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高频数据扫描:“反内卷”与收益率曲线形态
Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - "Anti - involution" drives price adjustment expectations, and its realization requires a loose liquidity environment. Since multiple industries promoted "anti - involution", some commodity futures prices have risen, and the spot prices of coking coal and rebar have also increased. The PPI index needs downstream demand, especially fixed - asset investment demand for industrial products, and a relatively loose monetary liquidity environment to reverse the downward trend [2][11]. - The effectiveness of "anti - involution" is more compatible with a steepening yield curve. If price adjustment expectations are realized, overall inflation will stabilize, and future interest - rate cut expectations will decline. The degree of steepening depends on the repair of downstream demand, especially the real estate market [2][13]. - The initial trade agreement between the US and Japan may lead the US to seek a similar agreement with the EU, with a possible 15% tariff on most EU goods. The possibility of an agreement between the two sides has increased, and international trade friction risks have eased to some extent [2][13]. Summary by Directory High - Frequency Data Panoramic Scan - "Anti - involution" has strengthened price adjustment expectations. As of July 25, coking coal and rebar futures have risen above last December's average. Spot prices of coking coal and rebar also increased in mid - July. The CITIC Futures PPI commodity index has reached last December's average, but reversing the PPI downward trend requires downstream demand and a loose liquidity environment [11]. - A large amount of high - frequency data is provided, including price changes in agricultural products, consumer goods, bulk commodities, energy, metals, real estate, and shipping, as well as their week - on - week and year - on - year changes [15][17]. Comparison of High - Frequency Data and Important Macroeconomic Indicators' Trends - Multiple charts show the relationship between high - frequency data and important macro - indicators such as industrial added value, PPI, CPI, social retail sales, and export volume [20][30][32]. Important High - Frequency Indicators in the US and Europe - Charts display US weekly economic indicators, initial jobless claims, same - store sales growth, PCE, and the Chicago Fed's financial conditions index, as well as the implied prospects of interest - rate hikes or cuts by the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank [82][84][87]. Seasonal Trends of High - Frequency Data - Seasonal trends of high - frequency data are presented through charts, with indicators mainly showing month - on - month increases [94][98][103]. High - Frequency Traffic Data in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen - The report provides the year - on - year changes in subway passenger volume in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen [142][144][146].
镍周报:宏观预期改善,镍价重心上移-20250728
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Macro aspect: Trade tensions are easing, with the US initial jobless claims continuing to weaken and the labor market being moderate, leading to a positive macro - expectation. The nickel price is expected to shift upward due to potential macro improvements [3][11]. - Fundamental aspect: Indonesian nickel ore supply is increasing, and the cost pressure is weakening. Stainless - steel prices have rebounded under domestic policies, driving nickel - iron prices to stabilize, but cost pressure still exists, and steel mill production has no obvious increase. The nickel sulfate market is active but with stable prices. The supply of pure nickel remains high, and market sentiment is cautious [3]. - Future outlook: The macro situation is expected to improve further, while the fundamentals have no obvious improvement expectation. The nickel price may shift upward driven by the macro factors [3][11]. Group 3: Summary of Each Section 1. Last Week's Market Data - SHFE nickel price rose from 122,550 yuan/ton to 124,360 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,810 yuan/ton; LME nickel price dropped from 15,523 dollars/ton to 15,320 dollars/ton, a decrease of 203 dollars/ton. LME inventory decreased by 3,654 tons to 203,922 tons, and SHFE inventory decreased by 164 tons to 21,947 tons [4]. 2. Market Conditions Review Nickel Ore - Philippine 1.5% laterite nickel ore FOB price is stable at 51 dollars/wet ton, and Indonesian 1.5% laterite nickel ore FOB price is stable at 37.65 dollars/wet ton. Philippine nickel ore prices in August decreased month - on - month, and the overseas nickel resource shortage has eased [5]. Pure Nickel - In July, domestic monthly production capacity decreased slightly by 400 tons to 53,699 tons, and smelter production increased slightly month - on - month. The export profit has narrowed, but the export window is still open. Russian nickel is expected to flow into China, and the inventory pressure may increase [5]. Nickel Iron - The price of high - nickel pig iron (10% - 12%) rose from 900 yuan/nickel point to 908 yuan/nickel point. The production of nickel pig iron in China and Indonesia in June and July showed different trends in year - on - year and month - on - month comparisons. The inventory of nickel iron decreased but remained at a high level. Stainless - steel production is difficult to increase significantly, and the consumption of nickel iron is limited [6]. Nickel Sulfate - The price of battery - grade nickel sulfate rose from 27,230 yuan/ton to 27,280 yuan/ton, and the price of electroplating - grade nickel sulfate remained at 28,000 yuan/ton. The production of nickel sulfate in June decreased year - on - year and month - on - month. The production of ternary materials increased, and the downstream and upstream inventory days decreased [7][8]. New Energy - From July 1 - 20, the retail sales of new - energy passenger vehicles reached 537,000, a 23% increase year - on - year and a 12% decrease compared with the same period last month. The consumption growth rate of new - energy vehicles has slowed down. The nickel sulfate market is active, but the actual trading volume is poor, and the price increase is limited [9]. 3. Macro and Inventory - The US initial jobless claims are at a low level, and the manufacturing and service PMIs have different performances. The trade tensions have eased, and the EU may impose counter - tariffs. The current pure nickel social inventory and the inventory of the two major exchanges have decreased [10]. 4. Industry News - Indonesia urges entrepreneurs to resubmit mining work plans and budgets; the US asks Indonesia to resume nickel exports, but Indonesia will not lift the ban on raw ore exports; Vale is looking for partners for a nickel smelter project; Lifezone releases a feasibility report for a nickel mine; Russian Norilsk Nickel cuts its 2025 production forecast [12]. 5. Related Charts - The report provides charts on domestic and foreign nickel prices, spot premiums and discounts, LME nickel premiums and discounts, nickel futures and port inventories, high - nickel iron prices, 300 - series stainless - steel prices, and stainless - steel inventories [14][16].
谈判时刻 从美日、美欧看中美
2025-07-28 01:42
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the U.S.-China trade relations and the broader implications for global trade, particularly involving Europe and Japan. Core Points and Arguments - The U.S. is leveraging early engagement with China to apply pressure on Europe during trade negotiations, as the timeline for U.S.-EU talks precedes those with China [1][3] - The Trump administration has increased tariffs, with current agreements generally exceeding 15%, without significant negative impacts on the U.S. economy or stock market [1][3] - Europe faces multiple challenges, including deteriorating relations with China, a passive diplomatic stance due to U.S.-China thawing, and being outpaced by Japan in trade negotiations [1][6] - The upcoming U.S.-China talks in Stockholm aim to ease tensions and delay new tariffs, but a comprehensive agreement is unlikely in the short term [1][7] - U.S.-China leaders are expected to meet during the UN General Assembly in September and the APEC meeting in December, necessitating a reduction in trade friction beforehand [1][8] - The average tariff level imposed by the U.S. on China may stabilize around 40%, reflecting previous tariff structures on Southeast Asian trade [1][10] - Other topics of discussion in the upcoming meetings include TikTok transactions, rare earth supply chains, and Russian oil imports, with significant focus on the implications of secondary tariffs on Russian oil importers [1][11] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The U.S. is shifting its focus towards supply chain restructuring and international tax issues, moving away from a broad tariff approach to more targeted measures [2][12][13] - The Trump administration is investigating sectors like copper, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors to attract foreign investment back to the U.S. [14][18] - The trade negotiations since July have emphasized smaller economies to ensure domestic accountability while attempting to negotiate with larger economies like the EU and Japan [15] - The future direction of U.S.-China trade talks is expected to prioritize easing tensions and addressing specific issues rather than immediate tariff reductions [16]
政策扰动加剧,贵金属震荡蓄势
Guo Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 00:48
Report Investment Rating - There is no information provided about the industry investment rating in the report. Core Viewpoints - In July 2025, the precious metals market showed a divergent pattern under multiple factors. Gold maintained a volatile trend, while silver rose sharply and then fell back, but still had significant monthly gains. Looking ahead, precious metals may continue to trade in a high - level volatile pattern in the short term, with the core drivers being policy expectation differentials and trade risk premiums [3][6]. - The Fed's July FOMC meeting is likely to keep interest rates unchanged. However, if it signals a rate cut in September, it may trigger a weaker US dollar. The implementation of global tariffs on August 1 and the EU's €93 billion counter - measure plan (effective August 7) may cause supply - chain shocks, and the safe - haven demand still has the potential to surge [3][73]. Summary by Directory 1. Futures Market Review - In July 2025, affected by factors such as escalating trade frictions, deepening policy games, and frequent geopolitical risks, the precious metals market showed a divergent pattern. Gold was volatile, and silver rose first and then fell. By July 25, New York gold rose 0.71% monthly, Shanghai gold rose 0.82%, New York silver rose 5.49% monthly, and Shanghai silver rose 4.34% [3][6]. 2. Macroeconomic Analysis (1) Uncertainty of Tariff Implementation and Safe - Haven Logic for Precious Metals - The US postponed the deadline for "reciprocal tariffs" to August 1. Although the direct impact of the new round of tariffs is weaker than before, most trade agreements are still pending, which increases the uncertainty of the global trade system. The precious metals market shows a complex reaction, with local trade risk mitigation weakening gold's safe - haven appeal, while unresolved trade frictions still support safe - haven sentiment [16][18]. (2) Rate - Cut Expectations and Political Risk Premiums as New Drivers for Precious Metals - The Fed is facing internal divisions over the rate - cut path and external challenges to its policy independence from the Trump administration. The market's pricing logic for precious metals is shifting. Rate - cut expectations may limit the upside of precious metals, while political intervention has increased policy uncertainty and risk premiums, providing support for precious metals [19][20]. (3) Inflation: US CPI Rebounded in June - The US CPI data in June showed an overall moderate increase with the impact of tariffs emerging. As enterprises deplete their inventories, the impact of tariffs on inflation may intensify in the coming months. The market's expectation of the Fed's policy shift has weakened significantly, with the probability of the first rate cut postponed to September at 59.9% [21][25]. (4) US June Non - Farm Payrolls Exceeded Expectations - The better - than - expected non - farm payrolls data in June reduced the probability of a rate cut in July and also shook the expectation of a rate cut in September. In the short term, it suppressed precious metals prices, but in the long term, the support factors for precious metals remained, and prices may maintain a volatile and slightly upward pattern [26][30]. (5) US Treasury Real Yields Volatile, Dollar Index Declined - In July 2025, the 10 - year US Treasury real yields fluctuated violently, causing increased volatility in precious metals prices. The Trump administration's tariff policies and the Fed's independence crisis weakened the US dollar's credit foundation, and the falling dollar index provided support for precious metals [40][42]. 3. Supply - Demand Analysis of Precious Metals (1) Gold Market in Q1 2025 - In Q1 2025, the global gold market saw both supply and demand increase, with prices soaring. Investment demand was the core driver, with global gold ETFs rebounding strongly. The market showed structural changes, with gold jewelry demand falling to its lowest level after the pandemic, while the investment focus shifted from the over - the - counter market to gold ETFs [44][47]. (2) Silver Market - In 2025, the silver market remained in a tight supply - demand balance. The growth of photovoltaic and electronic industrial demand was the core driver. The demand for silver in the photovoltaic industry is expected to increase further, but there are policy and technological uncertainties. Silver is expected to experience a supply shortage again in 2024, and the shortage may widen [51][52]. 4. Position, Inventory, and Seasonal Analysis (1) ETF Positions - In June 2025, the demand for global gold ETFs turned positive, driving strong performance in the first half of the year. North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions all saw inflows. By the end of June, the total AUM of global gold ETFs increased by 41% to $383 billion, and the total holdings increased by 397 tons to 3616 tons [56][59]. (2) CFTC Positions - As of the week ending July 15, 2025, the non - commercial net long positions in gold futures on the CFTC increased, indicating a rebound in the market's bullish sentiment towards gold. The non - commercial net long positions in silver futures decreased, showing a decline in the market's bullish sentiment towards silver [62]. (3) Inventory Analysis - As of July 23, 2025, COMEX gold inventory increased by about 1.2% compared to the end of last month, COMEX silver inventory decreased by about 0.3%, SHFE gold inventory increased by about 58.23%, and SHFE silver inventory decreased by about 8.6% [67]. 5. Outlook and Operational Suggestions - Precious metals may continue to trade in a high - level volatile pattern in the short term. The COMEX gold may fluctuate between $3200 - $3450 per ounce, corresponding to Shanghai gold between 760 - 820 yuan per gram. The COMEX silver may trade between $36.5 - $40 per ounce, corresponding to Shanghai silver between 8800 - 9600 yuan per kilogram. In August, attention should be paid to factors such as the Fed's policy minutes, US inflation data, the impact of EU - US trade confrontation, and geopolitical black swan events, and positions should be adjusted flexibly based on key levels [3][73].
国泰君安期货能源化工天然橡胶周度报告-20250727
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-07-27 08:58
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The price of raw materials in the production areas is prone to rise and difficult to fall, with strong cost support. The downstream demand is average, and the acceptance of high prices is limited, resulting in light overall trading. The conflict between Thailand and Cambodia has a potential impact on the supply of natural rubber. Coupled with the continuous fermentation of anti - involution, the market sentiment was bullish last week. However, considering the impact of regulatory control measures on leading varieties and the overall market sentiment, it is expected that rubber may follow the overall market atmosphere and may have a narrow - range correction [76]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Industry News - In the first half of 2025, Thailand's total exports of natural rubber and mixed rubber increased by 13.2% year - on - year to 2.257 million tons, and exports to China increased by 35% to 1.423 million tons [5]. - In the first half of 2025, EU passenger car sales decreased by 1.9% to 5.58 million vehicles, with a 7.3% year - on - year decline in June to 1.01 million vehicles. The market share of pure electric vehicles rose to 15.6%, and hybrid electric vehicles accounted for 34.8%, while the total market share of gasoline and diesel vehicles dropped to 37.8% [6]. - Thailand and Cambodia had a border conflict on July 24, with both sides accusing the other of opening fire first [7]. - In June 2025, global light - vehicle sales increased by 2.1% year - on - year to 7.73 million vehicles. The annualized sales volume after seasonal adjustment rose to 93 million vehicles/year. Trade frictions affected major markets such as the US and Western Europe, while the Chinese market maintained strong sales [8]. Market Trends - This week, both domestic and foreign markets continued to rise. On July 25, 2025, the closing price of RU2509 was 15,585 yuan/ton, up 5.23% this week; the closing price of NR2509 was 13,320 yuan/ton, up 5.09%; the closing price of Singapore TSR20:2509 was 178.90 cents/kg, up 5.30%; and the closing price of Tokyo RSS3:2509 was 332.70 yen/kg, up 2.56% [10][11]. Basis and Monthly Spread - As of July 25, 2025, the basis of whole - milk rubber to RU was - 35 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month change of - 250.00% and a year - on - year increase of 88.33%. The 09 - 01 monthly spread was - 765 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 3.16% and a year - on - year increase of 35.17% [14]. Other Spreads - Cross - variety/cross - market spreads such as RU - NR, RU - BR, NR - SGX TSR20, and RU - JPX RSS3 increased. On July 25, 2025, the RU09 - NR09 spread was 2,265 yuan/ton, up 6.09% month - on - month and down 2.58% year - on - year [22][23]. - Non - standard basis spreads: The spreads of Thai mixed rubber to RU, Malaysian mixed rubber to RU, 3L rubber to RU, and African No. 10 rubber to RU changed. For example, the Thai mixed rubber to RU spread was - 485 yuan/ton on July 25, 2025, with a large month - on - month change [24][26]. - Light - dark color spreads: The spread between whole - milk rubber and Thai mixed rubber widened, while the spread between 3L rubber and Thai mixed rubber narrowed [31]. Substitute Prices - Due to policy factors and the border conflict, the price of synthetic rubber rose, but RU rose more, widening the spread between synthetic rubber and RU. On July 25, 2025, the price of China's mainstream butadiene rubber was 12,200 yuan/ton, and the price of styrene - butadiene rubber was 12,450 yuan/ton [34]. Capital Movements - The long - short position ratio of RU was relatively low, and the funds settled were neutral year - on - year. The long - short position ratio of NR rose rapidly, and the funds settled increased rapidly. On July 25, 2025, the long - short position ratio of RU was 6.98, and that of NR was 16.72 [36][37]. Supply - Weather in Thai production areas: The temperature in southern Thailand rose, and rainfall continued to ease. In domestic production areas, recent rainfall in Hainan and Yunnan was high year - on - year, and rainfall in Hainan increased significantly month - on - month [40][41]. - Raw material prices: The raw material procurement prices continued to rise, strengthening the upstream cost support. On July 25, 2025, the price of Thai cup rubber was 50 baht/kg, and the price of Thai glue was 55.3 baht/kg [44][45]. - Raw material spreads: The spread between Thai glue and cup rubber decreased, while the spread between Hainan glue for concentrated latex plants and that for whole - milk rubber plants increased [53][54]. - Upstream processing profits: This week, the rubber processing profits recovered. On July 25, 2025, the production profit of Thai standard rubber was 108 yuan/ton [56][57]. - Rubber imports: In June 2025, China's imports of natural rubber (including mixed and composite rubber) increased by 2.21% month - on - month and 33.95% year - on - year. The imports of Thai mixed rubber, Vietnamese mixed rubber, and Vietnamese standard rubber increased significantly month - on - month, while the imports of Thai standard rubber decreased significantly [60][61]. Demand - Tire capacity utilization and inventory: This week, the overall tire capacity utilization increased slightly. The inventory of some sample tire enterprises increased slightly. On July 25, 2025, the capacity utilization of China's semi - steel tire sample enterprises was 70.06%, and that of full - steel tire sample enterprises was 62.23% [64]. - Tire exports and heavy - truck sales: In June 2025, the exports of full - steel and semi - steel tires decreased year - on - year and month - on - month. Passenger car sales maintained high growth, and heavy - truck sales improved significantly year - on - year and month - on - month [67][68]. Inventory - Spot inventory: As of July 18, 2025, China's natural rubber social inventory was 1.2891 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.47%. The inventory of dark - colored rubber was 795,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.23%, and the inventory of light - colored rubber was 493,500 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.85% [69]. - Futures inventory: On July 25, 2025, the futures inventory of natural rubber on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 182,000 tons, and the futures - spot inventory was 210,800 tons [72].
搞不定特朗普,韩国决定对中国征税,还要插手台海?中方斩钉截铁
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-27 08:47
Group 1 - South Korea has unexpectedly shifted its stance in handling China-US relations, imposing anti-dumping duties on China while showing intentions to engage in Taiwan Strait issues [1][3] - The cancellation of the scheduled US-Korea "2+2" economic talks did not deter the South Korean economic delegation from pursuing tariff negotiations, indicating a strong commitment to international trade cooperation [1][3] - South Korea's Ministry of Trade decided to impose temporary anti-dumping duties on hot-rolled steel plates and single-mode optical fibers from China, aiming to protect domestic industries during formal investigations [3][4] Group 2 - The economic relationship between China and South Korea is closely intertwined, and the imposition of anti-dumping duties by South Korea could disrupt normal trade and cooperation between the two countries [4][6] - Analysts suggest that while South Korea may increase military spending, the likelihood of direct involvement in Taiwan Strait affairs remains low, although vigilance is necessary due to potential trade-offs with the US [6] - China has expressed strong opposition to any actions that sacrifice its interests for US concessions, indicating readiness to take decisive measures to protect its rights in the international trade environment [6]
能源化工天然橡胶周度报告-20250727
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-07-27 08:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The price of natural rubber raw materials in Thailand remained strong this week. The social inventory of natural rubber in China decreased, with both dark and light rubber inventories declining. The capacity utilization rate of semi - steel and all - steel tire sample enterprises in China increased slightly. The downstream demand was average, and the overall transaction was light. Affected by the potential impact of the border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia on supply and the "anti - involution" policy, the market sentiment was bullish last week. However, considering the regulatory measures, rubber may follow the market and experience a narrow - range correction. [77] - The recommended investment strategies are: 1) Unilateral: oscillatory correction; 2) Inter - period: NR reverse spread; 3) Inter - variety: not provided. [77] 3. Summary According to the Directory Industry News - In the first half of 2025, Thailand's total exports of natural rubber and mixed rubber increased by 13.2% year - on - year, with exports to China increasing by 35%. Among them, the exports of mixed rubber increased significantly, while the exports of some types of natural rubber showed different trends. [5] - In the first half of 2025, EU passenger car sales decreased by 1.9% to 5.58 million vehicles. The market share of pure electric vehicles increased, while the market share of gasoline and diesel vehicles decreased. [6] - On July 24, 2025, there was a border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia. Both sides accused each other of opening fire first. [7] - In June 2025, global light - vehicle sales increased by 2.1% year - on - year to 7.73 million vehicles. The Chinese market performed strongly, while the US and Western European markets faced challenges. [8] Market Trends - This week, both domestic and foreign markets continued to rise. On July 25, 2025, the closing price of RU2509.SHF was 15,585 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5.23%; the closing price of NR2509.SHF was 13,320 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5.09%; the closing price of Singapore TSR20:2509 was 178.90 cents/kg, with a weekly increase of 5.30%; the closing price of Tokyo RSS3:2509 was 332.70 yen/kg, with a weekly increase of 2.56%. [11][12] Fundamental Data Supply - Weather: In the Thai southern region, the temperature rose and rainfall continued to ease. In Hainan and Yunnan of China, the recent rainfall was at a relatively high level compared to the same period, and the rainfall in Hainan increased significantly month - on - month. [40][41] - Raw material prices: The raw material procurement prices continued to rise, strengthening the upstream cost support. On July 25, 2025, the price of Thai cup rubber was 50.00 baht/kg, the price of Thai glue was 55.30 baht/kg, etc. [44][45] - Raw material price differences: The price difference between Thai glue and cup rubber decreased, while the price difference between Hainan glue entering the concentrated latex factory and the whole - milk factory increased. [53][54] - Upstream processing profits: This week, the rubber processing profits rebounded. On July 25, 2025, the production profit of Thai standard rubber was 108.00 yuan/ton, and the production profit of Thai smoked sheet was 1,891.00 yuan/ton. [57][58] - Rubber imports: In June 2025, China's imports of natural rubber (including mixed and composite rubber) increased by 2.21% month - on - month and 33.95% year - on - year. The imports of Thai mixed rubber, Vietnamese mixed rubber, and Vietnamese standard rubber increased significantly month - on - month, while the imports of Thai standard rubber decreased significantly month - on - month. [61][62] Demand - Tire capacity utilization and inventory: This week, the capacity utilization rate of tire enterprises increased slightly, and the inventory increased slightly. On July 25, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of all - steel tires was 62.23%, and the capacity utilization rate of semi - steel tires was 70.06%. [65] - Tire exports and heavy - truck sales: In June 2025, the exports of all - steel and semi - steel tires decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year. The sales volume of passenger cars maintained high growth, and the sales volume of heavy - trucks improved significantly both month - on - month and year - on - year. [67][68] Inventory - Spot inventory: This week, the natural rubber inventory in China decreased, with both dark and light rubber inventories decreasing. As of July 18, 2025, the dark rubber inventory was 79.56 tons, and the light rubber inventory was 49.35 tons. [70][71] - Futures inventory: On July 25, 2025, the futures inventory of natural rubber on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 18.20 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 2.48%. [73][74]
中美刚宣布举行第三轮会谈,特朗普放出话来:美国将赢得对华竞争
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-26 04:11
几天前,美国与中国双方相继发表声明,宣布将于瑞典举行经贸会谈,这是自今年五月份以来两国进行的第三轮贸易谈判。这一消息受到广泛关注,因为它 可能对这两个全球最大经济体之间的关系产生深远影响。 根据中国商务部的公告,中方官员定于7月27日至30日赴瑞典,与美方进行经贸磋商。同时,美国财政部长贝森特也公布,他将于7月28日和29日在瑞典首都 斯德哥尔摩与中方代表进行贸易谈判。此次会谈被外界高度关注,双方的具体讨论内容和未来合作可能的方向都成为大众热议的话题。 贝森特在谈到这次谈判的目的时表示,此次会议的主要目标是延长目前的"关税休战",并进一步扩大双方的讨论范围。有消息透露,中美双方可能计划将现 有的休战期延长三个月,加上之前的90天,最终实现为期六个月的关税暂时豁免。这一发展无疑是对两国经济的积极信号,承诺了在某种程度上降低贸易摩 擦的可能性。 据了解,特朗普提出的计划包含大约90项具体建议。与拜登政府对于全球高端AI芯片限制的政策有所不同,特朗普政府的主张则是促进美国AI软件和硬件 的出口,同时打击那些被认为对AI发展限制过多的地方性法律。他在发布该计划时,直言不讳地指出美国与中国在科技竞争中的利害关系,并强调 ...
铜产业链周度报告-20250725
Zhong Hang Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 12:15
铜产业链周度报告 范玲 期货从业资格号:F0272984 投资咨询资格号:Z0011970 2025-7-25 中航期货 目录 01 报告摘要 03 数据分析 02 多空焦点 04 后市研判 | 给、 | 影 | 到 | 内 | 供 | 看, | 来 | 及 | 时, | 受 | 季 | 供 | 国 | 撑78000, | 优 | 以 | 撑78000 | 以 | 加 | 来 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 前 | 断 | 淡 | 优 | 同 | 年 | 缩 | 增 | 面 | 构、 | 不 | 目 | 半 | 萎 | 比 | 方 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 构 ...
铝产业链周度报告-20250725
Zhong Hang Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 11:03
铝产业链周度报告 范玲 期货从业资格号:F0272984 投资咨询资格号:Z0011970 2025-7-25 中航期货 目录 01 报告摘要 03 数据分析 02 多空焦点 04 后市研判 | 美 | 止 | 关 | 优 | 以 | 水 | 对 | 价 | 结 | 淡 | 截 | 数 | 年 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 于 | 存 | 场 | 铝 | 调 | 构、 | 求; | 整 | 半 | 处 | 位 | 引。 | 库 | 市 | 力 | 示, | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 需 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 注20000 ...