Market Overview - The non-bank financial sector has seen a 28.69% increase from the "924" policy until the end of March 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 7.34% [3][12] - The sector's performance from April 1 to June 6, 2025, was a modest 0.32%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.17% [3][12] - The non-bank financial sector's price-to-earnings ratio stands at 12.62 times, ranking 27th among primary industries, while the weighted price-to-book ratio is at 1.63 times, the lowest in the past decade [3][12] Performance Outlook - The "924" policy has stimulated market activity, with 38 comparable listed brokerages achieving adjusted revenues of CNY 415.1 billion and net profits of CNY 147 billion in 2024, reflecting year-on-year increases of 8% and 16% respectively [3][51] - In Q1 2025, these brokerages reported adjusted revenues of CNY 112.7 billion and net profits of CNY 51.9 billion, marking year-on-year increases of 34% and 81% [3][51] - The brokerage sector is expected to continue experiencing double-digit growth in 2025, supported by high growth in brokerage net income and proprietary trading net income [3][51] Policy Analysis - Since April 2025, the central bank and other authorities have actively signaled their commitment to stabilizing and invigorating the capital markets, which is expected to benefit non-bank financial institutions in the medium to long term [3][4] - A series of policies aimed at reducing liability costs are anticipated to support the insurance sector, although new business may face pressure [3][65] Investment Recommendations - For the brokerage sector, the report recommends focusing on firms with expected industry mergers and acquisitions, as well as those with strong retail brokerage and effective wealth management transformations, such as China Galaxy Securities, Huatai Securities, and Dongfang Wealth [3][4] - In the insurance sector, the report highlights opportunities driven by asset-side catalysts, recommending companies like New China Life, China Life, and China Pacific Insurance [3][4] Market Capital Flow - The average daily trading volume in China's stock market increased significantly, with a daily average of CNY 15.61 billion since the "924" policy, compared to CNY 7.746 billion prior to the policy [3][19] - New account openings surged, with 10.95 million new accounts opened in the first five months of 2025, a 30% year-on-year increase [3][22] - The insurance sector's investment in stocks and funds reached CNY 4.47 trillion, accounting for 13.3% of total insurance funds, reflecting a 24% year-on-year increase [3][41] Equity Supply - The number of IPOs in A-shares increased to 43 in the first five months of 2025, raising CNY 28.2 billion, which is a 13% year-on-year increase [3][45] - The report notes that the stock market is expected to see continued activity in equity financing, with a total of CNY 209.8 billion raised through equity financing in Q1 2025, a 51% increase year-on-year [3][45]

证券研究报告|公司深度研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 09 日 [Table_Title] 全球领先的光学成像解决方案供应商，3+N 业 务布局打造成长驱动力 [Table_Title2] 弘景光电(301479) [Table_Summary] 全球领先的光学成像解决方案供应商 公司成立于 2012 年，2025 年于深交所创业板上市。成立以来， 公司专注于光学镜头及摄像模组产品的研发、设计、生产和销 售，致力于面向全球光电领域提供专业的光学成像与视频影像解 决方案。目前，公司已形成"3+N"的业务布局："3"代表智能 汽车、智能家居和全景/运动相机三大主营业务，"N"代表人工 智能硬件、机器视觉、工业检测与医疗等新兴业务。 全景/运动相机：与影石创新深度绑定，技术优势显著 行业：应用领域持续拓宽，市场规模持续提升。1）运动相机： 据弗若斯特沙利文数据，2023 年全球运动相机市场规模达 314.4 亿元，预计 2027 年增长至 513.5 亿元，2023-27 年 CAGR 为 13.0%。2）全景相机：据弗若斯特沙利文数据，2023 年全球全景 相机市场规模为 50.3 亿 ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3384.82, down by 14.96 points, a decrease of 0.44%[1] - The CSI 300 Index closed at 3865.47, down by 19.78 points, a decrease of 0.51%[1] - The ChiNext Index fell by 1.17%, while the STAR 50 Index dropped by 1.47%[2] Bond Market Insights - The yield on the 10-year government bond rose by 0.2 basis points to 1.66%[2] - The 30-year government bond yield decreased by 0.4 basis points to 1.87%[2] - The central bank conducted a reverse repo of 198.6 billion yuan, with a net withdrawal of 255.9 billion yuan[4] Economic and Trade Context - The ongoing US-China trade talks have led to a cautious market sentiment, impacting stock performance negatively[2] - Gold prices increased, with London gold rising from $3300 to $3340 per ounce during the talks[3] - The market is adjusting to lower volatility expectations, which may lead to sudden shifts in asset prices[6] Sector Performance - The small-cap index (CSI 2000) fell by 0.82%, indicating a crowded market that may face increased outflows[7] - The technology sector saw significant declines, with the innovation drug index rising by 0.84%, showing resilience against broader market trends[7] Investment Outlook - The current market adjustment is viewed as a healthy correction, potentially leading to increased trading activity[8] - The technology sector's fundamentals remain intact, suggesting opportunities for recovery despite recent declines[8]

证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 6 月 10 日 [Table_Title] 安托法加斯塔 2025Q1 铜产量环比减少 22.8%至 15.47 万吨，铜单位净现金成本环比增长 25.2%至 1.54 美元/磅 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ► 生产经营情况 1）铜 2025Q1 铜总产量为 15.47 万吨，同比增长 19.6%，环比减少 22.8%。主要得益于集团的两个选矿厂-- Los Pelambres 选矿厂 和 Centinela 选矿厂产量的增加。 2025Q1 铜销量为 17.02 万吨，同比增长 47.1%，环比减少 11.3%。 2025Q1 铜实现价格为 4.69 美元/磅，同比增长 18.1%，环比增 长 25.1%。 2025Q1 扣除副产品收益抵免前的铜单位现金成本为 2.37 美元/ 磅，同比减少 11.2%，环比增长 17.9%。主要原因是集团的选 矿厂（Los Pelambres 选矿厂和 Centinela 选矿厂）产量增加。 2025Q1 铜单位净现金成本为 1.54 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [7] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, copper production totaled 154.7 thousand tons, a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 22.8%. This was primarily due to increased output from the Los Pelambres and Centinela mines [2][13] - Copper sales reached 170.2 thousand tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 47.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 11.3% [2][13] - The realized copper price was $4.69 per pound, up 18.1% year-on-year and 25.1% quarter-on-quarter [2][14] - The net cash cost for copper was $1.54 per pound, a decrease of 20.2% year-on-year but an increase of 25.2% quarter-on-quarter [3][13] - Gold production was 42.9 thousand ounces (1.33 tons), marking a year-on-year increase of 28.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 37.1% [4][13] - The realized gold price was $3,098 per ounce, up 42.4% year-on-year and 16.1% quarter-on-quarter [4][14] - Molybdenum production was 3,100 tons, with a year-on-year increase of 14.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.7% [5][13] - The realized molybdenum price was $19.3 per pound, down 8.5% year-on-year and 10.2% quarter-on-quarter [5][14] Production and Cost Summary - The total copper production for Q1 2025 was 154.7 thousand tons, with a cash cost before by-product credits of $2.37 per pound [13] - The total gold production for Q1 2025 was 42.9 thousand ounces, with a realized price of $3,098 per ounce [4][14] - The total molybdenum production for Q1 2025 was 3,100 tons, with a realized price of $19.3 per pound [5][14] Project Development Updates - The Centinela Phase II project is progressing as expected, focusing on assembling mining equipment and completing concrete work for the foundations of the mills [8] - The Los Pelambres expansion project is also on track, with ongoing work on the concentrate pipeline and seawater desalination plant [9] - The Cachorro exploration project submitted an environmental impact statement in January 2025 for additional exploration work [10] 2025 Outlook - The annual copper production target remains unchanged, expected to be between 660,000 and 700,000 tons [11] - The cash cost guidance remains unchanged, with costs before and after by-product credits expected to be between $2.25-$2.45 and $1.45-$1.65 per pound, respectively [11] - Capital expenditure guidance remains at $3.9 billion [12]

证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ► 生产经营情况 铜：2025Q1 铜产量为 76,774 吨，环比减少 18.41%，同比减少 3.30%。 镍：2025Q1 镍产量为 2,296 吨，环比增加 41.99%，同比减少 29.46%。 黄金：2025Q1 黄金产量为 3.2 万盎司（1.00 吨），环比减少 30.43%，同比减少 3.03%。 钼：2025Q1 钼产量为 602 吨，环比减少 33.99%，同比减少 30.32%。 ►财务业绩情况 2025Q1，公司来自持续经营业务的收入为 9.639 亿美元 （2024Q1 为 8.123 亿美元），来自终止经营业务的收入为 1.801 亿美元（2024Q1 为 1.247 亿美元）。 2025Q1 持续运营业务的毛利润为 3.089 亿美元，比去年同期的 1.975 亿美元高出 1.115 亿美元。毛利润增长的主要原因是铜和 金的实际价格上涨、处理费用降低以及有利的外汇兑换。本季 度来自非持续运营业务的毛利润为 6990 万美元，高于上年同 期的毛亏损 1210 万美元，这主要是由于分类为持有待售的资 产未计 ...

Market Performance - On June 9, major stock indices in China rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.43%, CSI 300 by 0.29%, and CSI 500 by 1.44%[1] - The technology sector also performed well, with the STAR 50 and Hang Seng Tech indices rising by 0.60% and 2.78%, respectively[1] - The overall trading volume in the A-share market reached 1.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 135.4 billion yuan compared to the previous week[4] Bond Market Dynamics - The 10-year government bond yield rose by 0.4 basis points to 1.66%, while the 30-year bond yield fell by 0.2 basis points to 1.87%[1] - The central bank maintained liquidity by injecting 173.8 billion yuan into the market, resulting in a weighted overnight rate of 1.42%[3] - The bond market's pricing is heavily influenced by the outcomes of the US-China tariff negotiations, with potential downward pressure on yields if tariffs remain unchanged[4] Commodity Market Trends - Following a rebound in coking coal prices, the commodity market showed signs of recovery, although some prices like rebar and iron ore saw slight declines of 0.03% and 0.71%[2] - Industrial metals exhibited mixed performance, with copper rising by 0.13% and aluminum falling by 0.20%[2] Investment Sentiment - The market's risk appetite has increased due to positive expectations surrounding US-China trade relations, leading to a notable rebound in the equity market[8] - The AI sector continued to gain traction, with indices for AI computing and AIGC rising by 1.30% and 1.93%, respectively[6] Capital Flows - Southbound capital inflow into Hong Kong stocks was modest at 717 million HKD, indicating that it was not the primary driver of the market's rise[7] - Notable inflows were observed in stocks like Xinda Biopharmaceuticals and Meituan, while Tencent and Xiaomi experienced outflows of 2.14 billion and 1.45 billion HKD, respectively[7]

Inflation Data Summary - May CPI year-on-year decreased by 0.1%, better than the expected decline of 0.2% and consistent with the previous month[1] - Month-on-month CPI fell by 0.2%, compared to a rise of 0.1% in the previous month[1] - Core CPI excluding food and energy remained flat month-on-month, down from a 0.2% increase in the previous month[1] Energy and Commodity Prices - Energy prices significantly impacted CPI, with a 1.7% decrease in energy prices contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI decline[1] - Brent crude oil prices fell by 5.2% month-on-month, with a cumulative decline of 18.9% from February to May[1] - Transportation fuel prices dropped by 3.7%, with a total decline of 9.2% from March to May[1] Service and Food Prices - Service prices were flat month-on-month, down from a previous increase of 0.3%, indicating weakened support for CPI[2] - Food prices decreased by 0.2%, a smaller decline compared to historical averages of -1.1% and -0.9% for the same period[3] - Fresh vegetable prices fell by 5.9%, while fresh fruit prices increased by 3.3% due to drought conditions in northern regions[3] Producer Price Index (PPI) Trends - PPI remained unchanged month-on-month at -0.4%, consistent with the previous two months[5] - The rolling three-month average for PPI is -0.4%, marking a seven-month low, with an annual rate of -4.7%[5] - The mining and raw materials sectors saw PPI declines of -2.5% and -0.9%, respectively, while the manufacturing sector decreased by -0.3%[5] Market Implications - The weak inflation data suggests continued pressure on industries sensitive to economic cycles, while technology sectors may perform relatively better[8] - Defensive dividend stocks are recommended for consideration, although attention should be paid to potential market disruptions from dividend-related trading in June and July[8]

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 09 日 [Table_Title] 5 月出口，高关税阴影犹存 据海关总署，2025年5月出口总值为3161亿美元，同比增长4.8%，低于市场预期的6.2%和4月的8.1%； 进口总值为 2129 亿美元，同比-3.4%，预期 0.31%，前值-0.2%。5 月以来，中美贸易关系缓和，第一轮谈判后 中美互相大幅降低关税，当前美国对华关税仍维持在 30%之上。如何看待 5 月份进出口数据？ 一是对美出口继续下降，暂未反映贸易缓和。5 月对美出口同比降 34.6%，拖累出口同比 5 个百分点。对美 出口进一步大幅下降，或仍在继续反映 4 月美国对中国征收 145%高额关税的影响。不过，5 月以来，中美贸易 关系逐渐缓和，5 月 12 日中美会谈结束后发布日内瓦联合声明，中美之间关税税率超预期大幅下降，关税下调 于 5 月 14 日正式生效。6 月 5 日晚间，中美最高领导人通话，同意双方团队继续落实好日内瓦共识，并约定尽 快举行新一轮会谈。 伴随中美关系缓和，中国对美出口的恢复有望体现在 6 月数据。5 月中旬暂停加征关税后，市场迅速 ...

证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 6 月 9 日 [Table_Title] KGHM 2025Q1 精矿含铜产量同比减少 5.6%至 16.92 万吨，净利润同比减少 22.2%至 3.30 亿兹罗 提 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ► 生产经营情况 2025Q1 公司精矿含铜产量 16.92 万吨，同比减少 5.6%。其中 KGHM Polska Miedź S.A.铜产量 13.40 万吨，同比减少 8.3%； KGHM INTERNATIONAL LTD.铜产量 1.44 万吨，同比减少 10.0%；Sierra Gorda S.C.M.铜产量 2.08 万吨，同比增长 22.4%。 2025Q1 公司银产量 320.7 吨，同比增长 1.5%。 2025Q1 KGHM Polska Miedź S.A.铜 C1 成本 3.15 美元/磅，同 比增长 4.7%，成本增加的主要原因是矿产开采税导致税负增 加，以及铜精矿自产产量减少，同时由于白银和黄金价格的上 涨，副产品的价格也有所上涨；KGHM INT ...