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港股异动丨乳制品股拉升 中国圣牧涨超9% 行业受益政策利好
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-12 02:04
Group 1 - The Hong Kong dairy stocks experienced a significant rise, with Australia Asia Group increasing over 13%, China Shengmu up over 9%, Modern Dairy and Yurun Dairy rising nearly 8%, and Original Ecology Dairy up 4% [1] - The implementation of the "Childcare Subsidy System" starting January 1, 2025, will provide a subsidy of 3,600 yuan per child per year for families with children under three years old, which is expected to lower family costs and stimulate birth rates and consumption in infant families, particularly in lower-tier cities [1] - This policy is projected to benefit over 20 million families with infants, potentially driving demand for dairy products, especially infant formula [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities reports that the Chinese dairy industry is undergoing a strategic transformation from "scale expansion" to "value enhancement," driven by global supply chain adjustments and consumption upgrades [1] - Solid dairy products like cheese and butter are becoming key drivers for innovation in the catering industry and the development of healthy food due to their high nutritional value and versatility [1] - The B-end dairy product market is estimated to exceed 40 billion yuan by 2024, with projections for the market size to reach 70.3 billion yuan by 2028, corresponding to a CAGR of 14.3% from 2025 to 2028 [1]
港股异动 乳业股午后拉升 育儿补贴政策出台 机构称有望提振乳品等行业需求
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-11 07:16
国泰海通证券指出,"国补"正式进入生育领域,测算年均发放育儿补贴约千亿,有望发挥乘数效应且有 加码可能,提振乳品等行业需求。招商证券也指出,生育补贴正式落地,政策力度符合此前预期、但靴 子落地仍是积极信号,体现政府对生育问题的高重视度。在全国政策落地与后续地方政策跟进的节奏 下,乳制品板块关注度有望提升。 本文源自:智通财经网 消息面上,7月28日,《育儿补贴制度实施方案》出台,方案为2025年1月1日起,对符合法律法规规定 生育的3周岁以下婴幼儿发放每孩每年3600元的补贴,至其年满3周岁。爱建证券指出,这一政策对降低 家庭生育成本、刺激出生率及婴幼儿家庭消费潜力有重大意义(特别是在低线城市),预计将惠及2000 多万婴幼儿家庭,有望直接拉动乳制品特别是婴幼儿奶粉消费。 乳业股午后拉升,截至发稿,中国圣牧(01432)涨12.66%,报0.445港元;优然牧业(09858)涨8.87%,报 4.05港元;现代牧业(01117)涨8.77%,报1.24港元;原生态牧业(01431)涨7.14%,报0.375港元。 ...
乳业股午后拉升 育儿补贴政策出台 机构称有望提振乳品等行业需求
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 06:31
乳业股午后拉升,截至发稿,中国圣牧(01432)涨12.66%,报0.445港元;优然牧业(09858)涨8.87%,报 4.05港元;现代牧业(01117)涨8.77%,报1.24港元;原生态牧业(01431)涨7.14%,报0.375港元。 国泰海通证券指出,"国补"正式进入生育领域,测算年均发放育儿补贴约千亿,有望发挥乘数效应且有 加码可能,提振乳品等行业需求。招商证券也指出,生育补贴正式落地,政策力度符合此前预期、但靴 子落地仍是积极信号,体现政府对生育问题的高重视度。在全国政策落地与后续地方政策跟进的节奏 下,乳制品板块关注度有望提升。 消息面上,7月28日,《育儿补贴制度实施方案》出台,方案为2025年1月1日起,对符合法律法规规定 生育的3周岁以下婴幼儿发放每孩每年3600元的补贴,至其年满3周岁。爱建证券指出,这一政策对降低 家庭生育成本、刺激出生率及婴幼儿家庭消费潜力有重大意义(特别是在低线城市),预计将惠及2000 多万婴幼儿家庭,有望直接拉动乳制品特别是婴幼儿奶粉消费。 ...
港股异动 | 乳业股午后拉升 育儿补贴政策出台 机构称有望提振乳品等行业需求
智通财经网· 2025-08-11 06:28
Group 1 - Dairy stocks experienced a significant rise, with China Shengmu (01432) up 12.66% to HKD 0.445, YouRan Dairy (09858) up 8.87% to HKD 4.05, Modern Dairy (01117) up 8.77% to HKD 1.24, and Original Ecology Dairy (01431) up 7.14% to HKD 0.375 [1] - The implementation of the "Childcare Subsidy Implementation Plan" starting January 1, 2025, will provide a subsidy of HKD 3,600 per child per year for families with children under three years old, significantly reducing family childcare costs and stimulating birth rates and consumption potential in infant families, especially in lower-tier cities [1] - The annual distribution of childcare subsidies is estimated to be around HKD 100 billion, which is expected to have a multiplier effect and potentially increase demand in the dairy industry [1] Group 2 - The formal introduction of the national subsidy into the fertility sector reflects the government's high emphasis on fertility issues, with the dairy sector likely to see increased attention as national policies are implemented and followed by local policies [1] - The policy's alignment with previous expectations and its positive signal upon implementation indicate a strong governmental commitment to addressing fertility challenges, which is anticipated to boost the dairy product sector, particularly infant formula consumption [1]
优然牧业万得(Wind)ESG评级实现两连跳,跃升至AA级
Zhong Jin Zai Xian· 2025-08-11 02:05
Core Viewpoint - Yuran Agriculture has achieved a significant improvement in its ESG rating, now reaching AA level, reflecting its strong performance in sustainable development and recognition in the capital market [1][3]. Group 1: ESG Rating and Recognition - Yuran Agriculture's ESG rating has jumped to AA level, marking its second consecutive improvement [1]. - The company has been included in the "S&P Sustainability Yearbook (China Edition)" for two consecutive years, ranking among the top 10% of Chinese companies in the S&P Global CSA 2024 scoring [1]. - The ratings from both international and domestic authoritative institutions demonstrate Yuran Agriculture's industry-leading ESG performance [1][3]. Group 2: Environmental Initiatives - Yuran Agriculture integrates green and low-carbon strategies into its core business operations, setting a goal to achieve carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2050 [5]. - The company has implemented various green energy technologies, including AI spraying, "pasture-solar complementary" systems, and biogas power generation [5]. - Yuran Agriculture has introduced electric milk transport vehicles and established several low-carbon facilities, including a zero-carbon feed factory and a low-carbon dairy farming demonstration farm [5]. Group 3: Social Responsibility - The company prioritizes its employees as core assets, fostering a supportive workplace environment through various initiatives [9]. - Yuran Agriculture promotes local employment for farmers and has developed a cooperative model with surrounding farmers, enhancing the scale of forage planting [9]. - The innovative "straw-to-milk" program has helped local farmers increase their income, benefiting around 300,000 farmers [9]. Group 4: Governance and Risk Management - Yuran Agriculture emphasizes compliance and risk management, continuously improving its governance structure and internal controls [12]. - The company has integrated ESG risks into its overall risk management framework, ensuring robust operational stability [12]. - Over the past three years, Yuran Agriculture's total revenue has increased from 18.051 billion to 20.096 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.3% growth [12].
优然牧业(09858.HK)拟8月22日举行董事会会议批准中期业绩
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-07 08:45
格隆汇8月7日丨优然牧业(09858.HK)宣布,公司将于2025年8月22日(星期五)举行董事会会议,藉以 (其中包括)考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2025年6月30日止六个月的中期业绩及其发布,并考虑 派发中期股息(如有)。 ...
优然牧业(09858) - 董事会会议通告
2025-08-07 08:30
(於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司) (股 份 代 號:9858) 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責, 對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明,並 明 確 表 示,概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全 部 或 任 何 部 分 內 容 而 產 生 或 因 倚 賴 該 等 內 容 而 引 致 之 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 China Youran Dairy Group Limited 中國優然牧業集團有限公司 董事會會議通告 中國優然牧業集團有限公司(「本公司」)董事會(「董事會」)謹此宣佈,本公司將於2025年 8月22日(星 期 五)舉 行 董 事 會 會 議,藉 以(其 中 包 括)考慮及批准本公司及其附屬公司 截 至2025年6月30日 止 六 個 月 的 中 期 業 績 及 其 發 佈,並 考 慮 派 發 中 期 股 息(如 有)。 承董事會命 中國優然牧業集團有限公司 主席兼執行董事 郝海軍 呼 和 浩 特,2025年8月7日 於 本 公 告 日 期,執 行 董 事 為 郝 海 軍 先 生、董 計 平 ...
牧业:供给去化,改善可期
2025-08-05 03:20
Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The dairy industry is characterized by its cyclical nature, influenced by the growth cycle of cattle, which takes approximately 13 months from calf to mature cow [1] - The industry has become increasingly large-scale since 2008, driven by food safety incidents and environmental regulations, leading to a consolidation of farms [2] - As of 2020, leading farms accounted for 43% of the market, although the overall competition remains fragmented with top companies holding less than 4% market share [2] Supply and Demand Analysis - Milk price fluctuations are influenced by both supply and demand factors [3] - Supply factors include the price of imported milk powder, which serves as a substitute for fresh milk when prices are lower abroad [3] - Demand factors are driven by population growth and per capita dairy consumption, which is affected by income levels and health awareness [5] - Feed costs constitute about 70% of the raw milk sales cost, making it a significant factor in dairy farming profitability [5] Historical Price Cycles - The industry has experienced three major cycles from 2008 to present: - **2008-2013**: Milk prices fell due to the melamine scandal, leading to reduced demand [6] - **2013-2018**: Prices rose due to supply constraints from disease outbreaks and rising feed costs, followed by a decline due to increased imports [7] - **2019-Present**: Prices have been rising due to supply reductions from farm exits and supportive policies, although a recent oversupply has led to price declines starting in 2021 [9] Current Market Conditions - Current milk prices are around 3203, showing a slight decline from the previous week [9] - The industry is in a phase of bottoming out, with many farms facing losses due to falling prices and rising feed costs [10] - Factors such as rising beef prices and seasonal procurement pressures are expected to increase financial strain on smaller farms [11] Future Outlook - The second half of the year may see a balance between supply and demand, aided by government subsidies and new standards reducing reliance on imported milk powder [12] - Companies like YouRan are expected to benefit from a rebound in milk prices, with potential profit increases linked to higher proportions of premium milk sales [13] - The integration of supply chains and cost management strategies are expected to enhance profitability for leading firms [17] Company-Specific Insights - YouRan's revenue is significantly supported by stable demand from major customers like Yili, which accounts for 95% of its raw milk income [16] - The company has a diversified product range, including organic and premium milk, which helps mitigate risks associated with falling milk prices [14] - The overall industry outlook suggests that leading companies will benefit from cost reductions and a potential rebound in milk prices, with historical price cycles indicating a strong likelihood of recovery [23][24] Conclusion - The dairy industry is currently navigating a challenging environment with fluctuating prices and rising costs, but there are signs of potential recovery driven by policy support and market adjustments. Leading companies are well-positioned to capitalize on these changes through strategic management and product differentiation.
优然牧业(09858) - 截至二零二五年七月三十一日止之股份发行人的证券变动月报表
2025-08-01 08:43
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國優然牧業集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月1日 FF301 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09858 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 3,892,727,833 | | 0 | | 3,892,727,833 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 3,892,727,833 | | 0 | | 3,892,727,833 | 第 2 頁 共 10 頁 v 1. ...
国家育儿补贴制度实施方案公布 农业农村部加快奶业纾困(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 00:02
农业农村部办公厅发布《关于加快奶业纾困提升奶业高质量发展水平的通知》提出,各地要落实白名单 制度,及时向金融机构推送生产经营水平高、信用良好的奶牛养殖场名单,"点对点"做好金融政策对 接。 推动银行机构持续创新"青贮贷"等金融产品,保障养殖场青贮饲料收储资金需求。要将符合条件的项目 纳入农业农村基础设施融资项目库储备,探索采取贴息补助的办法给予支持。 国泰海通证券发布研报称,7月28日国家育儿补贴制度实施方案公布,"国补"正式进入生育领域,食饮 訾猛团队测算年均发放育儿补贴约千亿,有望发挥乘数效应且有加码可能,提振乳品等行业需求。考虑 到适龄人口发展趋势,国泰海通预计未来出生人口数将有所减少,单年度补贴额度也将随之降低,但仍 为一笔可观的财政支出。对乳制品行业而言,全国层面的育儿补贴有望拉动相关乳品消费,尤其是奶粉 等,有助于提振板块景气度,加速供需缺口收敛。 乳品行业涉及相关港股: 澳优(01717)、H&H国际控股(01112)、蒙牛乳业(02319)、现代牧业(01117)、中国飞鹤(06186)、优然 牧业(09858)、原生态牧业(01431)等。 加强银政企户精准有效对接,引导金融机构通过展期、续 ...