Core Viewpoint - The coal industry is expected to rebound in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by a price recovery and improved profitability for coal companies, following a period of decline due to falling coal prices and poor profits [1] Supply - In July, China's raw coal production was 380 million tons, a decrease of 4 million tons (-9.5%) month-on-month and 9 million tons (-3.8%) year-on-year; in August, production was 390 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of about 6 million tons (-3.2%) [2] - The total coal production for 2025 is projected to be approximately 4.71 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1% [2] - Coal imports showed a recovery in July and August, with July imports at 35.61 million tons (down 22.9% year-on-year) and August at 42.74 million tons (down 6.7% year-on-year) [2] Demand - The expectation of a cold winter is likely to increase demand in November and December, with a projected year-on-year growth in national electricity consumption of 5%-6% for 2025 [3] - Chemical coal demand remains high, with significant year-on-year increases in coal-based PVC, ethylene glycol, and methanol production [3] Inventory - Inventory pressures across various segments have eased compared to the first half of the year, supporting a rebound in coal prices [4] - Mainstream port inventories have decreased to 60.43 million tons, down from mid-May highs, and coal company sales have improved [4] Price - The tightening supply expectations have raised the bottom price for coal, with the fourth-quarter price expected to center around 750 yuan/ton [5] - The focus on production checks and stricter safety inspections has contributed to the price rebound [5] Investment Recommendations - The coal sector is currently at a cyclical low with high PE and low PB ratios, indicating potential for rebound as coal prices rise [6] - Recommended stocks include: - Elastic stocks: Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188.SH), Jincheng Anthracite Mining (601001.SH) [6] - Growth stocks: Electric Power Investment (002128.SZ), Huayang Co. (600348.SH) [6] - Long-term stable stocks: China Shenhua Energy (601088.SH), China Coal Energy (601898.SH) [6]

Core Viewpoints - The coal industry is expected to see a rebound in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by a potential increase in coal prices and improved profitability for coal companies as supply constraints become evident [2][11][18]. Group 1: PE and PB Analysis - The coal sector has experienced a downward trend in both PE and PB after a period of rapid growth, with significant differentiation observed during two periods: 2014-2017 and mid-2024 to present [2][11]. - The current PE is at approximately the 65th percentile since 2005, while the PB is at about the 27th percentile, indicating a cyclical low for the sector [17][18]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Coal production in July and August 2025 saw a year-on-year decrease due to rainfall and regulatory checks, with an expected slight decline in total production for the year [3][37]. - The total coal production for 2025 is projected to be around 4.71 billion tons, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.1% [3][37]. Group 3: Demand Outlook - Anticipated cold winter conditions are expected to boost demand in the winter months, with electricity consumption projected to grow by 5-6% year-on-year in 2025 [4]. - Chemical coal demand remains robust, with significant year-on-year increases in production for coal-based PVC, ethylene glycol, and methanol [4]. Group 4: Inventory and Price Trends - Inventory pressures across various segments have eased compared to the first half of the year, supporting a rebound in coal prices [5]. - The expectation of supply contraction is likely to elevate the price floor for coal, with seasonal demand potentially opening up upward price movement [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks based on their potential for rebound and growth, including Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Jinneng Holding, and China Shenhua Energy [5].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed mixed performance on October 14, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing 3900 points, while the ChiNext Index fell over 2% after an initial rise [1][3]. Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.67 trillion yuan, an increase of 905 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [3]. - Out of 2438 stocks, 42 hit the daily limit up, while 2825 stocks declined [3]. Sector Performance - The financial and liquor sectors were active, with insurance and banking stocks leading the gains [3][9]. - The coal sector rose over 3%, leading the market, with several stocks recording significant gains [9][10]. - The semiconductor sector experienced a notable decline, with various related stocks showing weakness [18]. Notable Stocks - New China Life Insurance saw a price increase of 6.16%, reaching 66.01 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 183.9 billion yuan [5][6]. - Major banks like Chongqing Bank and China Merchants Bank also saw gains, with Chongqing Bank rising over 5% [7][8]. - In the coal sector, Dayou Energy recorded a 10% increase, while other companies like Baotailong and Jiangtong Equipment also saw significant gains [10][11]. Liquor Sector Highlights - The liquor sector rebounded, with notable increases in stocks such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, which rose by 2.35% and 1.74% respectively [12][14]. - The sector was buoyed by market interest following comments from a well-known investor regarding Moutai [16]. Emerging Trends - The cultivated diamond sector saw a surge of over 6%, with stocks like Lili Diamond and Huifeng Diamond rising significantly [16][17]. - The semiconductor industry faced a downturn, with major companies like SMIC and Huagong Information experiencing declines of over 4% [18][19].

资金流向方面，主力资金净流出555.07万元，特大单买入613.94万元，占比5.01%，卖出709.95万元，占 比5.79%；大单买入2338.58万元，占比19.08%，卖出2797.64万元，占比22.83%。 10月14日，中煤能源盘中上涨2.01%，截至10:04，报12.16元/股，成交1.23亿元，换手率0.11%，总市值 1612.25亿元。 中煤能源今年以来股价涨2.00%，近5个交易日涨6.76%，近20日涨8.38%，近60日涨9.93%。 资料显示，中国中煤能源股份有限公司位于北京市朝阳区黄寺大街1号，成立日期2006年8月22日，上市 日期2008年2月1日，公司主营业务涉及煤炭业务、煤化工业务及煤矿装备制造业务等。主营业务收入构 成为：煤炭业务81.03%，煤化工业务12.48%，煤矿装备业务6.24%，其他业务6.00%，金融业务1.57%， 其他(补充)0.63%。 分红方面，中煤能源A股上市后累计派现428.73亿元。近三年，累计派现191.85亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，中煤能源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第五大流 通股东，持股6618.5 ...

格隆汇10月13日丨中煤能源(01898.HK)公布，本公司将于2025年10月27日（星期一）举行董事会会议， 藉以审议及批准（其中包括）本集团（包括本公司及附属公司）截至2025年9月30日止九个月的季度业 绩等事宜。 ...

格隆汇10月13日丨中煤能源(01898.HK)公布，本公司将于2025年10月27日（星期一）举行董事会会议， 藉以审议及批准（其中包括）本集团（包括本公司及附属公司）截至2025年9月30日止九个月的季度业 绩等事宜。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本通知的內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本通知全部或任何部份內容 而產生或因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 承董事會命 中國中煤能源股份有限公司 董事長、執行董事 王樹東 中國北京 2025 年 10 月 13 日 於本通知刊發日期，本公司的執行董事為王樹東、廖華軍和趙榮哲；非執行董事 為徐倩；獨立非執行董事為景奉儒、詹豔景和黃江天。 * 僅供識別 董事會會議通知 中國中煤能源股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）謹此公佈，本 公司將於二零二五年十月二十七日（星期一）舉行董事會會議，藉以審議及批准 （其中包括）本集團（包括本公司及附屬公司）截至二零二五年九月三十日止九 個月之季度業績等事宜。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Energy ETF (159930) opened with a decline of 2.27%, indicating a negative market sentiment towards energy stocks [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Energy ETF (159930) opened at 1.333 yuan, reflecting a drop in value [1] - Since its establishment on August 23, 2013, the fund has achieved a return of 37.76% [1] - The fund's performance over the past month shows a return of 3.11% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major holdings in the Energy ETF experienced declines, including: - China Shenhua down 0.78% - China Petroleum down 1.69% - China Petrochemical down 1.30% - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry down 1.79% - China National Offshore Oil Corporation down 1.64% - Yanzhou Coal Mining down 2.28% - Jereh Group down 3.94% - China Coal Energy down 1.68% - Shanxi Coking Coal down 2.60% - Meijin Energy down 2.82% [1] Group 3: Management Information - The Energy ETF is managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] - The fund managers are Dong Jin and Sun Hao [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Views - The coal price at ports has rebounded due to supply constraints, with the northern port's thermal coal price reaching 709 RMB/ton on October 11, an increase of 8 RMB/ton compared to September 28 [3][15] - The supply side has tightened due to rainfall and maintenance, while demand remains resilient, particularly in the chemical sector and electricity consumption [15][73] - The report highlights the investment value of coal companies, emphasizing their strong cash flow and high dividend yields, suggesting a focus on low-priced coal stocks [6][73] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - The supply side has tightened, with the capacity utilization rate in the Sanxi region decreasing by 0.24 percentage points to 90.44% as of October 8 [21] - The daily consumption of coastal and inland power plants has increased by 17.7 thousand tons and 69.2 thousand tons respectively [23] - The inventory at coastal and inland power plants reached 127.668 million tons as of October 9, a year-on-year increase of 0.611 million tons [15][29] Coking Coal - The capacity utilization rate for coking coal mines decreased by 1.94 percentage points to 83.77% during the holiday period [40] - The price of main coking coal at the port was 1,630 RMB/ton as of October 11, down 120 RMB/ton from September 28 [41] - The average profit per ton of coking coal has turned positive, indicating improved profitability in the sector [55] Focus Companies - Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yancoal, all of which are recommended for investment due to their strong fundamentals and market positions [6][73]

煤炭周报 安全生产考核巡查将开启，助力煤价反弹 2025 年 10 月 12 日 ➢ 安全生产考核巡查将开启，助力煤价反弹。据应急管理部微信公众号消息， 按照 2025 年度中央安全生产考核巡查工作安排，11 月份，22 个中央安全生产 考核巡查组将陆续进驻 31 个省、自治区、直辖市和新疆生产建设兵团开展年度 考核巡查。10 月 9 日至 10 月 31 日，国务院安全生产委员会办公室将通过互联 网、电话、信件等 3 种途径，受理群众反映和职工报告问题隐患线索。受理范围 主要包括：涉及安全生产相关的重大问题隐患、安全生产非法违法行为等，同时 受理有关部门和企业一线干部职工反映各级各部门在落实安全生产责任上存在 的问题、加强和改进安全生产工作的建议。考虑到巡查组受理主要范围为安全相 关问题，其进驻或对煤炭超能力生产等安全隐患做出整改，进而导致煤炭供给的 进一步收缩。2025 年 7 月以来，全国原煤产量单月同比降幅均超过 3%，内蒙 古超产核查落地预计后续供给也将减量，11 月巡查组进驻的背景下，预计供给 端收缩的预期进一步加强。 ➢ 11 月需求旺季到来，安全生产考核巡查有望助力煤价上涨。9 月煤价出现 淡 ...