 8 - 9 month spread was 125, a daily increase of 60 and a weekly increase of 115; the 9 - 10 month spread was - 5, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 5 [4]. - **Market Prices**: The Shandong market price was 11,750 on August 18, a daily increase of 50 and a weekly increase of 50; the Chuanhua market price was 11,700, a daily increase of 100 and no weekly change; the Qilu ex - factory price was 11,900, a daily increase of 100 and a weekly increase of 200 [4]. - **Processing and Import - Export**: The spot processing profit was - 79 on August 18, a daily decrease of 42 and a weekly increase of 111; the disk processing profit was - 29, a daily decrease of 107 and a weekly increase of 76; the import profit was - 85,265, a daily decrease of 690 and a weekly decrease of 1,418; the export profit was - 469, a daily decrease of 51 and a weekly decrease of 60 [4]. BD (Butadiene) - **Market Prices**: The Shandong market price on August 18 was 9,440, a daily increase of 90 and a weekly decrease of 60; the Jiangsu market price was 9,400, a daily increase of 100 and no weekly change; the Yangzi ex - factory price remained unchanged at 9,400; the CFR China price was 1,080, a daily increase of 10 and a weekly increase of 10 [4]. - **Processing and Import - Export**: The carbon - four extraction profit data on August 18 was N/A; the butene oxidative dehydrogenation profit was 306, a daily increase of 100 and no weekly change; the import profit was 491; the export profit was - 1,151, a daily decrease of 92 and a weekly increase of 132 [4]. - **Downstream Profits**: The butadiene - styrene production profit was 938 on August 18, a daily increase of 100 and a weekly increase of 188; the ABS production profit data was N/A; the SBS production profit (791 - H) was 1,145, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 185 [4]. Variety Spreads - **Inter - Variety Spreads**: On August 18, the RU - BR spread was - 1,634, a daily increase of 2,817 and a weekly increase of 10,699; the NR - BR spread was - 4,804, a daily increase of 2,842 and a weekly increase of 10,664; the Thai mixed - butadiene spread was 2,850, a daily decrease of 100 and a weekly decrease of 30; the 3L - butadiene - styrene spread was 2,500, a daily decrease of 150 and a weekly decrease of 200 [4]. - **Intra - Variety Spreads**: The butadiene standard - non - standard price spread was 150 on August 18, a daily decrease of 50 and no weekly change; the butadiene - styrene 1502 - 1712 spread was 1,100, a daily increase of 100 and a weekly increase of 150 [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the content Summary by Directory Price - For silicon ferroalloy, the latest prices for different regions and types on August 19, 2025, are presented, including natural blocks in Ningxia (72 at 5480 yuan), Inner Mongolia (72 at 5450 yuan), etc., with corresponding daily and weekly changes. For silicon manganese, the prices of different regions and types are also given, such as Inner Mongolia 6517 at 5820 yuan, with price changes [2]. - Multiple price - related historical data charts for silicon ferroalloy and silicon manganese from 2021 - 2025 are presented, including market prices, export prices, and contract closing prices [3][4][6]. Supply - For silicon ferroalloy, data on the production of 136 enterprises in China (monthly and weekly), capacity utilization in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Shaanxi, and the export volume of China are provided. For silicon manganese, the production in China (weekly), procurement volume and price of Hebei Iron and Steel Group are presented [4][6]. Demand - Data on the demand for silicon manganese in China (in ten thousand tons, according to Steel Union's caliber), the production forecast of crude steel in China (monthly, in ten thousand tons), and the procurement volume of silicon ferroalloy by Hebei Iron and Steel Group are provided [4][7]. Inventory - For silicon ferroalloy, the inventory data of 60 sample enterprises in China (weekly), warehouse receipt quantity, effective forecast, and inventory average available days in different regions are provided. For silicon manganese, the warehouse receipt quantity, effective inventory, and inventory of 63 sample enterprises in China (weekly, in tons) are presented [5][7]. Cost and Profit - For silicon ferroalloy, data on electricity prices in different regions, the market price of semi - coke, production cost in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia, and corresponding profits are provided. For silicon manganese, the profits in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, and different regions, as well as the profit of Guangxi silicon manganese converted to the main contract are presented [5][7].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Views - For methanol, port inventory has significantly accumulated, imports are high leading to high inventory, and the expected return of inland supply is on the horizon. As traditional demand enters the peak season later, it's necessary to focus on whether demand can support after the return of inland supply. If inventory deteriorates significantly, methanol may experience a valuation decline [1] - For polyethylene, the inventory of the two major oil companies is neutral year-on-year, with the upstream accumulating inventory and the coal - chemical sector reducing inventory. The overall inventory is neutral, with the 09 basis around -150 in North China and -100 in East China. Import profit is around -100 with no further increase for now. Attention should be paid to the LL - HD conversion and new device commissioning [5] - For polypropylene, the upstream two - oil inventory is accumulating while the mid - stream is reducing inventory. The basis is -60, and the non - standard price difference is neutral. Exports have been good this year. With over - capacity, the 09 contract is expected to face moderate to excessive pressure, which can be alleviated to neutral if exports continue to expand or PDH device maintenance increases [5] - For PVC, the basis remains at 09 - 150, and the downstream start - up rate is seasonally weakening. The mid - upstream inventory reduction has slowed down. Attention should be paid to production commissioning and export sustainability from July to August. The current static inventory contradiction is accumulating slowly, and factors such as exports, coal prices, and terminal orders should be monitored [5] Summary by Product Methanol - Price data shows that from 2025/08/12 to 2025/08/18, the daily change of动力煤期货is 0, Jiangsu spot drops by 18, and other regional prices also have different degrees of decline [1] Polyethylene - From 2025/08/12 to 2025/08/18, Northeast Asia ethylene price remains unchanged, while prices in North China LL and East China LL decline, and other data also show corresponding changes [5] Polypropylene - From 2025/08/12 to 2025/08/18, Shandong propylene and Northeast Asia propylene prices remain stable, while prices in East China PP and other regions decline, and the basis changes from -50 to -60 [5] PVC - From 2025/08/12 to 2025/08/18, Northwest calcium carbide price drops by 50, Shandong caustic soda price rises by 20, and other prices also show corresponding changes, with the basis (high - end delivery product) changing from -70 to -170 [5]

Group 1: Price Performance - The latest price of London Gold is 3335.50 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest price of London Silver is 37.73 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest price of London Platinum is 1335.00 with a change of -18.00 [1] - The latest price of London Palladium is 1126.00 with a change of -14.00 [1] - The latest price of WTI Crude Oil is 62.80 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest price of LME Copper is 9757.00 with a change of -7.50 [1] - The latest value of the US Dollar Index is 97.85 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest exchange rate of Euro to US Dollar is 1.17 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest exchange rate of British Pound to US Dollar is 1.36 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest exchange rate of US Dollar to Japanese Yen is 147.16 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest yield of US 10 - year TIPS is 1.95 with a change of 0.00 [1] Group 2: Trading Data - The latest COMEX silver inventory is 15786.61 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest SHFE silver inventory is 1138.43 with a change of -3.13 [1] - The latest gold ETF holding is 965.37 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest silver ETF holding is 15071.31 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest SGE silver inventory is 1368.95 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest SGE gold deferred - fee payment direction is 1 with a change of 0.00 [1] - The latest SGE silver deferred - fee payment direction is 1 with a change of 0.00 [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the macro - sentiment continued to show a rise in risk appetite. Although domestic economic and financial data were poor, the stock market sentiment remained high. In the copper market, downstream orders had support around 7.8, and the spot market was active. The domestic tax subsidy policy for scrap copper might be restricted, and attention should be paid to the stimulation of refined copper consumption. In August, a small - scale inventory build - up was expected, but the market might focus on the tight - balance pattern after the off - season [1]. - For aluminum, supply increased slightly, and August was a seasonal off - season for demand, with a possible slight improvement in the middle and late August. Aluminum exports improved month - on - month, while photovoltaic demand declined, and overseas demand dropped significantly. An inventory build - up was expected in August. Attention should be paid to demand in the short - term and far - month spreads and internal - external reverse arbitrage in the low - inventory pattern [3]. - The zinc price fluctuated widely this week. On the supply side, domestic TC was hard to rise, and imported TC increased. In August, the increase in smelting production was further realized. On the demand side, domestic demand was seasonally weak but had some resilience, and overseas European demand was average. There might be a phased supply shortage. Domestically, social inventory rose, and overseas LME inventory decreased rapidly. Short - term, it was recommended to wait and see; medium - and long - term, a short - position configuration was suggested. Internal - external positive arbitrage could be held, and attention could be paid to positive arbitrage opportunities in spreads [6]. - In the nickel market, pure nickel production remained at a high level, demand was weak, and domestic and overseas nickel plate inventories remained stable. The short - term fundamental situation was average, and the macro - environment was mainly about anti - involution policy games. Opportunities for narrowing the nickel - stainless steel price ratio could be continuously monitored [7]. - For stainless steel, some steel mills cut production passively, and demand was mainly for rigid needs, with some inventory replenishment due to the macro - environment. Nickel - iron and chrome - iron prices remained stable, and inventories in Xijiao and Foshan decreased slightly. The fundamental situation was weak, and attention should be paid to future policy trends [10]. - The lead price fluctuated this week. On the supply side, scrap volume was weak year - on - year, and recycled lead production was low due to tight scrap batteries and low profits. On the demand side, battery inventory was high, and the market was not prosperous in the peak season. Although there was an improvement in orders in July - August, terminal consumption and lead ingot procurement were weak. It was expected that the lead price would remain in a low - level fluctuation next week [11][13]. - The tin price fluctuated widely this week. On the supply side, domestic smelting production might decline slightly in July - August, and overseas, there were signals of复产 in Wa State, but the specific quantity needed to be observed. On the demand side, solder demand was limited, and terminal electronic and photovoltaic growth was expected to decline. Domestic inventory increased, and overseas LME inventory was low with a risk of short - squeeze. Short - term, it was recommended to short lightly at high prices; medium - and long - term, hold at low prices near the cost line [15]. - In the industrial silicon market, the start - up rate of Xinjiang's leading enterprises was 59, and the resumption of production was less than expected. Sichuan and Yunnan's start - up rates increased slightly. In August, there was a small - scale inventory reduction. In the short - term, if either Southwest or Hesheng reached full production, the market would turn to oversupply. In the long - term, the industrial silicon capacity was still in large - scale surplus, and the price was expected to fluctuate at the cycle bottom [16]. - The lithium carbonate market was strong this week due to factors such as inventory reduction data and the expected impact of CITIC Guoan's start - up. Upstream lithium salt producers were willing to sell, downstream procurement was mainly for rigid needs with stronger inventory - replenishment intention, and trading among traders was more active. The core contradiction was the long - term over - capacity and short - term resource - end compliance disturbances. In the short - term, the lithium carbonate price had high upward elasticity and strong downward support [17]. Summary by Related Catalogs Copper - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the Shanghai copper spot price increased by 20, the premium changed by 150, the scrap - refined copper price difference remained unchanged, the SHFE inventory increased by 938, the SHFE copper warrant increased by 16.47, the spot import profit decreased by 9.08, the three - month import profit decreased by 3.00, the bonded warehouse premium remained unchanged, the bill of lading premium decreased by 2, the LME C - 3M decreased by 3, the LME inventory decreased by 200, and the LME cancelled warrant decreased by 150 [1]. - **Market Analysis**: The macro - sentiment was positive, downstream orders had support, and the spot market was active. The domestic tax subsidy policy for scrap copper might be restricted, and attention should be paid to the impact on refined copper consumption. An inventory build - up was expected in August, but the post - off - season tight - balance pattern was more concerning [1]. Aluminum - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the aluminum bonded premium remained unchanged, the difference between Shanghai aluminum spot and the main contract remained unchanged, the spot import profit increased by 43.58, the three - month import profit increased by 28.61, the aluminum C - 3M decreased by 1.84, the LME aluminum inventory decreased by 25, and the LME cancelled warrant decreased by 50 [2][3]. - **Market Analysis**: Supply increased slightly, August was a demand off - season, and an inventory build - up was expected. Attention should be paid to demand and far - month spreads and internal - external reverse arbitrage in the low - inventory pattern [3]. Zinc - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the spot premium remained unchanged, the Shanghai zinc ingot price decreased by 150, the Tianjin zinc ingot price decreased by 150, the Guangdong zinc ingot price decreased by 150, the zinc social inventory remained unchanged, the SHFE zinc inventory remained unchanged, the Shanghai zinc spot import profit increased by 248.87, the Shanghai zinc futures import profit increased by 221.22, the zinc bonded warehouse premium remained unchanged, the LME C - 3M decreased by 4, the LME zinc inventory decreased by 475, and the LME cancelled warrant decreased by 475 [6]. - **Market Analysis**: The zinc price fluctuated widely. Supply increased, demand was seasonally weak but had some resilience, and there might be a phased supply shortage. Domestic social inventory rose, and overseas LME inventory decreased rapidly. Different trading strategies were recommended for different time horizons [6]. Nickel - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the price of 1.5% Philippine nickel ore remained unchanged, the Shanghai nickel spot price decreased by 100, the Jinchuan premium remained unchanged, the Russian nickel premium decreased by 50, the spot import return decreased by 20.42, the futures import return remained unchanged, the bonded warehouse premium remained unchanged, the LME C - 3M increased by 13 [7]. - **Market Analysis**: Pure nickel production was high, demand was weak, and domestic and overseas nickel plate inventories remained stable. Attention should be paid to opportunities for narrowing the nickel - stainless steel price ratio [7]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the price of 304 cold - rolled coil increased by 50, the price of 304 hot - rolled coil remained unchanged, the price of 201 cold - rolled coil decreased by 50, the price of 430 cold - rolled coil remained unchanged, and the price of scrap stainless steel remained unchanged [10]. - **Market Analysis**: Some steel mills cut production passively, demand was mainly for rigid needs with some inventory replenishment, nickel - iron and chrome - iron prices were stable, and inventories in Xijiao and Foshan decreased slightly. Attention should be paid to future policy trends [10]. Lead - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the spot premium remained unchanged, the Shanghai - Henan price difference decreased by 25, the Shanghai - Guangdong price difference remained unchanged, the 1 recycled lead price difference increased by 25, the social inventory data had no significant change, the SHFE inventory remained unchanged, the spot import return increased by 75.86, the futures import return increased by 70.81, the bonded warehouse premium remained unchanged, the LME C - 3M decreased by 1, the LME lead inventory decreased by 625, and the LME cancelled warrant increased by 675 [11]. - **Market Analysis**: The lead price fluctuated. Supply was affected by scrap volume and production costs, demand was not strong in the peak season, and an inventory build - up was expected. The lead price was expected to remain in a low - level fluctuation next week [11][13]. Tin - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the spot import return increased by 1187.76, the spot export return decreased by 1192.25, the tin position decreased by 647, the LME C - 3M increased by 26, the LME tin inventory remained unchanged, and the LME cancelled warrant decreased by 20 [14]. - **Market Analysis**: The tin price fluctuated widely. Supply might decline slightly domestically, and overseas production resumption was uncertain. Demand was limited, and there was a risk of short - squeeze in the overseas market. Different trading strategies were recommended for different time horizons [15]. Industrial Silicon - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the 421 Yunnan basis increased by 200, the 421 Sichuan basis increased by 200, the 553 East China basis increased by 200, the 553 Tianjin basis increased by 200, and the number of warrants increased by 111 [16]. - **Market Analysis**: The start - up rate of Xinjiang's leading enterprises was less than expected, Sichuan and Yunnan's start - up rates increased slightly. In August, there was a small - scale inventory reduction, and the market was expected to turn to oversupply if production increased. In the long - term, the capacity was in surplus, and the price would fluctuate at the cycle bottom [16]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Inventory Data**: From August 12 to August 18, the SMM electric - grade lithium carbonate price increased by 1900, the SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate price increased by 1900, the main contract basis decreased by 440, the near - month contract basis increased by 1900, and the number of warrants increased by 70 [16]. - **Market Analysis**: The market was strong this week due to multiple factors. Upstream was willing to sell, downstream procurement was for rigid needs with stronger inventory - replenishment intention, and trading among traders was more active. The short - term price had high upward elasticity and strong downward support [17].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core Viewpoints - No relevant content found 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 SP Main Contract Closing Price - On August 18, 2025, the SP main contract closing price was 5252.00, with a -1.01772% change from the previous day. The corresponding dollar price was 638.77. The Shandong Yinxing basis was 598, and the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai Yinxing basis was 633 [3]. 3.2 Import Profit and Price Information - With a 13% VAT calculation, for Canadian pulp, the import profit of Golden Lion was 51.55, while that of Lion was -392.78. For Chilean Silver Star pulp, the import profit was -61.65 [4]. 3.3 Pulp and Paper Price Trends - From August 12 - 18, 2025, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged. The same was true for the Shandong regional average prices. The prices of cultural paper, packaging paper, and tissue paper also showed no change during this period [4]. 3.4 Pulp and Paper Profit Margins - From August 13 - 18, 2025, the estimated profit margins of offset paper, copper - coated paper, and white cardboard had no change, while the estimated profit margin of tissue paper increased by 0.0382 [4]. 3.5 Pulp Price Spreads - From August 12 - 18, 2025, the spreads between softwood and hardwood pulp, softwood and natural pulp, softwood and chemimechanical pulp, and softwood and waste paper pulp showed little change [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints No information provided 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs Price and Profit - The report shows the spot prices of various steel products in different regions from August 12 to August 18, 2025, including Beijing, Shanghai, Chengdu, etc. for rebar, and Tianjin, Shanghai, etc. for hot - rolled and cold - rolled coils, and the price changes during this period [1] Basis and Spread No information provided Output and Inventory No information provided

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Yields**: On August 18, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.334%, 4.737%, 3.447% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.033 (Italy) to 0.041 (UK), weekly changes from - 0.004 (Japan) to 0.173 (UK), monthly changes from - 0.126 (Switzerland) to 0.155 (France), and annual changes from - 0.274 (Japan) to 0.760 (UK) [2]. - **2 - Year Treasury Yields**: On August 18, 2025, the 2 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.740%, 3.959%, 1.956% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.024 (Australia) to 0.070 (US), weekly changes from - 0.200 (US) to 0.186 (Italy), monthly changes from - 0.703 (Italy) to 0.553 (Japan), and annual changes showed various trends [2]. - **Exchange Rates**: On August 18, 2025, the US dollar - to - emerging - economy currency exchange rates such as South African rand, Brazilian real, etc. had different values. The latest changes ranged from - 0.69% (Russian ruble) to 0.65% (South African rand), weekly changes from - 2.35% (South African rand) to 0.38% (South Korean won), monthly changes from - 8.22% (Thai baht) to 0.77% (South Korean won), and annual changes also varied [2]. - **Stock Indices**: On August 18, 2025, major global stock indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, etc. had different closing values. The latest changes ranged from - 0.50% (Mexican index) to 0.21% (Nasdaq), weekly changes from - 0.18% (UK index) to 8.70% (Spanish index), monthly changes from 8.78% (Mexican index) to 44.46% (Spanish index), and annual changes also showed different trends [2]. - **Credit Bond Indices**: The latest changes in credit bond indices ranged from - 0.08% to 0.08%, weekly changes from - 0.06% to 0.56%, monthly changes from - 0.13% to 2.43%, and annual changes from 4.84% to 15.88% [2][3] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 were 3728.03, 4239.41, 2838.87, 2606.20, and 6668.17 respectively, with daily changes of 0.85%, 0.88%, 0.21%, 2.84%, and 1.52% [4]. - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX were 13.54, 11.56, 31.94, 27.34, and 20.08 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.08, 0.04, 0.37, 0.00, and - 0.04 [4]. - **Risk Premium**: The 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 and German DAX were - 0.68 and 2.22 respectively, with环比 changes of - 0.02 and 0.04 [4]. - **Fund Flows**: The latest values of fund flows in A - shares, main board, SME board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 were 78.73, - 179.13, N/A, 216.70, and 110.91 respectively, and the 5 - day average values were - 306.54, - 333.88, N/A, 26.76, and 51.22 [4]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, SME board, and ChiNext were 27641.63, 6353.66, 1621.58, 5485.68, and 8295.86 respectively, with环比 changes of 5195.51, 1166.79, 199.53, 1082.87, and 1773.47 [4]. - **Main Contract Basis**: The basis of IF, IH, and IC were - 1.61, 9.53, and - 60.17 respectively, with basis ratios of - 0.04%, 0.34%, and - 0.90% [4] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - **Closing Prices**: The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.015, 105.455, 107.865, and 105.380 respectively, with daily changes of 0.00% [5]. - **Funding Rates**: The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M were 1.5037%, 1.5030%, and 1.5490% respectively, with daily changes of 1.00 BP, 1.00 BP, and 0.00 BP [5]

Group 1: Spot Market Data - Newman powder price is 767, with 0 daily change and -8 weekly change, and its import profit is -25.08 [1] - PB powder price is 770, with -2 daily change and -8 weekly change, and its import profit is -7.22 [1] - Macfarlane powder price is 763, with 0 daily change and -4 weekly change, and its import profit is 4.55 [1] - Jinbuba powder price is 742, with -2 daily change and -10 weekly change, and its import profit is 0.03 [1] - Mainstream mixed powder price is 702, with 2 daily change and -6 weekly change, and its import profit is -1.79 [1] - Super special powder price is 647, with 2 daily change and -6 weekly change, and its import profit is -9.92 [1] - Carajás powder price is 875, with -4 daily change and -4 weekly change, and its import profit is -37.26 [1] - Brazilian mixed powder price is 809, with -1 daily change and -3 weekly change, and its import profit is 1.33 [1] - Ukrainian concentrate price is 874, with -2 daily change and -4 weekly change [1] - 61% Indian powder price is 731, with -2 daily change and -10 weekly change [1] - Karara concentrate price is 874, with -2 daily change and -6 weekly change [1] - Roy Hill powder price is 740, with -2 daily change and -8 weekly change, and its import profit is -1.20 [1] - KUMBA powder price is 829, with -2 daily change and -9 weekly change [1] - 57% Indian powder price is 592, with 2 daily change and -6 weekly change [1] - Atlas powder price is 697, with 2 daily change and -6 weekly change [1] - Tangshan iron concentrate price is 977, with 0 daily change and 6 weekly change [1] Group 2: Futures Market Data - i2601 contract price is 772.0, with -4.0 daily change and -17.0 weekly change, and its monthly spread is 42.6, with 1.8 daily change and 8.6 weekly change [1] - i2605 contract price is 750.0, with -5.5 daily change and -18.0 weekly change, and its monthly spread is 64.6, with 3.3 daily change and 9.6 weekly change [1] - i2509 contract price is 790.0, with -2.0 daily change and -6.5 weekly change, and its monthly spread is 24.6, with -0.2 daily change and -1.9 weekly change [1] - FE01 contract price is 101.20, with -0.04 daily change and -0.56 weekly change, and its monthly spread is -45.3, with 0.9 daily change and 7.3 weekly change [1] - FE05 contract price is 98.73, with -0.07 daily change and -0.86 weekly change, and its monthly spread is -45.8, with 2.6 daily change and 9.7 weekly change [1] - FE09 contract price is 101.90, with -0.19 daily change and -0.20 weekly change, and its monthly spread is -35.0, with 2.1 daily change and 3.8 weekly change [1]

Report Summary Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on August 19, 2025. Summary by Category Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Spot price in China is 79,280, LME price is 9,660, and the ratio is 8.22; for three - month contracts, the domestic price is 78,910, LME price is 9,757, and the ratio is 8.11. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.18, with a profit of 96.04, and the spot export profit is - 446.22 [1]. - **Zinc**: Spot price in China is 22,300, LME price is 2,781, and the ratio is 8.02; for three - month contracts, the domestic price is 22,360, LME price is 2,790, and the ratio is 6.02. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.67, with a profit of - 1806.11 [1]. - **Aluminum**: Spot price in China is 20,550, LME price is 2,596, and the ratio is 7.91; for three - month contracts, the domestic price is 20,570, LME price is 2,596, and the ratio is 7.92. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.47, with a profit of - 1443.86 [1]. - **Nickel**: Spot price in China is 119,300, LME price is 14,860, and the ratio is 8.03. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.26, with a profit of - 1996.18 [1]. - **Lead**: Spot price in China is 16,625, LME price is 1,930, and the ratio is 8.64; for three - month contracts, the domestic price is 16,815, LME price is 1,974, and the ratio is 11.32. The equilibrium ratio for spot import is 8.87, with a profit of - 443.17 [3]. Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month are - 260, - 260, - 270, and - 260 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 498, 894, 1299, and 1703 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month are - 120, - 120, - 120, and - 115 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 215, 337, 458, and 580 [4]. - **Aluminum**: The spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month are - 160, - 185, - 225, and - 235 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 215, 331, 446, and 562 [4]. - **Lead**: The spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month are 30, 55, 130, and 95 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 209, 314, 418, and 523 [4]. - **Nickel**: The spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month are 60, 320, 550, and 800 respectively [4]. - **Tin**: The spread between the 5 - 1 contracts is 1270, and the theoretical spread is 5544 [4]. Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot are - 80 and - 340 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 446 and 847 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot are 180 and 60 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 191 and 321 (or 211 and 311 in another record) [4][5]. - **Lead**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot are 135 and 165 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 192 and 303 [5]. Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous contracts) are 3.53, 3.84, 4.69, 0.92, 1.22, and 0.75 respectively; for LME (three - continuous contracts), they are 3.50, 3.76, 4.94, 0.93, 1.31, and 0.71 [5].