行业研究|可选消费|汽车与汽车零部件 证券研究报告 汽车与汽车零部件行业 周报、月报 [Table_Title] 政策托底，科技引领 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 2025 以旧换新继续发力，托底车市持续向前 根据商务部信息，截至 2025 年 3 月 5 日，全国共收到 2025 年汽车报废 更新补贴申请超 31 万份，汽车置换更新补贴申请超 70 万份，合计超过 100 万份。1-2 月月均申请 50 万份以上。与 2024 年 4 月份政策执行以来 全年超过 600 万份申请的水平相比，月均水平仍有一定差距，但与一月 份数据相比，仍有较大提高。考虑到 1-2 月份春节因素，预计随着 3 月 步入正轨，以旧换新政策对消费托举作用将持续。 3 月第一周乘用车销量稳步向上，批发零售均呈良好态势 [Table_Invest]推荐|维持 3 月 1-9 日，全国乘用车市场零售 36.4 万辆，同比去年 3 月同期增长 14%，较上月同期增长 52%，今年以来累计零售 353.9 万辆，同比增长 2%； 3 月 1-9 日，全国乘用车厂商批发 40.3 万辆，同比去年 3 月同期增长 26%，较上月同 ...

[Table_Title] 锡、钴供给扰动，战略小金属价值提升 ——有色金属行业双周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： [Table_Main] 行业研究|有色金属 证券研究报告 有色金属行业 周报、月报 2025 年 03 月 17 日 行情回顾：近 2 周申万有色金属指数上涨 10.89%，涨幅居首 近 2 周（2025.3.3-2025.3.14），有色金属行业指数强势上涨 10.89%， 跑赢沪深 300 指数涨幅 7.89 个百分点，在 31 个申万一级行业中排名 第一。从细分领域看，工业金属（12.37%）、贵金属（11.45%）和小 金属（11.25%）涨幅居前，能源金属和金属新材料涨幅分别为 8.70%、 3.68%。 金属价格：锡、锑两周涨超 10%，硫酸钴大涨 71% 截至 3 月 14 日，COMEX 黄金收盘价为 2993.6 美元/盎司，近 2 周上 涨 4.40%；COMEX 银收盘价为 34.37 美元/盎司，近 2 周上涨 8.39%； LME 铜现货结算价为 9759 美元/吨，近 2 周上涨 4.22%；LME 铝现 货结算价为 2713 美元/吨，近 2 周上 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive and automotive parts industry [6] Core Views - The automotive market is expected to benefit from the continued implementation of the vehicle replacement policy, which is projected to support consumption and stabilize the market [3][4] - The sales of passenger vehicles have shown a steady upward trend, with significant year-on-year growth in both retail and wholesale volumes [2][21] - The report emphasizes the importance of technological advancements in the industry, particularly in areas such as humanoid robots, flying cars, AI, and autonomous driving [3][4] Summary by Sections Market Overview - As of March 5, 2025, over 310,000 applications for vehicle scrapping and more than 700,000 applications for vehicle replacement subsidies have been received, indicating strong demand driven by the policy [1] - In the first nine days of March, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 364,000 units, a 14% increase year-on-year, while wholesale sales reached 403,000 units, a 26% increase year-on-year [2][21] Sales Data - Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 3.539 million units, reflecting a 2% year-on-year growth, while cumulative wholesale sales reached 4.268 million units, showing a 14% year-on-year increase [2][21] - In the new energy vehicle segment, retail sales for the first nine days of March reached 204,000 units, a 44% increase year-on-year, while wholesale sales reached 214,000 units, a 53% increase year-on-year [2][21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the ongoing positive impact of the vehicle replacement policy on consumption and the stability it brings to the automotive sector [4] - It highlights the significance of technological advancements and encourages investment in companies that are leading in the integration of new technologies within the automotive industry [4]

半导体与半导体生产设 2025 年 03 月 16 日 备行业周报、月报 [Table_Title] 订单落地刺激军工电子，FSD 国内表现不佳国产智 驾受益 ——行业周报 [Table_Main] 行业研究|信息技术|半导体与半导体生产设备 证券研究报告 重大事件 1）胜宏科技发布 25Q1 业绩预告，一季度归母净利 7.8 亿-9.8 亿元， 同比增加 272.12%-367.54%。2）鹏鼎控股发布 24 年业绩预告，营收 351.40 亿元，yoy+9.59%，归母净利 36.20 亿元，yoy+10.14%。3） 深南电路发布 24 年业绩报告，营收实现 179.07 亿元，yoy+32.39%， 归母净利 18.78 亿元，yoy+34.29%。4）英特尔的亚利桑那厂启动 Intel 18A 试产线，据传英伟达、博通已在进行测试。5）特斯拉应对小米即 将推出的 YU 7，将在 2026 年上海厂量产成本更低的 Model Y，成本 预计下降 20%。6）特斯拉 FSD 在中国表现不佳，无法充分适应中国 复杂路况，目前欲与百度合作，改进其先进驾驶辅助系统。7）优必选 推出科学研究机器人"天工行者"， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the semiconductor and semiconductor production equipment industry [7]. Core Insights - The overseas AI chip index increased by 4.3% this week, driven by significant revenue growth from TSMC and ongoing infrastructure expansion by AI companies. Nvidia's upcoming GTC conference is expected to further boost market sentiment [1][9]. - The domestic AI chip index fell by 2.2%, with major players like SMIC and Zhaoyi Innovation experiencing declines of over 5% and 3%, respectively [1][9]. - The report highlights a mixed performance in the semiconductor sector, with power semiconductor and storage chip indices declining by 0.4% and 2.2%, respectively, indicating a sluggish market [1][9]. Market Index Summary - The overseas AI chip index saw a recovery this week, rebounding from a previous decline of 6.8% to a 4.3% increase, with TSMC reporting a 43% year-on-year sales growth in February [9][10]. - The domestic A-share chip index experienced a downturn of 2.2%, with notable declines in major companies, while only a few, like Aojie Technology, showed positive growth [9][10]. - The Nvidia mapping index surged by 7.3%, reflecting strong performance from Nvidia and its impact on related companies [10][12]. Industry Data Summary - Global industrial computer inventory levels are returning to normal, with Taiwanese IPC companies expected to achieve double-digit growth in 2025 [2][21]. - The CAGR for smart watch and band panels is projected to reach 5.7% from 2024 to 2029, with a rebound in TFT LCD panel shipments expected in 2025 [2][24]. - Major semiconductor companies are forecasting a 9% decline in revenue for Q1 2025 compared to Q4 2024, indicating a more challenging market environment than typical seasonal fluctuations [2][26]. Major Events Summary - Shenghong Technology anticipates a net profit of 780 to 980 million yuan for Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 272.12% to 367.54% [3][34]. - Pengding Holdings projects a revenue of 35.14 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a 9.59% year-on-year growth [3][34]. - Intel's Arizona plant has begun trial production of the Intel 18A process, with Nvidia and Broadcom reportedly conducting tests [3][34].

资产配置与金融工程 证券研究报告 债市承压港股吸金，关注资产风格再平衡 ——大类资产双周报（20250228-20250313） 分析师：朱定豪 SAC执业资格证书编码: S0020521120002 邮箱：zhudinghao@gyzq.com.cn 分析师：汤静文 SAC执业资格证书编码: S0020524060001 邮箱：tangjingwen@gyzq.com.cn 2025年3月16日 分析师：房倩倩 SAC执业资格证书编码:S0020520040001 邮箱：fangqianqian@gyzq.com.cn 分析师：黄轩辕 SAC执业资格证书编码:S0020524120001 邮箱：huangxuanyuan@gyzq.com.cn 联系人：黄雯瑜 邮箱：huangwenyu@gyzq.com.cn 联系人：王竞荣 邮箱：wangjingrong1@gyzq.com.cn 联系人：陈兆祥 邮箱：chenzhaoxiang@gyzq.com.cn 报告要点 国内宏观观点 宏观层面，节后我国市场生产活动持续处于扩张状态，部分农产品价格水平已现回升趋势。需求端，乘用车日均销售数据（当周，包括零售和批 ...

证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 每日复盘 2025 年 03 月 14 日 2025 年 3 月 14 日市场震荡走强，沪指创下年内新高 报告要点： 2025 年 3 月 14 日市场震荡走强，沪指创下年内新高。上证指数上涨 1.81%，深证成指上涨 2.26%，创业板指上涨 2.80%。市场成交额 17915.01 亿 元，较上一交易日增加 1851.03 亿元。全市场 4565 只个股上涨，797 只个股 下跌。 风格上看，各指数涨跌幅排序为：消费>金融>成长>周期>稳定>0；大盘 成长>小盘成长>大盘价值>小盘价值>中盘成长>中盘价值；基金重仓表现优 于中证全指。 分行业看，30 个中信一级行业普遍上涨；表现相对靠前的是：食品饮料 （5.44%），综合金融（4.66%），非银行金融（3.85%）；表现相对靠后的是： 钢铁（-0.54%），煤炭（-0.10%），国防军工（0.06%）。概念板块方面，多数 概念板块上涨，托育服务、乳业、机器人执行器等大幅上涨；发电机、汽车 拆解、昨日触板等板块走低。 3 月 14 日，上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500 以及中证 1000 等 ETF 成交额 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [6][27]. Core Insights - The smart home industry is expected to benefit from a combination of policy support, technological advancements, and evolving consumer demands, driving rapid growth in the sector [4][27]. - Recent government policies, including expanded subsidies for home appliances and a focus on digital economy development, are set to stimulate consumption in the smart home market [19][27]. - The shift in consumer preference from "single product intelligence" to "whole-home smart solutions" is accelerating due to rising living standards and the aging population, which is increasing demand for home care solutions [4][27]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past two weeks (March 3, 2025 - March 14, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.46%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.60%. The smart home index (399996.SZ) increased by 4.65%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.68 percentage points [1][11]. - Year-to-date (January 1, 2025 - March 14, 2025), the smart home index has risen by 15.37%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 13.35 percentage points [11][14]. Industry Policy Tracking - New national subsidies have been introduced, including the inclusion of kitchen and bathroom renovation products in the subsidy program, which is expected to enhance market penetration of energy-efficient products [17]. - The "Shenzhen Action Plan for Accelerating the Development of the Artificial Intelligence Terminal Industry (2025-2026)" aims to integrate AI capabilities into various smart home products [18]. Industry News Tracking - The 2025 government work report emphasizes actions to boost consumption, develop the digital economy, and promote aging-friendly renovations, providing a supportive direction for the smart home industry [19]. - Notable collaborations, such as the establishment of a smart home IoT open platform by Haoleke, Haotaitai, and Fengzhushou, aim to enhance smart home integration and control [22]. - The MWC 2025 highlighted smart home technology as a core focus, showcasing innovations in AI and IoT that redefine future living [24][25]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the combination of policy support, technological innovation, and consumer demand will create a resonant effect, driving the smart home industry into a rapid growth phase [4][27]. - The expansion of subsidy categories from 8 to 12 and the focus on recycling and upgrading consumer goods are expected to further stimulate market consumption [27].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [6][27]. Core Insights - The smart home industry is expected to benefit from a combination of policy support, technological advancements, and evolving consumer demands, driving rapid growth in the sector [4][27]. - Recent government policies, including expanded subsidies for home appliances and a focus on digital economy development, are set to stimulate consumption in the smart home market [3][4][19]. - The shift in consumer preference from "single product intelligence" to "whole-home smart solutions" is accelerating due to rising living standards and the aging population, which is increasing demand for home care solutions [4][27]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past two weeks (March 3, 2025 - March 14, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.46%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.60%. The smart home index (399996.SZ) increased by 4.65%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.68 percentage points [1][11]. - Year-to-date (January 1, 2025 - March 14, 2025), the smart home index has risen by 15.37%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 13.35 percentage points [11][14]. Industry Policy Tracking - New national subsidies have been introduced, including the inclusion of kitchen and bathroom renovation products in the subsidy program, which is expected to enhance market penetration of energy-efficient products [2][17]. - The "Shenzhen Action Plan for Accelerating the Development of the Artificial Intelligence Terminal Industry (2025-2026)" aims to integrate AI capabilities into various smart home products [2][18]. Industry News Tracking - The 2025 government work report emphasizes actions to boost consumption, develop the digital economy, and promote aging-friendly renovations, providing a supportive direction for the smart home industry [3][19]. - Collaborative efforts among major companies, such as the establishment of a smart home IoT open platform, are indicative of the industry's move towards integrated solutions [3][22]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights that the expansion of the appliance subsidy program from 8 to 12 categories is expected to further stimulate the smart home market, building on the previous year's success which saw over 62 million units sold, generating nearly 270 billion yuan in consumption [4][27]. - The continuous evolution of technologies such as IoT, AI, and big data is expected to broaden the application boundaries of smart home devices, leading to the creation of high-value innovative products [4][27].

证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 每日复盘 2025 年 03 月 13 日 2025 年 3 月 13 日市场全天低开低走，煤炭板块表现活跃 报告要点： 2025 年 3 月 13 日市场全天低开低走，煤炭板块表现活跃。上证指数下 跌 0.39%，深证成指下跌 0.99%，创业板指下跌 1.15%。市场成交额 16063.98 亿元，较上一交易日减少 771.12 亿元。全市场 1519 只个股上涨，3820 只个 股下跌。 风格上看，各指数涨跌幅排序为：稳定>0>金融>消费>周期>成长；中盘 价值>大盘价值>小盘价值>大盘成长>中盘成长>小盘成长；中证全指表现优 于基金重仓。 分行业看，30 个中信一级行业普遍下跌；表现相对靠前的是：煤炭 （4.24%），钢铁（1.21%），石油石化（0.78%）；表现相对靠后的是：电子 （-2.36%），计算机（-2.17%），机械（-2.12%）。概念板块方面，多数概念 板块下跌，昨日连板_含一字、昨日连板、煤化工等大幅上涨；3D 玻璃、减 速器、同步磁阻电机等大幅走低。 资金筹码方面，主力资金 3 月 13 日净流出 915.63 亿元。其中超大单净 流出 ...