Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for Yingliu Co., driven by the rising demand in the "two machines" sector, with a projected average global gas turbine sales increase of 36% from 44.1 GW in 2023 to 60 GW from 2024 to 2026 [5][25]. - The nuclear fusion sector is expected to see accelerated bidding activity in 2025, with over 70 tenders reported for the Hefei BEST project this year, indicating a robust market environment [5][25]. - Huawei's collaboration with UBTECH in humanoid robotics and Tesla's advancements in their Optimus project signal a rapid development in the humanoid robotics industry [5][25]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index rose by 0.35% during the week of May 12-16, 2025, ranking 18th among 31 primary industry categories, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.12% [3][13]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has increased by 9.47%, ranking 3rd among the 31 primary industry categories, contrasting with a 1.16% decline in the CSI 300 Index [3][17]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The manufacturing PMI for April was reported at 49.0, indicating a slight decline, with new orders PMI at 49.2, reflecting a decrease of 2.6 percentage points [24]. Engineering Machinery - In April 2025, excavator sales reached 22,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, with exports at 9,595 units, up 19.3% [38]. Railway Equipment - From January to April 2025, railway fixed asset investment and passenger volume increased by 5.3% and 5.9% respectively, indicating a recovery in railway equipment demand [40]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.43 in April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.32%, suggesting improved profitability for shipbuilding companies [43]. Oilfield Equipment - Brent crude oil prices fluctuated around $65 per barrel, with ongoing monitoring of production increases and trade negotiations between China and the US [46]. Industrial Gases - Industrial gas prices are experiencing fluctuations, with both liquid oxygen and nitrogen prices showing variability [49]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes significant developments in the general machinery sector, including the delivery of key nuclear pump equipment and advancements in liquid cooling technology for data centers [50]. - The report also mentions a major breakthrough in natural gas exploration by Sinopec in Sichuan, which could enhance the region's production capabilities [51].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the chemical industry, with a recommendation for a defensive investment strategy due to ongoing market uncertainties [2][25]. Core Insights - The chemical market has seen an increase due to unexpected tariff reductions, with the Shenwan Chemical Index rising by 1.82%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.7% [2][10]. - The report highlights strong performance in military and robotics sectors, as well as stocks benefiting from tariff reductions [2]. - The easing of tariffs between China and the US, with a cancellation of 91% of additional tariffs, is expected to lead to a recovery in previously depressed export chains [2][3]. - Oil prices are projected to stabilize within a range, influenced by geopolitical factors and demand dynamics [2]. - The AI sector is showing significant growth, with major companies reporting substantial contributions from AI capabilities [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Brent crude oil futures average price was $65.52 per barrel, up 5.6% from the previous week, while WTI futures averaged $62.58 per barrel, an increase of 5.98% [10]. - The basic chemical sector outperformed the index, while the petrochemical sector underperformed [10]. - The top three performing sub-industries were viscose (8.72%), polyester (8.63%), and coatings (6.3%) [11]. Recent Views from the Chemical Team - The tire industry is recovering with increased operating rates and demand, while raw material prices are rising [25]. - The sweetener market, particularly sucralose, is showing signs of improvement with stable pricing and reduced supply [26]. - The dye market remains stable, with steady pricing and normal production levels [27]. - The DMC market is experiencing upward price movement due to improved downstream demand [27]. Key Industry Information - The titanium dioxide market is under pressure due to weak demand and reduced production rates [28]. - The vitamin E market is facing downward price pressure, with significant fluctuations in pricing reported [29]. - The coal chemical sector is stabilizing, with coal prices under pressure but showing signs of bottoming out [38][39].

Investment Rating - The report recommends investing in the logistics sector, specifically highlighting SF Holding as a strong candidate due to its valuation, operational resilience, and shareholder returns [2]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 19.1% in business volume for April, while the average revenue per package decreased by 7% [2]. - The logistics sector is under pressure with domestic shipping prices for liquid chemicals declining, but there is a push towards smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a recovery with an increase in flight operations and a new visa-free policy expected to boost inbound tourism [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index increased by 2.1% from May 10 to May 16, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1% [12]. Express Delivery - In April, the express delivery business volume reached 163.2 billion packages, a 19.1% increase year-on-year, with revenue of 121.28 billion yuan, up 10.8% [2]. - The average revenue per package was 7.43 yuan, down 7% year-on-year [2]. Logistics - The domestic shipping price for liquid chemicals was 163 yuan/ton, down 15.1% year-on-year [3]. - Hai Chen Co. is recommended due to its focus on smart logistics and improving demand in the consumer electronics sector [3]. Aviation and Airports - The average daily flight operations reached 14,919, a 5.58% increase year-on-year, with international flights up 17.67% [4]. - The introduction of visa-free travel for five countries is expected to enhance tourism [4]. Shipping - The export container shipping index (CCFI) was 1,104.88 points, down 0.1% week-on-week and down 20.5% year-on-year [22]. - The domestic container shipping index (PDCI) was 1,163 points, down 0.8% week-on-week but up 7.8% year-on-year [33]. Road and Rail - National highway truck traffic increased by 15.15% week-on-week, with a total of 51.75 million trucks [82]. - Railway passenger turnover was 1,121.34 billion person-kilometers, down 1.31% year-on-year [79].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - As of May 16, the weighted average trading durations of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.21 years and 2.72 years respectively, both at over 90% quantile levels since March 2021. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average trading durations of secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 4.09 years, 3.52 years, and 2.21 years respectively. Among other financial bonds, the durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.64 years, 2.33 years, 3.51 years, and 1.50 years respectively, with securities company bonds and securities subordinated bonds at lower historical quantiles and insurance company bonds and leasing company bonds at higher historical quantiles [2][10]. - The coupon duration congestion index declined and then slightly increased. After reaching its highest value in March 2024, it decreased but slightly increased this week compared to last week, currently at the 53.7% level since March 2021 [12]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Full - variety Term Overview - The weighted average trading durations of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.21 years and 2.72 years respectively, both at over 90% quantile levels since March 2021. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average trading durations of secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 4.09 years, 3.52 years, and 2.21 years respectively. Among other financial bonds, the durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.64 years, 2.33 years, 3.51 years, and 1.50 years respectively [2][10]. - The coupon duration congestion index declined and then slightly increased, currently at the 53.7% level since March 2021 [12]. 3.2 Variety Microscope Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average trading duration of urban investment bonds hovered around 2.21 years. The durations of Sichuan provincial and Shaanxi provincial urban investment bonds exceeded 6 years, while the duration of Hebei provincial urban investment bonds significantly shortened. The historical quantiles of the durations of urban investment bonds in certain regions such as Jiangsu prefecture - level cities, Jiangsu district - level counties, Zhejiang prefecture - level cities, Beijing district - level counties, Guangdong district - level counties, Sichuan province, Henan province, Jiangxi prefecture - level cities, Anhui province, Anhui prefecture - level cities, Shaanxi province, Guangxi province, and Yunnan province exceeded 90%. The duration of Jiangsu district - level county urban investment bonds approached the highest level since 2021 [3][16]. Industrial Bonds - The weighted average trading duration of industrial bonds slightly lengthened compared to last week, generally around 2.72 years. The trading duration of the food and beverage industry significantly shortened to 1.30 years, while that of the public utilities industry lengthened to 3.17 years. The trading durations of industries such as food and beverage were at lower historical quantiles, while those of public utilities, transportation, steel, and non - ferrous metals were at over 90% historical quantiles [3][21]. Commercial Bank Bonds - The duration of bank perpetual bonds slightly shortened to 3.52 years this week, at the 63.8% historical quantile, higher than the level of the same period last year. The duration of secondary capital bonds lengthened to 4.09 years, at the 91.2% historical quantile, higher than the level of the same period last year. The duration of general commercial financial bonds lengthened to 2.21 years, at the 78.2% historical quantile, higher than the level of the same period last year [3][23]. Other Financial Bonds - In terms of the weighted average trading duration, insurance company bonds > securities subordinated bonds > securities company bonds > leasing company bonds, at 78.4%, 58.7%, 49.5%, and 93.5% historical quantiles respectively. The durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, and leasing company bonds slightly lengthened compared to last week [4][26].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 16.9 billion for FY25, a decrease of 8.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 2.06 billion, down 10.4% year-on-year. The second half of FY25 saw revenue and net profit decline by 9.2% and 20.8%, respectively [1]. - The domestic market faced significant pressure, while the North American and European markets showed relative strength, with revenue growth of 3.2% and 19.2%, respectively [1][3]. - The company maintained a favorable dividend payout ratio of 50.8% for FY25, with a total dividend of HKD 0.27 per share [1]. Performance Analysis - Domestic sales were notably pressured, with a year-on-year decline of 16.5% in China, while North America and Europe experienced growth [1]. - The company’s gross margin improved by 1.1 percentage points to 40.5% due to a decrease in raw material costs, despite a decline in net margin by 0.3 percentage points to 12.8% [2]. - The company’s sofa sales volume decreased by 0.9% globally and 10.6% in China, indicating pricing pressure [1]. Financial Projections - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for FY26, FY27, and FY28 are HKD 0.52, HKD 0.57, and HKD 0.61, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 8X, 8X, and 7X [4][10].

Group 1: Quantitative Credit Strategy - The recent performance of perpetual bonds and broker bonds strategies has shown a high success rate as of May 9 [2] - Short-term strategies yielded limited excess returns, while mid to long-term strategies, excluding city investment duration and barbell strategies, showed positive excess returns [2][12] - Financial bonds and non-financial credit heavy strategies have widened the gap in cumulative excess returns over the past four weeks, particularly with increased yield elasticity in financial bond duration strategies [2][12] Group 2: Duration Tracking of Various Bonds - As of May 9, the weighted average transaction duration for city investment bonds and industrial bonds reached 2.09 years and 2.51 years respectively, both above the 90th percentile since March 2021 [3][15] - The weighted average transaction durations for secondary capital bonds, perpetual bonds, and general commercial bank bonds are 4.19 years, 3.59 years, and 2.30 years respectively [3][15] - Other financial bonds such as securities company bonds and insurance company bonds have varying durations, with some at historically low levels and others at high levels [3][15] Group 3: Yield Heatmap of Credit Assets - As of May 12, the valuation yield and spread of private enterprise real estate bonds are higher than other types of bonds [4][17] - Non-financial, non-real estate industrial bonds saw a yield decline of around 10 basis points, particularly in the one-year category [4][18] - Financial bonds with high valuation yields include leasing company bonds and securities subordinate bonds, with significant yield declines noted in certain categories [4][18] Group 4: Long-term Credit Bond Insights - The market shows weak willingness to increase long-duration credit bonds, despite the approaching low yields of government bonds and short-term assets [5][20] - Transaction volumes for mainstream long-duration industrial bonds have increased but remain below levels seen in late March, indicating insufficient trading sentiment to support long-term bond markets [5][20] - The recent week saw a decline in the transaction share of long-term credit bonds, falling below 70% [5][20] Group 5: Local Government Bond Supply and Trading Insights - The average coupon rates for 10-year, 20-year, and 30-year local government bonds are 1.79%, 2.07%, and 2.05% respectively, with varying spreads [6][23] - The liquidity in the interbank market remains reasonably ample, with moderate issuance volumes of local bonds, leading to stable supply pressure [6][23] - Long-term spreads continue to widen, but adjustments have led to a more stable outlook [6][23]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - In Q1 2025, the number of newly issued bond funds continued to decline, and the fundraising scale shrank to less than 100 billion yuan. This is related to the pressure on the bond market and the prominent stock - bond seesaw effect. The outstanding share of bond funds decreased to 9.03 trillion shares at the end of Q1 [2][5][11]. - Public funds switched their preferences and returned to increasing the allocation of coupon - bearing assets. In Q1, funds concentrated on increasing the allocation of bank sub - debt, slightly increased the allocation of general credit bonds, and reduced the allocation of general commercial financial bonds for three consecutive quarters [3][5][20]. - For urban investment bonds, funds focused on the certainty of short - end sinking, with the proportion of bonds within 2 years reaching two - thirds. In terms of regional distribution, funds increased their holdings of urban investment bonds in Zhejiang, Shandong, and Tianjin, and significantly extended the holding duration of Chongqing urban investment bonds [3][5][28]. - For industrial bonds, funds preferred to increase their holdings in the building decoration industry. Public utilities, comprehensive, and transportation were still the top three industries with the largest heavy - holding scale. The proportion of industrial bonds within 1 year reached a new high [4][5][43]. - For financial bonds, funds rediscovered niche varieties. They repurchased small and medium - sized bank sub - debt and shifted their allocation strategy from long - term secondary capital bonds to short - term bonds. The holding scale of insurance bonds reached a record high [4][5][49]. Summary by Directory 1. Overview of Incremental Funds: Bond Market Volatility and Decline in Bond Fund Scale - In Q1 2025, 57 new bond - type funds were issued, with a fundraising scale of 87.8 billion yuan, the lowest in the past three years. Compared with Q4 2024 and the same period last year, there was a significant gap [2][11]. - Affected by factors such as increased capital - side fluctuations and overseas disturbances, the bond market sentiment was poor, while the stock market attracted incremental funds due to the "tech bull" market. The index of ordinary stock - type and partial - stock hybrid funds rose by 4.7% compared with the previous quarter, while the overall bond - type fund index only rose by 0.02% quarter - on - quarter. Short - term bond funds and money market funds had better defensiveness, and long - term bond funds declined. The outstanding share of bond - type funds decreased by 0.44 trillion shares quarter - on - quarter to 9.03 trillion shares at the end of Q1 [2][15]. 2. Preference from Heavy - Holding Bonds: Consistency in Short - Bond Allocation - Public funds increased their heavy - holding scale of credit bonds by 3.2% quarter - on - quarter to 80.65 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a relatively obvious signal of increasing holdings since Q1 last year. At the same time, the holding scale of interest - rate bonds decreased by 103.1 billion yuan quarter - on - quarter, with a reduction of over 3% [20]. - **Urban Investment Bonds**: - Funds maintained a stable allocation of urban investment bonds, mainly concentrating on AA +, AA, and AA(2) grades. The holding proportion of AA and below grades remained stable at around 56%. As of the end of April, the net financing of urban investment bonds was weaker than in previous years [28]. - The holding duration of urban investment bonds was mainly within 2 years, accounting for two - thirds. The proportion of bonds over 3 years was controlled within 15% [3][28][32]. - In terms of regional distribution, funds increased their holdings of urban investment bonds in Zhejiang, Shandong, and Tianjin, with the holding scale increasing by more than 1 billion yuan quarter - on - quarter. Zhejiang, Shandong, and Jiangsu were still the top three regions in terms of absolute holding scale [35]. - The holding duration of Chongqing urban investment bonds was significantly extended by 1.04 years quarter - on - quarter to 2.19 years. The holding durations of urban investment bonds in North China regions such as Hebei, Henan, and Beijing also slightly increased [39]. - **Industrial Bonds**: - Funds preferred to increase their holdings in the building decoration industry, with an increase of 2.5 billion yuan quarter - on - quarter. Public utilities, comprehensive, and transportation were still the top three industries with the largest heavy - holding scale, with heavy - holding scales of 24.9 billion yuan, 19.6 billion yuan, and 10.4 billion yuan respectively [43]. - The proportion of industrial bonds within 1 year reached a new high, while the proportion of bonds over 2 years decreased. Overall, the proportion of industrial bonds within 3 years was about 74%. The holding duration of transportation industry bonds was extended to over 2 years, and the duration of coal bonds was also extended by about 0.4 years [4][46]. - **Financial Bonds**: - Funds repurchased small and medium - sized bank sub - debt. The holding scale of small and medium - sized bank sub - debt increased by 5.4 billion yuan in Q1, accounting for 15% of the total secondary - tier and perpetual bonds. The allocation of secondary capital bonds slowed down compared with Q4 last year, while funds turned to net buying of bank perpetual bonds [49]. - The allocation strategy shifted from long - term secondary capital bonds to short - term bonds. Funds increased their holdings of secondary capital bonds within 1 year the most, with the proportion rising to 28%. For bank perpetual bonds, shorter - term bonds within 1 year and 1 - 2 years were more preferred [53]. - The holding scale of insurance bonds reached a record high. Funds had increased their holdings of this variety for three consecutive quarters. As of the end of Q1, the heavy - holding scale of insurance bonds reached 1.66 billion yuan [57].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 7.18 HKD based on an 8x PE for the year 2025 [4]. Core Insights - The company is the world's largest wind power operator, backed by the State Energy Group, and is undergoing a transformation towards clean energy, with a target of adding approximately 30GW of new energy capacity [2][39]. - The company has a strong advantage in wind power asset quality, which is expected to stand out in the new market environment following the introduction of comprehensive marketization policies for renewable energy [3][64]. - The company has a robust pipeline of projects, with 14.7GW of development indicators secured for 2024 and a focus on upgrading older wind farms to enhance efficiency [2][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Leadership and Development - The company is a pioneer in wind power development in China, maintaining its position as the largest wind power operator globally since 2015, with a total installed capacity of 41.1GW as of the end of 2024 [18][39]. - The company has divested its thermal power assets, enhancing its green energy profile and focusing on renewable energy [19]. 2. Growth Drivers - The company has added approximately 17GW of new energy capacity from 2021 to 2024, with a goal of 5GW in 2025, leveraging its strong financing capabilities and project resource acquisition [2][39]. - The company is actively engaging in technology upgrades and new constructions to drive growth, with a significant number of projects in high-quality resource areas [2][35]. 3. Market Environment and Asset Quality - The introduction of the "136 Document" marks a new phase of marketization for renewable energy, with wind power expected to perform better than solar due to its non-simultaneous output characteristics [3][44]. - The company’s wind power assets have shown higher average utilization hours compared to local averages, primarily due to its early development of high-quality wind resources and a significant proportion of subsidized projects [3][64]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company’s projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.83, 0.90, and 0.98 RMB respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 7, 7, and 6 [4][8]. - The report anticipates a slight decline in average on-grid electricity prices for wind power projects from 2025 to 2027, with expected changes of -1.3%, -1.2%, and -1.7% year-on-year [3][60].

- The report discusses the performance of major market indices in China over the past week, highlighting that the SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices all experienced gains, with respective increases of 1.93%, 2%, 1.6%, and 2.22%[2][12] - The report mentions the release of April inflation data in China, noting that the PPI was -0.27% year-on-year, down 0.2% from the previous month, and the CPI was -0.1% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous month[3][20] - The People's Bank of China announced ten specific measures, including a 0.5% reserve requirement ratio cut and a 0.1% interest rate cut, which positively impacted the banking sector[3][20] - The report highlights the implementation of the "Action Plan to Promote High-Quality Development of Public Funds" by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, which aims to ensure that fund managers' performance compensation is significantly reduced if their products underperform the benchmark by more than 10% over three years[3][20] - The report suggests that fund managers will focus more on closely tracking performance benchmarks and allocating funds to large-cap stocks to reduce market volatility and avoid significant style deviations[3][20] - The report recommends maintaining core positions in large-cap value stocks and tactically switching to financial and domestic consumption sectors for the upcoming week[4][21] - The report discusses the micro-cap stock index timing and rotation indicators, noting that the micro-cap stock index relative net value crossed above the annual line on October 14, 2024, and the trend has continued since then[5][30] - The micro-cap timing model uses two mid-term risk warning indicators: the ten-year government bond yield year-on-year indicator and the volatility congestion degree year-on-year indicator. As of October 15, 2024, the volatility congestion degree indicator fell below the threshold, and the ten-year government bond yield indicator was -20.45%, not triggering the risk control threshold of 0.3[5][30] - The report tracks the performance of eight major stock selection factors across different stock pools (all A-shares, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000). The market capitalization factor performed best in the CSI 300 stock pool, while the reversal factor performed well in the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 stock pools[39][40] - The report notes that due to continued market volatility, volume-price factors maintained good performance, and small-cap stocks performed well, driving the market capitalization factor upward. The value factor also performed well due to the positive impact of the reserve requirement ratio cut on low-valuation sectors like banking[40] - The report provides the IC mean and long-short returns for the major factors, showing that the volatility factor achieved positive returns in the all A-shares stock pool, indicating some stability[41] - The report discusses the construction of quantitative bond selection factors for convertible bonds, tracking the performance of five bond selection factors. The equity growth factor achieved positive long-short returns last week[45][46] - The report includes detailed definitions and classifications of major factors, such as market capitalization, value, growth, quality, consensus expectations, technical, volatility, and reversal factors[51]

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintain Rating) [1] Core Viewpoints - The recent military conflict between India and Pakistan has highlighted the effectiveness of Chinese military equipment, particularly in the context of military exports [2][5] - The global arms trade is expected to enter a new cycle of prosperity due to increased demand driven by geopolitical tensions, with China's military exports likely to gain market share [3][4][26] Summary by Sections 1. Overview of the India-Pakistan Conflict - The conflict began with a terrorist attack in India, leading to India's "Operation Zhusha" and Pakistan's counteraction, showcasing the effectiveness of Chinese military equipment used by Pakistan [13][20] 2. Impact on the Military Industry - Global demand for military equipment is increasing, with military spending projected to reach $2.72 trillion in 2024, a 9.4% increase [23][26] - The arms trade saw a significant increase of 29% in 2022, with a projected export value of $28.938 billion TIV in 2024 [3][26] 3. China's Military Export Potential - China's military exports have surged from $1.358 billion TIV in 2021 to $2.982 billion TIV in 2023, with 45% of exports going to Pakistan [4][33] - The report emphasizes the transition of Chinese military equipment into a "DEEPSEEK" era, indicating advancements in technology and capabilities [42] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on seven key areas for military trade-related investments: aviation equipment, missile systems, radar systems, drones, low-cost munitions, ground equipment, and communication data links [5][67]