Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 22.583 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 106.89%, with a net profit of 472 million RMB, reflecting a staggering year-over-year growth of 50358.80% [1] - The snack retail business continues to show strong growth, with Q2 revenue reaching 11.762 billion RMB, up 93.29% year-over-year and 8.69% quarter-over-quarter [1][2] - The net profit margin for the snack retail business has improved, reaching 4.67% in Q2, driven by scale effects and enhanced bargaining power [3] Revenue Breakdown - In Q2 2025, the snack retail business generated 11 billion RMB, a 95% increase year-over-year, with an addition of approximately 1,069 stores, bringing the total to 15,365 stores [2] - The edible mushroom segment reported revenue of 105 million RMB, down 1.1% year-over-year due to oversupply and low sales prices [2] Profitability Analysis - The overall gross margin for Q2 was 11.76%, with a decrease in sales expense ratio to 2.88% [3] - The company has validated its profit release logic for 2025, with expectations for continued profit growth supported by the recovery of minority equity and potential Hong Kong listing [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards to 897 million RMB, 1.233 billion RMB, and 1.545 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.78, 6.57, and 8.23 RMB [4] - The target price has been raised to 234.22 RMB, based on a 49x PE for 2025, reflecting the company's strong market position and growth potential [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 20.00 [1][2][10] Core Insights - The company reported a stable growth in New Business Value (NBV) of 22.8% year-on-year, driven by improvements in pricing and distribution channels [6][7] - The overall investment performance faced pressure, with a significant decline in total investment income, leading to a negative investment performance [9] - The underwriting performance in property insurance showed improvement, with a combined ratio (COR) decrease to 95.5% [8] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a net profit of HKD 6.764 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [6] - Gross premium income is projected to grow from HKD 111.268 billion in 2024 to HKD 129.498 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.79% [5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is HKD 2.34, reflecting a growth of 13.25% from the previous year [10][22] Business Segment Analysis - In the life insurance segment, the NBV growth was robust, with a 4.2% increase in new single premiums, indicating an improvement in value rates [7] - The property insurance segment saw a 3.1% increase in domestic premium income, with a notable 55.6% rise in insurance service performance due to cost efficiency measures [8] - The investment segment faced challenges, with a year-on-year decline in annualized total investment return to 2.68% [9] Valuation and Forecast - The target price was adjusted to HKD 20 based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation method, reflecting resilient NBV growth and improved COR [10] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 12% in 2025, indicating a solid profitability outlook [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a strong growth in New Business Value (NBV) of 32% year-on-year, driven primarily by the bancassurance channel, which saw a 156% increase in NBV [2][5]. - The operating profit after tax (OPAT) increased by 7.1% year-on-year, with life insurance operating profit growing by 5% [1][5]. - The combined operating ratio (COR) for property insurance improved, decreasing by 0.8 percentage points to 96.3%, mainly due to a reduction in expense ratios [1][3]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The NBV for life insurance increased by 32% year-on-year, with new single premium income rising approximately 29% [2]. - The bancassurance channel significantly contributed to this growth, while the agent channel experienced a decline in new single premium income [2]. - The profit from life insurance grew by 3.2% year-on-year, supported by improved investment returns [2]. Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums grew by 0.9% year-on-year, with a focus on reducing high COR business [3]. - The COR for property insurance improved to 96.4%, with a notable decrease in expense ratios [3]. - The company anticipates a low single-digit growth rate of 3% for property insurance premiums in 2025 [3]. Investment Performance - The total investment return rate for the first half of 2025 was 2.3%, a decrease of 40 basis points year-on-year [4]. - The net investment return rate was 1.7%, down 10 basis points from the previous year [4]. - The company's asset allocation saw a slight increase in equity investments, while bond investments decreased [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The EPS forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to RMB 4.88, reflecting a slight increase in expectations for life insurance NBV growth and property insurance performance [5]. - The target price for A/H shares has been raised to RMB 47/HKD 42, maintaining the "Buy" rating [5][7]. - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory in both life and property insurance segments, with a projected EPS growth rate of 30% for NBV in 2025 [2][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 25.1 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.1 billion RMB, up 8% year-on-year [1] - The growth in net profit was slightly below expectations, which anticipated a 10% increase for the full year [1] - The company has successfully increased its sales in a challenging market environment, achieving a contract sales amount of 53.4 billion RMB, a 20% year-on-year increase, ranking first among the top 10 real estate companies [3] - The company plans to resolve 80% of its existing inventory issues within three years under its "Advancement Plan" [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s property development revenue increased by 17% year-on-year, with a gross margin improvement of 1 percentage point to 12% [2] - Non-development business revenue grew by 3% to 5.1 billion RMB, with property services revenue increasing by 20% [2] - The company’s net debt ratio is projected to remain stable, with total interest-bearing debt at 123.3 billion RMB [4] Project Acquisition and Sales - The company acquired 41 new projects in 2024, with an average net profit margin exceeding 10% [2] - The total value of unsold land reserves reached 320 billion RMB, with 88% located in first and second-tier cities [3] Debt and Financing - The company’s financing costs have significantly decreased, with the average financing cost dropping by 90 basis points to 2.96% [4] - The company has maintained a healthy financial status, with short-term debt accounting for 22% of total debt [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 0.10, 0.10, and 0.11 RMB, reflecting an increase of 11% for 2025 and 2026 [5] - The target price for the company is set at 1.81 HKD, based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.41 times for 2025 [5]

上美股份 (2145 HK) 证券研究报告 2025 年 8 月 29 日│中国香港 化妆品 上美股份发布 25H1 业绩公告：25H1 收入 41.08 亿元/yoy17.3%，净利润 5.56 亿元/yoy34.7%（此前业绩预告营收 yoy16.8%-17.3%，净利润 yoy30.9%-35.8%），营收及净利润同比增速均接近业绩预告上限。董事会 决议建议派付中期股息 0.5 元/股。短中期，韩束持续拓展多品类，延续强 势能；中高端婴童品牌 newpage/敏感肌护肤品牌安敏优/防脱品牌极方/中高 端护肤品牌聚光白处强劲增长期；展望长期，公司已搭建大众护肤、母婴& 青少年护肤、洗护个护、彩妆、功效（医学）护肤、高端护肤六大板块，业 务边界有望不断延展，天花板较高。维持买入评级。 25H1 韩束维持线上美妆领先地位，品类持续开拓 25H1 韩束在抖音平台调整渠道结构、收缩达播占比，向高利润率自营渠道 （自播+商品卡）倾斜，仍取得优秀增长：25H1 抖音 GMVyoy+15.5%、每 月 GMV 均位居美妆品牌第一。多产品多品类策略有突破：新品韩束净颜清 透洁面膏、韩束控油蓬松洗发水、韩束焕白紧致身体精华 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company in the A-share market and an "Overweight" rating in the H-share market [6]. Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 37.71% year-on-year for H1 2025, reaching 13.747 billion RMB, with a net profit of 6.488 billion RMB, up 47.86% year-on-year, aligning with the earnings forecast [1][2]. - The investment and brokerage businesses have shown remarkable growth, benefiting from an upturn in market conditions, leading to an upward revision of revenue and profit forecasts for 2025 [4][17]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, investment income reached 7.399 billion RMB, a 50% increase year-on-year, with brokerage income at 3.647 billion RMB, up 45% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company increased its financial investments, with a leverage ratio of 4.14x, reflecting a 0.07 percentage point increase since the beginning of the year [2]. Investment Banking and Asset Management - The investment banking segment generated a net income of 316 million RMB, a 19% increase year-on-year, with notable rankings in equity underwriting and bond issuance [3]. - Asset management income also grew by 18% year-on-year, with a focus on diversifying product offerings [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects a 31% year-on-year growth in operating revenue for 2025, with net profits expected to reach 14 billion RMB, 15.7 billion RMB, and 17.4 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][10]. - The target price has been adjusted to 21.46 RMB for A-shares and 15.28 HKD for H-shares, reflecting a price-to-book ratio of 2.0 and 1.3 respectively for 2025 [4][7].

证券研究报告 兴业银行 (601166 CH) 息差保持韧性，负债成本改善 6 月末总资产、贷款、存款增速分别为+2.6%、+4.1%、+8.9%，较 3 月末 -1.1pct 、 -0.7pct 、 -1.4pct 。 25Q2 零 售 / 对 公 / 票 据 增 量 占 比 分 别 为 -2%/83%/19%，新增贷款主要由对公贷款驱动。25H1 利息净收入 737.55 亿元，同比微降 1.52%。1-6 月净息差为 1.75%，较 1-3 月-5bp。1-6 月生 息资产收益率、计息负债成本率分别为 3.37%、1.86%，较 24A-35bp、-31bp。 兴业银行较好平衡负债与资产，将负债稳规模、降成本摆在首要位置，有效 稳定息差表现。 业绩增速回稳，信用成本下行 财富中收增长，其他非息回稳 2025 年 8 月 29 日│中国内地 全国性股份制银行 兴业银行 1-6 月归母净利润、营业收入、PPOP 分别同比+0.2%、-2.3%、 -3.1%，增速较 1-3 月+2.4pct、+1.3pct、+1.3pct。1-6 月年化 ROE、ROA 分别同比-0.88pct、-0.02pct 至 10. ...

证券研究报告 浙商银行 (2016 HK/601916 CH) 港股通 负债成本优化，资产质量稳健 华泰研究 中报点评 2025 年 8 月 29 日│中国内地/中国香港 全国性股份制银行 1-6 月手续费及佣金净收入同比-17.6%（3M24 同比-13.2%），中收持续承 压。结构上看，代理业务收入同比+12%，主要受益于代销业务增长；担保、 承销收入分别同比-26%、-34%，为中收主要拖累，主要受到保函业务及债 券承销业务收入下降所致。1-6 月公司其他非息收入同比-10.7%，较 1-3 月 环比+14.2pct，其他非息降幅收窄。公司 1-6 月成本收入比为 28.2%，同比 持平。 资产质量稳健，前瞻指标波动 6 月末不良率、拨备覆盖率分别为 1.36%、170%，分别较 3 月末-2bp、-1pct。 零售不良率上行，较 24 年末+19bp 至 1.97%；对公不良率较 24 年末-10bp 至 1.26%。前瞻指标略有波动，6 月末关注率为 2.50%，较 24 年末提升 10bp。 测算 Q2 年化不良生成率环比上行 78bp 至 2.05%；Q2 年化信用成本为 1.91%，同比-22 ...

招商蛇口 (001979 CH) 投拓积极、聚焦产品力谋发展质量 | | | 证券研究报告 公司制定了"质量回报双提升"行动方案，通过提升产品力、内容运营力和 服务增值力强化公司投资价值。此外，24 年 10 月公司公告回购，回购股份 将全部予以注销。截至 2025 年 7 月末，公司累计回购 0.494%股权，累计 回购金额 4.3 亿，已经完成本轮计划，体现公司维护投资者利益的诚意。我 们维持 25-27 年 EPS 为 0.46/0.53/0.62 元、BPS 为 12.52/12.85/13.28 元 的盈利预测。可比公司 2025 年 Wind 一致预期 PB 均值为 0.9 倍，公司融 资优势显著，储备和发展兼具质与量，维持公司 2025 年 1 倍 PB，维持目 标价 12.52 元，维持"买入"。 招商蛇口发布半年报，2025 年 H1 实现营收 514.85 亿元（yoy+0.41%）， 归母净利 14.48 亿元（yoy+2.18%）。其中 Q2 实现营收 310.37 亿元 （yoy+12.76%，qoq+51.79%），归母净利 10.03 亿元（yoy-7.57%， qoq+125. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shanghai Bank with a target price of RMB 12.02 [7][5]. Core Views - Shanghai Bank's performance shows steady growth with a year-on-year increase in net profit and operating income of 2.0% and 4.2% respectively for the first half of 2025 [1]. - The bank's non-interest income growth has rebounded, and the dividend payout ratio has increased, indicating a positive outlook for the second half of the year [1][5]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring credit disbursement progress and non-performing asset management in the upcoming months [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the annualized ROE and ROA were 11.00% and 0.81%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.50 percentage points and 0.01 percentage points year-on-year respectively [1]. - Non-interest income grew by 8.1% year-on-year, with other non-interest income increasing by 12.1%, primarily due to improved investment returns and reduced fair value losses [3]. - The bank's net interest margin for the first half of 2025 was 1.15%, showing a stabilization in the decline compared to the previous year [2]. Asset Quality - As of June 2025, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was stable at 1.18%, with a provision coverage ratio of 244% [4]. - The annualized NPL generation rate for the first half of 2025 was 1.33%, indicating a slight increase from the previous year [4]. Valuation and Forecast - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 242 billion, RMB 253 billion, and RMB 268 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.8%, 4.6%, and 5.9% [5]. - The target price of RMB 12.02 corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.68 for 2025, reflecting an upward adjustment from the previous estimate of 0.67 [5].