Group 1 - The report indicates that the simulated portfolio performance remains mixed, with most strategies showing reduced returns except for some credit style portfolios. The city investment long-term and secondary long-term strategies achieved returns of 0.2% and 0.15% respectively [2][14] - In terms of heavy-weighted bond types, credit bond-heavy strategies generally outperformed interest rate bond-heavy portfolios. The average weekly return for credit style time deposit-heavy strategies decreased by 0.7 basis points, while the city investment heavy-weighted portfolio's average weekly return fell to 0.15%, a decline of 4.3 basis points from the previous week [2][18] - The cumulative investment returns for the city investment dumbbell strategy were -0.12% in Q1 and 1.85% in Q2 to date, indicating it is one of the more balanced strategies this year [2][18] Group 2 - The report highlights that the cumulative excess returns for duration strategies have outperformed sinking strategies over the past four weeks. The cumulative excess returns for the city investment dumbbell, broker debt duration, and city investment duration strategies were 45.7 basis points, 17.3 basis points, and 11.5 basis points respectively [4][30] - The report notes that the sinking strategies generally underperformed compared to duration strategies in the past month, with financial bond-heavy portfolios lacking aggressive attributes [4][30] - The report also states that the excess returns for short-end strategies are lacking, with the city investment sinking strategy's excess return significantly narrowing, and the time deposit strategy's return deviating from the benchmark by only 1 basis point [4][30]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth potential in the custom chip market, with Marvell raising its Total Addressable Market (TAM) forecast to $94 billion by 2028, driven by increasing demand for high-performance, low-power custom chips in AI infrastructure [12][14] - Micron's strong performance in HBM and data center products is expected to continue, with HBM quarterly revenue surpassing $1 billion and a TAM projection exceeding $100 billion by 2030 [15][20] - Huawei's HarmonyOS ecosystem is anticipated to enhance consumer acceptance of high-end devices, aiding in the expansion of wearable and smart home products [26] Summary by Sections AI Applications - The active usage of AI chat applications continues to rise, with notable growth in overseas applications like Claude and domestic applications such as Tongyi and Doubao [11] - Alibaba has launched the Qwen3 MLX framework, which is tailored for Apple chips, indicating a strategic move towards enhancing AI development capabilities [11] Marvell - Marvell has significantly increased its TAM forecast for custom chips, projecting a market size of $94 billion by 2028, with a focus on achieving a 20% market share in the custom computing sector [12][14] - The company has established a strong competitive edge through advanced technology in 5nm and 3nm nodes, and has secured 18 custom chip business slots with a potential lifetime revenue of $75 billion [13][14] Micron - Micron's strong growth in HBM and data center products is expected to continue, with quarterly revenue for HBM surpassing $1 billion and a TAM projection exceeding $100 billion by 2030 [15][20] - The company is the only vendor to ship LPDRAM in volume and is set to be the first to mass-produce SOCAMM, indicating a strong position in the data center DRAM market [19] Huawei - Huawei's developer conference showcased advancements in HarmonyOS, with over 800,000 developers joining the ecosystem and more than 30,000 native applications launched [24] - The introduction of the HarmonyOS 6 Beta version emphasizes cross-device collaboration and AI integration, enhancing user experience across various devices [22][24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong confidence in the pharmaceutical sector, predicting a reversal trend in 2025, with innovative drugs and left-side sector reversals being the biggest investment opportunities [5][12]. Core Views - The recent adjustment in the pharmaceutical sector does not reflect any substantial changes in the industry's fundamentals. The report anticipates continued growth in the innovative drug sector, driven by upcoming academic conferences and seasonal changes in medical services and consumption [2][12]. - The report highlights significant advancements in chronic disease treatments, particularly with Eli Lilly's oral weight-loss drug Oforglipron, which has shown promising results in clinical trials [2][22]. - The report emphasizes the potential of high-end medical devices, supported by government policies aimed at fostering innovation in this area, suggesting that leading companies in specific segments are likely to benefit [33][36]. Summary by Sections Pharmaceutical Sector - Eli Lilly's Oforglipron has demonstrated significant efficacy in reducing A1C levels and weight in type 2 diabetes patients during its Phase 3 trial, with a notable average weight loss of 16.0 pounds (7.9%) [2][22]. - The report notes that the domestic market is seeing continuous progress in chronic disease treatments, with several innovative drugs being prioritized for review by regulatory authorities [20][41]. Biologics - Sanofi and Regeneron reported positive results from the EVEREST Phase 4 trial for Dupixent, which outperformed Xolair in treating adults with chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP) and asthma [24][29]. - The report suggests ongoing attention to the development of IL-4α targeted drugs, as multiple domestic companies are making strides in this area [24][32]. Medical Devices - The National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) has initiated measures to support the innovation of high-end medical devices, which is expected to accelerate the development of domestic medical robots and advanced imaging equipment [33][36]. - The report indicates that the medical device sector is at an upward turning point, driven by an aging population and increasing healthcare demands [37]. Medical Services & Consumer Healthcare - The report discusses the initiation of a pilot program for medical service price reform in Sichuan, which aims to optimize the pricing system and reflect the value of healthcare professionals' labor [38][40]. - The report highlights the establishment of a comprehensive eye health management system by Aier Eye Hospital, showcasing advancements in healthcare service delivery [38]. Traditional Chinese Medicine - The report notes that since 2025, the Center for Drug Evaluation (CDE) has accepted 41 new drug IND applications for traditional Chinese medicine, indicating a supportive policy environment for innovation in this sector [41][42].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a neutral investment rating for the agricultural sector, with expectations of limited movement in the next 3-6 months [80]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector index decreased by 3.13% this week, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [13][14]. - The pig farming sector shows signs of recovery with a current average price of 14.22 CNY/kg, reflecting a weekly increase of 1.43% [21][22]. - The poultry farming sector is stabilizing, with white feather chicken prices at 7.12 CNY/kg, down 2.06% from the previous week [32]. - The beef and dairy sectors are experiencing price fluctuations, with live cattle prices at 26.65 CNY/kg, showing a slight decrease [41]. - The planting industry is expected to improve if there is a significant reduction in grain production due to external uncertainties [48]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural index closed at 2640.23 points, down 3.13% week-on-week, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.51% [13][14]. 2. Key Data Tracking 2.1 Pig Farming - The average weight of pigs at slaughter is 128.28 kg, with a slight decrease of 0.54 kg from the previous week [21][22]. - The profit for self-bred pigs is 19.40 CNY/head, showing a week-on-week increase of 22.30 CNY/head [21][22]. 2.2 Poultry Farming - The average price for white feather chickens is 7.12 CNY/kg, reflecting a decrease of 2.06% [32]. - The overall price stability is attributed to balanced supply and demand [32]. 2.3 Livestock - Live cattle prices are at 26.65 CNY/kg, with a slight decrease of 0.02% [41]. - The dairy sector is seeing a decline in prices, with average milk prices at 3.04 CNY/kg, down 0.33% week-on-week [41]. 2.4 Planting Industry - Domestic corn prices are at 2,342.86 CNY/ton, up 0.37% week-on-week [47]. - The planting sector is stabilizing, with potential improvements if grain production decreases significantly [48]. 2.5 Feed & Aquaculture - Feed prices remain stable, with pig feed at 3.36 CNY/kg [65]. - Aquaculture prices are also stable, with various fish prices showing minimal changes [65].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Buy" with an expectation of a price increase exceeding 15% over the next 3-6 months [36] Core Insights - Yonghui Supermarket has entered a new phase of large-scale transformation, with over 100 stores adopting the "Fat Donglai" model, aiming to reach 300 stores by early 2026 [11][32] - The 618 shopping festival showed a clear trend of omni-channel collaboration, with national supplement categories driving growth and instant retail emerging as a new player [15][18] Summary by Sections 1. Core Views and Company Dynamics - Yonghui's transformation includes optimizing employee compensation and implementing a profit-sharing mechanism, with significant bonuses distributed to employees [11] - The company plans to accelerate the transformation of stores, expecting to exceed 178 stores by the end of August 2025 [11] 2. Industry Data Tracking - In the second week of June, the overall GMV for Tmall and JD.com decreased by 9.63% year-on-year [19] - The top five categories in terms of growth were toys, automobiles and bicycles, consumer electronics, home appliances, and shoes and bags [19] 3. Market Review - The retail sector experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.51% and the retail sector down by 2.75% during the week of June 16-20, 2025 [25][26] - Notable stock performances included Zhejiang Dongri and Jifeng Technology, which saw significant gains [25] 4. Investment Recommendations - Yonghui Supermarket is recommended for its unique competitive advantages in the fresh produce sector and its ability to leverage scale for cost advantages [32][33] - Meituan is highlighted for its improving profit margins and potential benefits from macroeconomic recovery, with plans to expand its overseas delivery platform [34]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on companies with high earnings growth certainty and relatively high dividend support in the domestic furniture sector, as well as certain export companies with strong growth logic or overseas production capacity advantages [4][9]. Core Insights - The furniture retail sales in China saw a year-on-year increase of 25.6% in May, with a cumulative increase of 21.4% from January to May. However, the overall order situation has weakened since June, indicating a potential fatigue in demand stimulation from national subsidies [4][9]. - In the new tobacco sector, the glo hilo product launched in Japan is expected to accelerate revenue growth in the second half of 2025, supported by strong marketing resources from BAT [4][12]. - The paper packaging sector is experiencing price stability, with a focus on growth-oriented packaging companies. The report highlights the need to monitor the performance of major paper types and the overall supply pressure in the market [4][15]. - The light consumer goods and pet sectors are seeing increased online competition, with a focus on companies that demonstrate clear growth narratives and operational capabilities [4][16]. - The two-wheeler market is expected to see a rebound in the second half of the year, driven by new national standards and product launches, despite a temporary slowdown due to subsidy fund exhaustion [4][19]. Summary by Sections Furniture Sector - Domestic retail sales of furniture increased by 25.6% in May, with a cumulative increase of 21.4% from January to May. However, the order situation has weakened since June, indicating potential fatigue in demand stimulation [4][9]. - Recommended companies include Sofía, Gujia Home, Mousse, and others, focusing on those with high earnings growth certainty and dividend support [4][9]. New Tobacco - The glo hilo product launched in Japan is expected to accelerate revenue growth in the second half of 2025, with strong marketing support from BAT [4][12]. - Recommended companies include Smoore International, which is expected to benefit from the expansion of the overseas compliant market [4][12]. Paper and Packaging - The paper sector is experiencing price stability, with major paper types showing no significant improvement in orders. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring growth-oriented packaging companies [4][15]. - Recommended companies include Yutong Technology and others, focusing on those with stable operations and growth potential [4][15]. Light Consumer Goods & Pets - The light consumer goods sector is seeing increased online competition, with a focus on companies that demonstrate clear growth narratives and operational capabilities [4][16]. - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet and others, focusing on those with resilient consumer demand and growth potential [4][16]. Two-Wheeler Market - The two-wheeler market is expected to see a rebound in the second half of the year, driven by new national standards and product launches, despite a temporary slowdown due to subsidy fund exhaustion [4][19]. - Recommended companies include Yadi Holdings and others, focusing on those with strong product capabilities and market expansion potential [4][19].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the AI/AR glasses supply chain and related industries, indicating a favorable investment environment in the second half of the year [1][13]. Core Insights - The launch of the Oakley Meta HSTN AI glasses by Meta and Oakley is expected to drive significant advancements in AI glasses applications in sports [1][13]. - The demand for AI-PCB and ASIC servers is projected to grow significantly, with strong orders reported from multiple AI-PCB companies [1][41]. - The communication sector is experiencing optimism due to the anticipated increase in AI ASIC chip shipments and the expansion of the light module market [2][43]. Summary by Sections Electronic Industry Insights - Meta and Oakley have introduced a new AI glasses model, enhancing battery life to 8 hours and video resolution to 3K, with a starting price of $399 [1][13]. - The PCB industry is showing signs of recovery, with expectations of significant growth in the second quarter driven by demand from home appliances and automotive sectors [1][15]. - The component sector is witnessing an upward trend, with increased usage of MLCCs and higher prices due to product upgrades [1][29]. Communication Industry Insights - The market is optimistic about AI ASIC penetration, with Meta planning to release a new AI ASIC chip by 2025-2026, which is expected to significantly increase shipments [2][48]. - The light module sector is set to benefit from the growing demand for AI ASICs, with several companies positioned to capture market share [2][48]. Computer Industry Insights - The computer sector is currently in a transitional phase, with expectations of improved performance in the second half of the year as new technologies and products are introduced [3][41]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of major companies as they adapt to macroeconomic conditions and potential recovery in demand [3][41].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The micro trading thermometer reading of the bond market this period remained basically flat at 49% [10]. - The number of indicators in the over - heated range increased to 25%. The 1/10Y Treasury bond turnover rate quantile rebounded significantly, the allocation disk strength continued to weaken, the policy spread quantile widened significantly, and all comparison indicators were in the cold range [10]. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overall Indicator Distribution - Among the 20 micro - indicators, the number of indicators in the over - heated range increased to 5 (25% of the total), the number in the neutral range decreased to 6 (30% of the total), and the number in the cold range increased to 9 (45% of the total). The 1/10Y turnover rate moved from the neutral range to the over - heated range, and the market spread moved from the neutral range to the cold range [3][18]. 3.2 Transaction Heat Indicators - Only the quantile of the 30/10Y Treasury bond turnover rate decreased by 28 percentage points, while the quantiles of other indicators rebounded. The quantiles of the 1/10Y Treasury bond turnover rate, the whole - market turnover rate, and the institutional leverage increased by 21, 22, and 10 percentage points respectively. The average quantile of transaction heat increased by 4 percentage points [4]. - The proportion of indicators in the over - heated range rose to 33%, the proportion in the neutral range rose to 50%, and the proportion in the cold range remained at 17%. The 1/10Y Treasury bond turnover rate quantile increased by 21 percentage points, moving from the neutral range to the over - heated range [5][21]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior Indicators - The quantiles of the allocation disk strength and the listed company's wealth management purchase volume decreased by 22 and 17 percentage points respectively, while the quantiles of other indicators rebounded slightly. The average quantile of institutional behavior decreased by 4 percentage points [4]. - The proportion of indicators in the over - heated range rose to 38%, the proportion in the neutral range decreased to 25%, and the proportion in the cold range remained at 38%. The quantiles of the allocation disk strength and the listed company's wealth management purchase volume fell to 10% and 21% respectively [6][25]. 3.4 Spread Indicators - The market spread decreased by 1 percentage point, the policy spread quantile increased by 11 percentage points, and the average quantile of spreads increased by 5 percentage points [4]. - The policy spread continued to narrow by 3bp to 0bp, and its quantile increased by 11 percentage points to 54%, remaining in the neutral range. The credit spread, IRS - SHIBOR 3M spread, and Agricultural Development - National Development spread were basically flat, and the average spread widened slightly by 1bp to 19bp, with its quantile slightly decreasing by 1 percentage point to 39%, remaining in the neutral range [6][29]. 3.5 Comparison Indicators - The quantile of the stock - bond comparison decreased by 2 percentage points, the quantile of the commodity comparison increased by 1 percentage point, and other comparison indicators changed little. The average quantile of comparisons was basically flat compared with the previous period [4]. - All comparison indicators were in the cold range. The quantile of the stock - bond comparison continued to fall by 2 percentage points to 36%, the quantile of the commodity comparison increased slightly by 1 percentage point to 13%, and the quantile of the real - estate comparison was basically flat [7][32].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the AI/AR glasses industry and related supply chains, indicating a strong growth potential in the second half of the year [1][4]. Core Insights - Meta's launch of the AI glasses Oakley Meta HSTN is expected to drive deep applications in sports like skiing and cycling, with significant hardware upgrades and AI functionalities [1][5]. - The demand for AI-PCB is projected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing orders from multiple AI-PCB companies and the expansion of domestic copper-clad laminate manufacturers [1][4]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery, with strong growth expected in the storage segment due to rising demand from cloud computing and consumer electronics [21][23]. Summary by Sections Consumer Electronics - Meta and Oakley's new AI glasses are set to enhance the application of AI in sports, with features like 8-hour battery life and 3K video resolution [1][5]. - The report anticipates a new wave of innovation in AI consumer electronics, particularly in AR glasses [5]. PCB Industry - The PCB industry is showing signs of accelerated growth, particularly in the copper-clad laminate sector, with expectations of significant quarter-on-quarter growth [7][4]. - The report highlights the positive outlook for the PCB industry, driven by demand from home appliances, automotive, and AI applications [7]. Semiconductor Industry - The storage segment is expected to see a price increase due to reduced supply and increased demand from cloud computing and consumer electronics [21][23]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic semiconductor equipment and materials in light of global supply chain challenges [24][28]. Key Companies - Companies like Nvidia, which are actively increasing orders for AI-related products, are expected to benefit significantly from the growing demand for AI-PCB and computing hardware [32][33]. - Domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers are positioned to gain market share due to the ongoing trend of localization and self-sufficiency in the semiconductor supply chain [35][36].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on leading domestic generative model companies such as iFlytek, and highlights potential in AI hardware applications with recommendations for companies like Yingshi Network and Hongsoft Technology [2] Core Insights - The report indicates that AI-related functionalities can enhance user engagement and payment rates in consumer applications, recommending attention to companies like Kingsoft Office and Wanjing Technology [2] - The current market is characterized by a chaotic fundamental environment, with some high-frequency data showing resilience, while investor sentiment remains cautious about future expectations [11][12] - The report anticipates that the second half of the year may yield better operational performance due to base effects, new technology/product launches, and policy implementations [11][12] Summary by Sections Industry Perspective - The report notes that OpenAI has received a contract worth up to $200 million from the U.S. Department of Defense to develop advanced AI capabilities [11] - MiniMax has launched several innovations, including the MiniMax-M1 model and the MiniMaxAgent, which have garnered industry attention for their cost-effectiveness and capabilities [11] - The report emphasizes the importance of risk appetite in influencing market valuations, with a potential shift towards theme-based investments [11] Subsector Insights - High-growth sectors identified for 2025 include AI computing power and LiDAR, while accelerating sectors include AI applications [10][12] - Stable growth sectors encompass software outsourcing, financial IT, and the Huawei supply chain, with upward trends expected in quantum computing and data elements [12] - The report highlights that the education IT and cybersecurity sectors are at an inflection point for growth, while industrial software and medical IT face some pressure [12] Market Review - From June 16 to June 20, 2025, the computer industry index (Shenwan) fell by 1.83%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.37 percentage points [13] - The report notes that the computer sector's performance was in the middle range among 31 Shenwan primary industry indices during this period [13] Upcoming Events - Key upcoming events include the Huawei Developer Conference and the Shenzhen International Consumer Electronics Show, which may present opportunities in related industries [25]