张付哲 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 证券研究报告 交通运输 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 16 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 民航换季计划发布，快递 1-2 月需求高增 投资评级： 看好（维持） —交通运输行业周报（2025 年 3 月 10 日-2025 年 3 月 16 日） 投资要点： 一、行业动态跟踪 快递物流： 1）邮政局公布 1-2 月快递行业数据，1-2 月行业件量累计同比增长 22.4%。根据国 家邮政局发布数据，1 - 2 月快递业务量累计 284.8 亿件、收入累计 2210.4 亿元， 分别同比增长 22.4%、11.2%。1 - 2 月快递与包裹服务品牌集中度指数 CR8 为 87.1， 较 1 月上升 0.5。2 月快递业务量 1 ...

航运港口 行业点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 16 日 投资评级： 看好（维持） 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 证券研究报告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 板块表现： 源引金融活水 润泽中华大地 图表 1：美联储利率与原油油价波动呈现一定关联性 资料来源：iFinD，华源证券研究所 图表 2：全球原油库存处于 2020 年来低位 图表 3：全球陆地库存处于低位 资料来源：IEA，华源证券研究所 资料来源：IEA，华源证券研究所 图表 4：OECD 商业原油库存近期处于低位 图表 5：美国商业原油库存 2022 年后维持较低水平 美国衰退预期带跌油价，关注后续原油补库 ——航运船舶市场系列（十三） 投资要点： 投资评级说明 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][35] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the potential for accelerated growth in companies related to fertility support policies, with a strong recommendation for 麦澜德 (Milan) as a key player in this sector [3][11] - The industry is expected to benefit from a combination of innovation, international expansion, and an aging population, with a focus on identifying undervalued opportunities [24][36] Summary by Sections 1. Fertility Policies and Company Performance - Recent fertility policies are anticipated to boost the performance of related companies, particularly 麦澜德, which specializes in pelvic rehabilitation and postpartum recovery [11][17] - The report highlights a significant decline in birth rates, with 2023 figures showing a drop to 9.02 million births, necessitating government intervention through supportive policies [11][12] 2. Industry Perspective - The report outlines a strategic focus on innovation, international expansion, and addressing the needs of an aging population as the main themes for investment [24][36] - The pharmaceutical index has shown a 1.77% increase over the week, with notable individual stock performances, including 金城医药 (Jincheng Pharmaceutical) and 塞力医疗 (Saili Medical) [24][25] 3. Recommended Stocks - Key stocks to watch include 麦澜德, 一品红 (Yipinhong), and 健民集团 (Jianmin Group), among others, as they are positioned to benefit from the current market dynamics [40][36] - The report suggests a diversified approach, focusing on innovative pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and companies with strong international growth potential [36][38]

证券研究报告 医药生物 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 16 日 关注生育补贴政策，重点推荐麦澜德 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——医药行业周报（25/3/10-25/3/14） 投资要点： 风险提示：行业竞争加剧风险，政策变化风险，行业需求不及预期风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 证券分析师 联系人 本周医药市场表现分析：3 月 10 日至 3 月 14 日，医药指数上涨 1.77%，相对沪深 300 指数超额收益为+0.18%。本周华为 AI 医疗概念、脑机接口、生育政策等相关标的表现 较为活跃，如塞力医疗、诚益通、麦澜德、锦欣生殖等涨幅较好。建议关注：1）生育政 策受益相关个股，如麦澜德、锦欣生殖、华特达因、长春高新等；2）年报和一季报业绩， 如出口链、中药、医疗设备、医疗服务、CXO 及上游等领域的个股；3）医药最为明确 的方向创新药，继续关注三生制药、康方生物、科伦博泰、热景生物、广生堂、一品红、 科伦药业、泽璟制药等； 医药指数和各细分领域表现、涨跌幅：本周医药指数上涨 1.77%。本周上涨个股数量 372 家，下跌个股数量 117 家，涨幅居前为金 ...

证券研究报告 有色金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 16 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 铜冶炼厂减产，铜价有望上行 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——有色金属 大宗金属周报（2025/3/10-2025/3/14） 投资要点： 风险提示：下游复产不及预期风险；国内房地产需求不振风险；新能源汽车增速不及预期风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜 ： 冶 炼厂 减 产 叠 加 刚 果金 战 乱 扰 动 ， 铜价 上 涨 。 本 周 美铜/ 伦 铜 /沪 铜 分别 上 涨 3.59%/1.52%/2.7 ...

证券研究报告 有色金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 16 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 铜冶炼厂减产，铜价有望上行 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——有色金属 大宗金属周报（2025/3/10-2025/3/14） 投资要点： 风险提示：下游复产不及预期风险；国内房地产需求不振风险；新能源汽车增速不及预期风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜 ： 冶 炼厂 减 产 叠 加 刚 果金 战 乱 扰 动 ， 铜价 上 涨 。 本 周 美铜/ 伦 铜 /沪 铜 分别 上 涨 3.59%/1.52%/2.7 ...

证券研究报告 | 北交所定期报告 | | --- | 投资要点： hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 15 日 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 北证 50 指数迎今年第一轮调整，开发科技正式启动新股申购 证券分析师 ——北交所周观察第十七期（20250316） 风险提示：宏观经济环境变动风险、市场竞争风险、资料统计误差风险 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 北交所再增一单定向可转债发行项目-万通液压公司。2025 年 3 月 12 日，万通液压 披露再融资预案，拟通过向特定对象发行可转换公司债券，募集资金 1.5 亿元（全部 用于补充流动资金），其中盘古智能拟以现金方式认购本次可转债金额不低于 1.2 亿元。这是继 2025 年 2 月优机股份披露定向可转债再融资项目以来，北交所市场披 露的第二单定向可转债再融资项目。万通液压是一家主要从事自卸车专用油缸、机 械装备用缸和油气弹簧等液压产品研发、生产和销售的国家级专精特新"小 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has established a strategic partnership with Pangu Intelligent to expand its business dimensions and is intensifying its layout in the humanoid robot sector [5] - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 629 million yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 108.72 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37.02% [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 5.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling an expected cash dividend payout of 59.10 million yuan [6] - The company is focusing on the transformation of its core business towards intelligence and greening, with a significant increase in revenue from its oil and gas spring business, which grew by 93% year-on-year in 2024 [6] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a total revenue of 629 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 5.99% compared to 2023, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 109 million yuan, an increase of 37.02% [8] - The gross margin improved to 27.93%, up by 6.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by growth in the gross margins of all three main business segments [6][8] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 141 million yuan, 186 million yuan, and 221 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.18 yuan, 1.56 yuan, and 1.85 yuan per share [7][8] Business Development - The company is actively developing new customers domestically and has seen significant success in expanding its international market, with overseas revenue increasing by 63% year-on-year in 2024 [6] - The company has successfully developed new products such as the intelligent weighing full oil-gas suspension system and the candle-type suspension oil-gas spring, which are expected to enhance its market presence [6] - The strategic cooperation with Pangu Intelligent is anticipated to broaden the company's business coverage and enhance its overall competitiveness [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The government work report for 2025 includes several new statements related to the energy sector, such as a target to reduce energy consumption per unit of GDP by approximately 3% [5][12] - The report emphasizes the construction of high-voltage transmission channels and the development of renewable energy projects, including nuclear and offshore wind power [5][12] - The report also highlights the need for a unified national electricity market system and the reform of public utility pricing [6][13] Summary by Sections Government Work Report Highlights - The 2025 government work report aims to reduce energy consumption per unit of GDP by around 3% [5][12] - Key projects include the construction of high-voltage transmission lines and the development of renewable energy bases [5][12] - The establishment of a unified national electricity market system is a priority [5][12] Investment Opportunities - Recommended investment opportunities include: 1. Wind power operators such as Longyuan Power, Xintian Green Energy, and Datang Renewable [6][19] 2. Wind power equipment manufacturers like Goldwind Technology and Sany Heavy Energy [6][19] 3. Grid equipment companies focusing on high-voltage and distribution networks [6][19] 4. Traditional power sources including coal, gas, and nuclear power [6][19] Natural Gas Pricing - The pricing schemes for pipeline natural gas contracts for 2025-2026 have been released by PetroChina and Sinopec, indicating changes in pricing structures [20][21] - PetroChina's pricing will see a decrease in regulated gas proportions, while Sinopec's pricing structure will stabilize overall costs for downstream city gas companies [20][24] Industry Development Stage - The city gas sector is entering a mature phase, with significant value emerging compared to previous years [8][26] - Recommendations for city gas companies include Huaron Gas and Kunlun Energy, with a focus on stable cost management [8][26]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has expanded its business dimensions through strategic cooperation with Pangu Intelligent, intensifying its layout in the humanoid robot sector [5] - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 629 million yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 108.72 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37.02% [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 5.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling an expected cash dividend payout of 59.10 million yuan [6] - The company is set to issue convertible bonds with a total amount not exceeding 150 million yuan, with Pangu Intelligent planning to subscribe for at least 120 million yuan in cash [6] Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue from the basic business segment, particularly hydraulic cylinders for engineering machinery, faced a decline of 17.53% year-on-year, amounting to 392 million yuan [6] - The revenue from the oil and gas spring business saw a significant increase of 93.34% year-on-year, reaching 99 million yuan, with a gross margin of 43.79% [6] - The overall gross margin of the company improved to 27.93%, an increase of 6.2 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company expects to see continued growth in its oil and gas spring business due to increasing market recognition and demand [6] Market Expansion - The company has successfully developed new clients in the domestic market while achieving a year-on-year revenue growth of 62.71% in overseas markets, reaching 76 million yuan [6] - The overseas sales of specialized hydraulic cylinders for dump trucks have shown steady growth, contributing to the overall increase in international revenue [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 141 million yuan, 186 million yuan, and 221 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.18 yuan, 1.56 yuan, and 1.85 yuan per share [7] - The current price-to-earnings ratios (P/E) for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 25.1, 19.0, and 16.0 times, respectively [7] - The company is actively exploring new technologies and markets, particularly in the automotive and industrial automation sectors, which is expected to drive performance improvements [7]