| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年6月20日 | 最新值 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | | 机关 | 品种 | 较前一日变化 | 53.40% | F期现价差 | -2.69 | 0.08 | 60.20% | | | | | | | | | | H期现价差 | -6.32 | -3.80 | 30.70% | 32.60% | 期现价差 | IC期现价差 | 86.10% | 0.97 | 8.84 | 92.20% | 90.00% | IM期刊价差 | 2.18 | 13.36 | 84.00% | | -1.00 | 0.80% | 6.50% | 次月-3月 | -42.00 | 李月-景日 | 7.70% ...

广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88830760 E-Mail：zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录： 金融衍生品： 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银 集运指数 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、锌、镍、不锈钢、锡、碳酸锂 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、铁合金 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工： 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品： 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 6 月 20 日星期五 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1292 号 刘珂（投资咨询资格：Z0016336） 电话：020-88818026 邮箱：qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020- 88818017 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨询资格：Z0010559） 电话：020-81868743 邮箱：zhoumingbo@gf.com.cn 本报告中所有观点仅供参考，请务必阅读正文之后的免责声 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core View of the Report - The report provides a daily tracking and analysis of the positions of stock index futures, including IF, IH, IC, and IM, on June 19, 2025, covering aspects such as total positions, main contract positions, and changes in the positions of the top 20 long and short seats [1][4][10][15][20] Summary by Related Catalogs IF (CSI 300) - Total position change: On June 19, the total position of the IF variety increased by 4,729 hands, while the position of the main contract 2506 decreased by 18,151 hands [4] - Top 20 long - seat position changes: Among the top 20 long seats, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 40,799 hands. Shenyin Wanguo Futures had the most long - position increase, adding 1,174 hands, and Zhongtai Futures had the most long - position decrease, reducing 323 hands [5] - Top 20 short - seat position changes: Among the top 20 short seats, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 43,292 hands. China Merchants Futures had the most short - position increase, adding 1,987 hands, and Shenyin Wanguo Futures had the most short - position decrease, reducing 141 hands [7] IH (SSE 50) - Total position change: On June 19, the total position of the IH variety increased by 2,290 hands, while the position of the main contract 2506 decreased by 8,837 hands [10] - Top 20 long - seat position changes: Among the top 20 long seats, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 10,672 hands. Guotai Junan Futures had the most long - position increase, adding 969 hands, and Galaxy Futures had the most long - position decrease, reducing 213 hands [10] - Top 20 short - seat position changes: Among the top 20 short seats, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 12,841 hands. Guotai Junan Futures had the most short - position increase, adding 1,104 hands, and CICC Futures had the most short - position decrease, reducing 494 hands [11] IC (CSI 500) - Total position change: On June 19, the total position of the IC variety increased by 8,682 hands, while the position of the main contract 2506 decreased by 13,728 hands [15] - Top 20 long - seat position changes: Among the top 20 long seats, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 42,413 hands. CITIC Futures had the most long - position increase, adding 2,935 hands, and Huatai Futures had the most long - position decrease, reducing 413 hands [15] - Top 20 short - seat position changes: Among the top 20 short seats, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 41,689 hands. CITIC Futures had the most short - position increase, adding 2,346 hands, and J.P. Morgan Futures had the most short - position decrease, reducing 565 hands [16] IM (CSI 1000) - Total position change: On June 19, the total position of the IM variety increased significantly by 14,528 hands, while the position of the main contract 2506 decreased by 31,422 hands [20] - Top 20 long - seat position changes: Among the top 20 long seats, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 42,526 hands. CITIC Futures had the most long - position increase, adding 5,705 hands, and Xingzheng Futures had the most long - position decrease, reducing 522 hands [20] - Top 20 short - seat position changes: Among the top 20 short seats, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 61,716 hands. CITIC Futures had the most short - position increase, adding 4,795 hands, and Huawen Futures had the most short - position decrease, reducing 652 hands [22]

| 产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月19日 | | | | 林嘉施 | Z0020770 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日 涨跌 | 日 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#电解销 | 119825 | 119825 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 1#金川镇 | 120925 | 120925 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 1#金川镍升贴水 | 2600 | 2600 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇 | 118825 | 118675 | 150 | 0.13% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镍升贴水 | 500 | 350 | 150 | - | 元/肥 | | LME 0-3 | -204 | -204 | 0 | 0.12% | 美元/吨 | | 期货进口盈亏 | -3113 | -3303 | 190 | -5.75% | 元/吨 | | 沪伦比值 | 7.9 ...

| 油脂产业期现日报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 王浅辉 Z0019938 2025年6月19日 | | | | | 原田 | | | | | 6月18日 涨跌 | | 6月17日 | 涨跌幅 | | 8350 30 现价 江苏一级 | | 8320 | 0.36% | | 期价 Y2509 7680 ୧୧ | | 7614 | 0.87% | | 基差 Y2509 670 -36 | | 706 | -5.10% | | 现货墓差报价 江苏6月 09+250 -10 | | 09+260 | - | | 仓单 17552 0 | | 17552 | 0.00% | | 棕櫚油 | | | | | 6月18日 涨跌 | | 6月17日 | 涨跌幅 | | 现价 广东24度 8800 -10 | | 8810 | -0.11% | | 期价 P2509 8350 ୧୧ | | 8284 | 0.80% | | 其差 P2509 450 -76 | | 526 | -14.45% | | 现货墓差报价 09+320 ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年6月19日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 服新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -2.77 | -0.99 | 59.8096 | 53.20% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -2.52 | 0.63 | 42.20% | 45.60% | | | IC期现价差 | -7.87 | -5.36 | 81.90% | 72.30% | | | IM期现价差 | -11.19 | 0.28 | 90.00% | 63.40% | | | 次月-当月 | -41.00 | 0.00 | 1.20% | 6.70% | | | 季月-崇月 | -70.60 | -1.20 | 10.6096 | 14.30% | | | 远月-当月 | -99.20 | 2.00 | 17.20% | 19.00% ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - There is no information about industry investment ratings in the provided report. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - A-shares are stabilizing amidst fluctuations, and domestic risk assets are expected to attract more international capital inflows. The short - term trading volume has not expanded, and the market is mainly in a fluctuating state. [3] - The overall market sentiment for treasury bonds is relatively strong. For the unilateral strategy, treasury bonds can be appropriately allocated with long positions on dips. For the spot - futures strategy, the positive arbitrage strategy of the TS2509 contract can be appropriately concerned. [3] - The prices of crude oil and precious metals have declined. If the risk - aversion sentiment continues to weaken, the sold out - of - the - money call options on gold can be held. The upward drive has weakened, and the price has shifted to high - level consolidation. [3] - The EC main contract continues to fluctuate within a narrow range of 1900 - 2200. [3] Group 3: Summaries by Related Catalogs Financial Sector - **Stock Index**: The lower support of the index is relatively stable, while the upward breakthrough pressure still exists. The negotiation of tariffs is still in the game. The Lujiazui Financial Forum reflects the development goals of opening up to the outside world and RMB internationalization. It is recommended to try selling the put options with an exercise price of 5800 in July to earn the premium. [3] - **Treasury Bonds**: The mention of monetary policy in the Lujiazui Forum is less, and the policies expected by the market have not been implemented. But treasury bond futures have not shown an obvious correction. [3] - **Precious Metals**: The Fed kept the interest rate unchanged as expected with a hawkish attitude. The risk - aversion sentiment has weakened, and the prices of crude oil and precious metals have fallen. [3] - **Container Shipping Index (European Line)**: The EC main contract continues to fluctuate within a narrow range of 1900 - 2200. [3] Black Sector - **Steel**: The demand and inventory of industrial steel products are deteriorating. It is recommended to wait and see for unilateral operations and focus on the long - steel and short - raw material arbitrage operation. [3] - **Iron Ore**: The decline in molten iron production has narrowed, and the arrival volume has climbed to a high level. It is recommended to try shorting on rebounds, with the upper pressure level around 720. [3] - **Coking Coal**: The auction non - successful rate in the market has decreased, the coal mine start - up rate has declined from a high level, and the spot market is weakly stable. It is recommended to go long on coking coal and short on coke. [3] - **Coke**: The third round of price cuts by mainstream steel mills on June 6 has been implemented, and there is still an expectation of a fourth - round price cut this week. It is recommended to go long on coking coal and short on coke. [3] - **Silicon Iron**: Pay attention to the cost changes, and the losses of manufacturers are intensifying. It is recommended to try shorting on rebounds when the price reaches 5300 - 5400. [3] - **Silicon Manganese**: The profit situation in different production areas is differentiated, and the futures price is fluctuating at the bottom. It is recommended to try shorting on rebounds when the price reaches 5700 - 5800. [3] Non - ferrous Sector - **Copper**: The weak driving force continues, and the futures price fluctuates within a narrow range. The main contract is expected to fluctuate between 77000 - 80000. [3] - **Zinc**: The center of zinc price has moved down, and the inventory reduction provides support for the price. Pay attention to the support level of 21000 - 21500 for the main contract. [3] - **Nickel**: The sentiment is低迷, and the futures price maintains a weak fluctuation. The fundamentals have not changed much. The main contract is expected to fluctuate between 118000 - 124000. [3] - **Stainless Steel**: The futures price fluctuates within a narrow range, and the fundamentals remain weak. The main contract is expected to fluctuate between 12400 - 13000. [3] - **Tin**: Under the strong reality, the tin price fluctuates at a high level. It is recommended to focus on the recovery rhythm of the supply side and adopt the strategy of shorting on highs based on the inflection points of inventory and import data. [3] Energy and Chemical Sector - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical risks are still uncertain in the short term. In the long - term, the impact of fundamental factors on the market needs to be considered. It is recommended to wait and see for unilateral operations. [3] - **Urea**: The futures price has short - term technical correction pressure, and the upward space of the futures price requires effective verification from the news. It is recommended to take a bullish view in the short term and consider positive arbitrage at the arbitrage end. [3] - **PX**: Its own supply - demand is tight, and the cost side is strong. The short - term trend of PX is strong. Pay attention to the pressure above 7000 and the trend of oil prices. [3] - **PTA**: The supply - demand is gradually weakening, but the cost side is strong. PTA fluctuates strongly. Pay attention to the pressure around 5000. [3] - **Short - fiber**: With the expectation of factory production cuts, the processing fee is expected to be repaired. The unilateral operation of PF is the same as that of PTA. [3] - **Bottle - chip**: During the peak demand season, there is an expectation of production cuts for bottle - chips, and the processing fee may rebound from the bottom. PR follows the cost fluctuation. [3] - **Ethanol**: The shutdown of the Iranian ethylene glycol plant has boosted the rise of ethylene glycol. Pay attention to the pressure of 4500 - 4550 for EG09 in the short term. [3] - **Styrene**: Short - term energy disturbances cause the futures price to fluctuate repeatedly. It is recommended to wait and see for now and pay attention to the short - selling opportunities caused by the resonance of raw material ends in the medium term. [3] - **Caustic Soda**: The purchase price of alumina has continuously declined, and the futures price is mainly searching for the bottom. [3] - **PVC**: The short - term contradiction has not further intensified, and macro - disturbances have increased. The futures price consolidates at a low level. [3] - **Synthetic Rubber**: Affected by international geopolitical conflicts, BR has stopped falling and rebounded. BR2507 fluctuates in the range of 11000 - 12000 in the short term. [3] - **LLDPE**: The spot sentiment is good, and the upstream is holding up the price. It is regarded as bullish in the short term, and positive arbitrage on the monthly spread is recommended. [3] - **PP**: The supply and demand are both weak, but the cost side has strong support. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and be bearish in the medium term. [3] - **Methanol**: Affected by the Iranian issue, the market's willingness to allocate long positions is strong. It is bullish in the short term, and positive arbitrage on the monthly spread is recommended. [3] Agricultural Sector - **Soybean Meal**: The rise of crude oil and US soybean oil supports US soybeans, and the soybean meal futures price fluctuates strongly. [3] - **Pig**: As the weather gets hotter, the demand is weak, and the pig price fluctuates slightly. Pay attention to the performance around 13500. [3] - **Corn**: The upward momentum is insufficient, and the corn price fluctuates at a high level. It fluctuates around 2400 in the short term. [3] - **Oils**: Short - term oils may show a stagnant - rise and adjustment trend. P2509 may fluctuate around 8500 in the short term. [3] - **Sugar**: The overseas supply outlook is relatively loose. It is recommended to trade short on rebounds, with the reference range of 5600 - 5850. [3] - **Cotton**: The downstream market remains weak. It is recommended to trade short on rebounds and pay attention to the pressure level around 13700. [3] - **Egg**: The spot market remains weak. The price rebounds from the bottom and then shows a short - selling trend after the rebound. [3] - **Apple**: The market is weak, and the trading volume is small. The main contract runs around 7600. [3] - **Jujube**: The market price runs weakly and stably. It runs around 8900 in the short term. [3] - **Peanut**: The market price fluctuates. The main contract runs around 8200. [3] - **Soda Ash**: The logic of oversupply continues. It is recommended to maintain the strategy of shorting on highs on rebounds. [3] Special Commodities Sector - **Glass**: The spot market sales have improved, and the short - term futures price has support. It is recommended to wait and see. [3] - **Rubber**: The continuous rebound of crude oil has driven up the rubber price. The short positions above 14000 can continue to be held. [3] - **Industrial Silicon**: The downstream demand is expected to increase, and the industrial silicon futures price fluctuates. [3] New Energy Sector - **Polysilicon**: There is an expectation of increased production of polysilicon, and the futures price has declined with reduced positions. Short positions can continue to be held. [3] - **Lithium Carbonate**: The futures price fluctuates and consolidates, and the fundamentals still face pressure. The main contract is expected to run between 56,000 - 62,000. [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints Nickel - Yesterday, the Shanghai nickel market remained weak, with limited fundamental changes. The industry's over - supply and weak consumption continued to exert pressure. In the short - term, the market is expected to fluctuate weakly in the range of 118,000 - 124,000 yuan/ton [1]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel market showed a narrow - range oscillation. Fundamentals remained weak, with supply at a high level and demand recovering slowly. The market is expected to operate weakly, with the main contract ranging from 12,400 - 13,000 yuan/ton [4]. Lithium Carbonate - The lithium carbonate futures market oscillated, with fundamentals under pressure. The short - term market is expected to operate weakly in the range of 56,000 - 62,000 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to upstream dynamics [6]. Tin - The tin market has a tight supply of tin ore and weakening demand. An approach of shorting on rallies based on inventory and import data inflection points is recommended [8]. Zinc - The zinc market has a continuous loose trend in the ore supply. The demand is showing a marginal weakening trend. In the medium - to - long - term, a shorting - on - rallies strategy is suggested, with the main contract focusing on the support level of 21,000 - 21,500 yuan/ton [10]. Aluminum - The alumina market is expected to see an increase in supply and potential inventory accumulation. The medium - term price is expected to reach the cash cost of 2,700 yuan/ton. The aluminum market is supported in the short - term but may face pressure in Q3, with the price expected to range around 20,000 yuan/ton [13]. Copper - The copper market is in a situation of "strong reality + weak expectation". The short - term price is expected to oscillate, with the main contract ranging from 77,000 - 80,000 yuan/ton [14]. Summary by Catalog Nickel - **Price and Basis**: SMM 1 electrolytic nickel and 1 Jinchuan nickel prices remained unchanged. The price of 1 imported nickel increased by 0.13%. The futures import loss decreased by 5.75%. The price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron decreased by 0.27% [1]. - **Cost**: The cost of integrated MHP and external - purchased raw materials for producing electrowon nickel decreased, while the cost of integrated high - grade nickel matte increased [1]. - **New Energy Materials Price**: The price of battery - grade nickel sulfate decreased by 0.36%, and the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate remained unchanged [1]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months showed various changes [1]. - **Supply and Demand, Inventory**: China's refined nickel production decreased by 2.62%, and imports increased by 8.18%. Inventories in various regions decreased to different extents [1]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Basis**: The spot prices of 304/2B stainless steel remained stable, and the futures - spot spread decreased by 11.54% [4]. - **Raw Material Price**: The price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron decreased by 0.27%, and the price of South African 40 - 42% chrome concentrate decreased by 1.77% [4]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months changed [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: China's 300 - series stainless - steel crude - steel production increased by 0.36%, imports increased by 10.26%, and exports decreased by 4.85% [4]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Basis**: The prices of battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate remained stable, while the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide decreased [6]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months decreased [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: In May, the production of battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 2.33%, and the demand increased by 4.81%. In April, imports increased by 56.33% and exports increased by 233.72% [6]. Tin - **Spot Price and Basis**: The prices of SMM 1 tin and Yangtze 1 tin increased by 0.11%, and the LME 0 - 3 premium increased by 20.74% [8]. - **Internal - External Ratio and Import Profit/Loss**: The import loss decreased by 1.10% [8]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months showed significant changes [8]. - **Fundamental Data (Monthly)**: In April, tin ore imports increased by 18.48%, and in May, SMM refined tin production decreased by 2.37% [8]. Zinc - **Price and Basis**: The price of SMM 0 zinc ingot increased by 0.86%, and the premium decreased [10]. - **Ratio and Profit/Loss**: The import loss decreased, and the Shanghai - London ratio increased [10]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months changed slightly [10]. - **Fundamental Data**: In May, refined zinc production decreased by 1.08%, and in April, imports increased by 2.40% and exports increased by 75.76% [10]. Aluminum - **Price and Spread**: The price of SMM A00 aluminum increased by 1.36%, and the premium decreased. The prices of alumina in different regions decreased slightly [13]. - **Ratio and Profit/Loss**: The import loss increased, and the Shanghai - London ratio decreased [13]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months increased [13]. - **Fundamental Data**: In May, alumina production increased by 2.66%, and electrolytic aluminum production increased by 3.41% [13]. Copper - **Price and Basis**: The price of SMM 1 electrolytic copper increased by 0.15%, and the premium decreased. The refined - scrap spread increased by 1.08% [14]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contract months decreased [14]. - **Fundamental Data**: In May, electrolytic copper production increased by 1.12%, and in April, imports decreased by 19.06% [14].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the polyolefin industry, oil price surges suppress the cost - end, profits are compressed to the lowest level of the year, and inventories are differentiated. PE is recommended for positive spreads, while PP is recommended for short - positions in the medium - term [21]. - In the methanol industry, due to geopolitical conflicts, the market has a strong long - position sentiment. Short - term strategies are recommended for positive spreads, and it is necessary to track the situation in Iran and MTO dynamics [30]. - In the PVC and caustic soda industry, caustic soda supply still exerts pressure, demand is weak, and there are inventory risks. PVC has short - term price increases but long - term supply - demand contradictions. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term and take short - positions in the medium - term [32][35]. - In the urea industry, the short - term futures market is affected by rising Middle - East FOB prices and domestic factory export orders. The market is expected to be in high - level oscillations, with a bullish bias [38]. - In the styrene industry, short - term geopolitical factors drive prices up, but there is a possibility of supply - demand weakening. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term and look for short - position opportunities in the medium - term [43]. - In the polyester industry, PX, PTA, ethylene glycol, short - fiber, and bottle - chip have different supply - demand situations. Strategies vary from short - term strength to long - term supply - demand balance adjustments [47]. - In the crude oil industry, geopolitical premiums have declined, and the market is likely to continue high - level oscillations in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see on the spot side and capture volatility - narrowing opportunities on the options side [52]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Polyolefin Industry - **Prices**: L2601, L2509, PP2601, and PP2509 closing prices all increased on June 18 compared to June 17, with increases ranging from 1.25% to 1.38% [21]. - **Inventory**: PE enterprise inventory decreased by 1.83%, and social inventory decreased by 4.56%. PP enterprise inventory increased by 4.52%, and trader inventory increased by 5.31% [21]. - **Operation Rate**: PE device operation rate increased by 2.27%, and downstream weighted operation rate decreased by 1.00%. PP device operation rate increased by 2.1%, and powder operation rate decreased by 1.3% [21]. Methanol Industry - **Prices**: MA2601 and MA2509 closing prices increased on June 18 compared to June 17, with increases of 1.83% and 2.53% respectively. Port prices increased significantly [30]. - **Inventory**: Methanol enterprise inventory decreased by 3.10%, port inventory decreased by 10.09%, and social inventory decreased by 7.52% [30]. - **Operation Rate**: Upstream domestic enterprise operation rate increased by 0.83%, and downstream external - procurement MTO device operation rate increased by 0.85% [30]. PVC and Caustic Soda Industry - **Prices**: PVC and caustic soda futures and spot prices had different changes on June 18 compared to June 17. Caustic soda export profit increased significantly, while PVC export profit decreased [32]. - **Supply**: Caustic soda industry operation rate decreased by 2.6%, and PVC total operation rate data was unavailable. PVC external - procurement calcium carbide method profit increased by 5.5% [33]. - **Demand**: Alumina industry operation rate increased by 2.0%, and PVC downstream product operation rates generally decreased [34][35]. - **Inventory**: Caustic soda had inventory differentiation, with East China de - stocking and Shandong stocking. PVC upstream factory inventory decreased by 0.4%, and total social inventory decreased by 1.8% [35]. Urea Industry - **Prices**: Urea futures prices had different changes on June 18 compared to June 17. Spot prices in different regions also had slight fluctuations [38]. - **Supply**: Domestic urea daily output increased by 1.00%, and production factory operation rate increased by 1.00% [38]. - **Inventory**: Domestic urea factory inventory decreased by 3.49%, and port inventory remained unchanged [38]. Styrene Industry - **Raw Material Prices**: Prices of Brent crude oil, CFR Japan naphtha, CFR Northeast Asia ethylene, and CFR China pure benzene all increased on June 18 compared to June 17 [40]. - **Styrene Prices**: Styrene East China spot price and futures prices increased on June 18 compared to June 17 [41]. - **Operation Rate and Inventory**: Domestic pure benzene comprehensive operation rate increased by 2.9%, styrene operation rate increased by 2.1%. Port inventories of pure benzene and styrene decreased [43]. Polyester Industry - **Prices**: Prices of polyester products such as POY, FDY, DTY, and polyester chips increased on June 18 compared to June 17. PX, PTA, and MEG prices also had different changes [47]. - **Operation Rate**: Asian and Chinese PX operation rates, PTA operation rate, and MEG comprehensive operation rate had different changes [47]. - **Inventory**: MEG port inventory decreased, and PTA and MEG inventories had different trends [47]. Crude Oil Industry - **Prices**: Brent, WTI, and SC crude oil prices had different changes on June 19 compared to June 18. Product oil prices and cracking spreads also had fluctuations [52]. - **Inventory**: EIA data showed that last week's US crude oil inventory unexpectedly decreased, far exceeding market expectations [52]. - **Market Outlook**: Geopolitical premiums have declined, and the market is expected to continue high - level oscillations in the short - term [52].

原木期货日报 证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月19日 曹剑兰 | 20019556 | | --- | | 期货和现货价格 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 6月18日 | 6月17日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 原木2507 | 795.5 | 793.0 | 2.5 | 0.32% | | | 原木2509 | 795.0 | 802.0 | -7.0 | -0.87% | | | 原木2511 | 796.5 | 806.0 | -9.5 | -1.18% | | | 7-9价差 | 0.5 | -9.0 | 9.5 | | | | 9-11价差 | -1.5 | -4.0 | 2.5 | | | | 7-11价差 | -1.0 | -13.0 | 12.0 | | | | 07合约基差 | -45.5 | -53.0 | 7.5 | | | | 09合约基差 | -45.0 | -62.0 | 17.0 | | | | 11合约基差 | -46.5 | -66.0 | 19.5 | | 元/立方 ...