| 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-12-09 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3909.52 | 13277.36 | 4598.22 | 14125.60 | 3891.24 | 1347.10 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | -0.37 | -0.39 | -0.50 | -0.48 | 0.03 | -0.27 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 7811.60 | 11227.92 | 4521.13 | 3682.99 | 5281.06 | 548.18 | 证券研究报告 | 2025年12月10日 宏观与策略 宏观快评:11 月进出口数据点评-高技术提速，新市场托底 行业与公司 家电行业周报（25 年第 49 周）：石头科技黑五大促实现强劲增长，传 统扫地机巨头 iRobot 面临危机 机械行业周报:制造成长周报（第 37 期）-特朗普政府聚焦机器人行业， Tiktok 拟投资 380 亿美元建数据中心 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" investment rating for the insurance industry [1][4]. Core Insights - The release of the Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug Directory marks a significant step for commercial health insurance in the innovative drug payment sector, creating a "second battlefield" that complements the basic medical insurance directory [2][13]. - The new policy alleviates the long-standing conflict between cost control pressures in medical insurance and the innovation demands of pharmaceutical companies, injecting momentum into the healthy development of China's innovative drug industry [2][13]. - The unified directory standardizes fragmented special drug demand and centralizes payment data, providing a reusable "public infrastructure" for the industry, enabling insurance companies to sustainably manage risks in the innovative drug sector for the first time [2][13]. Summary by Sections Policy Positioning - The introduction of the innovative drug directory clarifies the boundaries between basic medical insurance and commercial health insurance in the innovative drug payment field, allowing commercial insurance to play a supplementary role in the multi-tiered medical security system [3][10]. Market Size and Growth - In 2024, the commercial health insurance premium income reached 977.3 billion yuan, nearing the scale of resident medical insurance funding for the same year. However, the total payment for innovative drugs by commercial health insurance was only 7.4 billion yuan, representing a mere 5.3% of the 140 billion yuan innovative drug market [3][6]. Payment Mechanism - The directory employs a price negotiation mechanism, granting companies greater pricing power, which is beneficial for rapid cost recovery of R&D and encourages innovation in the pharmaceutical sector [6][8]. Liability Side - The implementation of the commercial health insurance directory is expected to clarify the boundaries of medical insurance and commercial insurance, thereby increasing demand for medical insurance products [10]. Asset Side - The directory provides insurance funds with opportunities for deep integration with the medical industry, allowing for a dual approach of "insurance + investment" to achieve excess returns [12][13]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with differentiated advantages in the health insurance sector, such as China Property & Casualty Insurance, Ping An Insurance, China Taiping Insurance, and ZhongAn Online [2][13].

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月09日 社会服务行业双周报（第 120 期） 优于大市 湖北国资入主君亭酒店，关注首都、上海机场免税招标进展 板块复盘：消费者服务板块报告期内上涨 2.38%，跑输大盘 0.56pct。报 告期内（2025 年 11 月 24 日-12 月 7 日），国信社服板块涨幅居前的股票为 君亭酒店（14.27%）、中教控股（12.73%）、金沙中国有限公司（12.22%）、 中国东方教育（11.89%）、同道猎聘（11.71%）、同庆楼、美高梅中国、东 方甄选、华住集团-S、广州酒家。国信社服板块跌幅居前的股票为云南旅游 （-6.68%）、凯撒旅业（-6.00%）、希教国际控股（-5.52%）、新高教集团 （-4.72%）、大连圣亚（-4.58%）、兰生股份、百胜中国、长白山、宇华教 育、呷哺呷哺。 行业与公司动态：市场监管总局发布外卖平台管理国家标准，要求通过"一 镜到底"视频核验商户资质，并设定配送员接单时长上限，优化算法时电动 自行车时速按 15 公里/小时计算，并强调用工合作企业须落实社会保障等责 任等。蜜雪冰城在大连、西安等四城试点早餐业务，试点门店上线五红奶等 四款 5 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][58]. Core Insights - The company achieved revenue of 171 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 144.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.4% [1][6]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was -307 million yuan, an improvement from -1.043 billion yuan in Q3 2024 and -406 million yuan in Q2 2025 [1][6]. - The company is a global leader in L4 autonomous driving products and solutions, with significant advancements in commercializing its L4 products [3][24]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's gross margin was 32.9%, a year-on-year increase of 26.4 percentage points [2][14]. - The adjusted net profit margin for Q3 2025 was -161.2%, showing a significant improvement from previous quarters [2][14]. - The company’s expense ratio decreased to 254.9% in Q3 2025, down 1024.4 percentage points year-on-year [2][19]. Business Segments - Product revenue in Q3 2025 was 79.2 million yuan, a remarkable year-on-year growth of 428.0%, driven by increased sales of Robotaxi and Robobus [1][7]. - Service revenue for the same period was 91.8 million yuan, up 66.9% year-on-year, primarily due to growth in smart data services and autonomous driving-related operational support [1][7]. Market Expansion and Partnerships - The company has accelerated the commercialization of its L4 products, obtaining autonomous driving licenses in multiple countries, including Switzerland, China, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, France, Belgium, and the USA [3][25]. - In November 2025, the company launched L4 Robotaxi commercial operations in Abu Dhabi in partnership with Uber, marking a significant milestone in the Middle East [32]. - The company has also expanded its Robobus services to various cities, including operations in UAE and Belgium [43][44]. Future Projections - The report has adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 5.51 billion yuan, 10.00 billion yuan, and 18.66 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to domestic L4 policy openings [58]. - The projected net losses for the same period are -14.16 billion yuan, -13.10 billion yuan, and -10.18 billion yuan [58].

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月09日 文远知行（WRD.O/0800.HK） 优于大市 单三季度收入同比增长 144%，L4 产品商业化落地加速推进 2025Q3 公司实现营收 1.71 亿元，同比增长 144%。2025Q3，公司实现收 入为 1.71 亿元，同比增长 144.2%，环比增长 34.4%，净利润为-3.07 亿 元（2024Q3 为-10.43 亿元，2025Q2 为-4.06 亿元），调整后净利润为 -2.76 亿元（2024Q3 为-2.40 亿元，2025Q2 为-3.01 亿元）。分业务来 看，1）2025Q3，公司产品业务收入为 7920 万元，同比增长 428.0%，收 入增长主要由于 2025Q3 公司 Robotaxi 和 Robobus 销量增加。2）2025Q3， 公司服务业务收入为 9180 万元，同比增长 66.9%，增长主要得益于智能 数据服务收入以及自动驾驶相关运营和技术支持服务收入增加。 2025Q3，公司毛利率同比提升，费用率下降。2025Q3，公司的毛利率/ 净利率/经调整净利率分别为 32.9%/-179.7%/-161.2%，分别同比变动 +26.4 ...

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Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][6][72] Core Insights - The company aims to become a global leader in robotic technology platforms, leveraging its advancements in AI and laser radar technology [25][72] - The company has seen a significant increase in laser radar sales, with a 34% year-on-year growth in total sales volume for Q3 2025 [1][9] - The company has a robust order book, benefiting from the rapid development of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and high-level autonomous driving [2][72] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 407 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year and a 10.6% decrease quarter-on-quarter [1][8] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was -101 million yuan, compared to -51 million yuan in Q2 2025 and -82 million yuan in Q3 2024 [1][8] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved by 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, reaching 23.9% [1][16] Product Development - The company has developed a unique digital laser radar matrix, including products like EM4, EMX, and E1, which have passed automotive standards certification [2][35] - The company launched the "Active Camera 2," a pioneering sensor system that integrates multiple technologies for enhanced robotic perception [3][54] - The company is actively expanding its product offerings in the robotics sector, focusing on components that enhance robotic capabilities [39][43] Market Position - The company has secured partnerships with over 90% of key players in the Robotaxi and Robotruck sectors, indicating strong market penetration [2][65] - The company has received orders from 32 automotive manufacturers for a total of 144 vehicle models, showcasing its competitive position in the market [58][60] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for digital laser radar in various applications, including autonomous vehicles and robotics [72][65]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月09日 硫磺行业深度报告 优于大市 全球供需矛盾突出，硫磺价格有望上行 硫磺主要伴生于油气开采及炼化，未来油气消费增速下降，同时明年高硫原 油产量预计下降，全球硫磺产量增速预期较低。硫磺主要在油气生产及炼化 过程伴生，硫磺产量与化石能源消费紧密相关。主流机构均预测明年原油消 费增速较低，仅约 1%。IEA 预测，今年全年天然气消费增速为 1.3%，明年 天然气消费增速预计为 2%。全球高硫原油主要产区为中东，OPEC 近期决定 于 2026 年一季度暂停增产，并且部分国家提交了额外减产计划。伊朗受美 国制裁，原油产量不断下降。油气需求增速较低，高硫原油产量预期下降， 全球硫磺产量预计低速增长。俄罗斯本为全球第二大硫磺生产国，今年来其 炼厂持续受袭，直接影响了气硫磺的生产和出口，加剧硫磺供应紧张。 硫磺最重要应用为制备硫酸，硫酸需求预计仍将保持中速增长，这直接导致 硫磺全球供应偏紧。2024 年中国 93%的硫磺被用来制备硫酸。全球约一半的 硫酸用来制备化肥，钛白粉、己内酰胺、磷酸铁等也为重要的耗酸化工品。 世界肥料协会预测，2025-2027 年全球磷肥需求复合增速为 1-2 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月9日 人工智能存储系列报告一： AI拉动需求增长，存储大周期方兴未艾 行业研究 · 行业专题 计算机 · 人工智能 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 证券分析师：熊莉 021-61761067 xiongli1@guosen.com.cn S0980519030002 证券分析师：艾宪 0755-22941051 aixian@guosen.com.cn S0980524090001 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 摘要 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 目录 01 存储系统：系统构成与分类 02 市场与技术趋势：HDD、SSD、NAND、DRAM、HBM 03 需求测算：AI训练、推理拉动存储需求增长 04 公司梳理：全球存储公司业务重心 05 风险提示 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 存储系统：AI工作负载在不同阶段需要不同存力支撑 n 存储系统：系统构成与分类。1）系统构成：AI存储系统主要分为网络端存储和本地端存储，其中网络端存储主要存放冷数据，主要由HDD和SSD存储； 本地端存储主要存放热数据和温数据，主要由HBM、DRAM、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][4][8]. Core Views - The report highlights the ongoing development of the Guangdong electricity market for 2026, with a total market scale of approximately 680 billion kilowatt-hours and an annual trading cap of 420 billion kilowatt-hours [2][15]. - The report discusses the approval of a significant asset swap by Electric Power Investment Corporation, which involves the acquisition of 100% equity in Electric Power Nuclear and the issuance of shares to raise funds for nuclear power projects [3][21][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of carbon neutrality, recommending investments in the new energy industry chain and integrated energy management [24]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.28%, while the public utility index increased by 0.12%, and the environmental index fell by 0.15% [1][14]. - Within the electricity sector, thermal power decreased by 0.20%, hydropower increased by 0.66%, and new energy generation rose by 1.09% [1][27]. Important Events - The Guangdong electricity market for 2026 is set to have a trading scale of about 680 billion kilowatt-hours, with specific allocations for nuclear power units [2][15]. - The asset swap by Electric Power Investment Corporation has been approved, with a transaction value of 55.39 billion yuan for the acquisition of Electric Power Nuclear [3][21]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and regional power companies with stable pricing like Shanghai Electric [4][24]. - The report suggests investing in leading new energy companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy, as well as high-dividend hydropower stocks like Yangtze Power [4][24]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Huadian International is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 0.49 yuan for 2024 and 0.62 yuan for 2025 [8]. - Electric Power Investment Corporation is also rated "Outperform," with an expected EPS of 0.19 yuan for 2024 and 0.26 yuan for 2025 [8]. Environmental Sector Insights - The report notes that the waste incineration industry is maturing, with improved free cash flow, and suggests focusing on "utility-like investment opportunities" in the environmental sector [25]. - Recommendations include companies like China Science Instruments and Shandong High Energy Resources, which are expected to benefit from upcoming EU policies [25].