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新产业(300832):海外推进顺利,期待逐季改善
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 14:31
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·医疗器械 新产业(300832) 2025 年中报点评:海外推进顺利,期待逐季 改善 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 3,930 | 4,535 | 4,897 | 5,707 | 6,619 | | 同比(%) | 28.97 | 15.41 | 7.98 | 16.53 | 15.98 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1,654 | 1,828 | 1,849 | 2,252 | 2,757 | | 同比(%) | 24.53 | 10.57 | 1.13 | 21.78 | 22.46 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 2.10 | 2.33 | 2.35 | 2.87 | 3.51 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 24.90 | 22.52 | 22.27 | 18.29 | 14.93 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ...
拼多多(PDD):利润高于预期,持续高质量发展
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 14:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Pinduoduo (PDD) [1] Core Insights - Pinduoduo achieved revenue of RMB 103.99 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, aligning with Bloomberg's consensus estimate of RMB 103.98 billion. The Non-GAAP net profit was RMB 32.71 billion, a decrease of 5.0% year-on-year, but significantly above the market expectation of RMB 22.39 billion. The net profit margin stood at 31.5%, down 4.0 percentage points year-on-year [7][12] - Advertising revenue grew significantly by 13.4% year-on-year to RMB 55.7 billion, exceeding market expectations, while commission revenue increased by only 0.7% year-on-year to RMB 48.28 billion, falling short of expectations [14] - The company continues to focus on high-quality development and platform ecosystem construction, implementing measures such as "reduction, support, and governance" across various operational aspects [7][12] Revenue and Profitability - The overall gross margin for Q2 2025 was 55.9%, reflecting a decline of 9.4 percentage points year-on-year and 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [19] - The report indicates a decrease in sales and management expense ratios, with sales expense ratio at 26.2% (down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year) and management expense ratio at 1.5% (down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year). R&D expense ratio increased to 3.5%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [22] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to RMB 100.40 billion, RMB 126.46 billion, and RMB 152.41 billion, respectively. The corresponding PE ratios for these years are projected to be 12.1, 9.6, and 7.9 times [23] - The report emphasizes the need for continued investment in ecosystem development due to intensified competition in the e-commerce sector [23]
比亚迪电子(00285):2025年半年报点评:增长稳定,汽车与新型智能培育新动能
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 14:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD Electronics (00285.HK) [1] Core Views - The company has shown stable growth, with new momentum from automotive and new intelligent products [1] - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 80.61 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.73 billion RMB, up 14.0% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights the company's strong performance in consumer electronics, AI data center products, and the electric vehicle sector, indicating robust growth potential across various business lines [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 130.404 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 20.83% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 4.041 billion RMB in 2023, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 117.56% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 2.35 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.59 based on the latest diluted EPS [1] Business Segments - Consumer electronics revenue for the first half of 2025 was 60.947 billion RMB, a decrease of 3.7% year-on-year, but the company is focusing on high-value products to enhance profitability [7] - New intelligent product revenue reached 7.209 billion RMB, with significant growth in AI data center products and internal applications of robotics [7] - The electric vehicle business generated 12.450 billion RMB in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 60.50%, driven by the demand for smart cockpit and driving products [7] Future Projections - The report adjusts the expected net profit for 2025 to 5.300 billion RMB, with further increases projected for 2026 and 2027 [7] - The anticipated P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 17.6, 14.7, and 12.6 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [7]
万业企业(600641):H1扭亏为盈,铋材料、半导体设备业务加速放量
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 14:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company turned profitable in H1 2025, with significant growth in bismuth materials and semiconductor equipment businesses [7] - H1 2025 revenue reached 699 million yuan, a substantial increase of 247.8% year-on-year, driven primarily by bismuth materials and deep processing business [7] - The company is expanding its semiconductor equipment segment, particularly in ion implantation machines, while also enhancing its bismuth materials business [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 964.61 million yuan, with a projected increase to 1,982.74 million yuan by 2027E, reflecting a growth rate of 40.18% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 151.15 million yuan in 2023A to 514.54 million yuan in 2027E, indicating an 81.80% growth in 2025E [7] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to increase from 0.16 yuan in 2023A to 0.55 yuan in 2027E [7] - The current market capitalization corresponds to dynamic P/E ratios of 74, 45, and 28 for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [7] Business Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 27.5% in H1 2025, although it faced pressure due to lower margins in new bismuth materials [7] - The net profit margin improved significantly to -2.6% in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 57.1 percentage points [7] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities was -3.294 billion yuan in H1 2025, indicating short-term cash flow pressure [7] Strategic Developments - The company is solidifying its position as a domestic leader in ion implantation equipment while expanding into larger market segments such as etching and thin film deposition [7] - The bismuth materials business is rapidly growing, benefiting from rising domestic prices and increased demand from downstream sectors [7]
北方华创(002371):业绩实现稳步增长,平台化布局加速推进
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 14:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved steady growth in performance, with a focus on accelerating platform-based layout in the semiconductor sector [1] - The semiconductor equipment business is experiencing rapid growth, with a revenue increase of 29.51% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the domestic substitution trend in the semiconductor equipment industry [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 22,079 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 50.32% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 3,899 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 65.73% [1] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is forecasted to be 5.40 RMB [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue is expected to grow to 29,838 million RMB in 2024, 38,564 million RMB in 2025, and reach 57,163 million RMB by 2027 [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 5,621 million RMB in 2024, 7,344 million RMB in 2025, and 11,265 million RMB in 2027 [1] - The company’s dynamic P/E ratios are forecasted to be 47.82 for 2024, 36.60 for 2025, and 23.86 for 2027 [1] Product Performance - The electronic process equipment segment generated revenue of 152.58 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, up 33.89% year-on-year, contributing over 85% to total revenue [7] - The company launched its first ion implantation machine and electroplating equipment at the 2025 SEMICON exhibition, expanding its product line [7] Inventory and Cash Flow - As of the end of Q2 2025, the company’s inventory reached 311 billion RMB, a 47% increase year-on-year, indicating a strong order backlog [7] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first half of 2025 was -31.91 billion RMB, primarily due to increased cash payments for goods and services [7]
地平线机器人-W(09660):2025年中报点评:智驾平权最大受益方,芯片出货高增驱动业绩超预期
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 13:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 68%, significantly exceeding market expectations [7] - The overall chip shipment reached 1.98 million units in the first half of 2025, doubling year-on-year, with mid-to-high-end chip shipments increasing sixfold [7] - The average price per chip in the first half of 2025 was 393 yuan, up 106% year-on-year, driven by an improved product mix [7] - The company has established partnerships with 27 OEMs (42 brands), with over 310 models confirmed, maintaining a leading market share in China [7] - R&D expenses reached 2.3 billion in the first half of 2025, a 62% increase year-on-year, aimed at enhancing core competitiveness [7] - The report forecasts revenues of 3.66 billion, 5.36 billion, and 8.05 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/S ratios of 36.4, 24.8, and 16.6 [7] Financial Summary - The company reported a net profit of -13.3 billion in the first half of 2025, with an adjusted net profit of -13 billion [7] - The projected total revenue for 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 1.55 billion, 2.38 billion, 3.66 billion, 5.36 billion, and 8.05 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 71.32%, 53.62%, 53.52%, 46.60%, and 50.00% [1][8] - The projected net profit for the same years is -6.74 billion, 2.35 billion, -2.45 billion, -1.41 billion, and 0.40 billion, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 22.71%, 134.82%, -204.40%, 42.57%, and 128.68% [1][8]
百济神州(688235):2025年中报点评:业绩超预期,上调全年业绩指引
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 13:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has exceeded performance expectations in the first half of 2025, leading to an upward revision of the full-year performance guidance [8] - The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached USD 2.43 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42%, driven by the strong sales of core product Zebutini in the US and continued growth in Europe [8] - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue growth over the next three years, with significant profit release anticipated in the coming years [8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections are as follows: - 2023: CNY 17,423 million - 2024: CNY 27,214 million (YoY +56.19%) - 2025: CNY 36,720 million (YoY +34.93%) - 2026: CNY 44,798 million (YoY +22.00%) - 2027: CNY 55,998 million (YoY +25.00%) [1][9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to improve significantly: - 2023: CNY -6,715.86 million - 2024: CNY -4,978.29 million - 2025: CNY 812.75 million (YoY +116.33%) - 2026: CNY 4,168.46 million (YoY +412.88%) - 2027: CNY 9,542.78 million (YoY +128.93%) [1][9] - The latest diluted EPS projections are: - 2023: CNY -4.70 - 2024: CNY -3.48 - 2025: CNY 0.57 - 2026: CNY 2.91 - 2027: CNY 6.67 [1][9] Key Catalysts - Important catalysts include the upcoming data readout for Sonrotoclax (BCL2 inhibitor) in late 2025 and the initiation of head-to-head trials against rival therapies [8] - The company is also advancing its pipeline in solid tumors and inflammation/immunology, with several clinical trials expected to start in 2026 [8]
九州通(600998):现金流改善,“三新两化”战略持续推进
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 13:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown improvement in cash flow and continues to advance its "Three New and Two Transformations" strategy [8] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 81.106 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.446 billion yuan, up 19.70% year-on-year [8] - The company successfully issued public REITs for pharmaceutical warehousing and logistics, contributing a net profit of 438 million yuan [8] - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 2.694 billion yuan, 2.818 billion yuan, and 3.108 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to a PE ratio of 10, 9, and 8 times [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 150.14 billion yuan, with a projected growth of 6.92% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A is forecasted at 2.174 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.27% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is estimated at 0.43 yuan per share [1] - The company’s operating cash flow is expected to increase significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 6.75 billion yuan in 2025E [9]
分众传媒(002027):公司业绩稳健增长,“碰一碰”有望带来新增量
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 12:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates steady growth in performance, with the "Touch" feature expected to generate additional revenue [8] - The company's revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.39, 0.49, and 0.54 CNY per share respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22.25, 17.84, and 16.17 [1][8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 11,904 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 26.30% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is forecasted at 4,827 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 73.02% [1] - The company’s operating income for Q2 2025 is reported at 32.55 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 0.52% [8] - The company maintains a high dividend strategy, distributing 1.0 CNY per 10 shares, totaling 14.44 billion CNY [8] Business Development Summary - The company has expanded its elevator media points to 1.287 million, a 5.5% increase from December 2024 [8] - The internet advertising revenue for H1 2025 reached 9.62 billion CNY, a significant year-on-year increase of 88.82%, now accounting for 15.73% of total revenue [8] - The "Touch" feature, developed in collaboration with Alipay, aims to enhance user interaction and streamline the advertising conversion process [8]
高测股份(688556):2025年中报点评:Q2业绩环比改善,主业业绩修复、机器人业务打开第二成长曲线
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 12:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 performance shows a sequential improvement, with a recovery in its main business and the robot segment opening a second growth curve [1] - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a recovery, with the company's core business competitiveness highlighted by its significant market share in wafer processing [7] - The company is actively entering the humanoid robot market, leveraging its core technology in grinding equipment and tungsten wire materials to create new growth opportunities [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, total revenue is projected at 6,184 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 73.19%. However, revenue is expected to decline in 2024 and 2025, with forecasts of 4,474 million yuan and 3,817 million yuan respectively [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from a loss of 44.23 million yuan in 2024 to a profit of 52.54 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 218.78% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to improve from -0.06 yuan in 2024 to 0.07 yuan in 2025, indicating a recovery trend [1][8] Business Segment Analysis - The company's photovoltaic segment faced challenges in H1 2025, with a significant decline in revenue from photovoltaic cutting equipment, down 91.99% year-on-year. However, the segment is expected to benefit from the industry's recovery [7] - The robot business is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for humanoid robots, with the company developing key components such as planetary roller screws and innovative tungsten wire tendons for robotic hands [7] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is strengthening its leading position in the wafer processing market, benefiting from the trend of "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic manufacturing sector, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge [7] - The integration of equipment, consumables, and processing services creates a closed-loop business model that enhances customer loyalty and establishes a competitive barrier [7]