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华能国际(600011):煤价下降与新能源装机成长上半年利润大增
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-05 06:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaneng International is upgraded to "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company's significant profit increase in the first half of 2025 is attributed to the decline in coal prices and growth in new energy installations [8] - The company achieved a net profit of 9.262 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.26% [8] - The company added approximately 8GW of new low-carbon clean energy capacity in the first half of 2025, with wind and solar power installations increasing by 21% and 59% year-on-year, respectively [8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 238.673 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.80% year-on-year [7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 12.794 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 26.23% [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.82 yuan in 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.06 [7] Operational Highlights - The company reported a significant increase in pre-tax profits from coal, wind, and solar energy, with respective profits of 7.31 billion, 3.91 billion, and 1.823 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [8] - The average on-grid electricity price remained stable at 485.27 yuan per megawatt-hour in the first half of 2025 [8] - The company's return on equity (ROE) reached a historical high of 12.71% in the first half of 2025 [8]
中国稀土(000831):中稀集团核心上市平台,资源冶炼协同布局成长可期
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-05 06:57
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4][7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as the core listed platform of China Rare Earth Group, with expected growth driven by resource and smelting synergies [6][9]. - The supply side is dominated by China, with a gradual improvement in domestic quota growth, while the demand side is benefiting from the expanding market for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets [6][30]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is controlled by China Rare Earth Group, which holds 28.56% of its shares as of April 24, 2025 [6][13]. - The company’s rare earth production in 2024 is projected to be 2,384 tons of REO, accounting for only 2.93% of the group’s total indicators [6][16]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 49.08 billion, 60.68 billion, and 67.76 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 3.5 billion, 4.5 billion, and 5.5 billion RMB [5][45]. - The company’s price-to-earnings ratios for the same period are expected to be 124, 96, and 80 times [7][45]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - In 2024, global rare earth production is expected to reach approximately 390,000 tons, with China accounting for about 70% of this output [6][26]. - The demand for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets is projected to grow significantly, driven by sectors such as electric vehicles and robotics [30][33]. Growth Drivers - The company benefits from a complete resource and smelting capacity layout, with core mining resources and smelting subsidiaries contributing to its growth potential [23][24]. - The anticipated recovery in rare earth prices, alongside the expected stabilization of supply and demand, is likely to enhance profitability [39][41].
北交所科技成长产业跟踪第三十七期:2025H1中国出口保持强劲增长,多维度梳理北交所出口产业链标的-20250804
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-04 13:02
Export Performance - In H1 2025, China's export value reached $180.90 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.94%, with a growing trade surplus[3] - The export value of electronic components, engineering machinery, and automobiles grew by 11%, 9%, and 10% respectively[7] - The total export of electronic components was $80.81 billion, with a trade surplus of $45.67 billion, marking a 21.36% increase year-on-year[8] Import Trends - In H1 2025, China's import value was $122.31 billion, a decrease of 3.85% year-on-year[3] - The import of electronic components slightly declined, totaling $35.14 billion, with only six product categories showing growth[12] Industry Insights - Among 61 companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, 2024 foreign income accounted for over 30% of their total revenue, with over 80% for companies like Hengtai Lighting and Hongzhi Technology[30] - The median P/E ratio for the machinery industry decreased from 66.7X to 65.7X, while the electronic equipment industry saw a drop from 62.5X to 60.1X[3] Market Performance - The median price change for technology growth stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange was -3.22% from July 28 to August 1, 2025, with only 19 companies (13%) experiencing an increase[3] - The total market value of the electronic equipment industry fell to $138.4 billion, while the machinery industry’s market value decreased to $114.8 billion[3]
华源晨会精粹20250804-20250804
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-04 12:04
Fixed Income - The new tax regulation will reinstate VAT on interest income from newly issued government and financial bonds starting August 8, 2025, which may affect pricing and yield spreads between new and old bonds [2][10][12] - The bond market is expected to remain a favorable investment direction, with the 10Y government bond yield projected to gradually return to around 1.65% in August [2][20] - The new tax regulation is likely to enhance the scarcity of existing government and financial bonds, potentially leading to a temporary decrease in yields as banks seek to acquire these older bonds [2][13][20] Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical index rose by 2.95%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.7%, with a focus on innovative drugs and companies with strong business development (BD) catalysts [26][27] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical's recent agreement with GSK for a potential total of $12 billion in rights for innovative drugs highlights the company's strong innovation capabilities and future growth potential [26][28] - The report suggests a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical sector, driven by innovation, international expansion, and an aging population increasing demand for healthcare [29][30] Media and Entertainment - The China Joy exhibition showcased high industry enthusiasm, with 800 companies participating, indicating a robust market for gaming and related sectors [32][33] - Recent box office performance shows a recovery in the film market, with significant daily earnings from major releases, suggesting a positive trend for cinema attendance and revenue [32][34] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI applications in various sectors, including education and marketing, as key areas for future growth [32]
汽车行业双周报:理想i8问卷调查:400组进店询单用户反馈分析-20250804
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-04 11:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the Ideal i8 has received positive feedback regarding its product strength, with potential orders expected to gradually increase [4][8] - The sales strategy of Ideal is noted to be conservative, which may contribute to a significant portion of potential customers remaining in a wait-and-see state [5][17] - The report emphasizes the potential for the Ideal i8 to attract a broader customer base, including single individuals and traditional vehicle owners considering electric options [18][20] Summary by Sections 1. Ideal i8 Product Feedback - The Ideal i8, launched on July 29, is priced between 321,800 to 369,800 yuan, and has received favorable feedback from potential users regarding its appearance, space, range, and configuration [5][8] - A survey of 401 potential customers revealed that 49% are still in a wait-and-see mode, with only 7% having placed orders, indicating a cautious approach to purchasing [19] - The i8's range of 670/720 km and energy consumption of 14.6/14.8 kWh per 100 km are highlighted as competitive advantages [28] 1.1. Product Strength Recognition - Over 90% of respondents do not consider the i8's appearance unattractive, and more than 70% believe its electric range is sufficient [9][13] - The survey indicates that more than 50% of users are comfortable with the absence of a front trunk, and most find the rear trunk adequate [11][12] 1.2. Customer Observation State - The report notes that 41% of potential users are not considering purchasing the i8, while 49% are contemplating but have not yet committed [19] - The conservative sales strategy, including the lack of aggressive discounts or financing options, is suggested as a reason for the observed customer hesitation [16][17] 1.3. Expanding Customer Demographics - The survey indicates that nearly 25% of potential i8 customers are single, suggesting a widening demographic for the vehicle [20][21] - A significant portion of potential customers currently own traditional fuel vehicles and are showing interest in switching to electric models [18][22] 1.4. Alternative Vehicle Considerations - If not purchasing the i8, nearly 50% of potential customers would consider other electric models rather than hybrid or traditional fuel vehicles [24][26] - The report identifies that potential customers are comparing the i8 with models such as NIO ES8 and other Ideal models, indicating competitive positioning in the market [25][27]
中国养老金专题:长钱长投,企业年金的过去、现在与未来
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-04 09:51
1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The enterprise annuity market has witnessed continuous scale expansion but suffers from insufficient coverage and prominent structural contradictions. Future policy may lower the participation threshold for small and medium - sized enterprises through automatic enrollment mechanisms and simplified collective plans [3]. - The institutional landscape is becoming more concentrated, and different capabilities may be the key to competition. The focus of future competition may shift to differentiated services [3]. - The investment performance of enterprise annuities is stable but shows differentiation. The long - cycle assessment mechanism may drive the optimization of asset allocation and increase the proportion of equity investment [3]. - In the future, with the expansion of coverage, optimization of equity allocation, and integration of the three - pillar pension system, enterprise annuities are expected to improve the retirement income replacement rate of employees in small and medium - sized enterprises and become a key support in addressing the challenges of an aging population [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Historical Evolution: Coexistence of Systemic Dividend Release and Deep - seated Contradictions 3.1.1 From Non - marketization to Marketization - Non - market operation stage (1991 - 2004): It was a crucial foundation - laying period for China's supplementary pension system, featuring administrative leadership and decentralized management. The key contradiction was the lack of unified national regulations and the risk of fund safety. This ultimately led to the introduction of policies in 2004 to start the market - oriented transfer [14][15]. - Market operation stage (since 2004): Marked by the promulgation of relevant regulations, it established the trust - based management model. The market has experienced a rapid development period (2007 - 2016) and a mature and in - depth development period (since 2017), with continuous improvement in the system and investment quality [16]. 3.1.2 What are the Enterprise Annuity Management Institutions? - The enterprise annuity management institutions are characterized by a highly concentrated market and specialized division of labor. There are four types of management institutions, with different distributions of qualifications. Some large institutions can provide integrated services, while the custody function is independently undertaken by commercial banks [27]. - In the trustee market, insurance institutions dominate, and bank - affiliated institutions are rising rapidly. The market shows a significant head - concentration effect. In the investment management market, public funds and insurance institutions play important roles [30][54]. 3.1.3 Enterprise Annuity Plans and Annuity Pension Products - Enterprise annuity plans mainly include single plans and collective plans. Single plans are suitable for large enterprises, while collective plans have advantages such as high efficiency, low cost, and scale benefits [60][63]. - Annuity pension products are standard investment portfolios issued by enterprise annuity fund investment managers and sold to specific pension funds. After more than a decade of development, their investment scope has gradually expanded [66]. 3.2 Current Situation Analysis of Enterprise Annuities 3.2.1 Coverage and Regional Characteristics of Enterprise Annuities - The number of employees participating in enterprise annuities has been increasing, but the coverage rate has not improved significantly. The participation rate in China is far lower than that of OECD countries [67]. - The asset amount of enterprise annuities in the central government - owned enterprises and economically developed regions dominates, and the overall pattern has remained stable in recent years [73]. 3.2.2 How is the Performance of Enterprise Annuities? - The overall performance of enterprise annuities has been growing steadily in the long term. In the past three years (2022Q1 - 2025Q1), the cumulative return reached 7.46%. Asset allocation shows differentiation, with fixed - income portfolios performing better than equity - containing portfolios in the past three years. The policy orientation is shifting towards long - cycle assessment [78][91]. 3.2.3 What are the Scale and Performance of Different Investment Managers? - As of 2025Q1, the enterprise annuity investment management institution market shows two core trends: the strengthening of the head - effect and the shift of the assessment mechanism towards long - term orientation. Public fund companies have strong equity investment capabilities, while insurance - based institutions are stronger in fixed - income investment [94][95]. 3.2.4 Annuity Pension Products - As of 2025Q1, there are 649 registered pension products and 573 actually operating products. The top three types in terms of the number of actually operating products are ordinary stock - type, hybrid - type, and ordinary fixed - income - type [100]. - The number of registered pension products has remained stable since 2021, while the number of actually operating products has decreased year by year. The scale has shown a slight upward trend [102]. 3.3 How might Enterprise Annuities Develop in the Future? - The coverage may expand. The automatic enrollment mechanism may solve the problem of low participation of small and medium - sized enterprises [105]. - The trustee and investment management institutions may continue to be concentrated. The "Matthew effect" in the trustee market may intensify, and the head - effect in the investment management market may continue [105]. - The investment management of single plans and collective plans may undergo structural adjustments. The long - cycle assessment mechanism may be implemented soon, and the proportion of equity investment may increase [106]. - In the next decade, enterprise annuities are expected to improve the retirement income replacement rate of employees in small and medium - sized enterprises and become a key support in addressing the challenges of an aging population [109].
北交所消费服务产业跟踪第二十五期:“两新”政策持续推进,关注北交所以旧换新等方向公司
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-04 07:32
Policy Impact - The "Two New" policy has effectively promoted consumption and investment, driving related product sales exceeding 1.6 trillion yuan in 2025[2] - The scope of the old-for-new policy has expanded in 2025, with a total sales amount from five categories (automobiles, home appliances, digital products, home decoration, and electric bicycles) surpassing 1.6 trillion yuan by June 2025, exceeding the 2024 sales figures[5] Market Performance - The median market value change for consumer service stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange was -2.21% from July 28 to August 1, 2025, with only 22% of companies experiencing an increase[2] - The total market capitalization of consumer service companies decreased from 123.5 billion yuan to 120.6 billion yuan during the same period[41] Sector Analysis - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for consumer service stocks rose from 52.1X to 53.5X[36] - The median P/E ratio for the broader consumer sector decreased from 72.9X to 72.6X, indicating a slight contraction in valuation[39] Company Highlights - Taihu Snow reported a 70% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching approximately 280.82 million yuan, a 17.75% increase[2] - A total of 63 companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange are identified as beneficiaries of the "Two New" policy, with 10 in the equipment update category and 53 in the old-for-new category[29]
中国养老金专题:长钱长投:企业年金的过去、现在与未来
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-04 07:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China's pension system is undergoing profound changes due to the acceleration of population aging. The enterprise annuity, as an important part of the second - pillar pension, has significant development potential. In the future, through measures such as expanding coverage, optimizing equity allocation, and integrating the three - pillar pension system, it is expected to enhance the retirement income replacement rate of employees in small and medium - sized enterprises and become a key support in addressing the challenges of aging [1]. - The enterprise annuity is transitioning from "short - term investment of long - term funds" to "long - term investment of long - term funds". With the implementation of the "automatic enrollment + voluntary withdrawal" mechanism, the establishment of a long - term assessment mechanism, and the integration of the three - pillar pension system, the enterprise annuity's role in the pension system will be further strengthened [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Historical Evolution - **Non - marketization to Marketization**: From 1991 - 2004, it was the non - marketization operation stage, including the exploration period (1991 - 2000) and the pilot transformation period (2000 - 2004). After 2004, it entered the market operation stage, with the rapid development period from 2007 - 2016 and the mature deepening period from 2017 to the present. During this process, policy dividends continuously promoted scale expansion, but there were also deep - seated contradictions such as system design and investment performance fluctuations [8][9][10]. - **Enterprise Annuity Management Institutions**: The market shows characteristics of high concentration and professional division of labor. There are four types of management institutions, with different numbers and types of institutions in each category. The insurance - based institutions dominate the trustee market, and the public - offering fund companies play an important role in the investment management field [16]. - **Enterprise Annuity Plans and Pension Products**: There are single plans and collective plans. Single plans are suitable for large enterprises, while collective plans have advantages such as high efficiency and low cost. Pension products have gradually expanded their investment scope over the years [39][41][44]. 3.2 Current Situation of Enterprise Annuity - **Coverage and Regional Characteristics**: The number of participating employees in enterprise annuities is increasing, but the coverage rate has not improved significantly. The participation rate is far lower than that of OECD countries. In terms of regional distribution, central enterprises and economically developed regions dominate [45][50]. - **Investment Performance**: The overall performance of enterprise annuities has been growing steadily in the long - term. In the past three years (2022Q1 - 2025Q1), the cumulative return reached 7.46%. Asset allocation is significantly differentiated, with fixed - income products performing better in the past three years. The performance also varies between different plans and investment managers [55][65][71]. - **Different Investment Managers**: The market shows a trend of strengthening the leading position of top - tier institutions. The assessment mechanism is shifting towards long - term orientation. Different types of institutions have different investment capabilities in equity and fixed - income products [71][72]. - **Annuity Pension Products**: As of 2025Q1, there are 649 registered pension products and 573 actually operating products. The top three in terms of the number of actually operating products are common stock - type, hybrid, and common fixed - income products [75]. 3.3 Future Development of Enterprise Annuity - **Coverage Expansion**: The "automatic enrollment + voluntary withdrawal" mechanism may be promoted to reduce the participation threshold for small and medium - sized enterprises and expand the coverage [1][82]. - **Head - Concentration of Institutions**: The "Matthew effect" in the trustee and investment management markets may intensify, with insurance - based institutions continuing to dominate, and the proportion of large state - owned banks may increase [82]. - **Structural Adjustment of Investment Management**: There may be a two - way evolution in the investment management of single and collective plans. The long - term assessment mechanism may be implemented soon, and the equity allocation ratio may increase [83].
创业环保(600874):自由现金流持续改善,分红提升值得期待
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-04 05:33
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on improving free cash flow and expected dividend increases [5][8]. Core Views - The company is a state-owned water utility in Tianjin, with over 20 years of industry experience, primarily engaged in wastewater treatment, recycled water supply, and tap water supply. The wastewater treatment segment is expected to contribute nearly 80% of revenue and gross profit in 2024 [7][16]. - The company has shown stable profitability with a net profit margin around 17% and a return on equity (ROE) between 8% and 10% from 2019 to 2024. The gross margin has been steadily increasing [19][21]. - Free cash flow turned positive in 2024, with expectations for continued improvement due to reduced capital expenditures and enhanced collection of receivables [10][21]. - The company has a significant potential for dividend increases, with a current dividend payout ratio around 30%, which is lower than industry peers [10][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of August 1, 2025, the closing price is 5.92 CNY, with a total market capitalization of approximately 9,296.88 million CNY [3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 48.64 billion CNY, 49.04 billion CNY, and 50.35 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.8%, 0.8%, and 2.7% respectively. Net profit estimates are 9.58 billion CNY, 9.95 billion CNY, and 10.27 billion CNY, with growth rates of 18.65%, 3.89%, and 3.19% respectively [6][40]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at 10, 9, and 9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, which is significantly lower than the industry average P/E of 17 [8][40]. Investment Logic - The company has a strong market position in wastewater treatment, with a stable revenue stream and improving margins. The wastewater treatment price has increased from 1.7 CNY/ton to 1.92 CNY/ton from 2021 to 2024, reflecting a consistent upward trend [10][33]. - The company is expected to benefit from the cessation of goodwill impairment losses starting in 2025, which could positively impact net profit by approximately 1.5 billion CNY [11][38]. Key Assumptions - The report assumes new wastewater treatment capacity additions of 9, 5.5, and 6 thousand tons per day for 2025-2027, with a consistent treatment price of 1.92 CNY/ton [9][41].
信用分析周报:关注税收新规后的信用价值提升-20250803
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-03 12:52
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The credit bond market has recovered after last week's adjustment caused by the "anti - involution" trend. On August 1st, under the influence of the tax new policy, the cost - performance of credit bonds has been passively improved. It is recommended to continue to pay attention to long - duration sinking urban investment bonds, capital bonds, and insurance sub - debt. Specifically, long - duration capital bonds of Minsheng Bank, Bohai Bank, and Hengfeng Bank are strongly recommended. There is an optimistic view on urban investment dim sum bonds and US dollar bonds, and opportunities in capital bonds of Tianjin Bank, Beibu Gulf Bank, and China Property Insurance are worth attention [3][45]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Weekly Market Overview - **Primary Market**: This week, the issuance volume, repayment volume, and net financing of traditional credit bonds decreased significantly compared with last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities decreased by 46.5 billion yuan compared with last week. The weighted average issuance interest rates of industrial bonds and urban investment bonds increased, while the issuance cost of financial bonds decreased to varying degrees [1][8][20]. - **Secondary Market**: The trading volume of credit bonds decreased by 73.8 billion yuan compared with last week. In terms of turnover rate, the turnover rate of credit bonds showed mixed trends compared with last week, and the turnover rate of asset - backed securities rebounded. The yields of most credit bonds with different maturities and ratings decreased, except that the yield of AAA + credit bonds over 10 years increased slightly. Overall, the credit spreads of different industries and ratings fluctuated, with a maximum amplitude of no more than 5BP [2][25][31]. - **Negative Public Opinions**: A total of 58 bond implicit ratings were downgraded this week. Among them, 38 bond implicit ratings of Financial Street Holding Co., Ltd. were downgraded. The "21 Meibi 01" bond issued by Xi'an Qujiang Meibi Lake Investment and Construction Co., Ltd. was placed on the watch list. The entity rating of Guizhou Huaxi Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. was downgraded, and the rating of its "21 Huaxi Rural Commercial Secondary 01" bond was also downgraded. The entity rating of Guiyang Baiyun Industrial Development Investment Co., Ltd. was downgraded, and the rating of its "19 Baiyun Industrial Investment Bond 01" bond was downgraded. The "19 Contemporary 01" bond issued by Contemporary Energy - Saving Real Estate Co., Ltd. was extended [2][42]. 3.2 Primary Market - **Net Financing Scale**: The net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 100.6 billion yuan this week, a decrease of 286.1 billion yuan compared with last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities was - 12.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 46.5 billion yuan compared with last week. By product type, the net financing of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds decreased compared with last week [8]. - **Issuance Cost**: The weighted average issuance interest rates of industrial bonds and urban investment bonds increased. Specifically, the issuance interest rates of AA, AA +, and AAA urban investment bonds increased by 10BP, 13BP, and 10BP respectively compared with last week, and those of AA, AA +, and AAA industrial bonds increased by 12BP, 14BP, and 14BP respectively. The issuance interest rate of AA + financial bonds decreased by 25BP, and that of AAA financial bonds decreased slightly by 4BP [20]. 3.3 Secondary Market - **Trading Volume**: The trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 73.8 billion yuan compared with last week. Among them, the trading volume of urban investment bonds increased by 13.8 billion yuan, the trading volume of industrial bonds decreased by 28.2 billion yuan, and the trading volume of financial bonds decreased by 59.4 billion yuan. The trading volume of asset - backed securities increased by 2.1 billion yuan [21]. - **Turnover Rate**: The turnover rate of credit bonds showed mixed trends compared with last week. The turnover rate of urban investment bonds increased by 0.08 pct, the turnover rate of industrial bonds decreased by 0.17 pct, and the turnover rate of financial bonds decreased by 0.41 pct. The turnover rate of asset - backed securities increased by 0.07 pct [22]. - **Yields**: The yields of most credit bonds with different maturities and ratings decreased, except that the yield of AAA + credit bonds over 10 years increased slightly. For example, the yields of AA, AAA -, and AAA + credit bonds within 1 year decreased by 3BP, 3BP, and 2BP respectively compared with last week [25]. - **Credit Spreads**: Overall, the credit spreads of different industries and ratings fluctuated, with a maximum amplitude of no more than 5BP. The credit spreads of AA banks, AA + mining and non - banking finance, and AAA electrical equipment industries compressed relatively significantly, within the range of 3 - 4BP. The credit spreads of AA + comprehensive and food and beverage industries widened relatively significantly, within the range of 4 - 5BP [31]. - **Urban Investment Bonds**: The credit spreads of urban investment bonds within 1 year compressed slightly, while those of other maturities widened slightly. In terms of regions, most urban investment credit spreads widened [34][35]. - **Industrial Bonds**: The credit spreads of industrial bonds fluctuated slightly within 5BP as a whole, and the spreads of 3 - 5Y industrial bonds were under pressure and adjusted slightly [38]. - **Bank Capital Bonds**: The credit spreads of bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds performed well, with different maturities and ratings compressing by 2 - 5BP [39]. 3.4 Investment Recommendations - The central bank achieved a net injection of 6.9 billion yuan this week. The DR001 decreased from 1.40% at the close on Monday to 1.25%. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3560 points, and the equity market cooled down and corrected. Commodity futures may have corrected synchronously due to the cooling of the "anti - involution" sentiment. It is necessary to continue to pay attention to the development direction of the "anti - involution" market in the future [44]. - The credit spreads of different industries and ratings fluctuated slightly. It is recommended to continue to focus on long - duration sinking urban investment bonds, capital bonds, and insurance sub - debt, and pay attention to relevant investment opportunities [45].