Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a short-term supply-demand balance and a long-term gap still present [11] - The trend of coal prices establishing a bottom and moving to a new platform is expected to continue, with high profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE) of 10-20%, and dividend yields over 5% for quality coal companies [11][12] - The coal sector is considered undervalued, with overall valuation expected to improve, supported by high premiums in the primary mining rights market and a price-to-book (PB) ratio around 1 for most companies [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Trends - As of May 4, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 652 CNY/ton, down 3 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][30] - The price for Shanxi-produced coking coal at Jingtang port remains stable at 1400 CNY/ton [32] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 93.9%, down 0.3 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 89.74%, up 1.36 percentage points [4][47] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces decreased by 18.40 thousand tons/day (-6.21%), while consumption in coastal provinces increased by 9.30 thousand tons/day (+5.27%) [4][48] Inventory and Transportation - As of April 29, coal inventory in inland provinces increased by 2.59% week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw a 0.77% increase [48] - The daily coal consumption in coastal provinces is showing an upward trend, indicating a potential increase in demand as the summer peak approaches [4][48] Investment Recommendations - Focus on stable and robust performers such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, as well as companies with high elasticity like Yanzhou Coal and China Power Investment [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The expectation of increased steel import tariffs in India is likely to boost demand for South African thermal coal, as the tariffs aim to protect domestic steel producers from low-priced imports [2] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in companies such as Shenhua Energy, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and others, suggesting that these companies may benefit from the current market dynamics [3][6] Summary by Sections Coal Mining - As of April 30, 2025, coal prices showed mixed trends: Newcastle coal (6000K) increased by $3.8/ton (+4.1%) to $97.5/ton, while European ARA coal decreased by $1.0/ton (-1.1%) to $93.8/ton [1][37] - South African coal exports are expected to rebound to over 6 million tons due to increased demand from the sponge iron industry [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies such as Shaanxi Coal, China Shenhua, and others, with projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicating potential growth [6] - Specific companies highlighted for their strong performance include China Coal Energy and Jinneng Holding, with EPS forecasts for 2024 ranging from 1.21 to 2.95 [6] Market Trends - The report notes a significant drop in energy prices, with Brent crude oil down by $3.00/barrel (-4.54%) and WTI down by $4.06/barrel (-6.52%) as of the latest review [1][14] - The overall coal market is experiencing fluctuations, with the potential for increased operational costs due to transportation challenges in South Africa [7]

Core Viewpoint - The coal chemical industry in China is characterized by a diverse range of listed companies, each with distinct business layouts and performance metrics, focusing on both traditional and modern coal chemical products [1][3][20]. Industry Overview - The coal chemical industry is supported by upstream coal mining companies, which provide raw materials, and is influenced by coal price fluctuations that affect production costs and profit margins [1]. - The industry is divided into traditional coal chemical (e.g., coal-based fertilizers, synthetic ammonia) and modern coal chemical (e.g., new coal-based energy and materials) [1]. Key Listed Companies - Major listed companies in the coal chemical sector include China Shenhua (601088), Yanzhou Coal (600188), Baofeng Energy (600989), and others, with varying degrees of involvement in the coal chemical value chain [1][3][4]. - China Shenhua is recognized as a global leader in coal-based comprehensive energy [3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, China Shenhua reported revenues of 1680.78 billion, while other companies like Yanzhou Coal and Baofeng Energy reported revenues of 723.12 billion and 168.97 billion respectively [4][5]. - The overall gross profit margins in the coal chemical sector vary significantly, with Baofeng Energy achieving a gross margin exceeding 40% [19]. Business Layout and Strategy - Companies are strategically located in resource-rich regions, primarily in North and East China, focusing on traditional coal chemical products while expanding into modern coal chemical sectors [16][18]. - Business strategies emphasize safety, environmental protection, energy efficiency, and technological advancement to align with national policies and market demands [20][21]. Employee Composition - China Shenhua has the largest workforce in the sector, employing approximately 83,400 individuals, including 11,400 technical staff [11]. Future Planning - Companies are focusing on high-quality development, with plans to enhance core competencies, ensure energy security, and promote green and sustainable practices [21][22].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector's overall performance in Q1 2025 showed a decline, with a total net profit of 24.12 billion yuan, down 41.5% year-on-year. Among 37 listed companies, 25 reported profits, with 23 experiencing a year-on-year decline in net profit [3] - The report suggests that the weak demand in Q1, influenced by holidays and higher temperatures, led to increased supply and falling coal prices. However, due to long-term contract pricing, the performance of thermal coal companies remained relatively stable. A rebound in coal prices is expected around mid-May [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring demand recovery and suggests that the current demand may represent the annual bottom, with a potential rebound in prices during the peak season [3] Industry Market Performance - As of April 29, the CITIC coal industry index fell by 3.69%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which declined by 2.89%. Year-to-date, the coal sector has dropped by 13.99%, lagging behind the CSI 300 by 9.93 percentage points [10] - The coal industry's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is 11.5, which is relatively low compared to other sectors, ranking 27th among 30 CITIC primary industries [10] Supply and Demand Situation - In Q1 2025, the average daily sales of the top 20 coal groups decreased by 3.5% year-on-year, while national coal production increased by 8.1% to 1.2 billion tons [4][40] - The total coal consumption in China for Q1 2025 was 1.27 billion tons, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, with the power sector consuming 740 million tons, down 3% [59] - The report indicates that coal prices have generally declined in Q1, with thermal coal prices at 767.6 yuan/ton, down 16.5% year-on-year [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies during market dips, specifically mentioning China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy for thermal coal, and Huabei Mining and Lu'an Environmental Energy for coking coal [3]

作 者丨李彤欣 编 辑丨叶映橙 A股上市公司2 0 2 4年年报基本披露完毕。 2 0 2 4年以来，资本市场新"国九条" "科创板八条" "并购六条"等落地实施。上交所和深交所修 改 ST 和 退 市 规 则 ， 对 分 红 和 财 务 的 要 求 进 一 步 提 升 ， 从 2 0 2 5 年 1 月 1 日 起 执 行 。 在 监 管 引 导 下，上市公司积极分红回购，持续加大股东回报。 据 2 1 数 读 × 南 财 快 讯 统 计 ， 截 至 4 月 3 0 日 1 0 时 ， A 股 共 有 5 4 0 2 家 上 市 公 司 披 露 2 0 2 4 年 年 报 ， 3 6 4 5 家 上 市 公 司 拟 进 行 现 金 分 红 ， 占 比 约 为 6 7 . 4 8 %； 预 计 分 红 总 规 模 达 1 . 6 5 万亿元。A股2 0 2 4年度累计分红规模突破2 . 3万亿元。 各家上市公司分红情况如何？哪些公司掏出"真金白银"回馈投资者？2 1数读×南财快讯带你全 景速览A股2 0 2 4年年报现金分红情况。 金融、石油石化行业年报分红金额居前 分行业来看，银行、非银金融、石油石化板块的 ...

Summary of China Shenhua's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Shenhua Energy Company Limited - **Industry**: Coal and Energy Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, China Shenhua reported a net profit of 13.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 18% [4][2] - Operating revenue decreased by 21% to 69.6 billion yuan, primarily due to falling coal sales volume and prices, as well as reduced electricity sales [4][2] - The net cash flow from operating activities fell by 26% to 20.5 billion yuan [2][4] Coal Market Dynamics - The coal industry is facing significant performance challenges, with net profit declines ranging from 20% to 90% across different companies [2][6] - Coal prices at pitheads and ports are inverted, with coastal imported coal suppressing average prices [2][9] - China Shenhua's coal production decreased by 1.1% year-on-year, while sales volume dropped by 15.3% [2][10] Cost and Pricing Trends - The annual long-term coal price increased by 2.4% to 502 yuan/ton, despite a decline in trade coal prices [2][11] - Production costs for self-produced coal rose, with labor costs increasing by 6.7% and repair costs by 15.5% [2][14] - The company anticipates a minimum 6% increase in overall production costs for the year [2][14] Strategic Initiatives - China Shenhua plans to continue its capital expenditure program, focusing on new mining areas, railways, and power plants to enhance resource and transportation advantages [3][18] - The company is committed to improving operational efficiency and maintaining cash flow stability despite market challenges [18][20] Market Sentiment and Investor Engagement - Investor interest in the coal sector has diminished, as evidenced by a significant drop in questions during annual online communications [2][8] - The company emphasizes the importance of detailed information disclosure to help investors understand data fluctuations and assess operational conditions [17][22] Future Outlook - Despite a weak overall market environment, China Shenhua remains optimistic about its long-term value and competitive advantages [23][22] - The company is expected to face challenges in the second quarter due to increased port inventory and lower demand during holidays, but it aims to manage costs effectively [15][20] International Projects - The Zashulan project, a 5 million ton cooperation initiative, is progressing but faces challenges due to tariffs and sanctions [21][21] - Collaboration on the Ganquan Railway with Mongolia is expected to enhance resource security in the long term, despite limited short-term contributions [21][21] Additional Important Insights - The coal market is expected to remain under pressure, with ongoing price volatility and structural changes in sales impacting overall performance [12][13] - The company is focusing on enhancing its long-term contracts to stabilize revenue amidst fluctuating market conditions [12][13]

● 本报记者 董添 Wind数据显示，截至4月29日19时，A股共有5147家上市公司发布2024年度利润分配方案，3567家上市 公司拟现金分红，占比高达69.3%。其中，2222家公司2024年度每股股利有望超过0.1元（含税）。从拟 派息金额看，上述发布现金分红方案的3567家上市公司合计拟派息1.58万亿元。此外，2024年度，A股 整体股息率达到2.56%，煤炭等行业股息率居前。 抛出分红"橄榄枝" 从每股股利看，上述已发布2024年度分红计划的3567家上市公司中，2024年度每股股利有望超过0.1元 （含税）的上市公司有2222家，超过0.5元（含税）的有464家，超过1元（含税）的有134家。贵州茅 台、古井贡酒、泸州老窖、宁德时代、比亚迪、爱美客、吉比特、同花顺、慧翰股份、东鹏饮料、中国 移动、中国神华、华特达因、华利集团等32家上市公司每股股利达到或超过2元（含税）。 不少行业头部上市公司向投资者抛出大额分红计划，引发市场关注。 酒企作为传统分红"大户"，龙头公司的分红方案一直备受市场关注。中国证券报记者梳理发现，每股股 利居前的5家公司中，有3家是酒企。其中，贵州茅台2024年度拟向全体 ...

● 本报记者 董添 稳定分红提升公司价值 从分红角度看，5294家上市公司发布2024年度利润分配方案。其中，3638家公司拟现金分红，占比 68.68%，合计拟派息1.65万亿元。剔除金融股，中国移动、中国石油、中国神华、贵州茅台、中国海 油、美的集团等公司拟派息金额居前。 年报显示，上市公司加速锻造新质生产力，战略性新兴产业成为驱动转型的核心力量，为中国经济向新 向智向未来注入澎湃势能。 加码研发投入 从申万一级行业看，农林牧渔、非银金融、电子、交通运输、汽车、家用电器、通信、商贸零售、食品 饮料、公用事业、有色金属等行业上市公司业绩回暖明显。其中，农林牧渔中的养殖业、饲料板块，电 子行业中的光学光电子、元件、消费电子、半导体板块，交通运输中的航空机场、航运港口板块净利润 同比增幅居前。 上市公司持续加码研发投入，巩固技术壁垒，提升产品核心竞争力。在AI浪潮席卷下，上市公司纷纷 拥抱AI技术，重视AI领域的研发投入，抢占市场机遇。 研发投入方面，Wind数据显示，4256家上市公司披露研发投入相关金额，合计约为1.59万亿元。其中， 比亚迪以541.6亿元再度位居A股上市公司年度研发投入榜榜首，中国建筑、 ...

2025 年 04 月 29 日 与传统风格相关性更低，A 股资产配置 新方向：大成中证全指自由现金流 ETF （159235）投资价值分析 ——指数基金产品研究系列报告之二百四十七 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 研 究 报 告 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 方思齐 A0230123090003 fangsq@swsresearch.com 联系人 方思齐 (8621)23297818× fangsq@swsresearch.com 益 量 化 研 究 权 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 第2页 共25页 简单金融 成就梦想 股 票 基 金 证券分析师 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 现金流 ETF 已经成为海外市场热门产品，国内产品申报火热。国内自由现金流产品目前 处于起步阶段，而海外现金流产品已经取得了丰硕的发展成果。其中规模领先的 COWZ 规模已超 200 亿美元。近期国内现金流 ETF 迎来集中申报浪潮， ...

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance and potential of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China, particularly in the context of ongoing reforms and the integration of artificial intelligence in operations, which may enhance their competitiveness and market performance [2][4]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the National Enterprise Win-Win ETF (159719) decreased by 0.47%, with a latest price of 1.48 yuan. Over the past week, it has seen a cumulative increase of 0.54% [1]. - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF had a turnover of 1.2% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 2.3576 million yuan. The average daily transaction volume over the past year was 17.9394 million yuan [1]. - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) increased by 0.43%, with a latest price of 1.16 yuan. Over the past year, it has accumulated a rise of 13.72% [4]. Group 2: Index and Component Stocks - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win-Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong. The top ten constituent stocks are predominantly "China National" stocks [4][6]. - The top ten stocks in the index include China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, China Construction, and China Mobile, with respective weightings of 15.58%, 12.33%, and 8.89% [6]. - The Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) saw a slight increase of 0.06%, with notable performers including Keda Manufacturing and Weigao Medical, which rose by 6.95% and 4.54%, respectively [4]. Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is actively promoting the "AI+" initiative, focusing on integrating artificial intelligence into enterprise operations to enhance efficiency [1]. - According to Galaxy Securities, SOEs are expected to play a crucial role in China's modernization process, with ongoing reforms aimed at improving core competitiveness and operational efficiency [2]. - The market-oriented operational mechanisms of SOEs are being refined, with plans to implement performance adjustments and exit strategies for underperforming entities by 2025, which may lead to improved profitability [2].