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市场快讯:沪铜拉升突破11万元/吨
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 11:34
Report Summary 1) Reported Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - On January 29, 2026, the main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, rose rapidly from 103,000 yuan to around 109,000 yuan starting at 10:15 and broke through the 1.1 million - yuan mark in the afternoon, with a daily increase of nearly 8% [2] - Copper is a core raw material for the new - energy revolution, power - grid upgrading, and AI data centers, and its inclusion in key mineral or strategic reserve lists by the US, EU, and China provides strong support for copper prices [2] - The Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate and Chairman Powell's remarks led to a rise in London spot gold and silver, and copper prices followed to reach new highs [4] - Expectations of interest - rate cuts and tariffs in 2026 are the core macro - drivers for the upward movement of copper prices [4] 3) Summary of Relevant Content Market Performance - The main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, had a significant increase on January 29, 2026, with a daily increase approaching 8% [2] - London spot gold and silver rose rapidly after the Fed's decision, and copper prices followed to reach new highs [4] Fundamental Factors - Copper is a key raw material for multiple important fields and is included in key mineral or strategic reserve lists, which supports copper prices [2] Macroeconomic Factors - The Fed maintained the federal funds rate between 3.5% and 3.75% on January 29, 2026, and Chairman Powell's remarks affected market pricing [4] - Expectations of interest - rate cuts and tariffs in 2026 are driving copper prices up [4] Inventory Changes - LME copper European inventory decreased from nearly 70,000 tons in April 2025 to 13,850 tons [4] - COMEX copper inventory increased from less than 100,000 short tons in April 2025 to 572,300 short tons [4]
市场快讯:沪铜拉升突破11万元/吨
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 06:57
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On January 29, 2026, the main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, rapidly rose from 103,000 yuan to around 109,000 yuan starting at 10:15 and broke through the 110,000 yuan mark in the afternoon, with a daily increase of nearly 8% [2] - Copper is the core raw material for the new - energy revolution, power grid upgrade, and AI data centers, and is included in the key mineral or strategic reserve lists of the US, the EU, and China, and its security demand strongly supports copper prices [2] - On the early morning of January 29, the Fed announced to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.5% - 3.75%, in line with market expectations. Powell's remarks triggered a re - pricing of inflation structural pressure and policy independence, causing London spot gold and silver to rise rapidly and copper prices to reach new highs [4] - The expectations of interest rate cuts and tariffs in 2026 have become the core macro - driving forces for the upward movement of copper prices. The LME copper inventory in Europe has continuously decreased from nearly 70,000 tons since April 2025 to 13,850 tons, while the COMEX copper inventory has continuously increased from less than 100,000 short tons since April 2025 to 572,300 short tons [4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Movement of Shanghai Copper - The main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, rose rapidly from 103,000 yuan to around 109,000 yuan starting at 10:15 on January 29, 2026, and broke through 110,000 yuan in the afternoon, with a daily increase of nearly 8% [2] Factors Affecting Copper Prices - Copper is a key raw material for new - energy, power grid, and AI, and its security demand supports prices [2] - The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged and Powell's remarks led to price increases in gold, silver, and copper [4] - The expectations of interest rate cuts and tariffs in 2026, along with changes in LME and COMEX copper inventories, drive copper prices upward [4]
格林期货早盘提示:铁矿-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 05:37
Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 证,也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正,但 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价,投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关,格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失,敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 格林大华期货研究院所有 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发,须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 研究员: 纪晓云 从业资格: F3066027 交易咨询资格:Z0011402 联系方式:010-56711796 | | | | 黑色建材 | 铁矿 | 偏多 | 铁矿: 【行情复盘】 周三铁矿收跌。夜盘收涨。 【重要资讯】 1、生态环境部:"十四五"期间累计完成 9.4 亿吨粗钢产能、1.7 亿千瓦煤电机组 超低排放改造。 2、国家能源局:截至 2025 年底全国累计发电装机容量 38. ...
格林大华期货早盘提示:白糖,红枣-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 02:43
Morning session notice 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 研究员:李方磊 从业资格:F03104461 交易咨询资格:Z0021311 联系方式:19339940612 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 昨日 SR605 合约收盘价 5187 元/吨,日涨幅 0.37%,夜盘收 5222 元/吨;SR609 合约 | | | | | 收盘价 5198 元/吨,日涨幅 0.25%,夜盘收 5238 元/吨。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1.昨日广西白糖现货成交价为 5236 元/吨,下跌 3 元/吨;广西制糖集团报价区间 | | | | | 5250~5320 元/吨,部分下调 10~20 元/吨;云南制糖集团报价 5120~5180 元/吨,部 | | | | | 分上调 10 元/吨;加工糖厂主流报价区间为 5560~5900 元/吨,个别下调 10 元/吨 | | ...
格林期货早盘提示:甲醇-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 02:28
早盘提示 联系方式:15000295386 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【行情复盘】 | 周三夜盘主力合约 | 2605 | 期货价格下跌 | 6 | 元至 | 2317 | 元/吨,华东主流地区甲醇现货价 | | | | | | | | | | | 格上涨 | 23 | 元至 | 2290 | 元/吨。持仓方面,多头持仓减少 | 18548 | 手至 | 61.76 | 万手,空头 | 持仓减少 | 30357 | 手至 | 73.21 | 万手。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | 1、供应方面,国内甲醇开工率 | 89.9%,环比-1.3%。海外甲醇开工率 | 60.8%,环比+1.3%。 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2、库存方面,中国甲醇港口库存总量在 | 147.21 | 万吨,较上 ...
格林期货早盘提示:尿素-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 02:25
联系方式:15000295386 Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 研究员: 吴志桥 从业资格:F3085283 交易咨询资格:Z0019267 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【行情复盘】 | 周三尿素主力合约 | 2605 | 价格上涨 | 14 | 元至 | 1799 | 元/吨,华中主流地区现货价格上涨 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 元至 | 1760 | 元/吨。持仓方面,多头持仓减少 | 3247 | 手至 | 24.55 | 万手,空头持仓增 | 加 | 6730 ...
格林大华期货早盘提示:硅铁、锰硅-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 02:16
Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 联系方式:010-56711796 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 研究员:纪晓云 从业资格:F3066027 交易咨询资格:Z0011402 重要事项: 本报告中的信息均源于公开资料,格林大华期货研究院对信息的准确性及完备性不作任何保 证,也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正,但 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价,投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关,格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失,敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发,须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 昨日锰硅主力合约 SM2603 收于 1130.5 元/吨,环比日盘开盘下跌 ...
格林大华期货早盘提示:贵金属-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 02:12
Morning session notice | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 COMEX 黄金期货涨 6.46%报 5411.00 美元/盎司,COMEX 白银期货涨 10.06%报 116.62 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 美元/盎司。沪金主力合约上涨 3.36%报 1196.8 元/克,沪银主力合约上涨 1.46%报 28885 元/千克。 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、截至 1 月 28 日,全球最大黄金 ETF--SPDR Gold Trust 持仓较上日增加 2.58 吨, | | | | | 当前持仓量为 1089.96 吨。全球最大白银 ETF--iShares Silver Trust 持仓较上日 | | | | | 减少 211.42 吨,当前持仓量为 15636.12 吨。 | | | | | 2、据 CME"美联储观察":美联储到 3 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 13.5%,维持利 | | | | | 率不变的概率为 86.5%。美联储到 4 月累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 24.1%,维持利 | | ...
格林大华期货早盘提示:纯苯-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 02:11
Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价,投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关,格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失,敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 格林大华期货研究院所有 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发,须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 研究员:吴志桥 从业资格:F3085283 交易咨询资格:Z0019267 联系方式:15000295386 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 周三夜盘主力合约期货 BZ2603 价格上涨 81 元至 6148 元/吨,华东主流地区现货价 格 6020 元/吨(环比+70),山东地区现货价格 5957 元/吨(环比+16)。持仓方面, 多头增加 1493 手至 2.26 万手,空头减少 889 手至 2.67 万手。 【重要资讯】 | | -- ...
格林大华期货早盘提示:棉花-20260129
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 02:01
Morning session notice 早盘提示 Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 01 月 29 日星期四 研究员: 王子健 从业资格:F03087965 交易咨询资格:Z0019551 联系方式:17803978037 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 ICE3 月合约结算价 63.73 跌 10 点,5 月 65.46 涨 1 点,7 月 67.10 涨 9 点;成交 约 6.5 万手。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 郑棉总成交 766247 持仓 1131663。结算价 5 月 14755,9 月 14870,1 月 15270。 【重要资讯】 1、1 月 23 日新疆巴州区域机采棉 3129B 含杂 2.5%以内对应 2605 合约疆内库销 售基差在 1030-1080 元/吨,提货价在 15730-15780 元/吨,较昨日上涨 100 元/吨 | | | | | 左右。 | | | | | 2 ...