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普源精电:盈利能力维持高位,静待业绩释放-20250430
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 06:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][12]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 168 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 11.14%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of only 4 million RMB, down 40.03% year-on-year [2]. - The DHO series (high-resolution oscilloscopes) saw a revenue increase of 33.33% year-on-year, while high-bandwidth products (bandwidth ≥ 2GHz) experienced a 52.07% increase in sales revenue, indicating strong growth in high-end products [3]. - The company invested 53 million RMB in R&D in Q1 2025, a 22.92% increase year-on-year, with an R&D expense ratio of 31.54%, reflecting a commitment to maintaining a long-term competitive edge through innovation [3]. - The introduction of "reciprocal tariffs" by the U.S. government is expected to accelerate domestic market substitution, benefiting the company as a leading domestic manufacturer of electronic measurement instruments [4]. - The acquisition of Naisou Electronics is projected to enhance the company's capabilities in solution provision, contributing to diversified growth [4]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 1.003 billion RMB in 2025, with net profit expected to be 166 million RMB, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [10]. - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 47, 31, and 23 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [5].
华锡有色:自产锡、锑销量下滑,2Q25业绩值得期待-20250430
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 06:23
事件 预计公司公司 2025-2027 年收入分别为 59/68/73 亿元,归母净利 润分别为 12.3/15.6/17.5 亿元,EPS 分别为 1.94/2.46/2.76 元, 对应 PE 分别为 10/8/7 倍。维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 锡锑价格波动;项目进度不及预期;元素替代风险。 4 月 29 日公司发布 2024 年报&2025 年一季报:2024 年实现收入 46.31 元,同比+58.40%;归母净利润 6.58 亿元,同比+109.79%。 4Q24 收入为 12.15 亿元,环比+4.65%,同比+26.96%;归母净利润 为 1.17 亿元,环比-38.76%,同比+43.34%。1Q25 收入为 12.45 亿元,环比+2.40%,同比+29.17%;归母净利润润为 1.53 亿元, 环比+30.75%、同比+22.46%。 点评 4Q24:24 年底计提大额减值和费用,影响业绩表现。4Q24 公司主 营产品锑、锡、铅和锌价格环比分别-9.50%、-5.34%、-6.95%、 +8.36%,铅锑精矿、锡锭和锌锭销量环比分别-32.40%、+33.89%、 +19.80%。4Q ...
中联重科:业绩超预期,看好利润持续释放-20250430
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 06:23
业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 29 日,公司发布 2025 年一季报,25Q1 公司实现收入 121.17 亿元,同比+2.92%,归母净利润 14.10 亿元,同比+53.98%, 扣非后归母净利润 8.74 亿元,同比+12.40%;25Q1 公司毛利率为 28.67%,同比提升 0.02pct,环比提升 1.14pct,净利率为 12.51%, 同比提升 3.84pct,环比提升 7.85pct。 经营分析 利润加速释放,经营质量向好。25Q1 行业挖掘机内销同比+38.3%, 出口同比+5.49%,受益于内外需共振,25Q1 公司实现收入 121.17 亿元,同比+2.92%,25Q1 公司归母净利润 14.10 亿元,同比 +53.98%,利润加速释放。公司坚持高质量发展,25Q1 公司经营性 现金流净额为 7.40 亿元,同比+140.96%。25Q1 公司存货周转天数 为 240.19 天,同比下降 10.65 天,高质量发展效果显现。 工程机械内需复苏传导至非挖板块,非土方机械内需开始回暖。 根据中国工程机械工业协会,25M3 履带起重机、工业车辆、压路 机内销分别为 138 台、10784 ...
华锡有色(600301):自产锡、锑销量下滑,2Q25业绩值得期待
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 06:01
事件 4 月 29 日公司发布 2024 年报&2025 年一季报:2024 年实现收入 46.31 元,同比+58.40%;归母净利润 6.58 亿元,同比+109.79%。 4Q24 收入为 12.15 亿元,环比+4.65%,同比+26.96%;归母净利润 为 1.17 亿元,环比-38.76%,同比+43.34%。1Q25 收入为 12.45 亿元,环比+2.40%,同比+29.17%;归母净利润润为 1.53 亿元, 环比+30.75%、同比+22.46%。 点评 4Q24:24 年底计提大额减值和费用,影响业绩表现。4Q24 公司主 营产品锑、锡、铅和锌价格环比分别-9.50%、-5.34%、-6.95%、 +8.36%,铅锑精矿、锡锭和锌锭销量环比分别-32.40%、+33.89%、 +19.80%。4Q24 公司铅锑精矿、锡锭、锌锭单位毛利分别环比 +4.98%、-42.36%、-25.18%。综合来看,由于价格下跌,4Q24 公 司毛利和毛利率分别环比-12.45%、-7.46pct。4Q25 公司期间费用 为 1.5 亿元,环比+48.51%、同比+36.36%,主要体现为管理、研 发费用 ...
贵州茅台(600519):Q1业绩超预期,龙头持续变革转型
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 05:58
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation for price appreciation in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 51.44 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 26.85 billion yuan, up 11.6% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [2]. - Revenue from Moutai liquor and series liquor for Q1 2025 reached 43.56 billion yuan and 7.02 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 9.7% and 18.3% [3]. - The company is actively optimizing its distributor assessment and building a standardized evaluation system, aiming to stabilize market price expectations and channel order [4]. - The expected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 9.3%, 8.2%, and 8.0%, with net profit growth rates of 9.8%, 8.6%, and 8.1% respectively [5]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 51.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, and a net profit of 26.85 billion yuan, up 11.6% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations [2]. Operational Analysis - Revenue breakdown for Q1 2025 shows Moutai liquor and series liquor generated 43.56 billion yuan and 7.02 billion yuan, with growth rates of 9.7% and 18.3% respectively. Direct sales and wholesale agency revenues were 23.22 billion yuan and 27.36 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 20.2% and 3.9% [3]. - The company’s net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 52.2%, with a slight decrease in gross margin and an increase in sales expense ratio [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company forecasts revenue growth rates of 9.3% for 2025, 8.2% for 2026, and 8.0% for 2027, with net profit growth rates of 9.8%, 8.6%, and 8.1% respectively, leading to net profits of 94.69 billion yuan in 2025 [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 20.5 for 2025, 18.9 for 2026, and 17.5 for 2027, supporting the "Buy" rating [5].
中联重科(000157):公司点评:业绩超预期,看好利润持续释放
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 05:54
产品实现多元化发展,积极培育新兴产业。根据公告,24 年公司 高机、农业机械分别实现68.3/46.5亿元,同比+19.74%/+122.29%, 推动农机、高机等产品多元化发展,降低周期影响。公司快速推 进具身智能等未来产业发展,开发了足式、轮式等多款具身智能 机器人。 盈利预测、估值与评级 业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 29 日,公司发布 2025 年一季报,25Q1 公司实现收入 121.17 亿元,同比+2.92%,归母净利润 14.10 亿元,同比+53.98%, 扣非后归母净利润 8.74 亿元,同比+12.40%;25Q1 公司毛利率为 28.67%,同比提升 0.02pct,环比提升 1.14pct,净利率为 12.51%, 同比提升 3.84pct,环比提升 7.85pct。 经营分析 利润加速释放,经营质量向好。25Q1 行业挖掘机内销同比+38.3%, 出口同比+5.49%,受益于内外需共振,25Q1 公司实现收入 121.17 亿元,同比+2.92%,25Q1 公司归母净利润 14.10 亿元,同比 +53.98%,利润加速释放。公司坚持高质量发展,25Q1 公司经营性 现金流净额为 ...
今世缘(603369):业绩符合预期,持续看好省内势能上行
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 05:53
事件 2025 年 4 月 29 日,公司披露 24 年年报及 25 年一季报。1)24 年 实现营收 115.4 亿元,同比+14.3%;实现归母净利 34.1 亿元,同 比+8.8%。2)25Q1 实现营收 51.0 亿元,同比+9.2%;实现归母净 利 16.4 亿元,同比+7.3%。符合市场预期。 经营分析 产品维度:1)24 年特 A+类/特 A 类分别实现营收 74.9/33.5 亿元, 同比+15%/+17%,其中销量+27%/+26%,吨价-10%/-8%,毛利率 -2.8pct/-5.7pct,预计与货折等促销提升相关。2)25Q1 特 A+类 /特 A 类分别实现营收 31.7/16.5 亿元,同比+7%/+17%。公司省内 品牌势能仍在上行、竞争优势有望逐步拉大。 区域维度:1)24 年省内/省外分别实现营收 105.5/9.3 亿元,同 比+13%/+27%;省内南京/淮安/苏中/苏南/盐城/淮海大区分别 +12%/+12%/+21%/+9%/+16%/+9%。2)25Q1 省内/省外分别实现营收 46.4/4.4 亿元,同比+8%/+19%;省内南京/淮安/苏中/苏南/盐城/ 淮海大 ...
北方稀土(600111):公司点评:业绩同比增长,继续看好稀土涨价
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 05:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.287 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a decrease of 18.58% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 61.19% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 431 million yuan, down 28.10% quarter-on-quarter but up 727.30% year-on-year [2] - Significant growth in sales was observed, with major products such as rare earth oxides, rare earth metals, and magnetic materials showing quarter-on-quarter increases of 81.39%, 47.83%, and 16.76%, respectively [3] - The gross profit margin slightly declined, with gross profit and gross margin at 1.041 billion yuan and 11.21%, respectively, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 27.15% and 1.32 percentage points [3] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with operating expenses down 34.27% quarter-on-quarter to 349 million yuan [3] - The strategic value of rare earths is expected to increase due to export controls and a significant reduction in overseas mining supply, which may lead to a continued recovery in supply and demand [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 9.287 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 61.19% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 18.58% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 431 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 727.30% [2] - The company expects revenues of 34.849 billion yuan, 40.530 billion yuan, and 45.816 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10] Sales and Cost Analysis - Sales volume for key products increased significantly, with rare earth oxides, metals, and magnetic materials showing substantial quarter-on-quarter growth [3] - The cost of rare earth concentrate increased by 4.70%, leading to a decline in gross profit margin [3] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a continued recovery in the rare earth supply-demand balance, driven by domestic demand from sectors like robotics and low-altitude economy [4] - The overall attention on the rare earth sector is expected to increase due to its strategic importance in the context of global economic shifts [4] Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.58 yuan, 0.69 yuan, and 0.97 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 40, 34, and 24 [5]
中国太平(00966):寿险净利润+87%,分红险转型效果显著
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 05:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, suggesting a potential upside of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 3 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 87%, primarily due to a reduction in income tax expenses [3]. - The company's net assets grew by 15.4% compared to the end of the previous year, attributed to rising interest rates in Q1 [3]. - The company is effectively transitioning towards dividend insurance, with significant market share in both individual and bank insurance channels, achieving 98.9% and 88.6% respectively in early 2025 [3]. Financial Performance - The company recorded an insurance service revenue of 107.489 billion HKD in 2023, with a projected growth to 115.036 billion HKD in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 3.39% [9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 6.19 billion HKD in 2023 to 10.564 billion HKD in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 25.29% [9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.72 HKD in 2023 to 2.94 HKD in 2025 [9]. Valuation Metrics - As of now, the company's price-to-embedded value (PEV) stands at 0.20 times, indicating a low valuation and suggesting potential investment opportunities [4]. - The report anticipates a return on equity (ROE) of 12.04% in 2025, increasing to 14.71% by 2027 [9]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 6.03 in 2023 to 3.53 in 2025, indicating an attractive valuation [9].
友邦保险(01299):NBV+13%,Margin+3pct至57.5%超预期
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 05:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][11]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong growth resilience, with significant new customer acquisition in tax-advantaged products in China and rapid expansion in business regions, suggesting good long-term growth potential [4]. - The company reported a 13% year-on-year increase in New Business Value (NBV) for Q1 2025, reaching $1.497 billion, with a margin improvement of 3.0 percentage points to 57.5% [2]. - The company has initiated a $1.6 billion share buyback program, expected to be completed within three months [3]. Financial Performance - The NBV growth was driven by a favorable shift in product mix, with agency channel NBV increasing by 21% to $1.218 billion, contributing over 75% of total NBV [2]. - The company forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% to 11% for after-tax operating profit per share from 2023 to 2026 [3]. - Insurance revenue is projected to grow from $17.514 billion in 2023 to $22.678 billion by 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 7.3% to 10.3% [9][10]. Regional Performance - AIA Hong Kong reported a 16% increase in NBV, benefiting from balanced growth in local and mainland Chinese visitors [2]. - AIA Thailand experienced exceptional NBV growth due to regulatory changes that introduced personal medical insurance products, leading to strong agency channel sales [2]. - AIA Singapore saw robust NBV growth, particularly in unit-linked long-term savings products, with strong agency productivity [2]. Valuation Metrics - As of now, the company's Price to Embedded Value (PEV) stands at 1.04 times, indicating a low valuation level and suggesting long-term investment value [4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from $0.35 in 2023 to $0.79 by 2027, with a corresponding increase in Return on Equity (ROE) from 8.8% to 18.8% over the same period [9][10].