策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 9 月 1 日 策略周报 掘金科技，国产算力新一轮上行机遇 牛市中继，布局科技核心资产，国产算力有望再度上行。 相关研究报告 《策略点评报告》20250822 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 证券分析师：高天然 tianran.gao@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300522100001 牛市中继，关 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The current industry allocation of the Bank of China multi-strategy system includes Electronics (11.6%), Comprehensive (11.6%), Non-Bank Financials (9.4%), and others, indicating a diversified investment approach [1] - The average weekly return for the CITIC primary industries is 1.8%, with the best-performing sectors being Communication (17.3%), Electronics (12.2%), and Computer (7.0%) [3][10] - The cumulative return of the industry rotation composite strategy this year is 25.5%, outperforming the CITIC primary industry equal-weight benchmark return of 21.6% by 3.9% [3] Group 2: Industry Performance Review - The worst-performing sectors this week include Coal (-2.7%), Textile and Apparel (-2.4%), and Banking (-1.7%) [3][10] - The current PB valuation for the Retail Trade, Defense Industry, Media, and Computer sectors exceeds the 95% percentile of the past six years, triggering a high valuation warning [12][13] Group 3: Strategy Performance - The highest excess return strategy this year is the S2 "Unfalsified Sentiment Tracking Strategy," with an excess return of 14.7% [3] - The top three industries based on the S1 "High Prosperity Industry Rotation Strategy" are Non-Bank Financials, Agriculture, and Non-Ferrous Metals [15][16] - The current macro indicators favor the following six industries: Comprehensive Finance, Computer, Media, Defense Industry, Comprehensive, and Non-Bank Financials [24]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 showed a revenue of 940 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 127 million RMB, a decrease of 3.87%. The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 537 million RMB, up 7.91% year-on-year, but net profit dropped 15.53% to 90 million RMB. The decline in performance is attributed to the impact of new resource usage regulations [3][8] - The company anticipates that project developments both on and off the mountain will enhance the carrying capacity of the scenic area, and the ongoing collaboration and diversification of various business segments are expected to continue [3][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 940 million RMB, up 12.7% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 127 million RMB, down 3.87%. The second quarter revenue was 537 million RMB, reflecting a 7.91% increase, but net profit fell by 15.53% to 90 million RMB. The decline is primarily due to increased costs from resource usage fees [3][8] - The total number of visitors to the Huangshan scenic area in H1 2025 was 2.2641 million, a year-on-year increase of 5.82%, with the cable car service transporting 4.376 million visitors, up 3.95% [8] Future Projections - The company projects EPS for 2025-2027 to be 0.47, 0.54, and 0.63 RMB, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25.5, 22.2, and 19.1 times. The long-term outlook remains positive as the carrying capacity of the scenic area is expected to improve, and business segments are anticipated to continue growing [5][7] Business Development - The renovation of the Beihai Hotel is expected to be completed by September 2025, which will significantly alleviate the shortage of hotel accommodations on the mountain. Additionally, the company plans to focus on expanding the East Huangshan scenic area to further increase visitor capacity [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the next 6-12 months [2][4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 15.764 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.14%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.569 billion, down 29.47% year-on-year. However, the second quarter showed a sequential growth in net profit of 21.95% [4][9]. - The report highlights improvements in management efficiency and competitive positioning, particularly through the optimization of operations at the Jingzhou and Dezhou bases, reinforcing the long-term investment value of the company [4][9]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted, with expected EPS of RMB 1.68, RMB 2.06, and RMB 2.19 respectively. The current PE ratios are projected at 15.9x, 13.0x, and 12.2x for the respective years [6][8]. - The company’s sales gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 18.01%, down 3.19 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by weak market demand and price fluctuations in key products [9][10]. - The report details the sales volume and revenue for various segments, noting a significant increase in fertilizer sales by 24.93% year-on-year, while other segments experienced declines [9][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 530 million, representing 33.76% of the net profit for the first half of 2025, and has initiated a share buyback program with a budget of RMB 200-300 million [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 136.46 and a sector rating of "Outperform" [1][4]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated rapid growth in Q2 2025, achieving revenue of RMB 5.38 billion, a year-on-year increase of 59.15%, and a net profit of RMB 0.59 billion, up 107.76% year-on-year. The company is a leading domestic MOPA laser manufacturer and is expanding its applications in consumer electronics, which is expected to unlock further growth potential [4][9]. - The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached RMB 8.81 billion, representing a 48.34% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 0.95 billion, up 73.84% year-on-year. The growth is attributed to strong sales in precision processing for new energy battery applications and consumer-grade laser products [9][10]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 18.11 billion, RMB 23.13 billion, and RMB 27.57 billion, respectively. The expected net profits for the same period are RMB 1.99 billion, RMB 2.59 billion, and RMB 3.26 billion, with corresponding EPS of RMB 2.10, RMB 2.73, and RMB 3.43 [6][8]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected at 65.0 for 2025, 50.1 for 2026, and 39.8 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend as the company grows [6][8]. Performance Metrics - The company’s gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 39.44%, with a net margin of 10.56%, reflecting effective cost control and strong profitability [9][10]. - The overall expense ratio decreased to 24.54%, down 3.92 percentage points year-on-year, showcasing the company's strong expense management capabilities [9][10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in the MOPA laser sector and is focused on providing integrated solutions that include laser systems and core modules. It is actively expanding into new application areas, including laser engraving and optical communication products, to meet the growing demand in data centers and cloud computing [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperforming the Market" [2] Core Views - The report highlights the impact of rising international oil prices and the decline in prices of MDI and TDI, suggesting a focus on mid-year earnings reports and the influence of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries [2][9] - It emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies and recommends stable dividend-paying energy enterprises [2][9] - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in upstream oil and gas sectors, new materials, and emerging fields such as pharmaceuticals and renewable energy [2][9] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of August 24, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemical sector is 25.73, at the 82.13 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 2.20, at the 52.14 percentile [2][9] - The SW oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 11.45, at the 24.37 percentile historically, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.17, at the 23.56 percentile [2][9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on mid-year earnings, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply, self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies [2][9] - Long-term investment themes include the sustained high oil prices, the ongoing high demand in oil and gas exploration, and the rapid development of downstream industries, particularly in new materials [2][9] - Recommended companies include China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petrochemical Corporation, and several others in the new materials sector [2][9] Price Changes and Market Performance - In the week of August 18-24, 36 chemical products saw price increases, while 32 experienced declines, and 32 remained stable [8] - The average price of WTI crude oil was $63.66 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 1.37%, while Brent crude oil was $67.73 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 2.85% [8][9] - The report notes a decline in the prices of MDI and TDI, with MDI averaging 15,450 yuan/ton, down 1.59% from the previous week, and TDI averaging 15,288 yuan/ton, down 3.43% [2][9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with an initial coverage date of August 28, 2025 [1][5]. Core Views - The company, Yanggu Huatai, is a leading domestic manufacturer of rubber additives, actively expanding its production capacity both domestically and in Thailand. The acquisition of Bomi Technology, which focuses on high-performance polyimide materials, is expected to inject new growth momentum into the company's performance [3][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yanggu Huatai specializes in the research, production, and sales of rubber additives, with a comprehensive product range including anti-scorching agents, accelerators, and insoluble sulfur. The company has three production bases in China and is constructing a facility in Thailand to enhance its supply capabilities [15][17]. Financial Performance - The company has maintained stable revenue growth since its listing, with total revenue increasing from RMB 348 million in 2010 to RMB 3.431 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 17.75%. However, net profit has experienced cyclical fluctuations, with a decline in 2024 due to falling product prices [24][32]. Industry Analysis - The rubber additives industry is closely tied to the tire manufacturing sector, which accounts for approximately 70% of the demand. The global tire market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.7% from 2024 to 2032, driven by increasing automotive production and the rise of electric vehicles [37][45]. Market Trends - The report highlights a stable demand for rubber additives, with the industry concentration expected to increase in 2024. The domestic production of rubber additives is projected to account for 78% of the global output, with a total production of 205,000 tons [51][52]. Acquisition and Growth Potential - The planned acquisition of Bomi Technology aims to enter the PSPI (Photo-sensitive Polyimide) market, which has significant growth potential in semiconductor and OLED panel applications. The domestic PSPI market is expected to grow from RMB 1.193 billion in 2023 to RMB 1.328 billion by 2025 [8][46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 25.63% in revenue and a 37.75% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [8] - The report highlights the ongoing optimization of AI-driven structures and the recovery of substrate demand alongside the growth in storage market conditions [3][5] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 21.33 billion, RMB 25.58 billion, and RMB 31.21 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 2.85 billion, RMB 3.74 billion, and RMB 4.46 billion [5][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be RMB 4.28, RMB 5.60, and RMB 6.69 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 39.6, 30.3, and 25.3 [5][7] - The company’s PCB business has seen a revenue increase of 29.21% year-on-year, driven by demand in the communication, data center, and automotive electronics sectors [8] Market Performance - The company’s stock has outperformed the Shenzhen Composite Index, with a relative performance of 17.7% year-to-date [2] - The total market capitalization of the company is approximately RMB 113.01 billion [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in performance, driven by innovation, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025 [4][9] - The company is increasing its research and development (R&D) investments, which are becoming a key growth engine, and is making progress in global expansion [4][6][9] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 15.761 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.88% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 4.450 billion, up 29.67% year-on-year, while the adjusted net profit was RMB 4.273 billion, reflecting a growth of 22.43% [4][9] R&D and Innovation - The company invested a total of RMB 3.871 billion in R&D during the first half of 2025, with RMB 3.228 billion classified as expense R&D [4][9] - Six new innovative drugs were approved for market launch, contributing to over 60% of the company's revenue from innovative drug sales [9] Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is RMB 6.706 billion, RMB 7.978 billion, and RMB 9.208 billion respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of RMB 1.01, RMB 1.20, and RMB 1.39 [6][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 62.4x, 52.5x, and 45.4x for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][8]

Profit and Revenue Analysis - From January to July 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises reached CNY 40,203.5 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the first half of the year[1] - In July 2025, industrial enterprises' profits fell by 1.5% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 2.8 percentage points from June[1] - The operating income of industrial enterprises grew by 2.3% year-on-year from January to July, with the growth rate slowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year[1] Cost and Profitability Metrics - The operating income profit margin for industrial enterprises was 5.2% from January to July, unchanged from the first half of the year[2] - Operating costs increased by 2.5% year-on-year during the same period, with the growth rate slowing by 0.3 percentage points compared to the first half[1] - The average revenue per CNY 100 of assets was CNY 74.0, an increase of CNY 0.1 from the first half of the year[1] Industry Performance Insights - The mining industry accounted for 12.3% of total industrial profits, continuing to decline, with profits in this sector dropping by 31.6% year-on-year[9] - High-tech manufacturing contributed positively to the profit growth of industrial enterprises, adding 1.9 percentage points to the cumulative year-on-year profit growth[11] - The overall industrial production value increased by 6.3% year-on-year, slightly slowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the first half of the year[6] Future Policy Expectations - There are expectations for incremental policies in the fourth quarter to address the weak pricing environment affecting industrial profitability[18] - The negative contribution from the mining and raw materials processing industries to profit growth is anticipated to continue, while traditional and high-tech manufacturing sectors provide some support[18]