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原油成品油早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 12:06
原油成品油早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/09/15 | 日期 | WTI | BRENT | DUBAI | diff FOB dated bre | BRENT 1- | WTI-BREN | DUBAI-B | NYMEX RB | RBOB-BR | NYMEX | HO-BRT | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 2月差 | T | RT(EFS | OB | T | HO | | | | | | | nt | | | | | | | | | 2025/09/08 | 62.26 | 66.02 | 69.03 | - | 0.35 | -3.76 | 0.47 | 195.86 | 16.24 | 231.19 | 31.08 | | 2025/09/09 | 62.63 | 66.39 | 69.50 | - | 0.28 | -3.76 | 0.34 | 199.25 | 17.30 | 231.99 | 31.05 | | 2025/09/10 | 6 ...
燃料油早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 09:28
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - This week, the cracking of high-sulfur 380cst in Singapore fluctuated, the spread of near-month contracts oscillated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread oscillated at a high level, and the fluctuation of the near-month spread between domestic and foreign FU contracts intensified due to delivery factors. The cracking of low-sulfur fuel oil weakened rapidly, the spread of contracts weakened at an accelerated pace, and the spread between domestic and foreign LU contracts compressed to $6 - 7 per ton, with the basis of MF0.5 oscillating [4]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue inventory continued to increase. The peak season for high-sulfur fuel oil in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high-sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provides support, and the EW spread has completed its repair. The spread between domestic and foreign high-sulfur fuel oil has risen again due to the impact of delivery warehouses, with short-term repair between domestic and foreign markets. This week, LU prices declined at an accelerated pace, and the basis of the overseas MF0.5 contract was weak. Given the support of gasoline and diesel cracking in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the spread between low-sulfur and high-sulfur fuel oil to widen in the fourth quarter can be monitored [5]. Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 fluctuated between $372.49 - $380.24, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 between $429.51 - $439.86, etc., with some prices remaining unchanged on September 11 - 12 [2]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, prices of Singapore 380cst M1 fluctuated between $388.46 - $395.14, Singapore 180cst M1 between $397.37 - $399.61, etc., with the spread of Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 decreasing by $0.12 [2]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, FOB 380cst prices fluctuated between $388.92 - $396.90, FOB VLSFO between $463.14 - $469.80, etc., with no change in prices on September 11 - 12 [3]. Domestic FU Contract Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, FU 01 prices fluctuated between 2679 - 2802, FU 05 between 2693 - 2754, etc., with changes of -85, -61, -37 for FU 01, FU 05, FU 09 respectively [3]. Domestic LU Contract Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, LU 01 prices fluctuated between 3259 - 3385, LU 05 between 3259 - 3347, etc., with changes of -105, -74, -74 for LU 01, LU 05, LU 09 respectively [4].
波动率数据日报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 07:53
Group 1: Volatility Index Explanation - Financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day, while the commodity option implied volatility index is weighted by the IV of the upper and lower two - strike options of the front - month at - the - money options, showing the IV change trend of the front - month contract [2] - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means IV is relatively higher than HV, and a smaller difference means IV is relatively lower [2] Group 2: Volatility Data Chart - The chart shows the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences of various financial and commodity options, including 300 Index, 50ETF, 1000 Index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as silver, soybean meal, corn, etc [3] Group 3: Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile - Implied volatility quantile represents the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. Volatility spread is the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [4] - The implied volatility quantile rankings of different varieties are presented, such as 300 Index with a quantile of 0.63, 50ETF with 0.73, PTA with 0.22, etc [5]
铁矿石早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 05:27
铁矿石早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/9/15 数据来源:MYSTEEL 免责 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及 建议内容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分析结论合理,但我司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据的信 息和建议不会发生任何变化。我们提供的全部分析及建议内容仅供参考,不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据,您应当自主做出期货 交易决策,独立承担期货交易后果,凡据此入市者,我司不承担任何责任。我司在为您提供服务时已最大程度避免与您产生利益冲突。 未经我司授权,不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬 件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系 统篡改或伪造变造资料等,我司均不承担任何责任。 声明 15 20 25 30 35 40 1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 5/1 6/1 7/1 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 - 2022 2023 202 ...
永安期货:有色早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 05:22
有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/09/15 铜 : 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/09/08 130 1088 81851 18926 63.54 396.65 58.0 61.0 -81.07 155825 22200 2025/09/09 80 1118 81851 19081 -171.01 242.55 58.0 61.0 -78.02 155275 21950 2025/09/10 55 1008 81851 19126 -232.79 276.35 59.0 62.0 -56.61 155050 21725 2025/09/11 80 1209 81851 20028 -286.15 228.63 57.0 60.0 -61.54 154175 20850 2025/09/12 80 1346 81851 25560 -371.74 - 56.0 59.0 -73.42 153950 20725 变化 0 137 0 553 ...
永安期货:贵金属早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 03:13
Price Performance - The latest prices of London Gold, London Silver, London Platinum, London Palladium, WTI Crude Oil, and LME Copper are 3629.55, 41.08, 1389.00, 1183.00, 62.37, and 10119.50 respectively. The price of LME Copper has changed by 121.50, while the others remain unchanged [2]. - The latest values of the US Dollar Index, Euro to US Dollar, British Pound to US Dollar, US Dollar to Japanese Yen, and US 10 - year TIPS are 97.53, 1.17, 1.36, 147.22, and 1.70 respectively. The value of US 10 - year TIPS has changed by 0.03, while the others remain unchanged [2]. Trading Data - The latest inventories of COMEX Silver, SHFE Silver, and SGE Silver are 16314.19, 1246.57, and 1281.86 respectively. The inventory of SHFE Silver has changed by 6.38, while the others remain unchanged [3]. - The latest holdings of Gold ETF and Silver ETF are 977.95 and 15068.23 respectively, with no change [3]. - The latest deferred fee payment directions of SGE Silver and SGE Gold are 1 and 1 respectively. The deferred fee payment direction of SGE Gold has changed by - 1.00, while that of SGE Silver remains unchanged [3].
永安期货:焦炭早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 03:13
焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/9/15 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1482.39 | 0.00 | -53.55 | 1.06 | -8.13% 高炉开工率 | 90.18 | | 4.39 | -0.04 | 7.87% | | 河北准一湿熄 | 1725.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | 0.00 | -4.43% 铁水日均产量 | 240.55 | | 11.71 | -0.11 | 7.69% | | 山东准一干熄 | 1660.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | 0.00 | -10.03% 盘面05 | 1749.5 | 1.00 | 16.00 | -63.50 | -4.71% | | 江苏准一干熄 | 1700.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | 0.00 | -9.81% 盘面09 | 1500 | -12.50 ...
永安期货:铁合金早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 03:08
铁合金早报 | | | | | | | | | | 2025/9/15 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 项目 | | 现货 | | 仓单 | | 盘面 | | | | | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 出厂价折盘面 | 最新 | | 日变化 | 周变化 | | | 宁夏#72 内蒙#72 | 5250 5280 | 0 -30 | 50 30 | 5550 5630 | 主力合约 01合约 | 5608 5574 | -18 -14 | 10 20 | | 硅铁自然块 | | | | | | | | | | | 产区汇总价 | 青海#72 | 5250 | 0 | 50 | 5580 | 05合约 | 5682 | -10 | 18 | | | 陕西#72 | 5250 | 0 | 50 | 5550 | 09合约 | 5402 | -50 | -10 | | | 陕西#75 | 5950 | 0 | 0 | | 主力月基差 | -58 | 18 | 40 | | 硅铁合格块 | 江苏#72 ...
纸浆早报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 03:01
Group 1: SP Main Contract Information - The closing price of the SP main contract on September 12, 2025, was 4990.00, with a previous day's closing price of 5016.00 and a decline of -0.51834% [3] - The corresponding US dollar price was 611.31, and the basis for Shandong Yinxing was 675, while that for Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai Yinxing was 690 [3] Group 2: Pulp Price and Profit Information - For pulp from different origins and brands, such as Golden Lion from Canada (CFR price of 780), Lion from Canada (CFR price of 730), and Yinxing from Chile (CFR letter of credit 90 - day price of 720), the import profits were -145.57, -533.29, and -197.83 respectively [4] Group 3: Pulp and Paper Price Averages - From September 8 to September 12, 2025, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged at 6073.75, 4810.75, 5415.00, and 3686.25 respectively. The same was true for the Shandong region [4] - The prices of cultural paper (double - offset index, double - copper index), packaging paper (white - card index), and living paper (living index) also remained unchanged during this period [4] Group 4: Paper Profit Margin Information - The estimated profit margins of double - offset paper, double - copper paper, white - card paper, and living paper on September 12, 2025, were 2.9521%, 18.9325%, -12.6626%, and 8.0245% respectively. The living paper profit margin increased by 0.2674 compared to previous days [4] Group 5: Pulp Price Spread Information - On September 12, 2025, the price spreads between softwood and hardwood pulp, softwood and natural pulp, softwood and chemimechanical pulp, and softwood and waste paper were 1505.00, 265, 1840, and 4089 respectively [4]
焦煤日报-20250915
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 03:00
900.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 普氏峰景 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 60.00 160.00 260.00 360.00 460.00 560.00 660.00 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1400.00 1900.00 2400.00 2900.00 3400.00 3900.00 4400.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 沙河驿进口主焦 A11,V26,S0.7,G80,Y15,CSR60 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 普氏中挥发 1900/1/4 免责声明 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及建议内容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分 析结论合理,但我司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会发生任何变化。我们提供的全部分 ...