Macro Strategy - The report indicates that the US non-farm payrolls for June exceeded expectations, leading to a delay in interest rate cut expectations to September. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose by 6.89 basis points to 4.346% during the week [1][15][17] - The ISM services PMI returned above the expansion line, reflecting strong economic data, while the unemployment rate decreased, contributing to a positive market sentiment [1][15][17] - The signing of Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" (OBBB) increased the debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41 trillion, which may lead to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" trading pattern [1][15][17] Fixed Income - In the week of June 30 to July 4, 12 green bonds were issued in the interbank and exchange markets, totaling approximately 34.961 billion yuan, an increase of 3.531 billion yuan from the previous week [4] - The secondary market saw a total trading volume of green bonds amounting to 56.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.3 billion yuan from the previous week [4] Industry Analysis Robotics and Automation - The report highlights that the human-like robot sector is entering a year of mass production, with supply chain adjustments and component innovations being crucial. Tesla's Musk has set a production target of 5,000 to 10,000 units for the year [7][8] - The report emphasizes the importance of component innovations such as dexterous hands and lightweight materials in enhancing robot capabilities [7][8] Insurance Industry - The insurance sector is expected to see improvements on both the liability and asset sides, with low valuations and low holdings providing a balanced risk-reward profile. The estimated valuation for the insurance sector is between 0.61-0.96 times PEV and 0.98-2.21 times PB, indicating historical lows [9] REITs - The report discusses the potential of REITs in a low-interest-rate environment, highlighting the importance of policy support and structural optimization to enhance investment value. The diversification of asset types is expected to accelerate, with new assets like data centers and wind power emerging [10] Engineering Machinery - The domestic engineering machinery market is at the beginning of an upward cycle, with a projected demand growth of 0-3% for the year. The report notes that the export market remains strong, contributing to high industry sentiment [11] Unmanned Forklift Industry - The report suggests that the unmanned forklift sector is poised for rapid growth driven by AI technology and smart logistics. It recommends investing in leading companies in the smart forklift space [12] Consumer Services - The analysis of consumer spending in China indicates that the overall consumption rate is low, with both service and goods consumption needing improvement. The service consumption rate in China was 21.1% in 2019, compared to an average of 28.4% across 43 countries [20][21]

证券研究报告 AIDC&机器人趋势不改，继续看好第二增长曲线 —电网&工控2025中期策略报告 证券分析师：曾朵红、谢哲栋、司鑫尧； 研究助理：许钧赫 执业证书编号：S0600516080001、S0600523060001、S0600524120002、 S0600123070121 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199798 2025年7月9日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 摘要 2 人形机器人：全球整机进入量产元年，重视供应链定点及零部件增量变化。1）整机：年初特斯拉Musk给予全年5000-10000台机器人 量的预期，供应链Tier1/2均陆续有小批量订单在下达，25Q2起贸易战、工程主管人事变动等导致量产节奏扰动，但不改产业大势。我 们认为H2重点是设计定型，关注Gen3产品发布及各零部件环节的增量变化，而后是量产节奏恢复和龙头定点。国内人形宇树、智元、 优必选量产走在前面，小鹏、小米、赛力斯等车企人形产品静待正式发布，华为目前或更关注下游垂类领域的落地。2）零部件：灵巧手 期待增量创新、方案变化斜率最陡（自由度提升，及微型丝杠、腱绳、电子皮肤、新型 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the REITs industry [1] Core Insights - The REITs market in China has evolved significantly since the pilot program began in 2021, focusing on infrastructure and public goods, with a dual structure of public funds and ABS [2][13] - The low interest rate environment enhances the attractiveness of REITs as high-yield assets, with strong policy support expected to drive market growth [3][6] - The asset selection logic is shifting from policy-driven to cash flow quality-oriented, indicating a trend towards higher asset quality [32] Summary by Sections 1. REITs Basic Information: Product Structure and Differences - REITs are financial instruments that convert stable cash flows from real estate into tradable securities, providing liquidity and investment opportunities for long-term funds [12] - China's REITs focus on policy goals and liquidity, with a dual structure emphasizing compliance and transparency [13][16] - The types of assets included in the REITs pilot program have expanded to 13 categories, including industrial parks and affordable rental housing [13] 2. REITs Development Review: Policy Foundation and Market Expansion - The market has seen fluctuations in issuance scale, with 2023 experiencing a decline due to macroeconomic pressures, but a rebound is expected in 2024 [36] - The issuance mechanism involves a high proportion of strategic placements, averaging 72.2%, which enhances project stability but limits secondary market liquidity [38] 3. Future Outlook: Finding Allocation Value in a Low-Interest Era - The diversification of asset types is accelerating, with new categories like data centers and wind power expected to emerge by 2025 [6][3] - Long-term capital inflows are anticipated to increase, driven by the rising proportion of insurance and pension fund holdings [6][3] - The market is expected to continue expanding, with performance across sectors aligning more closely with the underlying asset logic [6][3]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·能源金属 华友钴业（603799） 2025 年中报业绩预告点评：Q2 镍利润稳定， 钴业绩弹性释放 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 66,304 | 60,946 | 73,845 | 78,080 | 87,280 | | 同比（%） | 5.19 | (8.08) | 21.17 | 5.73 | 11.78 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 3,351 | 4,155 | 6,001 | 6,745 | 8,240 | | 同比（%） | (14.25) | 23.99 | 44.44 | 12.40 | 22.17 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.97 | 2.44 | 3.53 | 3.96 | 4.84 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 18.96 | 15.29 | 10.58 | 9.42 | 7.71 | [Table_Tag] [T ...

Macro Strategy - The report indicates that the US non-farm payrolls for June exceeded expectations, leading to a delay in interest rate cuts to September, with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising by 6.89 basis points to 4.346% [1][12][13] - The ISM services PMI returned above the expansion line, reflecting strong economic data, while the unemployment rate decreased, contributing to a positive market sentiment [1][12][13] - The signing of Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" (OBBB) increased the debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41 trillion, which may shift market dynamics from "buy the rumor, sell the news" [1][12][13] Fixed Income - In the week of June 30 to July 4, 12 green bonds were issued in the interbank and exchange markets, totaling approximately 34.961 billion yuan, an increase of 3.531 billion yuan from the previous week [4][19] - The secondary market saw a total trading volume of green bonds amounting to 56.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.3 billion yuan from the previous week [4][19] - The report suggests that the central bank will continue to buy government bonds as a policy tool to support bank balance sheets, with the 10-year government bond yield expected to fluctuate between 1.6% and 1.7% [6][22] Industry Analysis - Hangcha Group (603298) is set to acquire Guozhi Robotics, enhancing its smart forklift layout, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 2.2 billion, 2.4 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [8] - Anker Innovations (300866) has seen its 3D texture printer crowdfunding reach historical highs, with adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 2.46 billion, 3.35 billion, and 4.22 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating despite short-term profit adjustments [8] - Yutong Bus (600066) reported a significant increase in sales for H1 2025, with revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 42.9 billion, 49.9 billion, and 56.7 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [9][10] - Yanjing Beer (000729) continues to show strong growth potential with updated profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.505 billion, 1.845 billion, and 2.204 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [11]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 大金重工（002487） 2025 半年度业绩预告点评：业绩同比高增， 下半年排产订单持续向上 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,325 | 3,780 | 6,752 | 8,383 | 10,009 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 78.63 | 24.16 | 19.40 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.88 | 1,102.04 | 1,507.70 | 1,995.54 | | 同比（%） | (5.58) | 11.46 | 132.56 | 36.81 | 32.36 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.73 | 2.36 | 3.13 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 50.87 | 45.64 | 19.62 | 14.34 | 10.84 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Add" [1] Core Viewpoints - Domestic market shows resilience with June excavator sales increasing by 13% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in demand [1] - The export market remains strong, with excavator exports up by 19% year-on-year in June, supported by improving global investment sentiment [2] - Emerging markets are experiencing high demand, and domestic non-excavator segments are showing signs of recovery, enhancing profit certainty for manufacturers [3] Summary by Sections Domestic Market - In June 2025, excavator sales reached 18,804 units, with domestic sales at 8,136 units, reflecting a 6% year-on-year increase. Cumulative domestic excavator sales for the first half of 2025 were 65,637 units, up 22.9% year-on-year. Loader sales in June were 12,014 units, with domestic sales at 6,015 units, increasing by 14% year-on-year. The report suggests that the engineering machinery sector can achieve considerable growth throughout the year due to factors such as improved funding availability and ongoing replacement demand [1] Overseas Market - In June 2025, excavator exports totaled 10,668 units, a 19% year-on-year increase, while loader exports reached 5,999 units, up 9%. For the first half of 2025, cumulative excavator exports were 54,883 units, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase. Despite some downward pressure in regions like Europe and Russia, demand in emerging markets such as the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Africa, and South America remains strong. The anticipated reduction in tariff uncertainties is expected to boost market recovery [2] Profitability and Market Conditions - The report indicates that over 80% of profits for engineering machinery manufacturers come from overseas markets, with significant contributions from regions like Indonesia, South America, Africa, the Middle East, and Europe. The first half of 2025 saw a recovery in overseas demand, supporting manufacturer profits. Additionally, the domestic non-excavator segment is expected to recover, with profit margins projected to improve from 15% to 20% in 2025, reducing previous profit drag [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the domestic market is at the beginning of an upward cycle, with 2-3 years of growth potential remaining. The overseas emerging market expansion is progressing well, maintaining high demand levels. Recommended stocks include Sany Heavy Industry, a leading comprehensive manufacturer, Zoomlion, LiuGong, Shantui, and Hengli Hydraulic [4]

杭叉智能拟收购国自机器人，智能叉车布局 渐趋完善 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 16,299 | 16,486 | 17,746 | 19,160 | 20,709 | | 同比（%） | 13.09 | 1.15 | 7.64 | 7.97 | 8.08 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,716 | 2,022 | 2,212 | 2,411 | 2,659 | | 同比（%） | 73.76 | 17.86 | 9.39 | 9.01 | 10.26 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.31 | 1.54 | 1.69 | 1.84 | 2.03 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 16.48 | 13.99 | 12.79 | 11.73 | 10.64 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 事件：7 月 7 日，杭叉集团发布关于控股子公司 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anker Innovation is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The crowdfunding campaign for the 3D texture UV printer E1 has achieved a record-breaking amount of $46.76 million, marking the highest crowdfunding amount in Kickstarter's history across all categories [7] - The E1 printer is expected to create a new growth curve for the company, with significant development potential following its successful crowdfunding [7] - The company has demonstrated responsibility by recalling power banks in response to potential risks associated with battery suppliers, which may impact short-term profits but is seen as beneficial for long-term brand value [7] - Revenue forecasts have been adjusted upwards due to the strong performance of the 3D printer, while short-term profit expectations have been lowered due to the recall and potential inventory impairments [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 17,507 million RMB in 2023 to 52,128 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.13% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1,615 million RMB in 2023 to 4,217 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 25.85% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 3.04 RMB in 2023 to 7.93 RMB in 2027 [1] Market Data - The closing price of Anker Innovation is 115.70 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 61,498.97 million RMB [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.08 based on the current price and latest diluted EPS [1] Financial Ratios - The company’s asset-liability ratio stands at 44.66% [6] - The projected gross margin is around 43.92% by 2027 [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to reach 28.16% by 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company experienced a significant increase in sales in June, with total sales of 5,919 units, representing a month-on-month increase of 25% and a year-on-year increase of 94% [8] - The overall market demand is recovering due to the implementation of new energy subsidy policies, leading to a notable improvement in sales growth compared to April and May [8] - The company has secured a new order of 1,000 units in Kazakhstan, further enhancing its international presence and local production capabilities [8] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are maintained at 429 billion, 499 billion, and 567 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profit estimates of 46.3 billion, 55.2 billion, and 66.8 billion yuan [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 27,042 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 24.05% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1,817 million yuan in 2023, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increase of 139.36% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.82 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.57 [1] - The company anticipates a steady growth in net profit margins, with projections of 11.06% in 2024 and increasing to 21.06% by 2027 [9]