Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - Methanol: The trading logic is the transmission of port pressure to the inland. There is seasonal stocking demand and incremental stocking from the new Lianhong device in the inland, but the port will cause continuous reverse flow impact. The current price is benchmarked against the inland price, and the inland behavior is crucial. Xingxing is expected to start operation in early September, but inventory is still accumulating. Reverse flow can relieve port pressure but will affect inland valuation. Currently, the valuation and inventory are average, and the driving force is weak. It's necessary to wait before bottom - fishing, considering import variables such as India's purchase from Iran and unplanned maintenance [2]. - Polyethylene: The inventory of the two major oil companies is neutral year - on - year. Upstream two - oil and coal - chemical industries are destocking, social inventory is flat, and downstream raw material and finished - product inventories are neutral. The overall inventory is neutral. The 09 basis is about - 110 in North China and - 50 in East China. The overseas markets in Europe, America, and Southeast Asia are stable. The import profit is around - 200 with no further increase for now. The non - standard HD injection price is stable, other price differences are fluctuating, and LD is weakening. The maintenance in September is flat compared to the previous month, and the domestic linear production has decreased recently. Attention should be paid to the LL - HD conversion and US quotes. The pressure from new devices in 2025 is significant, and the commissioning of new devices should be monitored [3]. - Polypropylene: The upstream two - oil and mid - stream inventories are destocking. In terms of valuation, the basis is - 60, the non - standard price difference is neutral, and the import profit is around - 700. Exports have been performing well this year. The non - standard price difference is neutral. The European and American markets are stable. The PDH profit is around - 400, propylene is fluctuating, and the powder production start - up rate is stable. The drawing production scheduling is neutral. The subsequent supply is expected to increase slightly month - on - month. The current downstream orders are average, and the raw material and finished - product inventories are neutral. Under the background of over - capacity, the pressure on 01 is expected to be moderately excessive. If exports continue to increase or there are many PDH device maintenance, the supply pressure can be alleviated to a neutral level [3]. - PVC: The basis is maintained at 01 - 270, and the factory - pickup basis is - 480. The downstream start - up rate is seasonally weakening, and the willingness to hold goods at low prices is strong. The mid - upstream inventory is continuously accumulating. The northwest devices have seasonal maintenance in summer, and the load center is between the spring maintenance and the high production in Q1. In Q4, attention should be paid to the commissioning and export sustainability. The recent near - end export orders have slightly declined. The coal sentiment is positive, the semi - coke cost is stable, and the profit of calcium carbide is under pressure due to PVC maintenance; the FOB counter - offer for caustic soda exports is 380. Attention should be paid to whether subsequent export orders can support the high price of caustic soda. The PVC comprehensive profit is - 100. Currently, the static inventory contradiction is accumulating slowly, the cost is stable, the downstream performance is mediocre, and the macro - environment is neutral. Attention should be paid to exports, coal prices, commercial housing sales, terminal orders, and start - up rates [3]. 3. Summary by Commodity Methanol - Price Data: The daily changes of动力煤期货,江苏现货,华南现货,鲁南折盘面,西南折盘面,河北折盘面,西北折盘面,CFR中国,CFR东南亚,进口利润,主力基差,盘面MTO利润 are 0, - 8, - 5, 10, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0 respectively [2]. Polyethylene - Price and Inventory Data: From September 11 to September 17, 2025, the price of Northeast Asia ethylene remained at 850 on September 12 - 17. The prices of North China LL, East China LL, East China LD, East China HD, LL美金, and LL美湾 had certain fluctuations. The import profit was - 76 on September 15 - 17. The主力期货 price and基差 also changed. The two - oil inventory was 66 throughout, and the仓单 increased from 11993 on September 11 to 12736 on September 15 - 17. The daily changes on September 17 compared to the previous day were 0, 30, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 10, 0, 0 [3]. Polypropylene - Price and Inventory Data: From September 11 to September 17, 2025, the prices of山东丙烯,东北亚丙烯,华东PP,华北PP,山东粉料,华东共聚,PP美金,PP美湾,出口利润,主力期货,基差,两油库存,仓单 had different changes. The daily changes on September 17 compared to the previous day were 0, 0, 10, - 8, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 10, 0, 0 [3]. PVC - Price and Profit Data: From September 11 to September 17, 2025, the prices of西北电石,山东烧碱,电石法 - 华东,乙烯法 - 华东,电石法 - 华南,电石法 - 西北,进口美金价 (CFR中国),出口利润,西北综合利润,华北综合利润,基差 (高端交割品) had certain changes. The daily change of西北电石 on September 17 compared to the previous day was 50, and other items had no change [3].

| | | | 钢材早报 | | 研究中心黑色团队 2025/09/18 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现 货 价 格 | | | | | | | | 日期 | 北京螺纹 | 上海螺纹 | 成都螺纹 | 西安螺纹 | 广州螺纹 | 武汉螺纹 | | 2025/09/11 | 3150 | 3210 | 3250 | 3190 | 3240 | 3250 | | 2025/09/12 | 3190 | 3210 | 3290 | 3230 | 3240 | 3230 | | 2025/09/15 | 3190 | 3260 | 3290 | 3230 | 3330 | 3280 | | 2025/09/16 | 3220 | 3280 | 3310 | 3260 | 3360 | 3290 | | 2025/09/17 | 3180 | 3240 | 3270 | 3220 | 3360 | 3290 | | 变化 | -40 | -40 | -40 | -40 | 0 | 0 | | 日期 | 天津热卷 | 上海热卷 | 乐从热卷 | 天津 ...

Price Performance - The latest prices of London Gold, London Silver, London Platinum, London Palladium, WTI Crude Oil, and LME Copper are $3681.00, $41.27, $1401.00, $1184.00, $64.52, and $10064.50 respectively, with changes of -$14.40, -$1.42, $10.00, -$3.00, $0.00, and -$55.00 [4]. - The latest values of the US Dollar Index, Euro to US Dollar, British Pound to US Dollar, US Dollar to Japanese Yen, and US 10 - year TIPS are 96.64, 1.19, 1.36, 146.46, and 1.67 respectively, with no changes [4]. Trading Data - The latest inventories of COMEX Silver, SHFE Silver, and SGE Silver are 16317.89, 1221.43, and 1283.61 respectively. The inventory of SHFE Silver decreased by 9.83 [5]. - The latest holdings of Gold ETF and Silver ETF are 975.66 and 15189.61 respectively, with decreases of 4.29 and 28.23 [5]. - The latest deferred - fee payment directions of SGE Silver and SGE Gold are 1 and 2 respectively, with no changes [5].

焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/9/18 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 同比 | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1427.78 | 0.00 | -54.61 | -53.55 | -11.51% 高炉开工率 | 90.18 | | 4.39 | -0.04 | 7.87% | | 河北准一干熄 | 1680.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | -55.00 | 7.69% 铁水日均产量 | 240.55 | | 11.71 | -0.11 | 7.69% | | 山东准一干熄 | 1605.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | -55.00 | -10.34% 盘面05 | 1857 | -11.50 | 108.50 | 49.00 | -1.88% | | 江苏准一干熄 | 1645.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | -55.00 | -10.11% 盘面09 | 1895 ...

供应 需求 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：72%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：75%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -2500 -1500 -500 500 1500 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁-硅锰主力合约价差（元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/ ...

Report Overview - The report is a daily report on coking coal, released on September 18, 2025, by the Black Team of the Research Center [1] Price Information - **Coal Spot Prices**: The latest price of Liulin Main Coking Coal is 1503.00, with a daily change of 102.00 and a weekly change of 102.00; the price of Raw Coal Port Delivery Price is 1000.00, with a daily change of 9.00 and a weekly change of 69.00; the price of Shaheyi Meng 5 is 1350.00, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 30.00; the price of Anze Main Coking Coal is 1500.00, with a daily change of 80.00 and a weekly change of 80.00 [2] - **Futures Prices**: The latest price of Futures Contract 05 is 1309.00, with a daily decrease of 15.00 and a weekly increase of 88.50; the price of Futures Contract 09 is 1363.50, with a daily decrease of 8.00 and a weekly increase of 386.00; the price of Futures Contract 01 is 1229.50, with a daily increase of 1.00 and a weekly increase of 95.00 [2] Inventory Information - **Total Inventory**: The total coking coal inventory is 3351.85, with a weekly decrease of 45.83 and a monthly decrease of 68.46, a year - on - year decrease of 11.31% [2] - **Different Inventory Types**: Coal mine inventory is 254.52, with a weekly decrease of 13.56 and a year - on - year decrease of 17.86%; port inventory is 275.49, with a weekly increase of 0.14 and a year - on - year decrease of 31.83%; steel mill coking coal inventory is 795.76, with a weekly decrease of 16.09 and a year - on - year increase of 10.78%; coking plant coking coal inventory is 920.05, with a weekly decrease of 41.22 and a year - on - year increase of 7.72% [2] Production and Utilization Information - **Coking Capacity Utilization**: The coking capacity utilization rate is 75.92, with a weekly increase of 2.78 and a monthly increase of 1.58, a year - on - year increase of 9.74% [2] - **Coking Coke Inventory**: The coking coke inventory is 85.93, with a weekly increase of 1.62 and a monthly decrease of 0.24, a year - on - year decrease of 0.26% [2] Spread Information - **Futures Basis**: The 05 basis is - 101.30, with a daily increase of 15.00 and a weekly decrease of 65.51; the 09 basis is - 155.80, with a daily increase of 8.00 and a weekly decrease of 363.01; the 01 basis is - 21.80, with a daily decrease of 1.00 and a weekly decrease of 72.01 [2] - **Futures Spread**: The 5 - 9 spread is - 54.50, with a daily decrease of 7.00 and a weekly decrease of 297.50; the 9 - 1 spread is 134.00, with a daily decrease of 9.00 and a weekly increase of 291.00; the 1 - 5 spread is - 79.50, with a daily increase of 16.00 and a weekly increase of 6.50 [2]

Group 1: Overnight Market Information - Canada's 2025 rapeseed production is expected to increase by 4.1% to 20 million tons due to a 6.2% increase in yield offsetting a 2.0% decline in harvest area [1] - In Saskatchewan, 2025 rapeseed production is expected to increase by 6.8% to 11.2 million tons with a 6.0% yield increase and a 0.8% area increase [1] - In Alberta, rapeseed production is expected to increase by 2.8% to 5.8 million tons due to a 6.1% yield increase despite a 3.1% area decline [1] - In Manitoba, rapeseed production is expected to decline by 2.2% to 2.9 million tons as a 9.6% area decline offsets an 8.2% yield increase [1] - Malaysia's palm oil exports from September 1 - 15, 2025, decreased by 24.7% to 404,688 tons compared to the same period last month [1] - US 2025/26 soybean export sales for the week ending September 11 are expected to increase by 40 - 150 million tons [1] Group 2: Spot Prices - Spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from September 11 - 17, 2025, are presented in a table [2] Group 3: Other Information - Information on protein meal basis, oil basis, and oil - seed futures price spreads is mentioned [3][6] - Information on main - producing country precipitation, imported soybean crushing profit, and oil import profit is mentioned [1]

集运早报 | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | 2025/9/18 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 导致 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌 (%) | 基 | 昨日成交量 | | 昨日持命量 | 持合变动 | | 期货 | EC2510 | | 1109.7 | -5.13 | 330.5 | 43546 | | 49609 | 2092 | | | EC2512 | | 1672.0 | -0.11 | -231.8 | 16859 | | 20437 | 678 | | | EC2602 | | 1578.8 | 0.43 | -138.6 | 3152 | | 7105 | 386 | | | EC2604 | | 1285.0 | 0.10 | 155.2 | 1492 | | 8334 | 101 | | | EC2606 | | 1468.7 | -0.20 | -28.5 | | 121 | 924 | -33 | | | 月差 | | 前一日 | 前两日 | 前三日 | 目标 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content. 2. Core View of the Report - The LPG market shows complex changes. The domestic market has seen significant price increases, with the basis weakening and monthly spreads changing. The external market prices have risen, and the profit of PDH - made PP has continued to weaken. The supply and demand situation is such that imports have decreased, external sales have slightly increased, but demand has narrowed, leading to an increase in both port and factory inventories. The chemical demand has declined, and the overall market is expected to remain weak [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Data Price Data - **Domestic Prices**: On September 17, 2025, the prices in different regions were as follows: the price in East China was 4482 (-17), in Shandong was 4540 (+0), and in South China was 4585 (+35). The price of ether - after carbon four was 4700 (-20). The lowest delivery location was East China [1]. - **Contract - related Data**: The PG main contract fluctuated strongly. The cheapest delivery product was Shandong civil gas at 4500. The basis weakened to 51 (-74). The 10 - 11 monthly spread was 49 (-20), and the 11 - 12 monthly spread was 62 (+3). The number of warehouse receipts was 13002 hands (-6) [1]. - **External Market Prices**: FEI and CP were 559 (+2) and 550 (+0) US dollars/ton respectively. The FEI monthly spread remained at - 5, and the CP monthly spread remained at - 11. The external market prices rose, with the FEI - CP spread at 7.5 (+6.5). The US - Asia arbitrage window was closed [1]. Market Spread and Margin Data - **Basis and Spread**: The basis weakened, and the monthly spreads showed different changes. For example, the 10 - 11 monthly spread changed by +14, and the 11 - 12 monthly spread changed by +3. The internal - external spread decreased slightly, with PG - CP at 75 (-3) and PG - FEI at 67.6 (-9.3) [1]. - **Profit Margin**: The profit of PDH - made PP continued to weaken, and the production gross margins of alkylated oil and MTBE were low [1]. Shipping and Inventory Data - **Shipping**: Freight rates continued to rise, with the latest freight from the US Gulf to Japan at 155 (+11) and from the Middle East to the Far East at 82 (+7) [1]. - **Inventory**: Imports decreased, external sales increased slightly, but demand narrowed, resulting in an increase in both port and factory inventories [1].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated, the near-month spread fluctuated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread fluctuated at a high level, and the internal and external spreads of FU near-month were more volatile due to delivery factors. The low-sulfur cracking weakened rapidly, the spread accelerated to weaken, the internal and external spread of LU was compressed to $6-7 per ton, and the MF0.5 basis fluctuated. From a fundamental perspective, Singapore's residue decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue continued to accumulate. The high-sulfur peak season in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high-sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provides support, and the EW spread has completed the repair. The internal and external spreads of domestic high-sulfur increased again due to the influence of the delivery warehouse, and the short-term internal and external spread was repaired. This week, LU accelerated its decline, and the external MF0.5 basis was weakly operating. Due to the support of gasoline and diesel cracking in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the low-sulfur to high-sulfur spread to widen in the fourth quarter can be noted [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From September 11 - 17, 2025, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, etc. showed certain fluctuations. For example, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 changed from 375.09 to 384.75, with a change of -0.89 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap and Spot Data - From September 11 - 17, 2025, the prices of Singapore 380cst M1, Singapore 180cst M1, etc. also fluctuated. For instance, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 changed from 392.94 to 397.55. In the Singapore fuel oil spot market, the FOB 380cst price changed from 392.94 to 397.68, with a change of 4.47 [1][2]. Domestic FU and LU Data - From September 11 - 17, 2025, for domestic FU, the prices of FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 all increased to varying degrees, such as FU 01 increasing from 2802 to 2831, with a change of 36. For domestic LU, the prices of LU 01 and LU 05 increased significantly, while LU 09 increased slightly. For example, LU 01 increased from 3364 to 3432, with a change of 64 [2][3].