证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 25 年 月 日 房地产开发 2025W21：本周新房成交同比+1.6%，4 月全国房价延续阴跌 4 月全国房价延续阴跌，二手房价格回到 3 月以前接近普跌的状态。4 月 70 城新房房价环比-0.1%，同比-4.5%。一线、二线、三线城市环比分别 +0.0%、+0.0%、-0.2%。新房价格环比上涨 22 城（-2，较上月变化，下 同），环比下跌 45 城（+4）。二手房方面，4 月 70 城二手房房价环比-0.4%， 跌幅较上月扩大，同比-6.8%。一线、二线、三线城市环比分别-0.2%、- 0.4%、-0.4%。二手房价格环比上涨 5 城（-5），环比下跌 64 城（+8）。 行情回顾：本周申万房地产指数累计变动幅度为-1.5%，落后沪深 300 指 数 1.29 个百分点，在 31 个申万一级行业排名第 23 名。 新房：本周 30 个城市新房成交面积为 215.1 万平方米，环比提升 9.5%， 同比提升 1.6%，其中样本一线城市的新房成交面积为 55.4 万方，环比- 7.8%，同比+20.5%；样本二线城市为 93.7 万方 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [3]. Core Views - The report highlights the impact of U.S. tariff policies and a weak dollar on gold's safe-haven appeal, suggesting that uncertainty in tariff policies may elevate gold's attractiveness [1][34]. - The copper market is experiencing a period of volatility, with prices remaining in a consolidation phase due to macroeconomic uncertainties and inventory dynamics [2]. - The aluminum market is supported by favorable domestic macro policies and declining social inventories, which are expected to bolster aluminum prices [2]. - The lithium sector is facing challenges with low prices leading to production cuts, indicating that the industry still needs to find a bottom [2]. - The silicon metal market is characterized by weak demand and oversupply, leading to a bearish price outlook in the short term [2]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - Gold: The weak dollar and U.S. tariff uncertainties are expected to support gold prices, with recent declines attributed to market corrections [1][34]. - Copper: The market is observing a mixed macroeconomic environment, with a recent PMI reading of 52.3 indicating resilience, but concerns about future economic prospects persist [2]. - Aluminum: Domestic policies are favorable, and social inventories are decreasing, which is expected to support aluminum prices [2]. Industrial Metals - Copper: Current inventory levels are at 552,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 20,000 tons week-on-week, providing some support for prices [2]. - Aluminum: The theoretical operating capacity of the aluminum industry has increased to 43.865 million tons, with production recovery in certain regions [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium: Prices for lithium carbonate have decreased, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate at 61,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 2.2% drop [2]. - Silicon Metal: The market is facing a supply-demand imbalance, with social inventory at 582,000 tons, indicating a bearish price outlook [2]. Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Chifeng Jilong Gold for gold; Luoyang Molybdenum and China Hongqiao for aluminum; and Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium for lithium [1][2][6].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 25 年 月 日 事件：美国 AI 基础设施服务商 CoreWeave 自 3 月末上市以来，股价 不到两月实现涨幅 156.9%的优异表现；同时 5 月初至 5 月 23 日涨幅 达 148.8%。根据首次上市以来首次披露的财报，公司 25Q1 营收 9.8 亿美元，同比增长 420%，市场预期 8.5 亿美元；公司 25 全年营收指 引为 49-51 亿美元，同比增长超 360%。 【公司定位：英伟达支持，新兴云计算服务提供商】 公司成立于 2017 年，目前为提供 GPU 云服务的 AI 基础设施提供商， 英伟达为其主要支持者之一。公司通过租赁英伟达高端 GPU 芯片（如 H100、Blackwell 架构产品），为 OpenAI、微软、Meta 等客户提供高 性能算力支持。截至 2024 年底，其全球 32 个数据中心部署超 25 万 块英伟达 GPU，接近 Meta 的囤卡规模。根据英伟达最新 13G 报告， 英伟达持有 CoreWeave2418 万股，比例为 7%，为其主要支持者之一。 深度绑定微软、英伟达等科技巨头。公司下游 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [6]. Core Insights - The AI industry is currently in a growth cycle, benefiting from continuous optimization of foundational models and the positive interaction between AI applications and models [1][2]. - Google has launched several AI models and XR devices, emphasizing the deep integration of AI and XR technologies, which accelerates the commercialization process [1][2]. - The Gemini series models have become the core focus, with the 2.5 Pro version leading in academic benchmarks and global rankings [11][12]. Summary by Sections AI Integration and Model Development - Google I/O 2025 showcased the comprehensive upgrades to the Gemini models, particularly the 2.5 Pro, which excels in performance and learning assistance [11]. - The introduction of the Gemini Diffusion model aims to enhance inference speed and creativity in text generation, achieving five times the speed of previous models [15]. - The programming assistant Jules integrates with user codebases to assist in various coding tasks, enhancing developer productivity [17][19]. XR Device Development - Google and XREAL have collaborated to develop Project Aura, a new Android XR device utilizing optical see-through technology and Qualcomm Snapdragon XR chips [3][53]. - The device features Gemini's multimodal assistant, enabling real-time environmental analysis and user interaction [56]. AI Shopping and Search Enhancements - Google has introduced a new AI shopping experience that integrates Gemini with Shopping Graph, providing users with extensive product information and virtual try-on capabilities [44]. - The AI Overviews feature in Google Search has been upgraded to cover over 200 countries and support more than 40 languages, improving user search experiences [35][38]. Future Outlook - The report highlights the potential for Gemini to evolve into a universal AI assistant, capable of managing daily tasks and enhancing user productivity [15]. - The strategic partnerships with fashion brands for Project Aura indicate a focus on the stylish attributes of smart glasses, positioning Google as a strong competitor in the AR hardware market [60].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 25 年 月 日 电力设备 1-4 月国内光伏装机同增 75%，金龙羽签订无人机固态电池订单 光伏：1-4 月国内光伏新增装机 104.93GW，同比增长 75%。根据国家能源局 发布的 1-4 月份全国电力工业统计数据。今年 1-4 月，国内新增光伏装机 104.93GW，同比增长 75%。单 4 月新增光伏装机 45.22GW，同比增长 215%。 在抢装背景下，行业需求在前四月大幅增长。当下行业抢装减弱，产业链价格回 调。关注后续产业链产能控制情况。整体供给侧减产积极，关注后续价格修企稳时 机。核心关注两大方向：1）供给侧偏刚性、后续需求复苏后价格弹性更大的硅料 和玻璃，核心关注协鑫科技、通威股份、福莱特等。2）新技术背景下带来的中长 期成长性机会，核心关注爱旭股份、聚和材料等。 风电&电网：红海湾六海上风电启动 500KV 海缆招标，丹麦政府重启海上风电补 贴，预期 2025 年秋季启动 3GW 招标。5 月 21 日，深圳能源电子招标投标平台 发布《深能汕尾红海湾六海上风电项目 500kV 海底电缆供货及敷设采购项目招标 公告》。 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Add" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The pet sector showed strong performance during the 618 pre-sale event, with significant sales growth and a notable increase in domestic brand market share [12][13] - In the pig farming sector, the average selling price of lean pigs decreased to 14.46 CNY/kg, down 1.2% from the previous week, indicating a low valuation environment [14][15] - The poultry sector experienced a slight decline in white feather chicken prices, with the average price at 7.36 CNY/kg, down 0.5% [14][30] - The commercialization of genetically modified varieties is expected to enhance growth potential in the agricultural sector [14] - The fluctuation of agricultural product prices and the ongoing adjustment of poultry production capacity present investment opportunities [14] Summary by Sections Pet Sector - The 618 pre-sale event saw pet category sales exceed last year's first-day total within 100 minutes, with a 180% increase in live-stream sales [12] - Domestic brands are gaining market share, with significant sales growth reported for brands like Jueyan and Toptrees [13] Pig Farming - The average selling price of lean pigs is 14.46 CNY/kg, down 1.2% week-on-week, with a focus on low-cost, high-growth companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [14][15] - The average wholesale price of pork remained stable at 20.95 CNY/kg [15] Poultry Farming - White feather chicken prices decreased to 7.36 CNY/kg, while chicken product prices remained stable at 8.86 CNY/kg [30] - The price of meat chicken chicks held steady at 2.85 CNY each [30] Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is set to enter commercial sales, with expectations for growth in industry companies [14] Feed and Vaccines - The agricultural sector is experiencing price volatility, with leading feed companies likely to benefit from their scale and supply chain advantages [14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it has been maintained [5]. Core Views - The approval of the flu drug Anladiwei tablets marks a significant innovation achievement for the company, being the first global RNA polymerase PB2 protein inhibitor for flu treatment with clear mechanisms and independent intellectual property rights [1]. - The company has solidified its leading position in the respiratory drug market, with Anladiwei showing superior efficacy compared to Oseltamivir in clinical trials, reducing median time to fever relief by nearly 10% [2]. - The company is expected to improve operational efficiency and profitability through strategic focus on core business segments, with a projected net profit growth of 203% in 2025 [3]. Financial Projections - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 308 million yuan, 369 million yuan, and 422 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 203%, 19.6%, and 14.4% [3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.36 yuan, 0.43 yuan, and 0.50 yuan respectively [9]. - The company’s revenue is projected to increase from 2.81 billion yuan in 2025 to 3.42 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 13.9% and 10% respectively [9]. Market Position - The company is the only domestic entity with both COVID-19 and flu innovative drugs, positioning itself to enhance the treatment strategies for both diseases [2]. - The company has established a multi-modal research and development ecosystem, focusing on independent research complemented by collaborative efforts, which is expected to yield further innovative products [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agriculture sector [3] Core Insights - The agriculture sector is experiencing a blend of traditional and innovative trends, with a focus on both stable consumption and growth opportunities [1] - The report highlights the resilience of meat protein prices and the potential for long-term investment opportunities amidst market pessimism [1][2] Summary by Sections Traditional Consumption - Meat protein prices remain strong, with pork prices averaging 15.1 CNY/kg from January to April 2025, up 1.4% and 2.7% compared to 2024 and 2023 respectively [9] - The average profit per pig has reached 87 CNY, marking the first profitable quarter since 2021 [9] - Poultry supply is increasing, with a recovery in breeding stock leading to improved profitability in the poultry sector [24][29] New Consumption - The new consumption trends are focusing on health and wellness, with significant growth in the pet-related industry, including pet food and healthcare [2] - The rise of sugar alternatives and health food concepts such as konjac and blueberries are highlighted as key growth areas [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific companies within various segments, including: - Swine farming: Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Shennong Group - Poultry: Sanquan Foods, Hewei Group, and Yisheng Livestock - Aquaculture feed: Haida Group - Pet industry: Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. - New consumption: Baolingbao Biology, Huakang Co., and Zhongxing Junye [2] Crop Production - The report notes that corn and soybean production is expected to be stable, with a slight increase in corn production to 290 million tons in 2025, up 0.4% from the previous year [64][69] - The impact of weather on crop yields is emphasized, particularly regarding the ENSO phenomenon and its potential effects on production [78] Market Trends - The report indicates a potential increase in beef prices as domestic and international supply decreases, with beef wholesale prices rising to 63.12 CNY/kg in May 2025 [39] - The overall outlook for the agriculture sector remains positive, with expectations of continued demand and price stability in key protein markets [63]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 25 年 月 日 环保 污水排放标准细化，水生态治理赛道再升级 美丽河湖建设方案出台，工业园区污水防治管控办法细化。1、生态环境 部等七部门印发《美丽河湖保护与建设行动方案（2025—2027 年）》。文 件围绕生态水环境修复，社会资本加入共同治理等多个方面，详细阐述了 为实现 2035 年美丽中国建设目标在河湖治理方面需要注意和持续推进的 工作，同时提出生态流量监测等创新性办法。建议关注环境监测行业领域， 如聚光科技。2、生态环境部发布工业园区污水集中处理设施水污染物排 放标准制订技术导则（征求意见稿）。文件提出持续推进精细化监测模式， 基于"分类管理"原则，区分单一行业型、主导产业型及综合型工业园区 的差异，并结合进水来源清晰度等具体情形差异化设定排放要求。建议重 点关注水务及水处理领域洪城环境、碧水源。 当周碳交易行情：本周（5.19-5.23）全国碳市场综合价格行情为：最高价 70.51 元/吨，最低价 69.36 元/吨，收盘价较上周五下跌 1.43%。本周挂 牌协议交易成交量 124.56 万吨，成交额 0.88 亿元；大宗协议 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for key players in the sector [5]. Core Insights - The white liquor industry is experiencing gradual pressure, with a focus on rational targets for 2025. The report emphasizes three main investment lines: leading brands with competitive advantages, high-certainty regional brands, and flexible stocks benefiting from recovery and increased risk appetite [1][2]. - The beer sector shows a slight decline in production, with a 0.6% year-on-year decrease in the first four months of 2025. However, there is potential for recovery in the upcoming peak season, suggesting a favorable investment window [3]. - The report highlights the broad recovery potential in the catering supply space, with leading companies expected to benefit from improved performance and market expansion strategies [4][7]. Summary by Sections White Liquor - The industry consensus is shifting towards stable, high-quality growth with a focus on market share rather than aggressive growth targets. Key strategies include product innovation, market penetration, and international expansion [2]. - Major companies like Guizhou Moutai and Shanxi Fenjiu are focusing on maintaining market stability and enhancing their brand presence among younger consumers [2]. Beer and Beverage - The beer production for January to April 2025 was 11.44 million kiloliters, reflecting a slight decline. However, April showed a 4.8% increase in production, indicating potential for recovery [3]. - The beverage sector is characterized by intense competition, but new product launches and recovery in consumer demand are expected to sustain high growth [3]. Catering Supply - The report notes significant opportunities for leading companies in the catering supply sector, particularly with the introduction of new products and expansion into new categories [4][7]. - Companies like Three Squirrels are diversifying their product lines and enhancing their distribution channels to capture more market share [7].