1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents the daily data tracking of stock index futures on December 4, 2025, including the index trends of major stock indices, the impact of sector fluctuations on the indices, the basis and annualized opening costs of stock index futures, and the point differences and annualized costs of futures contract roll - overs [1] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Index Trends - On December 3, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.51% to close at 3878.0 points with a trading volume of 647.167 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.78% to close at 12955.25 points with a trading volume of 1022.796 billion yuan [1] - The CSI 1000 Index fell 0.89% with a trading volume of 335.034 billion yuan, opening at 7312.67, closing at 7248.27, with a daily high of 7324.21 and a low of 7220.98 [1] - The CSI 500 Index fell 0.62% with a trading volume of 251.309 billion yuan, opening at 7044.86, closing at 6996.36, with a daily high of 7064.16 and a low of 6975.09 [1] - The SSE 50 Index fell 0.52% with a trading volume of 85.495 billion yuan, opening at 2976.11, closing at 2963.08, with a daily high of 2983.61 and a low of 2957.79 [1] - The SSE 300 Index fell 0.51% with a trading volume of 374.486 billion yuan, opening at 4554.59, closing at 4531.05, with a daily high of 4569.82 and a low of 4523.5 [1] 3.2 Impact of Sector Fluctuations on Indices - The CSI 1000 Index dropped 64.91 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Media, Electronics, and Computer significantly pulling the index down [2] - The CSI 500 Index dropped 43.94 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Machinery significantly pulling the index up, and sectors such as Power Equipment, Computer, and Electronics pulling the index down [2] - The SSE 300 Index dropped 23.28 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Non - Ferrous Metals significantly pulling the index up, and sectors such as Non - Banking Finance, Power Equipment, and Banking pulling the index down [2] - The SSE 50 Index dropped 15.39 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Non - Ferrous Metals significantly pulling the index up, and sectors such as Food and Beverage, Non - Banking Finance, and Banking pulling the index down [2] 3.3 Basis and Annualized Opening Costs of Stock Index Futures - For IM contracts, IM00 had an average daily basis of - 63.93, IM01 of - 136.48, IM02 of - 289.28, and IM03 of - 526.85 [13] - For IC contracts, IC00 had an average daily basis of - 55.35, IC01 of - 110.49, IC02 of - 225.35, and IC03 of - 432.23 [13] - For IF contracts, IF00 had an average daily basis of - 18.54, IF01 of - 34.56, IF02 of - 55.17, and IF03 of - 103.62 [13] - For IH contracts, IH00 had an average daily basis of - 7.43, IH01 of - 13.16, IH02 of - 14.61, and IH03 of - 28.05 [13] 3.4 Point Differences and Annualized Costs of Futures Contract Roll - overs - The report provides the point differences and annualized costs for different contract combinations (e.g., IM00 - 01, IM00 - 02) and their 15 - minute average values for IM, IC, IF, and IH contracts [22][24][25][27]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Industrial silicon: Mainly weak operation [1] - Polysilicon: Pay attention to the fermentation of news [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the fundamentals of industrial silicon and polysilicon, including price, profit, inventory, and raw material cost data. It also reports on a key project milestone in the polysilicon industry. The trend intensity for both industrial silicon and polysilicon is neutral [1][3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Market**: Si2601 (industrial silicon) closed at 8,920 yuan/ton, down 55 yuan from T - 1, 100 yuan from T - 5, and 220 yuan from T - 22. PS2601 (polysilicon) closed at 57,705 yuan/ton, up 1,280 yuan from T - 1 and 4,390 yuan from T - 5 [1]. - **Basis**: Industrial silicon spot premium (against East China Si5530) was +580 yuan/ton, and polysilicon spot premium (against N - type re - investment) was - 5430 yuan/ton [1]. - **Price**: Xinjiang 99 - silicon was 8,900 yuan/ton, Yunnan Si4210 was 10,000 yuan/ton, and polysilicon - N - type re - investment material was 52,350 yuan/ton [1]. - **Profit**: Silicon factory profit in Xinjiang (new standard 553) was - 2,349.5 yuan/ton, and in Yunnan (new standard 553) was - 3,596 yuan/ton. Polysilicon enterprise profit was 7.7 yuan/kg [1]. - **Inventory**: Industrial silicon social inventory (including warehouse receipt inventory) was 550,000 tons, enterprise inventory was 180,000 tons, and industry inventory was 730,000 tons. Polysilicon factory inventory was 281,000 tons [1]. - **Raw Material Cost**: Silicon ore prices in Xinjiang and Yunnan were 320 yuan/ton and 290 yuan/ton respectively. Wash - cleaned coal prices in Xinjiang and Ningxia were 1,475 yuan/ton and 1,200 yuan/ton respectively [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - The 400,000 - volt substation of the Oman United Solar Polysilicon Project, EPC - contracted by China Energy Construction Shanxi Electric Power Engineering Company, was successfully connected to the grid, marking a breakthrough in the project's construction [1]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity for industrial silicon and polysilicon is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the arbitrage data of various futures products on December 4, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - The basis data for power coal from November 27 to December 3, 2025, shows a decreasing trend, from 16.6 yuan/ton on November 27 to - 3.4 yuan/ton on December 3. The spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month are all 0 [1][2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - For energy commodities, the basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from November 27 to December 3, 2025, are presented, along with their price ratios and changes [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - In the chemical sector, inter - period spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are provided, as well as inter - commodity spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from November 27 to December 3, 2025 [9]. 3.3 Black Metals - Inter - period spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are given, including 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9(10) - month minus 1 - month, and 9(10) - month minus 5 - month. Inter - commodity spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from November 27 to December 3, 2025, are also presented. The basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 27 to December 3, 2025, are shown [18][20]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 27 to December 3, 2025, are provided [29]. 3.4.2 London Market - For the London market, LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit/loss data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on December 3, 2025, are presented [34]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - The basis data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 27 to December 3, 2025, are given. Inter - period spreads for multiple agricultural products, including soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton, are provided, as well as inter - commodity spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from November 27 to December 3, 2025 [40][41]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - The basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 27 to December 3, 2025, are presented. Inter - period spreads such as next - month minus current - month and next - quarter minus current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are also provided [52].

Report Industry Investment Rating - PX/PTA/PF/PR are cautiously bullish, but the rebound space for the 01 contract may be limited. It is recommended to focus on the 05 contract in the medium to long term [3] Core Viewpoints - The market is fluctuating, and PXN is relatively strong. The overall fundamentals have a bearish impact on oil prices, but market differentiation caused by sanctions still exists, and the impact of geopolitical and macro events on sentiment needs to be considered [1] - The polyester start - up rate is 91.5% (a 0.2% month - on - month increase). Although recent weaving orders have weakened marginally, the short - term risk of a significant decline in polyester load is low, and it is expected to remain around 91% [2] - For PX, with the support of polyester start - up, PXN has support, but the high - level PX load and individual device expansions limit its rebound space. Attention should be paid to the situation of blending into gasoline [1][3] - For TA, recent maintenance is concentrated, demand for exports has increased, and the supply - demand situation has improved. In the medium to long term, as the cycle of concentrated capacity release ends, PTA processing fees are expected to gradually improve [1][3] - For PF, the load is at a high level, factory inventories have decreased to a low level, and the fundamentals provide some support, but demand is weakening marginally [2][3] - For PR, the fundamentals of bottle chips have not changed much. Maintenance continues, but the demand in the off - season is average. The spot processing fees of bottle chips are expected to fluctuate within a range, and attention should be paid to raw material price fluctuations [3] Summary by Directory I. Price and Basis - The report includes figures on TA and PX main contract trends, basis, and inter - period spreads, as well as PTA East China spot basis and short - fiber basis [7][8][10] II. Upstream Profits and Spreads - It covers PX processing fees (PXN), PTA spot processing fees, South Korean xylene isomerization profits, and South Korean STDP selective disproportionation profits [16][19] III. International Spreads and Import - Export Profits - The content includes toluene spreads between the US and Asia, toluene spreads between South Korea FOB and Japanese naphtha CFR, and PTA export profits [24][26] IV. Upstream PX and PTA Start - up - Figures show the start - up rates of PTA in China, South Korea, and Taiwan, as well as the start - up rates of PX in China and Asia [27][30][31] V. Social Inventories and Warehouse Receipts - It presents PTA weekly social inventories, PX monthly social inventories, and various types of warehouse receipt inventories such as PTA and PX [36][39][40] VI. Downstream Polyester Load - The report contains information on filament and short - fiber production and sales, polyester load, and the start - up rates of related downstream industries such as Jiangsu and Zhejiang weaving machines, texturing machines, and printing and dyeing machines [48][50][60] VII. PF Detailed Data - It includes details such as polyester staple fiber load, factory equity inventory days, and the load of recycled cotton - type staple fibers, as well as production and processing data of related yarns [70][82][87] VIII. PR Fundamental Detailed Data - The content involves polyester bottle chip load, bottle chip factory inventory days, spot and export processing fees, and export profits of bottle chips [89][95][99]

| 国债期货价差日报 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年12月4日 | | | | | | Z0019608 熊客健 | | 种类 | 日期 | 品种 | IRR (%) | 最新值 | 较前一交易目变化 | 上市以来百分位数 | | | 2025-12-03 | TS基差 | 1.6478 | -0.0609 | -0.0231 | 30.00% | | | 2025-12-03 | TF基差 | 1.7661 | -0.0921 | -0.0493 | 50.60% | | 基差 | 2025-12-03 | T基产 | 1.9644 | -0.0373 | -0.0906 | 68.60% | | | 2025-12-03 | TL 泉元 | 2.0675 | 0.3058 | -0.3083 | 75.50% | | | 2025-12-03 | 当季 下空 | | 0.0120 | -0.0160 | 26.10% | | TS跨期价差 | 2025-12 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The PG futures price has declined, with a decrease in the basis and a change in the 01 - 02 spread. Domestic civil gas prices have fallen, and the cheapest deliverable is East China civil gas with a shrinking propane - civil gas price difference. Warehouse receipts have decreased. The overseas paper - cargo prices have dropped, and the spread has strengthened. The price ratio between North Asian and North American oil and gas has changed little. The PG - CP and PG - FEI spreads have changed. The premiums and discounts for East China arrival, North American and AFEI departure have remained flat, while the premium for Middle Eastern goods has increased. Freight rates have slightly declined. The FEI - MOPJ spread has narrowed. The profit of Shandong PDH to produce propylene has slightly recovered, and the alkylation unit has slightly improved but is still poor. The MTBE production profit has fluctuated, and the export profit is still good. There is an increase in arrivals, a decrease in external sales, a slight accumulation of factory inventories, and an accumulation of port inventories. The PDH operating rate has decreased, and the second - phase PDH of Dongguan Juzhengyuan is expected to restart next week. Overall, domestic chemical demand is relatively strong, and civil demand has increased, but there are expected to be more arrivals in December. Middle Eastern supplies are tight, but the market may be more inclined to wait and see as the CP official price announcement approaches. Additionally, weather and oil prices need to be monitored [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Daily Price Changes - On Wednesday, for civil gas, the price in East China was 4411 (+35), in Shandong was 4480 (+10), and in South China was 4530 (+0). The price of ether - after carbon four was 4480 (-20). The lowest - delivery area was East China, with a basis of 129 (+65) and a 01 - 02 spread of 91 (+4). As of 21:00, FEI was 509 (-1) and CP was 500 (+0) dollars/ton [1] 3.2 Weekly Price and Market Conditions - The PG futures price has decreased, with a basis of - 43 (-57) and a 01 - 02 spread of 109 (-19). Domestic civil gas prices have dropped, and the cheapest deliverable is East China civil gas at 4315 (-49), with a shrinking propane - civil gas price difference. Warehouse receipts are 4561 hands (-54). Overseas paper - cargo prices have declined, and the spread has strengthened. The price ratio between North Asian and North American oil and gas has changed little, and the PG - CP has reached 126 (-2); the PG - FEI has reached 114 (+3). The premiums and discounts for East China arrival, North American and AFEI departure have remained flat, while the premium for Middle Eastern goods is 35 dollars (+13). Freight rates have slightly decreased. The FEI - MOPJ spread has narrowed to - 55 (+11) [1] 3.3 Profit and Operating Rate - The profit of Shandong PDH to produce propylene has slightly recovered. The alkylation unit has slightly improved but is still poor. The MTBE production profit has fluctuated, and the export profit is still good. The PDH operating rate is 69.64% (-2.1), and the second - phase PDH of Dongguan Juzhengyuan is expected to restart next week [1] 3.4 Inventory and Market Outlook - There is an increase in arrivals, a decrease in external sales, a slight accumulation of factory inventories, and an accumulation of port inventories. Overall, domestic chemical demand is relatively strong, and civil demand has increased, but there are expected to be more arrivals in December. Middle Eastern supplies are tight, but the market may be more inclined to wait and see as the CP official price announcement approaches. Additionally, weather and oil prices need to be monitored [1]

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - No information provided Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs Iron Ore Spot and Forward Market - The latest price of the Platts 62 Index is $107.80, with a daily change of $1.20 and a weekly change of $0.45 [1] - Different iron ore varieties such as Newman powder, PB powder, and Mac powder show various price changes in terms of daily, weekly, and import profit [1] Exchange Futures Market - For the Dalian Commodity Exchange, the latest price of i2601 is 799.5 yuan, with a daily change of -1.0 yuan and a weekly change of 2.5 yuan. The monthly - spread is -46.5, with a daily change of 27.8 and a weekly change of -6.7 [1] - The latest price of i2605 is 777.0 yuan, with a daily change of 1.5 yuan and a weekly change of 3.5 yuan. The monthly - spread is 22.5, with a daily change of 50.3 and a weekly change of -9.2 [1] - The latest price of i2609 is 753.0 yuan, with a daily change of 1.5 yuan and a weekly change of 4.5 yuan. The monthly - spread is 24.0, with a daily change of 74.3 and a weekly change of -12.2 [1] Other Market Data - PB block/block ore premium, U - ball/ball pellet premium, and other premiums also have corresponding price changes [1] - There are price differences and changes in basis/inside - outside market spreads and monthly spreads [1]

Group 1: Report General Information - Report Title: Sugar Daily Report [2][3] - Report Date: December 3, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Liu Qiannan [5] Group 2: Data Analysis Futures Disk - SR09: Closing price 5,317, down 11 (-0.21%), volume 4,413 (down 1,659), open interest 22,981 (up 1,618) [6] - SR01: Closing price 5,366, down 16 (-0.30%), volume 133,086 (down 30,887), open interest 330,181 (down 8,305) [6] - SR05: Closing price 5,297, down 19 (-0.36%), volume 60,725 (up 2,637), open interest 237,171 (up 15,382) [6] Spot Price - Sugar in Liuzhou: Today's quote 5,545, down 20, basis 179 [6] - Sugar in Kunming: Today's quote 5,410, down 5, basis 44 [6] - Sugar in Wuhan: Today's quote 5,840, down 10, basis 474 [6] - Sugar in Nanning: Today's quote 5,480, down 30 [6] - Sugar in Rizhao: Today's quote 5,750, basis 384 [6] - Sugar in Xi'an: Today's quote 6,040, down 20, basis 674 [6] Monthly Spread - SR05 - SR01: Spread -69, down 3 [6] - SR09 - SR05: Spread 20, up 8 [6] - SR09 - SR01: Spread -49, up 5 [6] Import Profit - Brazil Import: ICE main 14.77, premium (0.19), freight 38.00, in - quota price 4,071, out - of - quota price 5,173, spread with Liuzhou 372, spread with Rizhao 577, spread with the disk 193 [6] - Thailand Import: ICE main 14.77, premium 0.89, freight 18.00, in - quota price 4,117, out - of - quota price 5,223, spread with Liuzhou 322, spread with Rizhao 527, spread with the disk 143 [6] Group 3: Market Judgment Important Information - Guangxi: As of November 30, 2025, 35 sugar mills have started crushing, 26 less than the same period last year; cumulative cane crushed 1.4411 million tons, 3.2521 million tons less than last year; mixed sugar production 133,900 tons, 378,500 tons less than last year; mixed sugar yield 9.29%, 1.63 percentage points lower than last year; cumulative sugar sales 89,400 tons, 195,600 tons less than last year; sales ratio 66.77%, 11.15 percentage points higher than last year; new sugar industrial inventory 44,500 tons, 182,900 tons less than last year [8] - Yunnan: As of November 30, 2025, 10 sugar mills have started crushing (5 last year); cumulative cane crushed 439,400 tons (349,700 tons last season); sugar production 44,800 tons (38,600 tons last season); sugar yield 10.22% (11.05% last season); cumulative new sugar sales 32,200 tons (32,600 tons last year); sales ratio 71.89% (84.50% last year); industrial inventory 12,600 tons (5,900 tons last year) [9] - Brazil: The growth of ethanol demand in Brazil should ensure that the expansion of corn as a bio - fuel raw material will not endanger sugarcane ethanol producers. Since the early 2000s, Brazil's corn ethanol production has more than tripled, while sugarcane ethanol production has remained roughly flat [11] Logical Analysis - International: Brazilian sugarcane is expected to gradually enter the harvest stage, and producing ethanol is more advantageous, so the sugar - making ratio has decreased significantly recently. The cumulative sugar production in the central - southern region of Brazil is 39.179 million tons, an increase of 800,000 tons compared to the same period last year. The supply pressure of Brazilian sugar will gradually ease, and the international sugar price shows signs of bottoming out, with a short - term price trend slightly stronger in a volatile manner [12] - Domestic: In the short term, domestic sugar mills are starting to crush one after another, and the output in the new season will increase, so the supply and sales pressure will gradually increase. However, considering the tightened import of syrup and premixed powder in China and the relatively high previous point - pricing cost, the domestic sugar production cost is also high, which provides some support for the futures price. The short - term price is expected to fluctuate at a low level [12] Trading Strategies - Unilateral: As the Brazilian sugar season is approaching the end, the supply - side pressure is easing, and the international sugar price shows signs of bottoming out, with a short - term expected to be slightly stronger in a volatile manner. Although the domestic market has an unexpectedly large amount of imported sugar and the start of sugar mills, increasing the sales pressure, considering the high domestic white sugar production cost and the relatively low current futures price, the downward space is expected to be limited. Short - term long positions can be considered to be built at low prices [13] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [14] - Options: Sell put options at low levels [14] Group 4: Related Attachments - Figures include Guangxi monthly inventory, Yunnan monthly inventory, Guangxi monthly production, Yunnan monthly production, Liuzhou white sugar spot price, Liuzhou - Kunming sugar spot price difference, sugar September basis, Zhengzhou sugar 5 - 9 spread, sugar January basis, Zhengzhou sugar 9 - 1 spread, sugar May basis, Zhengzhou sugar 1 - 5 spread, etc. [15][20][23][24][29][31]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Steel: Low-level range operation [3] - Coke: First round of price cut implemented, range operation [8] - Coking Coal: Supply still has disruptions, maintain range operation [12] - Ferroalloys: Limited supply-demand contradictions, maintain range operation [15] Core Views of the Report - Steel: The fundamentals of rebar are weakly balanced, with slightly decreased production and apparent demand, and decreased inventory. The production of hot-rolled coils has increased slightly, the apparent demand has decreased slightly, and the inventory is at the highest level in the same period in recent years. Both are expected to fluctuate in the short term [4][5] - Iron Ore: Iron water production is expected to decrease further, the fundamentals have weakened, and a cautious bearish view is taken [6][7] - Coke: After the fourth round of price increase, the profits of coke enterprises have improved, and inventories have accumulated. Steel mills have initiated the first round of price cuts. It is expected to follow coking coal in the short term [10] - Coking Coal: Domestic raw coal production has decreased, supply disruptions exist, and the market transaction is light. It is expected to repair the basis and maintain range operation [13] - Manganese Silicon: The supply in the production area is decreasing, the demand has improved marginally, and the inventory accumulation speed has slowed down. The upward trend lacks sustainability [16][17] - Ferrosilicon: The industry's losses have deepened, but production is relatively stable, demand has increased slightly, and inventory has decreased for two consecutive weeks. The upward trend lacks sustainability [16][17] Summary by Variety Rebar - **Variety View**: Production and apparent demand decreased slightly, inventory decreased, and the fundamentals are weakly balanced. Iron water production decreased, and steel mills' willingness to reduce production is low [4] - **Operation Suggestion**: Short-term lack of strong driving force, may fluctuate in the range [5] Hot-rolled Coil - **Variety View**: Production increased slightly, apparent demand decreased slightly, and inventory is at the highest level in the same period in recent years [4] - **Operation Suggestion**: Iron water production decreased slightly, steel mills' willingness to reduce production is not strong, and it may fluctuate in the range in the short term [5] Iron Ore - **Variety View**: Iron water production is expected to decrease further, steel mills are destocking, ports are increasing inventory, and the fundamentals have weakened [6] - **Operation Suggestion**: A cautious bearish view is taken, and long positions should avoid the edge for the time being [7] Coke - **Variety View**: After the fourth round of price increase, the profits of coke enterprises have improved, inventories have accumulated, and steel mills have initiated the first round of price cuts. Iron water production has decreased, and most steel mills have maintenance plans [10] - **Operation Suggestion**: A cautious bearish view is taken [11] Coking Coal - **Variety View**: Domestic raw coal production has decreased, supply disruptions exist, the market transaction is light, and downstream restocking needs to be concerned [13] - **Operation Suggestion**: A cautious bearish view is taken [14] Manganese Silicon - **Variety View**: The supply in the production area is decreasing, the demand has improved marginally, and the inventory accumulation speed has slowed down. The new round of steel procurement has not started yet [16] - **Operation Suggestion**: The short-term cost has certain support, but the upward trend lacks sustainability. It is recommended to be cautious [17] Ferrosilicon - **Variety View**: The industry's losses have deepened, but production is relatively stable, demand has increased slightly, and inventory has decreased for two consecutive weeks. The new round of steel procurement has not started yet [16] - **Operation Suggestion**: The supply-demand contradiction is not significant, but the upward trend lacks sustainability. It is expected to operate in the range [17]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas gasoline supply is gradually recovering, leading to significant short-term arrival pressure on pure benzene, with an accelerated accumulation rate of port inventory. Downstream operations remain at a low level during the off - season. Styrene is under maintenance with low - load operations, CPL operations decline from a low level, and the operations of phenol, aniline, and adipic acid increase slightly, but terminal demand is still weak [3] - The port basis of styrene has strengthened again. Although the port inventory did not continue to decrease, there is still arrival pressure. However, downstream enterprises have made speculative purchases, and their persistence needs attention. Styrene is still in a low - operation stage during maintenance, and the resumption plan has been postponed. During the off - season, downstream operations remain at a low level. The operations of EPS, which is seasonally obvious, continue to decline, the operations of PS rebound but there is still inventory pressure, and the finished - product inventory pressure of ABS remains high while the operations are maintained at a low level [3] 3. Summary According to the Directory I. Basis Structure and Inter - period Spreads of Pure Benzene and EB - Pure benzene: The main basis is - 119 yuan/ton (+16), the spot - M2 spread is - 140 yuan/ton (+10), and the spread between the first - and third - consecutive contracts is not given in specific data. Relevant figures include the main basis and futures price, main contract basis, spot - M2 paper cargo spread, and the spread between the first - and third - consecutive contracts [1][8][13] - Styrene: The main basis is 51 yuan/ton (+0), and the spread between the first - and third - consecutive contracts is not given in specific data. Relevant figures include the main contract trend and basis, main contract basis, and the spread between the first - and third - consecutive contracts [1][16][17] II. Production Profits and Domestic - foreign Spreads of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Pure benzene: The CFR China processing fee is 102 dollars/ton (+4), the FOB Korea processing fee is 92 dollars/ton (+6), the US - Korea spread is 169.8 dollars/ton (-1), and there are also data on import profits. Relevant figures include naphtha processing fee, FOB Korea - CFR Japan spread, FOB US Gulf - FOB Korea spread, FOB US Gulf - CFR China spread, FOB Rotterdam - CFR China spread, and import profit [1][20][23] - Styrene: The non - integrated production profit is - 161 yuan/ton (+2), and the expected profit is gradually shrinking. There are also data on import profits. Relevant figures include non - integrated device production profit, FOB US Gulf - CFR China spread, FOB Rotterdam - CFR China spread, and import profit [1][23][33] III. Inventory and Operating Rates of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Pure benzene: The port inventory is 22.40 tons (+6.00 tons), and the operating rate is not given in specific change data. Relevant figures include East China port inventory and operating rate [1][37] - Styrene: The East China port inventory is 160,600 tons (-3,600 tons), the East China commercial inventory is 96,400 tons (+2,200 tons), and the operating rate is 67.3% (-1.7%). Relevant figures include East China port inventory, operating rate, East China commercial inventory, and factory inventory [1][39][42] IV. Operating Rates and Production Profits of Styrene Downstream - EPS: The production profit is 1 yuan/ton (-15), and the operating rate is 54.75% (-1.52%) [2][48] - PS: The production profit is - 99 yuan/ton (-15), and the operating rate is 57.60% (+1.70%) [2][50] - ABS: The production profit is - 600 yuan/ton (-48), and the operating rate is 71.20% (-1.20%) [2][54] V. Operating Rates and Production Profits of Pure Benzene Downstream - Caprolactam: The production profit is - 635 yuan/ton (-15), and the operating rate is 86.68% (-1.54%) [1][57] - Phenol - ketone: The production profit is - 602 yuan/ton (+0), and relevant figures show the operating rate and production profit [1][57] - Aniline: The production profit is 753 yuan/ton (+254), and the operating rate is 77.19% (+1.51%) [1][64] - Adipic acid: The production profit is - 1252 yuan/ton (+12), and the operating rate is 59.40% (+3.90%) [1][64]