Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - For gold, due to the expected easing of Sino - US trade tensions and the rising expectation of a cease - fire in the Russia - Ukraine conflict, the short - term price is expected to decline, the medium - term to fluctuate, and the intraday to fall, with a recommendation to wait and see [1][3]. - For copper, considering the resurgence of mine - end disturbances, increased capital attention, and the warming of the macro - environment, the short - term, medium - term, and intraday prices are expected to rise, and it is recommended to be bullish in the long run [1][4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold - **Price Trend**: Short - term: decline; Medium - term: fluctuate; Intraday: decline; Reference view: wait and see [1][3]. - **Driving Logic**: The Sino - US trade friction tends to ease in the short term after the Sino - US economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur, reducing the demand for safe - haven assets. Also, the US CPI in September was lower than expected, and the market anticipates the steady progress of US interest rate cuts, leading to a short - term decline in the gold price. Attention should be paid to the support at the 20 - day moving average [3]. Copper - **Price Trend**: Short - term: rise; Medium - term: rise; Intraday: rise; Reference view: bullish in the long run [1][4]. - **Driving Logic**: After the conclusion of the Fourth Plenary Session in China last week, the macro - environment has significantly improved. Against the background of supply contraction in the industry and the continued warming of the domestic and foreign macro - environment, copper prices have continued to rise with increasing positions. The preliminary consensus reached in the Sino - US trade consultations over the weekend is also beneficial to copper prices. Attention should be paid to the long - short game at the 11,000 mark of LME copper [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - Both Shanghai rubber 2601 and synthetic rubber 2512 are expected to run strongly, with an intraday view of being strongly volatile and a medium - term view of being weakly volatile [1][5][7] 3. Summary by Relevant Categories Shanghai Rubber (RU) - **View**: Intraday view is strongly volatile, medium - term view is weakly volatile, and the reference view is to run strongly [5] - **Core Logic**: The 4th Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee released favorable policies, improving the macro - sentiment. The rubber futures sector had a valuation repair. The better - than - expected September domestic new car production and sales data supported the industry factor, boosting the bulls' confidence. The positive signal from the China - US economic and trade talks also improved the macro - sentiment. On the night of last Friday, the 2601 contract of Shanghai rubber futures was strongly volatile, with the price rising 0.23% to 15385 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain a strongly volatile trend on Monday [5] Synthetic Rubber (BR) - **View**: Intraday view is strongly volatile, medium - term view is weakly volatile, and the reference view is to run strongly [7] - **Core Logic**: The 4th Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee released favorable policies, improving the macro - sentiment. The rubber futures sector had a valuation repair. The positive signal from the China - US economic and trade talks continued to improve the macro - sentiment. On the night of last Friday, the 2512 contract of synthetic rubber futures was weakly volatile, with the price falling 0.63% to 11085 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain a strongly volatile trend on Monday [7]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of the stock index futures is wide - range oscillation, and the medium - term view is upward. The core logic is the game between the profit - taking intention of funds and the expectation of policy benefits [1][4]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2512, the short - term view is oscillation, the medium - term view is upward, the intraday view is oscillation with a strong bias, and the overall view is wide - range oscillation. The core logic is the game between the profit - taking intention of funds and the expectation of policy benefits [1]. Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The intraday view of IF, IH, IC, and IM is oscillation with a strong bias, the medium - term view is upward, and the reference view is wide - range oscillation. Last Friday, all stock indexes oscillated and rose. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 19916 billion yuan, an increase of 3309 billion yuan from the previous day. Policy support for the technology industry is expected due to the goals of the 14th Five - Year Plan, and the external uncertainty has eased after the Sino - US economic and trade consultations. However, the marginal expectation of incremental policy benefits will slow down, and there is still an intention for profit - taking. In the short term, the stock index is expected to be mainly in wide - range oscillation [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Report's Core View - The short - term view for both coking coal and coke is to follow an oscillatory approach. Coking coal is expected to run strongly due to strong expectations, while coke is expected to oscillate strongly with support from the cost side [1][5][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Coking Coal (JM) - **Price Trend**: Short - term is oscillatory, mid - term is oscillatory, and intraday is rising, with an overall oscillatory approach [1][5]. - **Supply**: As of the week of October 24, the daily average output of clean coal from 523 coking coal mines nationwide was 761,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 18,000 tons and a year - on - year decrease of 17,000 tons. From the 13th to the 18th, the total number of vehicle passages at the Ganqimao Port was 7,220. Political unrest in Mongolia in the middle and late period disrupted port clearance efficiency in the short term, but it is expected to basically recover by next week [5]. - **Demand**: The combined coke output of independent coking plants and steel mill coking plants was 1.1072 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 5,100 tons [5]. - **Market Sentiment**: Sino - US economic and trade consultations from October 24 to 27 in Malaysia boosted the overall sentiment of the commodity market. Coking coal, as one of the leading varieties since the anti - involution, is still a key variety favored by long - position funds [5]. Coke (J) - **Price Trend**: Short - term is oscillatory, mid - term is oscillatory, and intraday is rising, with an overall oscillatory approach [1][6]. - **Supply and Demand**: As of the week of October 24, the combined coke output of independent coking plants and steel mill coking plants was 1.1072 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 5,100 tons; the daily average hot metal output of 247 steel mills was 2.399 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 10,500 tons [6]. - **Inventory**: This week, coke inventory increased in the upstream and mid - stream. Independent coking plants' inventory increased by 1,350 tons, and the inventory at four major ports increased by 4,940 tons, while the inventory of downstream steel mills decreased by 6,280 tons week - on - week [6]. - **Support Factors**: The cost support from coking coal and the warming sentiment of domestic and foreign macro - environments are relatively favorable factors [6].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The intraday view of methanol is strongly volatile, and the medium - term view is weakly volatile, with a reference view of strong operation[5]. - Due to geopolitical factors such as Trump canceling the US - Russia leaders' meeting and US sanctions on Russian oil producers, along with South American geopolitical risks, crude oil futures prices have gained premium support. There is a game between strong geopolitical expectations and weak supply - demand realities in the crude oil market. With positive signals from Sino - US economic and trade talks, the macro - sentiment has improved. The domestic methanol futures 2601 contract may maintain a volatile and stable trend on Monday[5]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Methanol Price and Market Conditions - The domestic methanol futures 2601 contract showed a narrow - range consolidation in the night session on Friday, with the futures price slightly rebounding by 0.04% to 2279 yuan/ton[5]. Market Driving Factors - Geopolitical factors, including Trump canceling the US - Russia leaders' meeting, US sanctions on Russian oil producers, and South American geopolitical risks, have led to a premium in crude oil prices. However, the crude oil market still faces a weak supply - demand reality, with increased supply surplus pressure and a seasonal off - peak in demand, leading to an inventory accumulation cycle[5]. - Positive signals from Sino - US economic and trade talks have improved the macro - sentiment[5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The "15th Five - Year Plan" focuses on high - quality development, with key policy areas including technology, the real economy, upgrading, and consumption. The competition between China and the US will intensify in the field of AI. There may be less direct consumption stimulation than expected, and local inefficient investment will be further restricted. The real estate policy may be optimized but large - scale stimulus is not expected [32]. - The 4th Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee reaffirmed the goal of reaching the economic level of moderately developed countries by 2035. During the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, the economic growth rate may need to be maintained above 4.5%. High - quality development and scientific and technological self - reliance are of great importance. A new development pattern will be built by integrating supply and demand [33]. - Some US banks are facing credit losses due to borrower fraud and corporate bankruptcies, indicating an increase in US credit risks. However, the overall risk of the US banking industry is still relatively controllable [33]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Macro Data - In September 2025, GDP at constant prices increased by 4.8% year - on - year, down from 5.2% in the previous period but up from 4.6% in the same period last year. The manufacturing PMI was 49.8%, up from 49.4% in the previous period and the same as last year's level. The non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 50.0%, down from 50.3% in the previous period and the same as last year [1]. - M0, M1, and M2 growth rates showed different trends. The year - on - year growth rate of M0 was 11.5%, slightly down from 11.7% in the previous period; M1 increased by 7.2% year - on - year, up from 6.0% in the previous period; M2 increased by 8.4% year - on - year, down from 8.8% in the previous period [1]. - The year - on - year growth rate of CPI was - 0.3%, slightly up from - 0.4% in the previous period but down from 0.4% in the same period last year. The year - on - year growth rate of PPI was - 2.3%, up from - 2.9% in the previous period but down from - 2.8% in the same period last year [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment 3.2.1 Comprehensive - From October 25th to 26th, China and the US held economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur, reaching a basic consensus on issues such as maritime logistics, tariffs, and agricultural product trade [2]. - The central bank emphasized building a scientific and stable monetary policy system, handling various relationships, and maintaining the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate [2]. - At the end of the third quarter of 2025, the balance of RMB loans of financial institutions was 270.39 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year increase of 6.6%. The balance of real estate loans decreased slightly [3]. 3.2.2 Metals - Since October, many banks have raised the minimum investment threshold for gold accumulation. Gold prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term [5]. - Some gold brands such as Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook have raised product prices. The strategic position of aluminum is rising, and its price is expected to remain high and volatile [5][7]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - Shanxi is increasing coal production to meet winter demand. In the first three quarters, the output of above - scale coal mines in Shanxi was 975.24 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.7% [9]. - In September, the global crude steel output of 70 countries/regions decreased by 1.6% year - on - year. The prices of some steel and coal products showed different trends [9][10]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - By the end of September, the total installed power generation capacity in China was 3.72 billion kilowatts, with a year - on - year increase of 17.5%. The average utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased [11]. - The US announced sanctions on Russian oil companies, and Russia believes it will not have a significant impact on its economy. The price of Brent crude oil is expected to be $65 per barrel in Q4 2025 [11]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasized improving agricultural production capacity and promoting the revitalization of the seed industry. Russia extended the export tariffs on sunflower - related products [13][14]. - From October 1st to 25th, the export volume of palm oil in Malaysia decreased by 0.36% month - on - month [14]. 3.3 Financial News 3.3.1 Open Market - On October 27th, the central bank will conduct 900 billion yuan of MLF operations, with a net investment of 200 billion yuan. In October, the net investment in medium - term liquidity will reach 60 billion yuan, maintaining a relatively high level [15]. - This week, there will be 867.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchase and 700 billion yuan of MLF due in the central bank's open market [15]. 3.3.2 Important News - China and the US held economic and trade consultations, reaching a basic consensus on important issues [17]. - The "15th Five - Year Plan" emphasizes solving the "three rural" issues, promoting industrial upgrading, and increasing investment in emerging fields [17]. - President Xi Jinping will visit South Korea and attend the APEC meeting. Many countries expect his new proposals for regional cooperation [18]. 3.3.3 Bond Market - The domestic bond market is generally weak, with most yields of cash bonds in the inter - bank market rising. The prices of some bonds in the exchange market showed different trends [26]. - The yields of European and US bonds showed different trends, with some rising and some falling [29][30]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.123, down 9 basis points from the previous trading day. The US dollar index was flat, and non - US currencies showed mixed trends [31]. 3.4 Stock Market - On the evening of October 26th, many listed companies disclosed their third - quarter reports, with some showing significant profit growth. More than 100 A - share listed companies had a net profit growth rate of over 100% in the first three quarters [37]. - As the disclosure of the third - quarter reports of listed companies reaches a peak, fund managers will adjust their investment strategies based on the reports, mainly focusing on the technology sector [37]. - By the end of the third quarter, social security funds held shares in 135 stocks, with a total market value of 51.33 billion yuan. They increased their layout in the technology sector [37][38]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Futures: Short - term stock indices are expected to fluctuate widely. Last week, all stock indices fluctuated upwards. With the release of the communiqué of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, the high - tech industry is expected to receive more policy support, leading to significant gains in technology - related stocks. Although the Sino - US economic and trade consultations did not reach a substantial agreement, external uncertainties have eased, and investors' risk appetite has recovered. However, the incremental policy benefits are expected to gradually weaken. Overall, short - term stock indices are expected to be characterized by wide - range fluctuations [3][9][83] - ETF and stock index options: Maintain a bullish spread with a mild bullish view. Recently, the implied volatility of options has been relatively stable. Since the probability of stock indices rising in the medium - to - long term is high, investors can hold bullish spreads or ratio spreads for a mild bullish position [4][84] Summary by Directory 1 Market Review 1.1 Stock Index Trends - Last week, all stock indices fluctuated upwards. Policy support for the high - tech industry led to significant gains in technology - related stocks. The Sino - US economic and trade consultations eased external uncertainties, and investors' risk appetite recovered. However, the incremental policy benefits are expected to weaken. Short - term stock indices are expected to fluctuate widely. The specific data of the four major indices are as follows: the Shanghai 50 Index closed at 3045.816, with a daily increase of 0.62% and a weekly increase of 2.63%; the CSI 300 Index closed at 4660.684, with a daily increase of 1.18% and a weekly increase of 3.24%; the CSI 500 Index closed at 7258.534, with a daily increase of 1.62% and a weekly increase of 3.46%; the CSI 1000 Index closed at 7419.24, with a daily increase of 1.52% and a weekly increase of 3.25% [9][14] 1.2 Option Price Trends - This week, the 50ETF rose 2.64% to close at 3.192; the 300ETF (SSE) rose 3.16% to close at 4.770; the 300ETF (SZSE) rose 3.10% to close at 4.916; the CSI 300 Index rose 3.24% to close at 4660.68; the CSI 1000 Index rose 3.25% to close at 7419.24; the 500ETF (SSE) rose 3.58% to close at 7.369; the 500ETF (SZSE) rose 3.38% to close at 2.940; the GEM ETF rose 7.96% to close at 3.147; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 5.19% to close at 3.569; the Shanghai 50 Index rose 2.63% to close at 3045.82; the STAR 50ETF rose 7.12% to close at 1.54; the E Fund STAR 50ETF rose 7.13% to close at 1.49 [17] 1.3 Futures Basis and Monthly Spreads - The basis of the four stock index futures varieties: The basis of IF and IH is at a normal quantile level, while IM and IC show a significant premium in the far - month futures. The inter - period spreads of IC and IM futures have rebounded, indicating that the market's short - term risk preference for IC and IM has increased [23] 2 Option Indicators 2.1 PCR Indicators - The trading volume PCR and position PCR data of various options are provided, including the Shanghai 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options, SZSE 300ETF options, CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, SSE 500ETF options, SZSE 500ETF options, GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, Shanghai 50 stock index options, STAR 50ETF options, and E Fund STAR 50ETF options [37] 2.2 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of the at - the - money options in November 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options are provided, including the Shanghai 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options, SZSE 300ETF options, CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, SSE 500ETF options, SZSE 500ETF options, GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, Shanghai 50 stock index options, STAR 50ETF options, and E Fund STAR 50ETF options [56] 3 Conclusion - Futures: Short - term stock indices are expected to fluctuate widely [83] - ETF and stock index options: Maintain a bullish spread with a mild bullish view [84]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On October 24, 2025, all stock indices fluctuated and rose. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1991.6 billion yuan, an increase of 330.9 billion yuan from the previous day [3]. - The communiqué of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee announced that the main goals during the 15th Five - Year Plan period include significant achievements in high - quality development and a substantial increase in the level of scientific and technological self - reliance. The proportion of the science and technology innovation industry in China's future economy will increase, and corresponding policy support will be introduced. Against the backdrop of positive policy expectations, technology - related stocks rose significantly [3]. - The easing of external uncertainty risk factors brought about by China - US economic and trade consultations led to a recovery in investors' risk appetite, causing the stock indices to rebound from the bottom. However, the marginal increase in positive policy expectations will slow down with the release of the draft suggestions for the 15th Five - Year Plan. In the future, it is necessary to evaluate the game between the fermentation rhythm of positive policy expectations and the profit - taking rhythm of funds. In general, the stock indices are expected to fluctuate widely in the short term [3]. - Currently, the implied volatility of options remains relatively stable. Considering the long - term upward trend of stock indices, investors can continue to hold bull spreads or covered calls [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - **ETF and Index Performance**: On October 24, 2025, the 50ETF rose 0.79% to close at 3.192; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 1.21% to close at 4.770; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 1.26% to close at 4.916; the CSI 300 Index rose 1.18% to close at 4660.68; the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.52% to close at 7419.24; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 1.66% to close at 7.369; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 1.62% to close at 2.940; the GEM ETF rose 3.59% to close at 3.147; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 2.03% to close at 3.569; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.62% to close at 3045.82; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF rose 4.21% to close at 1.54; the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF rose 4.42% to close at 1.49 [5]. - **Volume PCR and Position PCR**: The report provides the volume PCR and position PCR data of various options on October 24, 2025, and their changes compared with the previous trading day, including 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [6]. - **Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility**: The report presents the implied volatility of the at - the - money options in November 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets for various options, such as 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [7][8]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - The report includes a series of charts for different types of options, such as the trend charts, volatility charts, volume PCR charts, implied volatility curve charts, and at - the - money implied volatility charts of different terms for 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), GEM ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [9][20][33][47][59][73][86][99][112][125][138][150].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Shanghai rubber futures 2601 contract showed a trend of increasing volume, decreasing positions, stabilizing, and rebounding slightly. Driven by macro - sentiment and industrial factors, it is conducive to the valuation repair of the contract [6]. - The methanol futures 2601 contract showed a trend of decreasing volume, increasing positions, oscillating weakly, and closing slightly lower. Driven by the cost logic supported by the small increase in domestic coal futures prices, it offset the weak supply - demand structure of domestic methanol, and the methanol futures started an oscillating consolidation trend [6]. - The domestic crude oil futures 2512 contract showed a trend of increasing volume, decreasing positions, rising steadily, and closing sharply higher. After the previous weak macro - factors were corrected and combined with the prominent geopolitical risks in South America, the crude oil futures regained premium support [7]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Industry Dynamics Rubber - As of October 19, 2025, the total inventory of natural rubber in bonded and general trade in Qingdao was 437,500 tons, a decrease of 18,600 tons from the previous period, a decline of 4.07%. The bonded area inventory decreased by 1.70%, and the general trade inventory decreased by 4.51%. The inbound rate of sample bonded warehouses decreased by 2.14 percentage points, and the outbound rate increased by 1.01 percentage points; the inbound rate of general trade warehouses decreased by 1.97 percentage points, and the outbound rate increased by 2.21 percentage points [9]. - In the week of October 24, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of China's semi - steel tire sample enterprises was 72.84%, a week - on - week increase of 1.77 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 6.84 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of China's all - steel tire sample enterprises was 65.87%, a week - on - week increase of 1.91 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 6.95 percentage points [9]. - In September 2025, China's logistics industry prosperity index was 51.2%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. The new order index was steadily expanding. In September, China's automobile production and sales were 3.276 million and 3.226 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 17.1% and 14.9%. From January to September 2025, China's cumulative automobile production and sales were 24.333 million and 24.363 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 13.3% and 12.9% [10]. - In September 2025, the sales volume of China's heavy - truck market was 105,000 vehicles, a year - on - year increase of about 82% and a month - on - month increase of 15%, achieving six consecutive months of growth. From January to September 2025, the cumulative sales volume of the heavy - truck market was about 821,000 vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 20% [10]. Methanol - As of the week of October 17, 2025, the average domestic methanol operating rate was maintained at 84.38%, with a week - on - week increase of 4.00%, a month - on - month increase of 4.99%, and a slight increase of 2.95% compared with the same period last year. The average weekly methanol output in China was 1.9837 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 49,300 tons, a month - on - month increase of 64,400 tons, and a significant increase of 118,600 tons compared with 1.8651 million tons in the same period last year [11]. - As of the week of October 17, 2025, the domestic formaldehyde operating rate was maintained at 30.95%, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.03%. The dimethyl ether operating rate was maintained at 6.68%, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.52%. The acetic acid operating rate was maintained at 71.61%, with a week - on - week decline of 10.04%. The MTBE operating rate was maintained at 54.89%, with a week - on - week decrease of 3.00%. The average operating load of domestic coal (methanol) to olefin plants was 88.36%, with a week - on - week increase of 0.39 percentage points and a month - on - month increase of 5.48% [11]. - As of October 17, 2025, the domestic methanol - to - olefin futures盘面 profit was - 252 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decline of 53 yuan/ton and a month - on - month decline of 106 yuan/ton [11]. - As of the week of October 17, 2025, the port methanol inventory in East and South China was maintained at 1.2589 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 14,100 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 70,900 tons, and a significant increase of 324,600 tons compared with the same period last year. As of the week of October 16, 2025, the total inland methanol inventory in China was 359,900 tons, a week - on - week increase of 20,400 tons, a month - on - month increase of 19,400 tons, and a significant decrease of 109,700 tons compared with 469,600 tons in the same period last year [12][13]. Crude Oil - As of the week of October 10, 2025, the number of active oil drilling platforms in the United States was 418, a week - on - week decrease of 4 and a decrease of 83 compared with the same period last year. The average daily crude oil production in the United States was 13.636 million barrels, a week - on - week increase of 7,000 barrels per day and a significant year - on - year increase of 136,000 barrels per day [14]. - As of the week of October 10, 2025, the commercial crude oil inventory in the United States (excluding strategic petroleum reserves) reached 424 million barrels, a week - on - week increase of 3.524 million barrels and a slight increase of 3.235 million barrels compared with the same period last year. The crude oil inventory in Cushing, Oklahoma, was 22.001 million barrels, a week - on - week decrease of 703,000 barrels; the strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) inventory was 407.7 million barrels, a week - on - week increase of 760,000 barrels. The refinery operating rate in the United States was maintained at 85.7%, a week - on - week decline of 6.7 percentage points, a month - on - month decrease of 7.6 percentage points, and a slight year - on - year decline of 2.0 percentage points [14]. - As of September 23, 2025, the average non - commercial net long positions in WTI crude oil were maintained at 102,958 contracts, a week - on - week increase of 4,249 contracts and a significant decrease of 19,105 contracts compared with the average in August, a decline of 15.65%. As of October 14, 2025, the average net long positions of Brent crude oil futures funds were maintained at 110,311 contracts, a week - on - week decrease of 31,345 contracts and a significant decrease of 106,044 contracts compared with the average in September, a decline of 49.01% [15]. 2. Spot Price Table | Variety | Spot Price | Change from Previous Day | Futures Main Contract | Change from Previous Day | Basis | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Shanghai Rubber | 14,500 yuan/ton | +100 yuan/ton | 15,335 yuan/ton | +90 yuan/ton | - 835 yuan/ton | +10 yuan/ton | | Methanol | 2,290 yuan/ton | - 20 yuan/ton | 2,272 yuan/ton | - 20 yuan/ton | +18 yuan/ton | +0 yuan/ton | | Crude Oil | 438.5 yuan/barrel | +5.3 yuan/barrel | 464.9 yuan/barrel | +5.2 yuan/barrel | - 26.4 yuan/barrel | +0.1 yuan/barrel | 3. Relevant Charts - Rubber: Charts include rubber basis, 1 - 5 month spread, rubber futures inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, Qingdao bonded area rubber inventory, all - steel tire operating rate trend, and semi - steel tire operating rate trend [17][18][19]. - Methanol: Charts include methanol basis, 1 - 5 month spread, domestic port methanol inventory, methanol - to - olefin operating rate change, inland social methanol inventory, and coal - to - methanol cost accounting [32][35][38]. - Crude Oil: Charts include crude oil basis, crude oil futures inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, US commercial crude oil inventory, US refinery operating rate, WTI crude oil net position change, and Brent crude oil net position change [49][51][53].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views - **Coke**: This week, coke continued its pattern of declining supply and demand. As of the week ending October 24, the combined coke production of independent coking plants and steel - mill coking plants was 1107200 tons, a weekly decrease of 5100 tons. The daily average hot - metal production of 247 steel mills was 239900 tons, a weekly decrease of 10500 tons. In terms of inventory, coke accumulated in the upstream and mid - stream. Independent coking plants saw a stock increase of 13500 tons, and the four major ports had a stock increase of 49400 tons, while the coke inventory of downstream steel mills decreased by 62800 tons week - on - week. Overall, the game between upstream and downstream of coke intensified, with insufficient fundamental support. The relative positives were the cost support from coking coal and the sentiment support from the warming of domestic and international macro - environments [6][35]. - **Coking Coal**: As of the week ending October 24, the daily average clean coal production of 523 coking coal mines nationwide was 76100 tons, a decrease of 1800 tons compared to the previous week and 1700 tons compared to the same period last year. In terms of imports, from the 13th to the 18th, the total number of vehicles passing through the Ganqimao Port was 7220. Political unrest in Mongolia in the middle and late October temporarily disrupted port clearance efficiency, and it was expected to basically recover by next week. The combined coke production of independent coking plants and steel - mill coking plants decreased by 5100 tons week - on - week. In terms of inventory, the upstream coal mine inventory decreased by 15900 tons, while the coking coal inventory of downstream independent coking plants increased significantly by 323300 tons to 1029700 tons. The economic and trade consultations between China and the United States from October 24th to 27th in Malaysia boosted the overall sentiment of the commodity market. Coking coal, as one of the leading varieties since the anti - involution, remained a key variety favored by long - position funds. Overall, there were no obvious short - term changes in the fundamentals of coking coal. Strong expectations supported the main coking coal contract to fluctuate strongly. Future attention should be paid to the results of Sino - US trade measures and supply changes in major production areas [7][36]. 3. Summary by Directory Industry News - **Steel Inventory**: In mid - October 2025, the steel inventory of key steel enterprises was 1658000 tons, a 70000 - ton increase from the previous ten - day period, a 4.4% increase; 421000 tons more than at the beginning of the year, a 34.0% increase; 129000 tons more than the same ten - day period last month, an 8.4% increase; 115000 tons more than the same ten - day period last year, a 7.5% increase; and 7000 tons more than the same ten - day period the year before last, a 0.4% increase [8]. - **Coking Coal Price**: On October 24, the coking coal prices in the Xingtai market remained stable. The price of low - sulfur primary coking coal was 1490 yuan/ton, and the price of 1/3 coking coal was 1200 yuan/ton, both being ex - factory cash prices including tax [9]. Spot Market - **Coke**: The current price of Rizhao Port's quasi - first - grade coke was 1520 yuan/ton, with no change from last weekend; it increased by 3.40% from the end of last month, decreased by 10.06% from the end of last year, and decreased by 19.58% compared to the same period. The current price of Qingdao Port's quasi - first - grade coke was 1470 yuan/ton, a 1.38% increase from last weekend, a 0.68% increase from the end of last month, a 9.26% decrease from the end of last year, and a 16.95% decrease compared to the same period [10]. - **Coking Coal**: The current price of Mongolian coking coal at the Ganqimao Port was 1310 yuan/ton, a 3.97% increase from last weekend, a 2.34% increase from the end of last month, an 11.02% increase from the end of last year, and an 11.49% decrease compared to the same period. The current price of Australian - produced coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1580 yuan/ton, a 0.64% increase from last weekend, a 1.86% decrease from the end of last month, a 6.04% increase from the end of last year, and a 9.20% decrease compared to the same period. The current price of Shanxi - produced coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1690 yuan/ton, with no change from last weekend, a 1.17% decrease from the end of last month, a 10.46% increase from the end of last year, and a 5.06% decrease compared to the same period [10]. Related Charts - **Coke Inventory**: The report provides charts of 230 independent coking plants' coke inventory, port coke total inventory, 247 steel - mill coking plants' coke inventory, and total coke inventory over different years [13][14][16]. - **Coking Coal Inventory**: Charts of mine - mouth coking coal inventory, port coking coal inventory, 247 sample steel mills' coking coal inventory, and all - sample independent coking plants' coking coal inventory over different years are presented [21][24][26]. - **Other Charts**: There are charts showing domestic steel - mill production (including blast furnace start - up rate and steel - mill profitability rate), Shanghai terminal wire - rod procurement volume, coal - washing plant production (including clean coal inventory and start - up rate), and coking plant start - up (including coke - per - ton profit and coke - oven capacity utilization rate) [27][28][30]. 4. Market Outlook - **Coke**: The situation of coke in the future will continue to be affected by the pattern of declining supply and demand. Pay attention to the cost support from coking coal and the impact of macro - environment changes [35]. - **Coking Coal**: The short - term fundamentals of coking coal have no obvious changes. The main contract is expected to fluctuate strongly under the support of strong expectations. Future attention should be paid to the results of Sino - US trade measures and supply changes in major production areas [36].