策 略 研 究 新股申购 2025 年 10 月 31 日 北矿检测（920160）：有色金属检 测"小巨人"，募投研发生产精密仪 器 ——北交所新股申购策略报告之一百四十八 本期投资提示： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 研 究 报 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq@swsresearch.com 联系人 王雨晴 (8621)23297818× wangyq@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 申 购 策 略 告 相关研究 - ⚫ 基本面：检验检测"小巨人"，专精有色金属矿产资源领域。公司 2016 年成立，总部位 于北京大兴，主营业务为有色金属矿产资源检验检测服务。公司是国家级专精特新"小巨 人"企业，是国内有色金属领域的权威检验检测机构，承担有色金属矿产品、冶炼产品、 选矿药剂、环境样品等的质量检测、技术鉴定检验、质量评价、认证检验和仲裁检验任务， 能够覆盖绝大部分有色金属矿产元素的检测。2021 年、2022 年、2023 年 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company's performance for the first three quarters of 2025 met expectations, with a revenue of 1.025 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% [6] - The core IP capabilities are strong, with significant growth in key events such as the World Artificial Intelligence Conference and the Shanghai Marathon, which are expected to enhance revenue streams [6] - The company has a robust shareholder return strategy, with a dividend payout ratio of 76.32% of the net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating confidence in future performance [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 1.694 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.1% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 305 million yuan for 2025, showing a slight decrease of 0.6% year-on-year [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.41 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 27 [5] Business Strategy - The company is expanding its market presence through various collaborations and strategic partnerships, enhancing its national and international footprint [6] - It is also diversifying into new sectors, such as the pet economy, and leveraging its core IP to transition into a comprehensive service provider in the AI field [6] - The company has established a professional subsidiary to operate year-round services related to the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, aiming to broaden its revenue sources [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company has shown steady cost reductions and is positioned for robust high-quality development in the swine industry [1][8] - The company reported a total revenue of 111.79 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.78 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year [8] - The company has increased its sales volume of commodity pigs by 27% year-on-year, selling 57.32 million heads in the first three quarters of 2025 [8] - The average breeding cost has decreased to 11.6 yuan/kg, down 1.5 yuan/kg since January 2025, indicating improved breeding efficiency [8] - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, including a partnership with BAF Vietnam to establish a breeding project [8] - The slaughtering business has achieved profitability for the first time in a single quarter, with a slaughter volume of 19.16 million heads, a 140% increase year-on-year [8] - The company is focused on reducing leverage, with a debt ratio of 55.50% as of the end of Q3 2025, down from the mid-year figure [8] Financial Summary - The company expects total revenue of 141.41 billion yuan for 2025, with a net profit of 17.49 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease from previous forecasts [8][10] - The projected earnings per share for 2025 is 3.20 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 16 [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 40.572 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.61%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.517 billion yuan, down 0.92% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights that the hydropower generation from the Yalong River has decreased, but a low base in Q4 is expected to help recover performance growth [7] - The report notes that while thermal power generation has faced pressure, a decline in coal prices has improved profit margins for the thermal power segment [7] Financial Data Summary - Total revenue projections for 2025E are 55.182 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -4.6% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025E is projected to be 7.201 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year increase [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is estimated at 0.90 yuan [6] - The company’s average on-grid electricity price decreased by 0.016 yuan/kWh in Q3 compared to Q2, a decline of 0.9% year-on-year [7] - The report indicates that the company’s financial expenses decreased by 20.51% year-on-year due to a reduction in interest rates [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huaneng Hydropower, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to the market [7]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance met expectations, with total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching RMB 20.641 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 7.539 billion, up 4.34% year-on-year [7]. - The increase in power generation is attributed to favorable water conditions and the commissioning of new projects, with total power generation reaching 962.66 billion kWh, a 11.90% increase year-on-year [7]. - The report highlights the long-term growth potential from the upstream projects on the Lancang River, particularly the RM hydropower station, which is expected to enhance overall power generation efficiency [7]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The projected total revenue for 2025 is RMB 26.798 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.7%. The net profit forecast for 2025 is RMB 9.280 billion, reflecting an 11.8% increase [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at RMB 0.50, with a projected gross margin of 57.6% [6]. - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to RMB 92.80 billion, RMB 98.44 billion, and RMB 102.40 billion respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 19, and 19 times [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's revenue met expectations, while profits fell short. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.356 billion yuan, representing an 8% year-on-year growth. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 95 million yuan, a 13% increase year-on-year, but the third quarter saw a decline in net profit by 7% [6][5] - The company is focusing on expanding its cell business as a second growth curve, planning to acquire related companies from Yuaneng Group to enhance its health industry ecosystem [6][5] - The overseas sales system is mature, with strong demand in North America, while domestic market conditions remain less favorable. The company is implementing a new marketing strategy to enhance service standards and expand its market presence in China [6][5] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 1.796 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.4%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 118 million yuan, reflecting a 41.5% increase year-on-year [5][6] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to remain stable at 39% across the next few years, with a return on equity (ROE) expected to rise to 11.7% by 2026 [5][6] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now expecting net profits of 118 million yuan, 152 million yuan, and 162 million yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 33, 26, and 24 [6][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in profits, turning from a loss to a profit in Q3 2025, with total revenue of 8.19 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.4% [4][7] - The apparel segment showed steady growth, while the non-apparel segment experienced a strategic contraction, leading to a reduction in losses [7] - The company has effectively managed expenses and inventory, resulting in a substantial improvement in cash flow, with operating cash flow increasing by 253% year-on-year [7] - The company is optimistic about clearing inventory in the upcoming sales season and is confident in achieving its equity incentive targets for 2025 [7] - The company is positioned as a technology-driven cross-border e-commerce entity, leveraging digitalization and agile organizational capabilities to expand its market presence [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 12.53 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 341 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 59.3% [5] - The gross margin is forecasted to be 44% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.2% [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a slight decline in performance but remains active in land acquisition, focusing on core cities [8] - The company reported a 15.1% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q3 2025, while net profit decreased by 4% [8] - The company’s land acquisition amount reached 750 billion yuan, a 160% increase year-on-year, indicating a strong commitment to expanding its land bank [8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 169,399 million yuan, reflecting a 5.3% decrease compared to the previous year [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 3,822 million yuan for 2025, down 5.4% year-on-year [7] - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 14.5% for 2025 [7] - The weighted average financing cost is reported at 2.84%, showing continuous optimization [8] - The company’s total liabilities to assets ratio is 61.0%, indicating a stable financial position [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant reduction in impairment losses, with brokerage and proprietary trading achieving high growth, while asset management business is at a turning point [1][4] - For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 12.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.11 billion yuan, up 54.8% year-on-year [4] - The report highlights a strong performance in brokerage and proprietary trading, with brokerage revenue reaching 2.38 billion yuan, up 49.1% year-on-year, and proprietary trading income improving significantly [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s projected revenues and net profits for 2025-2027 are as follows: - Revenue: 24.25 billion yuan (2025E), 25.50 billion yuan (2026E), 26.54 billion yuan (2027E) - Net profit attributable to shareholders: 6.88 billion yuan (2025E), 7.45 billion yuan (2026E), 7.94 billion yuan (2027E) [5][7] - The report indicates a weighted ROE of 6.35% for the first nine months of 2025, an increase of 2.19 percentage points year-on-year [4] Business Performance - The company’s brokerage business revenue exceeded 1 billion yuan in a single quarter, with a continuous increase in client asset scale [6] - The investment banking business showed high growth from a low base, with quarterly average revenue increasing from 2.92 million yuan in 2024 to 3.9 million yuan in 2025 [6] - The asset management business revenue for Q3 2025 was 3.72 million yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24% and a year-on-year increase of 20% [6] Investment Analysis Opinion - The report raises profit forecasts and maintains a "Buy" rating, citing high growth in brokerage and proprietary trading as the main sources of performance increase, along with a recovery in investment banking and a turning point in asset management revenue [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Railway (601390) is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the decline in profit for Q3 has narrowed, and the company is implementing a mid-term dividend to enhance shareholder returns [1] - The company's Q1-Q3 2025 revenue was 776.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.39%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 17.49 billion, down 14.97% year-on-year, which aligns with expectations [6] - The report maintains the profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 25.2 billion, 24.9 billion, and 25.8 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 6X, 6X, and 5X [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 1,156.73 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of -0.3% [5] - The gross profit margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 8.64%, a decrease of 0.15 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.82 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 2.02 billion, which accounts for 17.11% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [6] - The operating cash flow for Q1-Q3 2025 was -72.88 billion, with a cash collection ratio of 94.1%, down 4.49 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company has developed five modern mines, with significant production of various metals, indicating a robust performance in its mineral resources business [6]