Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [2][6] Core Views - The company has shown a robust growth in its inverter business and significant improvement in the profitability of its energy storage systems, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 16.92% for 2024 [4][9] - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 77.86 billion in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 7.76% compared to the previous year [10] - The energy storage segment has seen a remarkable revenue increase of 40.21%, with a gross margin improvement of 4.07 percentage points [9][10] Financial Summary - The company’s projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are adjusted to RMB 5.89, RMB 7.00, and RMB 7.71 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 10.6, 8.9, and 8.1 [6][8] - The company’s total revenue is expected to reach RMB 93.10 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of 19.6% [8][14] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was reported at 29.94%, a slight decrease of 0.41 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 14.47%, an increase of 1.17 percentage points [10][11] Performance Metrics - The company’s contract liabilities reached RMB 100.26 billion by the end of 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 52.73% [9][10] - The company’s inverter sales reached 147 GW in 2024, representing a growth of 13.08% [9] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 50.92%, amounting to RMB 19.04 billion [11]

Core Insights - The real estate industry is expected to undergo a transformation in 2025, focusing on quality over quantity and structural optimization [1] - Sales and investment in 2024 saw a decline, but the sales drop has narrowed and investment enthusiasm has increased in 2025 [1] Group 1: Sales Analysis - In 2024, the sales scale of the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 30.3%, with only 11 companies exceeding sales of 100 billion yuan, down from 16 in 2023 [2] - For the first four months of 2025, the sales of the top 100 companies showed a year-on-year decline of 7.8%, a significant narrowing compared to 2024 [2] - The average sales price per square meter for the top 100 companies increased to 20,200 yuan in the first four months of 2025, up 15.1% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Land Acquisition - In 2024, the land acquisition amount for the top 100 companies decreased by 30.6%, but in the first four months of 2025, both the acquisition amount and intensity increased significantly [2] - The land acquisition intensity for the top 100 companies rose to 39.2% in early 2025, up 13.7 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The concentration of land acquisition among the top 100 companies increased to 62.5% in early 2025, up 18.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 3: Financing Conditions - The total financing scale for the real estate industry in 2024 was 565.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 18% year-on-year, with an average issuance interest rate of 2.95% [2] - In the first quarter of 2025, the financing scale was 118.7 billion yuan, down 24.6% year-on-year, with an average interest rate of 3.22% [2] - The total debt maturity for the real estate industry in 2025 is projected to be 774.6 billion yuan, slightly higher than in 2024 [2] Group 4: Financial Performance - The industry revenue in 2024 decreased by 21.0%, with a net profit loss of 159 billion yuan, marking a significant decline compared to previous years [2] - The gross profit margin for the industry in 2024 was 14.6%, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, with a negative net profit margin of -8.0% [2] - The cash flow from operations for the industry was negative, with a net outflow of 211 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, although this was an improvement from the previous year [2] Group 5: Top 20 Companies Analysis - The top 20 real estate companies experienced a revenue decline of 17% in 2024, but their performance was better than the overall industry [2] - The gross profit margin for the top 20 companies was 12.7%, slightly lower than the industry average, but their net profit margin was less negative at -2.0% [2] - The cash management capabilities of the top 20 companies showed resilience, with a net cash inflow from operations of 259 billion yuan in 2024 [2] Group 6: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable fundamentals and high market share in core cities, such as Binjiang Group and Greentown China [2] - It also highlights smaller companies that have made significant breakthroughs in sales and land acquisition since 2024, such as Poly Real Estate Group [2] - Companies with strategic changes or operational improvements, like Gemdale Corporation and Longfor Group, are also recommended for investment [2]

石油石化 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 5 月 12 日 000301.SZ 增持 | 流通股 (百万) | 6,608.55 | | --- | --- | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | 59,699.34 | | 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) | 115.59 | | 主要股东 | | | 江苏盛虹科技股份有限公司 | 43.24% | 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2025 年 5 月 9 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《东方盛虹》20240514 《东方盛虹》20231120 《东方盛虹》20230816 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 石油石化：炼化及贸易 证券分析师：徐中良 | (8621)20328516 | | --- | | zhongliang.xu@bocichina.com | | 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300524050001 | 原评级：买入 市场价格:人民币 9.03 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 12.9 12.7 3.4 (10.0) 相对深 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 50.30 and an industry rating of "Outperform" [1][4][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for domestic products in the context of integrated circuit self-sufficiency, leading to significant growth in its software business revenue in 2024 [1][4]. - The company reported a revenue of RMB 547 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 37.68% to RMB 80 million [4][8]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 51.43% year-on-year, amounting to RMB 66 million, with a narrowing loss compared to the previous year [9]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 684 million, RMB 861 million, and RMB 1,094 million, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover to RMB 148 million in 2025, with further growth to RMB 190 million in 2026 and RMB 253 million in 2027 [6][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 0.74 in 2025, RMB 0.95 in 2026, and RMB 1.26 in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery from the previous year's decline [6][8]. Business Segment Performance - The company has diversified its offerings into EDA software and hardware testing equipment, with software development and licensing revenue reaching RMB 159 million in 2024, a substantial increase of 70.33% [9]. - The hardware testing equipment and accessories segment generated RMB 386 million in revenue, a slight increase of 0.63%, while the testing services and other business segments saw a remarkable growth of 360.63% [9]. Market Trends and Opportunities - The domestic EDA market is expected to grow due to the increasing demand for semiconductor products driven by advancements in AI and local procurement strategies [9]. - The company is positioned to capture market share as the U.S. imposes restrictions on certain EDA software, which may benefit domestic EDA manufacturers [9].

Core Insights - The report highlights a selection of stocks for May, including companies like SF Holding and Guizhou Moutai, indicating potential investment opportunities in various sectors [1] Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical industry faced challenges in 2024 and Q1 2025, with a slight decrease in revenue and net profit. However, R&D expenses continue to rise, and the impact of centralized procurement and anti-corruption measures is gradually weakening, suggesting a potential recovery in revenue and profit as innovative products are launched [2][7][8] - In 2024, the pharmaceutical sector's total revenue was CNY 2.47 trillion, down 1.53% year-on-year, with a net profit of CNY 122.83 billion, down 8.07%. In Q1 2025, revenue was CNY 603.70 billion, down 6.14%, and net profit was CNY 42.82 billion, down 15.66% [8][9] Company Performance - Anji Technology reported a revenue of CNY 1.835 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 48.24%, with a net profit of CNY 534 million, up 32.51%. In Q4 2024, revenue reached CNY 523 million, up 53.90% year-on-year [3][12] - Foxit Software achieved a revenue of CNY 711 million in 2024, a 16.44% increase, and turned a profit with a net income of CNY 27 million. The company’s subscription business showed strong growth, with an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of CNY 411 million, up 64.42% [17][18] Market Trends - The semiconductor CMP polishing materials market is projected to grow, with Anji Technology increasing its global market share from approximately 7% to 11% over three years. The global market size for CMP polishing materials is expected to reach USD 4.4 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 5.6% from 2024 to 2028 [14] - The functional wet electronic chemicals segment saw a revenue increase of 78.91% in 2024, indicating strong demand and market expansion [15] R&D and Innovation - The pharmaceutical sector's R&D expenditure reached CNY 138.33 billion in 2024, a 1.25% increase from 2023, with significant investments in chemical pharmaceuticals and medical consumables [10] - Foxit Software's dual transformation strategy focusing on subscription and channel prioritization has shown positive results, with a notable increase in subscription revenue contributing to overall growth [17][19]

策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 5 月 11 日 策略周报 政策落地，待新催化 政策预期阶段性落地，市场信心得到有力支撑，科技主线等待回归，配置上 "以我为主"，关注内需、科技自主相关板块。 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 证券分析师：高天然 tianran.gao@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300522100001 国新办发布会 ...

Inflation Overview - In April, the CPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month, while the year-on-year CPI decreased by 0.1%[2] - The core CPI rose by 0.5% year-on-year, with service prices increasing by 0.3% and consumer goods prices declining by 0.3%[2] - The decline in food prices was 0.2% year-on-year, a reduction of 1.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.03 percentage points[7] PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year in April, with production materials down by 3.1% and living materials down by 1.6%[19] - Key sectors affecting the PPI decline included oil and gas extraction, refining, and various manufacturing industries, collectively contributing to a 0.24 percentage point decrease in the PPI[20] - The PPI is expected to show an upward trend later in the year, potentially in the third quarter, influenced by infrastructure investment and external demand fluctuations[21] Price Influences - International oil prices significantly impacted the CPI, with a year-on-year decline of 4.8%, particularly affecting gasoline prices which fell by 10.4%[6] - The increase in service prices, particularly in travel and accommodation, contributed approximately 0.10 percentage points to the CPI's month-on-month increase[6] - The overall price stability indicates that domestic inflation will likely maintain a low upward trend in the near term, influenced by various international and domestic factors[7]

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2025 年 5 月 11 日 2025 年一季度货币政策执 行报告 适度宽松的货币政策助力高质量发展 2025年一季度货币政策执行报告内容改动较大的部分主要是对国际经济形势 的判断和货币政策执行；在'专栏 5 从政府部门资产负债表视角对比中美日 政府债务情况'的部分，通过横向对比强调了我国政府债务扩张的可持续性。 相关研究报告 《通胀预期对美联储更重要》20250510 《1-4 月进出口数据点评》20250510 《A 股 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报分析》 20250508 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 宏观经济 证券分析师：张晓娇 xiaojiao.zhang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300514010002 证券分析师：朱启兵 (8610)66229359 Qibing.Zhu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300516090001 2025 年一季度货币政策坚持'稳'的基调。一季度降准降息缺席，但金 融体系整体流动性保持稳定，3 月末金融机构超额准备金率为 1.0 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report [160][161] 2. Core View of the Report - In April 2025, CPI and PPI continued to diverge, with upstream prices continuing to decline. If trade frictions ease, the divergence between upstream and downstream prices is expected to narrow. Core CPI and food - related CPI have stabilized, indicating that consumption - promotion policies have had a positive impact on terminal consumption demand. However, trade frictions still affect upstream prices such as energy prices [2] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 High - Frequency Data Panoramic Scan - **Food and Consumer Goods**: From May 5 - 10, 2025, the average wholesale price of pork by the Ministry of Agriculture increased by 0.81% week - on - week and 2.15% year - on - year. The Shandong Vegetable Wholesale Price Index decreased by 5.11% week - on - week and 20.89% year - on - year. The price index of edible agricultural products decreased by 0.70% week - on - week, and the year - on - year decline widened to 4.76%. Movie box office revenue increased by 283.76% week - on - week [2][14] - **Commodities and Energy**: Brent and WTI crude oil futures prices decreased by 2.02% and 1.00% week - on - week respectively. The average daily price of LME copper spot increased by 1.56% week - on - week, while the average daily price of aluminum spot decreased by 0.82% week - on - week. The domestic cement price index decreased by 2.39% week - on - week, and the Nanhua Iron Ore Index decreased by 1.01% week - on - week. The operating rate of coking enterprises with a capacity of over 2 million tons decreased by 0.48% week - on - week [2][14] - **Real Estate**: The average daily transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities in April 2025 was about 229,000 square meters per day, compared with about 260,000 square meters per day in April 2024. From May 1 - 7, 2025, the average daily transaction area was about 136,000 square meters per day, compared with about 114,000 square meters per day in the same period of 2024. The weekly transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities decreased by 9.60% week - on - week [2] 3.2 Comparison of High - Frequency Data and Important Macroeconomic Indicators - The report presents multiple charts showing the relationship between high - frequency data and important macroeconomic indicators, such as the relationship between the year - on - year change of copper spot price and the year - on - year change of industrial added value and PPI, and the relationship between the year - on - year change of daily crude steel production and the year - on - year change of industrial added value [16][22] 3.3 Important High - Frequency Indicators in the United States - The report includes charts on important high - frequency indicators in the United States, such as the year - on - year change of electricity generation and industrial output, the Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index, the implied prospects of interest rate hikes or cuts in US federal funds futures, and the relationship between the same - store sales growth rate and PCE year - on - year [84][86] 3.4 Seasonal Trends of High - Frequency Data - The seasonal trends of high - frequency data are presented, with indicators mainly showing month - on - month growth rates. The data sources include high - frequency data on crude steel average daily production, production material price index, etc. [97] 3.5 High - Frequency Traffic Data in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen - The report provides charts on the year - on - year changes in subway passenger volume in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen [147][149]

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 5 月 11 日 周度金融市场跟踪 本周 A 股呈现普涨行情，债市震荡分化走陡 （ 5 月 5 日 -5 月 9 日） 股票方面，五一节后本周 A 股 4 个交易日，呈现普涨行情，其中小盘股走势更强。 全周累计看，沪深 300 上涨 2.0%、中证1000 上涨 2.2%、中证 2000 上涨 3.6%、微盘 股指数上涨 5.7%，已是连续 4 周上涨。港股恒生指数上涨 1.6%，恒生科技指数下跌 1.2%。行业方面，本周 31 个一级行业指数本周全部收涨，国防军工、通信和电力设 备领涨。周内看，5 月 2 日商务部表示美方近期通过相关方面多次主动向中方传递信 息，希望与中方谈起来。对此，中方正在进行评估。受此新闻影响，周二（5 月 6 日） 市场高开高走，当天超 4900 只个股上涨。周三（5 月 7 日）早晨外交部公告何立峰 副总理将于 5 月 9 日-12 日访问瑞士，期间与美方举行会谈。当天上午九点国新办召 开新闻发布会，介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况，发布会上人民 银行潘行长公布了包括降准降息在内的三大类共十项货币政策措施。当天 ...