5月份上旬，美国证监会公布了海外机构一季度的美股持仓数据，7748家知名机构(管理资产超1亿美元的机构)合计持有美股约53.88万亿美元。 在关税政策冲击下，美股经历巨幅波动，在此背景下英伟达、苹果、微软等科技股均遭受不同程度减仓。 与此同时， 高毅、景林、高瓴等国内知名私募在美股持仓动向也随之曝光，值得注意的是，三大私募在一季度均以实际行动看好中国资产，整 体加仓中概股，减仓美股科技等。 本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看专栏 ） 5月份在经历了关税冲击后，A股表现先扬后抑，月内三大指数集体反弹，沪指涨2.09%，深成指涨1.42%，创业板指涨2.32%。个股方面，剔除 今年新股后的5370只股票中，3847只股票上涨，32只收平，1491只股票下跌，上涨股票数量占比为72%。 在此背景下，5月份公募、私募基金行业也有多件大事发生！包括百亿私募部分美股持仓出炉、但斌业绩反弹，美股持仓曝光、公募新规正式发 布、险资集中设立私募入市等，本文将为大家一一盘点。 0 1 高毅、景林、高瓴美股持仓曝光！疯狂加仓中国资产！ 具体来看，高毅海外基金持有22只美股，持股市值达7.65亿美元。其中最新建仓 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the impressive performance of the Zhongtai Tianze Stable 6-Month Holding Mixed Fund (FOF), which has achieved a net value growth rate of 7.40% since its establishment on March 21, 2023, outperforming its benchmark by 3.21% [2] Group 1: Asset Allocation Strategy - The fund manager, Tang Jun, emphasizes the importance of asset allocation over merely selecting outstanding fund managers, focusing on forming allocation views first and then selecting the best funds to implement those views [2] - Tang Jun utilizes a macro analysis framework for risk budgeting, similar to Bridgewater's risk parity model, but with a personalized approach that allows for differentiated risk allocation based on his views [3][5] - The strategic asset allocation is based on a "monetary-credit" analysis framework, which influences long-term configuration, while tactical asset allocation focuses on short-term opportunities based on market sentiment and funding conditions [5][9] Group 2: Return Streams and Risk Assessment - The concept of "return streams" is highlighted, where having 15-20 independent return streams can significantly reduce risk without compromising expected returns [6] - The manager assesses the correlation of asset classes with existing portfolios for risk evaluation, rather than relying solely on the inherent risk of asset classes [6] - The selection of funds involves a rigorous style decomposition process to evaluate the fund's alpha performance after removing style beta influences [7] Group 3: Gold and Market Outlook - Gold is maintained as a strategic core holding due to its recognition as a global currency amidst concerns over the credibility of the US dollar [8] - The article outlines potential strategies based on macroeconomic drivers, such as domestic credit expansion and overseas dollar liquidity, which will influence future asset allocation decisions [9] - The performance of US tech stocks, particularly in relation to AI technology trends, is identified as a key factor for future market movements [9]

周四（5月15日）亚市早盘，市场屏息以待即将于20:30公布的美国4月零售销售数据（俗称"恐怖数据"）。当前市场预期该数据月率仅增长0.3%，但多位经 济学家警告，受关税政策冲击、消费信心下滑及通胀黏性影响，实际数据可能不及预期，进而引发金融市场剧烈波动。 一、数据背景：关税冲击与消费疲软的双重阴影 关税政策的滞后效应显现 特朗普政府自3月起对进口商品加征的"对等关税"已逐步传导至终端消费市场。美国商务部数据显示，4月进口商品价格指数同比上涨3.2%，其中汽车、电子 产品等关税敏感品类涨幅超5%。尽管中美关税协议落地暂缓了部分压力，但美国对欧盟、日韩等贸易伙伴的关税谈判仍存变数，企业普遍推迟涨价以观望 政策走向，导致4月零售销售数据可能因需求抑制而表现疲软。 消费信心与支出能力双降 若数据疲软，美股科技股可能面临获利回吐压力，资金或从股市回流黄金等避险资产。全球最大黄金ETF（SPDR）持仓量已连续三日减少，但若数据爆 冷，可能触发空头回补，单日增仓或超10吨。 美联储4月消费者信心指数跌至52.2，为2023年11月以来最低水平，反映出高利率环境与债务压力对居民消费意愿的压制。此外，4月非农就业新增17.5 ...