1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views 2.1 Futures Index Spread - The report presents the latest values, historical quantiles, and changes compared to the previous day of various futures index spreads, including price spreads and cross - period spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM, as well as cross - variety ratios [1]. 2.2 Treasury Bond Futures Spread - It shows the latest values, changes compared to the previous trading day, and historical quantiles of basis, cross - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads of different treasury bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL) [2]. 2.3 Precious Metals Spot and Futures - The market for precious metals is expected to maintain a strong and volatile trend. For gold, it is recommended to take profit on long positions at high prices and use call options instead of long positions. For silver, although there are factors suppressing and supporting the price, it is suggested to maintain a light - position long - buying strategy on dips. For platinum and palladium, the price center continues to rise, but the upward space may be limited, and a low - buying strategy is recommended [3]. 2.4 Container Shipping Industry Spot and Futures - The settlement price indices of container shipping routes have declined, while the futures prices of container shipping contracts have generally increased. The supply of container shipping capacity has slightly increased, and some foreign trade - related indicators and overseas economic indicators have shown certain changes [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Index Spread - **Price Spreads**: The latest values of IF, IH, IC, and IM price spreads are 14.81, 94.30, 20.84, and - 21.99 respectively, with high historical quantiles [1]. - **Cross - period Spreads**: The cross - period spreads of different contracts show various changes and historical quantiles, such as the cross - period spread between the next month and the current month of IF being 5.00, with a historical quantile of 98.30% [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: The cross - variety ratios of different futures varieties also have corresponding latest values, changes, and historical quantiles, like the IC/IF ratio being 0.0101, with a historical quantile of 99.10% [1]. 3.2 Treasury Bond Futures Spread - **Basis**: The basis of TS, TF, T, and TL on January 28, 2026, are 1.3579, 1.1624, 1.0471, and 0.8136 respectively, with different historical quantiles [2]. - **Cross - period Spreads**: The cross - period spreads of different contracts of TF, T, and TL show various values and changes, for example, the cross - period spread between the current quarter and the next quarter of TF is - 0.0450, with a historical quantile of 21.40% [2]. - **Cross - variety Spreads**: The cross - variety spreads between different treasury bond futures, such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., also have corresponding values and changes [2]. 3.3 Precious Metals Spot and Futures - **Domestic Futures Closing Prices**: On January 28, 2026, the closing prices of AU2604, AG2604, PT2606, and PD2606 contracts are 1186.20, 29219, 694.80, and 504.00 respectively, with different price changes and price change rates [3]. - **Foreign Futures Closing Prices**: The closing prices of COMEX gold, COMEX silver, NYMEX platinum, and NYMEX palladium on January 28, 2026, are 5411.00, 116.62, 2705.10, and 2095.50 respectively, with corresponding price changes and price change rates [3]. - **Spot Prices**: The spot prices of London gold, London silver, etc., also have price changes and price change rates, for example, the spot price of London gold on January 28, 2026, is 5413.81, with a price change of 233.58 and a price change rate of 4.51% [3]. - **Basis**: The basis of different precious metals shows different values and historical quantiles, such as the basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract being - 2.16, with a historical quantile of 46.10% [3]. - **Ratios**: The ratios of different precious metals, such as COMEX gold/silver, have corresponding values and changes [3]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury bond yield, 2 - year US Treasury bond yield, etc., have different values and changes [3]. - **Inventory and Positions**: The inventories and positions of different precious metals, such as the inventory of Shanghai Futures Exchange gold and silver, have corresponding changes [3]. 3.4 Container Shipping Industry Spot and Futures - **Container Shipping Indices**: The settlement price indices of SCFIS (European route) and SCFIS (US West route) on January 26, 2026, are 1859.31 and 1294.32 respectively, with price decreases and price change rates of - 4.86% and - 0.84% respectively [4]. - **Shanghai Export Container Freight Rates**: The SCFI comprehensive index and the freight rates of different routes have declined, for example, the SCFI comprehensive index on January 23, 2026, is 1457.86, with a price decrease of - 116.3 and a price change rate of - 7.39% [4]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The futures prices of different container shipping contracts have generally increased, and the basis of the main contract has decreased, for example, the price of EC2604 (main contract) on January 28, 2026, is 1229.0, with a price increase of 35.1 and a price change rate of 2.94%, and the basis of the main contract is 630.3, with a price decrease of - 35.1 and a price change rate of - 5.27% [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply has slightly increased, and some foreign trade - related indicators and overseas economic indicators have shown certain changes, such as the port on - time rate in Shanghai increasing by 4.53% [4].

Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 研究员： 纪晓云 从业资格： F3066027 交易咨询资格：Z0011402 联系方式：010-56711796 | 品种 | | --- | | 多（空） 推荐理由 | | 板块 | | | | | 钢材: 【行情复盘】 周三螺纹热卷收跌。 【重要资讯】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 1、生态环境部："十四五"期间累计完成 9.4 亿吨粗钢产能、1.7 亿千瓦煤电机组 | | | | | 超低排放改造。 | | 黑色建材 | 钢材 | 震荡 | 2、国家能源局：截至 2025 年底全国累计发电装机容量 38.9 亿千瓦，同比增 16.1%。 3、据产业在线最新发布的三大白电排产报告显示，2026 年 2 月空冰洗排产合计总 | | | | | 量共计 2379 万台，较去年同期生产实绩下降 22.1%。 | | | | | 【市场逻辑】 | | | | | 周三钢材价格持平。随着 ...

贵金属日报 2026-01-29 贵金属 钟俊轩 贵金属研究员 从业资格号：F03112694 交易咨询号：Z0022090 电话：0755-23375141 邮箱： zhongjunxuan@wkqh.cn 【行情资讯】 沪金涨 3.36 %，报 1196.80 元/克，沪银涨 1.46 %，报 28885.00 元/千克；COMEX 金报 5411.00 美元/盎司，COMEX 银报 116.62 美元/盎司； 美国 10 年期国债收益率报 4.26%，美元指数报 96.34 ； 昨日所公布的美联储议息会议货币政策表态偏谨慎，但沃勒的反对票再度冲击联储独立性，驱 动金银价格表现极为强势。 本次联储议息会议决定维持利率在 3.50%-3.75% 区间不变，未进行降息，货币政策表态谨慎， 符合市场预期。但投票结果中沃勒投下反对票支持降息 25bps 超市场预期鸽派，贝森特表明 将在一周左右公布新任联储主席提名，沃勒此举渴望得到特朗普的关注，会议后 Kalshi 显示 市场对沃勒被提名新任联储主席的概率预测由 8% 上升至 15%，这再度冲击美联储货币政策独 立性，叠加此前特朗普关于美元汇率的"悠悠球"言论和贝 ...

晨会纪要 中原期货研究咨询部 公司官方微信 1 中原期货研究咨询部 | 化工 | 主力合约 | 2026/1/29 | 2026/1/28 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅/% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 8:00 | 15:00 | | | | | 焦煤 | 1,130.50 | 1,134.50 | -4.0 | -0.353 | | | 焦炭 | 1,692.50 | 1,684.00 | 8.50 | 0.505 | | | 天然橡胶 | 16,320.00 | 16,360.00 | -40.0 | -0.244 | | | 20号胶 | 13,190.00 | 13,190.00 | 0 | 0 | | | 塑料 | 6,981.00 | 6,967.00 | 14.0 | 0.201 | | | 聚丙烯PP | 6,809.00 | 6,778.00 | 31.0 | 0.457 | | | (PTA) | 5,298.00 | 5,370.00 | -72.0 | -1.341 | | | PVC | 4,894.00 | 4,913.00 ...

期货市场交易指引 交易咨询业务资格： 鄂证监期货字[2014]1 号 曹雪梅：Z0015756 电话：027-65777102 邮箱：caoxm2@cjsc.com.cn 全球主要市场表现 | 指标 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证综指 | 4,151.24 | 0.27% | | 深圳成指 | 14,342.89 | 0.09% | | 沪深 300 | 4,717.99 | 0.26% | | 上证 50 | 3,060.56 | 0.27% | | 中证 500 | 8,601.16 | 0.61% | | 中证 1000 | 5,903.58 | 0.25% | | 日经指数 | 53,358.71 | 0.05% | | 道琼指数 | 49,015.60 | 0.02% | | 标普 500 | 6,978.03 | -0.01% | | 纳斯达克 | 23,857.45 | 0.17% | | 美元指数 | 96.3455 | 0.61% | | 人民币 | 6.9453 | -0.18% | | 纽约黄金 | 5,447.80 | 5.18% | | ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The domestic soybean meal market is in a game between external cost drivers, pre - holiday stocking support, and its own loose supply expectations. In the short term, the soybean meal futures price mainly follows the external market fluctuations, and may show a trend of rising and then falling during the day [5][6]. - The palm oil futures price is in a period of multiple positive resonances, and its strong pattern continues. In the short term, driven by fundamentals and sentiment, it remains the core variety in the oil and fat sector and maintains a relatively strong operating pattern [7]. Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs Soybean Meal (M) - **Short - term, Mid - term, and Intraday Views**: Short - term:震荡 (oscillation); Mid - term:震荡 (oscillation); Intraday:震荡偏弱 (oscillation with a weak bias); View reference:震荡偏弱 (oscillation with a weak bias) [5]. - **Core Logic**: The continuous high - temperature and drought in Argentina's core producing areas have pushed up the price of US soybeans. The US dollar index has weakened, reducing the cost of US - dollar - denominated agricultural products. The domestic soybean meal market is affected by the external market, and the pre - holiday stocking supports the price, but the new procurement is light. The soybean meal inventory of oil mills is passively reduced. Overall, it is in a game situation [5]. - **Factors Affecting**: Imported soybean cost, import arrival rhythm, oil mill start - up rhythm, and inventory pressure [5]. Palm Oil (P) - **Short - term, Mid - term, and Intraday Views**: Short - term:强势 (strong); Mid - term:强势 (strong); Intraday:震荡偏强 (oscillation with a strong bias); View reference:震荡偏强 (oscillation with a strong bias) [5]. - **Core Logic**: Palm oil is in a period of multiple positive resonances, including improved supply - demand in the producing areas, favorable demand substitution, policy expectation support, and strong domestic sentiment. The dual drivers of improved supply - demand in the producing areas and rising domestic market sentiment will further consolidate its strong foundation [7]. - **Factors Affecting**: Malaysian palm oil production and exports, Indonesian biodiesel and export policies, EU - related policy changes, domestic arrival and inventory, and substitution demand [5]. Soybean Oil (Y) - **Short - term, Mid - term, and Intraday Views**: Short - term:强势 (strong); Mid - term:强势 (strong); Intraday:震荡偏强 (oscillation with a strong bias); View reference:震荡偏强 (oscillation with a strong bias) [5]. - **Factors Affecting**: US soybean cost support, US biofuel policy, US soybean oil inventory, domestic soybean cost support, supply rhythm, and oil mill inventory [5].

期货研究报告 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 观点参考 宝城期货动力煤早报（2026 年 1 月 29 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | | | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 2 请务必阅读文末免责条款 观点参考 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货黑色板块 品种：动力煤现货 日内观点： 中期观点： 参考观点：震荡 核心逻辑：供应端，1 月 16 日当周，全国 462 家动力煤矿产能利用率 90.6%，日均原煤产量 546.7 万吨，恢复至 12 月中旬水平。进入新一年度，此前部分因完成年度目标停产的煤矿陆续复产，且 尚未进入春节放假阶段，产地煤矿平稳生产。进口方面，1 月前两周，我国海运煤到港量 1325.2 万吨，折合日均到港量 110.4 万吨，较 12 月日均 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of various sectors including macro - finance, black commodities, non - ferrous metals, agriculture, and energy - chemical. It presents trend judgments and trading strategies for different futures products based on fundamental and technical indicators, as well as macro - economic and geopolitical factors. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Based on Fundamental and Technical Indicators 3.1.1 Fundamental Indicators - Trend空头: Eggs, zinc, etc. [4] - Oscillation with a bearish bias: Red dates, Shanghai Composite 50 Index Futures, etc. [4] - Oscillation: PVC, sugar, etc. [4] - Oscillation with a bullish bias: White sugar, five - year treasury bond futures, etc. [4] - Trend bullish: Cotton, ten - year treasury bond futures, etc. [4] 3.1.2 Technical Indicators - Bearish: PTA, soybean meal No.2, etc. [6] - Oscillation: Rebar, coking coal, etc. [6] - Bullish: Manganese silicon, hot - rolled coil, etc. [6] 3.2 Macro - economic News - Trump threatened Iran again, and Iran was on high alert [8]. - The Fed kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50% - 3.75%, and there was uncertainty in the economic outlook [8]. - There was news about changes in quantitative stock trading rules, but no relevant requirements were received by private equity funds [8]. - By the end of 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.89 billion kilowatts, with solar and wind power growing significantly [9]. - Some real - estate enterprises were no longer required to report "three red lines" indicators, but troubled enterprises still had reporting obligations [9]. - The Bank of Japan might continue to raise interest rates if the outlook was in line with expectations [9]. - Futures exchanges tightened risk - control measures, such as adjusting margin levels and price limits [9]. 3.3 Macro - finance 3.3.1 Stock Index Futures - The upward trend of IC/IM may continue, and trend - following strategies are recommended. The A - share market was volatile, with resource stocks rising and the photovoltaic industry chain adjusting. The market turnover increased, and small - and medium - cap stocks outperformed large - cap stocks [11]. 3.3.2 Treasury Bond Futures - The bond market sentiment improved, and the short - term rebound trend may continue. The capital market became looser, and the central bank's medium - term liquidity injection increased, indicating a shift towards a looser monetary policy [12]. 3.4 Black Commodities 3.4.1 Coal and Coking - The prices of coking coal and coke may oscillate in the short term. Coal mine production increased slightly, and the first round of coke price increase was basically implemented. However, the coking profit shrank, and the supply - demand contradiction may improve during the Spring Festival [13][14]. 3.4.2 Ferroalloys - For ferrosilicon, there was a small supply gap before the daily production in the main production areas increased significantly, and it was recommended to go long on dips. For manganese silicon, it was recommended to hold short positions from previous highs and not to enter new positions unilaterally [15]. 3.4.3 Soda Ash and Glass - It was recommended to wait and see. The supply of soda ash was at a high level, and there was an expected increase in new capacity. The market expected the glass supply to resume production. The supply - demand contradiction in soda ash was difficult to reverse, and the inventory of glass needed to be digested [16]. 3.5 Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials 3.5.1 Zinc - The zinc price was still strong, but it might be affected by the possible decline of precious metals. It was recommended to wait and see or re - enter short positions. The domestic zinc inventory decreased, but the downstream demand was weak [18][19]. 3.5.2 Lead - It was recommended to wait and see and hold previous short positions. The lead inventory increased, and the price continued to decline. The production of secondary lead enterprises decreased, and the downstream demand was limited [19][21]. 3.5.3 Lithium Carbonate - After a short - term correction, the price center of lithium carbonate may still rise, with wide - range oscillations. The demand increased, and the supply was disturbed, but market supervision was strict [22]. 3.5.4 Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - Industrial silicon may run strongly in the short term but was pressured by the pessimistic outlook. It was recommended to sell out - of - the - money call options after a rebound. Polysilicon was under strict position limits and was expected to oscillate. It was necessary to wait for the guidance of the industry meeting [23]. 3.6 Agricultural Products 3.6.1 Cotton - Zhengzhou cotton entered a high - level and strong consolidation state. It was recommended to conduct short - term trading. The short - term supply was loose, but the long - term supply was expected to shrink. The USDA report was positive, and Brazilian cotton production decreased [25][26]. 3.6.2 Sugar - Domestic sugar was under pressure from supply and weak demand. It was recommended to conduct short - term trading in the low - level range. The global sugar supply surplus was still a concern, and the domestic supply pressure increased during the seasonal production period [27][28]. 3.6.3 Eggs - The spot price of eggs may weaken before the Spring Festival. It was recommended to have a bearish view on the main 03 contract. The egg - laying hen inventory was high, but it was expected to decline. The far - month contracts may be weaker due to increased replenishment [29][30]. 3.6.4 Apples - The apple futures price may run strongly. The apple出库 was slightly lower year - on - year, and the sales area market had stable demand and higher prices. The Spring Festival stocking continued, and the high - quality apple prices remained firm [31][32]. 3.6.5 Corn - The corn futures price was highly controversial. It was recommended to focus on the port collection situation and conduct short - term trading. The spot price was stable, and the price was supported by pre - festival replenishment but was restricted by policy grain release and future import substitution [32]. 3.6.6 Red Dates - It was necessary to closely monitor the market performance during the consumption peak season. The red dates market was expected to oscillate weakly. The new - season red dates had price and quality advantages, but the consumption growth was limited [33]. 3.6.7 Pigs - The supply and demand of pigs both increased, and the spot market had intense competition. It was recommended to pay attention to the impact of weight reduction before the Spring Festival on the spot price and look for opportunities to go short on the near - month contracts [34]. 3.7 Energy - Chemical 3.7.1 Crude Oil - The US pressure on Iran continued, and the supply - surplus problem was still severe. The geopolitical premium was high. The US EIA crude oil inventory decreased, and the international oil price rose [36]. 3.7.2 Fuel Oil - The fuel oil price was mainly affected by the geopolitical situation and the oil price. The supply - demand situation improved marginally, and the price would follow the oil price [37]. 3.7.3 Plastics - Polyolefins had large supply pressure and weak downstream demand. The upstream was in a loss state, and the price may rebound slightly but with limited space. It was necessary to prevent a callback [38]. 3.7.4 Rubber - The rubber price may be supported by pre - festival downstream replenishment and the upcoming off - season in overseas production areas. It was recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options on dips and pay attention to the spread between natural and synthetic rubber [39]. 3.7.5 Synthetic Rubber - Synthetic rubber may maintain a strong trend due to the expected tight supply of butadiene in the first half of the year. It was recommended to go long on dips and pay attention to the narrowing spread with natural rubber [40]. 3.7.6 Methanol - The methanol supply - demand situation improved slightly in the long term, but there was still a risk of inventory accumulation in the short term. The price may decline slightly after the geopolitical situation eased. It was recommended to reduce long positions temporarily [41]. 3.7.7 Caustic Soda - The caustic soda production was at a high level, and the profit of chlor - alkali enterprises was poor. The far - month contracts could be considered from a bullish perspective [42]. 3.7.8 Asphalt - The asphalt price followed the oil price and may oscillate strongly in the short term. It was necessary to pay attention to the geopolitical situation and the change of raw material premium [43]. 3.7.9 PVC - The recent rise of PVC was due to the expected policy of capacity reduction and increased exports. However, the core supply - demand contradiction remained. It was necessary to prevent a callback [44][45]. 3.7.10 Polyester Industry Chain - The near - end fundamentals of the polyester chain were weak due to the seasonal off - season, but the cost support limited the downward space. It was recommended to go long on dips or conduct positive spreads between May and September contracts [46]. 3.7.11 Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - The LPG price increased due to the high import cost. It may run strongly in the short term but was recommended to be observed. In the long - term, it was advisable to go short on highs [47]. 3.7.12 Pulp - The pulp market had intense long - short competition, and the price may oscillate. The spot market trading was weak, but the price was supported by the expected stable fundamentals and the high overseas prices [48]. 3.7.13 Logs - The fundamentals of logs were strong, and the spot price was stable. The finished product price increased due to the rising raw material cost. The market was expected to maintain a supply - demand balance [49]. 3.7.14 Urea - The urea futures market was expected to oscillate strongly. The spot price rose, and the futures market was affected by other related futures and geopolitical risks [50][51].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term, medium - term, and intraday views of rebar 2605 are all in a state of shock, with the intraday view being slightly weaker, and the overall is in a low - level shock. The core logic is the game between expectations and reality, and steel prices continue to fluctuate [2]. - The supply - demand pattern of rebar is weakly stable. Supply pressure increases as production recovers to a relatively high level, while demand is seasonally weak, remaining at a low level in recent years. The steel price is under pressure in the off - season, but is supported by cost and policy expectations, and will continue to oscillate at a low level [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - For rebar 2605, the short - term, medium - term, and intraday views are shock, shock, and shock - slightly weak respectively, with an overall view of low - level shock. The core logic is the game between expectations and reality, causing steel prices to continue to oscillate [2]. 3.2 Market Driving Logic - The positive news in the real estate sector has boosted sentiment, and the night - session price of steel futures has rebounded. However, the supply - demand pattern of rebar is weakly stable. Rebar production has increased to a relatively high level, increasing supply pressure, and attention should be paid to subsequent inventory accumulation. Meanwhile, rebar demand is seasonally weak, with high - frequency demand indicators running weakly and at a low level in recent years. The weak demand pattern remains unchanged, continuing to put pressure on steel prices. Currently, supply is increasing while demand is weak, and the fundamentals are operating weakly. The steel price in the off - season is under pressure, but is supported by cost and policy expectations. The subsequent trend will continue to oscillate at a low level, and attention should be paid to the production and sales data released by Steel Union today [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%, marking the first pause in rate cuts after three consecutive reductions in the second half of 2025. The assessment of economic activity was upgraded to "expanding at a robust pace," indicating signs of stabilization in the unemployment rate and persistent inflation above target levels [1] Group 1: Precious Metals - Precious metals continue to rise, with international gold prices reaching historical highs due to geopolitical tensions and a loose liquidity environment. The market's concerns over U.S. debt sustainability and the independence of the Federal Reserve have led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][15] - The recent FOMC meeting's decision to pause rate cuts has improved concerns regarding employment risks, supporting the upward trend in precious metals. The demand for strategic allocation in precious metals is increasing, with gold and silver ETF sizes expanding [2][15] Group 2: Oil - The SC night market saw an increase of 1.54% in oil prices. The easing of tensions in Venezuela and potential diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Iran have contributed to this rise. Venezuela is advancing a comprehensive oil law reform, allowing both foreign and local companies to independently develop oil fields [3][10] - As of January 16, the average daily U.S. crude oil production was 13.732 million barrels, a decrease of 21,000 barrels from the previous week but an increase of 255,000 barrels year-on-year [3][10] Group 3: Aluminum - The night market for aluminum saw an increase of 1.87%. However, the current upward drivers in the spot market are limited, with the aluminum water ratio declining below 75%. The operating rates of leading downstream aluminum enterprises have also decreased, reflecting weak consumption sentiment [3][19] - Despite a weak short-term fundamental outlook, long-term narratives of low inventory, supply constraints, and stable demand provide relative support for aluminum prices [19] Group 4: Economic Indicators - The U.S. stock market has shown a positive trend in 2026, driven by the technology cycle, policy benefits, economic recovery, and the return of overseas funds. The market is transitioning from valuation expansion to profit-driven growth [7] - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the benchmark interest rate aligns with market expectations, and the economic outlook remains uncertain with inflation still relatively high [4][9]