Investment Rating - The report indicates a stable investment outlook for the industry, with certain emerging sectors expected to gain higher investment opportunities due to the implementation of national strategic initiatives [5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of managing expectations in the real estate market, highlighting its significant financial asset attributes and the need for macroeconomic regulation to stabilize the market [5][12]. - It identifies key companies and their recent developments, such as contracts signed and project wins, which are expected to contribute significantly to their future revenues [15][16]. Industry Performance - The construction industry experienced a weekly decline of 0.44%, outperforming the Shenzhen Composite Index (-0.58%) and the ChiNext Index (-1.25%) but underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index (+0.13%) [6]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week included steel structures (+3.48%), ecological landscaping (+2.02%), and design consulting (+0.91%) [7][11]. Key Company Developments - Notable changes in key companies include: 1. Nongshang Environment's subsidiary signed a contract worth 132 million yuan, accounting for 56.90% of its 2024 revenue [15]. 2. Southeast Network Framework won a bid for a project valued at 887 million yuan, representing 7.89% of its 2024 revenue [15]. Sub-sector Performance - The top three sub-sectors with the highest annual growth rates were ecological landscaping (+60.30%), decorative curtain walls (+53.82%), and professional engineering (+50.48%) [7]. - The report highlights significant individual stock performances, with companies like Guosheng Technology and Dongyi Risheng showing remarkable annual increases of 480.86% and 201.12%, respectively [11].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights that xTool holds the largest market share in the laser engraving machine segment, with a market share of approximately 47% in the first nine months of 2025 based on GMV [3]. - Demand is driven by emotional consumption, the rise of the creative economy, and maker culture, which are shifting consumer preferences towards personalized and unique designs [3]. - The supply side benefits from advancements in AI technology, integration of software and hardware ecosystems, and cost reductions from domestic supply chains, enhancing market penetration [3]. - The global market for technology-enabled personal creative tools is projected to grow from $6.8 billion in 2024 to $39.1 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.8% [3]. - The laser personal creative tools market is expected to expand from $1 billion in 2024 to $3.6 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 23.1% [3]. Summary by Sections Market Demand - The demand for personal creative tools is influenced by trends in emotional value consumption, the growth of the creative economy, and the emergence of maker culture and social media [3]. Market Supply - Innovations in AI and automation, along with the digital integration of software and hardware, are lowering barriers to entry and improving user experience [3]. Market Size and Growth - The market for personal creative tools is expected to see rapid growth, with significant increases in both overall market size and specific segments like laser tools [3]. Industry Chain - The industry chain includes upstream suppliers of core hardware, midstream product providers like xTool, and downstream users such as individual creators and small businesses [3]. Investment Opportunities - Key investment targets include laser engraving machine manufacturers like xTool and component suppliers such as JPT and Raycus Laser, as well as consumer-level 3D printing companies [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting optimism for the recovery of core cities and the potential for value reassessment in shopping centers [2][30]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the real estate sector as a significant contributor to the national economy and household wealth, advocating for robust policy measures to stabilize market expectations [30]. - It identifies two major opportunities: the rise of favorable policies for "good housing" and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which could lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [2][30]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transactions - In the week of December 27 to January 2, new housing transactions in 34 key cities totaled 4.067 million square meters, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 10.8% [2][3]. - Year-on-year, December transactions in these cities decreased by 26%, with first and second-tier cities down 25.4% and third and fourth-tier cities down 30.6% [2][6]. Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, second-hand housing transactions in 13 cities totaled 1.1 million square meters, a decrease of 10.4% from the previous week [11]. - Cumulatively, December transactions were down 26.8% year-on-year, with a notable decline in third and fourth-tier cities [11][7]. Inventory and Market Dynamics - The report notes a decrease in available housing inventory, with a total of 89.401 million square meters available in 15 cities, down 1.4% week-on-week [23]. - The average months of inventory turnover for the last three months is reported at 21.8 months, indicating a slight improvement in market absorption [23]. Policy and News Tracking Macro Policies - Recent policy changes include a reduction in the value-added tax rate for personal housing sales, aimed at stimulating market activity [30][31]. - The report highlights the need for policies that align with market expectations to avoid creating a tug-of-war between market forces and regulatory measures [30]. Company Developments - Notable company activities include the establishment of a Pre-REITs fund by China Resources Land, aimed at investing in quality commercial real estate projects [36][38]. - CIFI Holdings has completed its debt restructuring, marking a significant milestone in its financial recovery efforts [36].

2026 年 01 月 04 日 商业不动产 REITs 正式落地，哪些 变化？ ——公募 REITs 周度跟踪（2025.12.29-2025.12.31） 相关研究 《超跌反弹，申报加速——公募 REITs 周度跟踪（2025.12.22- 2025.12.26）》 2025/12/27 《中核水电 REIT 认购倍数续创新高 ——公募 REITs 周度跟踪 （2025.12.15-2025.12.19）》 2025/12/20 《板块分化调整，中核水电 REIT 即 将询价——公募 REITs 周度跟踪 （2025.12.8-2025.12.12）》 2025/12/13 证券分析师 黄伟平 A0230524110002 huangwp@swsresearch.com 杨雪芳 A0230524120003 yangxf@swsresearch.com 研究支持 曹璇 A0230125070001 caoxuan@swsresearch.com 联系人 曹璇 A0230125070001 caoxuan@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(resea ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that while the number of IPOs and fundraising amounts in 2025 increased compared to 2024, the overall profitability of offline subscription has reached a new low since 2019, with A1/B class products yielding only 2.7% and 2.4% respectively [4][10][5] - In 2025, 87 new stocks were issued in the A-share market, raising a total of 1,235 billion yuan, with 64% of the new stocks having an initial fundraising scale of less than 1 billion yuan [19][20][27] - The average initial price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for new stocks in 2025 was 23x, marking a new low since 2019, with an average discount of 39% compared to comparable companies [36][34][36] Group 2 - The report forecasts a rebound in offline subscription profitability in 2026, with expected yields for A1/B class products projected to be 4.05% and 3.23% respectively, driven by an increase in the number of IPOs and stable pricing [4][10][4] - The report highlights that the strategic allocation of new stocks is expected to remain attractive in 2026, with an increase in external strategic investors and a significant average return on unlocked shares [4][4][4] - The report notes that the number of offline inquiry products has significantly increased, with a year-on-year growth of 18%, indicating a heightened interest in new stock subscriptions [64][64][64]

证券分析师 博静涛 A0230516110001 fujt@swsresearch.com 干胜 A0230511060001 wangshenq@swsresearch.com 研究支持 联系人 程翔 A0230518080007 chengxiang@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务 开门红 申万宏源策略一周回顾展望(25/12/29-26/01/04) 韦春泽 A0230524060005 weicz@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 2026年01月04日 相关研究 一、25 年 12 月 PMI 环比超季节性改善。春节较晚，出口订单前置，支撑岁末年 初经济验证。春季没有下行风险的格局再强化，且有利于行情演绎的窗口连续不断。上 证综指连续阳线后，春季行情仍有纵深。 一、25 年 12 月 PMI 环比超季节性改善，强化了春季没有下行风险的格局。25 年 12 月 PMI、生产、新订单和新出口订单环比差值均显著好于季节性。我们认为，这与 26 年春 节较晚，出口订单前置直接相关。这在春节前的窗口，都构成支撑经济数据验证的因素。 排除经济下行风 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [5][26]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of improving and stabilizing real estate market expectations, highlighting its financial asset characteristics and the need for effective macro-control measures to ensure healthy development [2][12]. - The construction industry experienced a weekly decline of 0.44%, with the steel structure sub-sector showing the best performance, increasing by 3.48% [5][6]. - Key companies in the industry are expected to benefit from significant projects, such as Nongshang Environment's contract worth 132 million yuan, which represents 56.90% of its 2024 revenue [16] and Southeast Network Frame's contract of 887 million yuan, accounting for 7.89% of its 2024 revenue [16]. Industry Performance - The construction sector's weekly performance was -0.44%, outperforming the Shenzhen Composite Index (-0.58%) and the CSI 300 Index (-0.59%) [5][6]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week included steel structures (+3.48%), ecological landscaping (+2.02%), and design consulting (+0.91%) [5][8]. - Year-to-date, ecological landscaping has seen a remarkable increase of 60.30%, followed by decorative curtain walls at 53.82% and professional engineering at 50.48% [5][8]. Key Company Developments - Nongshang Environment signed a contract for the "Smart Computing Cluster Project" worth 132 million yuan, significantly impacting its revenue forecast for 2024 [16]. - Southeast Network Frame won a joint bid for the "China Vision Industry Base (Standard Factory) Project" with a total contract value of 887 million yuan, also affecting its 2024 revenue [16]. - The report notes that low-valued companies are expected to see valuation recovery, with a focus on China Railway, China Metallurgical Group, Shanghai Construction, and Tunnel Corporation [5].

证 券 研 究 报 证券分析师 傅静涛 A0230516110001 fujt@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 韦春泽 A0230524060005 weicz@swsresearch.com 程翔 A0230518080007 chengxiang@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 2026 年 01 月 04 日 开门红 ——申万宏源策略一周回顾展望(25/12/29-26/01/04) 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 策 略 研 究 一 周 回 顾 展 望 告 联系人 ⚫ 一、25 年 12 月 PMI 环比超季节性改善，强化了春季没有下行风险的格局。25 年 12 月 PMI、生产、新订单和新出口订单环比差值均显著好于季节性。我们认为，这与 26 年春 节较晚，出口订单前置直接相关。这在春节前的窗口，都构成支撑经济数据验证的因素。 ⚫ 排除经济下行风险后，一个没有重大下行风 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the "Shenwan Hongyuan Gold Stock Portfolio" reflects the market outlook and style judgment for the upcoming month, showcasing the research team's capabilities and competitiveness in the market [1][11] - The previous portfolio showed a slight increase of 0.14% from December 1 to December 31, 2025, with the A-share portfolio averaging a 0.80% increase, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index rose by 2.06% and 2.28%, respectively [6][15] - Since the first release of the gold stock portfolio on March 28, 2017, the cumulative increase has reached 401.73%, with the A-share portfolio up by 293.13%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index by 271.65 and 260.01 percentage points, respectively [6][15] Group 2 - The strategy judgment for the current period maintains that the conditions supporting the spring market remain unchanged, with liquidity in the stock market being loose and upcoming events likely to boost risk appetite [14] - The report suggests focusing on cyclical Alpha and thematic rotation opportunities, particularly in basic chemicals and non-ferrous metals, as well as sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and high-dividend strategies [14] - The top recommended stocks include "Iron Triangle" stocks: Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Technology, and CIMC Enric (Hong Kong), along with other stocks such as Xingfa Group, TBEA, Chifeng Gold, WuXi AppTec, China National Glass, Ping An Insurance (Hong Kong), and Alibaba-W (Hong Kong) [6][17][18] Group 3 - The report highlights the performance of the top ten gold stocks, with Hualu Hengsheng benefiting from favorable policies in the domestic chemical industry, and Lingyi Technology experiencing high growth in AI and robotics [17][20] - CIMC Enric is positioned to benefit from the shipbuilding cycle and clean energy equipment orders, while Xingfa Group has a solid base in phosphate and specialty chemicals [18][20] - Other notable stocks include WuXi AppTec, which is seeing strong global demand in the CXO industry, and Alibaba-W, which is accelerating its integration from data centers to application layers in AI [18][22]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the banking industry, suggesting a return to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1x during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on stable profitability and high-quality development [3][4]. Core Insights - The banking sector is transitioning from a focus on scale to quality, with an emphasis on risk management and structural optimization. The "15th Five-Year Plan" includes the goal of building a strong financial nation, highlighting the importance of high-quality development [3][16]. - The report identifies key changes in the banking industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan," including a shift in credit structure, a focus on profitability, and the need for banks to balance risk and efficiency [2][4]. - Regulatory support is expected to stabilize net interest margins, which have reached record lows, with a projected recovery in the coming years [5][19]. Summary by Sections 1. From Quantity to Quality - The banking industry has evolved through three five-year plans, with a shift from rapid expansion to a focus on quality and risk management. The current phase emphasizes high-quality development and financial support for key sectors [2][10]. 2. Developments During the "14th Five-Year Plan" 2.1 ROE: Resilience of State-Owned Banks and Advantages of City Commercial Banks - The return on equity (ROE) for listed banks has remained around 10%, with city commercial banks showing a slight advantage due to higher leverage and better provisioning [19][20]. 2.2 Credit: Moving Away from Scale to Balance Capital and Efficiency - Banks are prioritizing structural transformation over sheer volume, focusing on supporting key sectors and optimizing credit distribution [4][12]. 2.3 Interest Margin: Recovery from Continuous Decline - The report anticipates a stabilization of net interest margins, which have been under pressure, with regulatory measures aimed at supporting banks [5][19]. 2.4 Risk: Provisioning to Support Stability - The banking sector is expected to manage risks more effectively, with a focus on maintaining adequate provisions to support profitability during challenging economic conditions [4][19]. 2.5 Financial Markets: An Alternative Revenue Stream - The report highlights the increasing importance of financial market activities as a means to smooth revenue amid declining interest income, with banks diversifying their investment strategies [4][19]. 3. Investment Analysis Opinion - The report suggests a dual strategy of focusing on leading banks and undervalued city commercial banks, anticipating a recovery in valuations for state-owned banks that have been lagging [3][4].