Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The crude oil market is expected to run weakly, with short - term, medium - term, and intraday trends being mainly oscillatory, and the intraday trend being oscillatory and weak [1][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Time - cycle Analysis - **Short - term**: The short - term trend of crude oil 2507 is oscillatory [1]. - **Medium - term**: The medium - term trend of crude oil 2507 is oscillatory [1]. - **Intraday**: The intraday trend of crude oil is oscillatory and weak, with a reference view of weak operation [1][5]. 3.2 Price and Market Conditions - On Thursday night, the domestic crude oil futures 2507 contract closed slightly lower by 1.21% to 456.9 yuan/barrel, and it is expected to maintain an oscillatory and weak trend on Friday [5]. 3.3 Core Logic - Although Sino - US economic and trade relations have made substantial progress and macro factors have turned optimistic, the US debt crisis in June is approaching, which may trigger a new round of negative macro - impacts. OPEC+ oil - producing countries are accelerating the pace of production increase, and the crude oil demand outlook is weak. The bearish macro - atmosphere has outweighed the bullish support from the renewed chaos in the Middle East geopolitical situation [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The gold price has an unchanged long - term upward trend, with intensified short - and medium - term long - short battles. In the short and medium term, due to the easing of Sino - US tariff policies, the strong pattern is broken, but geopolitical factors provide strong support. When short - and medium - term uncertainty is high, silver positions can be allocated as a hedge [3]. - The nickel price is short - term neutral and long - term bearish. Technically, the short - term downward momentum is strong, and the price may continue to weaken [4]. 3. Summary by Variety Gold - Short - term view: Oscillation; Medium - term view: Oscillation; Intraday view: Oscillation and weakening; Reference view: Wait - and - see [1][3]. - Core logic: Last night, the gold price fell from a high level. In the context of the easing of Sino - US tariff policies, the futures price broke below the 20 - day moving average, but geopolitical factors provided support. It rebounded strongly this week. The gold - silver ratio fluctuates in the same direction as the gold price and is mainly affected by the safe - haven demand for gold. Silver positions can be used as a hedge [3]. Nickel - Short - term view: Decline; Medium - term view: Oscillation; Intraday view: Oscillation and weakening; Reference view: Bearish in the short term [1][4]. - Core logic: Last night, it decreased in price with increasing positions, breaking below the 123,000 mark again. This week, the short - term macro - level benefits were digested by the market. At the industrial level, the upstream ore end remained strong, while the downstream stainless steel lacked continuous upward momentum. Technically, the short - term downward momentum is strong [4].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 5 月 23 日） 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤（元/吨） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/05/22 | -190.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/21 | -190.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/20 | -190.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/19 | -189.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/16 | -187.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 动力煤基差 基差（右） 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 期货结算价(活跃合约) :动力煤 www.bcqhgs.com 1 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 资讯早班车 资讯早班车-2025-05-23 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 20250416 | 2025/03 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 5.40 | 5.40 | 5.30 | | 20250430 | 2025/04 | 制造业 PMI | % | 49.00 | 50.50 | 50.40 | | 20250430 | 2025/04 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活 | % | 50.40 | 50.80 | 51.20 | | | | 动 | | | | | | 20250430 | 2025/04 | 财新 PMI:制造业 | % | 50.40 | 51.20 | 51.40 | | 20250506 | 2025/04 | 财新 PMI:服务业经营 | % | 50.70 | 51.90 | 52.50 | | | | 活动指数 | | | | | | ...

2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：TL、T、TF、TS 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货国债期货早报（2025 年 5 月 23 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TL2509 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡偏弱 | 区间震荡 | 短期继续降息可能性较低 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 日内观点：震荡偏弱 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：区间震荡 核心逻辑：昨日国债期货均窄幅震荡整理。当前国债期货的趋势性不强，上行与下行的动能均较为有 限。随着 4 月以来国债到期收益率的回升，目前相对政策利率的隐含降息预期接 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2025 年 5 月 23 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2506 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡偏强 | 区间震荡 | 政策端利好预期构成较强支撑 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 专业研究·创造价值 1/2 请务必阅读文末免责条款 观点参考 观点参考 获 取 每 日 期 货 观 点 推 送 扫码关注宝城期货官方微信·期货咨询尽在掌握 服 务 国 家 走向世界 知行合一 专业敬业 诚 信 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货螺纹钢早报（2025 年 5 月 23 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹 2510 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 关注 MA20 一线压力 | 供需格局走弱，钢价震荡寻底 | 说明： 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 行情驱动逻辑 螺纹钢供需格局有所变化，建筑钢厂生产积极，供应持续回升并处于年内高位，相反周度表需 虽再度回落，且仍是近年来同期低位，加之后续将季节性走弱，需求表现相对弱势，供增需弱局面 下螺纹基本面矛盾在积累，钢价继续承压，相对利好的是低位库存持续去化，多空因素博弈下钢价 延续低位震荡态势，关注需求表现情况。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘 ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2) Core Views of the Report - The sentiment in the domestic soybean market has improved, with short - term soybean futures prices expected to be oscillating stronger, but the rebound space is restricted by supply pressure [5]. - The international oil price decline has an impact on the entire oil market. The short - term sentiment disturbance in the oil market has increased, and the futures prices of palm oil are expected to be oscillating weaker [7]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs a. Bean Meal (M) - **Price Trend**: The intraday view is oscillating stronger, the mid - term view is oscillating, and the reference view is oscillating stronger [5]. - **Core Logic**: The combined weather themes in North and South American soybean producing areas have boosted the market's bullish sentiment. The rise in US soybean futures prices has lifted the domestic soybean market. Although there is an expectation of improved supply in the domestic market, the linkage between the domestic and foreign markets has been restored. The short - term soybean futures prices are oscillating stronger, but the rebound space is restricted by supply pressure [5]. b. Palm Oil (P) - **Price Trend**: The intraday view is oscillating weaker, the mid - term view is oscillating, and the reference view is oscillating weaker [7]. - **Core Logic**: The decline in international oil prices has affected the entire oil market. Southeast Asian palm oil production and demand are both increasing. Whether the exports of Malaysian palm oil can remain strong determines whether the inventory will continue to accumulate. With the rotation in the oil sector, palm oil will receive indirect support from rapeseed oil. The short - term sentiment disturbance in the oil market has increased, and the futures prices are oscillating weaker [7]. c. Other Related Factors - **For Bean Meal 2509**: The influencing factors include import arrival rhythm, customs clearance inspection, oil refinery operation rhythm, and stocking demand [6]. - **For Soybean Oil 2509**: The influencing factors are US tariff policy, US soybean oil inventory, biodiesel demand, domestic raw material supply rhythm, and oil refinery inventory [6]. - **For Palm 2509**: The influencing factors involve Malaysian palm production and exports, Indonesian exports, tariff policies of major producing countries, domestic arrival and inventory, and substitution demand [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply and demand of hot-rolled coils have both weakened. The production of hot-rolled coils has been declining continuously due to increased maintenance by plate steel mills. The weekly output decreased by 63,000 tons week-on-week, and the supply has dropped to a relatively low level. However, the profit per ton of the product is still acceptable, and there will be a resumption of production later, and the positive effect needs to be tracked. Meanwhile, the demand for hot-rolled coils has also weakened, with the weekly apparent demand decreasing by 164,700 tons week-on-week, and the high-frequency transactions have also decreased. The production of cold-rolled coils, the main downstream product, remains at a high level, and the risk of external demand has eased, so the demand contraction space is limited. However, it is necessary to guard against the intensification of contradictions in the cold-rolled industry. Currently, the supply of hot-rolled coils continues to shrink, while the demand also weakens. The fundamentals have not improved under the situation of weak supply and demand. The relatively positive factor is that the risk of external demand has eased, which supports its relatively strong operation. But it is still necessary to guard against the intensification of downstream contradictions and the resumption of production by steel mills. It is expected that the price of hot-rolled coils will continue to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to the production situation of steel mills. [7] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Supply - The weekly output of hot-rolled coils is 3.0568 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 63,000 tons, and a decrease of 118,200 tons from the end of last month. Compared with the same period, it decreased by 196,800 tons. The blast furnace capacity utilization rate is 91.32%, a week-on-week decrease of 0.44 percentage points, and a decrease of 0.28 percentage points from the end of last month. [2] Demand - The apparent demand for hot-rolled coils is 3.1306 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 164,700 tons, and a decrease of 113,000 tons from the end of last month. Compared with the same period, it decreased by 147,800 tons. The weekly output of cold-rolled coils is 881,400 tons. [2] Inventory - The total inventory of hot-rolled coils is 3.4019 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 73,800 tons, and a decrease of 275,000 tons from the end of last month. Compared with the same period, it decreased by 729,800 tons. Among them, the in-plant inventory is 769,200 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 13,000 tons, and a decrease of 79,100 tons from the end of last month. Compared with the same period, it decreased by 81,800 tons. The social inventory is 2.6327 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 60,800 tons, and a decrease of 195,900 tons from the end of last month. Compared with the same period, it decreased by 648,000 tons. [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The iron ore price is expected to maintain a volatile state, with the subsequent logic switching between strong reality and weak expectations. Attention should be paid to the decline in hot metal production [2]. 3. Summaries According to Related Contents 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - For the iron ore 2509 variety, the short - term and medium - term trends are both expected to be volatile, and the intraday trend is expected to be slightly bullish. It is recommended to pay attention to the support level of the MA10 line. The core logic is that the fundamentals are changing and the ore price is oscillating at a low level [1]. 3.2 Market Driving Logic - Steel mill maintenance has increased, leading to a continuous decline in the terminal consumption of iron ore, weakening the positive effects on the demand side. Overseas miners are actively shipping, resulting in a large supply pressure. The fundamentals of iron ore are continuously weakening, putting pressure on the ore price. - The relative positive factors are that the demand remains at a high level with good real - world performance, and the futures price is deeply discounted, resulting in significant downward resistance. The subsequent logic will still switch between strong reality and weak expectations, and the ore price is expected to maintain a volatile state. Attention should be paid to the decline in hot metal production [2].