Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: Neutral Constraint Maximum Factor Exposure Portfolio **Model Construction Idea**: The model aims to maximize the exposure of a target factor in the portfolio while maintaining neutrality in industry and style exposures relative to the benchmark index[59][60][61] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Objective Function: Maximize the portfolio's exposure to the target factor $Max \ w^{\prime} X_{target}$ 2. Constraints: - Industry neutrality: $(w-w_{b})^{\prime} X_{ind}=0$ - Style neutrality (size, valuation, growth): $(w-w_{b})^{\prime} X_{Beta}=0$ - Stock weight deviation from benchmark: $|w-w_{b}|\leq1\%$ - No short selling: $w\geq0$ - Full investment: $w^{\prime} 1=1$ - Stocks must belong to the benchmark: $w^{\prime} B=1$ 3. Factor neutralization: Before constructing the portfolio, factors are neutralized to remove correlations with industry and style factors, and all factor directions are adjusted to be positive[59][60][61] **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively balances factor exposure maximization with risk control through constraints, ensuring robustness in various market conditions[59][60][61] --- Model Backtesting Results - **Neutral Constraint Maximum Factor Exposure Portfolio** - **CSI 300 Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly excess return 0.35%, monthly excess return 0.33%, annual excess return 0.40%[56] - **CSI 500 Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly excess return -0.52%, monthly excess return 1.34%, annual excess return -0.05%[56] - **CSI 800 Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly excess return 0.29%, monthly excess return 1.59%, annual excess return 0.74%[56] - **CSI 1000 Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly excess return 0.25%, monthly excess return 2.83%, annual excess return 15.68%[57] - **CSI 300 ESG Enhanced Portfolio**: Weekly excess return 0.14%, monthly excess return 0.62%, annual excess return 5.94%[57] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Beta Factor **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the sensitivity of a stock's returns to the market's returns, capturing risk preferences in the market[15][16] **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the stock's daily returns over the past 252 trading days - Perform an exponentially weighted regression of the stock's returns against the market index (CSI All Share Index) with a half-life of 63 days - Use the regression coefficient as the Beta value[15][16] **Factor Evaluation**: The Beta factor effectively captures market risk preferences, as evidenced by its strong performance in high-risk environments[15][16] - **Factor Name**: Size Factor **Factor Construction Idea**: Captures the size effect, where smaller-cap stocks tend to outperform larger-cap stocks[15][16] **Factor Construction Process**: - Compute the natural logarithm of the total market capitalization of each stock[15][16] **Factor Evaluation**: The size factor consistently demonstrates the small-cap effect, particularly in high-volatility markets[15][16] - **Factor Name**: Momentum Factor **Factor Construction Idea**: Identifies stocks with strong past performance, assuming trends persist in the short term[15][16] **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate cumulative returns over the past 504 trading days, excluding the most recent 21 days - Apply an exponentially weighted average with a half-life of 126 days to the return series[15][16] **Factor Evaluation**: The momentum factor is effective in trending markets but may underperform during reversals[15][16] --- Factor Backtesting Results - **Beta Factor**: Weekly long-short return 2.61%, monthly long-short return -1.82%[18] - **Size Factor**: Weekly long-short return -2.11%, monthly long-short return -8.87%[18] - **Momentum Factor**: Weekly long-short return 0.58%, monthly long-short return -1.85%[18] --- Stock Selection Factors and Performance - **Factor Name**: Single Quarter ROE **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures profitability by comparing net income to shareholder equity for a single quarter[20][21] **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the ratio of net income attributable to shareholders to total shareholder equity for the most recent quarter[20][21] **Factor Backtesting Results**: - CSI 300: Weekly excess return 0.72%, monthly excess return 1.90%, annual excess return 5.43%[23] - CSI 500: Weekly excess return 0.85%, monthly excess return 0.91%, annual excess return 5.90%[29] - CSI 800: Weekly excess return 1.02%, monthly excess return 2.06%, annual excess return 3.95%[32] - CSI 1000: Weekly excess return 1.09%, monthly excess return 2.44%, annual excess return -3.47%[36] - **Factor Name**: Single Quarter EP **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures earnings yield by comparing net income to market capitalization for a single quarter[20][21] **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the ratio of net income attributable to shareholders to total market capitalization for the most recent quarter[20][21] **Factor Backtesting Results**: - CSI 300: Weekly excess return 0.89%, monthly excess return 1.65%, annual excess return 0.86%[23] - CSI 500: Weekly excess return 0.50%, monthly excess return 1.87%, annual excess return -4.22%[29] - CSI 800: Weekly excess return 1.06%, monthly excess return 2.04%, annual excess return -1.54%[32] - CSI 1000: Weekly excess return 0.38%, monthly excess return 1.69%, annual excess return -5.99%[36] - **Factor Name**: 20-Day Reversal **Factor Construction Idea**: Captures short-term mean reversion by focusing on stocks with recent underperformance[20][21] **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate cumulative returns over the past 20 trading days[20][21] **Factor Backtesting Results**: - CSI 300: Weekly excess return 0.11%, monthly excess return -0.15%, annual excess return 8.90%[23] - CSI 500: Weekly excess return 0.80%, monthly excess return 1.57%, annual excess return 3.33%[29] - CSI 800: Weekly excess return 0.39%, monthly excess return 0.59%, annual excess return 8.27%[32] - CSI 1000: Weekly excess return 0.64%, monthly excess return 1.38%, annual excess return -6.69%[36]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for Broadcom (AVGO.O) [6] Core Views - Broadcom achieved a record revenue of $15.004 billion in FY2025Q2, representing a 20% year-over-year increase and a 1% quarter-over-quarter increase, driven by strong AI semiconductor business and VMware's growth momentum [1][13] - The company expects FY2025Q3 revenue to be approximately $15.8 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 21% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 5%, anticipating AI revenue to grow by 60% year-over-year [3][22] Revenue Performance - FY2025Q2 revenue reached $15.004 billion, with a gross margin of 79.4%, exceeding previous guidance [1][18] - Semiconductor revenue was $8.4 billion, accounting for 56% of total revenue, with a year-over-year growth of 17% [2][18] - Infrastructure software revenue was $6.6 billion, representing 44% of total revenue, with a year-over-year growth of 25% [2][18] AI Business Growth - AI semiconductor revenue exceeded $4.4 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of 46%, continuing a strong growth trend for nine consecutive quarters [2][14] - The company is supporting three major clients and four potential clients in deploying custom AI accelerators, with expectations of significant deployments by 2027 [4][15] Guidance and Future Outlook - The guidance for FY2025Q3 includes semiconductor revenue of $9.1 billion, with AI revenue expected to be $5.1 billion, reflecting a 60% year-over-year growth [3][22] - The company anticipates continued growth in ASICs through FY2026, with the release of the Tomahawk6 switch chip providing significant bandwidth capabilities [3][4] Financial Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA for FY2025Q2 was $10 billion, representing 67% of revenue, higher than the previous guidance [19] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $6.4 billion, accounting for 43% of revenue [19][21]

Report Title - ABS Investor Structure Changes - ABS Monthly Report (May 2025) [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - In May 2025, the ABS issuance scale decreased, with the largest month - on - month decline in enterprise ABS. The trading volume and turnover rate of ABS decreased significantly, but the trading amount and turnover rate of credit ABS continued to grow. The holding proportions of major investors in different types of ABS changed, and the yields of ABS at all maturities declined while the spreads with medium - and short - term notes mostly continued to rise [2][3][4][5] Summary by Directory 1. Primary Issuance 1.1 Issuance Scale - In May 2025, the ABS issuance scale decreased by 28% month - on - month to 15.1533 billion yuan. Credit ABS, enterprise ABS, and ABN issuance scales were 2.3905 billion yuan, 8.321 billion yuan, and 4.4418 billion yuan respectively, with month - on - month declines of 2%, 35%, and 23% [2][9]. - Among credit ABS, the issuance scale of micro - enterprise loan ABS increased the most, and the issuance scale of non - performing loan ABS had a fast growth rate of 761%. In enterprise ABS, the issuance scales of shantytown renovation/affordable housing ABS and CMBS/CMBN increased the most, while the issuance scale of quasi - REITs decreased the most. In ABN, the issuance scale of general small - loan creditor's rights ABS increased more, and the issuance scale of preferred limited partnership shares ABS decreased the most [9] 1.2 Issuance Term and Interest Rate - In May 2025, the terms of newly issued ABS were mostly 9M - 1 year and 1 - 2 years, and the weighted coupon rate continued to decline. The weighted average coupon rate was 2.01%, a decrease of 6.68bp compared to April [11]. - For different types of ABS, the weighted terms of newly issued credit ABS, enterprise ABS, and ABN all increased compared to the previous month, and their weighted interest rates all decreased [11] 2. Secondary Trading - In May 2025, the trading volume and turnover rate of ABS decreased significantly, but the trading amount and turnover rate of credit ABS continued to grow. The monthly trading amount of ABS was 11.8623 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.09% compared to April. The monthly turnover rate of ABS was 3.6%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points compared to April. ABN was the most actively traded ABS product type [3][17] 3. Investor Structure - In credit ABS, commercial banks and non - legal person products were the main holders, with holding proportions of 69% and 15% respectively. The holding proportions of commercial banks and non - legal person products decreased, while those of securities companies and overseas institutions increased [4][20] - In ABN, non - legal person products and commercial banks held the most, with holding proportions of 62% and 28% respectively, both decreasing compared to the previous month [4][20] - For enterprise ABS, trust institutions and bank self - operations were the main investors in Shanghai Stock Exchange enterprise ABS, with holding proportions of 31% and 26% respectively, both decreasing. In Shenzhen Stock Exchange enterprise ABS, general institutions and trust institutions were the main investors, with the holding proportion of general institutions increasing and that of trust institutions slightly decreasing [4][25] 4. Yield and Spread - In May, the yields to maturity of ABS at all maturities declined. The yields to maturity of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year AAA - rated asset - backed securities decreased by 7.6bp, 6.1bp, 4.9bp, and 4.4bp respectively compared to April 30, 2025 [5][27] - The spreads between ABS yields to maturity and medium - and short - term notes mostly continued to rise. The spreads of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year AAA - rated asset - backed securities with the same - maturity and same - rating medium - and short - term notes changed to 5.4bp, - 10.1bp, 0.0bp, and - 1.3bp respectively [5][27]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for Broadcom (AVGO.O) [6] Core Insights - Broadcom reported record revenue of $15.004 billion for FY2025Q2, a year-over-year increase of 20% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1%, driven by strong AI semiconductor business and VMware's growth momentum [1][13] - The company expects revenue for FY2025Q3 to be approximately $15.8 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 21% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 5%, with AI revenue projected to grow by 60% year-over-year [3][22] Revenue Breakdown - Semiconductor revenue reached $8.4 billion, accounting for 56% of total revenue, with a year-over-year growth of 17% [2][18] - AI semiconductor revenue exceeded $4.4 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of 46%, while non-AI semiconductor revenue was $4 billion, down 5% year-over-year [2][16] - Infrastructure software revenue was $6.6 billion, representing 44% of total revenue, with a year-over-year growth of 25% [2][17] Future Guidance - For FY2025Q3, semiconductor revenue is expected to be $9.1 billion, with AI semiconductor revenue projected at $5.1 billion, reflecting a 60% year-over-year increase [3][22] - The company anticipates continued growth in AI semiconductor revenue into FY2026, driven by demand for custom AI accelerators [4][15] Operational Highlights - The gross margin for FY2025Q2 was 79.4%, exceeding previous guidance, with a year-over-year increase of 3.2 percentage points [1][18] - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $10 billion for FY2025Q2, a year-over-year increase of 35% [13][19] Market Position - Broadcom's AI business is supported by three major customers and four potential customers, with expectations for significant deployments of custom AI accelerators by 2027 [4][15] - The launch of the Tomahawk6 switch chip, offering Ethernet switching capacity of 102.4 Tbps, is designed to meet the demands of AI processor clusters [4][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The new game "Ethereal Reboot Day" has launched its international version on June 5, and the overall performance of older games remains stable. The company is expected to compensate for the natural decline in revenue from older games with new game launches, leading to a high degree of certainty in overall growth this year [1][5]. - The company has a robust pipeline of self-developed games, with significant contributions expected from titles like "Let's Go Muffin" and "Heart Town" in 2025, alongside several upcoming releases [5][6]. - The TapTap platform continues to expand, with a record high of 44 million monthly active users (MAU) in 2024, and revenue growth to 1.578 billion yuan. The platform's unique "no cooperation & zero revenue sharing" principle has attracted many developers [5][6]. - Financial projections indicate that the company's revenue is expected to reach 5.393 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 1.027 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% year-on-year growth [6][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 3.389 billion yuan, with a significant increase to 5.012 billion yuan in 2024, and further growth to 5.393 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 48% and 8% respectively [6][8]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.027 billion yuan in 2025, with a corresponding PE ratio of 17.2x [6][8]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 61.0% in 2023 to 71.5% in 2025, indicating enhanced profitability [8]. Key Financial Ratios - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 30.7% in 2025, down from 32.3% in 2024, but still reflecting strong profitability [8]. - The debt-to-asset ratio is projected to decrease from 30.8% in 2024 to 25.3% in 2025, indicating improved financial stability [8]. - The current ratio is expected to rise from 3.1 in 2024 to 3.8 in 2025, suggesting better liquidity [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Didi Chuxing [3] Core Views - Didi Chuxing's Q1 2025 financial results exceeded expectations, with revenue of 53.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, and an adjusted net profit of 2.9 billion yuan, up 115% year-on-year. The adjusted EBITA margin for the Chinese ride-hailing segment was 4%, surpassing the company's annual guidance [1][4] - The report expresses confidence in Didi's long-term growth potential and profitability in the ride-sharing market, highlighting the company's solid market share and the expected steady growth in demand for ride-hailing services [1][4] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023: 192.38 billion yuan - 2024: 206.80 billion yuan (7% growth) - 2025E: 222.37 billion yuan (8% growth) - 2026E: 240.21 billion yuan (8% growth) - 2027E: 259.01 billion yuan (8% growth) [2][7] - **Adjusted EBITA**: - 2023: -2.16 billion yuan - 2024: 2.20 billion yuan - 2025E: 7.27 billion yuan (231% growth) - 2026E: 11.21 billion yuan (54% growth) - 2027E: 15.36 billion yuan (37% growth) [2][7] - **Adjusted Net Profit**: - 2023: 620 million yuan - 2024: 5.61 billion yuan (804% growth) - 2025E: 8.23 billion yuan (47% growth) - 2026E: 11.28 billion yuan (37% growth) - 2027E: 14.88 billion yuan (32% growth) [2][7] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023: -0.10 yuan - 2024: 0.26 yuan - 2025E: 1.99 yuan - 2026E: 3.08 yuan - 2027E: 4.44 yuan [2][8] Market Performance - The current stock price is $4.95, with a total market capitalization of $22.3 billion [3] - The stock has shown a performance of -7.6% over the past month, 15.0% over the past six months, and 84.0% over the past year [4] Business Segment Insights - **Domestic Ride-Hailing**: - GTV (Gross Transaction Value) for Q1 2025 was 78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, with a total of 3.26 billion orders, up 10.3% year-on-year. The average selling price (ASP) was approximately 24 yuan, showing a slight decrease of 0.9% year-on-year [4] - **International Business**: - GTV for Q1 2025 was 23.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.2% (27.9% at constant exchange rates), with 989 million orders, up 24.9% year-on-year. The international business is expected to achieve profitability in 2025 [4] Share Buyback Program - Didi's board approved a new share buyback plan, allowing for the repurchase of up to $2 billion worth of shares within 24 months, reflecting management's confidence in the company's future [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for the company [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.326 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.02%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.26% to 104 million yuan [6][9] - The company is expanding into new markets such as 3C electronics, humanoid robots, and commercial aerospace, which are expected to drive future growth [9] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.326 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 15.02%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 104 million yuan, down 5.26% year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit was 35.67 million yuan, a decrease of 51.98% year-on-year [6][8] - For Q1 2025, the company generated a revenue of 227 million yuan, up 7.30% year-on-year, but reported a net loss of 14.95 million yuan, a significant decline of 1661.37% year-on-year [6][7] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 37.44%, down 9.77 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 7.88%, down 1.69 percentage points year-on-year [6] Business Segment Performance - Revenue from 3D printing customized products and technical services reached 689 million yuan, up 23.51% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 33.16% [6] - The aerospace sector generated 815 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 33.08%, while the industrial sector saw a slight decline in revenue [6] Regional Performance - Domestic revenue was 1.245 billion yuan, up 13.01% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 80.96 million yuan, a significant increase of 58.47% year-on-year [6] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 193 million yuan, 252 million yuan, and 299 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the gaming sector, highlighting its valuation safety and high dividend yield [1]. Core Views - The report emphasizes the strong performance of leading companies in the media and gaming sectors, particularly noting the recent success of ST Huatuo and its games [1]. - The gaming sector is expected to continue its growth, driven by strong quarterly results from major players like Tencent, which reported over 20% growth in its gaming business [6]. - The report suggests that the gaming industry is less affected by trade tensions and economic fluctuations, indicating a stable investment environment [6]. Market Performance Overview - The media industry index rose by 1.73% in the past week, ranking fifth among all sectors, while the gaming sector has shown consistent performance with several leading companies exceeding market expectations [9][11]. - The report notes that the total market capitalization of the industry is approximately 1,708.1 billion, with a circulating market value of 1,550.8 billion [3]. Gaming Sector Highlights - The report highlights the recent launch of new games by companies like Jibite, which has seen significant early success with its titles [6]. - Jibite's new game "Wand Sword Legend" quickly reached the second position in the free game rankings and has over 2 million registered users for another title [6]. - The report also mentions the long-term stability of existing games, with consistent revenue generation from titles like "Wandao" and "Wandao Mobile" [6]. Company Performance - The report identifies several key companies to watch, including Tencent, Huatuo, Jibite, and others, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming quarters [1][6]. - The report notes that the gaming sector's institutional holdings are closely aligned with the CSI 300 index, indicating a balanced investment approach [6]. Film and Television Sector Insights - The report provides insights into the film sector, noting that the top films of the week were predominantly Chinese, with significant box office earnings [16]. - The television sector is also highlighted, with top-rated shows achieving high viewership ratings across various platforms [20][21]. Book Publishing Sector - The report mentions the best-selling books in both fiction and non-fiction categories, indicating a diverse interest in literature among consumers [32][33].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance relative to the benchmark index [44]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the profit growth of industrial enterprises has shown improvement, with April's cumulative profit growth rate rising to 1.4%, up from 0.8% in March, driven by a narrowing decline in profit margins [3][6]. - The analysis indicates a divergence in profitability across different sectors, with upstream mining continuing to be a significant drag on overall industrial profits, while the midstream equipment manufacturing sector has seen substantial profit growth due to export initiatives and supportive policies [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the cautious outlook of enterprises regarding future production and market conditions, as reflected in the slowing inventory growth [6]. Summary by Sections Industrial Profit Analysis - In April, the cumulative year-on-year growth rate of revenue for industrial enterprises was 3.2%, slightly down from 3.4% in March, while the cumulative profit growth rate improved to 1.4% [3]. - The report notes that the Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 2.4%, indicating a "stable volume but declining price" scenario in the industrial sector [3][6]. Sector Performance - Upstream mining remains the largest drag on industrial profits, with most sectors experiencing negative profit growth except for non-ferrous metal mining [4]. - Midstream raw material manufacturing saw a significant decline in profit growth, dropping nearly 9 percentage points, while midstream equipment manufacturing experienced a substantial increase in profit growth due to favorable export policies [5]. - Downstream consumer goods manufacturing showed a slight decline in profit growth, reflecting weak consumer demand [5]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the easing of tariffs between China and the U.S. will lead to lower export costs and a recovery in external demand, which, combined with domestic policy support, could sustain profit growth in industrial enterprises, particularly in the equipment manufacturing sector [6]. - However, it also warns that price factors may continue to suppress profit margins, as indicated by the expanding decline in PPI, which reflects weak terminal demand and overcapacity issues [6].

Group 1 - The report indicates that the profit growth rate of industrial enterprises in April 2025 was 1.4%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from March 2025, while the revenue growth rate was 3.2% [1][2] - The upstream mining industry continues to be the largest drag on overall industrial profits, with most sectors experiencing negative profit growth, except for non-ferrous metal mining [2] - The midstream equipment manufacturing sector showed significant profit growth, driven by policies and export demand, while the midstream raw material manufacturing sector saw a notable decline in profit growth [2] Group 2 - The report suggests that the A-share market is likely to experience a period of volatility in June, with a preference for large-cap and quality stocks due to stable economic fundamentals and regulatory environments [7][39] - The recommended sectors for investment include automotive, non-ferrous metals, defense, retail, beauty care, and chemical pharmaceuticals, focusing on traditional capacity elimination and the rise of new consumption [8] - The report highlights that the new floating management fee funds introduced in 2025 are designed to align management fees with performance, encouraging long-term investment and enhancing investor experience [23][25]