从资金流向上来看，当日贵金属板块主力资金净流入4.58亿元，游资资金净流出5.31亿元，散户资金净流 入7315.74万元。贵金属板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，8月25日贵金属板块较上一交易日上涨4.09%，湖南白银领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3883.56，上涨1.51%。深证成指报收于12441.07，上涨2.26%。贵金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002716 | 湖南白银 | 5.39 | 10.00% | 211.00万 | | 11.14亿 | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | 21.15 | 5.17% | 104.75万 | | 21.82亿 | | 600489 | 中金黄金 | 15.15 | 4.48% | 169.85万 | | 25.45 Z | | 600988 | 赤峰黄金 | 25.30 | 4.03% | 1 89.89万 | | 22.50亿 | | 600547 | 山东黄金 | 31.9 ...

美联储降息预期升温不仅提振了黄金价格走势，也为整体金属市场注入上涨动能。杰克逊霍尔会议后，市场对9月降息的预 期大幅上升，推动贵金属和工业金属价格同步走强。黄金作为避险资产，在全球宏观经济不确定性加剧的背景下，其战略 配置价值进一步凸显。国泰君安期货指出，鲍威尔强调就业风险并为降息敞开大门，这为黄金价格提供了明确支撑，预计 金价将在降息预期落地过程中持续走高。 黄金股票ETF基金紧密跟踪中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数从内地与香港市场中，选取50只 市值较大且业务涉及黄金采掘、冶炼、销售的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映内地与香港市场中黄金产业上市公司证 券的整体表现。 截至2025年8月25日 13:23，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)强势上涨3.65%，成分股湖南白银(002716)上涨10.00%， 江西铜业股份(00358)上涨8.77%，江西铜业(600362)上涨8.58%，紫金矿业(02899)，登云股份(002715)等个股跟涨。黄金股 票ETF基金(159322)上涨3.68%，最新价报1.3元。拉长时间看，截至2025年8月22日，黄金股票ETF基金近1月 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.49% and the CSI 300 Index increased by 4.18% during the week of August 18-22 [2][3] - The SW Nonferrous Metals Index saw a gain of 1.33%, while COMEX gold and silver prices increased by 1.05% and 2.26%, respectively [2][3] Industrial Metals - Industrial metal prices showed mixed movements: LME aluminum +0.73%, copper +0.50%, zinc +0.32%, lead +0.56%, nickel -1.45%, and tin +0.70% [2][3] - The SMM imported copper concentrate index reported a decrease of $3.47/ton to $-41.15/ton, while the copper rod enterprises' operating rate rose to 71.80%, up by 1.20 percentage points [3] - Domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory decreased by 11,000 tons, totaling 596,000 tons, indicating a slight increase in production and improved demand expectations [3] - Recommended companies in the industrial metals sector include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Minmetals Resources, China Nonferrous Mining, and others [3] Energy Metals - Cobalt raw material imports continue to decline, suggesting a potential price surge for cobalt, while lithium supply disruptions remain a concern [4] - Carbonate lithium prices have rebounded due to increased market activity, with expectations for a strong short-term performance [4] - Cobalt prices are expected to strengthen as domestic inventory continues to deplete, with stable price increases for cobalt sulfate [4] - Recommended companies in the energy metals sector include Cangge Mining, Huayou Cobalt, and others [4] Precious Metals - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has positively influenced gold prices, with the People's Bank of China continuing to increase gold reserves for nine consecutive months [5] - Silver prices are also rising due to its industrial properties and recovery dynamics [5] - Recommended companies in the precious metals sector include Shandong Gold, Tongguan Gold, and others, with a focus on potential opportunities if gold prices stabilize above $3,500/oz [5]

Group 1 - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell signaled a dovish stance at the Jackson Hole meeting, indicating increased risks in the job market and hinting at a higher likelihood of interest rate cuts in September, which boosted market expectations for rate cuts [1] - Analysts noted that gold is currently experiencing low volatility and low market attention, providing space for a potential price reversal, supported by a stagflation scenario of weakening economy and persistent inflationary pressures [1] - In the medium to long term, the ongoing loosening of global monetary and fiscal discipline, along with a weakening trend in dollar credit, is expected to support an upward shift in gold prices [1] Group 2 - As of August 25, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) rose by 2.05%, with constituent stocks like Jiangxi Copper (00358) up by 8.25% and Zijin Mining (02899) up by 4.72% [2] - The Gold Stock ETF (159322) increased by 1.68%, with a recent price of 1.27 yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of 2.04% over the past month, ranking 1/6 among comparable funds [2] - The Gold Stock ETF has a net value increase of 29.66% over the past year, with a maximum monthly return of 16.59% since inception and a historical one-year profit probability of 100% [3] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index account for 66.02% of the index, with Zijin Mining (601899) and Shandong Gold (600547) being the largest contributors [5] - The Gold Stock ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index, which includes 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales [3]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，8月25日，贵金属板块走高，湖南白银涨停，湖南黄金、招金黄金、中金黄金、山金国 际、山东黄金等纷纷走高。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, emphasizing cyclical investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the dovish stance of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, suggesting potential interest rate cuts that could benefit the metals sector [4]. - The report indicates a strong performance of the metals sector, with significant year-to-date increases in various metal prices, particularly small metals and energy metals [9]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with stable supply-demand dynamics in the new energy manufacturing sector, such as Huafeng Aluminum and Asia-Pacific Technology [4]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.49%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 4.57% [5]. - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 1.33%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.85 percentage points [5]. - Year-to-date, the non-ferrous metals index has risen by 38.60%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 27.34 percentage points [8]. Price Changes and Key Company Valuations - Industrial metals prices showed mixed results, with copper prices slightly decreasing by 0.24% and aluminum prices increasing by 0.67% [14]. - The report provides detailed price changes for various metals, indicating a general upward trend in precious metals like gold and silver [14]. - Key companies in the industry, such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold, are highlighted for their potential based on current valuations and market conditions [18]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The report notes that copper demand remains strong, with operating rates for electrolytic copper rods and wire and cable showing slight increases [33]. - Aluminum production is stable, with a reported operating rate of approximately 97.8% for electrolytic aluminum [50]. - The steel sector is experiencing a slight increase in production, but demand remains weak during the off-season [77].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting potential price increases for various metals due to rising demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions [2][4]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, combined with improving seasonal demand, is likely to drive up industrial metal prices [2][4]. - It identifies specific companies as key investment opportunities, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining, among others [2][4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that the SMM import copper concentrate index decreased by $3.47 per ton week-on-week, indicating stable demand with downstream purchases primarily driven by necessity [2]. - Aluminum production has slightly increased due to the commissioning of replacement capacity, and companies are beginning to stockpile for the upcoming peak season [2]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory stands at 596,000 tons, with a weekly reduction of 11,000 tons [2]. Energy Metals - Cobalt supply continues to decrease, leading to expectations of a significant price increase, while lithium prices are expected to remain strong due to market dynamics [3]. - The report highlights that cobalt prices are likely to rise as domestic inventory continues to deplete [3]. - Nickel prices are also expected to increase due to low supply and rising demand from precursor manufacturers [3]. Precious Metals - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve's comments have bolstered expectations for interest rate cuts, which is likely to support gold prices [4]. - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for nine consecutive months, further supporting the bullish outlook for gold [4]. - The report suggests that if gold prices stabilize above $3,500 per ounce, it could present a significant investment opportunity [4]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts, Valuations, and Ratings - Zijin Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.21 CNY, with a PE ratio of 17, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.63 CNY, with a PE ratio of 18, rated as "Buy" [4]. - China Nonferrous Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.77 CNY, with a PE ratio of 11, rated as "Buy" [4].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The dovish remarks from Powell have increased expectations for a rate cut in September, benefiting the prices of precious and base metals [3][41] - The market is beginning to price in the likelihood of a rate cut, with a significant increase in the probability of a September cut to 91.1% following Powell's comments [3][41] - Long-term concerns regarding global monetary policy and debt are expected to support gold prices, with the passage of the "Big and Beautiful" act projected to increase the US fiscal deficit by $3.4 trillion [3][15] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 1.05% to $3,417.20 per ounce, while silver rose by 2.26% to $38.88 per ounce [1][24] - SPDR Gold ETF holdings decreased by 276,237.73 troy ounces, while SLV Silver ETF holdings increased by 6,992,897.80 ounces [24] - The gold-silver ratio fell by 1.19% to 87.89, indicating a potential recovery in silver prices due to increased industrial demand [1][43] Base Metals - Copper prices rose by 0.37% to $9,796.50 per ton on the LME, while aluminum increased by 0.73% to $2,622.00 per ton [6][48] - Supply disruptions from overseas mines continue to tighten raw material availability, with Peru's copper production increasing by 7.1% year-on-year [7][68] - The market anticipates a cautious improvement in consumption as the traditional peak season approaches [7][70] Small Metals - Magnesium prices remain stable at 18,920 yuan per ton, with tight inventory levels among producers [81] - Molybdenum prices have shown positive trends, with molybdenum iron prices rising by 3.60% to 287,500 yuan per ton [14][82] - The demand for molybdenum is expected to remain strong, supported by tight supply conditions [14][82]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600547 | 山东黄金 | 30.73 | 0.62% | 26.19万 | | 8.02亿 | | 002716 | 湖南自银 | 4.90 | 0.62% | 100.88万 | | 4.95 Z | | 300139 | 院種科技 | 19.09 | 0.58% | - 16.64万 | | 3.15亿 | | 600988 | 赤峰黄金 | 24.32 | 0.37% | 42.14万 | | 10.19亿 | | 001337 | 四川黄金 | 23.40 | 0.30% | 5.90万 | | 1.37亿 | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | 20.11 | 0.05% | 50.39万 | | 10.14亿 | | 000975 | 山舍国际 | 18.24 | -0.11% | 22.35万 | | 4.07亿 | | 600489 | 中金黄金 | 14.50 | -0.14% | 48.15万 | | 6. ...

8月20日，周生生发布公告，2025年上半年持续经营业务股东应占溢利预计达9亿至9.2亿港元，较去年 同期5.02亿港元增长79%—83%。该公司股价一度飙升27%，创历史新高。 然而，与亮眼财报形成鲜明对比的是，国际金价近期持续回落。截至8月20日记者发稿，COMEX黄金 期货报3367美元/盎司；伦敦金现围绕3313美元窄幅波动，较8月初的历史高点3534美元跌超6%，创三 周新低。 一边是黄金股业绩狂飙，一边是金价"跌跌不休"，投资者该入场还是观望？ 黄金股业绩报喜 今年以来，国际金价持续走强，COMEX黄金期货于8月8日创下3534.1美元/盎司历史高点，虽近期回落 至3360美元附近，但年内累计涨幅仍超25%。 受金价持续高企影响，黄金行业上市公司业绩普遍表现亮眼。 受益于今年以来金价持续上涨，近期，黄金股的业绩表现格外亮眼。 山东黄金、中金黄金等头部企业 净利润同比增幅普遍超过50%，部分公司甚至实现翻倍增长。 看好长期走势 近期，黄金价格出现明显调整。俄乌冲突接近尾声，中东局势缓和，市场避险需求下降，导致黄金价格 承压。不过，机构对黄金的长期投资价值依然看好。 高盛预计伦敦现货黄金将在2025年 ...