Group 1 - The report indicates that the market is expected to favor large-cap stocks in October, with growth stocks likely to continue outperforming due to historical trends and current market conditions [1][3][11] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" policy expectations are anticipated to maintain high market risk appetite, contributing to the performance of high-end manufacturing and AI industry chains [1][3][11] - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports are expected to show significant improvements, particularly in growth-oriented sectors [1][3][11] Group 2 - External liquidity conditions are improving, with expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October, which may benefit large-cap and leading stocks [1][3][11] - The report highlights that ETFs are becoming a significant source of incremental capital, favoring the performance of leading and mid-to-large-cap stocks [1][3][11] - Historical data shows that large-cap styles have a higher probability of outperforming in October and the fourth quarter, with technology growth expected to remain strong [12][19][23] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations and upcoming economic data releases, which could impact market sentiment [6][26][27] - The analysis of past performance indicates that financial and TMT sectors tend to perform well in the fourth quarter, with a notable focus on high-end manufacturing and technology [19][23][24] - The report suggests that the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" meeting will influence market dynamics, with a focus on cyclical sectors and high-tech manufacturing [26][28]

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 10 月 09 日 帝科股份（300842.SZ） 光伏浆料领军企业，半导体第二曲线开始起量 公司是光伏导电浆料领先企业，收购浙江索特进一步巩固行业地位。同时，公 司第二曲线业务开始起来：a)公司在成立之初便开展半导体电子浆料研发，其 烧结银等产品已经开始放量，碳化硅相关领域产品、汽车调光玻璃配套产品都 已开始产业化。b)进一步拓宽在半导体领域的布局，公司 2024 年就控股了深圳 因梦，延伸到半导体存储领域，未来成长空间较大。维持 "增持"评级。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 9603 | 15351 | 16425 | 18068 | 20416 | | 同比增长 | 155% | 60% | 7% | 10% | 13% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 408 | 349 | 237 | 444 | 724 | | 同比增长 | -1217% | -14% | -32% | ...

招证银行金融数据前瞻 9 月社融货币预测 总量研究/银行 2025 年 9 月是季末月，预计信贷同比多增，社融、M2 和 M1 增速均回升。 ❑ 未贴现承兑汇票：预计 9 月净增加 2000 亿元，同比多增 0.07 万亿元。 证券研究报告 | 行业点评报告 2025 年 10 月 09 日 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 41 | 0.8 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 10423.4 | 9.9 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 9780.8 | 10.3 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -6.0 3.7 16.6 相对表现 -9.2 -15.7 1.0 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Oct/24 Jan/25 May/25 Sep/25 (%) 银行 沪深300 相关报告 1、《上市银行"十四五回望"之信 贷结构变迁 — 银 行 研 思 录 21 》 2025-09-29 2、《上市银行"十四五回望"之资 负结构与息差变迁—银行研思录 20》 2025-09-28 3、 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in the circular economy, focusing on the second-hand electronics market, particularly in mobile and 3C recycling, and is expected to continue increasing its market share as the industry grows [1][7]. - The company has established strategic cooperation with JD.com, enhancing its advantages in recycling, disposal, and sales [1][7]. - The report highlights the company's multi-category recycling efforts and community-focused high-frequency recycling initiatives, which are anticipated to further enhance its growth potential [1][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is the leading player in the domestic second-hand 3C recycling market, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% in revenue over the past five years [7][19]. - The company operates four main business lines: Aihuaishou, Pai Jitang, Paipai, and overseas business AHS Device, achieving a total transaction volume of 35.3 million units in 2024 [13][19]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 12.966 billion in 2023, growing to 16.328 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 31% [2]. - Non-GAAP net profit is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 401 million in 2025 and 622 million in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 28% and 55% respectively [2][19]. - The company has shown a consistent improvement in profitability, with Non-GAAP net profit margin reaching 1.9% in 2024 [19]. Industry Overview - The second-hand electronics market is experiencing rapid growth, with the total transaction scale expected to reach approximately 645 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.6% [30][37]. - The recycling penetration rate for second-hand electronics remains low, with projections indicating significant room for growth as consumer awareness increases [49][50]. Competitive Landscape - The second-hand electronics industry is characterized by low concentration, with the company and its competitor, Zhuanzhuan, holding market shares of 7.9% and 7.4% respectively in the recycling segment [7][54]. - The company employs a multi-channel approach, integrating C2B, B2B, and B2C models to optimize its operations and enhance customer satisfaction [7][54].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Vipshop (VIPS.N) [3][5][6] Core Insights - The revenue trend for Q3 is expected to align with guidance, achieving positive growth, with a projected year-on-year increase of 2%. The improvement is noted in both the wearable and standard product categories, alongside a steady increase in user growth and stable profitability, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin expected to remain around 7% [2][5][6] - The long-term brand value and consumer base of the company are solid, supported by its competitive edge in the branded discount sector and continuous enhancements in supply chain capabilities and marketing strategies. The core customer base is steadily expanding, with SVIP users showing double-digit year-on-year growth [2][5][6] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected main revenue for 2023 is 112.856 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 9.4%. The Non-GAAP net profit is expected to be 9.510 billion CNY, reflecting a 39.1% increase [3][9] - The target valuation is set at 25.29 USD, with the current stock price at 20.45 USD, indicating a potential upside [3][5] - Key financial metrics include a projected PE ratio of 7.6 for 2023 and a return on equity (ROE) of 19.36% [4][10] User and Product Trends - Q3 is anticipated to show improvements in user trends, with overall user numbers expected to return to positive year-on-year growth. The recovery in consumer sentiment and enhanced procurement capabilities are contributing factors [2][5] - The wearable category is expected to perform better, with women's and men's apparel, as well as shoes and bags, showing signs of recovery in year-on-year growth [2][5]

- The report focuses on the regulatory dynamics, market trends, and product issuance in the ESG field, providing a systematic review of important information from the past month for investors' reference[1] - As of the end of September, there were 930 ESG-themed funds in the A-share market, with a total scale of approximately 1.03 trillion yuan, an increase of over 4% from the beginning of the year[4] - The newly issued ESG bonds in September amounted to 125.674 billion yuan, with green bonds dominating the market[81] - The report highlights the strategic shift of the Dutch pension fund PFZW towards active investment, ending cooperation with several institutions like BlackRock[51][52] - The report also discusses the launch of the "National Tea Carbon Footprint Digital Platform," exploring the carbon management system for agricultural products[43]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommendation" rating, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the overall performance of the food and beverage sector during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day was stable, with retail and catering sales increasing by 3.3% year-on-year [6][13]. - The report indicates a differentiation in performance across segments, with snacks showing the highest growth, followed by beverages, catering chains, dairy products, and finally, liquor [6][14]. - High-end liquor and banquet scenarios performed better than expected during the holiday period, while overall liquor sales were down approximately 20% year-on-year, aligning with pre-holiday expectations [6][22]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Holiday Feedback - The report notes that consumer and travel activities were relatively stable during the holiday, with a daily average of 304 million people traveling, a 6.2% increase year-on-year [6][13]. - The performance of various segments is ranked as follows: snacks > beverages > catering chains > dairy products > liquor, with seasoning benefiting from the recovery in catering [6][14]. Section 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests continued focus on high-growth sectors, particularly as the catering peak season approaches, and recommends monitoring the performance of liquor companies and catering chains [6][22]. - Specific investment targets include: 1. Snack sector growth stocks such as Ximai Foods and attention to Weilong Delicious [22]. 2. Continued recommendations for Hong Kong-listed leaders like Nongfu Spring and H&H International, with a focus on Haitian Flavor Industry [22]. 3. New consumption areas highlighting Zhongchong Co., Guobao Pet, and Bairun Co., with attention to Yuanfei Pet and Petty Co. [22]. 4. Traditional consumption focusing on leading liquor brands such as Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, and Kweichow Moutai [22]. 5. Consumer staples with a focus on stable performers like Haitian Flavor Industry and dividend-supported leaders like Yili Co. [22].

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 10 月 08 日 1-9 月累计土地成交建面同比降幅收窄 ——样本城市周度高频数据全追踪 周期/房地产 一、核心要点 图 1：样本城市新房及二手房网签面积同比（截至 10 月 6 日） 资料来源：Wind、房管局、招商证券等 表 1：样本城市新房及二手房网签面积同比（截至 10 月 6 日） | 新房（10 | 月 | 1 日-10 月 | 6 日） | 二手房（10 | 月 | 1 日-10 月 | 6 日） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 城市能级 | 同比 | 较 | 9 月 | 城市能级 | 同比 | 较 | 9 月 | | 样本城市 | -32% | -扩大 | -29 PCT | 样本城市 | +4% | +收 | -10 PCT | | （39 城） | | | | （16 城） | | 窄 | | | 一线城市 | +15% | +扩大 | +6 PCT | 一线城市 | +1% | +收 | -24 PCT | | （4 城） | | | | （2 城） | | 窄 | ...

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 10 月 8 日 供给增速维持低位，旺季客座率创新高 航空行业 2025 年 8 月数据跟踪 周期/交通运输 本月关注： 8 月行业整体供需增速持续放缓，客座率创新高。结构上看，国内 维持较低增速，国际线受去年基数逐步正常化影响增速持续放缓。 ❑ 风险提示：宏观经济下行、人民币大幅贬值、油价大幅上涨、重大自然灾害 等。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 128 | 2.5 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 3091.3 | 3.0 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 2874.2 | 3.0 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -1.1 10.0 18.5 相对表现 -4.3 -9.4 3.0 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Oct/24 Jan/25 May/25 Sep/25 (%) 交通运输 沪深300 相关报告 1、《招商交通运输行业周报—关注 头部高速超跌配置机会，民航票价同 比大幅增长（ 20250928 ） 》 2025-09-28 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the company [4]. Core Insights - The signing of a significant contract with AVIC Technology, amounting to 615 million RMB (excluding tax), reflects the high prosperity of military trade, with expectations for substantial growth in domestic trade in the second half of the year [1][8]. - The company’s inventory reached a historical high of 3.628 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a significant increase of 38.48% compared to the end of the previous year, indicating preparations for timely product delivery [8]. - The company plans to repurchase shares for employee stock ownership plans, demonstrating confidence in future development [8]. - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 indicate net profits of 290 million, 378 million, and 441 million RMB respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 116, 89, and 76 [8]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2.664 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 4%. A significant recovery is expected in 2025 with a projected revenue of 3.375 billion RMB, reflecting a 393% increase [3][16]. - The company’s net profit for 2023 is estimated at 303 million RMB, with a forecasted loss of 54 million RMB in 2024, followed by a recovery to 290 million RMB in 2025 [3][16]. - The current market capitalization is approximately 3.36 billion RMB, with a current share price of 49.74 RMB [4]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is China Aviation Industry Group Co., Ltd., holding a 16.6% stake in the company [4].