Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - On February 11, 2026, most domestic futures main contracts rose. Carbonate lithium led the gains, while container shipping European routes led the losses. The capital flow varied among different contracts [5][6]. - Different futures products are affected by various factors such as supply - demand, macro - environment, and geopolitical situations, and their prices are expected to move within a certain range in the short term [8][10][11]. 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1. Futures Market Overview - As of the close on February 11, domestic futures main contracts mostly rose. Carbonate lithium rose over 9%, and沪镍 rose over 4%. Container shipping European routes fell over 1%, and coke, glass, and palm oil fell nearly 1%. Among stock index futures, IF fell 0.13%, IH rose 0.08%, IC rose 0.43%, and IM rose 0.01%. Among bond futures, TS remained flat, TF rose 0.05%, T rose 0.06%, and TL rose 0.05%. In terms of capital flow, IM 2603,沪金 2604, and carbonate lithium 2605 had capital inflows, while ten - year bond 2603, 30 - year bond 2603, and CSI 300 2603 had capital outflows [5][6]. 3.2. Market Analysis of Specific Futures - **沪铜**: It opened low and closed high, with strong intraday fluctuations. In January, production was 1.57 million tons more than expected, and in February, it is expected to return to normal. The expected production in February decreased by 3.58 million tons month - on - month, a 3.04% decline, but increased by 8.06% year - on - year. The demand decreased marginally during the holiday. The copper price is greatly affected by the macro - environment, and the spot trading was light before the holiday [8]. - **Carbonate lithium**: It opened high and closed high, rising over 9%. The average price of battery - grade and industrial - grade carbonate lithium increased. The supply in February will decrease. The export of Chilean carbonate lithium in January increased month - on - month but decreased year - on - year. The downstream demand is expected to strengthen, and the inventory is moving downstream. The retail sales of passenger cars increased year - on - year and month - on - month [10]. - **Crude oil**: OPEC+ eight member countries will maintain the plan to suspend the increase in oil production in March. The demand is in the off - season, but the US crude oil inventory decreased more than expected. The global crude oil floating storage is high, and the supply is in surplus. The price of Arabian light crude oil to Asia was lowered. Chevron is increasing the transportation of Venezuelan crude oil. The geopolitical situation in Iran is uncertain, and the oil price is expected to fluctuate within a range [11][12]. - **Asphalt**: The asphalt production rate decreased slightly week - on - week, and the expected production in February decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year. The downstream industry's production rate mostly declined, and the national shipment volume decreased. The refinery inventory rate decreased slightly. The supply of Venezuelan heavy crude oil is restricted, and the production and cost of domestic asphalt are affected. It is expected to fluctuate within a range in the short term, and reverse arbitrage is recommended [13][15]. - **PP**: The downstream production rate of PP decreased week - on - week, and the enterprise production rate increased. The petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level in recent years. The cost is affected by the geopolitical situation in the Middle East. The supply - demand pattern improvement is limited, and it is expected to fluctuate within a range. The L - PP spread is expected to narrow [16]. - **Plastic**: The plastic production rate increased, and the downstream production rate decreased. New production capacity was put into operation in January. The petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level. The cost is affected by the Middle East situation. The supply - demand pattern improvement is limited, and it is expected to fluctuate within a range. The L - PP spread is expected to narrow [17][18]. - **PVC**: The upstream calcium carbide price is stable. The PVC production rate increased slightly, and the downstream production rate decreased. The export order decreased after the price increase, and the social inventory increased. The real estate market is still in adjustment. It is expected to fluctuate within a range [19]. - **Coking coal**: It opened low and closed high, with a late - session decline. The supply of coking coal shrank significantly before the Spring Festival, and the customs clearance of Mongolian coal will be restricted during the holiday. The downstream inventory is still increasing, but the replenishment is approaching the end. It is expected to be weak and fluctuate before the holiday [21]. - **Urea**: It opened low and closed high, rising in a volatile manner. Most factories have completed order collection, and the spot price will be stable during the holiday. The daily production has reached 215,000 tons. The futures market sentiment is strong, and the inventory decreased significantly this week but is expected to increase slightly next week. It is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range before the holiday [22].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core View of the Report - PP supply - demand pattern has limited improvement, but there are still expectations for the chemical industry to counter the "involution". With low upstream petrochemical inventory and the current basis being repaired, it is expected that PP will fluctuate within a range. Due to new production capacity of plastics being put into operation recently, its operating rate is higher than that of PP, and the concentrated demand for plastic film has not started yet. It is expected that the L - PP price difference will decline [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Analysis - As of the week of February 6, the downstream operating rate of PP decreased by 2.24 percentage points to 49.84% week - on - week, at a neutral level in the same lunar period over the years. Among them, the operating rate of the plastic weaving industry, the main downstream of drawn yarn, decreased by 5.30 percentage points to 36.74% week - on - week, and plastic weaving orders continued to decline, slightly lower than the same period last year. On February 11, some overhauled units such as the first line of Zhongjing Petrochemical Phase II restarted, and the operating rate of PP enterprises rose to about 82.5%, at a slightly lower - than - neutral level. The production ratio of standard drawn yarn increased to about 30%. Petrochemical inventory reduction in February was acceptable, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years. The cost side: the US and Iran will hold a new round of negotiations, but the US has warned ships flying the US flag to stay away from Iranian waters in the Strait of Hormuz as much as possible. The market is worried about a military conflict between the two sides, and crude oil prices rebounded. Recently, the number of overhauled units has decreased slightly. The prices of downstream BOPP films in some areas are stable, the operating rate of the downstream plastic weaving industry has declined, and its new orders are limited. As the Spring Festival holiday approaches, more terminal enterprises are on holiday, and downstream stocking has mostly been completed [1]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market Conditions 3.2.1 Futures - The PP2605 contract opened higher, then reduced positions and fluctuated. The lowest price was 6665 yuan/ton, the highest price was 6720 yuan/ton, and it finally closed at 6693 yuan/ton, above the 20 - day moving average, with a gain of 0.51%. The position decreased by 1731 lots to 486,837 lots [2]. 3.2.2 Spot - The spot prices of PP in various regions have partially declined. The drawn yarn is reported at 6310 - 6850 yuan/ton [3]. 3.3 Fundamental Tracking - Supply side: on February 11, some overhauled units such as the first line of Zhongjing Petrochemical Phase II restarted, and the operating rate of PP enterprises rose to about 82.5%, at a slightly lower - than - neutral level. The production ratio of standard drawn yarn increased to about 30%. - Demand side: as of the week of February 6, the downstream operating rate of PP decreased by 2.24 percentage points to 49.84% week - on - week, at a neutral level in the same lunar period over the years. Among them, the operating rate of the plastic weaving industry, the main downstream of drawn yarn, decreased by 5.30 percentage points to 36.74% week - on - week, and plastic weaving orders continued to decline, slightly lower than the same period last year. - Petrochemical inventory: on Wednesday, the early petrochemical inventory was flat at 460,000 tons week - on - week, 15,000 tons lower than the same lunar period last year. Petrochemical inventory reduction was acceptable, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years [4]. 3.4 Raw Material End - The Brent crude oil 04 contract rose above $69 per barrel, and the CFR propylene price in China remained flat at $825 per ton week - on - week [6].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints - OPEC+ eight member countries will maintain the original plan to suspend the increase in oil production in March. The current situation is an off - season for crude oil demand. Due to the winter storm, EIA data shows that U.S. crude oil inventories decreased more than expected, and refined oil inventories also decreased significantly, leading to a continuous reduction in overall oil product inventories. However, global crude oil floating storage is high, and the crude oil market remains in a supply - surplus pattern. The latest EIA January report has raised the surplus amplitude for 2026. With multiple geopolitical uncertainties and the weakening of the current cold snap, it is expected that crude oil prices will fluctuate within a range in the near future [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Analysis - OPEC+ eight member countries will maintain the plan to suspend the increase in oil production in March. The winter storm led to an unexpected reduction in U.S. crude oil and refined oil inventories, but the global crude oil floating storage is high, and the market is in a supply - surplus pattern. Saudi Aramco has lowered the price of Arabian Light crude oil for Asia in March 2025 by 30 cents per barrel. Chevron is increasing the transportation of Venezuelan crude oil. The U.S. - Iran nuclear negotiations in Muscat have "temporarily" ended, and there are uncertainties in the Iranian geopolitical situation. The U.S. has adjusted tariffs on India, and India may increase crude oil purchases from the Middle East and the Americas. The Russia - Ukraine - U.S. talks have not made substantial progress on core issues, and the U.S. is seeking a cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by June [1]. 2. Futures and Spot Market Conditions - The main crude oil futures contract 2604 rose 0.91% to 476.8 yuan/ton, with a minimum price of 471.9 yuan/ton, a maximum price of 478.8 yuan/ton, and an increase in open interest of 1649 to 45913 lots [2]. 3. Fundamental Tracking - EIA raised the 2026 WTI crude oil price by 0.79 dollars per barrel to 52.21 dollars per barrel, lowered the 2026 global oil demand forecast from 105.2 million barrels per day to 104.8 million barrels per day, and raised the 2026 global oil production forecast from 107.4 million barrels per day to 107.7 million barrels per day. IEA raised the 2026 global oil demand growth rate by 70,000 barrels per day to 930,000 barrels per day and raised the 2026 global oil production growth rate by 100,000 barrels per day to 2.5 million barrels per day. On the evening of February 4, U.S. EIA data showed that for the week ending January 30, U.S. crude oil inventories decreased by 3.455 million barrels (expected to increase by 489,000 barrels), gasoline inventories increased by 685,000 barrels (expected to increase by 1.389 million barrels), refined oil inventories decreased by 5.553 million barrels (expected to decrease by 2.255 million barrels), and Cushing crude oil inventories decreased by 743,000 barrels [3]. 4. Supply - side Situation - OPEC's latest monthly report shows that OPEC's crude oil production in November was adjusted down by 21,000 barrels per day to 28.459 million barrels per day, and its production in December 2025 increased by 105,000 barrels per day month - on - month to 28.564 million barrels per day. Due to the winter storm, U.S. crude oil production in the week of January 30 decreased by 484,000 barrels per day to 13.215 million barrels per day, the largest decline since January 19, 2024. The four - week average supply of U.S. crude oil products increased to 20.802 million barrels per day, a 2.54% increase compared to the same period last year. Among them, gasoline weekly production decreased by 6.90% month - on - month to 8.153 million barrels per day, and the four - week average production was 8.262 million barrels per day, a 0.44% decrease compared to the same period last year; diesel weekly production increased by 5.92% month - on - month to 4.31 million barrels per day, and the four - week average production was 4 million barrels per day, a 2.35% increase compared to the same period last year. Diesel and other oil products rebounded significantly month - on - month, driving the weekly supply of U.S. crude oil products to continue to increase by 3.28% month - on - month [4].

上游西北地区电石价格稳定。目前供应端，PVC开工率环比增加0.33个百分点至79.26%，PVC开工 率继续小幅增加，处于近年同期中性水平。临近春节，PVC下游开工率环比下降3.33个百分点，下游 主动备货意愿偏低。出口方面，价格上涨后，国内出口签单环比回落，但之前的抢出口使得企业销 售压力不大。上周社会库存继续增加，目前仍偏高，库存压力仍然较大。2025年1-12月份，房地产 仍在调整阶段，投资、新开工、施工、竣工面积同比降幅仍较大，投资、销售、竣工等同比增速进 一步下降。30大中城市商品房周度成交面积环比回落，仍处于近年同期偏低水平，房地产改善仍需 时间。氯碱综合毛利承压，部分生产企业开工预期下降，但目前产量下降有限，本周预计无新增检 修装置，PVC开工率变化不大，期货仓单仍处高位。2月是国内PVC传统需求淡季，临近春节假期，下 游进入放假模式进一步增加，逐渐进入假期休整，现货成交清淡，社会库存继续增加。不过生态环 境部表示将聚焦无汞催化剂研发攻关等关键环节，加快推动聚氯乙烯行业无汞化转型，加上抢出口 延续，市场对于春节后仍有政策及检修预期，预计PVC区间震荡。临近春节假期，节前谨慎操作。 【期现行情】 ...

【冠通期货研究报告】 焦煤日报：震荡偏弱 发布日期：2026 年 2 月 11 日 【行情分析】 焦煤低开高走，尾盘跳水。春节前焦煤供应进入明显收缩期，且过年期间 蒙煤通关也将受限，部分大型煤矿库存假期内继续发运，国内据 Mysteel 统计 523 家炼焦煤矿山样本核定产能利用率为 86.67%，环比减少 2.46%。原煤日均 产量达到 192.53 万吨。假期临近，矿山安全检查及停产增多，下游冬储备货收 尾中，矿山焦煤库存去化，周度环比减少 2.53 万吨，上周焦化企业累库 67.6 万吨，钢厂累库 9.84 万吨，冬储补库依然在继续，距离春节假期依然有两周备 货时间，库存将继续下沉，但目前已接近尾声阶段。下游钢材成交量不佳，下 游铁水产量环比增加 0.26%，周度日均产量 228.58 万吨。春节前焦煤矿山收 紧，下游端同样季节性收紧，春节后随着钢厂的复产。盘面有酝酿行情的机 会，节前偏弱震荡。 【现货数据】 现货方面：山西市场（介休）主流价格报价 1270 元/吨，较上个交易日-10 元/吨，蒙 5#主焦原煤自提价 1018 元/吨，较上个交易日+8 元/吨。 基差方面：主力合约期货收盘价 1123. ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The Shanghai copper market opened lower and trended higher, showing a strong intraday oscillation. The production in January was 1.57 million tons more than expected, and it is expected to return to normal in February. The estimated output of electrolytic copper in China in February will decrease by 3.58 million tons month - on - month, a decline of 3.04%, but increase by 8.06% year - on - year. The regenerative copper enterprises entered the holiday mode earlier this year due to high copper prices and low market liquidity. The demand decreased as downstream industries entered the holiday mode. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is relatively high, and the non - farm payrolls data for January in the US tonight may affect market sentiment. The copper price is greatly affected by the macro - environment, and the spot trading is light before the holiday, with the external market during the holiday expected to influence post - holiday copper price sentiment [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Analysis - The Shanghai copper market opened lower and trended higher, with a strong intraday oscillation. The production in January was 1.57 million tons more than expected, and the estimated output in February will decrease by 3.58 million tons month - on - month, a decline of 3.04%, but increase by 8.06% year - on - year. The regenerative copper enterprises entered the holiday mode earlier due to high copper prices and low market liquidity. The demand decreased as downstream industries entered the holiday mode. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is relatively high, and the non - farm payrolls data for January in the US tonight may affect market sentiment. The copper price is greatly affected by the macro - environment, and the spot trading is light before the holiday, with the external market during the holiday expected to influence post - holiday copper price sentiment [1] 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - Futures: The Shanghai copper market opened lower and trended higher, with a strong intraday oscillation. - Spot: The spot premium in East China is - 40 yuan/ton, and in South China is - 60 yuan/ton. On February 10, 2026, the LME official price is 13093 US dollars/ton, and the spot premium is - 91 US dollars/ton [3] 3.3 Supply - side - As of February 9, the spot rough smelting fee (TC) is - 51.23 US dollars/dry ton, and the spot refining fee (RC) is - 5.21 cents/pound [8] 3.4 Inventory - SHFE copper inventory is 17.89 million tons, an increase of 12958 tons from the previous period. As of February 9, the copper inventory in Shanghai Free Trade Zone is 9.11 million tons, an increase of 0.17 million tons from the previous period. LME copper inventory is 18.91 million tons, an increase of 4800 tons from the previous period. COMEX copper inventory is 59.15 million short tons, an increase of 1248 short tons from the previous period [12]

| 冠通期货 研究咨询部 王静 | | --- | | 执业资格证书编号：F0235424/Z0000771 | | 联系方式：010-85356618 | 使用本报告及其内容所引发的任何直接或间接损失概不负责 本报告仅向特定客户传送 任何机构和个人均不得以任何形式翻版 载。如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为冠通期货股份有限公司。 近五年涨跌幅均值 NYMEX原油 NYMEX天然 气 COMEX黄金 COMEX白银 LME铜 LME锌 LME镍 LME铝 LME锡 LME铅 CBOT大豆 CBOT玉米 CBOT豆油 CBOT豆粕 CBOT小麦 CBOT稻谷 ICE11号糖 ICE2号棉 花 标普500 美元指数 CRB商品指 数 BDI 近十年平均 0.01% -3.23% 0.82% 1.95% 0.00% 0.11% 0.44% 0.27% 1.70% 0.53% 0.61% -0.19% -0.43% 0.81% -0.53% -1.71% -0.07% 1.28% 0.08% -0.03% 0.01% 0.67% -4.00% -3.00% -2.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive overview of the overnight night - trading market trends, important macro and industry - specific news, and financial market conditions across various sectors including commodities, stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange. It offers insights into price movements, policy announcements, and corporate developments that could potentially impact investment decisions. 3. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - trading Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally closed lower, with COMEX gold futures down 0.62% at $5047.90 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 2.01% at $80.58 per ounce [4][48] - U.S. oil and Brent oil futures declined slightly, with U.S. oil down 0.25% at $64.2 per barrel and Brent oil down 0.04% at $69.01 per barrel [5][48] - Most London base metals rose, except for copper and aluminum; LME nickel rose 1.16% to $17,550.0 per ton, zinc rose 0.67% to $3398.0 per ton, etc. [5][48] - Domestic futures contracts showed mixed results, with propylene up over 2%, while glass and palm oil were among the decliners [6] Important News Macro News - The People's Bank of China will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy and use various tools to ensure economic stability and reasonable price increases [9] - India is in talks with multiple countries for cooperation in the key minerals field, focusing on lithium and rare earths [9] - Iran's Air Force is on the highest - level combat readiness [9] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange imposed trading restrictions on some accounts for exceeding trading limits [10] - The U.S. Trade Representative expects to finalize an agreement with Indonesia in the coming weeks [11] - U.S. retail sales in December 2025 were unexpectedly flat, indicating cautious consumer spending [13] Energy and Chemical Futures - Dalian Commodity Exchange adjusted the price limit and trading margin for styrene, liquefied petroleum gas, and pure benzene futures contracts [15] - Malaysia is the world's largest natural rubber producer, and the export value of natural rubber gloves accounts for 46% of its rubber product exports [15] - The EIA revised its oil price forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [15][49] Metal Futures - PLS signed a two - year lithium concentrate supply agreement with Tianyi Lithium Industry, with a guaranteed floor price [17] - A small recycled lead smelter in South China suspended production and will resume after the Lantern Festival [18] - As of February 9, 2026, zinc ingot inventories in major domestic markets increased [20] - Angola's first major copper mine shipped its first batch of copper concentrate [20] Black Futures - Dalian Commodity Exchange adjusted the price limit and trading margin for iron ore, coke, and coking coal futures contracts [22] - Iron ore inventories at seven major ports in Australia and Brazil decreased from February 2 - 8, 2026 [22] Agricultural Futures - The price of crude palm oil in Malaysia is expected to be between 3,900 and 4,000 ringgit per ton in 2026 [24] - As of February 6, 2026, domestic commercial inventories of three major oils slightly increased [24] - As of February 4, 2026, the hog - corn ratio decreased compared to January 28, 2026 [26] - Malaysian palm oil exports from February 1 - 10, 2026 decreased compared to the same period last month [26] - In January 2026, Malaysian palm oil exports increased, while production and inventory decreased [26] - France slightly increased the sowing area forecast for winter soft wheat and rapeseed in 2026 [27] - The supply and demand situation of Chinese soybeans remains stable, with a clear picture of a bumper harvest in South America [27] - As of February 10, 2026, national soybean oil port inventories increased [28] - The EU plans to gradually phase out biofuels made from palm oil and soybean oil [28] - The U.S. Department of Agriculture maintained or adjusted its production and inventory forecasts for soybeans in the U.S., Argentina, and Brazil [30] Financial Markets Financial - A - share markets showed a narrow - range movement, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.13% [32] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.58%, and related technology and enterprise indices also increased [32] - Foreign institutions are optimistic about Chinese assets [32] - Ge Weidong and Zhang Jianping each invested 1 billion yuan in Jianghuai Automobile [34] - *ST Lifang will resume trading on February 11, 2026, and there is a risk of forced delisting [34] Industry - Five departments jointly issued an opinion to support the development of low - altitude infrastructure [35] - The National Health Commission warned about the chaos in the "light medical beauty" industry [35] - Relevant departments promoted the application of artificial intelligence in the bidding field [35] - In 2025, the national social logistics volume increased by 5.1% year - on - year [35] - The National Healthcare Security Administration announced the preliminary results of the new round of drug procurement [36] - As of February 10, 2026, the pre - sale box office of the 2026 Spring Festival movies exceeded 100 million yuan [38] Overseas - U.S. President Trump may send an aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East if the negotiation with Iran fails [39] - Ukrainian President Zelensky modified military service regulations [39] - Some Federal Reserve officials believe that the current policy stance is appropriate and may remain unchanged [39] - The U.S. plans to exempt some tech giants from chip tariffs [40] - U.S. retail sales in December 2025 were weaker than expected [40] - Japan will hold a special parliamentary session, and Koichi Hagiuda is likely to win the prime ministerial election [42] - The European Parliament passed an amendment to the European Climate Law [42] International Stock Markets - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones rising 0.1% and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq falling [43] - European stock indices also showed mixed results, affected by multiple factors [43] - The Japanese stock market reached a new high, and the Nikkei 225 rose 2.28% [44] - CME will launch single - stock futures this summer [44] - Paramount improved its acquisition offer for Warner Bros. Discovery [46] - Coca - Cola's Q4 2025 revenue increased by 2%, and its 2026 forecast was lower than market expectations [46] - Amundi will reduce its exposure to U.S. dollar assets [47] Commodities - International precious metal futures declined due to factors such as the Fed's stance and speculative capital outflows [48] - Oil prices fell due to an increase in U.S. crude oil inventories [48] - Most London base metals rose, except for copper and aluminum [48] - The EIA revised its oil price forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [49] Bonds - The inter - bank bond market showed narrow - range fluctuations, and the central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations [51] - Japan's national debt reached a record high at the end of 2025 [51] - U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board [51] Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the U.S. dollar rose, reaching a new high since May 2023 [52] - The U.S. dollar index rose slightly, and most non - U.S. currencies declined [52] Upcoming Events - There will be multiple important events on February 11, 2026, including central bank operations, official press conferences, and corporate earnings announcements [55] - The Japanese market will be closed on February 11, 2026, due to the "National Foundation Day" [57]

Report Summary 1. Hot News - In 2025, China's total social logistics volume reached 368.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% at comparable prices, with the logistics volume of industrial robots and new energy vehicles increasing by 28% and 25.1% respectively [3] - US President Trump is considering sending another aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East in case the negotiation with Iran fails, and the second round of talks is expected next week [3] - US retail sales in December 2025 had zero month-on-month growth, weaker than the expected 0.4% increase, and core retail sales decreased by 0.1% month-on-month, against an expected 0.3% increase [3] - The EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook Report raised the forecast for Brent crude oil price in 2026 to $57.69/barrel and lowered it to $53/barrel in 2027, and adjusted WTI crude oil price forecasts accordingly [3] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange will adjust the daily price limit and trading margin levels for iron ore, coke, and coking coal futures contracts from February 12, 2026 [4] 2. Key Focus and Market Performance - Key focus commodities include urea, Shanghai copper, alumina, PP, and PVC [5] - Night trading performances: non-metallic building materials rose 1.96%, precious metals 34.51%, oilseeds 8.01%, soft commodities 2.49%, non-ferrous metals 25.64%, coal-coke-steel-ore 10.09%, energy 2.59%, chemicals 11.22%, grains 0.96%, and agricultural and sideline products 2.54% [5] 3. Commodity Futures Positions - The document presents the changes in commodity futures positions of different sectors in the past five days, including agricultural and sideline products, grains, chemicals, energy, coal-coke-steel-ore, non-ferrous metals, etc. [6] 4. Performance of Major Asset Classes - Equity markets: Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.13% daily, 0.25% monthly, and 4.02% annually; other indices had different performance [7] - Fixed-income markets: 10-year, 5-year, and 2-year treasury bond futures had slight increases [7] - Commodity markets: CRB commodity index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, LME copper, and Wind commodity index had various changes [7] - Other assets: US dollar index and CBOE volatility index also had corresponding fluctuations [7] 5. Main Commodity Trends - The document shows the trends of major commodities such as the Baltic Dry Index, CRB spot index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold and silver, LME copper, CBOT soybeans and corn, etc., as well as the ratios between gold and oil, copper and gold, and risk premiums in the stock market [8]

本期 前值 涨跌 河北 1800 1790 10 河南 1800 1790 10 山东 1800 1790 10 山西 1680 1670 10 江苏 1810 1800 10 安徽 1810 1800 10 黑龙江 1780 1780 0 内蒙古 1810 1790 20 河北东光 1790 1770 20 山东华鲁 1790 1780 10 江苏灵谷 1830 1820 10 安徽昊源 1770 1760 10 山东05基差 4 2 2 山东01基差 42 38 4 河北05基差 14 12 2 河北01基差 52 48 4 1-5价差 44 39 5 5-9价差 38 36 2 仓单数量（张） 仓单数量合计 11036 10860 176 中东FOB 452 452 0 美湾FOB 450.5 450.5 0 埃及FOB 494 494 0 波罗的海FOB 430 430 0 巴西CFR 462.5 462.5 0 注:数据来源于Wind，钢联数据，冠通研究整理 冠通期货 研究咨询部 王静 执业资格证书编号：F0235424/Z0000771 仓单 免责声明：本报告中的信息均来源于公开资料，我公司对这些 ...