Domestic Analysis - In the second week of April, domestic production rates showed a general decline, indicating adjustments due to tariff impacts, with demand indicators remaining weak and price pressures increasing[1] - The Trump administration's tariff policy remains uncertain, with many non-U.S. countries receiving a 90-day tariff exemption, potentially accelerating exports[1] - Recent high-frequency data suggests a cooling in automotive demand while daily consumer goods continue to see increased exports[1] Overseas Analysis - The 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs aligns with Trump's negotiation strategy, indicating a need for more time to reach solutions[2] - On April 10, the U.S. markets experienced a significant downturn, raising concerns about a liquidity crisis; however, past experiences suggest that the Federal Reserve responds quickly to such crises, often leading to a V-shaped recovery in the stock market[2] - Short-term, the yuan faces depreciation pressure due to tariffs, but the central bank's stabilization measures suggest limited downward movement, with the yuan expected to fluctuate between 7.15 and 7.35[2] Asset Performance - Domestic equity markets are currently experiencing a dual bull market in stocks and bonds, with technology and export-related sectors showing relative strength[1] - The bond market is expected to face renewed pressure once economic downturns are alleviated, while the stock market remains supported by domestic policies[1] - Recent data indicates a decline in A-share indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 3.11% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 5.13% for the week[41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the humanoid robot industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expectations for the industry index to outperform the benchmark index [7][11]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing significant developments, including partnerships and product launches, which are expected to drive long-term industrialization trends despite short-term volatility [7][11]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to conduct standard research on humanoid robots in 2025, highlighting the government's focus on this sector [2]. - Recent product innovations, such as the launch of the Fourier N1 open-source humanoid robot and the integrated joint module by Landai Technology, showcase advancements in core components of robotics [3][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Scale - The humanoid robot industry comprises 473 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 359.95 billion and a circulating market value of 310.07 billion [7]. Industry Index Performance - The industry has shown a performance of -13.8% over one month, 10.8% over six months, and 14.2% over twelve months, indicating a recovery trend after initial declines [9]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in key areas such as the "big and small brain" technologies and core components of humanoid robots, with specific companies highlighted for their potential [11][12]. - Notable companies to watch include Nvidia for training infrastructure, Horizon Robotics for autonomous driving chips, and Tesla for humanoid robot manufacturing [12]. Recent Events - Significant events include the establishment of Ningbo Puzhi Future Robot Co., Ltd. through a partnership between Junsheng Group and Zhiyuan Robotics, and the unveiling of the G1 humanoid robot by Yushu Technology, which demonstrates advanced combat capabilities [1][5]. - The report also notes the participation of industry leaders in economic discussions, reflecting the government's commitment to the development of embodied intelligence [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector based on the fundamentals [5]. Core Insights - The global corn supply-demand gap continues to widen, with improved export prospects for the U.S. corn market [2][3]. - The report revises global corn production expectations upward, with a projected total of 1.215 billion tons for 2024/25, a decrease of approximately 1.2% year-on-year [2][3]. - Global corn consumption is expected to reach approximately 1.242 billion tons for 2024/25, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 1.8% [3]. - The global soybean crushing demand is improving, with a projected increase in crushing volume to 355 million tons for 2024/25, up 0.57% from previous estimates [13][14]. - The report indicates a tightening supply-demand balance for wheat, with a revised production estimate of 797 million tons for 2024/25, a decrease of 0.05% from previous estimates [10]. Summary by Sections Corn Market - The USDA report has raised the global corn production forecast for 2024/25 to 1.215 billion tons, a slight increase from previous estimates, despite a year-on-year decline of 1.2% [2][3]. - The global corn import volume is expected to be 182 million tons, an increase of approximately 0.99% from previous estimates, while the export volume is projected at 189 million tons, a decrease of about 1.24% [3]. - The U.S. corn export forecast has been raised to 64.77 million tons, reflecting a competitive pricing advantage [4]. Wheat Market - The global wheat production forecast has been revised down to 797 million tons for 2024/25, with a corresponding decrease in consumption expectations [10]. - The report indicates a narrowing demand gap for wheat, with a projected ending stocks-to-use ratio of 32.4% [10]. Soybean Market - The global soybean production forecast has been slightly reduced to 421 million tons for 2024/25, while the total demand is expected to increase to approximately 411 million tons [13][14]. - The report highlights an improvement in the soybean crushing demand, with a projected increase in crushing volume due to favorable supply conditions [13]. Industry Performance - The industry index shows a strong performance with a 9.2% increase over the past month and a 14.3% increase over the past six months [6]. - The total market capitalization of the industry is reported at 1,072.8 billion, with a circulating market value of 916.2 billion [5].

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 04 月 13 日 美国关税政策反复，避险资金推升金价续创历史新高 金属行业周报 周期/金属及材料 美国关税超预期到 90 天关税豁免期，有色市场跟随重创到企稳小反弹。后续 持续关注关税问题以及关税而可能带来的经济数据走弱。短期关税主导市场走 向。中期关注经济数据和宽松刺激政策节奏。但是从长期来看，金属市场将重 回供应问题和新消费拉动的逻辑。近期继续推荐关注相对确定性较高的黄金板 块投资机会，流动性带来的抛压已经过去。此外关注中国反制和自主可控相关 品种。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 233 | 4.6 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 3861.4 | 4.7 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 3597.8 | 4.8 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -10.5 5.8 4.9 相对表现 -5.7 9.3 -2.1 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Apr/24 Aug/24 Nov/24 Mar/25 (%) 金属及材料 沪深 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2][6] Core Views - In 2024, the company faced revenue pressure due to demand constraints, but benefited from declining milk prices and efficient expense management, leading to an unexpected improvement in operating profit margins. The company has addressed its balance sheet issues by recognizing impairments related to goodwill and losses from associates [6] - For 2025, the company plans to optimize its supply chain to reduce costs and enhance efficiency, while also focusing on high-end product strategies and precise marketing. A slight revenue recovery is anticipated, with stable operating profit margins [6] - The dairy industry is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics in 2025, following a period of competitive pressure and excess supply in 2024, which should help the company emerge from its low point [6] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of RMB 886.7 billion, a year-on-year decline of 10.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.05 billion, down 97.8%. Adjusted for goodwill impairment and losses from associates, the net profit was RMB 44.35 billion, a decrease of 7.8% [5][6] - The operating profit for 2024 was RMB 72.6 billion, with an operating profit margin of 8.2%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [5][6] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of RMB 0.509 per share, totaling RMB 19.94 billion, with a payout ratio of 45% [5] Industry Outlook - The liquid milk segment continues to face demand constraints, with revenues declining by 11.0% in 2024. However, the ice cream segment showed a revenue increase of 18.0% [5] - The overall dairy market is expected to stabilize as supply-side adjustments continue and policy measures boost demand [6] - The company aims to maintain its leading position in the cheese market, focusing on product innovation and brand leadership [5][6]

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 04 月 13 日 推荐（维持） 4 月 6 日至 4 月 12 日，汽车行业整体下跌 5.4%。本周，关税政策不断扰动市场 行情。国务院关税税则委员会发布关于调整对原产于美国的进口商品加征关税 措施的公告，自 4 月 12 日起对原产于美国的进口商品加征关税税率由 84%提高 至 125%。加征 125％关税后，特斯拉中国停止供应 Model S/X 新车。电动化方 面，奇瑞汽车发布全球首个混动技术开源计划，促进新能源汽车行业的共同进 步。智能化方面，零跑汽车宣布智驾软件全面免费，对含有智能驾驶辅助功能 的车型，智驾软件全面免费，包括免费开放高速智能领航辅助（NAP）功能。 ❑ 市场板块行情回顾 本周 CS 汽车-5.4%。本周（4 月 6 日至 4 月 12 日，下同）关税政策持续扰 动市场行情，上证 A 指涨跌幅为-3.1%，深证 A 指涨跌幅为-5.6%，创业板涨 跌幅为-6.7%。本周各行业板块下跌居多，其中涨幅居前的行业板块为 CS 农 林牧渔（+3.2%）和 CS 商贸零售（+1.2%），跌幅居前的板块为 CS 电新 （-7.8%）、CS 通信（-7 ...

中国版平准基金横空出世，股票 ETF 增持力度或迎来加强 证券研究报告 | 基金研究（公募） 2025 年 4 月 13 日 基金市场动态周报 20250413 本报告重点聚焦基金市场动态、基金产品热点、海外市场跟踪、基金发行概况 等内容，总结过去一周基金市场值得关注的热点，供投资者参考。 ❑ 基金市场动态： ❑ 基金产品热点： ❑ 海外市场跟踪： ❑ 基金发行概况： ❑ 风险提示：报告仅作为投资参考，不构成投资收益的保证或投资建议；部分 材料整理自公开新闻报导，信息可能存在不准确的问题。 徐燕红 S1090524120003 xuyanhong@cmschina.com.cn 汪思杰 研究助理 wangsijie@cmschina.com.cn 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 1. 基金托管将迎新方案，"托而管好"众望所归。 2. 中国版平准基金横空出世，将为股市提供坚实后盾。 3. 二季度公募进攻方向渐明，继续追捧科技成长主线。 4. 22 只基金产品去年下半年获"自家人"增持超 1000 万份。 5. 指数产品自购"精准加码"，新发基金成主战场。 6. "组团"自购、仓位高企，头部私募积极布局中国资产。 7. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company's bearing ring business shows steady growth, with a revenue of 1.094 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.79%. This segment accounts for 95.47% of total revenue, indicating it is the main product line [6]. - The insulated bearing ring products have begun sampling, aimed at preventing electrical corrosion in bearings, with potential applications in new energy vehicles and variable frequency air conditioners, targeting a market size exceeding 10 billion yuan [6]. - The company is increasing investment in screw components, anticipating rapid growth due to the rising demand from humanoid robots, with key customers expected to enter a phase of rapid volume increase [6]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.402 billion yuan, 1.793 billion yuan, and 2.169 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 72 million yuan, 165 million yuan, and 217 million yuan [6]. Financial Data Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 1.146 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 15.98%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 26 million yuan, a decrease of 30.69% [1]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.81 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 72.9 [9]. - The company’s total assets are expected to grow from 1.603 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.969 billion yuan in 2027, with a corresponding increase in total liabilities [7]. Performance Metrics - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 3.2% in 2024 to 18.1% in 2027 [9]. - The gross profit margin is expected to rise from 13.2% in 2024 to 22.2% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [9]. - The asset-liability ratio is projected to decrease from 39.4% in 2025 to 34.9% in 2027, reflecting a strengthening balance sheet [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance relative to the benchmark index [3]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the increasing importance of self-controllable technology in the context of ongoing US-China trade tensions, suggesting that domestic CPU processors and related chips may gain price advantages due to tariff impacts on US manufacturers [1][19]. - The report highlights significant changes in tariff rates, with the US imposing additional tariffs on Chinese products, which have reached 145%, and China responding with increased tariffs on US imports, now at 125% [9][10]. - The report suggests that the adjustment of the "origin" regulations for integrated circuits in China will significantly impact US IDM manufacturers, potentially benefiting domestic companies in the semiconductor industry [11][19]. Summary by Sections Section 1: US-China Trade Tensions - The report details the escalation of trade tensions, with multiple rounds of tariff increases from both the US and China, affecting various sectors, particularly technology [9][10]. - It notes that the US has confirmed a 145% tariff on Chinese products, while China has raised tariffs on US imports to 125% [9][10]. Section 2: Market Performance Review - The computer sector experienced a decline of 5.79% in the second week of April 2025, with notable stock performances from companies like Sifang Precision and Huada Jiutian, which saw increases of 21.38% and 17.24%, respectively [20][21]. - The report provides a detailed ranking of stock performance, highlighting both the top gainers and losers in the sector [21]. Section 3: Key Company Forecasts - The report includes earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for several key companies, indicating expected growth in the coming years, with companies like Kingsoft Office and Yonyou Network showing varying EPS projections [22]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring these companies as potential investment opportunities in light of the changing market dynamics [22].

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 13 日 圣农发展（002299.SZ） 24 年业绩逐季度改善，25Q1 逆势再突破 消费品/农林牧渔 综合造肉成本持续下行&食品端发力共同驱动公司 2024 年业绩逐季度改善；成 本优化及 C 端高增助力公司 25Q1 逆势再突破，看好公司发展前景。 ❑ 风险提示：鸡价上涨不达预期；自然灾害风险；原料成本上涨风险；动物疫 病风险；食品安全风险。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 18487 | 18586 | 21524 | 24926 | 28867 | | 同比增长 | 10% | 1% | 16% | 16% | 16% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 759 | 802 | 1213 | 1516 | 1815 | | 同比增长 | 56% | 6% | 51% | 25% | 20% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 664 | 724 | 1104 | 138 ...