1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report analyzes the economic growth, inflation, and related market trends in July 2025, including production, demand, CPI, and PPI indicators, and points out the price changes and influencing factors of various products and industries [4]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Economic Growth: Cement Prices Approach Previous Lows 3.1.1 Production: Power Plant Daily Consumption Fluctuates at a High Level - Power plant daily consumption fluctuates at a high level. On July 29, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generation groups was 882,100 tons, a 0.01% decrease from July 22. On July 22, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 2.18 million tons, a 4.0% decrease from July 15 [4][11]. - The blast furnace operating rate remains at a high level. On July 25, the national blast furnace operating rate was 83.5%, unchanged from July 18; the capacity utilization rate was 90.8%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from July 18. On July 25, the blast furnace operating rate of steel mills in Tangshan was 92.0%, unchanged from July 18 [4][14]. - The tire operating rate shows weak and stable operation. On July 24, the operating rate of all - steel truck tires was 65.0%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from July 17; the operating rate of semi - steel car tires was 75.9%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from July 17. The operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions declined moderately [4][16]. 3.1.2 Demand: Cement Prices Approach Previous Lows - The new - home sales in 30 cities turned negative month - on - month. From July 1 - 29, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 201,000 square meters, a 31.4% decrease compared to the same period in June, an 18.8% decrease compared to the same period in July last year, and a 34.7% decrease compared to the same period in July 2023 [4][22]. - The retail sales of the auto market are stable and relatively strong. In July, retail sales increased by 9% year - on - year, and wholesale sales increased by 17% year - on - year [4][23]. - Steel prices maintain resilience. On July 29, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil increased by 2.1%, 0.8%, 0.9%, and 0.9% respectively compared to July 22 [4][30]. - Cement prices approach previous lows. On July 29, the national cement price index decreased by 1.6% compared to July 22, with prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions decreasing by 2.3% and 2.7% respectively [4][31]. - Glass prices corrected. On July 29, the active futures contract price of glass was 1,182 yuan/ton, a 1.7% decrease from July 22 [4][37]. - The container shipping freight index has declined for seven consecutive weeks. On July 25, the CCFI index decreased by 3.2% compared to July 18, and the SCFI index decreased by 3.3% [4][40]. 3.2 Inflation: Pig Prices Weaken 3.2.1 CPI: Pig Prices Weaken - Pig prices weaken. On July 29, the average wholesale price of pork was 20.5 yuan/kg, a 1.2% decrease from July 22 [4][46]. - The agricultural product price index fluctuates weakly. On July 29, the agricultural product wholesale price index decreased by 0.04% compared to July 22. By variety, eggs (+5.1%) > fruits (+1.7%) > mutton (+0.9%) > vegetables (+0.7%) > chicken (+0.4%) > beef (-0.02%) > pork (-1.2%) [4][50]. 3.2.2 PPI: Oil Prices Rise - Oil prices rise. On July 29, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were 71.6 and 69.2 dollars/barrel respectively, increasing by 2.2% and 6.0% compared to July 22 [4][53]. - Copper and aluminum prices decline. On July 29, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum decreased by 0.9% and 1.2% respectively compared to July 22 [4][58]. - The month - on - month increase of the domestic commodity index widens. On July 29, the Nanhua Industrial Products Index decreased by 0.8% compared to July 22, and the CRB index decreased by 0.3% [4][58]. - Most industrial product prices rise. Since July, most industrial product prices have increased, with wire rod, cement, and steam coal prices decreasing month - on - month, while other industrial product prices increasing month - on - month, with coking coal and coke having the largest increases. The year - on - year decline of most industrial product prices has narrowed [62].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given text. The report mainly focuses on analyzing the performance, scale,持仓 characteristics, and fund companies of Hong Kong stock funds. 3. Summaries Based on Related Catalogs 3.1 Hong Kong Stock Fund Performance and Scale Development - **Risk - Return Indicators**: Different types of Hong Kong stock funds, including Hong Kong Stock Connect - ETF & Passive Index, Hong Kong QDII - ETF & Passive Index, Hong Kong Stock Connect - Active, and Hong Kong QDII - Active, have varying returns, maximum drawdowns, and annualized Sharpe ratios over different time periods (1 quarter, 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years). For example, the Hong Kong QDII - Active fund had a 10.22% return in the recent quarter [13]. - **Scale and Share Changes**: There are data on the scale development and share changes of different types of Hong Kong stock funds, as well as the new issuance situation of Hong Kong stock funds in each quarter [17][22]. 3.2 Hong Kong Stock Fund Holding Characteristics - **Stock and Hong Kong Stock Positions**: Information on the stock positions and Hong Kong stock positions of different types of Hong Kong stock funds over the past five years is provided, along with the distribution of stock and Hong Kong stock positions [24][27]. - **Sector Allocation**: The sector allocation of Hong Kong stock funds shows that industries such as media, commerce and retail, and electronics are among the top - allocated sectors. There are also changes in the proportion of different sectors over time [31][35]. - **Heavy - Holding Stocks**: The heavy - holding stocks of Hong Kong stock funds include companies like Tencent Holdings, Xiaomi Group - W, and Alibaba - W. There are also data on the top 10 stocks by market value ratio, the top 10 stocks with increased or decreased allocation, and the top 10 stocks by the number of heavy - holding funds [37][39]. 3.3 Hong Kong Stock Fund Company Analysis - **Fund Company Scale**: The top 20 fund companies in terms of Hong Kong stock fund scale in 2025Q2 are listed, along with their scale in 2025Q1, scale changes, and ranking changes. For example, China Asset Management had a scale of 1009.3 billion yuan in 2025Q2, with a 9.61% increase from 2025Q1 [47]. - **Heavy - Holding Industries and Stocks**: The heavy - holding industries (at the Shenwan primary level) and heavy - holding stocks of the top 20 fund companies in terms of Hong Kong stock fund scale are presented, along with the proportion of heavy - holding stocks and their changes [50][51]. 3.4 Performance - Outstanding Hong Kong Stock Fund Holding Display and Quarterly Report Views - **Funds Holding "Top 50 Rising Stocks"**: Some actively managed Hong Kong stock funds that held "top 50 rising stocks" in 2025Q2 are listed, including their fund codes, names, types, 2025Q2 returns, fund managers, total scale, and the stocks they held, along with the stocks' 2025Q2 rising percentages and the proportion of the stocks' market value in the fund's net value [54][55]. - **Quarterly Report Excerpts**: Excerpts from the 2025 second - quarter reports of some performance - outstanding actively managed Hong Kong stock funds are provided, including their performance, fund managers, total scale, and investment strategies. For example, the Huatai - PineBridge Hong Kong Stock Connect Advantage Select A fund plans to invest in innovative drug companies and excellent equipment and consumable leading companies with high barriers [57][58].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.80, 0.85, and 0.90 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9x, 8x, and 8x [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1120.3 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 92.6 billion RMB, an increase of 24.3% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [2] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 516.97 billion RMB, down 3.3% year-on-year, but net profit rose by 50.1% to 42.9 billion RMB [2] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 125.3 billion RMB, 132.8 billion RMB, and 140.9 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [4] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have a revenue of 236.187 billion RMB, with a revenue growth rate of -3.81% [9] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 12.534 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 23.66% [9] - The diluted EPS for 2025 is forecasted to be 0.798 RMB, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.80 [9] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 8.59% in 2025 to 8.81% in 2027 [9] Operational Highlights - The coal power segment reported a total profit of 73.1 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a significant increase of 84% year-on-year, despite a decrease in utilization hours [10] - The company added 1.9 GW of wind power and 4.3 GW of solar power capacity in the first half of 2025, doubling the installation scale compared to the previous year [10] - The profit per kilowatt-hour for wind and solar power remained stable, with total profits from the solar segment reaching 18.2 billion RMB, up 46% year-on-year [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Insights - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of $2.89 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21%, with a GAAP gross margin of 12.8%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance for 2025 to $11.55 billion from a previous estimate of $10.85 billion, and expects Non-GAAP EPS to be $5.50, up from $5.00 [2]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the increasing demand for switches, particularly in the communication terminal market, which saw a revenue of $1.641 billion in Q2 2025, a 75% year-on-year increase [3]. - The company anticipates continued growth in the communication terminal market, projecting a year-on-year increase of 60-65% for Q3 2025 [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the high demand for ASIC servers and Ethernet switches due to the explosion of inference demand [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a net profit of $211 million, a significant increase of 122% year-on-year [2]. - Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was $161 million, reflecting a 49% year-on-year growth [2]. Operational Analysis - The company's enterprise terminal market revenue in Q2 2025 was $433 million, down 37% year-on-year, but showed a positive trend compared to Q1 2025 [3]. - The company is positioned to gain more projects as the design and manufacturing complexity of ASIC servers increases [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected GAAP net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are $645 million, $781 million, and $1.078 billion, respectively [10]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong customer base, including major clients like Google, Amazon, and Meta, which will support its growth in the data center market [4].

Group 1: Tax Revenue Insights - Personal income tax (PIT) increased by 8% year-on-year in the first half of the year, despite overall tax revenue declining by 1.2%[3] - Value-added tax (VAT) grew by 2.8%, while corporate income tax (CIT) saw a decline of 1.9%[7] - Non-tax revenue turned negative, with a 3.7% year-on-year decrease in June, primarily due to reduced contributions from state-owned assets and improved business environment leading to lower fees and penalties[28] Group 2: Fiscal Expenditure and Investment Trends - General fiscal expenditure rose by 17.6% year-on-year in June, significantly up from 5.3% for infrastructure investment, which fell by 3.9% compared to the previous month[4] - The acceleration in fiscal spending is largely attributed to a one-time injection of special bonds into commercial banks, with actual growth being slower when excluding this factor[34] - Special bonds are increasingly being used for debt repayment, with 46.7% of newly issued bonds in July allocated for this purpose, compared to only 41.7% for project construction[51] Group 3: Future Fiscal Outlook - The fiscal revenue and expenditure are expected to face pressure in the second half, with projected year-on-year growth rates of -4.5% for revenue and 1.5% for expenditure[5] - The anticipated budget gap for the year is estimated at 516.6 billion yuan for revenue and 547.2 billion yuan for expenditure, with limited necessity for additional deficits[5] - The government plans to utilize fiscal reserves, including the budget stabilization fund and profits from central financial enterprises, to cover a projected 120 billion yuan shortfall due to new subsidies[69]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the beef industry, highlighting a new upward cycle in global beef prices expected to last until 2027 [1][4]. Core Insights - The beef cattle breeding industry is characterized by strong cyclicality, with a long production cycle of approximately 28 months for fattening cattle, leading to limited supply growth [1][12]. - Global beef prices have entered a new upward cycle, with prices expected to rise significantly due to declining supply and increasing demand [1][20]. - Domestic beef supply in China is projected to decrease significantly, leading to potential new highs in beef prices [2][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Strong Cyclicality in Beef Cattle Breeding, Global Beef Prices Entering Upward Cycle - The production cycle for beef cattle is lengthy, with a typical time frame of over 2 years from breeding to market [1][12]. - Historical data shows that the average length of beef price upcycles in China is around 4 years, with the current cycle expected to extend until 2027 [1][20]. 2. Significant Decline in Domestic Capacity, Beef Prices Expected to Reach New Highs - Approximately 73% of China's beef supply comes from domestic production, with a notable contraction in both domestic cattle inventory and imports [2][35]. - The top 50 beef cattle breeding enterprises account for only 1.25% of the total inventory, indicating low industry scale and significant losses leading to capacity reduction [2][48]. - Policy measures are anticipated to further restrict beef imports, contributing to a decrease in supply and an increase in domestic beef prices [2][60]. 3. Multiple Factors Leading to Global Inventory Decline, Overseas Beef Prices Rising - Global cattle inventory is projected to decline, with a forecasted decrease of 1% in 2025, marking the lowest level in a decade [3][77]. - The supply contraction is expected to drive global beef prices higher, with significant reliance on South American countries for imports [3][66]. - The U.S. beef prices have reached historical highs, further influencing global price trends [3][66]. 4. Investment Recommendations: Optimistic Outlook for the Beef Industry, Emphasis on Dairy-Beef Synergy - The report suggests a favorable investment environment in the beef industry, particularly for exporters benefiting from rising global beef prices [4][66]. - The correlation between beef and milk prices indicates potential profitability for dairy cattle operations as beef prices rise [4][66].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - As of July 28, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have been adjusted, and the yields of state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual real estate bonds have increased across the board. In the financial bonds, the yields of various financial varieties have basically increased [3][4][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overall Credit Bond Situation - The weighted average valuation yields and spreads of different types of credit bonds (including urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds) are presented, along with their changes compared to last week [13][15][16]. 3.2 Urban Investment Bonds 3.2.1 Public Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are below 2.4%. Yields exceeding 4.5% are found in prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Guizhou. Higher spreads are also observed in regions such as Guangxi, Yunnan, and Gansu. Compared with last week, the yields of public urban investment bonds have generally increased, with the 2 - 3 - year varieties having a larger adjustment range [3][26]. - Specific varieties with a large increase in yields include 2 - 3 - year Anhui provincial perpetual bonds, 1 - year - within Gansu prefecture - level non - perpetual bonds, 1 - 2 - year Liaoning prefecture - level non - perpetual bonds, and 2 - 3 - year Hainan provincial perpetual urban investment bonds [26]. 3.2.2 Private Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 2.9%. Yields higher than 4% are found in prefecture - level areas of Guizhou. Higher spreads are also present in Shaanxi, Yunnan, Gansu, etc. Compared with last week, the yields of private urban investment bonds have mainly increased. The varieties with a large increase in yields are 3 - 5 - year Guangxi district - county - level non - perpetual bonds, 1 - 2 - year Ningxia prefecture - level non - perpetual bonds, 2 - 3 - year Guizhou district - county - level non - perpetual bonds, and 1 - 2 - year Guangxi provincial non - perpetual urban investment bonds, with increases of 18.8BP, 15.6BP, 14.1BP, and 12.7BP respectively [3][40]. 3.3 Industrial Bonds - The valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds are generally higher than other varieties. - For non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds, the yields have been adjusted. The 2 - 3 - year private enterprise public perpetual varieties have a relatively larger increase, with an average increase of 147.5BP. In real estate bonds, the yields of state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual varieties have increased across the board, and the yields of 1 - 2 - year private enterprise public non - perpetual varieties have increased by 11.1BP [4][13]. 3.4 Financial Bonds - Varieties with high valuation yields and spreads include leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - bonds. - Compared with last week, the yields of various financial varieties have basically increased. In leasing bonds, the 1 - 2 - year varieties have a larger increase, with an average of about 10BP. In general commercial financial bonds, the interest rates of each variety have increased, with an amplitude of 4 to 7BP. In secondary perpetual bonds, the increase in the yields of rural commercial bank secondary capital bonds mostly exceeds that of other bank varieties, and the increase in the yields of rural commercial bank secondary bonds within 1 year and 2 - 3 years is greater than 20BP. In addition, in securities company bonds and sub - bonds, the increase in the yields of 3 - 5 - year securities company private non - perpetual sub - bonds exceeds 10BP [5][13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.62 RMB based on a 73x PE for 2026 [4]. Core Insights - The company, Xiangcai Co., is positioned in the financial technology sector, focusing on wealth management and plans to merge with Dazhihui to enhance profitability [2][3]. - The main revenue source is the securities business, which is expected to contribute 79% of total revenue in 2024, with brokerage and credit businesses being the key pillars [2][20]. - The company aims to leverage financial technology to drive business transformation and enhance competitive advantages through partnerships with industry leaders [3][35]. Company Overview - Xiangcai Co. was listed in 1997 and transitioned to the securities service industry after acquiring Xiangcai Securities in 2020 [2][14]. - The company has retained some industrial segments, including food processing and waterproof materials, but these are shrinking [2][20]. Business Structure - In 2024, the securities segment is projected to generate 16.50 billion RMB in revenue, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, while the industrial segment is expected to decline by 24% to 4.36 billion RMB [2][20]. - Brokerage and credit businesses are expected to account for over 60% of the securities segment's revenue in 2024 [31]. Core Competitive Advantages - The company employs a "platform + license" model, focusing on financial technology as a core driver for business development [3][35]. - A planned acquisition of Dazhihui is anticipated to create new profit growth points and enhance overall competitiveness [3][43]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company forecasts total revenues of 27.29 billion RMB, 30.26 billion RMB, and 33.07 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of 3.58 billion RMB, 5.34 billion RMB, and 5.99 billion RMB [4][55]. - The report predicts significant growth in net profit, with a 228% increase expected in 2025 [4][55].

Group 1: Overall Situation of Credit Bonds - As of July 28, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds are generally higher than other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have been adjusted, and the yields of state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual real estate bonds have all increased [3][8]. - The varieties with high valuation yields and spreads in financial bonds include leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - debt. Compared with last week, the yields of various financial varieties have basically increased [4][8]. Group 2: Urban Investment Bonds Public Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of public urban investment bonds in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are both below 2.4%. The urban investment bonds with yields exceeding 4.5% are in prefecture - level cities and district - level counties in Guizhou. The spreads in Guangxi, Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of public urban investment bonds have basically increased across the board, with the 2 - 3 - year varieties having a larger adjustment range [2][15]. - Specific regions' weighted average valuation yields and spreads are shown in Chart 5 and Chart 6, and the changes compared with last week are shown in Chart 7 [16][18][21]. Private Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of private urban investment bonds in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 2.9%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level cities in Guizhou. The spreads in Shaanxi, Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of various private urban investment bond varieties have mainly increased. The varieties with relatively large yield increases are 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual bonds in Guangxi's district - level counties, 1 - 2 - year non - perpetual bonds in Ningxia's prefecture - level cities, 2 - 3 - year non - perpetual bonds in Guizhou's district - level counties, and 1 - 2 - year non - perpetual bonds of Guangxi provincial - level, with corresponding increases of 18.8BP, 15.6BP, 14.1BP and 12.7BP respectively [2][24]. - Specific regions' weighted average valuation yields and spreads are shown in Chart 8 and Chart 9 [25][28]. Group 3: Industrial Bonds Private Enterprise Industrial Bonds - The valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds are relatively high. Among them, the 2 - 3 - year private enterprise public perpetual varieties have a relatively larger upward range, with an average increase of 147.5BP compared with last week [3][13]. Real Estate Bonds - The yields of state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual real estate bonds have all increased. Among them, the yields of 1 - 2 - year private enterprise public non - perpetual real estate bonds have increased by 11.1BP [3][13]. Group 4: Financial Bonds Leasing Company Bonds - The 1 - 2 - year varieties of leasing bonds have a larger yield increase, with an average increase of about 10BP [4]. General Commercial Financial Bonds - The interest rates of all varieties of general commercial financial bonds have increased, with an increase range of 4 to 7BP [4]. Secondary Perpetual Bonds - The yield increase of rural commercial bank secondary capital bonds in secondary perpetual bonds mostly exceeds that of other bank varieties. The yield increase of 1 - year - within and 2 - 3 - year rural commercial bank secondary bonds is greater than 20BP [4]. Securities Company Bonds and Sub - debt - The yield increase of 3 - 5 - year private non - perpetual sub - debt of securities companies exceeds 10BP [4].

- The macro timing strategy model recommended an equity position of 50% for July, with a signal strength of 100% for economic growth and 0% for monetary liquidity[4][27][28] - The macro timing strategy's year-to-date return as of the end of June 2025 was 1.34%, compared to the Wind All A Index return of 1.04%[4][27] - The micro-cap/large-cap index relative net value rose to 2.00 times, above its 243-day moving average of 1.48 times, indicating strong short-term momentum for micro-cap stocks[5][31] - The volatility congestion ratio was -13.56% year-on-year, well below the 55% risk threshold, indicating that the risk warning has been completely lifted[5][31] - The 10-year government bond yield was -21.85% year-on-year, also below the 30% interest rate risk control line, indicating that medium-term risks are under control[5][31] - Value factor in the CSI 300 pool had an IC of 12.36%, while the growth factor in the CSI 500 pool had an IC of -14.01%[37] - Quality factor in the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 pools had ICs of -18.32% and -2.99%, respectively[37] - Market capitalization factor in the All A-share pool had an IC of -7.07%[37] - Value factor in the CSI 300 pool recorded a weekly return of approximately 3.05%, while the consensus expectation factor in the CSI 500 pool had a drawdown of approximately -1.23%[37] - Market capitalization factor in the All A-share pool had a drawdown of approximately -0.56%, while the reversal factor in the CSI 300 pool recorded a return of approximately 2.09%[37] - Quality factor in the All A-share pool recorded a return of approximately 0.40%[37] - The quantifiable bond selection factors for convertible bonds showed significant differentiation in performance, with the stock growth factor leading with a weekly return of approximately 1.25%[41] - The stock consensus expectation factor followed closely with a weekly return of approximately 1.14%, while the stock quality factor recorded a return of approximately -0.13%[41] - The stock value factor had a drawdown of approximately -0.30%, and the convertible bond valuation factor had the deepest decline with a weekly return of -0.68%[41]