Overview: Insurance and Industrial Capital Support Stock Market Liquidity - Since the beginning of 2025, the A-share market has maintained a slight net inflow of funds, with a net inflow ratio of 1.1% as of May 22, 2025. Excluding potential double counting from private equity funds and insurance, the net outflow ratio is approximately 0.1%, indicating a tight balance in the funding situation for the year [13][14][18]. - In April 2025, A-share monthly net outflow was 778 billion, but by May, the market saw a return to net inflow, reaching 194.2 billion, with a net inflow ratio of 0.5% [18][19]. - The stock financing scale has continued to decline, with April's financing amount at 43.206 billion, a slight decrease from March, and May's financing amount at 8.016 billion, remaining at a low level [6][24]. Key Changes in A-share Fund Inflows and Outflows - In April 2025, the number of new A-share accounts decreased significantly to 1.924 million, down 1.151 million from the previous month. Cumulatively, from January to April 2025, the total number of new accounts reached 9.396 million, an increase of 2.251 million compared to the same period in 2024 [23][26]. - The financing balance saw a significant decrease of 122.621 billion in April, but a slight recovery of 21.158 billion was noted in May. The total financing balance decreased by 57.3 billion from January 1 to May 22, 2025 [18][23]. - The net inflow of stock-type ETFs was substantial in April at 187.69 billion, but turned into a net outflow of 42.295 billion by May [19][23]. Company Buybacks and Dividends - The buyback amount for listed companies in April 2025 reached 158.809 billion, a significant increase from March, with a cumulative buyback amount of 409.564 billion by May 22, 2025 [23][24]. - The dividend payout in April 2025 was 89.661 billion, showing a strong performance compared to March, with a cumulative dividend amount of 445.1 billion from January to May 22, 2025, indicating a seasonal increase [23][24]. Equity Financing and Transaction Costs - The equity financing scale for April 2025 was 43.206 billion, slightly down from March, while May's scale was at a low level of 8.016 billion [6][24]. - Transaction costs in April 2025 were estimated at 12.443 billion, a decrease of 2.3 billion from March, with cumulative transaction costs reaching 95.3 billion from January to April 2025 [24].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the report [1] Core Views - The company is expected to experience stable order volumes and optimistic performance growth in 2012, benefiting from the high demand in the waste heat boiler industry [1] - The company has received a significant compensation payment and reported a substantial increase in net profit for 2024, indicating a recovery in profitability [2] - The company is actively expanding into overseas, new energy, and spare parts markets, with a strong order backlog supporting its growth [4] - The company has improved order quality and strengthened cost control measures, leading to an increase in overall gross margin [4] - Continuous investment in R&D is being made to deepen the company's involvement in the "new energy + storage" sector, leveraging its proprietary molten salt storage technology [5] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 6.437 billion yuan, a decrease of 20.33% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 440 million yuan, a significant increase of 705.74% [2][6] - The company forecasts operating revenues of 7.171 billion yuan, 7.929 billion yuan, and 8.501 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 11.4%, 10.6%, and 7.2% [7] - The gross margin for 2024 was reported at 18.47%, an increase of 2.01 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected to be 0.59 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.99 [6][7]

Overview - Since the beginning of 2025, the A-share market has maintained a slight net inflow of funds, with the annual net inflow accounting for 1.1% of the free float market value as of May 22, 2025. Excluding private equity and insurance funds, the net outflow is approximately 0.1%, indicating a tight balance in the funding situation for the year [7][8][9]. Monthly Trends - In April 2025, there was a slight net outflow of funds amounting to 778 million, representing 0.01% of the circulating market value. However, in May, the situation improved with a net inflow of 1942 million, raising the net inflow ratio to 0.5% [13][17]. - The financing balance saw a significant decrease in April, dropping by 1226.21 million, but rebounded slightly in May with an increase of 211.58 million [18][19]. Fund Inflows and Outflows - In April 2025, the stock-type ETF saw a substantial net inflow of 1876.9 million, but turned to a net outflow of 422.95 million by May 22. Overall, the ETF funds recorded a net inflow of 506 million for the year [13][18]. - Insurance funds are expected to increase further, with the balance of insurance company investments reaching 349312.14 billion, an increase of 16731.92 billion from the previous quarter [18][19]. Company Actions - The total amount of share buybacks announced by listed companies in April 2025 was 1588.09 million, significantly higher than in March. By May 22, the cumulative buyback amount for the year reached 4095.64 million [18][19]. - The dividend payout in April 2025 was notably strong, with the dividend rate remaining at historically high levels [19]. Equity Financing - The scale of equity financing continued to decline, with April's financing amount at 432.06 million, a slight decrease from March. By May 22, the financing scale was recorded at 80.16 million, indicating a low level [19].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Report's Core View - This time the deposit rate cut is the largest since 2022, and its impact on the bond market may not be fully priced. The main impact may be on financial disintermediation, which is beneficial to credit bonds. Although short - term frictions and government bond supply shocks increase the pressure on certificate of deposit (CD) supply, CD yields are expected to gradually decline. The bond market is expected to gradually recover after short - term fluctuations [2][6][56] Summary by Directory I. This time the deposit rate cut is the largest since 2022 - Since 2021, China's deposit rate formation mechanism has been adjusted multiple times. In 2021, the deposit rate ceiling was changed from a multiple to a point - based system; in 2022, banks were required to adjust deposit rates with reference to the 10 - year Treasury yield and 1 - year LPR; in 2023, the central bank tightened its constraints on bank deposit rates [7][8][11] - The decline in deposit rates is often greater than that of policy rates. Due to the narrowing of bank spreads, the central bank cut interest rates in May 2025, pushing the LPR down by 10BP, followed by a new round of deposit rate cuts. This time, the deposit rate ceiling was cut by the largest margin since 2022, reflecting the central bank's goal of protecting bank spreads and promoting a decline in social financing costs [15][23][26] II. The impact of deposit rate adjustment on bank liabilities requires the cooperation of liquidity environment and asset - side shocks - The decline in deposit rates mainly causes structural impacts on bank liabilities, such as funds flowing from some banks to others or being used to buy non - bank products. However, this time, all types of banks cut rates simultaneously, so the impact on each bank is relatively smooth, and the main impact may be increased financial disintermediation [28] - For the impact on the entire banking system to expand, two conditions are generally required: tight liquidity and asset - side shocks. For example, in the second half of 2020, the reduction of structured deposits, combined with tight liquidity and increased supply of credit and government bonds, led to a significant increase in CD rates; in April 2024, after the ban on manual interest subsidies, large - bank deposits decreased, but the stable liquidity environment limited the increase in CD rates [29][30][32] III. The core contradiction of this deposit rate cut may still be financial disintermediation, and its impact has not been fully priced - From the perspective of the money market, although there were fluctuations after the RRR cut and interest rate cut, they can be attributed to exogenous factors such as government bond net financing and tax - period disturbances. The central bank's short - term target DR007 center may have dropped to the 1.5% - 1.6% range, and the spread between the money market rate and the policy rate has been narrowing since March, with the possibility of further narrowing in June [33][36] - From the asset side, the decline in bank credit in April may be due to weakening credit demand after the concentrated lending in the first quarter, rather than the replacement of credit by special refinancing bonds. There is still about 1.3 trillion yuan of special refinancing bonds to be used after May, which may restrict new credit. The supply of government bonds in May increased, which, combined with the frictions caused by the deposit rate cut, may be the reason for the recent fluctuations in CD rates. However, the impact of government bond supply is expected to weaken marginally in the future [45][49][56]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - NVLink Fusion builds a semi-custom AI infrastructure, enhancing the ecosystem's moat. Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced NVLink Fusion at COMPUTEX 2025, marking the opening of Nvidia's proprietary high-performance interconnect technology NVLink to partners for integrating third-party CPUs and AI accelerators, thus creating a semi-custom AI infrastructure. This aims to overcome traditional data center bottlenecks in scale and performance, providing more flexible and optimized system design solutions for cloud service providers and large enterprises [6][11] - The GB300 is expected to launch in Q3 2025, with multiple personal and enterprise products announced. The new AI computing platform Grace Blackwell and its upgraded version GB300 will offer 1.7 times the inference performance compared to the previous H100, equipped with 1.5 times the HBM memory and double the network bandwidth, achieving up to 40 petaflops per node. The Blackwell system will start mass production by the end of 2024, with GB300 expected to launch in the third quarter of 2025 [13][23] - The data center market is transitioning to a nearly trillion-dollar market driven by AI factories and infrastructure. Nvidia's CEO stated that the data center market is on the verge of a prosperous future, driven by AI factories and infrastructure. The expansion of AI infrastructure investment is expected to increase orders for quality companies in the domestic AI industry chain, with fundamentals likely to continue to deliver [23] Summary by Sections - **NVLink Fusion**: NVLink Fusion offers two main configurations: one connects third-party custom CPUs with NVIDIA GPUs via NVLink, and the other connects NVIDIA's Grace series CPUs with non-NVIDIA custom accelerators (GPU, ASIC, FPGA) to meet various computing needs. Initial adopters of NVLink Fusion include MediaTek, Marvell, Alchip, Astera Labs, Synopsys, and Cadence [7][11] - **GB300 Launch**: The GB300 is set to launch in Q3 2025, featuring significant performance improvements over its predecessor, the H100. The Blackwell system will be available on platforms like CoreWeave, and several new products targeting developers and enterprises were also introduced [13][14][16] - **Market Transformation**: The report emphasizes the transformation of the data center market into a trillion-dollar industry, highlighting the impact of AI infrastructure and factory investments on the domestic AI industry chain [23]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has launched a restricted stock incentive plan for 2025, aiming to grant approximately 14.18 million shares to 421 individuals, which is about 1.65% of the total share capital, at a price of 20.6 yuan per share. This plan is expected to motivate the core team and stimulate growth [1] - The incentive plan sets performance targets for revenue and net profit growth from 2024 as a base, requiring growth rates of at least 15%/32.25%/52.09% for the years 2025-2027, indicating a strong emphasis on sustained growth [2] - The company is focusing on product upgrades and has partnered with ByteDance and Midea to enhance its smart strategy, aiming for a transformation towards full-chain intelligence and user operation [3] - The company anticipates steady sales growth in Q2 2025, with supply chain issues previously encountered now resolved, and aims to leverage its strengths to increase market share [3] Financial Summary - The projected total revenue for the company is expected to grow from 21.036 billion yuan in 2023 to 34.158 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.3% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 1.881 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.348 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 12.7% [6] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 16.5% in 2023 to 18.6% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 2.18 yuan in 2023 to 3.89 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 17.67 to 9.93 over the same period [4][6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2][29] Core Insights - NVLink Fusion builds a semi-custom AI infrastructure, enhancing the ecosystem's moat. Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced NVLink Fusion at COMPUTEX 2025, marking the opening of Nvidia's proprietary high-performance interconnect technology NVLink to partners for integrating third-party CPUs and AI accelerators, thus creating a semi-custom AI infrastructure. This aims to overcome traditional data center bottlenecks in scale and performance, providing more flexible and optimized system design solutions for cloud service providers and large enterprises [6][11] - The GB300 is expected to launch in Q3 2025, with multiple personal and enterprise products announced. The new AI computing platform Grace Blackwell and its upgraded version GB300 were introduced, with GB300 offering 1.7 times the inference performance of the previous H100, equipped with 1.5 times HBM memory and 2 times network bandwidth, achieving up to 40 petaflops per node [13][23] - The data center market is transitioning to a nearly trillion-dollar market driven by AI factories and infrastructure. Nvidia's CEO stated that the data center is on the verge of becoming a trillion-dollar market, driven by AI factories and infrastructure. The expansion of AI infrastructure investment is expected to increase orders for quality companies in the domestic AI industry chain, with fundamentals likely to continue to deliver [23] Summary by Sections NVLink Fusion - NVLink Fusion provides two main configurations: one connects third-party custom CPUs with NVIDIA GPUs via NVLink, and the other connects NVIDIA's Grace series CPUs with non-NVIDIA custom accelerators (GPU, ASIC, FPGA) to meet various computational needs. Initial adopters of NVLink Fusion include MediaTek, Marvell, Alchip, Astera Labs, Synopsys, and Cadence [7][11] GB300 Launch - The GB300 is set to launch in Q3 2025, with significant performance improvements over its predecessor. The Blackwell system is expected to start mass production by the end of 2024 and has already been deployed on platforms like CoreWeave [13][23] Market Transformation - The report emphasizes the transformation of the data center market into a trillion-dollar industry, highlighting the impact of AI infrastructure and factory investments on the domestic AI industry chain [23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the oil processing industry [1]. Core Insights - Oil prices have been fluctuating around $65 per barrel due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production decisions, with Brent and WTI prices at $64.78 and $61.53 per barrel respectively as of May 23, 2025 [7][29]. - The oil and petrochemical sector has shown mixed performance, with the oil and gas extraction sector increasing by 2.69% while the oil service engineering and refining sectors decreased by 0.38% and 0.49% respectively [9][8]. - U.S. crude oil production increased slightly to 13.392 million barrels per day, while the number of active drilling rigs decreased to 465 [54][54]. - U.S. refinery crude processing rose to 16.49 million barrels per day, with a utilization rate of 90.70% [66]. - U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 2.171 million barrels to 844 million barrels, with strategic reserves also rising [75]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - As of May 23, 2025, Brent crude futures settled at $64.78 per barrel, down by $0.63 (-0.96%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures settled at $61.53 per barrel, down by $0.44 (-0.71%) [29][20]. Offshore Drilling Services - The number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs remained stable at 385, while floating drilling rigs decreased by one to 136 [38]. Crude Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.392 million barrels per day, with a slight increase of 0.5 thousand barrels per day [54]. Crude Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing increased to 16.49 million barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 90.70% [66]. Crude Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories rose to 844 million barrels, with strategic reserves at 400 million barrels and commercial inventories at 443 million barrels [75]. Refined Oil Products - In North America, the average prices for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel were $89.22, $89.77, and $82.66 per barrel respectively, with varying price differences from crude oil [95].

市场情绪相对平稳， 多只浮动费率基金获批 —— 量化市场追踪周报（2025W21） 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 4 月 27 日 证券研究报告 金工研究 [Table_ReportType] 金工定期报告 [Table_Author] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 吴彦锦 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523090002 联系电话：+86 18616819227 邮 箱：wuyanjin@cindasc.com 周君睿 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523110005 联系电话：+86 19821223545 邮 箱：zhoujunrui@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 量化市场追踪周报(2025W21)：市场情绪相对平 稳，多只浮动费率基金获批 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 ...

小微盘热度可能会被流动性压制 ——策略周观点 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 25 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 策略研究 [策略周报 Table_ReportType] | 执业编号：S1500521060001 | | | --- | --- | | ] [Table_A 樊继拓 uthor策略首席 分析师 箱： fanjituo@cindasc.com | 邮 | 李畅 策略分析师 执业编号：S1500523070001 邮 箱： lichang@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金 隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 [小微盘热度可能会被流动性压制 Table_Title] [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 25 日 核心结论：去年 10 月以来，市场整体处在大的宽幅震荡区间内，小微 盘非常活跃，但是强度上已经开始有所变化。2024 年 9-12 月，小微盘 涨得快，调得少，累计超额收益持续走 ...