证券研究报告 政策：政策工具利率下调助力收储，降准降息仍有空间 关注节后楼市走向，优质房企具备配置价值 月酝知风之地产行业 地产行业月报 行业评级：地产 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 杨 侃 投资咨询资格编号：S1060514080002 王懂扬 投资咨询资格编号：S1060522070003 2026年2月26日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 核心摘要 本月观点：春节假期新房成交相对平稳，2.15-2.22可比12城新房日均成交套数较上年春节下降9.1%；核心城市二手房增幅明显，2.15-2.22北上 深二手房合计成交套数较上年春节增长39.1%。春节期间（2.15-2.23）内房股指数上涨0.43%。我们认为节后楼市走向仍为板块短期走势关键，房 企业绩压力提前释放、政策不断释放积极信号等背景下，优质房企仍具备配置价值。投资建议方面，建议关注三条主线：1）历史包袱较轻、库存 结构优化、拿地及产品力强的房企有望持续受益"好房子"建设，如华润置地、建发国际集团、滨江集团、中国海外发展、绿城中国、招商蛇口、 保利发展、越秀地产等；2）受益香港楼市止跌回稳的港资地产如新鸿基地产、恒基地产、信和置业等，同时关注商业运营商 ...

证券研究报告 多元资产配置系列之二： 低利率时代的FOF多元配置趋势与应用实践 证券分析师 郭子睿 投资咨询资格编号：S1060520070003 任书康 投资咨询资格编号：S1060525050001 陈 瑶 投资咨询资格编号：S1060524120003 研究助理 胡心怡 一般从业资格编号：S1060124030069 2026年2月26日 高 越 一般从业资格编号：S1060124070014 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 投资要点 风险提示：历史业绩不代表未来表现；策略复杂性与成本风险；海外市场汇率风险；流动性风险。 1 发展背景与配置格局：（1）宏观背景：利率持续下行推动资产配置型产品需求抬升。存量产品来看，偏债型FOF通过债券打底、多资产增厚的策略，精准契合了当前市 场资金对于低波动、稳健收益的风险偏好，2025年偏债混合型FOF规模增长176%；增量产品来看，新发产品通过显性化的"多元"标签强化多元资产配置属性。（2）多 元配置格局：越来越多的FOF开始将黄金、商品、港股指数、全球股指纳入基准，香港市场为主的主动及被动基金、QDII权益/混合/债券基金、商品型基金、互认基金、 REITs、中性策略等 ...

2026 年 2 月 26 日 宏观动态跟踪报告 最长春节假期的消费图景 证券分析师 平安观点： 宏 观 报 告 宏 观 动 态 跟 踪 证 券 研 究 报 告 钟正生 投资咨询资格编号 S1060520090001 zhongzhengsheng934@pingan.com.cn 张璐 投资咨询资格编号 S1060522100001 ZHANGLU150@pingan.com.cn 常艺馨 投资咨询资格编号 S1060522080003 CHANGYIXIN050@pingan.com.cn 春节是中国传统消费旺季，从中亦能寻得全年消费变化的线索。2026 年马 年春节迎来 9 天超长假期，在全年消费中的分量进一步凸显。我们聚焦于春 节假期的多维数据，探究 2026 年国内消费需求的韧性与潜力。 总结来看，2026 年最长春节假期消费呈现以下特征：一是，旅游出行火热， 人员跨区域流动热度较节前明显提升，出入境客流持续恢复。二是，假期消 费总体复苏，重点零售和餐饮企业销售额、消费相关行业日均销售收入增速 均较去年十一假期提升，但电影票房表现平淡，缺乏爆款影片的支撑。三是， 消费价格呈现企稳回升势头，境内航班平 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" which indicates an expected performance that exceeds the market by more than 5% over the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent optimization of real estate policies in Shanghai, which is expected to positively impact the market. Key changes include adjustments to purchasing conditions for non-local residents, an increase in the maximum public housing loan amount, and tax exemptions for certain families [6][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the market trends post-holiday, suggesting that quality real estate companies may present investment opportunities due to their strong inventory structure and product capabilities [6][5]. Summary by Sections Policy Changes - Shanghai has implemented several policy optimizations, including: 1. Non-local residents can purchase additional properties under certain conditions, such as having a social security or tax payment history of one year for properties within the outer ring [6]. 2. Public housing loan policies have been adjusted, with the maximum loan amount increased from 1.6 million yuan to 2.4 million yuan, and additional benefits for families with multiple children [6]. 3. A temporary exemption from personal property tax for families with only one home starting January 1, 2026 [6]. Market Performance - The report notes that the number of second-hand home transactions in Shanghai has remained stable, with monthly sales exceeding 22,000 units from November 2025 to January 2026. This stability is expected to improve short-term market conditions [6]. - The report also mentions that the average daily transaction volume for new homes in 12 comparable cities decreased by 9.1% during the Spring Festival compared to the previous year, while the transaction volume for second-hand homes in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen increased by 39.1% [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the market may have already priced in concerns regarding sales and performance, indicating that certain quality companies may have long-term investment value. Companies such as China Resources Land and Jianfa are highlighted for their strong land acquisition and product capabilities [6][5].

行 业 报 告 社会服务 2026年02月25日 行业动态跟踪报告 "史上最长"春节假期，出行消费蓬勃增长 强于大市( 维持) 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业深度报告*社会服务*情绪消费专题 系列之二：OTA助力快乐出游*强于大市20251017 【平安证券】行业点评*社会服务*国庆中秋黄金周出 行半径增加，出入境游火热*强于大市20251009 【平安证券】行业半年度策略报告*社会服务*新世代 新需求 新消费*强于大市20250702 【平安证券】中国中免（601888.SH）*季报点评*收 入降幅继续收窄，静待销售回暖*推荐20251101 证券分析师 胡琼方 投资咨询资格编号 S1060524010002 HUQIONGFANG722@pingan.com.cn 事项： 据文化和旅游部数据中心测算，2026年春节假日9天，全国国内出游5.96亿人 次，国内出游总花费8034.83亿元。 平安观点： 踪 报 告 证 券 | 旅游消费盘点报告》（下简称同程旅行报告）数据显示，今年春节假期 | | --- | | 期间主打传统特色"年味儿游"的前十大热门目的地依次为：汕头、福州、 | | 北京、赣 ...

行 业 报 告 险资配置跟踪系列（一） 2025 年核心权益资产增配显著 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 非银行金融 相关研究报告 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2025/02/24 2025/07/24 2025/12/24 非银金融 沪深300 【平安证券】行业年度策略报告-非银行金融-保险行 业 2026 年度策略：攻守兼备，乘势而上-强于大市 20251212 证券分析师 | 李冰婷 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520040002 | | | LIBINGTING419@pingan.com.cn | | 许 淼 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060525020001 | | | XUMIAO533@pingan.com.cn | 平安观点： 证 券 研 究 报 告 行 业 动 态 跟 踪 报 告 2026 年 02 月 25 日 保险资金运用余额保持较快增长，债券增配节奏趋缓。截至 25Q4 末，保 险行业资金运用余额达 38.5 万亿元（YoY+15.7%），人身险和财产险公司 保险资金运用余额 37.1 ...

电子 2026 年 02 月 24 日 行业动态跟踪报告 AI 动态跟踪系列（十六）春晚机器人表演从预设程序走向自主决策 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 证券分析师 杨钟 投资咨询资格编号 S1060525080001 y angzhong035@pingan.com.cn 徐碧云 投资咨询资格编号 S1060523070002 XUBIYUN372@pingan.com.cn 事项： 马年除夕夜，松延动力、宇树科技、魔法原子和银河通用等机器人公司纷纷登 上央视春晚，炫酷表演成为马年春晚舞台上全场亮点。 平安观点： 行 业 报 告 行 业 动 态 跟 踪 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 宇树春晚机器人马年秀出"赛博真功夫"， 集群武术表演成焦点。宇树科 技作为春晚机器人合作伙伴第三次登台亮相，携 G1 与 H2 人形机器人献 上全球首次全自主人形机器人集群武术表演《武 BOT》，演示了翻跟头、 舞棍、跑跳空翻、舞剑等武术特技动作，突破运动性能极限，刷新多个全 球第一次，包括全球第一次连续花式翻桌跑酷、全球第一次弹射空翻等。 其核心亮点在于全自主集群控制技术的首次亮相，同时实现了全球范围内 第一次集群快速跑位，其 ...

证券研究报告 金融行业周报 ——1月人民币贷款余额增速回落、交易所优化再融资举措 证券分析师 袁喆奇S1060520080003（证券投资咨询） 李冰婷S1060520040002（证券投资咨询） 许 淼S1060525020001（证券投资咨询） 研究助理 李灵琇S1060124070021（一般证券业务） 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 2026年2月24日 1 核心观点 央行公布26年1月金融统计数据、沪深北交易所优化再融资举措 1、央行公布2026年1月金融统计数据。2月13日，央行发布2026年1月金融统计数据。1月末，新增人民币贷款4.71万亿元， 同比少增4200亿元，余额同比增速 6.1%，其中企（事）业单位贷款是主要支撑，住户贷款增长偏弱。社会融资规模增量达 7.22万亿元，超出市场预期，同比多增1662亿元，社融余额同比增速8.2%，对实体经济发放的人民币贷款仍是社融主力， 企业债券和政府债券融资同比明显多增。M2同比增长9.0%，M1同比增长4.9%，M0同比增长2.7%，整体货币环境保持宽松， 为稳增长提供了有力支撑。 2、央行发布《2025年第四季度中国货币政策执行报告》。2月10日，央行 ...

Employment Data - In January 2026, the U.S. added 130,000 non-farm jobs, significantly exceeding the expected 65,000 jobs, marking the highest monthly increase since July 2025[4] - The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, lower than the anticipated 4.4%, indicating a stronger labor market than expected[9] Labor Market Dynamics - Job growth was primarily driven by the education and healthcare sectors (+137,000) and construction (+33,000), while other sectors showed limited or negative growth[5] - The labor force participation rate increased slightly to 62.5%, with the prime working age group (25-54 years) participation rising to 84.1%[11] Job Vacancies and Demand - Job vacancies decreased by 386,000 in December, leading to a vacancy rate of 3.9%, suggesting a continued decline in labor demand[11] - The Challenger Job Cut Index rose to 108,400 in January, indicating an increase in layoffs, although still within the range observed since April 2025[22] Interest Rate Expectations - Following the employment data release, expectations for interest rate cuts in the first half of 2026 significantly diminished, with the probability of a June rate cut dropping from 75.2% to 59.6%[25] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 3.47 basis points to 4.18% after the data release, reflecting market reactions to the stronger-than-expected employment figures[25] Inflation Outlook - The upcoming January CPI inflation data is critical, with market expectations suggesting potential seasonal factors may lead to higher-than-expected inflation[26] - If inflation does not cool down, the outlook for interest rate cuts in 2026 may face further challenges, although the overall expectation for two rate cuts in the second half remains unchanged[26]

Macro Perspective - Since 2025, China's economy has increasingly shown characteristics of "new and superior" development, with new productive forces being cultivated and diverse consumer preferences becoming more prominent[3] - High-tech manufacturing PMI was 52.0% in January 2026, consistently outperforming the overall manufacturing PMI of 49.3%[21] - High-tech industries' added value grew by 11.0% year-on-year in December 2025, exceeding the overall industrial enterprises' growth by 5.8 percentage points[21] Industry Perspective - Investment in advanced manufacturing, such as aerospace and automotive, grew by 16.9% and 11.7% respectively, outpacing overall manufacturing investment growth[25] - The information technology service sector saw an investment increase of 28.4%, maintaining over 25% growth for 11 consecutive months[25] - The revenue growth of strategic emerging services was 9.9%, while high-tech services grew by 8.6%, both surpassing the overall service sector growth of 7.8%[24] Market Perspective - As of January 2026, the market capitalization weight of the A-share information and communication sector reached 24%, surpassing financial and real estate sectors at 19%[3] - The market capitalization of A-share new economy MAG7 stocks is below that of US MAG7 stocks (20%+) and Hong Kong stocks (10+%), indicating room for growth[3] - The performance of A-share strategic emerging industries showed a profit growth of 15.5%, exceeding the overall non-financial A-share sector's growth of 13.8%[38] Outlook and Risks - The transition from old to new economic drivers is expected to accelerate, positioning new economic sectors as the main growth engine for China's economy[3] - Key investment areas include technology innovation and advanced manufacturing, particularly in AI and innovative pharmaceuticals[3] - Risks include potential market learning effects, unexpected tightening of macro and industrial policies, and significant changes in macroeconomic conditions and liquidity[3]