1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The methanol 2601 contract is expected to run strongly, with a short - term outlook of oscillation, a medium - term outlook of oscillation and weakness, and an intraday outlook of oscillation and strength [1][5] - The domestic methanol futures 2601 contract may maintain an oscillating and strong trend on Thursday [5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Methanol Market Situation - Currently, the domestic methanol operating rate and weekly output remain at relatively high levels, and the external import pressure continues to increase, with the peak import volume for the year already reached, leading to high methanol inventories at ports in East and South China before the festival [5] - Although downstream demand is gradually improving, the profit of the olefin market is not good, and the situation of weak demand still needs to be improved [5] 3.2 Market Trend and Price - On Wednesday night, the domestic methanol futures 2601 contract maintained an oscillating and strong trend, with the futures price slightly rising 0.45% to 2255 yuan/ton [5] - The meeting between the Chinese and US presidents in Seoul, South Korea may convey positive expectations to the market, supporting the methanol market [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The macro - economic data shows a mixed picture, with some indicators like GDP and exports growing, while others like fixed - asset investment declining. In the commodity market, different sectors have diverse trends, such as the rise in copper prices due to supply shortages and the fall in gold prices. The financial market is also volatile, affected by factors like the Fed's interest - rate decision and central bank policies [1][5][16]. - The stock market has a strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a 10 - year high and the North Exchange 50 Index having a significant increase. The regulatory authorities are promoting reforms in the capital market, such as in the North Exchange and the application of artificial intelligence [31]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data - GDP in Q3 2025 grew at a 4.8% year - on - year rate, lower than the previous quarter's 5.2%. The manufacturing PMI was 49.8%, slightly up from the previous month. Exports and imports in September 2025 increased by 8.3% and 7.4% year - on - year respectively [1]. - Social financing scale in September 2025 was 35296 billion yuan, higher than the previous year. M1 and M2 growth rates were 7.2% and 8.4% respectively, showing an upward trend [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - In the first three quarters of this year, the total social logistics volume in China was 263.2 trillion yuan, a 5.4% year - on - year increase. Industrial logistics volume contributed 81% to the growth [2]. - On October 29, there were 39 domestic commodity varieties with positive basis and 30 with negative basis [2]. - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75% - 4.00% and will end balance - sheet reduction from December 1. This decision led to market fluctuations [3]. 3.2.2 Metals - The price of domestic gold dropped about 10% from its high of 1000 yuan/gram in over a week, with significant capital outflows. International copper prices reached a record high due to supply shortages [4][5]. - Lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rose, with lithium carbonate hitting a more than 2 - month high [8]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel and Minerals - On October 29, most domestic commodity futures rose at night, with coking coal leading the gain, up 2.84% [9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - In September 2025, the national electricity market trading volume was 573.2 billion kWh, a 9.8% year - on - year increase. The Xinjiang Jimsar shale oil demonstration area's annual output exceeded 1.5 million tons for the first time [10]. - On October 29, the US crude oil futures rose as US crude oil inventories decreased and imports at the Gulf Coast hit a record low [11]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - On October 28, the pig market had a widespread price increase. The US and Mexico couldn't set a date to reopen Mexican beef exports, and Poland maintained an import ban on some Ukrainian agricultural products [13]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On October 29, the central bank conducted 557.7 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net injection of 419.5 billion yuan [14]. 3.3.2 Key News - Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet with US President Trump in Busan, South Korea on October 30. The Fed cut interest rates, and the Chinese government is promoting capital market reform and opening - up [15][16]. - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued policies to support foreign trade, and the Ministry of Finance released state - owned enterprise financial data [17][18]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - In the inter - bank bond market, short - and medium - term bonds were actively bought, and yields declined. In the exchange bond market, some bonds rose while others fell. Convertible bond indices also showed different trends [22][23]. - US bond yields rose, while European bond yields fell [25]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose 15 basis points, and the US dollar index rose 0.43% [26]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Different institutions have different bond - allocation preferences. Banks mainly invest in interest - rate bonds, insurance institutions prefer low - risk bonds, and public funds like government - financial bonds and credit bonds [27]. - The market risk preference has declined, and the investment value of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds is emerging. As of Q3 2025, the scale of wealth management products increased, and the asset allocation changed [27][28]. 3.3.6 Today's Reminders - On October 30, 265 bonds will be listed, 121 bonds will be issued, 118 bonds will make payments, and 191 bonds will pay principal and interest [29]. 3.4 Stock Market Key News - A - shares had a strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index above 4000 points and the North Exchange 50 Index rising over 8%. The CSRC is promoting reforms in the North Exchange and the application of AI in the capital market [31]. - As of September, the net asset value of public funds in China reached 36.74 trillion yuan, a record high, and Central Huijin's ETF holdings increased [32].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core View of the Report - The crude oil market has returned to a market dominated by supply - demand fundamentals after the weakening of previous macro - bullish driving factors and geopolitical factors. The current macro and industrial factors in the crude oil market remain weak. However, due to the positive expectations from the meeting between Chinese and US leaders, the domestic crude oil futures 2512 contract is expected to maintain a slightly stronger oscillating trend on Thursday [5]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Price and Market Trends - The domestic crude oil futures 2512 contract showed an oscillating and stable trend in the night session on Wednesday, with the futures price rising slightly by 1.28% to 465.1 yuan/barrel [5]. - The short - term view of crude oil 2512 is oscillating, the medium - term view is weakly oscillating, the intraday view is strongly oscillating, and the reference view is a relatively strong operation [1]. Market Driving Factors - After the weakening of previous macro - bullish driving factors and geopolitical factors, the crude oil market is back to being dominated by supply - demand fundamentals. Currently, both macro and industrial factors in the crude oil market are weak [5]. - Eight OPEC+ oil - producing countries decided to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in November, increasing the supply pressure in the oil market [5]. - The meeting between Chinese and US leaders in Seoul, South Korea may convey positive expectations to the market [5].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The steel price of rebar is expected to continue the oscillatory upward trend, and it is recommended to pay attention to the support level of MA5. The core logic is the strong cost support [1][2] Group 3: Summary According to the Table 1. Variety Viewpoint Reference - For rebar 2601, the short - term trend is oscillatory and slightly stronger, the medium - term trend is oscillatory, and the intraday trend is oscillatory and slightly weaker. It is suggested to pay attention to the support at the MA5 line, with the core logic being that strong costs support the oscillatory recovery of steel prices [1] 2. Market Driving Logic - The supply - demand pattern of rebar has changed little. Construction steel mills have increased production, with weekly output rising from a low level and high inventory, so the supply side offers limited benefits. Meanwhile, rebar demand has seasonally recovered, with high - frequency demand indicators rising from a low level, but still at a low level compared to the same period in recent years, and the downstream situation has not improved, so the strength of the peak season remains in doubt. In the current situation of increasing supply and demand, the improvement of the rebar fundamentals is limited, and the pressure to reduce inventory remains. The steel price is still prone to pressure. The relative positives are the warm market sentiment and the cost support brought by strong raw materials. It is necessary to pay attention to the production and sales data released by Steelhome today [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - On October 29, 2025, all stock indices fluctuated and rose. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets throughout the day was 2.2907 trillion yuan, an increase of 125.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day. The stock market rebounded with increased volume, and the Shanghai Composite Index broke through 4000 points, indicating a rapid rise in the risk appetite of stock market investors [4]. - Due to the policy emphasis on significantly improving the level of scientific and technological self - reliance during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, and the mention of 4 emerging industries and 6 future industries in the suggestions of the "15th Five - Year Plan", the policy利好 expectations for the technology industry are fermenting. In addition, with the conclusion of the China - US economic and trade talks and the news of the China - US presidential meeting, the external uncertainty risk factors are gradually easing. The internal policy利好 expectations and the easing of external risk factors jointly drive the continuous upward movement of the stock market risk appetite [4]. - However, there are fewer incremental policies in November, and there is still a possibility of a technical correction in the stock indices. In general, the future trend of the market mainly depends on the game between the fermentation rhythm of policy利好 expectations and the profit - taking rhythm of funds. In the short term, the stock indices will mainly fluctuate widely [4]. - Currently, the implied volatility of options remains relatively stable. Considering the long - term upward trend of the stock indices, the strategy of bull spread or covered call is maintained [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On October 29, 2025, the 50ETF rose 0.44% to close at 3.210; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 1.25% to close at 4.862; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 1.17% to close at 5.013; the CSI 300 Index rose 1.19% to close at 4747.84; the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.20% to close at 7569.12; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 2.06% to close at 7.594; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 2.05% to close at 3.031; the GEM ETF rose 2.96% to close at 3.300; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 2.00% to close at 3.677; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.41% to close at 3063.02; the STAR 50ETF rose 1.29% to close at 1.57; the E Fund STAR 50ETF rose 1.27% to close at 1.52 [6]. - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options on October 29, 2025, and their changes compared to the previous trading day are provided in detail, for example, the trading volume PCR of the SSE 50ETF option was 93.07 (previous trading day: 93.02), and the position PCR was 97.12 (previous trading day: 97.23) [7]. - The implied volatility of the at - the - money options in November 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options are provided, such as the implied volatility of the at - the - money options of the SSE 50ETF option in November 2025 was 14.78%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset was 12.75% [8]. 3.2 Related Charts - **SSE 50ETF Option**: Charts include the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [10][12][14][19]. - **SSE 300ETF Option**: Charts cover the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [22][24][26][32]. - **SZSE 300ETF Option**: Charts involve the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [35]. - **CSI 300 Index Option**: Charts include the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [38]. - **CSI 1000 Index Option**: Charts cover the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [40]. - **SSE 500ETF Option**: Charts involve the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [54]. - **SZSE 500ETF Option**: Charts include the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [69]. - **GEM ETF Option**: Charts cover the GEM ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [83]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Option**: Charts involve the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [96]. - **SSE 50 Index Option**: Charts include the SSE 50 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [109]. - **STAR 50ETF Option**: Charts cover the STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [122]. - **E Fund STAR 50ETF Option**: Charts involve the E Fund STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [133].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - On Wednesday, the domestic Shanghai rubber futures contract 2601 showed a trend of increasing volume and positions, stabilizing in oscillation, and rising slightly. The price closed up 1.56% at 15,625 yuan/ton. Driven by macro and industrial factors, the valuation of the contract is expected to recover [5]. - The domestic methanol futures contract 2601 on Wednesday showed a trend of decreasing volume and positions, being slightly stronger in oscillation, and rising slightly. It closed up 0.22% at 2,257 yuan/ton. Driven by the sharp rise in domestic coal futures prices, the cost - logic support offset the weak supply - demand structure of domestic methanol, leading to an oscillatory consolidation trend [5]. - The domestic crude oil futures contract 2512 on Wednesday showed a trend of increasing volume but decreasing positions, being slightly weaker in oscillation, and falling slightly. It closed down 0.81% at 462.6 yuan/barrel. After the previous bullish geopolitical factors were gradually digested, the oil market shifted to a market dominated by weak supply - demand fundamentals [5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry Dynamics Rubber - As of October 26, 2025, the total inventory of natural rubber in bonded and general trade in Qingdao was 432,200 tons, a decrease of 5,300 tons or 1.20% from the previous period. The bonded area inventory decreased by 1.29% to 68,700 tons, and the general trade inventory decreased by 1.18% to 363,500 tons. The inbound rate of bonded warehouses decreased by 3.05 percentage points, and the outbound rate decreased by 2.61 percentage points. The inbound rate of general trade warehouses increased by 2.89 percentage points, and the outbound rate decreased by 0.54 percentage points [7]. - In the week of October 24, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of China's semi - steel tire sample enterprises was 72.84%, a week - on - week increase of 1.77 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 6.84 percentage points. The capacity utilization rate of China's all - steel tire sample enterprises was 65.87%, a week - on - week increase of 1.91 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 6.95 percentage points. The capacity utilization rate of tire sample enterprises increased slightly due to early snowfall in some regions and the recovery of all - steel tire production [7]. - In September 2025, China's logistics industry prosperity index was 51.2%, a 0.3 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The new order index of logistics enterprises was 53.3%, a 1 - percentage - point increase from the previous month, remaining above 52% for four consecutive months. In September, China's automobile production and sales were 3.276 million and 3.226 million vehicles respectively, with year - on - year increases of 17.1% and 14.9%. In the first three quarters of 2025, China's automobile production and sales totaled 24.333 million and 24.363 million vehicles respectively, with year - on - year increases of 13.3% and 12.9%. In September 2025, the sales volume of China's heavy - truck market was 105,000 vehicles, a year - on - year increase of about 82% and a month - on - month increase of 15%, achieving six consecutive months of growth. From January to September 2025, the cumulative sales volume of the heavy - truck market was about 821,000 vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 20% [8]. Methanol - As of the week of October 24, 2025, the average domestic methanol operating rate was 82.71%, a week - on - week decrease of 1.67%, a month - on - month increase of 3.20%, and a year - on - year increase of 2.17%. The average weekly methanol output in China was 1.9435 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 40,200 tons, a month - on - month increase of 70,800 tons, and a year - on - year increase of 73,600 tons [9]. - As of the week of October 24, 2025, the domestic formaldehyde operating rate was 30.97%, a week - on - week increase of 0.02%. The dimethyl ether operating rate was 8.34%, a week - on - week increase of 1.66%. The acetic acid operating rate was 73.61%, a week - on - week increase of 2%. The MTBE operating rate was 56.50%, a week - on - week increase of 1.61%. The average operating load of domestic coal (methanol) to olefin plants was 86.45%, a week - on - week decrease of 1.91 percentage points and a month - on - month increase of 3.42%. The futures profit of domestic methanol to olefin was - 154 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 111 yuan/ton and a month - on - month increase of 22 yuan/ton [9]. - As of the week of October 24, 2025, the methanol inventory in ports in East and South China was 1.2698 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 10,900 tons, a month - on - month increase of 1,700 tons, and a year - on - year increase of 308,100 tons. As of the week of October 23, 2025, the total inland methanol inventory in China was 360,400 tons, a week - on - week increase of 5,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 40,400 tons, and a year - on - year decrease of 76,500 tons [10]. Crude Oil - As of the week of October 17, 2025, the number of active oil drilling rigs in the United States was 418, unchanged from the previous week and 64 less than the same period last year. The average daily crude oil production in the United States was 13.629 million barrels, a week - on - week decrease of 700 barrels/day and a year - on - year increase of 129,000 barrels/day [10]. - As of the week of October 17, 2025, the U.S. commercial crude oil inventory (excluding strategic petroleum reserves) was 423 million barrels, a week - on - week decrease of 961,000 barrels and a year - on - year decrease of 3.2 million barrels. The crude oil inventory in Cushing, Oklahoma was 21.231 million barrels, a week - on - week decrease of 770,000 barrels. The U.S. strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) inventory was 408.56 million barrels, a week - on - week increase of 819,000 barrels. The U.S. refinery operating rate was 88.6%, a week - on - week increase of 2.9 percentage points, a month - on - month decrease of 4.4 percentage points, and a year - on - year decrease of 0.9 percentage points [11]. - As of September 23, 2025, the average non - commercial net long positions of WTI crude oil were 102,958 contracts, a week - on - week increase of 4,249 contracts and a 15.65% decrease from the August average of 122,063 contracts. As of October 21, 2025, the average net long positions of Brent crude oil futures funds were 51,791 contracts, a week - on - week decrease of 58,520 contracts and a 76.06% decrease from the September average of 216,355 contracts [11]. 3.2 Spot Price Table | Variety | Spot Price | Change from Previous Day | Futures Main Contract | Change from Previous Day | Basis | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | Shanghai Rubber | 14,750 yuan/ton | 0 yuan/ton | 15,625 yuan/ton | +265 yuan/ton | - 875 yuan/ton | - 265 yuan/ton | | Methanol | 2,232 yuan/ton | - 18 yuan/ton | 2,257 yuan/ton | +16 yuan/ton | - 25 yuan/ton | - 16 yuan/ton | | Crude Oil | 433.4 yuan/barrel | +0.1 yuan/barrel | 462.6 yuan/barrel | - 0.1 yuan/barrel | - 29.3 yuan/barrel | 0 yuan/barrel | [13] 3.3 Related Charts - Rubber: Charts include rubber basis, 1 - 5 month spread, SHFE rubber futures inventory, Qingdao bonded area rubber inventory, all - steel tire operating rate trend, and semi - steel tire operating rate trend [14][16][21][24] - Methanol: Charts include methanol basis, 1 - 5 month spread, domestic port inventory, inland social inventory, methanol to olefin operating rate change, and coal - to - methanol cost accounting [27][31][29][33][35] - Crude Oil: Charts include crude oil basis, SHFE crude oil futures inventory, U.S. crude oil commercial inventory, U.S. refinery operating rate, WTI crude oil net position change, and Brent crude oil net position change [38][44][40][46][42][48]

Report Information - Report Title: Coal and Coke Daily Report [4] - Report Date: October 29, 2025 [4] - Report Type: Futures Research Report [3] Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Views - **Coke**: The spot market prices of coke in Rizhao Port and Qingdao Port have increased week-on-week. Driven by macro利好 factors such as the progress of China-US trade negotiations and the expectation of supply improvement, the coke futures contract has shown a strong performance. However, the fundamental upward drivers are limited, and the relative advantages lie in the cost support from coking coal and the positive sentiment from the internal and external macro environment [5][32]. - **Coking Coal**: On October 29, the coking coal futures contract closed at 1302 points, with an intraday increase of 3.50%. The spot price of Mongolian coal at the Ganqimaodu Port has also risen week-on-week. Affected by the repeated expectations of China-US trade negotiations and anti-involution, the coking coal market sentiment remains optimistic, and the price is oscillating strongly. In the short term, the fundamentals of coking coal have no significant changes, and the strong expectations support the coking coal futures contract to run strongly. Attention should be paid to the supply changes in the main production areas [5][32]. Summary by Directory Industry News - **China-US Leaders' Meeting**: Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet with US President Donald Trump in Busan, South Korea on October 30 to exchange views on China-US relations and issues of common concern [7]. - **Coking Coal Auction in Lvliang**: On October 29, the online auction of coking coal in the Lvliang market generally showed an upward trend. Among the 12 reported transaction results, one had a failed auction. The total listed volume was 146,000 tons, and the transaction volume was 139,000 tons. The average transaction price of low-sulfur main coking coal in Linxian County increased by 114 yuan/ton to 1398 yuan/ton; the average transaction price of high-sulfur main coking coal in Xiaoyi City increased by 74 yuan/ton to 1279 yuan/ton; the transaction price of medium-sulfur gas raw coal in Xingxian County decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 412 yuan/ton. The market is expected to remain strong in the short term [8]. Spot Market - **Coke**: The current price of Rizhao Port's quasi-first-class flat coke is 1570 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 3.29%, a month-on-month increase of 6.80%, and a year-on-year decrease of 7.10%. The current price of Qingdao Port's quasi-first-class out-of-warehouse coke is 1510 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.34%, a month-on-month increase of 3.42%, and a year-on-year decrease of 6.79% [9]. - **Coking Coal**: The current price of Mongolian coal at the Ganqimaodu Port is 1340 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 2.29%, a month-on-month increase of 4.69%, and a year-on-year increase of 13.56%. The price of Australian coking coal at the Jingtang Port remains unchanged at 1640 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 1.86% and a year-on-year increase of 10.07%. The price of Shanxi coking coal at the Jingtang Port remains unchanged at 1740 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 1.75% and a year-on-year increase of 13.73% [9]. Futures Market - **Coke**: The closing price of the active coke futures contract is 1801.0 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1.90%. The highest price is 1810.5 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 1745.5 yuan/ton, the trading volume is 23,477 lots, the volume difference is 6433 lots, the open interest is 40,489 lots, and the position difference is 756 lots [12]. - **Coking Coal**: The closing price of the active coking coal futures contract is 1302.0 yuan/ton, with an increase of 3.50%. The highest price is 1307.0 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 1238.5 yuan/ton, the trading volume is 1,073,974 lots, the volume difference is 225,481 lots, the open interest is 706,691 lots, and the position difference is 56,327 lots [12]. Related Charts - **Coke Inventory**: The report provides charts of the coke inventory of 230 independent coking plants, 247 steel mill coking plants, and port coke total inventory [13][14][15]. - **Coking Coal Inventory**: The report provides charts of the coking coal inventory at the mine mouth, port coking coal inventory, 247 sample steel mill coking coal inventory, and full-sample independent coking plant coking coal inventory [19][22][24][29]. - **Other Charts**: The report also includes charts of domestic steel mill production, Shanghai terminal wire rod procurement, coal washing plant production, and coking plant operation [26][27][30][31]. Market Outlook - **Coke**: The spot market prices of coke have increased week-on-week. Driven by macro利好 factors, the coke futures contract has shown a strong performance. However, the fundamental upward drivers are limited, and the relative advantages lie in the cost support from coking coal and the positive sentiment from the internal and external macro environment [5][32]. - **Coking Coal**: The coking coal futures contract has closed higher, and the spot price has also risen week-on-week. Affected by the repeated expectations of China-US trade negotiations and anti-involution, the coking coal market sentiment remains optimistic, and the price is oscillating strongly. In the short term, the fundamentals of coking coal have no significant changes, and the strong expectations support the coking coal futures contract to run strongly. Attention should be paid to the supply changes in the main production areas [5][32].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The main contract price of rebar fluctuated higher with a daily increase of 1.00%, and both trading volume and open interest decreased. Under the current situation of increasing supply and demand, the fundamentals of rebar have limited improvement, and the pressure of inventory reduction remains. Steel prices are still prone to pressure, but the market sentiment is positive, and the strong raw materials provide cost support. It is expected that steel prices will continue to fluctuate and stabilize. Attention should be paid to the demand performance [4]. - The main contract price of hot-rolled coil showed a strong trend with a daily increase of 1.21%, trading volume increased while open interest decreased. Currently, the supply of hot-rolled coil is high, and there are concerns about demand. The fundamentals have not improved substantially, and prices are still prone to pressure. The relatively positive factors are cost support and optimistic sentiment. It is expected that the trend will continue to fluctuate and stabilize. Attention should be paid to the demand performance [4]. - The main contract price of iron ore rose strongly with a daily increase of 1.96%, trading volume increased while open interest decreased. Currently, the market sentiment is positive, and combined with the change in the variety logic, the iron ore futures price has returned to a high level. However, the supply of ore is high, and demand is weakening. The fundamentals of ore have not improved, and the upward driving force is not strong. The subsequent trend will maintain a high-level operation. Attention should be paid to the performance of finished products [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry Dynamics - The General Offices of five departments including the Ministry of Commerce issued the "Action Plan for Improving the Quality of Urban Commerce", which emphasizes the integration of emerging technologies in the urban business system and the improvement of intelligent services and business models [6]. - In the first three quarters, the transportation industry completed a fixed - asset investment of 2.6 trillion yuan. By mode, railway investment was 593.7 billion yuan, highway investment was 1.78 trillion yuan, waterway investment was 160.5 billion yuan, and civil aviation investment was 82.9 billion yuan [7]. - On October 24, 2025, Australia launched anti - dumping and counter -vailing investigations on flat - rolled steel products imported from China and an anti - dumping investigation on those from South Korea [8]. 3.2 Spot Market - Rebar: The Shanghai price was 3,210 yuan, Tianjin was 3,170 yuan, and the national average was 3,258 yuan. - Hot - rolled coil: The Shanghai price was 3,360 yuan, Tianjin was 3,250 yuan, and the national average was 3,370 yuan. - Tangshan steel billet: The price was 3,000 yuan. - Zhangjiagang heavy scrap: The price was 2,160 yuan. - 61.5% PB powder at Shandong ports was 807 yuan, and Tangshan iron concentrate powder was 823 yuan [9]. 3.3 Futures Market | Variety | Active Contract | Closing Price | Increase or Decrease (%) | Highest Price | Lowest Price | Trading Volume | Volume Difference | Open Interest | Open Interest Difference | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rebar | - | 3,133 | 1.00 | 3,135 | 3,092 | 1,239,602 | - 93,804 | 1,894,007 | - 36,350 | | Hot - rolled coil | - | 3,345 | 1.21 | 3,350 | 3,302 | 573,794 | 69,479 | 1,461,059 | - 12,738 | | Iron ore | - | 804.5 | 1.96 | 807.0 | 792.0 | 354,444 | 24,361 | 542,850 | - 6,094 | [13] 3.4 Related Charts - The report provides charts on steel and iron ore inventories (including rebar, hot - rolled coil, and iron ore at ports and in steel mills), as well as charts on steel mill production (such as blast furnace operating rate, electric furnace operating rate, and profitability of steel mills) [15][20][29]. 3.5 Market Outlook - Rebar: Both supply and demand have increased. The weekly output of rebar increased by 5.91 tons, and demand has also improved seasonally. However, the fundamentals have limited improvement, and the pressure of inventory reduction remains. It is expected that steel prices will continue to fluctuate and stabilize. Attention should be paid to the demand performance [36]. - Hot - rolled coil: The supply - demand pattern has improved, and inventory has decreased again. The weekly output increased slightly by 0.62 tons, and demand has performed well. However, there are concerns about demand. It is expected that the price will continue to fluctuate and stabilize. Attention should be paid to the demand performance [36]. - Iron ore: The supply - demand pattern continues to weaken. Ore demand is expected to continue to decline, while supply remains high. The futures price has returned to a high level, but the upward driving force is not strong. It is expected to maintain a high - level operation. Attention should be paid to the performance of finished products [37].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **沪铜**: In the afternoon of the day, the macro - atmosphere warmed up, and the copper price increased with rising positions. The main contract price broke through the high on Monday and approached the 89,000 mark. LME copper also broke through the high in May 2024 during the session. The warming of both domestic and foreign macro - environments, combined with the expected supply contraction, led to the continuous increase in copper price with rising positions [4]. - **沪铝**: In the afternoon, the macro - atmosphere warmed up, and the aluminum price increased with rising positions. As the macro - environment improved and the copper price rose strongly, the aluminum price followed. At the industrial level, the inventory of downstream aluminum rods decreased, while the inventory reduction of intermediate electrolytic aluminum slowed down due to the high aluminum price. Technically, attention should be paid to the pressure at the previous high [5]. - **沪镍**: In the afternoon, the position of Shanghai nickel decreased while the price rebounded, especially at the end of the session. Previously, when the macro - environment improved and non - ferrous metals prices rose, nickel rebounded with a decreasing position but lacked strength. With the improvement of the macro - environment today, the nickel price rebounded again with a decreasing position. Technically, attention should be paid to the pressure at the high on Monday [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry Dynamics - **Copper**: The Trump administration in the United States on Friday overturned an air - pollution regulation of the previous administration, which imposed stricter restrictions on the emissions of copper smelters. The copper rule finalized in May 2024 required smelters to control pollutants such as lead, arsenic, mercury, benzene, and dioxins according to the latest US federal air standards. The US announcement provided a two - year exemption for affected fixed sources, aiming to promote US mineral security by reducing the regulatory burden on domestic copper producers [8]. - **Nickel**: On October 29, the price of SMM1 electrolytic nickel was 120,400 - 123,400 yuan/ton, with an average price of 121,900 yuan/ton, a decrease of 250 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premium quotation range of Jinchuan 1 electrolytic nickel was 2,300 - 2,500 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 2,400 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The spot premium and discount quotation range of domestic mainstream brand electrowinning nickel was - 300 - 100 yuan/ton [9]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **Copper**: The report presents multiple charts related to copper, including domestic visible inventory (social inventory + bonded area inventory), LME copper cancelled warrant ratio, overseas copper exchange inventory, SHFE warrant inventory, copper monthly spread, etc. These charts show the inventory and price spread trends of copper from different aspects [10][11][12]. - **Aluminum**: The charts for aluminum include the aluminum basis, electrolytic aluminum domestic social inventory, alumina inventory, aluminum monthly spread, electrolytic aluminum overseas exchange inventory (LME + COMEX), and aluminum rod inventory, which reflect the market situation of aluminum [20][22][24]. - **Nickel**: The nickel - related charts cover the nickel basis, LME inventory, LME nickel price trend, SHFE inventory, nickel ore port inventory, and nickel monthly spread, providing information on the nickel market [32][34][36].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The "15th Five-Year Plan" period is of great significance in the process of basically realizing socialist modernization. Boosting consumption and technological innovation will be the main drivers on the demand and supply sides respectively during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period. Policies conducive to expanding domestic demand and supporting technological innovation will continue to be promoted, and the relevant industries are expected to benefit from the policy advantages [3][4][20]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 "15th Five-Year Plan" 《Suggestions》 Main Content - The "15th Five-Year Plan" 《Suggestions》 has 15 parts and 61 articles, divided into three major sections. It positions the "15th Five-Year Plan" period as an important stage with a connecting role in the process of basically realizing socialist modernization [7]. - The development environment is characterized by both strategic opportunities and risks, with many uncertain and unpredictable factors. Internationally, the relationship between China and the United States is complex, but China has many favorable factors for shaping the external environment. Domestically, China has advantages such as a stable economic foundation, but also faces challenges such as unbalanced and insufficient development [7][8]. - The main goals include achieving significant results in high - quality development, greatly improving the level of technological self - reliance, and continuously improving people's living standards [9]. 3.2 Industry Construction - Prioritize optimizing and upgrading traditional industries to maintain the competitiveness of industries such as mining, metallurgy, and chemical engineering in the global division of labor. Cultivate and strengthen 4 strategic emerging industry clusters and 6 future industries [11]. - Expand the opening - up of the service industry to attract international capital and advanced business models, and moderately and ahead of time build new infrastructure to reserve development space [11]. 3.3 Technological Innovation - Strengthen original innovation and key core technology research in fields such as integrated circuits and industrial mother machines. Increase the proportion of basic research investment to achieve technological self - control [12]. - Promote the in - depth integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation, accelerate the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into productivity, and create new industries [12]. - Implement the "Artificial Intelligence +" action to lead the transformation of scientific research paradigms and empower various industries [12]. 3.4 Domestic Market - Adhere to the strategic basis of expanding domestic demand, combine improving people's livelihood and promoting consumption, and investment in objects and people. Promote the positive interaction between consumption and investment, supply and demand [13]. - Specific measures include boosting consumption (improving consumption scenarios and promoting residents' consumption ability), expanding effective investment (optimizing government investment and stimulating private investment), and removing obstacles to the construction of a unified national market [13][14]. 3.5 Macroeconomic Governance - Strengthen the coordination of fiscal and monetary policies, and maintain the continuity, effectiveness, and consistency of policies. Promote an economic development model driven by domestic demand and consumption [15]. - In fiscal and tax reform, improve the local tax and direct tax systems, and adjust the central - local fiscal relationship [15]. 3.6 Livelihood Security - Solve structural employment problems by strengthening the coordination between industry and employment, and promoting the healthy development of flexible employment [16]. - Improve the income distribution system to increase the income of low - income groups, expand the middle - income group, and form an olive - shaped distribution pattern [17]. - Improve the social security system, including pension and medical insurance, and focus on reducing the high - cost expenditures of residents in education, housing, etc. [17]. 3.7 Green Transformation - With the goal of achieving carbon peak by 2030, accelerate the construction of a new energy system and implement energy - saving and carbon - reduction reforms. The construction of the electricity market and carbon emission trading market is expected to accelerate [18]. - Reduce pollution emissions, strengthen pollution control, and promote the formation of a green production and lifestyle [18]. 3.8 Summary The "15th Five-Year Plan" 《Suggestions》 deploys strategic tasks and major measures in multiple fields. Boosting consumption and technological innovation will be the main focuses, and relevant industries are expected to benefit from policy support [19][20].