点评: 当前地缘犹动较高。近月来看，马士基2月报价企稳、3月抢运预期、4月淡季预期、以及长办价格压制下，共同推动04合约在1100-1250点区间 震荡。建议04保持谨慎做空，关注盘面是否出现显著溢价（向上空间更多取决于资金行为，尤其是当前基差300点，需谨防多头资金拉涨），后 续重点关注PA联盟报价情况和地缘形势。 远月来看，建议仍以逢高空10为主，主要基于淡季与退院利空逻辑。06和08估值难锚定，合理范围内宽幅震荡，地缘犹动下建议谨慎操作。 | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | | 2026/2/4 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 合約 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 昨日成交量 | | 昨日持仓量 | 持仓变动 | | | EC2602 | | 1737.8 | 1.03% | 54.3 | 612 | | 1883 | -456 | | | EC2604 | | 1237.9 | 4.50% | 554.2 | 29296 | | 34229 | 423 | | | EC ...

原油成品油早报 研究中心能化团队 2026/02/04 | 日期 | WTI | BRENT | DUBAI | diff FOB dated bre | BRENT 1- | WTI-BREN | DUBAI-B | NYMEX RB | RBOB-BR | NYMEX | HO-BRT | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 2月差 | T | RT（EFS | OB | T | HO | | | | | | | nt | | | | | | | | | 2026/01/28 | 63.21 | 68.40 | 61.88 | 1.57 | 1.03 | -5.19 | 2.68 | 189.23 | 11.08 | 266.61 | 43.58 | | 2026/01/29 | 65.42 | 70.71 | 62.01 | 1.35 | 1.12 | -5.29 | 2.80 | 192.00 | 9.93 | 258.54 | 37.88 | | 2026/01/3 ...

研究中心能化团队 2026/02/04 甲 醇 日期 动力煤期 货 江苏现货 华南现货 鲁南折盘 面 西南折盘面 河北折盘 面 西北折盘 面 CFR中国 CFR东南 亚 进口利润 主力基差 盘面MTO 利润 2026/01/2 8 801 2305 2290 2370 - 2275 2385 269 322 8 -55 - 2026/01/2 9 801 2300 2290 2375 - 2275 2385 271 322 -4 -55 - 2026/01/3 0 801 2275 2280 2378 - 2275 2385 268 323 -4 -55 - 2026/02/0 2 801 2237 2228 2385 - 2275 2385 268 323 -39 -37 - 2026/02/0 3 801 2225 2238 2385 - 2330 2385 - - - -45 - 日度变化 0 -12 10 0 - 55 0 - - - -8 - 观点 伊朗矛盾继续发酵，mto出现抵抗，兴兴停车，盛虹2月停车，鲁西下周停车，其余也有降幅计划，预计等待伊朗 正常后重新开车， 目前看来甲醇往上往下都难，MT ...

| 乖 亦安期货 | | --- | 纸浆早报 研究中心能化团队 2026/02/04 SP主力合约收盘价： 5276.00 | 日期 | 2026/02/03 | 2026/02/02 | 2026/01/30 | 2026/01/29 | 2026/01/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力合约收盘价 | 5276.00 | 5266.00 | 5300.00 | 5388.00 | 5374.00 | | 折美元价 | 664.21 | 661.49 | 666.08 | 677.54 | 675.82 | | 距上一日涨跌 | 0.18990% | -0.64151% | -1.63326% | 0.26051% | 0.59903% | | 山东银星基差 | 99 | 109 | 75 | 12 | 26 | | 江浙沪银星基差 | 114 | 124 | 90 | 12 | 26 | 以13%增值税计算 | 产地 | 品牌 | 价格说明 | 港口美元价格 | 山东地区人民币价格 | 进口利润 | | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

价 格 和 利 润 | | | | 钢材早报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 研究中心黑色团队 2026/02/04 | | | 现 货 价 格 | | | | | | | | 日期 | 北京螺纹 | 上海螺纹 | 成都螺纹 | 西安螺纹 | 广州螺纹 | 武汉螺纹 | | 2026/01/28 | 3160 | 3230 | 3310 | 3240 | 3410 | 3320 | | 2026/01/29 | 3160 | 3280 | 3340 | 3240 | 3410 | 3350 | | 2026/01/30 | 3160 | 3240 | 3340 | 3240 | 3450 | 3310 | | 2026/02/02 | 3120 | 3210 | 3340 | 3240 | 3400 | 3310 | | 2026/02/03 | - | - | - | - | - | - | | 变化 | - | - | - | - | - | - | | 日期 | 天津热卷 | 上海热卷 | 乐从热卷 | 天津 ...

授权，不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息 焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2026/2/4 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1485.59 | 0.00 | 54.61 | 54.61 | -4.56% 高炉开工率 | 85.47 | | -0.04 | 0.21 | 0.98% | | 河北准一干熄 | 1735.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | 55.00 | 14.90% 铁水日均产量 | 227.98 | | -0.12 | 0.55 | #N/A | | 山东准一干熄 | 1680.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | 55.00 | -3.17% 盘面05 | 1721 | 3.00 | 51.50 | 54.00 | -1.85% ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2026/02/04 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2026/01/28 -350 5489 225937 148038 -67.63 4.13 20.0 20.0 -101.09 173925 44700 2026/01/29 -350 6364 225937 151628 1825.50 401.68 23.0 23.0 -93.76 176075 43600 2026/01/30 -325 6505 233004 156851 593.62 -291.04 27.0 28.0 -89.88 174975 41800 2026/02/02 -300 5491 233004 158527 -731.31 344.73 39.0 45.0 -59.17 174675 37875 2026/02/03 -290 6127 233004 159021 -650.94 351.21 36.0 43.0 -69.40 176 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - No clear core view is presented in the provided documents. 3. Summary by Relevant Categories Price Performance - Latest prices of various precious metals and commodities: London Gold at $4714.75, London Silver at $103.19, London Platinum at $2145.00, London Lithium at $1820.00, WTI Crude at $62.14, and LME Copper at $13351.00 [1] - Price changes: London Platinum decreased by $155.00, and LME Copper increased by $843.50, while others remained unchanged [1] - Latest values of currency - related data: Dollar Index at 1.37, Euro - US Dollar at 1.18, Pound - US Dollar not provided, US Dollar - Japanese Yen at 155.60, and US 10 - year TIPS at 1.94, with no changes [1] Trading Data - COMEX Silver inventory is 12618.61 with no change,上期所白银库存 is 449.65 (decreased by 12.97), Gold ETF持仓 is 1083.38 (decreased by 3.72), Silver ETF持仓 is 16437.70 (decreased by 108.89), 上金所白银库存 is 506.49 with no change, 上金所黄金递延费支付方向 is 1 (decreased by 1.00), and 上金所白银递延费支付方向 is 2 with no change [1] Ratios - Various ratios are presented in the form of graphs, including gold - crude oil ratio, gold - copper ratio, gold - platinum ratio, platinum - palladium ratio, COMEX silver ratio, and COMEX - London spread [1][2][4] Other Data - Graphs show data such as silver import profit, gold import profit, US Treasury bond interest rates and spreads, ETF持仓 changes, silver and gold inventories in different exchanges, and non - commercial long - position ratios in COMEX for gold and silver [1][3][6][7]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Coking Coal Daily Report [1] - Research Team: Black Team of the Research Center [1] - Date: February 4, 2026 [1] Group 2: Price Information - **Domestic Coking Coal**: - The latest price of Liulin Main Coking Coal is 1483.00, with no daily change, no weekly change, a monthly increase of 80.00, and a yearly increase of 13.47% [2] - The latest price of Raw Coal Port Delivery Price is 1027.00, with no daily change, a weekly increase of 24.00, a monthly increase of 74.00, and a yearly increase of 12.24% [2] - The latest price of Shaheyi Mongolian No.5 is 1430.00, with no daily change, a weekly increase of 30.00, a monthly increase of 90.00, and a yearly increase of 5.93% [2] - The latest price of Anze Main Coking Coal is 1600.00, with a daily decrease of 30.00, a weekly decrease of 40.00, a monthly increase of 100.00, and a yearly increase of 14.29% [2] - **International Coking Coal**: - The latest price of Peak Downs is 222.00, with no daily change, a weekly decrease of 39.00, a monthly decrease of 6.50, and a yearly increase of 25.00 [2] - The latest price of Goonyella is 222.00, with no daily change, a weekly decrease of 39.00, a monthly decrease of 7.50, and a yearly increase of 20.00 [2] - **Futures Market**: - The latest price of Futures Contract 05 is 1167.00, with a daily decrease of 2.50, a weekly increase of 46.00, a monthly increase of 89.00, and a yearly increase of 2.10% [2] - The latest price of Futures Contract 09 is 1246.50, with a daily increase of 0.50, a weekly increase of 45.00, a monthly increase of 92.00, and a yearly increase of 1.59% [2] - The latest price of Futures Contract 01 is 1413.50, with a daily decrease of 4.50, a weekly increase of 35.50, a monthly increase of 357.50, and a yearly increase of 12.05% [2] - **Basis and Spread**: - The 05 basis is -94.82, with a daily increase of 2.50, a weekly decrease of 108.07, a monthly decrease of 5.09, and a yearly decrease of 1.01 [2] - The 09 basis is -174.32, with a daily decrease of 0.50, a weekly decrease of 107.07, a monthly decrease of 8.09, and a yearly decrease of 0.02 [2] - The 01 basis is -341.32, with a daily increase of 4.50, a weekly decrease of 97.57, a monthly decrease of 273.59, and a yearly increase of 0.61 [2] - The 5 - 9 spread is -79.50, with a daily decrease of 3.00, a weekly increase of 1.00, a monthly decrease of 3.00, and a yearly decrease of 0.05 [2] - The 9 - 1 spread is -167.00, with a daily increase of 5.00, a weekly increase of 9.50, a monthly decrease of 265.50, and a yearly increase of 3.84 [2] - The 1 - 5 spread is 246.50, with a daily decrease of 2.00, a weekly decrease of 10.50, a monthly increase of 268.50, and a yearly increase of 1.08 [2] Group 3: Inventory and Utilization Information - **Total Inventory**: The latest total inventory is 4130.25, with a weekly increase of 30.63 and a monthly increase of 71.92 [2] - **Inventory by Sector**: - Coal mine inventory is 267.18, with a weekly decrease of 7.17, a monthly decrease of 26.16, and a yearly decrease of 35.25% [2] - Port inventory is 289.38, with a weekly decrease of 9.52, a monthly decrease of 10.12, and a yearly decrease of 36.30% [2] - Steel mill coking coal inventory is 803.24, with a weekly increase of 1.04, a monthly decrease of 3.48, and a yearly decrease of 5.30% [2] - Coking plant coking coal inventory is 1177.71, with a weekly increase of 44.86, a monthly increase of 137.99, and a yearly decrease of 4.28% [2] - Coking plant coke inventory is 85.91, with a weekly increase of 0.20, a monthly increase of 0.33, and a yearly decrease of 0.43% [2] - **Coking Capacity Utilization**: The latest coking capacity utilization is 71.86, with a weekly decrease of 0.55, a monthly increase of 0.14, and a yearly decrease of 1.71% [2]

铅：跨市套利跟踪 2026/02/04 有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2026/02/04 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2026/02/04 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 101250 13282 7.33 三月 104780 13351 7.62 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 7.87 -650.94 现货出口 2095.94 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2026/02/04 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 25070 3321 7.55 三月 25010 3347 4.97 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.27 -2405.07 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2026/02/04 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 23290 3069 7.59 三月 23890 3092 7.63 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.35 -2324.16 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2026/02/04 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 132700 17037 7.79 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.03 -1126.11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 16425 1921 8.56 三月 16700 1973 12.72 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.53 ...