证 券 研 究 报 告 在多元资产的时代乘风破浪 ——公募FOF业务及产品布局2026年展望 证券分析师：邓虎 A0230520070003 2025.12.5 联系人： 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 主要内容 2 1. 公募FOF行业现状 2. 多元资产的下一步进化方向 3. 高波FOF何去何从？ 4. 风险提示及声明 FOF创22Q4以来新高，公募FOF乘上多元资产的风 图1：公募FOF的数量和规模变化 图2：公募FOF规模变动的原因 资料来源：Wind，申万宏源研究 资料来源：Wind，申万宏源研究 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 3 • 经历了多年的FOF规模整体下降，2024年Q4起公募FOF整体规模开始回升，甚至创出22年Q4以来的新高。产 品的净申购也逆转了多年的持续净赎回情况，连续三个季度出现大幅正的资金流入。 • 公募FOF回暖的背后主要依托招商银行的"长盈计划"，再深层次，则是在利率水平快速下降后，市场对于多元 资产配置实现固收+的认可度上升，需求增长。 2025年首发和规模增长较大的FOF 多元资产配置成为FOF的 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 0.79 [2][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 3.96 billion for FY25, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.1%, while net profit decreased by 36.9% to RMB 390 million. Adjusted net profit, excluding certain impairments, increased by 6.5% to RMB 740 million, aligning with expectations [3][4]. - The company has optimized its school count and strengthened headquarters management, which is expected to lead to a recovery in profit margins. The average tuition fee increased by 6% to RMB 13,600 per academic year [4][6]. - The company sold eight low-efficiency school assets from FY24 to FY25, aiming to enhance operational efficiency by reducing the number of schools and increasing the proportion of undergraduate students [5][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For FY25, the company’s revenue is projected at RMB 3.96 billion, with an adjusted net profit of RMB 738 million. The adjusted net profit is expected to grow to RMB 764 million in FY26 and RMB 812 million in FY27 [7][10]. - The gross margin for FY25 is reported at 42.1%, slightly lower than the previous year, but operational efficiency is anticipated to improve moving forward [4][6]. - The company’s student enrollment for FY25 is 291,000, with a stable student structure, where undergraduate students account for 48% and vocational students for 3% [4][5].

证 券 研 究 报 告 业绩高增速组合构建全攻略 证券分析师：杨俊文 A0230522070001 邓虎 A0230520070003 研究支持： 杨俊文 A0230522070001 2025.12.05 主要内容 2 1. 业绩高增速组合的构建 2. 业绩高增速组合是否实现了业绩的高增？ 3. 哪些因子对股票当年利润增速有预测效果？ 4. 因子递进选股与并列选股的差异 5. 附录：分析师因子的改进 1. 业绩高增速组合的构建 ◼ 预期当年利润高增股票池的筛选：在中证全指样本空间内，站在每年的4、8、10月底，筛选出总市值和过去一年日均成 交金额排名前 80%的样本，然后剔除去年归母净利润为负的样本，根据分析师一致预期业绩增速筛选出前50%的样本。 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 3 1. 业绩高增速组合的构建 ◼ 预期当年利润高增股票池的筛选：在 2011/8/31~2025/10/31回测期间，预期当年利润高增股票池内的股票数量平均 为571只。 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 4 1. 业绩高增速组合的构建 ◼ 预期当年利润高增股票池的筛选：我们将股票池内的 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. [2][7] Core Views - The company has established an integrated layout across the entire new energy industry chain, enhancing the flexibility of its cobalt and lithium businesses [6][7] - The report forecasts significant profit growth driven by the company's nickel, cobalt, and lithium projects, with expected net profits of 57.91 billion, 101.08 billion, and 156.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [5][7] Summary by Sections 1. Integrated Layout Progress - Huayou Cobalt has developed a comprehensive industry chain from resource development to recycling, evolving from primary product processing to upstream resource expansion and integrated layout [17][18] 2. Nickel: Continuous Expansion of Wet Process Capacity - The company has established a significant presence in the Indonesian nickel industry, with a current capacity of 245,000 tons and plans for further expansion [60][67] - The wet process nickel production has a cost advantage over traditional methods, allowing the company to maintain profitability even during price downturns [62][66] 3. Cobalt: Supply Control and Price Increase - The report highlights the impact of the Democratic Republic of Congo's (DRC) export control policies on cobalt prices, which are expected to rise due to reduced supply [6][7] - The company benefits from diversified cobalt sources, mitigating supply chain risks [6][7] 4. Lithium: Improving Supply and Cost Optimization - Huayou Cobalt is developing a lithium sulfate project in Zimbabwe, which is expected to significantly increase lithium recovery rates and reduce costs [6][7] - The anticipated rise in lithium prices due to growing demand in energy storage applications is expected to enhance profitability [6][7] 5. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company reported total revenue of 60.95 billion yuan in 2024, with a projected increase to 106.3 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [5][6] - The report indicates a significant increase in net profit margins, driven by strategic product focus and cost management [31][33]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.96 billion RMB for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.1%. However, net profit decreased by 36.9% to 390 million RMB. Adjusted net profit, excluding goodwill impairment and convertible bond disposal costs, was 740 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 6.5% [5] - The company has optimized its school count and strengthened headquarters management, which is expected to lead to a recovery in profit margins. The number of enrolled students remained stable at 291,000, with a slight increase of 0.1% compared to the previous fiscal year [5][6] - The average tuition fee increased by 6% to 13,600 RMB per academic year. The company effectively controlled cost growth, with main operating costs rising by 6.2% to 2.29 billion RMB, slightly above the revenue growth rate [5][6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company expects adjusted profits for fiscal year 2026 to be 760 million RMB, down from an earlier forecast of 1.27 billion RMB. Adjusted profits for fiscal years 2027 and 2028 are projected to be 810 million RMB and 880 million RMB, respectively [7][8] - The financial data shows a steady increase in revenue and adjusted net profit over the forecast period, with revenue expected to reach 4.55 billion RMB by fiscal year 2028 [8][11]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong high dividend index has a dividend yield of 5.63%, significantly higher than the average yield of 2.96% from 10-year Chinese and U.S. government bonds, indicating strong investment value[11] - The Hong Kong dividend sector is approximately 5-6% cheaper than the overall A-share market after considering a 20% dividend tax[12] - From October 2 to December 1, the high dividend index outperformed the market, with the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect China Central Enterprise Dividend Index rising by 7.62%[3] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The banking sector is expected to enter a stable profit cycle, with a potential reversal of the downward trend in interest margins by 2026[4] - In the transportation sector, the road freight volume growth improved quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025, with key companies like Sichuan Chengyu H, Zhejiang Hu-Hangzhou-Ningbo, and Ninghu Expressway showing promise[3] - Coal companies like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy are projected to have dividend yields of 4.7% and 4.44%, respectively, with Yancoal Australia potentially improving its yield to 7.65%[4] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The utility sector is benefiting from cost reductions and expected capacity price increases in 2026, with Huaneng International Power and China Resources Power forecasted to have dividend yields of 6.65% and 5.73%[4] - Real estate companies such as Hang Lung Properties, Swire Properties, and Kerry Properties are projected to yield 7.20%, 5.99%, and 6.53%, respectively, due to the recovery of the Hong Kong economy[4] - Environmental companies like China Everbright Water are expected to have a dividend yield of 8.14%, highlighting opportunities in the sector[4]

Group 1 - The report rates the company as a leading player in the minoxidil market, maintaining a dominant market share in the hair growth sector [5][17][70] - The core viewpoint emphasizes the company's strong revenue and profit growth, driven by its flagship products, particularly the Mandi series [5][26][79] - The company has consistently held the top position in the Chinese hair loss medication market for over a decade, with a market share of approximately 57% in 2024 [5][70] Group 2 - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 982 million yuan in 2022 to approximately 1.455 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 21.7% [5][26] - The Mandi product series accounted for 92.4% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, showcasing its dominance [5][26] - The gross profit margin has steadily increased, reaching 81.1% in the first half of 2025, benefiting from higher online sales contributions [35][36] Group 3 - The consumer healthcare market in China is expected to grow from 931.3 billion yuan in 2018 to 1.642 trillion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 9.9% [5][48] - The hair health management market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 17.7% from 2018 to 2024, indicating strong growth potential [51][54] - The minoxidil market alone is expected to expand from 2 billion yuan in 2018 to 2.8 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 50.9% [54] Group 4 - The company leverages a multi-channel strategy, with online sales contributing significantly to revenue, accounting for 74% of total sales in the first half of 2025 [31][71] - The company has established a comprehensive distribution network, covering over 90% of the top 100 pharmacy chains in China [31][71] - The product matrix includes various formulations for hair health, skin health, and weight management, enhancing its market presence [79][80]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in intelligent text recognition and commercial big data, benefiting from the AI boom. It has a dual-driven product strategy targeting both B2C and B2B markets, leveraging proprietary OCR and data mining technologies [5][18]. - The company has demonstrated steady revenue and profit growth, with its core business in intelligent text recognition. For 2024, the expected revenue from intelligent text recognition is 1.09 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 20.5% [5][24]. - The company plans to issue H shares to enhance its global strategy, with a target market capitalization of 43.4 billion yuan based on a 69x PE ratio for 2026 [5][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue of 1.8 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.1%. The expected net profit attributable to the parent company is 495 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 23.7% [4][6]. - Revenue and profit projections for 2026 and 2027 are 2.25 billion yuan and 2.83 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 627 million yuan and 783 million yuan, maintaining growth rates of 26.5% and 25.0% respectively [4][6]. Business Model and Product Strategy - The company has established a robust product matrix, including key consumer applications like "Scan All-in-One" and "Business Card All-in-One," which have shown significant user engagement and revenue contributions [5][18]. - The B2B segment is transitioning from project-based services to standardized solutions, capitalizing on the demand for AI-driven applications [5][6]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company's OCR technology is a significant barrier to entry, with 18 years of R&D experience leading to industry-leading recognition rates. The integration of AI capabilities enhances its competitive edge [5][40]. - The report argues that the emergence of large models in AI does not threaten the company's OCR technology but rather complements it, allowing for broader application scenarios [5][64]. User Engagement and Growth Potential - The "Scan All-in-One" app has reached 1.3 billion monthly active users, with a paid penetration rate of 5.28% and a VIP renewal rate of 51.62%, indicating strong user retention and growth potential [5][33]. - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with significant opportunities for user acquisition and revenue growth in international markets [5][6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The report focuses on Li Yulu, a fund manager at Manulife Fund, who adheres to the principle of absolute return and aims to navigate complex bull - bear markets smoothly. Li Yulu has formed a comprehensive investment framework and achieved good results in the management of representative products such as Manulife Jili and Manulife Juli [3]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Macro - view of Manulife Fund Manager Li Yulu - **Personal Background**: Li Yulu holds a master's degree in International Banking and Monetary Studies from the University of Birmingham, UK. She has worked in credit rating, insurance, and pension companies before joining Manulife Fund in April 2021. Currently, she manages mainly fixed - income plus and pure - bond funds, with representative products including Manulife Jili and Manulife Juli [3][9]. - **Investment Framework** - **Systematic Asset Allocation**: The company's fixed - income investment committee sets the annual strategic position, and adjusts the quarterly and monthly tactical positions dynamically. The fund manager and researchers determine specific allocations and select individual stocks and bonds. A multi - department team manages investment concentration, risk, and monitors product net value daily [12]. - **Pure - bond Investment**: Adopt a "core + satellite" strategy. The core position focuses on high - coupon, low - credit - risk financial - like bonds, and the satellite position targets trading opportunities in local government bonds. Avoid credit downgrades and continuously track bond credit changes [13]. - **Stock Investment**: Based on the absolute return target, use dividend - paying stocks as the base position, moderately allocate AI and new - tech stocks, and reserve some positions for excess returns through sector rotation. Adjust stock positions dynamically according to market trends, economic data, and policies [13]. - **Convertible Bond Investment**: In first - tier bond funds, convertible bonds are used to enhance pure - bond returns; in second - tier bond funds, they provide certain returns. The convertible bond portfolio has a "stable base + enhanced flexibility" structure, with a focus on in - depth research and bottom - up stock selection [13][14]. 3.2 Second - tier Bond Fund Representative: Manulife Jili - **Risk - return Characteristics** - **Annual Positive Returns**: Since Li Yulu took office, Manulife Jili has achieved positive returns in every full year, outperforming second - tier bond funds in various risk - return indicators [15]. - **Outperformance Against Peers**: Compared with other medium - position second - tier bond funds, it leads in cumulative returns, maximum drawdown control, Sharpe ratio, and Calmar ratio [18]. - **Asset Allocation Strategy** - **Dynamic Position Adjustment**: The "plus" assets are mainly stocks, with a relatively small convertible bond investment ratio. The fund manager adjusts positions based on the accumulation of safety margins and significantly reduces positions during extreme market conditions [20]. - **Stock Position Timing**: The fund manager is a moderate timer, making large - scale position adjustments only in extreme market conditions and small - scale adjustments in normal times [22]. - **Pure - bond Investment Style** - **High - grade Credit Bonds**: The bond investment uses a coupon - based strategy with some interest - rate bond trading. It prefers high - grade medium - term notes, corporate bonds, and policy - bank bonds [27]. - **Diversified Portfolio**: The bond portfolio is relatively diversified, with the top five heavy - position bonds accounting for no more than 20% of bond assets. The duration center is 3 - 4 years, showing significant duration timing characteristics [30][34]. - **Convertible Bond Investment Style**: The convertible bond portfolio is concise, with a small number of bonds (no more than 20 during the reporting periods). It mainly consists of large - cap bank convertible bonds, with a low equity - like position, focusing on stable returns [36]. - **Stock Investment Style** - **Sector Rotation**: The fund manager mainly allocates to dividend and technology sectors, adjusting the allocation ratio according to market conditions. Since 2024, the weight of the technology sector has increased [44]. - **Style and Concentration**: The fund manager follows market trends in terms of market - value and fundamental styles. The stock portfolio was relatively diversified before 2024 and has become more concentrated since then. The turnover rate is 2 - 3 times, and some technology stocks are held for the long term [48][50]. 3.3 First - tier Bond Fund Representative: Manulife Juli - **Risk - return Characteristics** - **Stable Positive Returns**: Since the strategy reform in 2023/11/20, Manulife Juli has maintained a relatively low position and continuously provided stable positive returns for investors [60]. - **High Quarterly Win - rate**: Since 2024, it has achieved positive returns in 7 consecutive quarters, with a quarterly win - rate of 100% and 85.71% of quarters achieving excess returns over the first - tier bond fund index [60]. - **Time - enhanced Earnings Effect**: The holding - period returns show a "time - enhanced" characteristic, with the average return, median return, and probability of positive returns increasing with the holding time [63]. - **Higher Sharpe Ratio**: Compared with first - tier bond funds with the same position, it has a better Sharpe ratio, indicating a higher risk - return ratio [67]. - **Asset Allocation Strategy** - **Low - risk Convertible Bond Allocation**: The average convertible bond allocation ratio in the recent four periods is about 14.63%, with a low risk exposure, which is in line with the goal of low - volatility and absolute return [68]. - **Contrarian Position Adjustment**: The convertible bond position changes significantly, following a "buy - low, sell - high" strategy and implementing a temporary empty - position strategy in extreme market conditions [68]. - **Pure - bond Investment Strategy** - **Financial Bonds and Local Government Bonds**: Since the end of 2023, the fund has focused on financial bonds as the core position and local government bonds for trading. The position management of local government bonds is flexible, based on the spread between local government bonds and treasury bonds [73]. - **Flexible Duration Strategy**: The duration strategy is flexible, increasing duration when interest rates are expected to fall and reducing it when necessary. The bond portfolio is becoming more diversified, with the top five heavy - position bonds accounting for no more than 30% of bond assets [76]. - **Convertible Bond Investment Strategy** - **Concise Portfolio**: Similar to Manulife Jili, the convertible bond portfolio is concise, with the number of bonds usually between 10 - 40. - **Stronger Return - enhancement**: Compared with Manulife Jili, it has a lower proportion of bank convertible bonds, a higher equity - like position, a lower bond - like position, and more small - and medium - cap convertible bonds, showing a stronger return - enhancement property [82][85].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, particularly focusing on the shopping center industry [4][5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the consumption industry and shopping center sector in China still have significant growth potential, driven by an expected increase in total consumption and a structural recovery [4][5]. - Leading commercial companies have achieved stable same-store growth and expansion through operational alpha, which may lead to a revaluation of IP (Intellectual Property) values [4][5]. - The report draws comparisons with the U.S. commercial real estate market, highlighting that during five interest rate cut cycles, commercial real estate indices consistently yielded positive returns, significantly outperforming other asset classes [4][5]. Summary by Sections Macro Perspective - The domestic consumption sector remains under pressure, with retail sales growth gradually recovering to +4.3% as of October 2025, while CPI remains low at +0.2% [14][21]. - Compared to the U.S. and Japan during their real estate crises, China's consumption resilience is still relatively strong [14][21]. - Long-term growth potential exists in the consumption sector, particularly in shopping centers, as GDP per capita and retail sales per capita are expected to rise [28][31]. Mid-level Perspective - As of Q3 2025, the total area of centralized commercial space in China reached 661 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth of +4.4% [49]. - The number of new openings has decreased, but the proportion of reopened projects after adjustments has increased, indicating a shift in strategy [53]. - The report notes that 57% of existing projects have been open for over five years, highlighting the importance of effective asset management [53]. Micro Perspective - Leading companies in the sector exhibit significant operational efficiency, with top firms showing a concentration of 19% in opening area as of 2024 [4][5]. - Key companies are expected to see a revaluation of their IP, with potential increases of 39% for China Resources Land and 33% for New World Development [4][5]. - The report indicates that the average operating profit margin for IP is between 55% and 84%, with dividend yields for major companies exceeding 5% [4][5]. U.S. Market Review - The report highlights that during five interest rate cut cycles, the NCREIF commercial real estate price index achieved an average return of 31%, second only to gold [4][5]. - The long-term same-store NOI (Net Operating Income) growth in the U.S. has been stable, correlating positively with GDP growth [4][5]. Catalysts for Growth - The report suggests that the high barriers to entry in commercial operations will enhance the competitive advantage of leading firms, especially as the "residential development supports commercial" model weakens [4][5]. - The introduction of C-REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) is expected to further support the revaluation of commercial assets [4][5].