Investment Rating - The investment rating for the precious metals sector is "Positive" (maintained) [6][7] Core Viewpoints - The precious metals sector is experiencing fluctuations, with gold prices continuing to oscillate while silver has recently reached a new high. Over the past two weeks, the London spot gold price decreased by 0.08% to $3,339.90 per ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange gold price increased by 0.40% to ¥783.24 per gram. The London spot silver price rose by 9.34% to $36.19 per ounce, and the Shanghai Futures Exchange silver price increased by 7.10% to ¥8,850 per kilogram [6][11] - Key factors influencing the market include the escalation of U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, the lack of substantial outcomes from the second round of Russia-Ukraine negotiations, and better-than-expected U.S. non-farm payroll data. The recent surge in silver prices to a 13-year high is attributed to these factors [6][7] - Looking ahead, the "Trump 2.0" narrative and the expectation of interest rate cuts are expected to provide strong momentum for gold prices. The upcoming U.S. economic data from May to July will be crucial for market direction [6][7] Price Trends - Recent price movements show that the London spot gold price fell by 0.08% to $3,339.90 per ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange gold price rose by 0.40% to ¥783.24 per gram. The London spot silver price increased by 9.34% to $36.19 per ounce, and the Shanghai Futures Exchange silver price rose by 7.10% to ¥8,850 per kilogram [11][12] - The holding volume for Shanghai gold decreased by 7.56% to 421,700 contracts, while the holding volume for Shanghai silver increased by 13.29% to 1,039,500 contracts [11][12] U.S. Economic Data and Federal Reserve Tracking - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations. The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2% [6][7][25] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% in June, with a potential for rate cuts in September [6][7] Holdings and Trading Volume - The report highlights the changes in holdings and trading volumes for both gold and silver, indicating a significant increase in silver holdings while gold holdings have decreased [46][52] Internal and External Price Differences - The internal and external price differences for gold and silver have shown an increase, with the gold internal-external price difference rising to ¥13.82 per gram and the silver internal-external price difference to ¥504.44 per kilogram [63]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Sichuan Chengyu (601107.SH) based on its strategic advantages and high dividend potential [6][9]. Core Views - Sichuan Chengyu, as a subsidiary of Shudao Group, focuses on transportation infrastructure investment, operation, construction, and management, along with green energy investment and resource development [8][19]. - The company aims to enhance its road network scale and operational efficiency, projecting steady revenue growth, with expected revenues of 10.36 billion yuan in 2024 and a net profit of 1.46 billion yuan [8][11]. - The "Big Group + Small Company" strategy is expected to drive resource integration and operational efficiency, enhancing shareholder returns through a commitment to a minimum cash dividend payout ratio of 60% of net profit from 2023 to 2025 [8][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of June 6, 2025, the closing price is 6.39 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.54 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 66.62% [4][7]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.56 billion, 1.69 billion, and 1.88 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.6, 11.6, and 10.4 [9][11]. - The company is compared with peers like Ninghu Expressway, Shenzhen Expressway, and Guangdong Expressway A, indicating a strong position in the western highway operation sector [9][11]. Business Structure - The core business includes highway bridge management and maintenance, contributing 46.10% to revenue in 2024, while construction services and sales from service areas account for 26.09% and 23.91% respectively [20][23]. - The company operates approximately 900 kilometers of highways, with ongoing projects adding another 136.1 kilometers, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.91% in operational mileage from 2009 to 2024 [41][42]. Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue is expected to grow due to increased traffic and operational efficiency, with a projected revenue of 11.22 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 8.28% year-on-year growth [7][10]. - The average remaining toll collection period for the company's assets is 11.13 years, providing ample time for traffic growth and revenue realization [47]. Shareholder Returns - Sichuan Chengyu has a strong commitment to shareholder returns, having distributed over 5.9 billion yuan in cash dividends since its listing, with a planned minimum cash dividend payout ratio of 60% for the years 2023-2025 [37][38].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [5][8][71]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a global port investment platform with ongoing overseas expansion contributing to profit growth [5][10]. - The company has a strong financial foundation, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 expected to be 48.13 billion, 51.75 billion, and 56.04 billion yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 6.57%, 7.53%, and 8.27% [6][71]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 10.64, 9.90, and 9.14 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating potential undervaluation [8][71]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is controlled by China Merchants Group and has established itself as a leading global port developer, investor, and operator [7][20]. - The core business includes port loading and unloading, bonded logistics, and smart technology, with loading and unloading accounting for over 95% of revenue by 2024 [7][21]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 show a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.88%, with significant contributions from both domestic and international operations [6][45]. - The average revenue from domestic operations accounted for 71.84% of total revenue from 2019 to 2024, establishing a solid performance base [38][46]. Investment Strategy - The company has expanded its global port network, establishing investments in 51 ports across 26 countries and regions by the end of 2024 [34][55]. - The investment strategy focuses on acquiring stakes in key ports, with significant contributions from investments in Shanghai Port and other major players [7][20]. Revenue Streams - The company anticipates steady growth in its core loading and unloading business, with expected revenues of 163.38 billion, 174.52 billion, and 186.16 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [68][69]. - The bonded logistics business is projected to grow at a rate of 5% annually, contributing to overall revenue stability [68][69]. Market Position - The company benefits from a diversified asset base, which helps mitigate regional risks and ensures stable revenue from domestic operations [46][47]. - The overseas business, while smaller, has shown a CAGR of 11.12% from 2019 to 2024, indicating strong growth potential in emerging markets [45][55].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media and internet industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The upcoming summer blockbuster season is expected to drive strong performance in quality content products, with significant trading opportunities in new game launches, film releases, and collectible toys [4][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of new game tests and launches, as well as the box office performance of summer films [4][5][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Gaming Sector - The launch of quality products continues to significantly contribute to company performance, with notable examples including the party game "暴吵萌厨" and the RPG mobile game "伊瑟" [5] - AI companion products like "EVE" are set to begin testing, highlighting the potential for head companies in the AI + gaming paradigm to drive value reassessment [5] Film Sector - Over 60 domestic and foreign films have been scheduled for the 2025 summer season, with key films like "聊斋：兰若寺" and "长安的荔枝" gaining attention [6] - The summer season is projected to boost the box office market, with a focus on the production companies and cinema/ticketing firms behind these films [6] Collectible Toys and Card Games - The sector shows high growth potential, with new products being launched, such as "符文战场：英雄联盟对战卡牌" [7] - Companies are increasingly focusing on the "谷子经济" and expanding into the collectible toy market, indicating a robust development trajectory [7] Internet Sector - Major companies like Tencent and Alibaba are showcasing stable business development across various modules, with a focus on AI-driven efficiency improvements [8] - The report suggests that leading companies are likely to benefit from strategic adjustments in their internal structures and the acceleration of domestic open-source models [8] AI Applications - Companies embracing new technologies with data, user, and application advantages are expected to benefit from a new paradigm in AI applications [9] - The integration of smart hardware with multimodal large models is anticipated to drive industry upgrades, particularly in sectors like toys and education [9] State-Owned Publishing - State-owned media companies are actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions, with a focus on enhancing their operational capabilities [9] Market Review - From June 2 to June 6, 2025, the media sector in A-shares saw a 2.59% increase, ranking 7th among all industries [13][14] Industry News - The report highlights the release of the 2025 summer film list and various technological advancements in the media sector, including AI tools and strategic partnerships among companies [19][20][21][22]

行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 08 日 证券研究报告 小金属 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 项祈瑞 SAC：S1350524040002 xiangqirui@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 小金属价格分化显著：稀土/钨/钼上涨，锡/锑震荡调整 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——小金属＆新材料双周报（2025/5/26-2025/6/6） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 稀土：国内价格小幅上涨，等待出口窗口期落地稀土价格有望突破。近两周，氧化 镨钕上涨 4.66%至 44.9 万元/吨，氧化镝上涨 0.31%至 163 万元/吨，氧化铽上涨 1.69%至 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][59] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the potential of the FIC molecule CKBA in the market, particularly recommending Tai En Kang [3][4] - The pharmaceutical index increased by 1.13% from June 2 to June 6, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.25% [5][30] - The report suggests focusing on innovative drugs as a clear industry trend, with specific recommendations for various companies [5][30] - The report highlights the ongoing clinical trials and potential market for CKBA, particularly in treating vitiligo and other autoimmune diseases [5][24][29] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The pharmaceutical index saw a weekly increase of 1.13%, with 334 stocks rising and 144 falling [5][30] - Notable gainers included Yiming Pharmaceutical (+33.09%) and Wanbangde (+32.59%) [30][31] Recommended Stocks - The report recommends focusing on stocks such as Xinlitai, Huana Pharmaceutical, Rejing Bio, Sanofi Pharmaceutical, and Kunming Pharmaceutical [5][51] - For June, the suggested stocks include Xinlitai, Kelun Pharmaceutical, China Biopharmaceutical, and others [6][51] Clinical Development and Market Potential - CKBA, developed from the natural product AKBA, shows promise in treating vitiligo and other autoimmune diseases [5][24][29] - The clinical trials for CKBA ointment are progressing well, with results expected in July 2025 [29] Industry Outlook - The report anticipates a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, driven by innovation, international expansion, and an aging population [48] - Key areas of focus include innovative drugs, overseas markets, domestic replacements, and high-barrier industries [48][49]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [6][110]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that copper prices have risen significantly due to the U.S. increasing tariffs on aluminum and steel, with weekly price changes for London copper, Shanghai copper, and New York copper being +1.60%, +1.71%, and +2.78% respectively [7]. - The report suggests that the short-term outlook for copper prices remains volatile, with a focus on financial attributes such as U.S. import investigations and economic data [7]. - For aluminum, the report notes a continuous reduction in inventory, with aluminum prices maintaining stability despite slight fluctuations [7]. - Lithium prices are experiencing a downward trend, with a significant drop in lithium carbonate and spodumene prices, indicating a potential for future production cuts [7]. - Cobalt prices are under pressure due to weak demand, but potential policy changes in the Democratic Republic of Congo could present rebound opportunities [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown a strong performance, with the Shenwan non-ferrous index rising 3.74%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.61 percentage points [13]. - The report indicates that the overall market sentiment is positive, with specific segments like rare earths and new materials performing well [13]. 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - London copper prices increased by 1.60%, while Shanghai copper rose by 1.71%. The inventory levels for London copper decreased by 11.66% [27]. - The report notes that the copper smelting profit margin is currently negative at -2622 yuan/ton, but losses are narrowing [27]. 2.2 Aluminum - London aluminum prices fell by 0.29%, and Shanghai aluminum prices decreased by 0.10%. The report highlights a decrease in both London and Shanghai aluminum inventories [39]. - The profit margin for aluminum smelting has decreased by 1.86% to 3564 yuan/ton [39]. 2.3 Lead and Zinc - Lead prices increased by 1.18% in London and 0.39% in Shanghai, while zinc prices rose by 0.36% in London and 0.11% in Shanghai [51]. - The report indicates that the smelting profit for zinc is stable at 3600 yuan/ton, with mining profits decreasing slightly [51]. 2.4 Tin and Nickel - Tin prices saw a significant increase, with London tin prices rising by 6.23% and Shanghai tin prices increasing by 3.96% [65]. - Nickel prices also experienced growth, with domestic nickel iron enterprises showing increased profitability [65]. 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices are on a downward trend, with lithium carbonate prices falling by 0.82% to 60200 yuan/ton and spodumene prices dropping by 7.40% to 626 USD/ton [79]. - The report indicates that the profit margins for lithium smelting are currently negative, suggesting a challenging market environment [79]. 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices are under pressure, with domestic cobalt prices decreasing by 0.43% to 233000 yuan/ton. The report notes potential for recovery based on policy changes in the DRC [91].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the overall credit spread of AAA - rated entities slightly widened, while the spreads of AA+ electronic and AA pharmaceutical and biological industries significantly compressed, and the credit spreads of bonds in other industries and ratings fluctuated slightly. [2][3][24] - For urban investment bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly this week, with most regional spreads slightly widening, and the spreads of AA - rated urban investment entities in regions such as Guizhou and Yunnan slightly compressing. [2][27][28] - Regarding industrial bonds, the credit spread showed a pattern of widening at the short - end and slight fluctuation at the long - end this week. [2][31] - For bank capital bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly this week, and the 5 - year second - tier and perpetual bonds remained strong. [2][35] - It is recommended to continue to focus on the opportunities of 3 - 5 - year industrial bonds with good liquidity and yields above 2% and high - coupon bank second - tier and perpetual bonds this week. [2][41] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market 3.1.1 Net Financing Scale - The net financing of traditional credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 170 billion yuan this week, a decrease of 72.4 billion yuan compared with last week. The total issuance was 282.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 178 billion yuan, and the total repayment was 112.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 105.6 billion yuan. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 10.4 billion yuan, an increase of 30.3 billion yuan compared with last week. [6] - By product type, the net financing of urban investment bonds was 32.7 billion yuan, an increase of 6.8 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 121.4 billion yuan, an increase of 42.9 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 15.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 122.1 billion yuan. [6] 3.1.2 Issuance Cost - The issuance interest rates of AA+ and AAA - rated financial bonds decreased significantly this week, while that of AA - rated industrial bonds increased significantly. The changes in the issuance interest rates of other bonds and ratings did not exceed 7BP. [3][13] - Specifically, the issuance interest rate of AA+ - rated financial bonds decreased by 20BP compared with last week, mainly due to the issuance of "25 Great Wall Guorui CP002". The issuance interest rate of AAA - rated financial bonds decreased by 13BP, mainly due to the issuance of "25 Huishang Bank 01". The issuance interest rate of AA - rated industrial bonds increased by 23BP, mainly due to the high - coupon issuance of bonds such as "25 Honghe 03". [13] 3.2 Secondary Market 3.2.1 Trading Volume and Turnover - The trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 269.6 billion yuan compared with last week. The trading volume of urban investment bonds was 181.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 39.5 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 258 billion yuan, a decrease of 80.6 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 311.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 149.5 billion yuan. The trading volume of asset - backed securities was 1.25 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.21 billion yuan. [14] - The overall turnover rate of credit bonds decreased compared with last week. The turnover rate of urban investment bonds was 1.17%, a decrease of 0.26 percentage points; that of industrial bonds was 1.52%, a decrease of 0.48 percentage points; that of financial bonds was 2.18%, a decrease of 1.04 percentage points; and that of asset - backed securities was 0.36%, a decrease of 0.35 percentage points. [15] 3.2.2 Yield - Except for the significant increase in the yield of AA - rated credit bonds over 10 years, the yield fluctuations of credit bonds with different terms and ratings did not exceed 2BP. The yield of AA - rated credit bonds over 10 years increased by 9BP, reaching 3.59%. [19][20] - Taking AA+ - rated 5 - year bonds of each type as an example, the yields of different types of bonds decreased to varying degrees this week. For industrial bonds, the yields of privately - issued and perpetual industrial bonds decreased by 4BP and 3BP respectively. For urban investment bonds, the yield of AA+ - rated 5 - year bonds decreased by less than 1BP. For financial bonds, the yield of commercial bank ordinary bonds increased by less than 1BP, and that of secondary capital bonds increased by 2BP. For asset - backed securities, the yield of AA+ - rated 5 - year securities decreased by 3BP. [20] 3.2.3 Credit Spread - Overall, the credit spread of AAA - rated entities slightly widened this week, while the spreads of AA and AA+ - rated entities in some industries significantly compressed. The spreads of AA+ electronic and AA pharmaceutical and biological industries compressed by 28BP and 25BP respectively, and the credit spread of AA+ leisure services widened by 9BP. The fluctuations of credit spreads of bonds in other industries and ratings did not exceed 5BP. [24] - For urban investment bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly. The spreads of 0.5 - 1Y, 1 - 3Y, 3 - 5Y, and 5 - 10Y bonds widened by 2BP, 2BP, 1BP, and 2BP respectively, and the spread of bonds over 10 years compressed by less than 1BP. Regionally, most regional spreads slightly widened, and the spreads of AA - rated urban investment entities in Guizhou and Yunnan compressed by 1BP and 4BP respectively. [27][28] - For industrial bonds, the credit spread showed a pattern of widening at the short - end and slight fluctuation at the long - end. The spreads of private and perpetual industrial bonds within 1 year widened by 2 - 5BP, the spreads of 5 - year AA+ private and perpetual industrial bonds compressed by 2BP and 1BP respectively, and the spreads of 10 - year industrial bonds fluctuated slightly. [31] - For bank capital bonds, the overall credit spread fluctuated slightly, showing a pattern of slight widening at the short - end and slight compression at the long - end. For bank secondary capital bonds, the spreads of 1 - year AAA -, AA+, and AA - rated bonds widened by 1BP, 2BP, and 2BP respectively, and the spreads of 10 - year AAA - and AA - rated bonds compressed by 1BP and 1BP respectively. For bank perpetual bonds, the spreads of 1 - year AAA -, AA+, and AA - rated bonds widened by 2BP, 2BP, and 2BP respectively, and the spreads of 10 - year AAA -, AA+, and AA - rated bonds compressed by 1BP, 2BP, and 2BP respectively. The 5 - year second - tier and perpetual bonds remained strong. [35] 3.3 This Week's Bond Market News - The issuer, Guangdong Mengtai High - tech Fiber Co., Ltd., had its entity rating and the rating of its "Mengtai Convertible Bond" downgraded. [2][40]

Group 1 - The North Exchange will officially launch the North Certificate Specialized and New Index on June 30, 2025, providing investors with a multi-dimensional investment benchmark [2][5][9] - The North Certificate Specialized and New Index will select the largest 50 companies from the "specialized and new" small giant listed companies on the North Exchange, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [5][9] - A total of 27 companies are expected to enter the dual index list, including Jinbo Biological, Shuguang Digital Innovation, and Naconoer [9][10] Group 2 - The financial performance of the Specialized and New Index shows better growth compared to the North Certificate 50 Index, with total revenue and median revenue for 2024 reaching 318 million and 4.09 million respectively [12][13] - The total net profit for the Specialized and New Index in 2024 is projected to be 31.5 million, indicating a year-on-year growth of 10% [12][13] - The median market capitalization for the North Certificate 50 Index is 47 million, while for the Specialized and New Index it is 33 million, indicating a larger overall market value for the North Certificate 50 Index [12][13][19] Group 3 - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE TTM) for the North Certificate Specialized and New Index is 69X, which is higher than the 49X for the North Certificate 50 Index [19][23] - The average daily trading volume for the North Certificate A-shares has decreased to 248 billion, reflecting a slight decline in market activity [20][26] - The North Certificate 50 Index has shown a weekly increase of 1.30%, indicating a positive market sentiment [20][31]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In May 2025, the wealth management scale increased slightly. The scale is expected to decline seasonally in June and may grow significantly in July due to the deposit rate cut [2][10]. - In the first five months of 2025, the wealth management scale of the four major banks' wealth management companies grew moderately, while some joint - stock banks had higher growth rates. Among city and rural commercial bank wealth management companies, Suyin Wealth Management led, and Ningyin Wealth Management had a prominent scale increase [2][11]. - In May 2025, the average monthly annualized yield of pure fixed - income wealth management of wealth management companies declined month - on - month. Due to low bond yields, the subsequent fixed - income wealth management yields may drop to around 2% [2]. - The bond market is volatile with few opportunities. It is recommended to focus on 5Y credit bonds with yields above 2%, as the credit spread may further compress [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 5 - month Wealth Management Scale Growth - As of the end of May 2025, the total wealth management scale was 31.5 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.58 trillion yuan from the end of the previous year and 0.19 trillion yuan from the end of the previous month. The growth in May exceeded the average increment from 2021 - 2024 [2][5]. - In 2024, the wealth management scale increased by 3.15 trillion yuan. In 2025, the increment in January was 0.17 trillion yuan, much lower than that in January 2022 [9]. - In March 2025, the wealth management scale decreased by 1.11 trillion yuan, close to the seasonal pattern. In April, it increased by 2.2 trillion yuan, exceeding the average increment from 2021 - 2024 [10]. 3.2 Wealth Management Scale of Wealth Management Companies in the First 5 Months - As of the end of May 2025, the top three wealth management companies in terms of scale were China Merchants Bank Wealth Management, Industrial Bank Wealth Management, and CITIC Bank Wealth Management [11]. - Among the big - four banks' wealth management companies, except for CCB Wealth Management, others' scales increased compared to the beginning of the year. In April, their scales increased significantly, but the growth slowed down in May [2][12]. - Among joint - stock bank wealth management companies, Hengfeng Wealth Management, Bohai Bank Wealth Management, Minsheng Wealth Management, and Everbright Wealth Management had remarkable scale growth in the first 5 months [14]. - Among city and rural commercial bank wealth management companies, Suyin Wealth Management led, and Ningyin Wealth Management had a 25% increase in scale compared to the beginning of the year [15]. 3.3 Fixed - Income Wealth Management Yield in May 2025 - In May 2025, the average upper limit of the performance comparison benchmark of newly - issued RMB fixed - income wealth management products of wealth management companies was 2.93%, and the lower limit was 2.28%. The subsequent performance comparison benchmark may further decline [18]. - As of June 1, 2025, the average 7 - day annualized yield of cash - management wealth management products of wealth management companies was 1.38%, and that of money funds was 1.27%. The yield of cash - management wealth management decreased slightly in May [21]. - In May 2025, the average monthly annualized yield of pure fixed - income wealth management products of wealth management companies was 3.01%, a slight decline from the previous month. Future yields are expected to drop to around 2% [2][25]. 3.4 Investment Suggestions - The stage of the fastest decline in banks' liability cost ratio has passed. In May 2025, the policy rate was cut by 10BP, and major banks' deposit rates were further reduced [26]. - As of June 6, 2025, the yields of 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bonds and 5 - year AAA - rated secondary capital bonds decreased significantly, and banks faced a serious yield inversion problem. The 10Y treasury bond yield is expected to range from 1.6% - 1.8% in the second half of the year, and the bond market may fluctuate narrowly [27]. - It is recommended to focus on 5Y credit bonds with yields above 2%, as the deposit rate cut will promote the growth of the wealth management scale in July and further compress the credit spread [33]. - It is also recommended to pay attention to the opportunities of Hong Kong financial stocks, especially the valuation of Hong Kong banks may be repaired, and the net interest margin of commercial banks may stabilize in 2026 [35].